Using combination of albumin to fibrinogen ratio and prognostic nutritional index model for predicting disease activity in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

Background: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is chronic autoimmune disease with multiple organ damage and is associated with poor prognosis and high mortality. Identification of universal biomarkers to predict SLE activity is challenging due to the heterogeneity of the disease. This study aimed to identify the indicators that are sensitive and specific to predict activity of SLE.Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 108 patients with SLE. Patients were categorized into SLE with activity and without activity groups on the basis of SLE disease activity index. We analyzed the potential of routine and novel indicators in predicting the SLE activity using receiver operating characteristic curves and multivariate logistic regression. The Spearman method was used to understand the correlation between albumin to fibrinogen ratio (AFR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), AFR-PNI model and disease activity.Results: SLE with activity group had higher ESR, CRP, D-dimer, fibrinogen, CRP to albumin ratio, positive rate of anti-dsDNA and ANUA, and lower C3, total bilirubin, total protein, albumin, albumin/globulin, creatinine, high density liptein cholesterol, hemoglobin, hematocrit, lymphocyte count, positive rate of anti-SSA, AFR, PNI than SLE without activity. A further established model based on combination of AFR and PNI (AFR-PNI model) showed prominent value in distinguishing SLE with activity patients from SLE without activity patients. In addition, the sensitivity and specificity of AFR-PNI model + anti-dsDNA combination model were superior to AFR-PNI model. AFR and PNI were risk factors for SLE activity. Moreover, AFR+PNI model correlated with disease activity and AFR-PNI model was associated with fever, pleurisy, pericarditis, renal involvement.Conclusion: These findings suggest that predictive model based on combination of AFR and PNI may be useful markers to identify active SLE in clinical practice.

Deep learning model to predict lupus nephritis renal flare based on dynamic multivariable time-series data

OBJECTIVES

To develop an interpretable deep learning model of lupus nephritis (LN) relapse prediction based on dynamic multivariable time-series data.

DESIGN

A single-centre, retrospective cohort study in China.

SETTING

A Chinese central tertiary hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

The cohort study consisted of 1694 LN patients who had been registered in the Nanjing Glomerulonephritis Registry at the National Clinical Research Center of Kidney Diseases, Jinling Hospital from January 1985 to December 2010.

METHODS

We developed a deep learning algorithm to predict LN relapse that consists of 59 features, including demographic, clinical, immunological, pathological and therapeutic characteristics that were collected for baseline analysis. A total of 32 227 data points were collected by the sliding window method and randomly divided into training (80%), validation (10%) and testing sets (10%). We developed a deep learning algorithm-based interpretable multivariable long short-term memory model for LN relapse risk prediction considering censored time-series data based on a cohort of 1694 LN patients. A mixture attention mechanism was deployed to capture variable interactions at different time points for estimating the temporal importance of the variables. Model performance was assessed according to C-index (concordance index).

RESULTS

The median follow-up time since remission was 4.1 (IQR, 1.7-6.7) years. The interpretable deep learning model based on dynamic multivariable time-series data achieved the best performance, with a C-index of 0.897, among models using only variables at the point of remission or time-variant variables. The importance of urinary protein, serum albumin and serum C3 showed time dependency in the model, that is, their contributions to the risk prediction increased over time.

CONCLUSIONS

Deep learning algorithms can effectively learn through time-series data to develop a predictive model for LN relapse. The model provides accurate predictions of LN relapse for different renal disease stages, which could be used in clinical practice to guide physicians on the management of LN patients.

Predictors of renal relapse in Koreans with lupus nephritis after achieving complete response: a 35-years of experience at a single center

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Renal relapse has known to be a poor prognostic factor in patients with lupus nephritis (LN), but there were few studies that identified the risk factors of renal relapse in real world. We conducted this study based on 35-years of experience at a single center to find out predictors of renal relapse in Korean patients with LN after achieving complete response (CR).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical, laboratory, pathologic and therapeutic parameters in 296 patients of LN who reached CR. The cumulative risk and the independent risk factors for renal relapse were examined by Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, respectively.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period from CR was 123 months. Renal relapse had occurred in 157 patients. Renal relapse occurred in 38.2%, 57.6% and 67.9% of patients within 5-, 10-, and 20-year, respectively. The age at diagnosis of SLE and LN were significantly younger, and the proportions of severe proteinuria and serum hypoalbuminemia were higher in patients with renal relapse. Interestingly, the proportion of receiving cytotoxic maintenance treatment was higher in patients with renal relapse. In Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, only young-age onset of LN (by 10 years, HR = 0.779, p = 0.007) was identified to independent predictor of renal relapse.

