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Resende MHF, Yarnell CJ, D'Souza R, Lapinsky SE, Nam A, Shah V, Whittle W, Wright JK, Naimark DMJ. Clinical decision analysis of elective delivery vs expectant management for pregnant individuals with COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome. Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM 2022; 4:100697. [PMID: 35878805 PMCID: PMC9307282 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajogmf.2022.100697] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2022] [Accepted: 07/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pregnant individuals are vulnerable to COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome. There is a lack of high-quality evidence on whether elective delivery or expectant management leads to better maternal and neonatal outcomes. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to determine whether elective delivery or expectant management are associated with higher quality-adjusted life expectancy for pregnant individuals with COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome and their neonates. STUDY DESIGN We performed a clinical decision analysis using a patient-level model in which we simulatedpregnant individuals and their unborn children. We used a patient-level model with parallel open-cohort structure, daily cycle length, continuous discounting, lifetime horizon, sensitivity analyses for key parameter values, and 1000 iterations for quantification of uncertainty. We simulated pregnant individuals at 32 weeks of gestation, invasively ventilated because of COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome. In the elective delivery strategy, pregnant individuals received immediate cesarean delivery. In the expectant management strategy, pregnancies continued until spontaneous labor or obstetrical decision to deliver. For both pregnant individuals and neonates, model outputs were hospital or perinatal survival, life expectancy, and quality-adjusted life expectancy denominated in years, summarized by the mean and 95% credible interval. Maternal utilities incorporated neonatal outcomes in accordance with best practices in perinatal decision analysis. RESULTS Model outputs for pregnant individuals were similar when comparing elective delivery at 32 weeks' gestation with expectant management, including hospital survival (87.1% vs 87.4%), life-years (difference, -0.1; 95% credible interval, -1.4 to 1.1), and quality-adjusted life expectancy denominated in years (difference, -0.1; 95% credible interval, -1.3 to 1.1). For neonates, elective delivery at 32 weeks' gestation was estimated to lead to a higher perinatal survival (98.4% vs 93.2%; difference, 5.2%; 95% credible interval, 3.5-7), similar life-years (difference, 0.9; 95% credible interval, -0.9 to 2.8), and higher quality-adjusted life expectancy denominated in years (difference, 1.3; 95% credible interval, 0.4-2.2). For pregnant individuals, elective delivery was not superior to expectant management across a range of scenarios between 28 and 34 weeks of gestation. Elective delivery in cases where intrauterine death or maternal mortality were more likely resulted in higher neonatal quality-adjusted life expectancy, as did elective delivery at 30 weeks' gestation (difference, 1.1 years; 95% credible interval, 0.1 - 2.1) despite higher long-term complications (4.3% vs 0.5%; difference, 3.7%; 95% credible interval, 2.4-5.1), and in cases where intrauterine death or maternal acute respiratory distress syndrome mortality were more likely. CONCLUSION The decision to pursue elective delivery vs expectant management in pregnant individuals with COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome should be guided by gestational age, risk of intrauterine death, and maternal acute respiratory distress syndrome severity. For the pregnant individual, elective delivery is comparable but not superior to expectant management for gestational ages from 28 to 34 weeks. For neonates, elective delivery was superior if gestational age was ≥30 weeks and if the rate of intrauterine death or maternal mortality risk were high. We recommend basing the decision for elective delivery vs expectant management in a pregnant individual with COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome on gestational age and likelihood of intrauterine or maternal death.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maura H Ferrari Resende
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Drs Ferrari Resende, Yarnell, Shah, and Naimark); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Canada (Drs Ferrari Resende and Naimark)
| | - Christopher J Yarnell
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Drs Ferrari Resende, Yarnell, Shah, and Naimark); Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Dr Yarnell and Dr Lapinsky); Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sinai Health System and the University Health Network, Toronto, Canada (Dr Yarnell and Dr Lapinsky).
| | - Rohan D'Souza
- Departments of Obstetrics and Gynecology and Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada (Dr D'Souza); Division of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Sinai Health System, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Drs D'Souza and Whittle)
| | - Stephen E Lapinsky
- Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Dr Yarnell and Dr Lapinsky); Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sinai Health System and the University Health Network, Toronto, Canada (Dr Yarnell and Dr Lapinsky); Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Dr Lapinsky and Drs Wright and Naimark)
| | | | - Vibhuti Shah
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Drs Ferrari Resende, Yarnell, Shah, and Naimark); Department of Pediatrics, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada (Dr Shah)
| | - Wendy Whittle
- Division of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Sinai Health System, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Drs D'Souza and Whittle)
| | - Julie K Wright
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Dr Wright); Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Dr Wright); Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Dr Lapinsky and Drs Wright and Naimark)
| | - David M J Naimark
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Drs Ferrari Resende, Yarnell, Shah, and Naimark); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Canada (Drs Ferrari Resende and Naimark); Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada (Dr Lapinsky and Drs Wright and Naimark)
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Ito A, Hayata E, Nakata M, Shigeta T, Nakamura Y, Kishi K, Yoda H, Morita M. Rapid recovery achieved by intensive therapy after preterm cesarean section for worsening COVID-19-induced acute respiratory failure: A case report and literature review. Case Rep Womens Health 2021; 30:e00315. [PMID: 33898274 PMCID: PMC8053357 DOI: 10.1016/j.crwh.2021.e00315] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2021] [Revised: 04/14/2021] [Accepted: 04/15/2021] [Indexed: 12/22/2022] Open
Abstract
A 31-year-old woman (gravida 3, para 2) presented at hospital in the 33rd week of gestation with concerns of general malaise, a productive cough, and impaired taste. She was diagnosed with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) after a nasal antigen test; a computed tomography (CT) scan of the chest showed pneumonia. The patient developed dyspnea on the third day of hospitalization, and it worsened the following day. Oxygen inhalation and steroid administration were started. Since the dyspnea was worsening, an emergency cesarean delivery was performed to allow intensification of maternal treatment. A postoperative CT scan showed that the pneumonia was getting worse, and the administration of remdesivir was started immediately. The dyspnea improved rapidly, and medication was discontinued on postoperative day 4. The patient was discharged on postoperative day 6. Thus, a patient in the third trimester of pregnancy with COVID-19 whose respiratory condition worsened was successfully treated by early delivery and subsequent intensive treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ayumu Ito
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Toho University Omori Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Eijiro Hayata
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Toho University Omori Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Masahiko Nakata
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Toho University Omori Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Tomoyuki Shigeta
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Toho University Omori Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yasuhiko Nakamura
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Toho University Omori Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kazuma Kishi
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Toho University Omori Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hitoshi Yoda
- Department of Neonatology, Toho University Omori Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Mineto Morita
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Toho University Omori Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
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