Ischemic Stroke and Intracranial Hemorrhage With Aspirin, Dabigatran, and Warfarin

Time-in-therapeutic-range defined warfarin and direct oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation: a Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Little is known how individual time-in-therapeutic-range (TTR) impacts the effectiveness and safety of warfarin therapy compared to direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

OBJECTIVE

To compare the effectiveness and safety of standard dose DOACs to warfarin in patients with AF, while categorizing warfarin treated patients into quartiles based on their individual TTR.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a nationwide study including all patients with new-onset AF between 2011 and 2018 in Finland. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated using Cox regression analysis with the inverse probability of treatment weighted method to assess the risks of ischaemic stroke (IS), intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) and mortality for users of apixaban (n = 12,426), dabigatran (n = 4545), rivaroxaban (n = 12,950) and warfarin (n = 43,548).

RESULTS

The median TTR for warfarin users was 72%. Compared to the second best TTR quartile (reference), the risk of IS was higher in the two poorest TTR quartiles, and lower in the best TTR quartile and on rivaroxaban [2.35 (95% confidence interval, 1.85-2.85), 1.44 (1.18-1.75), 0.60 (0.47-0.77) and 0.72 (0.56-0.92)]. These differences were non-significant for apixaban and dabigatran. HR of ICH was 6.38 (4.88-8.35) and 1.87 (1.41-2.49) in the two poorest TTR groups, 1.44 (1.02-1.93) on rivaroxaban, and 0.58 (0.40-0.85) in the best TTR group compared to the reference group. Mortality was higher in the two poorest TTR groups and lowest in the best TTR group.

CONCLUSIONS

The outcome was unsatisfactory in the two lowest TTR quartiles - in half of the patients treated with warfarin. The differences between the high TTR groups and standard dose DOACs were absent or modest.

Three-year outcomes of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: the COOL-AF registry

BACKGROUND

Clinical outcomes of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) in Asian populations may be different from non-Asians. In this study, we aimed to determine the incidence of ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (SSE), major bleeding, and death, and the predictors for clinical outcomes in a contemporary Asian cohort of newly diagnosed AF patients.

METHODS

This is a prospective multicenter nationwide registry of patients with AF from 27 hospitals in Thailand. Baseline data and follow-up data were collected every 6 months until 3 years. Data collections included demographic, medical history, laboratory, and medication details. Clinical outcomes were SSE, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality. Incidence rates for each clinical outcome were calculated and presented as rate per 100 person-years. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to determine the independent predictors for clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

There was a total of 3405 patients: mean age was 67.8 ± 11.3 years, 1981 (58.2%) were male. During 30.8 ± 9.7 months follow-up, there was a total of 132 SSE (3.9%), 191 major bleeding (5.6%), and 357 all-cause deaths (10.5%). The incidence rates of SSE, major bleeding, and death were 1.56 (1.30-1.84), 2.26 (1.96-2.61), and 4.17 (3.33-4.25), per 100 person-years respectively. Independent predictors for clinical outcomes were age, type of AF, and the presence of comorbid conditions.

CONCLUSION

The incidence rate of SSE, major bleeding, and death remains high reflecting the unmet needs in AF management.

Predicting the Absolute Risk of Ischemic Stroke in Asian Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Comparing the COOL-AF Risk Score with CARS/mCARS Models for Absolute Risk and the CHA2DS2-VASc Score

BACKGROUND

The aims of this study were (1) to validate the CARS and mCARS methods in an Asian population with atrial fibrillation (AF) and (2) to compare the CARS and mCARS models for absolute risk using the COOL-AF method and CHA₂DS₂VASc scores for the prediction of ischemic stroke or systemic embolism (SSE).

METHODS

We analyzed the results from a prospective nationwide multicenter AF registry. Follow-up data were collected for 3 years. The main outcomes were SSE. Predictive models of the 3-year SSE of the COOL-AF model, the CHA₂DS₂VASc score, the CARS for the no-OAC group, and the mCARS for the OAC group were developed and evaluated by C-statistics, and calibration plots were created for the whole group, as well as for oral anticoagulant (OAC) users and no-OAC patients.

RESULTS

We studied 3405 patients (mean age: 67.8 years; 58.2% male, 75.4% OAC). The incidence rates of SSE were 1.51 (1.26-1.78), 1.93 (1.39-2.60), and 1.37 (1.10-1.68) for all patients, no-OAC patients, and OAC patients, respectively. For the whole population, the COOL-AF score had a C-statistic of 0.697 (0.682-0.713), which was superior to the CHA₂DS₂-VASc [0.655 (0.639-0.671)]. For the no-OAC group, the CARS predicted SSE with a C-statistic of 0.685 (0.652-0.716), which was similar to the CHA₂DS₂-VASc [0.684 (0.651-0.7150] and COOL-AF models [0.692 (0.659-0.723)]. For the OAC group, the mCARS had a C-statistic of 0.687 (0.669-0.705) that was similar to the COOL-AF [0.704 (0.686-0.721)] and better than the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score [0.655 (0.637-0.674)].

CONCLUSIONS

The calculation of the individual absolute risks using the CARS and mCARS models can predict SSE in an Asian population. Small differences were evident between the COOL-AF and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores.

Social App to Improve Warfarin Therapy in Post-MHVR Chinese Patients: A Randomized Controlled Trial

Background

Poor anticoagulation quality was a major problem among warfarin-treated patients, which called for innovative and effective methods to improve it.

Objective

To investigate whether social app could be used to reduce warfarin-associated adverse events among post-MHVR Chinese patients.

Method

735 warfarin-treated patients (aged 50.8 ± 9.6 years, 59.9% female) were enrolled and randomized to a social app care group (warfarin therapy was guided by experienced clinicians via a social app) or a routine care group (warfarin therapy was managed through traditional in-office visits) at a 1 : 1 ratio. Ending points (bleeding and thrombotic events) were recorded during an 18-month follow-up period.

Results

A total of 718 patients were included in analysis. 57 of them suffered warfarin-associated adverse events, including 30 major bleedings and 27 thrombotic events. The time in the therapeutic range (TTR, Rosendaal method) in the social app group was 71.5%, which was significantly better than 52.6% in the routine care group (difference: 18.8%, 95% CI: 16.8-20.8). Compared with the patients from the social app group, patients under routine care experienced more bleeding (hazard ratio (HR): 2.31, 95% CI: 1.13-4.72). The social app care group had lower variation (0.55 vs. 0.70) in the international normalized ratio (INR) values and fewer incidents of extremely high INR (e.g., INR > 5.0, 0.87% vs. 3.42%) than the routine care group.

Conclusions

Social app management could significantly improve warfarin control and was associated with a reduction in bleeding risk. This trial was registered with NCT03264937.

Safety and Tolerability of Tecarfarin (ATI-5923) in Healthy Chinese Volunteers: Multiple Oral Dose-Escalation Phase I Trial

BACKGROUND

Tecarfarin (ATI-5923), a structural analog of warfarin, was designed to provide more uniform and stable anticoagulation.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to evaluate the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic profile of tecarfarin when administered in multiple ascending doses (MADs) to healthy Chinese volunteers.

METHODS

Forty healthy Chinese volunteers were enrolled into four sequential cohorts (10, 20, 30, and 40 mg), with 10 subjects in each cohort. Participants in the MAD study for each sequential cohort were dose-titrated to achieve the target international normalized ratio (INR 1.7-2.0) for 14 days. Safety and tolerability were assessed throughout the study.

RESULTS

The pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic profile of tecarfarin was investigated in a healthy Chinese population. Dose titration of tecarfarin was necessary to keep the INR in the target range in all subjects in the 20, 30 and 40 mg cohorts and a few subjects (n = 3) in the 10 mg cohort. Tecarfarin was well tolerated without serious adverse events. Only one treatment-related adverse event (hematochezia) resulted in early withdrawal from the MAD 40 mg cohort.

