Establishing Decision Trees for Predicting Successful Postpyloric Nasoenteric Tube Placement in Critically Ill Patients

Construction, validation, and visualization of a web-based nomogram to predict overall survival in small-cell lung cancer patients with brain metastasis

INTRODUCTION

Brain metastasis (BM) is an aggressive complication with an extremely poor prognosis in patients with small-cell lung cancer (SCLC). A well-constructed prognostic model could help in providing timely survival consultation or optimizing treatments.

METHODS

We analyzed clinical data from SCLC patients between 2000 and 2018 based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We identified significant prognostic factors and integrated them using a multivariable Cox regression approach. Internal validation of the model was performed through a bootstrap resampling procedure. Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curve.

RESULTS

A total of 2,454 SCLC patients' clinical data was collected from the database. It was determined that seven clinical parameters were associated with prognosis in SCLC patients with BM. A satisfactory level of discrimination was achieved by the predictive model, with 6-, 12-, and 18-month AUC values of 0.726, 0.707, and 0.737 in the training cohort; and 0.759, 0.742, and 0.744 in the validation cohort. As measured by survival rate probabilities, the calibration curve agreed well with actual observations. Furthermore, prognostic scores were found to significantly alter the survival curves of different risk groups. We then deployed the prognostic model onto a website server so that users can access it easily.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, a nomogram and a web-based predictor were developed to predict overall survival in SCLC patients with BM. It may assist physicians in making informed clinical decisions and determining the best treatment plan for each patient.

Ventilator-associated pneumonia prevention in the Intensive care unit using Postpyloric tube feeding in China (VIP study): study protocol for a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Ventilator-associated pneumonia is a challenge in critical care and is associated with high mortality and morbidity. Although some consensuses on preventing ventilator-associated pneumonia are reached, it is still somewhat controversial. Meta-analysis has shown that postpyloric tube feeding may reduce the incidences of ventilator-associated pneumonia, which still desires high-quality evidence. This trial aims to evaluate the efficacy and safety profiles of postpyloric tube feeding versus gastric tube feeding.

METHODS/DESIGN

In this multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled trial, we will recruit 924 subjects expected to receive mechanical ventilation for no less than 48 h. Subjects on mechanical ventilation will be randomized (1:1) to receive postpyloric or gastric tube feeding and routine preventive measures simultaneously. The primary outcome is the proportion of patients with at least one ventilator-associated pneumonia episode. Adverse events and serious adverse events will be observed closely.

DISCUSSION

The VIP study is a large-sample-sized, multicenter, open-label, randomized, parallel-group, controlled trial of postpyloric tube feeding in China and is well-designed based on previous studies. The results of this trial may help to provide evidence-based recommendations for the prevention of ventilator-associated pneumonia.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Chictr.org.cn ChiCTR2100051593 . Registered on 28 September 2021.

A Two-Stage Bedside Intubation Method to Improve Success Rate of Post-pyloric Placement of Spiral Nasoenteric Tubes in Critically Ill Patients: A Multi-Center, Prospective Study

Backgrounds

Prokinetic agents could improve the success rate of post-pyloric placement of self-propelled spiral nasoenteric tubes (NETs), and bedside blind technique might apply as a rescue therapy subsequent to spontaneous transpyloric migration failure. The objective of this study was to investigated the validity and safety of these two bedside intubation methods as a sequential procedure for post-pyloric placement of spiral NETs in critically ill patients.

Methods

The multicenter, prospective study was conducted in intensive care units of four tertiary hospitals (June 2020 to January 2021). Eligible patients received self-propelled spiral NET placements, promoted by prokinetic agents (Stage 1). An abdominal X-ray performed 24 h post-intubation confirmed the position of the tube tip. Patients with a failed transpyloric migration entered Stage 2, where beside blind intubation was conducted (reconfirmed by X-ray). The primary end point was the overall success rate of post-pyloric placement.

Results

The overall success rate of post-pyloric placement of the spiral NET was 91.1% (73.4% in the third portion of the duodenum [D3] or beyond). The total adverse event rate was 21.0%, without any serious adverse events. In Stage 1, 55.6% of participants achieved transpyloric migration, of these, 44.4% migrated to D3 or beyond. The median time from decision to intubate to the initiation of enteral nutrition (EN) was 25 h. In Stage 2, 83.0% of patients had successful post-pyloric intubation (67.9% in D3 or beyond). The median time from decision to EN initiation after the two-stage process was 36 h.

Conclusions

Prokinetic agents-assisted self-propelled intubation and remedial bedside blind technique as a sequential procedure for post-pyloric placement of spiral NETs were effective and safe, and this two-stage process did not affect the implementation of early EN in critically ill patients.