CONCLUSION

Young-age onset of LN was only independent predictor and the patients with severe proteinuria and serum hypoalbuminemia also tended to relapse more, despite of sufficient maintenance treatment. Studies on more effective maintenance treatment regimens and duration are needed to reduce renal relapse.

Flares in Lupus Nephritis: Risk Factors and Strategies for Their Prevention

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Discuss the prognostic significance of kidney flares in patients with lupus nephritis, associated risk factors, and possible preventative strategies.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recently performed clinical trials and observational cohort studies underscore the high frequency of relapses of kidney disease, following initial response, in patients with proliferative and/or membranous lupus nephritis. Analysis of hard disease outcomes such as progression to chronic kidney disease or end-stage kidney disease, coupled with histological findings from repeat kidney biopsy studies, have drawn attention to the importance of renal function preservation that should be pursued as early as lupus nephritis is diagnosed. In this respect, non-randomized and randomized evidence have suggested a number of factors associated with reduced risk of renal flares such as attaining a very low level of proteinuria (< 700-800 mg/24 h by 12 months), using mycophenolate over azathioprine, adding belimumab to standard therapy, maintaining immunosuppressive/biological treatment for at least 3 to 5 years, and using hydroxychloroquine. Other factors that warrant further clarification include serological activity and the use of repeat kidney biopsy to guide the intensity and duration of treatment in selected cases. The results from ongoing innovative studies integrating kidney histological and clinical outcomes, together with an expanding spectrum of therapies in lupus nephritis, are expected to facilitate individual medical care and long-term disease and patient prognosis.

Diagnosis and treatment of lupus nephritis: a summary of the Consensus Document of the Spanish Group for the Study of Glomerular Diseases (GLOSEN)

Lupus nephritis (LN) is the most frequent serious manifestation of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Up to 60% of SLE patients develop LN, which has a significant impact on their quality of life and prognosis. Recent advances have improved the diagnostic approach to LN, and new drugs that block specific pathways and kidney damage progression have been developed. Several randomized and well-powered clinical trials have confirmed the efficacy of these agents in terms of proteinuria remission and preservation of kidney function in the medium and long term, with an acceptable safety profile and good tolerance. The combination of different therapies allows for reduction of the dose and duration of corticosteroids and other potentially toxic therapies and leads to an increase in the number of patients achieving complete remission of the disease. This consensus document carried out by the Spanish Group for the Study of Glomerular Diseases (GLOSEN) provides practical and updated recommendations, based on the best available evidence and clinical expertise of participating nephrologists.

Healthcare Resource Utilization and Associated Costs in Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Diagnosed With Lupus Nephritis

BACKGROUND

Lupus nephritis (LN) is among the most severe organ manifestations of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), affecting between 31% and 48% of patients, usually within five years of SLE diagnosis. SLE without LN is associated with a high economic burden on the healthcare system, and although data are limited, several studies have shown that SLE with LN could increase this burden.  Aim: We aimed to compare the economic burden of LN versus SLE without LN among patients managed in routine clinical practices in the USA and describe the clinical course of these patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study of patients with commercial or Medicare Advantage health insurance. It included 2310 patients with LN and 2310 matched patients who had SLE without LN; each patient was followed for 12 months after diagnosis (the patient's index date). Outcome measures included healthcare resource utilization (HCRU), direct healthcare costs, and SLE clinical manifestations.  Results: In all healthcare settings, the mean (SD) use of all-cause healthcare resources was significantly higher in the LN versus SLE without LN cohort, including the mean number of ambulatory visits (53.9 (55.1) vs 33.0 (26.0)), emergency room visits (2.9 (7.9) vs 1.6 (3.3)), inpatient stays (0.9 (1.5) vs 0.3 (0.8)), and pharmacy fills (65.0 (48.3) vs 51.2 (42.6)) (all p<0.001). Total all-cause costs per patient in the LN cohort were also significantly higher compared with the SLE without LN cohort ($50,975 (86,281) vs $26,262 (52,720), p<0.001), including costs for inpatient stays and outpatient visits. Clinically, a significantly higher proportion of patients with LN experienced moderate or severe SLE flares compared with the SLE without LN cohort (p<0.001), which may explain the difference in HCRU and healthcare costs.

CONCLUSION

All-cause HCRU and costs were higher for patients with LN than for matched patients with SLE without LN, highlighting the economic burden associated with LN.

