Prognostic Relevance of Blood Pressure Variability

The association of long-term blood pressure variability with hemodialysis access thrombosis

Background

Blood pressure variability (BPV) is an important risk factor for cardiovascular events in hemodialysis patients. We sought to determine the impact of BPV on hemodialysis access thrombosis.

Methods

We enrolled 1,011 prevalent hemodialysis patients from 12 hemodialysis centers since January 2018 and followed them until December 2020. Predialysis blood pressure (BP) was assessed at 12-week intervals. The coefficient of variation derived from 36 consecutive BP measurements was used as the metric for variability. The primary outcome was incident hemodialysis access thrombosis. Linear regression models were used to assess factors associated with BPV at baseline. Kaplan-Meier curves of the time until vascular access events were drawn and log-rank tests were calculated. Cox proportional hazards models were performed to assess the association of BPV with incident vascular access events.

Results

The average coefficient of variance for systolic BPV was 10.9%. BPV was associated with age, body mass index, mean BP, diabetes, coronary and peripheral artery disease, history of access dysfunction, graft access, intradialytic hypotension, and use of antihypertensive medications. There were 194 access thrombosis events and 451 access stenosis events during a median follow-up period of 30 months. After adjustment of potential confounding factors, BPV was associated with increased risk of access thrombosis [hazard ratio = 1.27, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.18–1.44, per 1 standard deviation increase in BPV]. The patients in the highest BPV quartile had 2.45 times the risk of thrombosis (CI, 1.62–3.70). The association was independent of average BP, intradialytic hypotension, and comorbidities. Similar trends of association were found in the subgroups analyzed. Comparative analysis using a time-varying variable model and different metrics of BPV showed consistent results.

Conclusion

Our findings underscored the impact of BP fluctuation on vascular access thrombosis.

Seasonal Change in Home Blood Pressure Monitoring Is Associated With Renal Outcome and Mortality in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease

Background: Blood pressure (BP) variation may result in poor cardiovascular and renal outcomes. We investigated the pattern of seasonal BP change and its association with outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) living in southern Taiwan.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of a prospective observational cohort consisting of outpatients with CKD for the period between December 2014 and December 2019. These patients were grouped according to the pattern of seasonal BP variation, namely, consistently higher average systolic BP (≥8 mmHg) in wintertime than summertime (Group A), consistently lower average systolic BP (≥8 mmHg) in wintertime than summertime (Group B), large variation of average systolic BP (≥8 mmHg) without a specific pattern related to weather (Group C), and little fluctuation of average systolic BP (<8 mmHg) throughout the years (Group D). The study endpoints were ≥40% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), end stage renal disease (initiation of dialysis or transplantation), or death.

Results: We analyzed 507 eligible patients, of whom 17.2% exhibited consistent BP elevation in the wintertime. There were 56.8% of patients conducting regular home BP monitoring. Cox regression analysis showed home BP monitoring was independently associated with better outcome in 507 CKD patients (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.56–0.94, P = 0.0162). Compared with the other three groups, patients with BP elevation in the wintertime (Group A) were older, had a higher prevalence of diabetic nephropathy and nephrotoxic agent use, a lower prevalence of statin use, higher eGFR decline rate, and a worse outcome. Patients with BP reduction in the wintertime (Group B) were associated with the best outcome. Cox regression analysis indicated that consistent BP elevation in the wintertime in 288 CKD patients with home BP monitoring was significantly associated with a worse composite outcome (i.e., ≥40% reduction in eGFR, end stage renal disease, or death) after adjustment for various confounding factors.

Conclusion: Home BP monitoring is crucial, and associated with better outcome in CKD patients. Consistent home BP elevation from summertime to wintertime in patients with CKD was associated with a poorer composite outcome.

How important is blood pressure variability?