Trial Registration

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR1900026381. Registered on 6 October 2019.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram Incorporating Colloid Osmotic Pressure for Predicting Mortality in Critically Ill Neurological Patients

Backgrounds: The plasma colloid osmotic pressure (COP) values for predicting mortality are not well-estimated. A user-friendly nomogram could predict mortality by incorporating clinical factors and scoring systems to facilitate physicians modify decision-making when caring for patients with serious neurological conditions.

Methods: Patients were prospectively recruited from March 2017 to September 2018 from a tertiary hospital to establish the development cohort for the internal test of the nomogram, while patients recruited from October 2018 to June 2019 from another tertiary hospital prospectively constituted the validation cohort for the external validation of the nomogram. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed in the development cohort using a backward stepwise method to determine the best-fit model for the nomogram. The nomogram was subsequently validated in an independent external validation cohort for discrimination and calibration. A decision-curve analysis was also performed to evaluate the net benefit of the insertion decision using the nomogram.

Results: A total of 280 patients were enrolled in the development cohort, of whom 42 (15.0%) died, whereas 237 patients were enrolled in the validation cohort, of which 43 (18.1%) died. COP, neurological pathogenesis and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score were predictors in the prediction nomogram. The derived cohort demonstrated good discriminative ability, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.895 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.840–0.951], showing good correction ability. The application of this nomogram to the validation cohort also provided good discrimination, with an AUC of 0.934 (95% CI, 0.892–0.976) and good calibration. The decision-curve analysis of this nomogram showed a better net benefit.

Conclusions : A prediction nomogram incorporating COP, neurological pathogenesis and APACHE II score could be convenient in predicting mortality for critically ill neurological patients.

Nasoenteric tube doppler guided insertion. A case report and review of literature

Nasoenteric tube placement is needed in patients with gastric enteral feeding intolerance or high risk of aspiration. Several techniques are described. Ultrasound is used more commonly for gastric tube placement, but also is described in enteral tube feeding placement. Doppler technique with cold water injection is not described in the literature. We describe a new and easy to realize technique. A case of a 65 years old male patient in the intensive care unit (ICU) with gastroparesis is described. Before beginning a prokinetic drug was administered. In this technique gastric tube placement was bedside assessed with ultrasound, and then the tube was progressed with cold water injection. Duodenal position was confirmed with doppler ultrasound. Ultrasound and doppler technique for nasoenteric tube placement could be a feasible technique to use in the ICU. More studies are needed to assess the effectiveness of the technique.

Is metoclopramide beneficial for the postpyloric placement of nasoenteric tubes? A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Background

Metoclopramide is frequently prescribed as an adjuvant for the postpyloric placement of nasoenteric tubes (NETs). However, a recent meta‐analysis showed that metoclopramide was not beneficial in adults. Thus, this study aimed to reevaluate the effect of metoclopramide on the postpyloric placement of NETs.

Methods

A systematic search of PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang data was conducted up to August 2020 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing metoclopramide with placebo or no intervention. Trial sequential analysis (TSA) was used for the primary outcomes (the success rate of the postpyloric placement of NETs).

Results

Seven eligible RCTs that included 520 participants were identified. The results of the pooled effect sizes showed that metoclopramide significantly facilitated the postpyloric placement of NETs (relative risk [RR], 1.48; 95% CI, 1.11–1.97; P = .007; I² = 37%). However, the risk‐of‐bias assessment and the TSA results indicated that the qualities of the RCTs and the sample sizes were insufficient to confirm the efficacy of metoclopramide. Further subgroup analysis revealed that successful postpyloric placement was more pronounced in studies in which spiral NETs were employed (RR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.41–2.43; P < .001; I² = 0%). Additionally, overall adverse events were minimal.

Conclusions

The evidence accumulated so far was not strong enough to demonstrate metoclopramide's beneficial effects on the postpyloric placement of NETs. Further high‐quality, large‐sample RCTs are required to elucidate the effects of metoclopramide.

The "Silk Road": A novel method for inserting transpyloric feeding tubes in low resource settings

INTRODUCTION

Transpyloric tube (TPT) feeding is used in a multitude of conditions including gastroesophageal reflux disease. We here describe a new simple method to insert TPTs.

METHODS

6 French feeding tube is premeasured nose to xiphisternum, and then another 7cm of length is added and 3-5 silk (4-0) ties are applied to the end of the tube spaced 0.5-1cm apart. The knots are placed in different radial directions, and multiple throws are placed on each knot so as to add bulkiness. The tube is then inserted transnasally to the premeasured length and secured. The child is given a single dose of metoclopramide and placed on his right side for 4h. A plain abdominal x-ray is then performed to confirm adequate TP placement. Following correct placement the patient is tube fed with small volumes every 15-20min. Descriptive data was prospectively collected.