CONCLUSION

Tecarfarin was well-tolerated by Chinese volunteers. Dose titration was needed for tecarfarin doses larger than 20 mg to keep the INR in the target range.

REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT04627116.

Epidemiology of atrial fibrillation and risk of CVD mortality among hypertensive population: A prospective cohort study in Northeast China

Background

Determining risk factors of cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality and evaluating their influence are important for effectively reducing corresponding mortality. However, few research findings have estimated the relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) and CVD-related mortality among hypertension individuals.

Objective

The objective of this study was to investigate the epidemiology of AF in a hypertension population and determine the relationship between AF and CVD-related mortality.

Methods

Using a multistage, stratified, and cluster random sampling method, the prospective cohort study with a median follow-up of 3.51 years enrolled 10,678 hypertensive participants at baseline. The prevalence, awareness, and anticoagulation data of AF in this focal population were carefully assessed. Stepwise logistic regression and Cox regression analysis were respectively performed to evaluate the determinants of AF and the association between AF and CVD-related mortality.

Results

The overall prevalence of AF was 1.3% (95% CI, 1.1%−1.6%) in the hypertensive population, and it was higher in men than in women (1.8% vs. 1.0%, respectively; p=0.001). The awareness of AF was 53.1%, and the rate of oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy was only 4.2%, although all AF participants should have required according to the European Society of Cardiology guidelines. The determinants of AF included elder, male, and history of coronary heart disease in the hypertensive population. Besides, compared with individuals without AF, the risk of CVD-related mortality significantly increased in the hypertensive population with AF (HR 3.37, 95% CI 2.10–5.40).

Conclusion

Our results indicated a huge burden of AF and underuse of OAC therapy for them in a community-based hypertensive population. Considering that most of the risk factors of AF were unmodifiable in hypertensive individuals, as well as its high risk of mortality, long-term interventions including AF education, timely screening, and widespread use of OACs should be emphasized in the focal populations.

Protocol for Home-Based Solution for Remote Atrial Fibrillation Screening to Prevent Recurrence Stroke (HUA-TUO AF Trial): a randomised controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

Current international guidelines recommend ECG monitoring after an ischaemic stroke to detect atrial fibrillation (AF) in order to prevent stroke recurrence. However, optimal strategies to detect AF and the downstream management to prevent stroke recurrence remain to be established. The objective of the study was to explore the use of long-term home-based ECG monitoring for AF detection and stroke prevention in patients with a history of stroke.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This prospective, randomised, open-label trial with blinded endpoint adjudication aimed to evaluate the efficacy of long-term home-based ECG monitoring for AF detection and stroke prevention in a 24-month period. Patients aged >18 years with a history of ischaemic stroke will be stratified according to the time from the index ischaemic stroke: <1, 1-3 and >3 years and then randomised in 1:1 to (1) home-based AF screening and (2) control. The home-based AF screening system comprises (1) a handheld single-lead ECG recorder (Comfit Healthcare Devices, Hong Kong SAR, China) and (2) a patient-facing smartphone application specially designed for the study. Patients randomised to the home-based AF group will record a 30 s single-lead ECG using a specially designed handheld ECG device every morning or when symptomatic. All remotely obtained data will be automatically transmitted in real-time through the study smartphone application to a secured cloud hosting and analysed using an artificial intelligence-based diagnostic system. When a diagnosis of AF is made with the system, the patients will be called back for a formal cardiology consultation within 1 week. The primary endpoint is the time to first detection of AF at 24 months of follow-up. Secondary endpoints include recurrent stroke or transient ischaemic attack, initiation of long-term anticoagulation therapy, hospitalisation for heart failure, cardiovascular death and all-cause death.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study protocol has been approved by the institutional review board of The University of Hong Kong, and Hong Kong West Cluster, Hospital Authority, Hong Kong SAR, China. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04523649.

Left Atrial Diameter in the Prediction of Thromboembolic Event and Death in Atrial Fibrillation

Background: This study aimed to determine the predictive value of left atrial diameter (LAD), and the incremental prognostic value of LAD in combination with CHA2DS2-VASc score for predicting thromboembolic event and all-cause death in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods: This is a prospective study from 27 hospitals during 2014−2017. LADi is LAD data indexed by body surface area, and LADi in the 4th quartile (LADi Q4) was considered high. Results: A total of 2251 patients (mean age 67.4 years, 58.6% male) were enrolled. Mean follow-up duration was 32.3 months. Rates of thromboembolic events and all-cause death were significantly higher in LADi Q4 patients than in LADi Q1−3 patients (2.89 vs. 1.11 per 100 person-years, p < 0.001, and 7.52 vs. 3.13 per 100 person-years, p < 0.001, respectively). LADi Q4 is an independent predictor of thromboembolic events and all-cause death with an adjusted hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval of 1.94 (1.24−3.05) and 1.81 (1.38−2.37), respectively. LADi has incremental prognostic value on top of the CHA2DS2-VASc score with the increase in global chi-square for thromboembolism (p = 0.005) and all-cause death (p < 0.001). Conclusions: LADi is an independent predictor of thromboembolic event and has incremental prognostic value in combination with CHA2DS2-VASc score in AF patients.

Low hemoglobin is associated with worse outcomes via larger hematoma volume in intracerebral hemorrhage due to systemic disease

Whether hemoglobin is associated with outcomes of a specific subtype of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is unknown. A total of 4643 patients with ICH from a multicenter cohort were included in the analysis (64.0% male; mean age [SD], 58.3 [15.2] year), of whom 1319 (28.4%) had anemia on admission. The unsupervised consensus cluster method was employed to classify the patients into three clusters. The patients of cluster 3 were characterized by a high frequency of anemia (85.3%) and mainly composed of patients of systemic disease ICH subtype (SD-ICH; 90.0%) according to the SMASH-U etiologies. In SD-ICH, a strong interaction effect was observed between anemia and 3-month death (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 4.33, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.60-11.9, p = 0.004), and the hemoglobin levels were linearly associated with 3-month death (aOR 0.75, 95% CI 0.60-0.92; p = 0.009), which was partially mediated by larger baseline hematoma volume (p = 0.008). This study demonstrated a strong linear association between low hemoglobin levels and worse outcomes in SD-ICH, suggesting that hemoglobin-elevating therapy might be extensively needed in a specific subtype of ICH.

Using a Simple Prescription Gap to Determine Warfarin Discontinuation Can Lead to Substantial Misclassification

BACKGROUND

Warfarin remains widely used and a key comparator in studies of other direct oral anticoagulants. As longer-than-needed warfarin prescriptions are often provided to allow for dosing adjustments according to international normalized ratios (INRs), the common practice of using a short allowable gap between dispensings to define warfarin discontinuation may lead to substantial misclassification of warfarin exposure. We aimed to quantify such misclassification and determine the optimal algorithm to define warfarin discontinuation.

METHODS

We linked Medicare claims data from 2007 to 2014 with a multicenter electronic health records system. The study cohort comprised patients ≥65 years with atrial fibrillation and venous thromboembolism initiating warfarin. We compared results when defining warfarin discontinuation by (1) different gaps (3, 7, 14, 30, and 60 days) between dispensings and (2) having a gap ≤60 days or bridging larger gaps if there was INR ordering at least every 42 days (60_INR). Discontinuation was considered misclassified if there was an INR ≥2 within 7 days after the discontinuation date.

RESULTS

Among 3,229 patients, a shorter gap resulted in a shorter mean follow-up time (82, 95, 117, 159, 196, and 259 days for gaps of 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, and 60_INR, respectively; p < 0.001). Incorporating INR (60_INR) can reduce misclassification of warfarin discontinuation from 68 to 4% (p < 0.001). The on-treatment risk estimation of clinical endpoints varied significantly by discontinuation definitions.

CONCLUSION

Using a short gap between warfarin dispensings to define discontinuation may lead to substantial misclassification, which can be improved by incorporating intervening INR codes.