Arterial blood pressure (BP) is a continuous variable, with a physiology characterized by significant variability stemming from the complex interaction among haemodynamic factors, neuronal reflexes, as well as hormonal, behavioural, and environmental stimuli. The homoeostatic response accounts for the physiologic variability in BP in normotensive individuals, which is more evident in hypertensive patients. Blood pressure variability is a complex phenomenon, which could be classified in various types: very short term (beat to beat), short term (during 24 h), mid-term (day by day), long term (<5 years), and very long term (>5 years). Accurate measurement of BP variability represents a complex and often controversial endeavour, despite several methodological approaches are available. Albeit a prognostic significance has been demonstrated for some indicators of BP variability, the clinical significance of this measurement is still uncertain. In fact, none of the indicators presently available for BP variability, including early morning BP rise, substantially affects, and redefines, the cardiovascular risk of the hypertensive patient, over and beyond the mere BP values. Accordingly, in defining the cardiovascular risk, the focus should be on the absolute BP values, which remain the most relevant risk factor, and the one more susceptible to modification with both non-pharmacologic and pharmacologic treatment.

High Blood Pressure Variability is an Additional Cardiovascular Risk Factor

Blood pressure (BP) is a highly variable physiological indicator. Most people have BP changes within 40-50 mmHg during the day. Various external factors (from the patient’s position during BP measurement to poor adherence to therapy and abuse of short-acting antihypertensive drugs) affect the assessed indicators. Evaluation of the average daily, intra-visit, as well as long-term ("from visit to visit") BP variability is used in clinical practice. In the past twenty years a number of major studies demonstrated that increased BP variability is an independent prognostic factor that increases the risk of cardiovascular complications. The largest meta-analysis of 41 studies showed that an increase in long-term BP variability was associated with 15% and 18% increase in total and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. According to the IDHOCO project, the threshold coefficient of variation for day-today variability is >11.0/12.8. Different groups of antihypertensive drugs have an uneven effect on BP variability. Consistent data from ASCOT-BPLA, X-CELLENT and ACCOMPLISH studies indicate that among the main groups of antihypertensive drugs, calcium antagonists, mainly amlodipine, have the greatest potential for the variability reduction. A decrease in BP variability, as shown in a post-hoc analysis of CAMELOT and PREVENT studies, has a positive effect on the incidence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Thus, the BP variability is an important indicator that reflects the prognosis in hypertensive patients. BP variability reduction can be considered as one of the independent goals of therapy. Calcium antagonists can be considered as first-line drugs for patients with high BP variability.

Isolated systolic hypertension in the young: a position paper endorsed by the European Society of Hypertension

: Whether isolated systolic hypertension in the young (ISHY) implies a worse outcome and needs antihypertensive treatment is still a matter for dispute. ISHY is thought to have different mechanisms than systolic hypertension in the elderly. However, findings from previous studies have provided inconsistent results. From the analysis of the literature, two main lines of research and conceptualization have emerged. Simultaneous assessment of peripheral and central blood pressure led to the identification of a condition called pseudo or spurious hypertension, which was considered an innocent condition. However, an increase in pulse wave velocity has been found by some authors in about 20% of the individuals with ISHY. In addition, obesity and metabolic disturbances have often been documented to be associated with ISHY both in children and young adults. The first aspect to consider whenever evaluating a person with ISHY is the possible presence of white-coat hypertension, which has been frequently found in this condition. In addition, assessment of central blood pressure is useful for identifying ISHY patients whose central blood pressure is normal. ISHY is infrequently mentioned in the guidelines on diagnosis and treatment of hypertension. According to the 2013 European Guidelines on the management of hypertension, people with ISHY should be followed carefully, modifying risk factors by lifestyle changes and avoiding antihypertensive drugs. Only future clinical trials will elucidate if a benefit can be achieved with pharmacological treatment in some subgroups of ISHY patients with associated risk factors and/or high central blood pressure.