Characteristics and outcomes of a Hispanic lupus nephritis cohort from Mexico

OBJECTIVES

To characterize the clinical presentation and outcomes of LN in a Hispanic cohort from Mexico.

METHODS

We studied 440 subjects with systemic lupus erythematosus and biopsy-proven LN followed for >36 months. We obtained demographic, clinical, laboratory, histopathological and treatment variables. All outcomes were analysed by survival analysis and included response to therapy, renal relapses, progression of kidney disease (decline in eGFR ≥ 30%, doubling of serum creatinine, end-stage kidney disease) and patient survival.

RESULTS

The median age of the study cohort was 29 years (IQR 23-37) and 96% were female. The median eGFR at inclusion was 81 mL/min/1.73m2 (IQR 48-118) and 24 h-uPCR was 3.4 g/g (IQR 1.9-5.6). Mixed class LN (III/IV+V) was the most frequently observed (69%). Over a median follow-up of 79 months, complete response rates were 22.3%, 40.5% and 51.6%, at 6, 12 and 24 months, respectively. Renal relapse rates were 32.3% and 50.6% at 3 and 5 years. By 3 and 5 years, 20.7% and 31.4% had decline in eGFR ≥30%, 14.4% and 22.5% doubled their serum creatinine, and 9.1% and 17.7% progressed to ESKD. The factors associated with loss of kidney function were age, eGFR at presentation, the histologic chronicity index in the kidney biopsy, and the type of response to therapy. Patient survival was 98.2% and 97.1% at 3 and 5 years.

CONCLUSION

Although the response to treatment and patient survival in this Latin American cohort is comparable to that observed in other regions, there is still a high rate of renal relapses and progression to decline in kidney function.

Consensus document of the Spanish Group for the Study of the Glomerular Diseases (GLOSEN) for the diagnosis and treatment of lupus nephritis

A significant number of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (between 20% and 60% according to different reported series) develop lupus nephritis in the course of its evolution, which directly influences their quality of life and vital prognosis. In recent years, the greater knowledge about the pathogenesis of systemic lupus and lupus nephritis has allowed relevant advances in the diagnostic approach and treatment of these patients, achieving the development of drugs specifically aimed at blocking key pathogenic pathways of the disease. Encouragingly, these immunomodulatory agents have shown in well-powered, randomized clinical trials good clinical efficacy in the medium-term, defined as proteinuria remission and preservation of kidney function, with an acceptable safety profile and good patient tolerability. All this has made it possible to reduce the use of corticosteroids and other potentially more toxic therapies, as well as to increase the use of combined therapies. The present consensus document carried out by the Glomerular Diseases Working Group of the Spanish Society of Nephrology (GLOSEN), collects in a practical and summarized, but rigorous way, the best currently available evidence about the diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up of lupus nephritis patients, including cases of special situations, with the main objective of providing updated information and well-founded clinical recommendations to treating physicians, to improve the diagnostic and therapeutic approach to our patients.

The influence of repeated flares in response to therapy and prognosis in lupus nephritis

Background

Repeated renal flares in lupus nephritis (LN) have been associated with worse long-term kidney function. This study aimed to assess the impact of repeated LN flares in response to therapy, kidney and patient prognosis.

Methods

All patients from a biopsy-proven LN cohort between 2008 and 2018 were segregated into three groups according to the number of LN flares when they entered our cohort: first LN flare, second LN flare or third LN flare. The following outcomes were evaluated by unadjusted and adjusted time-to-event analyses: complete and partial response, disease relapses, progression to decline of 30% of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), doubling of serum creatinine, end-stage kidney disease and patient survival.

Results

A total of 441 patients were included: 257 (58%) in their first LN flare, 102 (23%) in their second LN flare and 82 (19%) in their third LN flare. There were significant differences in LN flare presentation in age, eGFR, serum albumin, pyuria and hematuria among groups. The National Institutes of Health chronicity indices and the percentage of patients with vascular lesions were higher in groups at progressive LN flares. In the adjusted analyses, complete and partial response rates decreased, as well as kidney and patient survival, at a progressive number of LN flares. No differences in the dynamic course of all surveillance laboratory parameters were observed in the first year after initial therapy among LN flare groups.

Conclusions

A progressive number of LN flares is associated with a lower response to therapy and an adverse prognosis for kidney function and patient survival.

Altered B cell phenotype and CD27+ memory B cells are associated with clinical features and environmental exposure in Colombian systemic lupus erythematosus patients

Background

B lymphocytes are dysregulated in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) including the expansion of extrafollicular B cells in patients with SLE of African American ancestry, which is associated with disease activity and nephritis. The population of Colombia has a mixture of European, Native American, and African ancestry. It is not known if Colombian patients have the same B cell distributions described previously and if they are associated with disease activity, clinical manifestations, and environmental exposures.