SMASH-U aetiological classification: A predictor of long-term functional outcome after intracerebral haemorrhage

BACKGROUND

SMASH-U is a systematic aetiological classification system for intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) proven to be a predictor of post-ICH haematoma expansion and mortality. However, its role in predicting functional outcome remains elusive. Therefore, we aimed to investigate whether SMASH-U is associated with long-term functional outcome after ICH and improves the accuracy of prediction when added to max-ICH score.

METHODS

Consecutive acute ICH patients from 2012 to 2018 from the neurology department of Tongji Hospital were enrolled. ICH aetiology was classified according to the SMASH-U system. The association of SMASH-U with 12-month functional outcome after ICH and the predictive value were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 1938 ICH patients, the aetiology of 1295 (66.8%) patients were classified as hypertension, followed by amyloid angiopathy (n = 250, 12.9%), undetermined (n = 159, 8.2%), structural lesions (n = 149, 7.7%), systemic disease (n = 74, 3.8%) and medication (n = 11, 0.6%). The baseline characteristics were different among the six aetiologies. In multivariate analysis, SMASH-U was proven to be a predictor of 12-month unfavourable functional outcome. When adding the SMASH-U system, the predictive performance of max-ICH score was improved (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve from 0.802 to 0.812, p = 0.010) and the predictive accuracy was enhanced (integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]: 1.60%, p < 0.001; continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI]: 28.16%, p < 0.001; categorical NRI: 3.34%, p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

SMASH-U predicted long-term unfavourable functional outcomes after acute ICH and improved the accuracy of prediction when added to max-ICH score. Integrating the aetiology to a score model to predict the post-ICH outcome may be meaningful and worthy of further exploration.

Antithrombotic therapy and the risk of new-onset dementia in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of dementia. Little is known about the relationship of antithrombotic therapy and the risk of dementia in patients with AF without clinical stroke.

METHOD

This was an observational study based on a hospital AF registry. Patients aged 65-85 years at the time of AF diagnosis were identified via the computerised database of the clinical management system. Patients with prior stroke or known cognitive dysfunction were excluded. The primary outcome was newly diagnosed dementia during the follow-up period.

RESULTS

3284 patients (mean age 76.4±5.3 years, 51.6% male) were included for analysis. The mean CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was 3.94±1.44. 18.5% patients were prescribed warfarin, 39.8% were prescribed aspirin and 41.7% were prescribed no antithrombotic therapy. After a mean follow-up of 3.6 years, 71 patients (2.2%) developed dementia, giving rise to an incidence of 0.61%/year. The incidence of dementia were 1.04%/year, 0.69%/year and 0.14%/year for patients on no therapy, aspirin and warfarin, respectively. Both univariate and multivariate analyses showed that age ≥75 years, female gender and high CHA₂DS₂-VASc score were associated with significantly higher risk of dementia; warfarin use was associated with significantly lower risk of dementia (HR: 0.14%, 95% CI 0.05 to 0.36, p<0.001). Patients on warfarin with time in therapeutic range (TTR) ≥65% had a non-significant trend towards a lower risk of dementia compared with those with TTR <65%.

CONCLUSION

In elderly AF patients, warfarin therapy was associated with a significantly lower risk of new-onset dementia compared those with no therapy or aspirin.

Protocol, rationale and design of DAbigatran for Stroke PreVention In Atrial Fibrillation in MoDerate or Severe Mitral Stenosis (DAVID-MS): a randomised, open-label study

INTRODUCTION

Current international guidelines recommend non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) for stroke prevention among patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) at significant ischaemic stroke risk given the superior safety and comparable efficacy of NOACs over warfarin. Nonetheless, the safety and effectiveness of NOACs have not been evaluated in patients with AF with underlying moderate or severe mitral stenosis (MS), hence the recommended stroke prevention strategy remains warfarin therapy.

METHOD AND ANALYSIS

MS remains disproportionately prevalent in Asian countries compared with the developed countries. This prospective, randomised, open-label trial with blinded endpoint adjudication aims to evaluate the safety and efficacy of dabigatran for stroke prevention in AF patients with moderate or severe MS. Patients with AF aged ≥18 years with moderate or severe MS not planned for valvular intervention in the coming 12 months will be randomised in a 1:1 ratio to receive dabigatran 110 mg or 150 mg two times per day or warfarin with international normalised ratio 2-3 in an open-label design. Patients with estimated creatinine clearance <30 mL/min, or with a concomitant indication for antiplatelet therapy will be excluded. The primary outcome is a composite of stroke and systemic embolism. Secondary outcomes are ischaemic stroke, systemic embolism, haemorrhagic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, major bleeding and death. The estimated required sample size is approximately 686 participants.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study protocol has been approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Hong Kong and Hong Kong West Cluster, Hospital Authority, Hong Kong for Fung Yiu King Hospital, Grantham Hospital, Queen Mary Hospital and Tung Wah Hospital in Hong Kong. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov Registry (NCT04045093); pre-results.

Poor Time in Therapeutic Range Control is Associated with Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation: A Report from the Nationwide COOL-AF Registry

BACKGROUND

Warfarin remains the most commonly used oral anticoagulant (OAC) in Thailand for stroke prevention among patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between time in therapeutic range (TTR) after warfarin initiation and clinical outcomes of NVAF.

METHODS

TTR was calculated by the Rosendaal method from international normalized ratio (INR) data acquired from a nationwide NVAF registry in Thailand. Patients were followed-up every six months. The association between TTR and clinical outcomes was analyzed.

RESULTS

There was a total of 2233 patients from 27 hospitals. The average age was 68.4 ± 10.6 years. The average TTR was 53.56 ± 26.37%. Rates of ischemic stroke/TIA, major bleeding, ICH, and death were 1.33, 2.48, 0.76, and 3.3 per 100 person-years, respectively. When patients with a TTR < 65% were compared with those with TTR ≥ 65%, the adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for the increased risks of ischemic stroke/TIA, major bleeding, ICH, and death were 3.07, 1.90, 2.34, and 2.11, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Poor TTR control is associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with NVAF who were on warfarin. Efforts to ensure good TTR (≥65%) after initiation of warfarin are mandatory to minimize the risk of adverse clinical outcomes.

Comparative effectiveness and safety of oral anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation: A retrospective cohort study

Oral anticoagulants (OACs) are high-priority medications, frequently used with clinically important benefit and serious harm. Our objective was to compare the safety and effectiveness of direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) versus warfarin in a population where anticoagulation management and DOACs were readily available. A retrospective cohort study of all adults living in British Columbia with a diagnosis of atrial fibrillation and a first prescription for an OAC was conducted. Co-primary outcomes were ischemic stroke and systemic embolism, and major bleeding. Secondary outcomes included a net clinical outcome composite and analysis of discontinuation, switching, and key subgroups. We estimated the effects of treatment using time-to-event models with high-dimensional propensity score adjustment to control confounding. After adjustment for prescribing bias, a cohort (n = 20,113, 43.8% female, mean age 72.4 years) with a mean follow-up of 18.1 months showed that patients taking warfarin tended to be poorer, sicker, and less likely to have a cardiologist prescriber. Outcome event rates were not significantly different for DOACs compared to warfarin [adjusted rate ratio of 1.15 (0.91, 1.46) for systemic embolism, 0.94 (0.82, 1.08) for major bleeding, and 0.98 (0.90, 1.06) for net clinical outcome]. Only the effect of age on net clinical outcome met our strict criteria for predicting which group might be superior. Switch of drug class was associated with increased risk of events (p < 0.003). In this population, we found no difference in important clinical outcomes between warfarin and DOACs. Switching compared to not switching was associated with harm.