Differences in Dynamic Diurnal Blood Pressure Variability Between Japanese and American Treatment-Resistant Hypertensive Populations

BACKGROUND

Dynamic diurnal changes in 24-h ambulatory systolic blood pressure (SBP) are associated with increased cardiovascular risk. We compared ambulatory BP dynamics in Japanese and American black and white populations with treatment-resistant hypertension.Methods and Results:Both HTN-Japan (n=41) and SYMPLICITY HTN-3 (n=384 white and n=140 black patients) enrolled patients with office SBP ≥160 mmHg and 24-h ambulatory SBP ≥135 mmHg while on ≥3 antihypertensive medications. Indices of circadian variation in ambulatory BP, including morning and nighttime dynamic surges, were retrospectively compared. All 3 cohorts had similar baseline office SBP. The Japanese cohort had significantly lower body mass index, less obstructive sleep apnea, and less hypercholesterolemia than the black and white cohorts, but significantly greater morning SBP levels, including moving peak morning SBP (183 vs. 169 vs. 169 mmHg, P<0.001), morning dynamic surge (37.9 vs. 28.6 vs. 24.2 mmHg, P<0.001) and nighttime dynamic surge (24.9 vs. 8.3 vs. 7.7 mmHg, P<0.001). These racial differences in SBP surge parameters persisted despite adjustment for baseline demographic population differences through multivariate regression.

CONCLUSIONS

Greater diurnal BP variability, including dynamic surges, in Japanese compared with black and white patients may indicate ethnic differences in the underlying BP regulatory mechanism of resistant hypertension. These differences may be important to take into consideration for more specific drug and device-based therapy strategies based on ethnicity.

[Hypertensive urgency or high blood pressure variability?]

Hypertensive urgency (HU) is a common reason particularly for elderly patients to seek medical advice. Severe asymptomatic hypertension and situational high blood pressure (BP) in patients with its high variability is frequently taken as HU. The use of short-acting antihypertensive drugs is not only indicated in these situations, but it may also increase the risk of cardiovascular events (CVE). Over the past decade, increased BP variability is an independent predictor for a higher risk of CVE. Among the major groups of antihypertensive drugs, there are calcium antagonists, mainly amlodipine, which has the greatest potential to reduce BP variability. Thus, calcium antagonists can be considered as first-line drugs for patients with high BP variability.

Visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure variability and microvascular complications among patients with diabetes

AIMS

To examine the relationship between systolic blood pressure (SBP) variability and the risk of microvascular complications in a non-elderly diabetic population.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of individuals aged ≤60years treated for diabetes in 2003 in the US Department of Veterans Affairs healthcare system. Individuals were followed for five years for any new diagnosis of diabetic nephropathy, retinopathy, or neuropathy. In each year of follow-up, individuals were classified into quartiles based on their SBP variability.

RESULTS

We identified 208,338 patients with diabetes without diabetic nephropathy, retinopathy, or neuropathy at baseline. Compared to individuals with the least SBP variability (Quartile 1), those with most variability (Quartile 4) had 81% (OR=1.81; 95% CI, 1.72-1.91), 17% (OR=1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.21), 30% (OR=1.30; 95% CI, 1.25-1.35), and 19% (OR=1.19; 95% CI, 1.15-1.23) higher incidence of nephropathy, retinopathy, neuropathy, and any complication, respectively, after adjusting for mean SBP, demographic and clinical factors.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a significant graded relationship between SBP variability and the incidence of each complication and of any combined endpoint. This is the first study showing a significant association between SBP variability and the risk of diabetic retinopathy and neuropathy.

Impact of a motivated performance task on autonomic and hemodynamic cardiovascular reactivity

