T-Wave Morphology Restitution Predicts Sudden Cardiac Death in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure

mROS‑calcium feedback loop promotes lethal ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in early myocardial ischemia

Lethal ventricular arrhythmia‑sudden cardiac death (LVA‑SCD) occurs frequently during the early stage of myocardial ischemia (MI). However, the mechanism underlying higher LVA‑SCD incidence is still poorly understood. The present study aimed to explore the role of mitochondrial reactive oxygen species (mROS) and Ca2+ crosstalk in promoting LVA‑SCD in early MI. RyR2 S2814A mice and their wild‑type littermates were used. MitoTEMPO was applied to scavenge mitochondrial ROS (mROS). Mice were subjected to severe MI and the occurrence of LVA‑SCD was evaluated. Levels of mitochondrial ROS and calcium (mitoCa2+), cytosolic ROS (cytoROS), and calcium (cytoCa2+), RyR2 Ser‑2814 phosphorylation, CaMKII Met‑282 oxidation, mitochondrial membrane potential (MMP), and glutathione/oxidized glutathione (GSH/GSSG) ratio in the myocardia were detected. Dynamic changes in mROS after hypoxia were investigated using H9c2 cells. Moreover, the myocardial phosphoproteome was analyzed to explore the related mechanisms facilitating mROS‑Ca2+ crosstalk and LVA‑SCD. There was a high incidence (~33.9%) of LVA‑SCD in early MI. Mice who underwent SCD displayed notably elevated levels of myocardial ROS and mROS, and the latter was validated in H9c2 cells. These mice also demonstrated overloads of cytoplasmic and mitochondrial Ca2+, decreased MMP and reduced GSH/GSSG ratio, upregulated RyR2‑S2814 phosphorylation and CaMKII‑M282 oxidation and transient hyperphosphorylation of mitochondrial proteomes in the myocardium. mROS‑specific scavenging by a mitochondria‑targeted antioxidant agent (MitoTEMPO) corrected these SCD‑induced alterations. S2814A mice with a genetically inactivated CaMKII phosphorylation site in RyR2 exhibited decreased overloads in cytoplasmic and mitochondrial Ca2+ and demonstrated similar effects as MitoTEMPO to correct SCD‑induced changes and prevent SCD post‑MI. The data confirmed crosstalk between mROS and Ca2+ in promoting LVA‑SCD. Therefore, we provided evidence that there is a higher incidence of LVA‑SCD in early MI, which may be attributed to a positive feedback loop between mROS and Ca2+ imbalance.

The role of β-adrenergic stimulation in QT interval adaptation to heart rate during stress test

The adaptation lag of the QT interval after heart rate (HR) has been proposed as an arrhythmic risk marker. Most studies have quantified the QT adaptation lag in response to abrupt, step-like changes in HR induced by atrial pacing, in response to tilt test or during ambulatory recordings. Recent studies have introduced novel methods to quantify the QT adaptation lag to gradual, ramp-like HR changes in stress tests by evaluating the differences between the measured QT series and an estimated, memoryless QT series obtained from the instantaneous HR. These studies have observed the QT adaptation lag to progressively reduce when approaching the stress peak, with the underlying mechanisms being still unclear. This study analyzes the contribution of β-adrenergic stimulation to QT interval rate adaptation in response to gradual, ramp-like HR changes. We first quantify the QT adaptation lag in Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) patients undergoing stress test. To uncover the involved mechanisms, we use biophysically detailed computational models coupling descriptions of human ventricular electrophysiology and β-adrenergic signaling, from which we simulate ventricular action potentials and ECG signals. We characterize the adaptation of the simulated QT interval in response to the HR time series measured from each of the analyzed CAD patients. We show that, when the simulated ventricular tissue is subjected to a time-varying β-adrenergic stimulation pattern, with higher stimulation levels close to the stress peak, the simulated QT interval presents adaptation lags during exercise that are more similar to those measured from the patients than when subjected to constant β-adrenergic stimulation. During stress test recovery, constant and time-varying β-adrenergic stimulation patterns render similar adaptation lags, which are generally shorter than during exercise, in agreement with results from the patients. In conclusion, our findings support the role of time-varying β-adrenergic stimulation in contributing to QT interval adaptation to gradually increasing HR changes as those seen during the exercise phase of a stress test.