Efficacy and Safety of Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Asians With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation: A Network Meta-Analysis

There are few head-to-head trials directly comparing non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) against one other. A network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed to examine the indirect comparisons among NOACs in Asians with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). STATA 15.0 and ADDIS 1.16.8 softwares were used to perform the statistical analysis. Odds ratios with 95% credible intervals were applied to evaluate the end points. The probabilities of treatment rank were used to understand which interventions are more effective and safe, and the total rank probability was 1. In our NMA, the rank probabilities of apixaban in the case of stroke or systemic embolism, death from any cause, major bleeding, and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) were 0.47, 0.49, 0.42, and 0.51, respectively. For cases of myocardial infarction, the rank probabilities of rivaroxaban were 0.40. This NMA indirectly compares the main efficacy and safety end points among NOACs in Asians with NVAF, and the rank probability analysis showed that apixaban likely performs best in cases of stroke or systemic embolism, death from any cause, and ICH; rivaroxaban may have the best performance for myocardial infarction.

Risk of Major Gastrointestinal Bleeding With New vs Conventional Oral Anticoagulants: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is controversy over whether use of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) associates with increased risk of major gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) compared with conventional therapies (such as vitamin K antagonists or anti-platelet agents). We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of data from randomized controlled trials and high-quality real-world studies.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of the MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and ClinicalTrials.gov Website databases (through Oct 12, 2018) for randomized controlled trials and high-quality real-world studies that reported major GIB events in patients given NOACs or conventional therapy. Relative risks (RRs) for randomized controlled trials and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for real-world studies were calculated separately using random-effects models.

RESULTS

We analyzed data from 43 randomized controlled trials (183,752 patients) and 41 real-world studies (1,879,428 patients). The pooled major rates of GIB for patients on NOACs (1.19%) vs conventional treatment (0.92%) did not differ significantly (RR from randomized controlled trials, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.91-1.31 and aHR from real-world studies, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.94-1.10; P_interaction=.52). Rivaroxaban, but not other NOACs, was associated with an increased risk for major GIB (RR from randomized controlled trials, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.17-1.65 and aHR from real-world studies, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.04-1.23; P_interaction = .06). Analyses of subgroups, such as patients with different indications, dosage, or follow-up time, did not significantly affect results. Meta-regression analysis failed to detect any potential confounding to impact the primacy outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

In a systematic review and meta-analysis of data from randomized controlled trials and real-world studies, we confirmed that there is no significant difference in risk of major GIB between patients receiving NOACs vs conventional treatment. Rivaroxaban users had a 39% increase in risk for major GIB.

Health Economic Analysis of Rivaroxaban and Warfarin for Venous Thromboembolism Management in Chinese Patients

PURPOSE

Rivaroxaban, a direct oral anticoagulant, has demonstrated non-inferiority to warfarin for venous thromboembolism (VTE) treatment in clinical trials. This study aimed to analyze the direct medical costs for VTE management with rivaroxaban versus warfarin in Hong Kong Chinese patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, VTE patients admitted to the Princess Margaret Hospital from March 2012 to February 2017 who were initiated and discharged with either rivaroxaban or warfarin were included. Patient demographic and clinical data, and healthcare resource utilization for VTE management were collected for the VTE index admission and 1-year post-discharge period.

RESULTS

A total of 181 patients (90 in the rivaroxaban group; 91 in the warfarin group) were included. The mean (± SD) length of stay (LOS) was 4.8 ± 2.7 days and 8.0 ± 3.0 days in the rivaroxaban and warfarin groups, respectively (p > 0.001). The total cost for VTE index admission in the rivaroxaban group was significantly lower than that of the warfarin group (USD 5473 ± 1914 versus USD 3457 ± 1796; p < 0.001) (USD 1 = HKD 7.8). Recurrent VTE and bleeding rates in 1-year post-discharge period were not significantly different between the two groups. The direct total cost of the rivaroxaban group (USD 1271 ± 767) was significantly lower than that of the warfarin group (USD 1739 ± 1045) in 1-year post-discharge period (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Total direct cost and LOS for VTE admission and total cost in 1-year post-discharge period were significantly lower in patients initiated and discharged with rivaroxaban than those of warfarin.

Cost-effectiveness of Dabigatran Compared With Rivaroxaban for Prevention of Stroke and Systemic Embolism in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation in China

PURPOSE

In China, dabigatran and rivaroxaban are the only approved non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants for the treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF). The goal of this article was to assess the cost-effectiveness of dabigatran versus rivaroxaban for the prevention of stroke and systemic embolism in Chinese patients with AF from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.

METHODS

A Markov model was constructed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of dabigatran versus rivaroxaban. Clinical events were modeled for a lifetime horizon, based on clinical efficacy data from indirect treatment comparisons. The weighted average of the most recent prices of these 2 drugs was used as the drug acquisition cost. Other costs, including follow-up costs and event costs, were collected by using a survey from a panel of local experts. Utility inputs (health state utilities, clinical event disutilities, and event history utility) were obtained from published literature. Sensitivity analyses that included scenario analyses and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis were conducted to examine the robustness of the economic model.

FINDINGS

Over a lifetime, patients treated with dabigatran experienced fewer ischemic strokes (2.14 dabigatran vs 2.61 rivaroxaban) and fewer intracranial hemorrhage (0.48 vs 0.94) per 100 patient-years. In the base case analysis, dabigatran had an incremental cost of ¥28,128 but with higher life years (10.38 vs 10.14) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) (7.95 vs 7.70). The resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of ¥112,910 per QALY gained and net monetary benefit of ¥12,214 versus rivaroxaban showed that dabigatran was a cost-effective alternative to rivaroxaban. Extensive sensitivity analyses indicated that the results were robust over a wide range of inputs. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that dabigatran was cost-effective in 84.2% of the 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations compared with rivaroxaban.

IMPLICATIONS

Dabigatran reduced the occurrence of clinical events and increased QALYs compared with rivaroxaban. The use of dabigatran for the prevention of stroke and systemic embolism is a cost-effective option compared with rivaroxaban among patients with AF in China.

Dual-Energy CT to Differentiate Small Foci of Intracranial Hemorrhage from Calcium

Background Diagnostic uncertainty in CT of possible intracranial hemorrhage requires short-interval follow-up imaging, resulting in reduced efficiency of care and higher costs. Purpose To quantify the diagnostic performance of dual-energy CT versus simulated single-energy CT in the differentiation of small foci of intracranial hemorrhage from calcium. Materials and Methods Images from consecutive unenhanced dual-energy CT of the head in patients from a single emergency department obtained from December 2014 to April 2016 were reviewed retrospectively for hyperattenuating intracranial foci. Ground truth was established from reference standard comparison CT or MRI. Foci were divided into development and test sets. Development set foci regions of interest were used to derive candidate CT attenuation thresholds for virtual noncalcium (VNCa) and calcium images. Test set foci were used for threshold validation, and diagnostic performance and confidence were evaluated for two readers blinded to final diagnosis. Statistical comparisons were made with exact binomial tests or repeated-measures analysis of variance. Results The study included 137 patients (65 years ± 17; 70 men) with 146 foci. Foci were divided into a development set (n = 105) and a test set (n = 41). Quantitative analysis of the development set produced candidate thresholds of 44 HU for VNCa images and 7 HU for calcium-only images, yielding diagnostic accuracies for the test set of 88% (36 of 41 foci; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 78%, 98%) and 95% (39 of 41 foci; 95% CI: 88%, 100%), respectively. Dual-energy CT improved reader accuracy from 90% (reader 1, 37 of 41 foci; 95% CI: 81%, 99%) and 93% (reader 2, 38 of 41 foci; 95% CI: 85%, 100%) to 100% (both readers, 41 of 41 foci; 95% CI: 100%, 100%). Diagnostic confidence (classifications rated as "certain") increased from 71% (29 of 41 foci; 95% CI: 57%, 85%) to 90% (37 of 41 foci; 95% CI: 81%, 99%) for reader 1 (P = .019) and from 46% (19 of 41 foci; 95% CI: 31%, 62%) to 85% (35 of 41 foci; 95% CI: 75%, 96%) for reader 2 (P = .0001). Conclusion Dual-energy CT showed high diagnostic performance in the differentiation of small foci of intracranial hemorrhage from calcium and improved diagnostic accuracy and confidence in the initial evaluation of suspected hemorrhage. © RSNA, 2019 See also the editorial by Kotsenas in this issue.

