Long-term quality of VKA treatment and clinical outcome after extreme overanticoagulation in 14,777 AF and VTE patients

Is the time in therapeutic range on coumarins predicted by previous time in therapeutic range?

BACKGROUND

The benefit of vitamin K antagonists depends on the time within the therapeutic range (TTR). A patient's previous TTR could be a factor in the decision to change the anticoagulation regimen. However, the predictive value of a previous TTR for a future TTR is not well established, nor is it clear which TTR should prompt action.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the predictive performance of a TTR and identify a threshold below which no recovery of TTR should be expected.

PATIENTS/METHODS

From 18 031 patients who used acenocoumarol in a first-line anticoagulation clinic, a TTR was calculated over multiple periods of 90, 180, and 365 days each. We assessed the correlation between baseline and later TTR and the separation between groups by quintile of baseline TTR. We describe the proportion of patients who obtain a TTR≥ 70% conditional on baseline TTR.

RESULTS

The correlation between baseline and later TTR was 0.25 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.24-0.26), 0.27 (95% CI, 0.26-0.28) and 0.34 (95% CI, 0.32-0.35) for analyses over 90, 180, and 365 days. Corresponding c statistics for discrimination by baseline group were 0.60, 0.61, and 0.63. The probability to obtain a TTR ≥70% increased with baseline TTR: from 42% with a baseline TTR of 50%-65% when TTR was 100% (TTR calculated over 180 days).

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that a current TTR hardly predicts a future TTR. Physicians and patients should deliberate together which probabilities to accept, take measures to improve TTR, and consider potential alternatives.

An easy-to-use tool to flag patients at risk of poor INR control: A streak of subtherapeutic INRs

INTRODUCTION

Vitamin K antagonist therapy is safest and most effective with a high time within the therapeutic range (TTR). The TTR is difficult to calculate in the consultation room, therefore physicians need an easier-to-use tool to predict poor VKA control. We explored the prognostic value of subtherapeutic INRs on future TTR in two settings: MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective cohort of 17,711 patients from a dedicated thrombosis service, using acenocoumarol (target range 2.0-3.0), with a "streak" defined as four consecutive INRs <2.0.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Clinical review setting: The occurrence of any streak in the last 180 days or 1 year increased the odds of a TTR <45%: ORs 2.84 (95% CI 2.41-3.34) and 3.25 (95% CI 2.72-3.87), respectively. Day-to-day INR management setting: A current streak increases the odds of poor TTR over the next 90 days 3.58 (95% CI 2.64-4.87) fold. We conclude that a streak of four consecutive subtherapeutic INRs can aid physicians in flagging at-risk patients.

Assessing bleeding risk in 4824 Asian patients with atrial fibrillation: The Beijing PLA Hospital Atrial Fibrillation Project

The risks of major bleeding and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) are higher in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) compared to non-Asians. We aimed to investigate risk factors for bleeding, and validate the predictive value of available bleeding risk scores (mOBRI, HEMORR2HAGES, Shireman, HAS-BLED, ATRIA and ORBIT) in a large cohort of Chinese inpatients with AF. Using hospital electronic medical databases, we identified 4824 AF patients (mean age 67 years; 34.9% female) from January 1, 1995 to May 30, 2015, with median (interquartile) in-hospital days of 10 (7-16) days. On multivariate analysis, prior bleeds, vascular disease, anemia, prior stroke, and liver dysfunction were independent risk factors of major bleeding (all p < 0.05). C-statistics (95%CI) of the HAS-BLED score were 0.72 (0.65-0.79) for major bleeding events and 0.83 (0.75-0.91) for ICH (all p < 0.001). Compared to other risk scores, the HAS-BLED score was significantly better in predicting major bleeding events (Delong test, all P < 0.05, apart from mOBRI, HEMORR2HAGES) and ICH (all p < 0.05), and additionally, resulted in a net reclassification improvement (NRI) of 17.1-65.5% in predicting major bleeding events and 29.5-67.3% in predicting ICH (all p < 0.05). We conclude that the HAS-BLED score had the best predictive and discriminatory ability for major bleeding and ICH in an Asian/Chinese AF population.

Anticoagulation Control in Swiss Primary Care: Time in Therapeutic Range Percentages Exceed Benchmarks of Phase III Trials

BACKGROUND

In randomized controlled trials, non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) demonstrated noninferiority to vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in patients who spent limited time in therapeutic range (TTR). In real-life patients, TTR is known to vary significantly across countries and health-care settings.

OBJECTIVE

We aim to evaluate the quality of VKA treatment in Swiss primary care (PC) by comparing patients' median TTR to levels achieved in the phase III NOAC trials RE-LY, ROCKET-AF, ARISTOTLE, and ENGAGE-AF-TIMI 48. Patient characteristics affecting TTR control shall be estimated.

METHODS

This is a retrospective longitudinal study in Swiss PC patients receiving VKA for ≥6 months. We identified patients from the PC research database FIRE (Family medicine International Classification of Primary Care Research using Electronic medical records) and calculated TTR according to Rosendaal formula. Comparative data from NOAC trials were retrieved from medical literature. Linear regression models were used to assess predictors of TTR.

RESULTS

Primary care encounters of 215 patients were analyzed. Like in the NOAC trials, median observation period was 2.2 years, but patients were older (67.9% vs 38% ≥75 years) and differed in terms of concomitant diseases and drugs. Median TTR was 75% (65% in the NOAC trials). Female sex was independently associated with a lower TTR and significantly modified by increasing age.

CONCLUSION

Practitioners should consider that patients in NOAC trials are only partly representative of PC patients, particularly in terms of TTR control. Only a minority of the observed patients would require a therapy switch to NOACs due to inadequate TTR. Further research is needed in order to identify specific features of care management that are associated with these outcomes.

Edoxaban for reducing the risk of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Oral anticoagulation is central to the management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and at least one additional stroke risk factor. For decades, the vitamin K antagonists (e.g. warfarin) remained the only oral anticoagulant available for stroke prevention in AF. The non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are now available, and these drugs include the direct thrombin inhibitors and factor Xa inhibitors. The latter class includes edoxaban, which has recently been approved for stroke prevention in AF by the United States Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicine Agency. In line with other NOACs, edoxaban avoids the many limitations of warfarin associated with variability of anticoagulation effect and multiple food and drug interactions.

AREAS COVERED

In this review, the currently available evidence on edoxaban in patients with non-valvular AF is discussed. The pharmacology, efficacy and safety, and current aspects of use of edoxaban in patients with non-valvular AF for stroke and thromboembolism prevention are reviewed.

EXPERT OPINION

Phase III trials on edoxaban for stroke prevention in non-valvular AF confirms non-inferiority of edoxaban compared to well-managed warfarin both in terms of efficacy and safety. Currently ongoing and future trials as well as real-world data are warranted to confirm its effectiveness and safety for chronic anticoagulation and improve evidence in other areas which are lacking evidence where NOAC use remains controversial.