Objective

To characterize B cell phenotype in a group of Colombian Systemic Lupus Erythematosus patients with mixed ancestry and determine possible associations with disease activity, clinical manifestations, the DNA methylation status of the IFI44L gene and environmental exposures.

Materials and methods

Forty SLE patients and 17 healthy controls were recruited. Cryopreserved peripheral B lymphocytes were analyzed by multiparameter flow cytometry, and the DNA methylation status of the gene IFI44L was evaluated in resting Naive B cells (rNAV).

Results

Extrafollicular active Naive (aNAV) and Double Negative type 2, DN2 (CD27− IgD− CD21− CD11c+) B cells were expanded in severe active patients and were associated with nephritis. Patients had hypomethylation of the IFI44L gene in rNAV cells. Regarding environmental exposure, patients occupationally exposed to organic solvents had increased memory CD27+ cells (SWM).

Conclusion

aNAV and DN2 extrafollicular cells showed significant clinical associations in Colombian SLE patients, suggesting a relevant role in the disease’s pathophysiology. Hypomethylation of the IFI44L gene in resting Naive B cells suggests that epigenetic changes are established at exceedingly early stages of B cell ontogeny. Also, an alteration in SWM memory cells was observed for the first time in patients exposed to organic solvents. This opens different clinical and basic research possibilities to corroborate these findings and deepen the knowledge of the relationship between environmental exposure and SLE.

Long-term outcome and predictors of long-term outcome in patients with lupus nephritis managed at a tertiary hospital in Mumbai

AIM

Study the long-term outcome of the patients with LN and identify the baseline factors that can predict the long-term outcome of these patients.

METHODS

All biopsy-proven LN patients who attended our regular 'lupus nephritis' clinic from 2013 to 2021 were studied. Data of these patients were collected from the hospital patient records. Standard therapy was given as per the KDIGO guidelines, and the renal response was evaluated according to KDIGO outcome criteria. Cox' regression analysis was used to determine predictors of chronic kidney disease (persistent doubling of serum creatinine with creatinine ≥1.5 mg%). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used for renal survival.

RESULTS

Eighty patients with at least 1 year of follow-up were included. Median age of onset was 24 years (IQR18-35). Median follow up was 6.5 years (IQR 3-10). World Health Organisation renal biopsy profile was Class I 1(1.2 %), Class II 6(7.5 %), Class III 9(11.2 %), Class IV 36(45 %), Class V 18(22.5 %) and Mixed Class IV + V 10 (12%). Complete remission was achieved in 63.75%, 70 % and 66.6% patients at 1, 2 and 5 years, respectively. Survival with normal renal function was 88.5 %, 85.8% and 60 % at 5, 10 and 15 years, respectively. Risk factors for poor outcome on univariate analysis were presence of Raynaud's phenomena-hazard ratio(HR) 7.78 (CI 1.944-31.207; p < .004), baseline hypertension-HR 5.356 (CI 1.479-19.403; p < .011), tubulointerstitial involvement-HR 1.076 (CI 1.032-1.222; p < .001), time to complete response-HR 1.036 (CI 1.036-1.067; p < .02 ), serum creatinine at 6 months HR 10.51 (CI 2.19-50.39; p < .003), failure to achieve complete response at 2 years HR 6.271 (CI 1.567-25.092; p < .009) and the number of nephritic flares HR 1.868(CI 1.103-3.164 ; p < .02). Renal relapses were quite common, with 1.8 flares per 10 patient-years of follow up. Infection was the most common cause of death, with bacterial lower respiratory infections and pulmonary tuberculosis being the most common.

CONCLUSIONS

Apart from conventional risk factors, other predictive factors like the presence of Raynaud's phenomenon, tubulointerstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy on kidney biopsy, and initial response to induction therapy by 6 months have a significant impact on the long-term outcome in patients with LN.