Perioperative Management of Patients Receiving New Anticoagulants

There is an increased use of oral anticoagulants for the prevention of venous and arterial thrombosis. Vitamin-K antagonists have been used for decades as the main oral anticoagulants but they have the draback a complex therapeutic management, slow onset of action and by a different oral intake caused by dietary vitamin K intake. New non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) have been developed to overcome the limitations of warfarin. Their management is easier as it requires a fixed daily dose without coagulation monitoring. Although their therapeutic profile is safe, proper attention should be paid in case of unexpected need for the reversal of their coagulation effect and in case a patient needs to have a scheduled surgery. For non-acute cardiac surgery, discontinuation of NOACs should start at least 48 hours prior surgery. Intracranial bleedings associated with NOACs are less dangerous comparing to those warfarin-induced. NOACs need to be stopped ≥24 hours in case of elective surgery for low bleeding-risk procedures and ≥48 hours for high bleeding-risk surgery in patients with normal renal function and 72 hours in case of reduced CrCl < 80. The therapy with NOACs should be resumed from 48 to 72 hours after the procedure depending on the perceived bleeding, type of surgery and thrombotic risks. There are some available NOAC reversal agents acting within 5 to 20 minutes. In case of lack of reversal agent, adequate diuresis, renal replacement therapy and activated charcoal in case of recent ingestion should be considered.

Outcome reporting from clinical trials of non-valvular atrial fibrillation treated with traditional Chinese medicine or Western medicine: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

To examine variation in outcomes, outcome measurement instruments (OMIs) and measurement times in clinical trials of non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and to identify outcomes for prioritisation in developing a core outcome set (COS) in this field.

DESIGN

This study was a systematic review.

DATA SOURCES

Clinical trials published between January 2015 and March 2019 were obtained from PubMed, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Wanfang Database, the China National Knowledge Infrastructure and SinoMed.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies were considered. Interventions included traditional Chinese medicine and Western medicine. The required treatment duration or follow-up time was ≥4 weeks. The required sample size was ≥30 and≥50 in each group in RCTs and observational studies, respectively. We excluded trials that aimed to investigate the outcome of complications of NVAF, to assess the mechanisms or pharmacokinetics, or for which full text could not be acquired.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

The general information and outcomes, OMIs and measurement times were extracted. The methodological and outcome reporting quality were assessed. The results were analysed by descriptive analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 218 articles were included from 25 255 articles. For clinical trials of antiarrhythmic therapy, 69 outcomes from 16 outcome domains were reported, and 28 (31.82%, 28/88) outcomes were reported only once; the most frequently reported outcome was ultrasonic cardiogram. Thirty-one outcomes (44.93%, 31/69) were provided definitions or OMIs; the outcome measurement times ranged from 1 to 20 with a median of 3. For clinical trials of anticoagulation therapy, 82 outcomes from 18 outcome domains were reported; 38 (29.23%, 38/130) outcomes were reported only once. The most frequently reported outcome was ischaemic stroke. Forty (48.78%, 40/82) outcomes were provided OMIs or definitions; and the outcome measurement times ranged from 1 to 27 with a median of 8.

CONCLUSION

Outcome reporting in NVAF is inconsistent. Thus, developing a COS that can be used in clinical trials is necessary.

The comparison of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants versus well-managed warfarin with a lower INR target of 1.5 to 2.5 in Asians patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

Background

Previous studies indicated low-intensity warfarin (INR target of 1.5–2.5) achieved reduced hemorrhage without increasing thromboembolism for Asians with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Whether non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) is superior to warfarin with good time in the therapeutic range (TTR) based on lower INR target among Asians with NVAF remains unknown.

Methods

In this retrospective study collected from Taiwan Chang Gung Memorial Hospital Database, there were 5,197, 3,396, and 9,898 consecutive patients taking warfarin, NOAC, and no-treatment, respectively, from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2015. Propensity-score weighting was used across the study groups. Patients were followed until the first occurrence of study outcome or end date of study.

Results

Among those patients taking warfarin, the mean”artificial” TTR (aTTR) based on a lower INR target of 1.5–2.5 was 44.4±33.3%. Total 79.2% (n = 2,690) patients took low-dose NOACs. Patients with aTTR in the range from <30%(34.0%), 30–50%(17.6%), 50–70%(23.5%) to >70%(24.9%) showed decremental risks of efficacy and composite outcome compared with no-treatment. The risk of major bleeding didn’t increase among patients with top aTTR>70% compared to no-treatment. The NOAC group showed a comparable risk of composite outcome to the warfarin subgroup with aTTR of >70% (P = 0.485). The NOAC group had a lower risk of composite outcome than warfarin subgroup with TTR of>70% based on the INR target of 2.0–3.0 (P = 0.004).

Conclusions

NOACs showed a comparable risk of efficacy, safety, and composite outcome to well-managed warfarin based on a lower INR target of 1.5–2.5 in Asians with NVAF taking oral anticoagulants.

Maintenance dose of warfarin beyond time in therapeutic range for preventing vascular events

BACKGROUND

The quality of anticoagulation is closely associated with efficacy and safety in warfarin users. Although genetic polymorphisms have been related to warfarin dosages and vascular events(VE), genetic evaluations have not been recommended for all warfarin users. The aim is to evaluate the significance of the maintenance dose of warfarin (MDW) on VE, considering the time in therapeutic range (TTR).

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed the data of patients who received warfarin for any reasons. A total of 11,835 patients with warfarin were divided into quartiles by MDW. We assessed TTR using the Rosendaal method and VE.

RESULTS

VE occurred in 9.1% of the warfarin users. The mean TTR level was 34.0 ± 25.7%, and the MDW was 3.38 ± 1.06 mg per day. Patients with VE were more likely to have a lower MDW and lower TTR levels. In moderate- or well-controlled TTR status, a lower MDW was significantly related to under-controlled anticoagulation and associated with higher risks of VE. Lower MDW had a higher risk of stroke or arterial/venous thromboembolism (Q1: OR, 1.57; 95% CI 1.25 to 1.96; Q2: OR, 1.40; 95% CI 1.12 to 1.75; Q3: OR, 1.35; 95% CI 1.08 to 1.68).

CONCLUSIONS

We suggest that patients with very low MDW might be at risk when using warfarin. Therefore, we propose that patients with a very low MDW might be alternatively considered for novel oral anticoagulants rather than warfarin.

Effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in octogenarian patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are known to have a high risk of stroke and bleeding. We investigated the effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in octogenarian patients with non-valvular AF compared with warfarin.

METHODS

A total of 687 octogenarian patients with AF who were administered NOACs (n = 403) or warfarin (n = 284) for stroke prevention between 2012 and 2016 were included. Thromboembolic (TE) events (stroke or systemic embolism), major bleeding events, and all-cause death were analyzed.

RESULTS

The NOACs group (age 83.4±3.2 years, women 52.4%, CHA2DS2-VASc score 5.0±1.8) comprised 141 dabigatran, 158 rivaroxaban, and 104 apixaban users. Most patients from the NOACs group had been prescribed a reduced dose of medication (85.6%). During 14±18 months of follow-up periods, there were 19 TE events and 18 major bleeding events. Patients with NOAC showed a lower risk of TE (1.84 vs. 2.71 per 100 person-years, hazard ration [HR] 0.134, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.038-0.479, P = 0.002), major bleeding (1.48 vs. 2.72 per 100 person-years, HR 0.110, 95% CI 0.024-0.493, P = 0.001), and all-cause death (2.57 vs. 3.50 per 100 person-years, HR 0.298, 95% CI 0.108-0.824, P = 0.020).

