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Asta F, Bellomo G, Contoli B, Lombardo FL, Minardi V, Salemme S, Vanacore N, Masocco M. Preventing dementia in Italy: Estimations of modifiable risk factors and public health implications. J Prev Alzheimers Dis 2025:100055. [PMID: 39809612 DOI: 10.1016/j.tjpad.2024.100055] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2024] [Revised: 12/23/2024] [Accepted: 12/29/2024] [Indexed: 01/16/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Dementia is a major global public health challenge, with over 50 million cases in 2020, projected to reach 152 million by 2050. Effective prevention strategies are needed to reduce the impact of modifiable risk factors associated with dementia, particularly in countries with ageing populations like Italy. The Population Attributable Fraction (PAF) and Potential Impact Fraction (PIF) are key metrics for understanding and reducing dementia cases through targeted interventions. OBJECTIVES This study aimed to revise and expand PAF estimates for dementia in Italy, integrate them with PIF calculations, and assess the alignment of regional health policies with these risk factors. Additionally, the study explored regional variations in PAFs and evaluated the potential for reducing dementia incidence through feasible public health interventions. DESIGN A cross-sectional analysis was conducted using data from two national public health surveillance systems, PASSI and PASSI d'Argento (PdA), to estimate PAFs and PIFs for dementia at both national and regional levels. The study used data collected between 2017 and 2019. SETTING Data were drawn from 19 Italian regions and two autonomous provinces, providing national and subnational estimates of modifiable risk factors for dementia. PARTICIPANTS The study population included a nationally representative sample of 86,494 individuals aged 18-64 (PASSI) and 48,516 individuals aged 65 and older (PdA). MEASUREMENTS PAFs were calculated for 11 of the 12 modifiable risk factors identified by the Lancet Commission in 2021, with data from the PASSI and PdA systems. PIFs were calculated to estimate the potential reduction in dementia cases under different intervention scenarios. Regional variations in PAFs were assessed and aligned with health policies outlined in the Regional Prevention Plans. RESULTS The national combined PAF for 11 modifiable risk factors was 39.6 % (95 % CI: 20.8-55.9). Midlife hypertension and physical inactivity were the most significant contributors, accounting for 12.3 % of the total PAF. Cardiovascular risk factors collectively explained over 50 % of preventable dementia cases. Regional PAFs ranged from 31.7 % to 47.5 %, with a clear north-south gradient; southern regions exhibited higher PAFs due to cardiovascular factors. Despite broad consistency between national and regional PAFs, significant variability was found in how regions addressed risk factors, particularly air pollution. At the national level, a 10 % reduction in risk factors would prevent 54,495 dementia cases, with subnational PIFs ranging from 3.7 % to 6.0 %. CONCLUSIONS This study highlights the substantial potential for dementia prevention in Italy through targeted public health interventions. However, significant regional disparities in PAFs and the alignment of health policies underscore the need for a more nuanced, regionally tailored approach. Future strategies should integrate both PAF and PIF to maximize the impact of interventions, particularly in addressing cardiovascular risk factors. These findings can guide the development of evidence-based policies to reduce dementia incidence across Italy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Federica Asta
- National Center for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Italian National Institute of Health Rome, Italy
| | - Guido Bellomo
- National Center for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Italian National Institute of Health Rome, Italy.