Lupus Nephritis: Improving Treatment Options

Despite improvements in patient and renal death rates following the introduction of potent immunosuppressive drugs in earlier decades, a sizeable fraction of patients with lupus nephritis is burdened with suboptimal or delayed responses, relapses, chronic use of glucocorticoids and accrual of renal (chronic renal insufficiency) and extra-renal organ damage. The recently approved combinatory treatments comprising belimumab or voclosporin added to conventional agents, especially mycophenolate, hold promise for further improving disease outcomes and enabling a faster steroid tapering, thus being relevant to the treat-to-target context. However, it remains uncertain whether these dual regimens should become the first-line choice for all patients or instead be prioritized to certain subgroups. In the present article, we summarize the existing lupus nephritis management recommendations, followed by a critical appraisal of the randomized trials of belimumab and voclosporin, as well as the available data on obinutuzumab and other novel compounds under development. We conclude that pending the identification of accurate clinical, histological, or translational predictors for guiding personalized decisions, it is of utmost importance that lupus nephritis patients are monitored closely with appropriate treatment adjustments aiming at a prompt, deep response to ensure long-term preservation of kidney function.

Renal outcomes of transient proteinuria in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus treated with corticosteroid therapy alone

Objectives

To examine the long-term renal outcomes of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients with transient proteinuria.

Methods

The medical records of SLE patients who showed improvement in proteinuria (urine protein/creatinine ratio < 500 mg/g) after receiving corticosteroid therapy without immunosuppressants were reviewed.

Results

A total of 38 patients (mean creatinine: 0.74 ± 0.33 mg/dl) showed an improvement of proteinuria (1361 ± 1053 mg/g to 289 ± 125 mg/g) after receiving corticosteroid therapy alone for a median of 25 days (IQR, 10–55). After follow-up (median, 23 months [IQR, 15–121]), 25 (65%) patients maintained the resolution of proteinuria without renal dysfunction. The remaining 13 (34%) patients experienced a relapse of proteinuria during a median follow-up of 13.9 months from baseline (IQR, 1.6–25). There was no significant difference in the baseline laboratory data according to the occurrence of proteinuria relapse, but longer SLE disease duration at baseline was associated with the risk of proteinuria relapse (HR, 1.007; p = 0.033). Of the patients who underwent renal biopsy with proteinuria relapse, class II (53%) lupus nephritis was the most common pathology. None progressed to end-stage renal disease during an additional long-term further follow-up of median 33 months (IQR, 22–49) after proteinuria relapse.

Conclusion

Two-thirds of SLE patients who showed improvement in proteinuria after corticosteroid alone maintained the non-proteinuric state without renal dysfunction. Thus, performing a kidney biopsy at the first onset of proteinuria could be delayed in patients who show an improvement in proteinuria after treatment with corticosteroids.

C4d as a Screening Tool and an Independent Predictor of Clinical Outcomes in Lupus Nephritis and IgA Nephropathy

Background

As an indispensable marker of complement cascades activation, C4d was confirmed of its crucial role in the pathogenesis of both lupus nephritis (LN) and IgA nephropathy (IgAN). While the studies directly comparing the diagnostic value, and outcomes predicting function of C4d between LN and IgAN are still absent.

Methods

A cohort of 120 LN patients, 120 IgAN patients who were diagnosed by renal biopsy between January 2015 and December 2017 and 24 healthy age matched controls were prospectively analyzed. The patients were followed till December 2020. The outcomes were adverse disease treatment response (disease relapse) and kidney disease progression event (decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate by more than 20% or end-stage kidney disease). The renal C4d deposition proportion and pattern were compared between IgAN and LN patients. In addition, the relationship between renal C4d deposition and disease subtypes, disease relapse as well as disease progression for LN and IgAN patients were also analyzed.

Results

The LN, IgAN patients and healthy controls were well matched in ages. The follow-up period was 38.5 (30.3–60.8) months for LN patients and 45.0 (30.5–57.0) months for IgAN patients. 78 patients (65.0%) with LN had renal C4d deposition, compared with only 39 IgAN patients (32.5%) with C4d deposition in renal tissues (P < 0.001). The LN patients shared different renal C4d distribution patterns with IgAN patients. Compared with IgAN patients, the C4d deposition in LN patients was significantly more in renal glomerulus (P < 0.001) and less in renal tubules (P = 0.003). For disease subtypes, renal C4d deposition was especially strong in class V membranous LN and IgAN with tubulointerstitial fibrosis (T1/T2) lesions. Renal C4d deposition was independently correlated with the disease relapse of LN patients (HR = 1.007, P = 0.040), and acted as an independent predictor of disease progression during the follow-up period for IgAN patients (HR = 1.821, P = 0.040).

Conclusions

Renal C4d distribution proportion and pattern differed between LN and IgAN patients. The presence of C4d in renal tissue acted as an independent predictor of relapse for LN patients and disease progression for IgAN patients.