Spatiotemporal patterns of early afterdepolarizations underlying abnormal T-wave morphologies in a tissue model of the Purkinje-ventricular system

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a leading cause of death worldwide, and the majority of SCDs are caused by acute ventricular arrhythmias (VAs). Early afterdepolarizations (EADs) are an important trigger of VA under pathological conditions, e.g., inherited or acquired long QT syndrome (LQTS). However, it remains unclear how EAD events at the cellular level are spatially organized at the tissue level to induce and maintain ventricular arrhythmias and whether the spatial-temporal patterns of EADs at the tissue level are associated with abnormal T-wave morphologies that are often observed in LQTS, such as broad-based, notched or bifid; late appearance; and pointed T-waves. Here, a tissue model of the Purkinje-ventricular system (PVS) was developed to quantitatively investigate the complex spatial-temporal dynamics of EADs during T-wave abnormalities. We found that (1) while major inhibition of ICaL can substantially reduce the excitability of the PVS leading to conduction failures, moderate ICaL inhibition can promote occurrences of AP alternans at short cycle lengths (CLs), and EAD events preferentially occur with a major reduction of IKr (>50%) at long CLs; (2) with a minor reduction of ICaL, spatially synchronized steady-state EAD events with inverted and biphasic T-waves can be "weakened" into beat-to-beat concurrences of spatially synchronized EADs and T-wave alternans, and as pacing CLs increase, beat-to-beat concurrences of localized EADs with late-appearing and pointed T-wave morphologies can be observed; (3) under certain conditions, localized EAD events in the midmyocardium may trigger slow uni-directional electric propagation with inverted (antegrade) or upright (retrograde) broad-based T-waves; (4) spatially discordant EADs were typically characterized by desynchronized spontaneous onsets of EAD events between two groups of PVS tissues with biphasic T-wave morphologies, and they can evolve into spatially discordant oscillating EAD patterns with sustained or self-terminated alternating EAD and electrocardiogram (ECG) patterns. Our results provide new insights into the spatiotemporal aspects of the onset and development of EADs and suggest possible mechanistic links between the complex spatial dynamics of EADs and T-wave morphologies.

ECG T-Wave Morphologic Variations Predict Ventricular Arrhythmic Risk in Low- and Moderate-Risk Populations

Background Early identification of individuals at risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) remains a major challenge. The ECG is a simple, common test, with potential for large-scale application. We developed and tested the predictive value of a novel index quantifying T-wave morphologic variations with respect to a normal reference (TMV), which only requires one beat and a single-lead ECG. Methods and Results We obtained reference T-wave morphologies from 23 962 participants in the UK Biobank study. With Cox models, we determined the association between TMV and life-threatening ventricular arrhythmia in an independent data set from UK Biobank study without a history of cardiovascular events (N=51 794; median follow-up of 122 months) and SCD in patients with coronary artery disease from ARTEMIS (N=1872; median follow-up of 60 months). In UK Biobank study, 220 (0.4%) individuals developed life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias. TMV was significantly associated with life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (hazard ratio [HR] of 1.13 per SD increase [95% CI, 1.03-1.24]; P=0.009). In ARTEMIS, 34 (1.8%) individuals reached the primary end point. Patients with TMV ≥5 had an HR for SCD of 2.86 (95% CI, 1.40-5.84; P=0.004) with respect to those with TMV <5, independently from QRS duration, corrected QT interval, and left ventricular ejection fraction. TMV was not significantly associated with death from a cause other than SCD. Conclusions TMV identifies individuals at life-threatening ventricular arrhythmia and SCD risk using a single-beat single-lead ECG, enabling inexpensive, quick, and safe risk assessment in large populations.