Motivated performance (MP) tasks include mental stressors characterized by a high degree of motivation, individual engagement, and sympathetic overstimulation. It is therefore important to document the independent influence of motivation apart from engagement on markers of cardiovascular autonomic modulation, including vasomotor tone (low-frequency systolic blood pressure, LFSBP), blood pressure homeostasis (baroreflex sensitivity, BRS), and myocardial oxygen consumption (rate pressure product, RPP). Accordingly, an arithmetic task (AT) was used to manipulate motivation to evaluate its impact on cardiovascular reactivity. Forty-two young adults (Mage = 20.21 years, SD = 2.09) qualified for the study. After a 10-min resting period, electrocardiogram and finger beat-to-beat blood pressure were recorded at three distinct 5-min stages: baseline (BASE), AT, and recovery (REC). Prior to AT initiation, participants were randomized into two groups based on directions stating that the AT task was either designed to be entertaining and fun (low MP, LMP) or a test diagnostic of one's intelligence (high MP, HMP). Independent of task engagement ratings, motivation to complete the AT task as well as solution success was significantly greater in the HMP than the LMP condition. Regarding physiological parameters, two (LMP vs. HMP) × three (BASE, AT, REC) repeated measures ANOVAs revealed no significant baseline differences but a significant higher order interaction indicating that in comparison to LMP, individuals in the HMP condition had significantly higher vasomotor tone and myocardial oxygen consumption but not BRS. Greater motivation during a performance task may provide the substrate for the development of adverse cardiovascular events by increasing sympathetic activity and ultimately increasing myocardial oxygen demand which could lead to acute coronary syndromes.

Blood pressure variability: assessment, predictive value, and potential as a therapeutic target

A large body of evidence has consistently supported the relationship between blood pressure (BP) levels and the risk of cardiovascular complications. In recent years, several independent studies have also indicated that this risk may not only depend on the magnitude of the blood pressure elevation per se but also on the presence of other associated conditions such as increased blood pressure variability. This concept has been supported by a series of reports, most of which post hoc analyses of clinical trials in hypertension, showing that increasing values of BP variability (BPV) (either in the short term, in the midterm, or in the long term) may predict development, progression, and severity of cardiac, vascular, and renal organ damage, as well as cardiovascular events and mortality. Remarkably, studies conducted in populations at high cardiovascular risk have shown increasing values of BPV in the individual subjects (so-called intra- or within-individual BPV) to be strong predictors of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, even to a larger extent than average BP values. However, in subjects at low to moderate cardiovascular risk, the contribution of BPV to cardiovascular risk prediction over and beyond average BP values has been shown to be only moderate. The aim of this paper is to critically review the evidence addressing the prognostic relevance of different components of BPV addressing a yet open question, i.e., whether routine assessment of BPV in clinical practice should be regarded as an additional target of antihypertensive treatment to improve cardiovascular protection.

Ethnic Differences in the Degree of Morning Blood Pressure Surge and in Its Determinants Between Japanese and European Hypertensive Subjects

Morning blood pressure (BP) surge has been reported to be a prognostic factor for cardiovascular events. Its determinants are still poorly defined, however. In particular, it is not clear whether ethnic differences play a role in determining morning surge (MS) size. Aim of our study was to explore whether differences exist in the size of MS between Japanese and Western European hypertensive patients. We included 2887 untreated hypertensive patients (age 62.3±8.8 years) from a European ambulatory BP monitoring database and 811 hypertensive patients from a Japanese database (Jichi Medical School Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring WAVE1, age 72.3±9.8 years) following the same inclusion criteria. Their 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring recordings were analyzed focusing on MS. Sleep-trough MS was defined as the difference between mean systolic BP during the 2 hours after awakening and mean systolic BP during the 1-hour night period that included the lowest sleep BP level. The sleep-trough MS was higher in Japanese than in European hypertensive patients after adjusting for age and 24-hour mean BP levels (40.1 [95% confidence interval 39.0–41.2] versus 23.0 [22.4–23.5] mm Hg; P <0.001). This difference remained significant after accounting for differences in night-time BP dipping. Age was independently associated with MS in the Japanese database, but not in the European subjects. Our results for the first time show the occurrence of substantial ethnic differences in the degree of MS. These findings may help in understanding the role of ethnic factors in cardiovascular risk assessment and in identifying possible ethnicity-related differences in the most effective measures to be implemented for prevention of BP-related cardiovascular events.