Machine Learning for Prediction and Risk Stratification of Lupus Nephritis Renal Flare

BACKGROUND

Renal flare of lupus nephritis (LN) is strongly associated with poor kidney outcomes, and predicting renal flare and stratifying its risk are important for clinical decision-making and individualized management to reduce LN flare.

METHODS

We randomly divided 1,694 patients with biopsy-proven LN, who had achieved remission after treatment, into a derivation cohort (n = 1,186) and an internal validation cohort (n = 508), at a ratio of 7:3. The risk of renal flare 5 years after remission was predicted using an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) method model, developed from 59 variables, including demographic, clinical, immunological, pathological, and therapeutic characteristics. A simplified risk score prediction model (SRSPM) was developed from important variables selected by XGBoost model using stepwise Cox regression for practical convenience.

RESULTS

The 5-year relapse rates were 39.5% and 38.2% in the derivation and internal validation cohorts, respectively. Both the XGBoost model and the SRSPM had good predictive performance, with a C-index of 0.819 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.774-0.857) and 0.746 (95% CI: 0.697-0.795), respectively, in the validation cohort. The SRSPM comprised 6 variables, including partial remission and endocapillary hypercellularity at baseline, age, serum Alb, anti-dsDNA, and serum complement C3 at the point of remission. Using Kaplan-Meier analysis, the SRSPM identified significant risk stratification for renal flares (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Renal flare of LN can be readily predicted using the XGBoost model and the SRSPM, and the SRSPM can also stratify flare risk. Both models are useful for clinical decision-making and individualized management in LN.

Performance of the 2019 EULAR/ACR systemic lupus erythematosus classification criteria in a cohort of patients with biopsy-confirmed lupus nephritis

Objective

To evaluate the performance of the European League Against Rheumatism/American College of Rheumatology (EULAR/ACR) SLE classification criteria in a cohort of patients with biopsy-confirmed lupus nephritis (LN) and their renal prognosis.

Methods

Patients with newly diagnosed SLE attending and followed up for >12 months were included. A retrospective review of all patients with renal biopsy fulfilling a consensus expert opinion during 2014 and 2018. Clinical, serological and pathological data were collected and each patient was assigned a high/low criteria scores (HS/LS) group. Survival curves for flare adjusted for multiplicity on renal flares, was applied to the two groups.

Results

Applying EULAR/ACR criteria in our cohort of 126 patients, 6 (4.76%) did not meet the criterion, resulting in a sensitivity of 95.24%. The EULAR/ACR criteria scores was positively correlated with SLE disease activity index scores. Additionally, we noticed that a significant difference in clinical and immunological manifestations between HS and LS group. We observed a higher proportions of class Ⅲ or Ⅳ LN and lower proportions of class Ⅱ or V LN (p=0.034) and pathological higher activity index in HS group (p=0.007). Compared with LS groups, patients involved more severe renal damage and achieved higher rate of complete remission in the HS group. The Kaplan-Meier exploratory analyses, adjusted for LN classification, estimated glomerular filtration rate, activity index and chronicity index and induction and maintenance treatments, showed that patients in the HS group had a tendency of higher renal flare risk than that in the LS group (HR=0.21, p=0.04).

Conclusions

The EULAR/ACR criteria performed high sensitivity in identifying SLE in this cohort of biopsy-confirmed LN. Patients with LN with high criteria scores had more extrarenal manifestations, and worse renal prognosis in the short and long terms.

An Update on the Diagnosis and Management of Lupus Nephritis

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Update on the diagnosis, treatment, and monitoring of lupus nephritis.

RECENT FINDINGS

The recent criteria enable the earlier classification of lupus nephritis based on kidney biopsy and compatible serology. Treatment of active nephritis includes low-dose intravenous cyclophosphamide or mycophenolate, followed by maintenance immunosuppression. Recent trials have suggested superiority of regimens combining mycophenolate with either calcineurin inhibitor or belimumab, although their long-term benefit/risk ratio has not been determined. Encouraging results with novel anti-CD20 antibodies confirm the effectiveness of B cell depletion. Achievement of low-grade proteinuria (< 700-800 mg/24 h) at 12-month post-induction is linked to favorable long-term outcomes and could be considered in a treat-to-target strategy. Also, repeat kidney biopsy can guide the duration of maintenance immunosuppression. Lupus nephritis has increased cardiovascular disease burden necessitating risk-reduction strategies. An expanding spectrum of therapies coupled with ongoing basic/translational research can lead to individualized medical care and improved outcomes in lupus nephritis.