Weighted Time Warping Improves T-wave Morphology Markers Clinical Significance

Background: T-wave (TW) morphology indices based on time-warping (d_w) have shown significant cardiovascular risk stratification value. However, errors in the location of TW boundaries may impact their prognostic power. Our aim was to test the hypothesis that a weighted time-warping function (WF) would reduce the sensitivity of d_w to these errors and improve their clinical significance. Methods: The WFs were proportional to (i) the reference TW (T), and (ii) the absolute value of its derivative (D). The index d_w was recalculated using these WFs, and its performance was compared to the unweighted control case (C) in four different scenarios: 1) robustness against simulated TW boundaries location errors; 2) ability to retain physiological information in an electrophysiological cardiac model; 3) ability to monitor blood potassium concentration changes ([K⁺]) in 29 hemodialysis (HD) patients; 4) and the sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk stratification value of the TW morphology restitution (TMR) index, derived from d_w, in 651 chronic heart failure (CHF) patients. Results and Discussion: The WFs led to a reduced sensitivity (R) of d_w to TW boundary location errors as compared to C (median R=0.19 and 0.22 and 0.35 for T, D and C, respectively). They also preserved the physiological relationship between d_w and repolarization dispersion changes at ventricular level. No improvements in [K⁺] tracking were observed for the HD patients (Pearsons median correlation [r] between [K⁺] and d_w was 0.86r0.90 for T, D and C). In CHF patients, the SCD risk stratification value of TMR was improved by applying T (hazard ratio, HAR, of 2.80), followed by D (HAR=2.32) and C (HAR=2.23). Conclusions and Significance: The proposed WFs, with T showing the best performance, increased the robustness of time-warping based markers against TW location errors preserving their physiological information content and boosting their SCD risk stratification value. Results from this work support the use of T when deriving d_w for future clinical applications.

Periodic repolarization dynamics as predictor of risk for sudden cardiac death in chronic heart failure patients

The two most common modes of death among chronic heart failure (CHF) patients are sudden cardiac death (SCD) and pump failure death (PFD). Periodic repolarization dynamics (PRD) quantifies low-frequency oscillations in the T wave vector of the electrocardiogram (ECG) and has been postulated to reflect sympathetic modulation of ventricular repolarization. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic value of PRD to predict SCD and PFD in a population of CHF patients. 20-min high-resolution (1000 Hz) ECG recordings from 569 CHF patients were analyzed. Patients were divided into two groups, \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\hbox {PRD}^+$$\end{document}PRD+ and \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\hbox {PRD}^-$$\end{document}PRD-, corresponding to PRD values above and below the optimum cutoff point of PRD in the study population. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that SCD risk in the \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\hbox {PRD}^+$$\end{document}PRD+ group was double the risk in the \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\hbox {PRD}^-$$\end{document}PRD- group [hazard ratio (95% CI) 2.001 (1.127–3.554), \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\hbox {p}<0.05$$\end{document}p<0.05]. The combination of PRD with other Holter-based ECG indices, such as turbulence slope (TS) and index of average alternans (IAA), improved SCD prediction by identifying groups of patients at high SCD risk. PFD could be predicted by PRD only when combined with TS [hazard ratio 2.758 (1.572–4.838), \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\hbox {p}<0.001$$\end{document}p<0.001]. In conclusion, the combination of PRD with IAA and TS can be used to stratify the risk for SCD and PFD, respectively, in CHF patients.

Arrhythmic Sudden Cardiac Death and the Role of Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator in Patients with Cardiac Amyloidosis-A Narrative Literature Review

Cardiac amyloidosis (CA) is considered to be associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) due to ventricular tachyarrhythmias and electromechanical dissociation. However, current arrhythmic risk stratification and the role of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) for primary prevention of SCD remains unclear. This article provides a narrative review of the literature on electrophysiological abnormalities in the context of ventricular arrhythmias in patients with CA and the role of ICD in terms of survival benefit in this group of patients.

Characterization of Spatio-Temporal Cardiac Action Potential Variability at Baseline and Under β-Adrenergic Stimulation by Combined Unscented Kalman Filter and Double Greedy Dimension Reduction

OBJECTIVE

Elevated spatio-temporal variability of human ventricular repolarization has been related to increased risk for ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death, particularly under β-adrenergic stimulation ( β-AS). This work presents a methodology for theoretical characterization of temporal and spatial repolarization variability at baseline conditions and in response to β-AS. For any measured voltage trace, the proposed methodology estimates the parameters and state variables of an underlying human ventricular action potential (AP) model by combining Double Greedy Dimension Reduction (DGDR) with automatic selection of biomarkers and the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF). Such theoretical characterization can facilitate subsequent characterization of underlying variability mechanisms.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Given an AP trace, initial estimates for the ionic conductances in a stochastic version of the baseline human ventricular O'Hara et al. model were obtained by DGDR. Those estimates served to initialize and update model parameter estimates by the UKF method based on formulation of an associated nonlinear state-space representation and joint estimation of model parameters and state variables. Similarly, β-AS-induced phosphorylation levels of cellular substrates were estimated by the DGDR-UKF methodology. Performance was tested by building an experimentally-calibrated population of virtual cells, from which synthetic AP traces were generated for baseline and β-AS conditions.