| | - Benedetta Contoli
- National Center for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Italian National Institute of Health Rome, Italy
| | - Flavia L Lombardo
- National Center for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Italian National Institute of Health Rome, Italy
| | - Valentina Minardi
- National Center for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Italian National Institute of Health Rome, Italy
| | - Simone Salemme
- Department of Biomedical, Metabolic and Neural Sciences, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia - Via Università 4, 4112 Modena, Italy; International School of Advanced Studies, University of Camerino - Piazza Cavour 19/f, 62032, Camerino, Italy
| | - Nicola Vanacore
- National Center for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Italian National Institute of Health Rome, Italy
| | - Maria Masocco
- National Center for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Italian National Institute of Health Rome, Italy
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Farina FR, Bridgeman K, Gregory S, Crivelli L, Foote IF, Jutila OEI, Kucikova L, Mariano LI, Nguyen KH, Thayanandan T, Akindejoye F, Butler J, Calandri IL, Čepukaitytė G, Chiesa ST, Dawson WD, Deckers K, Cruz-Góngora VDL, Dounavi ME, Govia I, Guzmán-Vélez E, Heikal SA, Hill-Jarrett TG, Ibáñez A, James BD, McGlinchey E, Mullin DS, Muniz-Terrera G, Pintado Caipa M, Qansuwa EM, Robinson L, Santuccione Chadha A, Shannon OM, Su L, Weidner W, Booi L. Next generation brain health: transforming global research and public health to promote prevention of dementia and reduce its risk in young adult populations. THE LANCET. HEALTHY LONGEVITY 2024; 5:100665. [PMID: 39718180 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2024.100665] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2024] [Revised: 11/10/2024] [Accepted: 11/11/2024] [Indexed: 12/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Efforts to prevent dementia can benefit from precision interventions delivered to the right population at the right time; that is, when the potential to reduce risk is the highest. Young adults (aged 18-39 years) are a neglected population in dementia research and policy making despite being highly exposed to several known modifiable risk factors. The risk and protective factors that have the biggest effect on dementia outcomes in young adulthood, and how these associations differ across regions and groups, still remain unclear. To address these uncertainties, the Next Generation Brain Health team convened a multidisciplinary expert group representing 15 nations across six continents. We identified several high-priority modifiable factors in young adulthood and devised five key recommendations for promoting brain health, ranging from individual to policy levels. Increasing research and policy focus on brain health across the life course, inclusive of younger populations, is the next crucial step in the efforts to prevent dementia at the global level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francesca R Farina
- Pritzker School of Medicine, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA; Global Brain Health Institute (GBHI), Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
| | - Katie Bridgeman
- Edinburgh Dementia Prevention, Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Sarah Gregory
- Edinburgh Dementia Prevention, Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Scottish Brain Sciences, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Isabelle F Foote
- Institute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA; Wolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Otto-Emil I Jutila
- Alzheimer Scotland Dementia Research Centre, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ludmila Kucikova
- School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Luciano I Mariano
- Global Brain Health Institute (GBHI), Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland; Cognitive and Behavioural Neurology Group (Clinical Hospital) and Neuroscience Program (Institute of Biological Sciences), Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Kim-Huong Nguyen
- Global Brain Health Institute (GBHI), Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland; Centre for Health Services Research, School of Public Health, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | | | - Funmi Akindejoye
- Global Brain Health Institute (GBHI), Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland; Wicking Dementia Research and Education Centre, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia
| | - Joe Butler
- School of Psychology, University of Sunderland, Sunderland, UK
| | - Ismael L Calandri
- Fleni, Montañeses, Buenos Aires, Argentina; Department of Neurology, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Alzheimer Center Amsterdam, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Giedrė Čepukaitytė
- Institute of Cognitive Neuroscience, University College London, London, UK
| | - Scott T Chiesa
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, UK
| | - Walter D Dawson
- School of Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, OR, USA; Institute on Aging, College of Urban and Public Affairs, Portland State University, Portland, OR, USA
| | - Kay Deckers
- School for Mental Health and Neuroscience, Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands
| | - Vanessa De la Cruz-Góngora
- Global Brain Health Institute (GBHI), Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland; National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico
| | | | - Ishtar Govia
- Caribbean Institute for Health Research, The University of West Indies, Kingston, Jamaica; Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Edmarie Guzmán-Vélez
- Massachusetts General Hospital and the Department of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Shimaa A Heikal
- Institute of Global Health and Human Ecology, The American University in Cairo, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Tanisha G Hill-Jarrett
- Memory and Aging Center, San Francisco, CA, USA; GBHI, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Agustín Ibáñez
- Global Brain Health Institute (GBHI), Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland; Latin America Brain Health Institute (BrainLat), Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez, Santiago, Chile
| | | | - Eimear McGlinchey
- Global Brain Health Institute (GBHI), Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Donncha S Mullin
- Alzheimer Scotland Dementia Research Centre, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Division of Psychiatry, Royal Edinburgh Hospital, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Graciela Muniz-Terrera