Lupus nephritis

Lupus nephritis (LN) is a form of glomerulonephritis that constitutes one of the most severe organ manifestations of the autoimmune disease systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Most patients with SLE who develop LN do so within 5 years of an SLE diagnosis and, in many cases, LN is the presenting manifestation resulting in the diagnosis of SLE. Understanding of the genetic and pathogenetic basis of LN has improved substantially over the past few decades. Treatment of LN usually involves immunosuppressive therapy, typically with mycophenolate mofetil or cyclophosphamide and with glucocorticoids, although these treatments are not uniformly effective. Despite increased knowledge of disease pathogenesis and improved treatment options, LN remains a substantial cause of morbidity and death among patients with SLE. Within 10 years of an initial SLE diagnosis, 5-20% of patients with LN develop end-stage kidney disease, and the multiple comorbidities associated with immunosuppressive treatment, including infections, osteoporosis and cardiovascular and reproductive effects, remain a concern. Clearly, early and accurate diagnosis of LN and prompt initiation of therapy are of vital importance to improve outcomes in patients with SLE.

Performance of cytokine models in predicting SLE activity

Background

Identification of universal biomarkers to predict systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) flares is challenging due to the heterogeneity of the disease. Several biomarkers have been reported. However, the data of validated biomarkers to use as a predictor for lupus flares show variation. This study aimed to identify the biomarkers that are sensitive and specific to predict lupus flares.

Methods

One hundred and twenty-four SLE patients enrolled in this study and were prospectively followed up. The evaluation of disease activity achieved by the SLE disease activity index (SLEDAI-2K) and clinical SLEDAI (modified SLEDAI). Patients with active SLE were categorized into renal or non-renal flares. Serum cytokines were measured by multiplex bead-based flow cytometry. The correlation and logistic regression analysis were performed.

Results

Levels of IFN-α, MCP-1, IL-6, IL-8, and IL-18 significantly increased in active SLE and correlated with clinical SLEDAI. Complement C3 showed a weakly negative relationship with IFN-α and IL-18. IL-18 showed the highest positive likelihood ratios for active SLE. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that IL-6, IL-8, and IL-18 significantly increased odds ratio (OR) for active SLE at baseline while complement C3 and IL-18 increased OR for active SLE at 12 weeks. IL-18 and IL-6 yielded higher sensitivity and specificity than anti-dsDNA and C3 to predict active renal and active non-renal, respectively.

Conclusion

The heterogeneity of SLE pathogenesis leads to different signaling mechanisms and mediates through several cytokines. The monitoring of cytokines increases the sensitivity and specificity to determine SLE disease activity. IL-18 predicts the risk of active renal SLE while IL-6 and IL-8 predict the risk of active non-renal. The sensitivity and specificity of these cytokines are higher than the anti-dsDNA or C3. We propose to use the serum level of IL-18, IL-6, and IL-8 to monitor SLE disease activity in clinical practice.

Clinical manifestations, immunological features and prognosis of Chinese pediatric systemic lupus erythematosus: A single-center study

AIM

Since there are only a few reports on pediatric systemic lupus erythematosus (pSLE) in Chinese populations, therefore we retrospectively report the clinical and immunological features as well as renal outcome in Chinese pSLE.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with pSLE at Shanghai Children's Medical Center between 2001 and 2016 were evaluated and clinical data were retrospectively collected.

RESULTS

A total of 102 pSLE patients were analyzed. Renal disorder including proteinuria (81.37%) and hematuria (65.69%) were most commonly identified. Class IV was the most common finding on renal biopsy. In lupus nephritis (LN), 67.21%, 78.0%, 86.0% and 94.55% achieved complete remission within 6, 12, 18 and 24 months, respectively. Furthermore, 16.67% of LN patients suffered at least one renal flare. Antinuclear antibodies were detected in nearly all patients (97.62%), followed by anti-double-stranded DNA (anti-dsDNA) antibodies (70.0%) and anti-Sjögren's syndrome A (anti-SSA) antibodies (60.64%). Oral corticosteroid (93.14%) and mycophenolate mofetil (64.71%) was used in the majority of patients. Infection (32.35%) was the main side effect caused by the medications.

CONCLUSIONS

Our population-based pSLE cohort indicated that compared to other international cohorts, there was a higher prevalence of LN in Chinese pSLE. Proteinuria was the most frequent manifestation both at disease onset and during the entire clinical course. Class IV LN was the dominant renal pathological type. Nevertheless, there was a favorable renal remission rate and relatively low incidence of renal flare in our cohort. Apart from antinuclear antibodies and anti-dsDNA antibodies, anti-SSA antibodies were most frequently detected. Infection was the leading complication caused by the medications.