RESULTS

The combined DGDR-UKF methodology led to 25% reduction in the error associated with estimation of ionic current conductances at baseline conditions and phosphorylation levels under β-AS with respect to individual DGDR and UKF methods. This improvement was not at the expense of higher computational load, which was diminished by 90% with respect to the individual UKF method. Both temporal and spatial AP variability of repolarization were accurately characterized by the DGDR-UKF methodology.

CONCLUSIONS

A combined DGDR-UKF methodology is proposed for parameter and state variable estimation of human ventricular cell models from available AP traces at baseline and under β-AS. This methodology improves the estimation performance and reduces the convergence time with respect to individual DGDR and UKF methods and renders a suitable approach for computational characterization of spatio-temporal repolarization variability to be used for ascertainment of variability mechanisms and its relation to arrhythmogenesis.

Body Surface Mapping of Ventricular Repolarization Heterogeneity: An Ex-vivo Multiparameter Study

Background

Increased heterogeneity of ventricular repolarization is associated with life-threatening arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death (SCD). T-wave analysis through body surface potential mapping (BSPM) is a promising tool for risk stratification, but the clinical effectiveness of current electrocardiographic indices is still unclear, with limited experimental validation. This study aims to investigate performance of non-invasive state-of-the-art and novel T-wave markers for repolarization dispersion in an ex vivo model.

Methods

Langendorff-perfused pig hearts (N = 7) were suspended in a human-shaped 256-electrode torso tank. Tank potentials were recorded during sinus rhythm before and after introducing repolarization inhomogeneities through local perfusion with dofetilide and/or pinacidil. Drug-induced repolarization gradients were investigated from BSPMs at different experiment phases. Dispersion of electrical recovery was quantified by duration parameters, i.e., the time interval between the peak and the offset of T-wave (T_PEAK-T_END) and QT interval, and variability over time and electrodes was also assessed. The degree of T-wave symmetry to the peak was quantified by the ratio between the terminal and initial portions of T-wave area (Asy). Morphological variability between left and right BSPM electrodes was measured by dynamic time warping (DTW). Finally, T-wave organization was assessed by the complexity of repolarization index (CR), i.e., the amount of energy non-preserved by the dominant eigenvector computed by principal component analysis (PCA), and the error between each multilead T-wave and its 3D PCA approximation (NMSE). Body surface indices were compared with global measures of epicardial dispersion of repolarization, and with local gradients between adjacent ventricular sites.

Results

After drug intervention, both regional and global repolarization heterogeneity were significantly enhanced. On the body surface, T_PEAK-T_END was significantly prolonged and less stable in time in all experiments, while QT interval showed higher variability across the interventions in terms of duration and spatial dispersion. The rising slope of the repolarization profile was steeper, and T-waves were more asymmetric than at baseline. Interventricular shape dissimilarity was enhanced by repolarization gradients according to DTW. Organized T-wave patterns were associated with abnormal repolarization, and they were properly described by the first principal components.

Conclusion

Repolarization heterogeneity significantly affects T-wave properties, and can be non-invasively captured by BSPM-based metrics.

Cardiovascular Predictive Value and Genetic Basis of Ventricular Repolarization Dynamics

BACKGROUND

Early prediction of cardiovascular risk in the general population remains an important issue. The T-wave morphology restitution (TMR), an ECG marker quantifying ventricular repolarization dynamics, is strongly associated with cardiovascular mortality in patients with heart failure. Our aim was to evaluate the cardiovascular prognostic value of TMR in a UK middle-aged population and identify any genetic contribution.

METHODS

We analyzed ECG recordings from 55 222 individuals from a UK middle-aged population undergoing an exercise stress test in UK Biobank (UKB). TMR was used to measure ventricular repolarization dynamics, exposed in this cohort by exercise (TMR during exercise, TMR^ex) and recovery from exercise (TMR during recovery, TMR^rec). The primary end point was cardiovascular events; secondary end points were all-cause mortality, ventricular arrhythmias, and atrial fibrillation with median follow-up of 7 years. Genome-wide association studies for TMR^ex and TMR^rec were performed, and genetic risk scores were derived and tested for association in independent samples from the full UKB cohort (N=360 631).