CONCLUSION

In octogenarian Asian patients with AF, NOACs might be associated with lower risks of thromboembolic events, major bleeding, and all-cause death than warfarin. Although most patients had received reduced doses, on-label use of NOACs was effective and safe.

Role of Thromboelastography and Rotational Thromboelastometry in the Management of Cardiovascular Diseases

The monitoring of coagulation by viscoelastometric methods—thromboelastography and rotational thromboelastometry—may detect the contributions of cellular and plasma components of hemostasis. These methods might overcome some of the serious limitations of conventional laboratory tests. Viscoelastic testing can be repeatedly performed during and after surgery and thus provides a dynamic picture of the coagulation process during these periods. Several experiences with the use of these methods in cardiovascular surgery have been reported, but there is perspective for more frequent use of these assays in the assessment of platelet response to antiplatelet therapy and in the assessment of coagulation in patients on long-term dabigatran therapy. This article reviews the current role and future perspectives of thromboelastography and thromboelastometry in the management of cardiovascular diseases.

The impact of ischaemic stroke on atrial fibrillation-related healthcare cost: a systematic review

The aim of this study was to summarize healthcare costs incurred by patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who developed ischaemic stroke, explore factors associated with increased cost, and highlight the importance of anticoagulation therapy for stroke prophylaxis. A systematic literature search of PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the health economic evaluation database was conducted up to December 2015. Studies focused on the cost and/or resource utilization of ischaemic stroke in patients with AF were included. Reported costs were converted to international dollars (I$) and adjusted to 2015 values. Alongside the narrative review of included studies, Spearman's correlation, independent-samples t-test, and one-way ANOVA were used to explore factors associated with cost differences between studies. Sixteen studies published from nine countries were identified. Based on currency conversion rates in 2015, ischaemic stroke-related healthcare costs were estimated to be I$41 420, I$12 895, and I$8184 for high-income, upper middle-income, and lower middle-income economies, respectively. Local GDP per capita accounted for ∼50% of the healthcare cost variation among countries. Major component of overall cost was from hospitalization. Ischaemic stroke incurring in patients with AF ≥75 years was 2.3 times that of their younger peers (P = 0.049). The economic burden from ischaemic stroke in patients with AF is considerable with positive association to country income. Clinicians and stakeholders should be aware of the importance of anticoagulation therapies in stroke prophylaxis, the occurrence of stroke, and the downstream economic burden on an increasingly ageing population.

Efficacy and safety of triple therapy versus dual antiplatelet therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing coronary stenting: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The optimal antithrombotic therapy for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients undergoing coronary stenting is unknown. The present meta-analysis sought to investigate the efficacy and safety of triple therapy (TT; warfarin, clopidogrel and aspirin) vs dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT; clopidogrel plus aspirin) in those patients.

METHODS

PubMed and Cochrane Library were searched for studies enrolling AF patients undergoing coronary stenting on TT and DAPT up to September 2016, and fourteen studies were included. Efficacy outcomes included ischemic stroke, stent thrombosis, major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), all-cause mortality and myocardial infarction (MI); safety outcome was major bleeding. We conducted meta-analysis and used odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) to compare TT and DAPT. Meta-regression, sensitivity and subgroup analysis were taken to investigate the source of heterogeneity in the outcome of major bleeding.

RESULTS

14 eligible observational studies with 11,697 subjects were identified. Compared with DAPT, TT had decreased the risk of ischemic stroke [OR = 0.74, 95% CI (0.59, 0.93), P = 0.009] and stent thrombosis [OR = 0.40, 95% CI (0.18, 0.93), P = 0.033]. While, there was an increased risk of major bleeding [OR = 1.55, 95% CI (1.16, 2.09), P = 0.004] associated with TT. The risk of MACE, all-cause mortality and MI had no significant statistical difference between TT and DAPT. Furthermore, the results of univariate and multivariate meta-regression analysis implicated that there were no obvious correlations between certain baseline characteristics (age, gender, race, hypertension, study design) and risk of major bleeding. Also of major bleeding, the findings of sensitivity analysis were generally robust, and a prespecified subgroup analysis of race demonstrated that the source of heterogeneity might attribute to Asian studies mostly.

CONCLUSIONS

TT reduced the risk of ischemic stroke and stent thrombosis with an acceptable major bleeding risk compared with DAPT, and TT was considered as a valid alternative in AF patients undergoing coronary stenting. Further prospective randomized trials are needed to ensure the reliability of these data and find the optimal therapeutic strategy in this setting of patients.

Efficacy and Safety of Apixaban, Dabigatran, Rivaroxaban, and Warfarin in Asians With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation

Background

Whether non–vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are superior to warfarin among Asians with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation remains unclear.

Methods and Results

In this nationwide retrospective cohort study collected from Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database, there were 5843, 20 079, 27 777, and 19 375 nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients taking apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban and warfarin, respectively, from June 1, 2012 to December 31, 2016. Propensity‐score weighting was used to balance covariates across study groups. Patients were followed until the first occurrence of any efficacy or safety outcome or the end date of study. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) comparing apixaban, dabigatran, and rivaroxaban with warfarin were: ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (IS/SE), 0.55 (0.43–0.69), 0.82 (0.68–0.98), and 0.81 (0.67–0.97); major bleeding, 0.41 (0.31–0.53), 0.65 (0.53–0.80), and 0.58 (0.46–0.72); and all‐cause mortality, 0.58 (0.51–0.66), 0.61 (0.54–0.68), and 0.57 (0.51–0.65). A total of 3623 (62%), 17 760 (88%), and 26 000 (94%) patients were taking low‐dose apixaban (2.5 mg twice daily), dabigatran (110 mg twice daily), and rivaroxaban (10–15 mg once daily), respectively. Similar to all‐dose NOACs, all low‐dose NOACs had lower risk of IS/SE, major bleeding, and mortality when compared with warfarin. In contrast to other standard‐dose NOACs, apixaban was associated with lower risks of IS/SE (0.45 [0.31–0.65]), major bleeding (0.29 [0.18–0.46]), and mortality (0.23 [0.17–0.31]) than warfarin.

Conclusions

All NOACs were associated with lower risk of IS/SE, major bleeding, and mortality compared with warfarin in the largest real‐world practice among Asians with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. All low‐dose NOACs had lower risk of IS/SE, major bleeding, and mortality when compared with warfarin. Standard‐dose apixaban caused a lower risk of IS/SE, major bleeding, and mortality compared with warfarin.

Impact of provision of time in therapeutic range value on anticoagulation management in atrial fibrillation patients on warfarin

INTRODUCTION

The importance of time in therapeutic range (TTR) in patients prescribed warfarin therapy for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF) cannot be overemphasised.

AIM

To evaluate the impact of provision of TTR results during clinic visits on anticoagulation management.

DESIGN

Single-centred, randomised controlled study.

SETTING

Fifteen arrhythmia clinics in Hong Kong.

PATIENTS

AF patients prescribed warfarin.

INTERVENTIONS

Provision of TTR or no provision of TTR.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

A documented discussion between doctors and patients about switching warfarin to a non-vitamin K oral anticoagulant (NOAC).

RESULTS

Four hundred and eighty one patients with AF prescribed warfarin were randomly assigned to (1) a TTR provision group or (2) control. Their mean age was 73.6±12.0 years and 60.7% were men. The mean CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was 3.2±1.6 and the mean HASBLED score was 1.7±1.2. The mean TTR was 63.9%±29.9%. At the index clinic visit, 71 of 481 patients (14.8%) had a documented discussion about switching warfarin to a NOAC. Patients with provision of TTR results were more likely to discuss switching warfarin to a NOAC than controls (19.1% vs 10.6%, P=0.03), especially those with a TTR <65% (35.2% vs 10.6%, P<0.001). A higher proportion of patients with provision of TTR results switched to a NOAC (5.9% vs 4.1%, P=0.49).