- Edinburgh Dementia Prevention, Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Department of Social Medicine, Ohio University Heritage College of Osteopathic Medicine, Athens, OH, USA
| | | | - Esraa M Qansuwa
- Institute of Global Health and Human Ecology, The American University in Cairo, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Louise Robinson
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle, UK
| | | | - Oliver M Shannon
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle, UK
| | - Li Su
- School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK; Department of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | | | - Laura Booi
- Global Brain Health Institute (GBHI), Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland; Centre for Dementia Research, School of Health, Leeds Beckett University, Leeds, UK
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Bratsberg B, Fjell AM, Rogeberg OJ, Skirbekk VF, Walhovd KB. Differences in cognitive function at 18 y of age explain the association between low education and early dementia risk. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2024; 121:e2412017121. [PMID: 39352934 PMCID: PMC11474070 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2412017121] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/19/2024] [Accepted: 08/07/2024] [Indexed: 10/04/2024] Open
Abstract
Major initiatives attempt to prevent dementia by targeting modifiable risk factors. Low education is frequently pointed to, due to its relationship with dementia. Impact of education is difficult to assess, however, because of associations with multiple other factors, requiring large population-representative samples to tease the relationships apart. We studied 207,814 Norwegian men born between 1950 and 1959 who underwent compulsory cognitive testing during military conscription as young adults, to systematically test associations of education, cognition, and other important factors. Participants were grouped into five education levels and seven cognitive levels. A total of 1,521 were diagnosed with dementia between ages 60 and 69 y. While having compulsory education only was associated with increased risk (Hazard ratio [HR] = 1.37, CI: 1.17 to 1.60), this association was markedly attenuated when controlling for cognitive test scores (HR = 1.08, CI: 0.91 to 1.28). In contrast, low cognitive score was associated with double risk of later diagnosis, even when controlling for education (HR = 2.00, CI: 1.65 to 2.42). This relationship survived controlling for early-life socioeconomic status and replicated within pairs of brothers. This suggests that genetic and environmental factors shared within families, e.g., common genetics, parental education, socioeconomic status, or other shared experiences, cannot account for the association. Rather, independent, nonfamilial factors are more important. In contrast, within-family factors accounted for the relationship between low education and diagnosis risk. In conclusion, implementing measures to increase cognitive function in childhood and adolescence appears to be a more promising strategy for reducing dementia burden.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bernt Bratsberg
- Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research, Oslo0349, Norway
- Centre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo0473, Norway
| | - Anders M. Fjell
- Center for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo0373, Norway
- Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo0372, Norway
| | - Ole J. Rogeberg
- Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research, Oslo0349, Norway
| | - Vegard F. Skirbekk
- Centre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo0473, Norway
- Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY10032
| | - Kristine B. Walhovd
- Center for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo0373, Norway
- Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo0372, Norway
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Jiménez-Ruiz A, Aguilar-Fuentes V, Becerra-Aguiar NN, Roque-Sanchez I, Ruiz-Sandoval JL. Vascular cognitive impairment and dementia: a narrative review. Dement Neuropsychol 2024; 18:e20230116. [PMID: 39318380 PMCID: PMC11421556 DOI: 10.1590/1980-5764-dn-2023-0116] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2023] [Revised: 04/15/2024] [Accepted: 06/09/2024] [Indexed: 09/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Vascular cognitive impairment (VCI) is the second most common cause of cognitive impairment after Alzheimer's disease. The VCI spectrum involves a decline in cognition attributable to vascular pathologies (e.g., large infarcts or hemorrhages, microinfarcts, microbleeds, lacunar infarcts, white matter hyperintensities, and perivascular space dilation). Pathophysiological mechanisms include direct tissue injury, small vessel disease, inflammaging (inflammation + aging), atrophy, and altered neurotransmission. VCI is diagnosed using distinct clinical and radiological criteria. It may lead to long-term disability and reduced quality of life. An essential factor for reducing cognitive impairment incidence is preventing stroke by managing traditional and non-traditional cerebrovascular risk factors. This article reviews the spectrum of VCI, epidemiology, risk factors, pathophysiology, diagnosis, available treatment, and preventive strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amado Jiménez-Ruiz
- Stroke & Cerebrovascular Disease Clinic, Hospital Civil Fray Antonio Alcalde, Neurology Department, Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico
| | - Victor Aguilar-Fuentes
- Stroke & Cerebrovascular Disease Clinic, Hospital Civil Fray Antonio Alcalde, Neurology Department, Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico
| | - Naomi Nazareth Becerra-Aguiar
- Stroke & Cerebrovascular Disease Clinic, Hospital Civil Fray Antonio Alcalde, Neurology Department, Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico
| | - Ivan Roque-Sanchez
- Stroke & Cerebrovascular Disease Clinic, Hospital Civil Fray Antonio Alcalde, Neurology Department, Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico
| | - Jose Luis Ruiz-Sandoval
- Stroke & Cerebrovascular Disease Clinic, Hospital Civil Fray Antonio Alcalde, Neurology Department, Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico
- Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias de la Salud, Departamento de Neurociencias, Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico
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