Relationships between the risk of cardiovascular disease in type 2 diabetes patients and both visit-to-visit variability and time-to-effect differences in blood pressure

AIMS

To determine whether visit-to-visit blood pressure (BP) variability can predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence in type 2 diabetes patients independently of mean BP, and to analyze the time-to-effect relationship between BP and CVD risk.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 629 type 2 diabetes patients with no history of CVD who first visited our hospital between 1995 and 1996, made at least one hospital visit per year, were followed-up for at least 1 year, and had undergone four or more BP measurements. The patients were followed until June 2012 at the latest.

RESULTS

CVD occurred in 66 patients. Variability in systolic or diastolic BP (SBP and DBP, respectively) was a significant predictor of CVD incidence, independent of mean SBP or DBP. CVD incidence was significantly associated with SBP during the preceding 3-5 years, with the highest risk occurring during the preceding 3 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Visit-to-visit BP variability independently predicts CVD incidence in type 2 diabetes patients. Increased SBP over the preceding 3-5 years indicated a significant CVD risk. To prevent CVD, BP management should focus on stable and well-timed control. In particular, BP stabilization at an early phase and BP control during late phases are important.

Long-Term Blood Pressure Variability, New-Onset Diabetes Mellitus, and New-Onset Chronic Kidney Disease in the Japanese General Population

Whether long-term blood pressure (BP) variability among individuals without diabetes mellitus is associated with new-onset chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk, independently of other BP parameters (eg, mean BP, cumulative exposure to BP) and metabolic profile changes during follow-up, remains uncertain. We used data from a nationwide study of 48 587 Japanese adults aged 40 to 74 years (mean age, 61.7 years; 39% men) without diabetes mellitus or CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or proteinuria by dipstick). BP was measured at baseline and during 3 annual follow-up visits (4 visits). BP variability was defined as standard deviation (SD) and average real variability during the 4 visits. At the year 3 follow-up visit, 6.3% of the population had developed CKD. In multivariable-adjusted logistic regression models, 1 SD increases in SDSBP (per 5 mmHg), SDDBP (per 3 mmHg), average real variabilitySBP (per 6 mmHg), and average real variabilityDBP (per 4 mmHg) were associated with new-onset CKD (odds ratios [ORs] and 95% confidence intervals, 1.15 [1.11-1.20], 1.08 [1.04-1.12], 1.13 [1.09-1.17], 1.06 [1.02-1.10], respectively; all P<0.01) after adjustment for clinical characteristics, and with mean BP from year 0 to year 3. The associations of SDBP and average real variabilityBP with CKD remained significant after additional adjustments for metabolic parameter changes during follow-up (ORs, 1.06-1.15; all P<0.01). Sensitivity analyses by sex, antihypertensive medication use, and the presence of hypertension showed similar conclusions. Among those in the middle-aged and elderly general population without diabetes mellitus, long-term BP variability during 3 years was associated with new-onset CKD risk, independently of mean or cumulative exposure to BP and metabolic profile changes during follow-up.

Blood pressure control and primary prevention of stroke: summary of the recent clinical trial data and meta-analyses

Stroke is the second most common cause of death worldwide and of adult disability, but in the near future the global burden of cerebrovascular diseases will rise due to ageing and adverse lifestyle changes in populations worldwide. The risk of stroke increases at blood pressure levels above 115/75 mm Hg and high blood pressure (BP) is the most important modifiable risk factor for stroke, associated with 54 % episodes of stroke worldwide. There is strong evidence from clinical trials that antihypertensive therapy reduces substantially the risk of any type of stroke, as well as stroke-related death and disability. The risk attributed to BP is associated not only with absolute values but also with certain parameters describing BP diurnal pattern as well as short-term and long-term variability. Many studies reported that certain features of BP like nocturnal hypertension, morning surge or increased variability predict an increased stroke risk. However, there is no accepted effective modality for correction of these disturbances (chronotherapy, certain classes of antihypertensive drugs). In the elderly, who are mostly affected by stroke, the primary prevention guidelines recommend treatment with diuretics and calcium channel blockers to lower blood pressure to the standard level.