CONCLUSIONS

The provision of TTR among patients on warfarin was associated with a discussion about switching from warfarin to a NOAC in those with TTR <65%, but did not result in actual switching to a NOAC, suggesting additional barriers.

Dabigatran in real-world atrial fibrillation

In the RE-LY clinical trial, dabigatran presented a better effectiveness/ safety profile when compared to warfarin. However, clinical trials are not very representative of the real-world setting. We aimed to assess the performance of dabigatran in real-world patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) by means of a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational comparison studies with vitamin K antagonists (VKA). We searched PubMed, Embase and Scopus databases until November 2015 and selected studies according to the following criteria: observational study performed with nonvalvular AF patients; reporting adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of clinical events in a follow-up period; for dabigatran 75 mg, 110 mg or 150 mg versus VKA. Twenty studies were selected which included 711,298 patients, 210,279 of which were treated with dabigatran and the remaining 501,019 with VKA. Ischaemic stroke incidence was of 1.65 /100 patient-years for dabigatran and 2.85/100 patient-years for VKA (HR 0.86, 95 % confidence interval of 0.74–0.99). Major bleeding rate was 3.93/100 patient-years for dabigatran and 5.61/100 patient-years for VKA (0.79, 0.69–0.89). Risk of mortality (0.73, 0.61–0.87) and intracranial bleeding (0.45, 0.38–0.52) were significantly lower in patients treated with dabigatran when compared to patients on VKA. Risk of gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding was significantly higher in patients treated with dabigatran (1.13, 1.00–1.28). No significant difference was observed in risk of myocardial infarction (0.99, 0.89–1.11). In this combined analysis of real-world observational comparison studies with VKA, dabigatran was associated with a lower risk of ischaemic stroke, major bleeding, intracranial bleeding and mortality, higher risk of GI bleeding and a similar risk of myocardial infarction.

Supplementary Material to this article is available online at www.thrombosis-online.com.

Bleeding risk with dabigatran, rivaroxaban, warfarin, and antiplatelet agent in Asians with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

It is not understood if dabigatran or rivaroxaban are superior to antiplatelet agents (AA) for safety outcomes in Asians with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). In this study we evaluated the bleeding risk of dabigatran, rivaroxaban, warfarin and AA in Asians with NVAF. This national retrospective cohort study analyzed 6,600, 3,167, 5,338 and 8,238 consecutive NVAF patients taking dabigatran, rivaroxaban, warfarin or AAs (including aspirin, clopidogrel or ticlopidine), respectively, from June 1, 2012 to December 31, 2013. Propensity-score weighting was used to balance covariates across study groups. Patients were followed until the first occurrence of any bleeding outcome or the end of the study. The CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores were 4.1±1.6, 4.1±1.6, 3.3±1.8 and 2.4±1.6 for the dabigatran, rivaroxaban, warfarin, and AA groups, respectively. There were 5,822 (88.2%) and 164 (5.2%) patients taking low dose dabigatran and rivaroxaban, respectively. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or warfarin versus AA were: intracranial hemorrhage, 0.36 (0.23-0.57;PP=0.0037) and 1.34 (0.89-2.02;P=0.1664); gastrointestinal bleeding, 0.44 (0.32-0.59;PP=0.0189); and all hospitalized major bleeding, 0.41 (0.32-0.53;PP=0.0644) and 0.90 (0.70-1.16;P=0.4130) after adjustment. The risk reduction of all major bleeding for dabigatran versus AA persisted on subgroup analysis. In conclusion, we observed that dabiagtran was associated with a lower risk of all major bleeding in Asians with NVAF, whereas rivaroxaban had a similar risk of all major bleeding compared with antiplatelet agents after adjustment of comorbidities.

Prediction Score for Anticoagulation Control Quality Among Older Adults

Background

Time in the therapeutic range (TTR) is associated with the effectiveness and safety of vitamin K antagonist (VKA) therapy. To optimize prescribing of VKA, we aimed to develop and validate a prediction model for TTR in older adults taking VKA for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation and venous thromboembolism.

Methods and Results

The study cohort comprised patients aged ≥65 years who were taking VKA for atrial fibrillation or venous thromboembolism and who were identified in the 2 US electronic health record databases linked with Medicare claims data from 2007 through 2014. With the predictors identified from a systematic review and clinical knowledge, we built a prediction model for TTR, using one electronic health record system as the training set and the other as the validation set. We compared the performance of the new models to that of a published prediction score for TTR, SAMe‐TT₂R₂. Based on 1663 patients in the training set and 1181 in the validation set, our optimized score included 42 variables and the simplified model included 7 variables, abbreviated as PROSPER (Pneumonia, Renal dysfunction, Oozing blood [prior bleeding], Staying in hospital ≥7 days, Pain medication use, no Enhanced [structured] anticoagulation services, Rx for antibiotics). The PROSPER score outperformed SAMe‐TT₂R₂ when predicting both TTR ≥70% (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.67 versus 0.55) and the thromboembolic and bleeding outcomes (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.62 versus 0.52).

Conclusions

Our geriatric TTR score can be used as a clinical decision aid to select appropriate candidates to receive VKA therapy and as a research tool to address confounding and treatment effect heterogeneity by anticoagulation quality.

Effectiveness and Safety of Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Asian Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

There are limited real-world data comparing the effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and warfarin in Asians with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. We aimed to compare the effectiveness and safety between NOACs and warfarin users in the Korean atrial fibrillation population, with particular focus on high-risk patients.

METHODS

Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, we analyzed the risk of ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) events, and all-cause death in NOAC users (n=11 611 total, n=5681 taking rivaroxaban, n=3741 taking dabigatran, and n=2189 taking apixaban) compared with propensity score-matched warfarin users (n=23 222) among patients with high-risk atrial fibrillation (CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥2) between 2014 and 2015.

RESULTS

NOAC treatment was associated with similar risk of ischemic stroke and lower risk of ICH and all-cause mortality compared with warfarin. All 3 NOACs were associated with a similar risk of ischemic stroke and a lower risk of ICH compared with warfarin. Dabigatran and apixaban were associated with a lower risk of total mortality and the composite net clinical outcome (ischemic stroke, ICH, and all-cause death) compared with warfarin, whereas this was nonsignificant for rivaroxaban. Among previously oral anticoagulant-naive patients (n=23 262), dabigatran and apixaban were superior to warfarin for ICH prevention, whereas rivaroxaban and warfarin were associated with similar risk of ICH.

CONCLUSIONS

In real-world practice among a high-risk Asian atrial fibrillation population, all 3 NOACs demonstrated similar risk of ischemic stroke and lower risk of ICH compared with warfarin. All-cause mortality was significantly lower only with dabigatran and apixaban.

Consequences of warfarin suspension after major bleeding in very elderly patients with non valvular atrial fibrillation

Supplementary Material to this article is available online at www.thrombosis-online.com.

Effectiveness and Safety of Non-vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants for Atrial Fibrillation and Venous Thromboembolism: A Systematic Review and Meta-analyses

PURPOSE

The findings from the observational studies comparing the effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) versus vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) for atrial fibrillation (AF) and venous thromboembolism (VTE) are inconsistent. We conducted separate meta-analyses examining the efficacy/effectiveness and safety of NOACs versus VKAs by disease (AF vs VTE), study design (randomized controlled trials [RCTs] vs observational studies), and NOAC (dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban, and edoxaban).

METHODS

The main data sources included PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, CINAHL, and Scopus from January 1, 2005, to February 15, 2016. We searched for Phase III RCTs and observational studies comparing NOACs versus VKAs. The primary outcomes were stroke/systemic embolism (SE) for AF; recurrent VTE/fatal pulmonary embolism (PE) for VTE; and major bleeding for both conditions. Secondary outcomes included stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) for AF, recurrent deep vein thrombosis (DVT)/PE for VTE, and mortality, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), and gastrointestinal bleeding for both conditions. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) were reported by using inverse variance-weighted random effects models.