RESULTS

34 patients were recruited, median age 3.5months. All presented with vomiting, and 26 had failure to thrive. 24had successful TP tube placement from the first attempt, 6 from the second attempt, 2 on third attempt, and in 2 placement was unsuccessful. In 28 patients vomiting almost stopped completely. 9 patients had fundoplication, and 1 had gastrostomy placement. 3 patients died during the study because of unknown reasons.

CONCLUSION

The silk tie technique is a safe and simple way to treat persistent vomiting and may prove useful in low resourced environments.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV.

Deep learning enables robust assessment and selection of human blastocysts after in vitro fertilization

Visual morphology assessment is routinely used for evaluating of embryo quality and selecting human blastocysts for transfer after in vitro fertilization (IVF). However, the assessment produces different results between embryologists and as a result, the success rate of IVF remains low. To overcome uncertainties in embryo quality, multiple embryos are often implanted resulting in undesired multiple pregnancies and complications. Unlike in other imaging fields, human embryology and IVF have not yet leveraged artificial intelligence (AI) for unbiased, automated embryo assessment. We postulated that an AI approach trained on thousands of embryos can reliably predict embryo quality without human intervention. We implemented an AI approach based on deep neural networks (DNNs) to select highest quality embryos using a large collection of human embryo time-lapse images (about 50,000 images) from a high-volume fertility center in the United States. We developed a framework (STORK) based on Google’s Inception model. STORK predicts blastocyst quality with an AUC of >0.98 and generalizes well to images from other clinics outside the US and outperforms individual embryologists. Using clinical data for 2182 embryos, we created a decision tree to integrate embryo quality and patient age to identify scenarios associated with pregnancy likelihood. Our analysis shows that the chance of pregnancy based on individual embryos varies from 13.8% (age ≥41 and poor-quality) to 66.3% (age <37 and good-quality) depending on automated blastocyst quality assessment and patient age. In conclusion, our AI-driven approach provides a reproducible way to assess embryo quality and uncovers new, potentially personalized strategies to select embryos.

The learning curve in blind bedside postpyloric placement of spiral tubes: data from a multicentre, prospective observational study

Objective

This study sought to quantify the learning curve for the blind bedside postpyloric placement of a spiral tube in critically ill patients.

Methods

We retrospectively analysed 127 consecutive experiences of three intensivists who performed comparable procedures of blind bedside postpyloric placement of a spiral tube subsequent to failed self-propelled transpyloric migration in a multicentre study. Each intensivist’s cases were divided chronologically into two groups for analysis. The assessment of the learning curve was based on efficiency and safety outcomes.

Results

All intensivists achieved postpyloric placement for over 80% of their patients. The junior intensivist showed major improvement in both efficiency and safety outcomes, and the learning curve for both outcomes was approximately 20 cases. The junior intensivist showed a significant increase in the success rate of proximal jejunum placement and demonstrated a substantial decrease in the major adverse tube-associated events rate. The time to insertion significantly decreased in each intensivist as case experience accumulated.

Conclusions

Blind bedside postpyloric placement of a spiral tube involves a significant learning curve, indicating that this technique could be readily acquired by intensivists with no previous experience using an adequate professional training programme.

Erythromycin versus metoclopramide for post-pyloric spiral nasoenteric tube placement: a randomized non-inferiority trial

Purpose

To determine whether erythromycin is non-inferior to metoclopramide in facilitating post-pyloric placement of self-propelled spiral nasoenteric tubes (NETs) in critically ill patients.

Methods

A prospective, multicenter, open-label, parallel, and non-inferiority randomized controlled trial was conducted comparing erythromycin with metoclopramide in facilitating post-pyloric placement of spiral NETs in critically ill patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) of eight tertiary hospitals in China. The primary outcome was procedure success defined as post-pyloric placement (spiral NETs reached the first portion of the duodenum or beyond confirmed by abdominal radiography 24 h after tube insertion).

Results

A total of 5688 patients were admitted to the ICUs. Of these, in 355 patients there was a plan to insert a nasoenteric feeding tube, of whom 332 were randomized, with 167 patients assigned to the erythromycin group and 165 patients assigned to the metoclopramide group. The success rate of post-pyloric placement was 57.5% (96/167) in the erythromycin group, as compared with 50.3% (83/165) in the metoclopramide group (a difference of 7.2%, 95% CI − 3.5% to 17.9%), in the intention-to-treat analysis, not including the prespecified margin of − 10% for non-inferiority. The success rates of post-D1 (reaching the second portion of the duodenum or beyond), post-D2 (reaching the third portion of the duodenum or beyond), post-D3 (reaching the fourth portion of the duodenum or beyond), and proximal jejunum placement and the incidence of any adverse events were not significantly different between the groups.