RESULTS

A total of 1743 (3.2%) individuals in UKB who underwent the exercise stress test had a cardiovascular event, and TMR^rec was significantly associated with cardiovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.11; P=5×10^-7), independent of clinical variables and other ECG markers. TMR^rec was also associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.10) and ventricular arrhythmias (hazard ratio, 1.16). We identified 12 genetic loci in total for TMR^ex and TMR^rec, of which 9 are associated with another ECG marker. Individuals in the top 20% of the TMR^rec genetic risk score were significantly more likely to have a cardiovascular event in the full UKB cohort (18 997, 5.3%) than individuals in the bottom 20% (hazard ratio, 1.07; P=6×10^-3).

CONCLUSIONS

TMR and TMR genetic risk scores are significantly associated with cardiovascular risk in a UK middle-aged population, supporting the hypothesis that increased spatio-temporal heterogeneity of ventricular repolarization is a substrate for cardiovascular risk and the validity of TMR as a cardiovascular risk predictor.

Noninvasive Mapping of the Electrophysiological Substrate in Cardiac Amyloidosis and Its Relationship to Structural Abnormalities

Background

The relationship between structural pathology and electrophysiological substrate in cardiac amyloidosis is unclear. Differences between light‐chain (AL) and transthyretin (ATTR) cardiac amyloidosis may have prognostic implications.

Methods and Results

ECG imaging and cardiac magnetic resonance studies were conducted in 21 cardiac amyloidosis patients (11 AL and 10 ATTR). Healthy volunteers were included as controls. With respect to ATTR, AL patients had lower amyloid volume (51.0/37.7 versus 73.7/16.4 mL, P=0.04), lower myocardial cell volume (42.6/19.1 versus 58.5/17.2 mL, P=0.021), and higher T1 (1172/64 versus 1109/80 ms, P=0.022) and T2 (53.4/2.9 versus 50.0/3.1 ms, P=0.003). ECG imaging revealed differences between cardiac amyloidosis and control patients in virtually all conduction‐repolarization parameters. With respect to ATTR, AL patients had lower epicardial signal amplitude (1.07/0.46 versus 1.83/1.26 mV, P=0.026), greater epicardial signal fractionation (P=0.019), and slightly higher dispersion of repolarization (187.6/65 versus 158.3/40 ms, P=0.062). No significant difference between AL and ATTR patients was found using the standard 12‐lead ECG. T1 correlated with epicardial signal amplitude (cc=−0.78), and extracellular volume with epicardial signal fractionation (cc=0.48) and repolarization time (cc=0.43). Univariate models based on single features from both cardiac magnetic resonance and ECG imaging classified AL and ATTR patients with an accuracy of 70% to 80%.

Conclusions

In this exploratory study cardiac amyloidosis was associated with ventricular conduction and repolarization abnormalities, which were more pronounced in AL than in ATTR. Combined ECG imaging–cardiac magnetic resonance analysis supports the hypothesis that additional mechanisms beyond infiltration may contribute to myocardial damage in AL amyloidosis. Further studies are needed to assess the clinical impact of this approach.

Electrocardiographic conduction and repolarization markers associated with sudden cardiac death: moving along the electrocardiography waveform