FINDINGS

A total of 13 RCTs and 27 observational studies (AF, n = 32; VTE, n = 8) were included. For AF, dabigatran and VKAs were comparable for stroke/SE risk in 1 RCT (HR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.57-1.03]) and 6 observational studies (HR, 1.03 [95% CI, 0.83-1.27]). Rivaroxaban had a 20% decreased risk of stroke/SE in 3 RCTs (HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.67-0.95]) compared with VKA, but the effect was nonsignificant in 3 observational studies (HR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.59-1.04]). Apixaban decreased stroke/systemic embolism risk (HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.66-0.95]) compared with VKA in 1 RCT, but edoxaban was comparable to VKA (HR, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.77-1.28]) in 1 RCT (no observational studies available for apixaban/edoxaban). Dabigatran, apixaban, and edoxaban decreased the risk of hemorrhagic stroke, mortality, major bleeding, and ICH by 10% to 71% compared with VKAs but not rivaroxaban. For VTE, NOACs and VKAs were comparable for recurrent VTE/fatal PE/DVT/PE risk in 7 RCTs and 1 observational study. The 7 RCTs demonstrated a 32% to 69% decreased risk of major bleeding for dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and apixaban compared with VKAs. No difference was shown in 1 rivaroxaban observational study (HR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.40-1.49]) and 1 edoxaban RCT (HR, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.59-1.20]). Except for dabigatran, the NOACs had a 61% to 86% decreased risk of ICH and gastrointestinal bleeding.

IMPLICATIONS

Overall, NOACs were comparable or superior to VKAs. Although no observational studies are currently available for apixaban/edoxaban, a few notable inconsistencies exist for dabigatran (ischemic stroke, MI) and rivaroxaban (stroke/SE, major bleeding in VTE) between RCTs and observational studies. Individualizing NOAC/VKA therapy based on benefit/safety profiles and patient characteristics is suggested.

2017 consensus of the Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society on stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia, causing a 2-fold increase in mortality and a 5-fold increase in stroke. The Asian population is rapidly aging, and in 2050, the estimated population with AF will reach 72 million, of whom 2.9 million may suffer from AF-associated stroke. Therefore, stroke prevention in AF is an urgent issue in Asia. Many innovative advances in the management of AF-associated stroke have emerged recently, including new scoring systems for predicting stroke and bleeding risks, the development of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs), knowledge of their special benefits in Asians, and new techniques. The Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) aimed to update the available information, and appointed the Practice Guideline sub-committee to write a consensus statement regarding stroke prevention in AF. The Practice Guidelines sub-committee members comprehensively reviewed updated information on stroke prevention in AF, emphasizing data on NOACs from the Asia Pacific region, and summarized them in this 2017 Consensus of the Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society on Stroke Prevention in AF. This consensus includes details of the updated recommendations, along with their background and rationale, focusing on data from the Asia Pacific region. We hope this consensus can be a practical tool for cardiologists, neurologists, geriatricians, and general practitioners in this region. We fully realize that there are gaps, unaddressed questions, and many areas of uncertainty and debate in the current knowledge of AF, and the physician׳s decision remains the most important factor in the management of AF.

The Efficacy and Safety of 3 Types of Interventions for Stroke Prevention in Patients With Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Diseases: A Network Meta-analysis

PURPOSE

The goal of this study was to compare the relative efficacy and safety of different types of interventions for stroke prevention in patients with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases.

METHODS

This network meta-analysis (NMA) was conducted with a random effects model of Bayesian framework using Stata version 12.0. Odds ratios (ORs) and their credible intervals (CrIs) were applied for the efficacy and safety evaluation of various medical interventions, including aspirin, dipyridamole, ticlopidine, warfarin, and apixaban. In addition, the ranking of probability of every clinical outcome was estimated by comparing the surface under the cumulative ranking curve.

FINDINGS

Compared with dabigatran, both edoxaban and aspirin + warfarin exhibited a higher rate of all-cause stroke (OR, 2.84 [95% CrI, 1.17-6.97]; OR, 3.42 [95% CrI, 1.20-9.84]). With respect to intracranial hemorrhage, aspirin + clopidogrel yielded worse outcomes than 7 treatments, including placebo, apixaban, aspirin, aspirin + dipyridamole, cilostazol, clopidogrel, and dabigatran (OR, 2.21 [95% CrI, 1.45-3.40]; OR, 2.11 [95% CrI, 1.05-4.17]; OR, 1.53 [95% CrI, 1.11-2.15]; OR, 1.78 [95% CrI, 1.01-3.03]; OR, 4.17 [95% CrI, 1.37-14.28]; OR, 1.85 [95% CrI, 1.22-2.86]; and OR, 2.56 [95% CrI, 1.37-4.76]). In terms of ischemic stroke, dabigatran provided better efficacy than placebo, aspirin, and aspirin + dipyridamole (OR, 0.36 [95% CrI, 0.18-0.72]; OR, 0.43 [95% CrI, 0.21-0.84]; and OR, 0.41 [95% CrI, 0.17-0.94]). As for mortality, dabigatran resulted in a lower mortality compared with aspirin, aspirin + clopidogrel, edoxaban, and warfarin (OR, 0.48 [95% CrI, 0.23-0.97]; OR, 0.40 [95% CrI, 0.17-0.92]; OR, 0.27 [95% CrI, 0.10-0.72]; and OR, 0.52 [95% CrI, 0.28-0.92]).

IMPLICATIONS

There are still some limitations to our NMA research. For instance, the lack of direct evidence for some therapies resulted in inconsistencies, particularly for warfarin compared with placebo and clopidogrel under different end points. Moreover, the included randomized controlled trials for patients with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases are relatively broad, involving atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction, and large-artery atherosclerosis stroke. Although further research is needed, dabigatran is highly recommended based on the present NAM for the treatment of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases due to the drug's efficacy and safety.

Incidence of intracranial bleeds in new users of low-dose aspirin: a cohort study using The Health Improvement Network

Essentials Intracranial bleeds (ICB) are serious clinical events that have been associated with aspirin use. Incidence rates of ICB were calculated among new-users of low-dose aspirin in the UK (2000-2012). Over a median follow-up of 5.58 years, the incidence of ICB was 0.08 per 100 person-years. Our estimates are valuable for inclusion in risk-benefit assessments of low-dose aspirin use.

SUMMARY

Background Low-dose aspirin protects against both ischemic cardiovascular (CV) events and colorectal cancer (CRC). However, low-dose aspirin may be associated with a slightly increased risk of intracranial bleeds (ICBs). Objectives To obtain the incidence rates of ICBs overall and by patient subgroups among new users of low-dose aspirin. Patients/Methods Using The Health Improvement Network (THIN) UK primary-care database (2000-2012), we identified a cohort of new users of low-dose aspirin aged 40-84 years (N = 199 079; mean age at start of follow-up, 63.9 years) and followed them for up to 14 years (median 5.58 years). Incident ICB cases were identified and validated through linkage to hospitalization data and/or review of THIN records with free-text comments. Incidence rates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Results Eight hundred and eighty-one incident ICBs cases were identified: 407 cases of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), 283 cases of subdural hematoma (SDH), and 191 cases of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Incidence rates per 100 person-years were 0.08 (95% CI 0.07-0.08) for all ICBs, 0.04 (95% CI 0.03-0.04) for ICH, 0.03 (95% CI 0.02-0.03) for SDH, and 0.02 (95% CI 0.01-0.02) for SAH. The ICB incidence rates per 100 person-years for individuals with an indication of primary CV disease prevention were 0.07 (95% CI 0.06-0.07) and 0.09 (95% CI 0.08-0.10) for secondary CV disease prevention. Incidence rates were higher in men for SDH, and higher in women for ICH and SAH. Conclusions Our results provide valuable estimates of the absolute ICB risk for incorporation into risk-benefit assessments of low-dose aspirin use.