Conclusions

Erythromycin is non-inferior to metoclopramide in facilitating post-pyloric placement of spiral NETs in critically ill patients. The success rates of post-D1, post-D2, post-D3, and proximal jejunum placement were not significantly different.

Gastric versus postpyloric enteral nutrition in elderly patients (age ≥ 75 years) on mechanical ventilation: a single-center randomized trial

BACKGROUND

The risk of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) is reduced when postpyloric enteral nutrition (EN) is administered compared to when gastric EN is administered in specific populations. In the present study, we tested the hypothesis that postpyloric EN is superior to gastric EN in reducing the incidence of VAP in elderly patients (age ≥ 75 years) who are admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and require mechanical ventilation.

METHODS

We performed a single-center randomized clinical trial involving elderly patients (age ≥ 75 years) who were admitted to the ICU and required mechanical ventilation. The patients were randomly assigned to either the postpyloric EN group or the gastric EN group. The primary outcome was the VAP rate.

RESULTS

Of the 836 patients screened, 141 patients were included in the study (70 in the postpyloric EN group and 71 in the gastric EN group). The patients in the postpyloric EN group were 82.0 (75.0-99.0) years old (male 61.4%), and those in the gastric EN group were 82.0 (75.0-92.0) years old (male 63.4%). The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores were 28.09 ± 6.75 in the postpyloric EN group and 27.80 ± 7.60 in the gastric EN group (P = 0.43). VAP was observed in 8 of 70 patients (11.4%) in the postpyloric EN group and in 18 of 71 patients (25.4%) in the gastric EN group, which resulted in a significant between-group difference (OR 0.38, 95% CI 0.15-0.94; P = 0.04). In the postpyloric EN group, there were significant reductions in vomiting (12 patients in the postpyloric EN group vs 29 patients in the gastric EN group; OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.14-0.65; P = 0.002) and abdominal distension (18 patients in the postpyloric EN group vs 33 patients in the gastric EN group; OR 0.40, 95% CI 0.20-0.81; P = 0.01). No significant differences were observed between the two groups regarding mortality and other secondary outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that, compared with gastric EN, postpyloric EN reduced the VAP rate among elderly patients who were admitted to the ICU and required mechanical ventilation.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR-IPR-16008485 . Registered on 17 May 2016.

Blind bedside postpyloric placement of spiral tube as rescue therapy in critically ill patients: a prospective, tricentric, observational study

Background

Various special techniques for blind bedside transpyloric tube placement have been introduced into clinical practice. However, transpyloric spiral tube placement facilitated by a blind bedside method has not yet been reported. The objective of this prospective study was to evaluate the safety and efficiency of blind bedside postpyloric placement of a spiral tube as a rescue therapy subsequent to failed spontaneous transpyloric migration in critically ill patients.

Methods

This prospective, tricentric, observational study was conducted in the intensive care units (ICUs) of three tertiary hospitals. A total of 127 consecutive patients with failed spontaneous transpyloric spiral tube migration despite using prokinetic agents and still required enteral nutrition for more than 3 days were included. The spiral tube was inserted postpylorically using the blind bedside technique. All patients received metoclopramide intravenously prior to tube insertion. The exact tube tip position was determined by radiography. The primary efficacy endpoint was the success rate of postpyloric spiral tube placement. Secondary efficacy endpoints were success rate of a spiral tube placed in the third portion of the duodenum (D3) or beyond, success rate of placement in the proximal jejunum, time to insertion, length of insertion, and number of attempts. Safety endpoints were metoclopramide-related and major adverse tube-associated events.

Results

In 81.9% of patients, the spiral feeding tubes were placed postpylorically; of these, 55.1% were placed in D3 or beyond and 33.9% were placed in the proximal jejunum, with a median time to insertion of 14 min and an average number of attempts of 1.4. The mean length of insertion was 95.6 cm. The adverse event incidence was 26.0%, and no serious adverse event was observed.

Conclusions

Blind bedside postpyloric placement of a spiral tube, as a rescue therapy subsequent to failed spontaneous transpyloric migration in critically ill patients, is safe and effective. This technique may facilitate the early initiation of postpyloric feeding in the ICU.

Trial registration

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR-OPN-16008206. Registered on 1 April 2016.