The QT interval along with its heart rate corrected form (QTc) are well-established ECG markers that have been found to be associated with malignant ventricular arrhythmogenesis. However, extensive preclinical and clinical investigations over the years have allowed for novel clinical ECG markers to be generated as predictors of arrhythmogenesis and sudden cardiac death. Repolarization markers include the older QTc, QT dispersion and newer Tpeak - Tend intervals, (Tpeak - Tend) / QT ratios, T-wave alternans (TWA), microvolt TWA and T-wave area dispersion. Meanwhile, conduction markers dissecting the QRS complex, such as QRS dispersion (QRSD) and fragmented QRS, were also found to correlate conduction velocity and unidirectional block with re-entrant substrates in various cardiac conditions. Both repolarization and conduction parameters can be combined into the excitation wavelength (λ). A surrogate marker for λ is the index of Cardiac Electrophysiological Balance (iCEB: QT / QRSd). Other markers based on conduction-repolarization are [QRSD x (Tpeak-Tend) / QRSd] and [QRSD x (Tpeak-Tend) / (QRSd x QT)]. Advancement in technology permitted sophisticated electrophysiological analyses such as principal component analysis and periodic repolarization dynamics to further improve risk stratification. This was closely followed by other novel indices including ventricular ectopic QRS interval, the f99 index and EntropyXQT, which integrates mathematical and physical calculations for determining the risk markers. Though proven to be effective in limited patient cohorts, more clinical studies across different cardiac pathologies are required to confirm their validity. As such, this review seeks to encapsulate the development of old and new ECG markers along with their associated utility and shortcomings in clinical practice.

Quantification of Ventricular Repolarization Variation for Sudden Cardiac Death Risk Stratification in Atrial Fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

Atrial fibrillation (AF) rhythm gives rise to an irregular response in ventricular activity, preventing the use of standard ECG-derived risk markers based on ventricular repolarization heterogeneity under this particular condition. In this study, we proposed new indices to quantify repolarization variations in AF patients, assessing their stratification performance in a chronic heart failure population with AF.

METHODS

We developed a method based on a selective bin averaging technique. Consecutive beats preceded by a similar RR interval were selected, from which the average variation within the ST-T complex for each RR range was computed. We proposed two sets of indices: 1) the 2-beat index of ventricular repolarization variation, ( I_V2), computed from pairs of stable consecutive beats; and 2) the 3-beat indices of ventricular repolarization variation, computed in triplets of stable consecutive beats ( I_V3).

RESULTS

These indices showed a significant association with sudden cardiac death (SCD) outcome in the study population. In addition, risk assessment based on the combination of the proposed indices improved stratification performance compared to their individual potential.

CONCLUSION

Patients with enhanced ventricular repolarization variation computed in terms of the proposed indices were successfully associated to a higher SCD incidence in our study population, evidencing their prognostic value.

SIGNIFICANCE

using a simple ambulatory ECG recording, it is possible to stratify AF patients at risk of SCD, which may help cardiologists in adopting most effective therapeutic strategies, with a positive impact in both the patient and healthcare systems.

Prediction of sudden death in elderly patients with heart failure

Most heart failure (HF) related mortality is due to sudden cardiac death (SCD) and worsening HF, particularly in the case of reduced ejection fraction. Predicting and preventing SCD is an important goal but most works include no or few patients with advanced age, and the prevention of SCD in elderly patients with HF is still controversial. A recent reduction in the annual rate of SCD has been recently described but it is not clear if this is also true in advanced age patients. Age is associated with SCD, although physicians frequently have the perception that elderly patients with HF die mainly of pump failure, underestimating the importance of SCD. Other clinical variables that have been associated to SCD are symptoms, New York Heart Association functional class, ischemic cause, and comorbidities (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, renal dysfunction and diabetes). Some test results that should also be considered are left ventricular ejection fraction and diameters, natriuretic peptides, non-sustained ventricular tachycardias and autonomic abnormalities. The combination of all these markers is probably the best option to predict SCD. Different risk scores have been described and, although there are no specific ones for elderly populations, most include age as a risk predictor and some were developed in populations with mean age > 65 years. Finally, it is important to stress that these scores should be able to predict any type of SCD as, although most are due to tachyarrhythmias, bradyarrhythmias also play a role, particularly in the case of the elderly.

Sudden cardiac death and pump failure death prediction in chronic heart failure by combining ECG and clinical markers in an integrated risk model

Background

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) and pump failure death (PFD) are common endpoints in chronic heart failure (CHF) patients, but prevention strategies are different. Currently used tools to specifically predict these endpoints are limited. We developed risk models to specifically assess SCD and PFD risk in CHF by combining ECG markers and clinical variables.

Methods

The relation of clinical and ECG markers with SCD and PFD risk was assessed in 597 patients enrolled in the MUSIC (MUerte Súbita en Insuficiencia Cardiaca) study. ECG indices included: turbulence slope (TS), reflecting autonomic dysfunction; T-wave alternans (TWA), reflecting ventricular repolarization instability; and T-peak-to-end restitution (Δα^Tpe) and T-wave morphology restitution (TMR), both reflecting changes in dispersion of repolarization due to heart rate changes. Standard clinical indices were also included.

Results

The indices with the greatest SCD prognostic impact were gender, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, left ventricular ejection fraction, TWA, Δα^Tpe and TMR. For PFD, the indices were diabetes, NYHA class, Δα^Tpe and TS. Using a model with only clinical variables, the hazard ratios (HRs) for SCD and PFD for patients in the high-risk group (fifth quintile of risk score) with respect to patients in the low-risk group (first and second quintiles of risk score) were both greater than 4. HRs for SCD and PFD increased to 9 and 11 when using a model including only ECG markers, and to 14 and 13, when combining clinical and ECG markers.

Conclusion

The inclusion of ECG markers capturing complementary pro-arrhythmic and pump failure mechanisms into risk models based only on standard clinical variables substantially improves prediction of SCD and PFD in CHF patients.

A Time-Varying Nonparametric Methodology for Assessing Changes in QT Variability Unrelated to Heart Rate Variability

OBJECTIVE

To propose and test a novel methodology to measure changes in QT interval variability (QTV) unrelated to RR interval variability (RRV) in nonstationary conditions.

METHODS

Time-frequency coherent and residual spectra representing QTV related (QTVrRRV) and unrelated (QTVuRRV) to RRV, respectively, are estimated using time-frequency Cohen's class distributions. The proposed approach decomposes the nonstationary output spectrum of any two-input one-output model with uncorrelated inputs into two spectra representing the information related and unrelated to one of the two inputs, respectively. An algorithm to correct for the bias of the time-frequency coherence function between QTV and RRV is proposed to provide accurate estimates of both QTVuRRV and QTVrRRV. Two simulation studies were conducted to assess the methodology in challenging nonstationary conditions and data recorded during head-up tilt in 16 healthy volunteers were analyzed.

RESULTS

In the simulation studies, QTVuRRV changes were tracked with only a minor delay due to the filtering necessary to estimate the nonstationary spectra. The correlation coefficient between theoretical and estimated patterns was even for extremely noisy recordings (signal to noise ratio (SNR) in QTV dB). During head-up tilt, QTVrRRV explained the largest proportion of QTV, whereas QTVuRRV showed higher relative increase than QTV or QTVrRRV in all spectral bands ( for most pairwise comparisons).

CONCLUSION

The proposed approach accurately tracks changes in QTVuRRV. Head-up tilt induced a slightly greater increase in QTVuRRV than in QTVrRRV.

SIGNIFICANCE

The proposed index QTVuRRV may represent an indirect measure of intrinsic ventricular repolarization variability, a marker of cardiac instability associated with sympathetic ventricular modulation and sudden cardiac death.

Long-term intra-individual reproducibility of heart rate dynamics during exercise and recovery in the UK Biobank cohort

Background

The heart rate (HR) response to exercise provides useful information about the autonomic function and has prognostic value, but its reproducibility over a long period of time, a critical requirement for using it as a clinical biomarker, is undetermined.

Aim

To determine the intra-individual reproducibility of HR dynamics during sub-maximum exercise and one minute recovery.

Methods

1187 individuals from the Cardio physical fitness assessment test of the UK Biobank repeated a standard exercise stress test twice (recall time 34.2 ± 2.8 months) and were prospectively studied.

Results

821 individuals complied with inclusion criteria for reproducibility analysis, including peak workload differences between assessments ≤10 W. Intra-individual correlation between HR profile during the first and the second assessment was very high and higher than inter-individual correlation (0.92±0.08 vs 0.87±0.11, p<0.01). Intra-individual correlation of indices describing HR dynamics was: ρ = 0.81 for maximum HR during exercise; ρ = 0.71 for minimum HR during recovery; ρ = 0.70 for HR changes during both exercise and recovery; Intra-individual correlation was higher for these indices of HR dynamics than for resting HR (ρ = 0.64). Bland-Altman plots demonstrated good agreement between HR indices estimated during the first and second assessment. A small but consistent bias was registered for all repeated measurements. The intra-individual consistency of abnormal values was about 60–70%.

Conclusions

The HR dynamics during exercise and recovery are reproducible over a period of 3 years, with moderate to strong intra-individual reproducibility of abnormal values.