Clinical Outcomes and Clinico-pathological Correlations in Lupus Nephritis with Kidney Biopsy Showing Thrombotic Microangiopathy

Objective.

Renal thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA) is an uncommon pathological finding in lupus nephritis (LN), and its clinical significance remains to be defined.

Methods.

Twenty-four patients with lupus nephritis (LN) and renal TMA were selected from a retrospective review of 677 biopsy-proven LN patients, and compared with 48 LN controls without TMA (1:2 ratio) matched according to demographics and treatments.

Results.

Renal TMA was noted in 3.5% of kidney biopsies of LN. TMA was associated with a higher prevalence of anti-Ro (45.8% vs 18.8%; p = 0.016), higher Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index scores (21.4 ± 8.5 vs 10.8 ± 2.3; p < 0.001), lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; 16.8 ± 11.7 ml/min vs 77.8 ± 28.6 ml/min; p < 0.001), and a higher percentage of patients who required dialysis (37.5% vs 2.1%; p < 0.001) at the time of kidney biopsy. Activity and chronicity indices [median (range)] were higher in the TMA group [11 (2–19) and 3 (1–8), respectively, compared with 7 (0–15) and 1 (0–3) in controls; p = 0.004 and p < 0.001; respectively]. Patients with TMA showed inferior 5-year renal survival and higher incidence of chronic kidney disease at last followup (70% and 66.6%, respectively, compared with 95% and 29.2% in controls; p = 0.023 and 0.002, respectively). The TMA group also showed lower median eGFR compared with controls [50.1 (IQR 7–132) ml/min vs 85.0 (IQR 12–147) ml/min; p = 0.003]. Five-year patient survival rate was similar between the 2 groups (87% and 98% in TMA and control group, respectively; p = 0.127).

Conclusion.

TMA in kidney biopsy was associated with more severe clinical and histological activity, and significantly inferior longterm renal outcome in LN.

Sustained complete renal remission is a predictor of reduced mortality, chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease in lupus nephritis

Objective

The objective of this paper is to identify the relationship between patients with lupus nephritis (LN) who achieve sustained complete renal remission (CR) and renal outcome and survival.

Methods

From a longitudinal cohort study we identified patients with LN with CR. We compared the outcomes of patients who achieved sustained CR for at least five years (Group A) with those less than five years (Group B). The outcomes were death, SLICC/ACR damage index (SDI), renal flare, end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 50 ml/min, and doubling of serum creatinine. Regression analyses were used to identify predictors of the outcomes.

Results

A total of 345 patients were identified, 132 patients in Group A and 213 patients in Group B. The duration of CR in Group A was 11.76 ± 7.34 years but only 1.24 ± 1.24 years in Group B ( p < 0.001). Death, increasing renal SDI, renal flare, renal transplantation, ESRD or eGFR < 50 ml/min, and doubling of serum creatinine in Group A were significantly lower than Group B. Multivariable analysis revealed that Group A patients were at a lower risk of death (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.20; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.07–0.61; p = 0.004), increasing renal SDI (HR = 0.41; 95% CI, 0.21–0.76; p = 0.01), developing ESRD or eGFR < 50 ml/min (HR = 0.27; 95% CI, 0.12–0.61; p = 0.001), and doubling of serum creatinine (HR = 0.29; 95% CI, 0.14–0.61; p = 0.001) compared with Group B.

Conclusion

Sustained CR for at least five years is a predictor of better prognosis in patients with LN.

Longterm Data on Disease Flares in Patients with Proliferative Lupus Nephritis in Recent Years

Objective.

To examine the disease flare rate in lupus nephritis (LN), focusing on renal flares, and the factors associated with relapse risk in recent years.

Methods.

We analyzed data on 139 Chinese patients with class III/IV ± V LN diagnosed from January 1983 to December 2013. We also compared data before and after 1998, when maintenance immunosuppression was changed from azathioprine (AZA) to mycophenolic acid (MPA).

Results.

Over 112.5 ± 88.4 months, 135 episodes of renal flare occurred, giving a flare rate of 0.108 episodes per patient-year. The renal relapse-free survival rate was 96%, 90%, 86%, 80%, 69%, and 57% after 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 10 years, respectively, calculated from the start of induction treatment. Reduced risk of flare was associated with MPA maintenance (OR 0.314, 95% CI 0.099–0.994, p = 0.049), complete remission after induction immunosuppression (OR 0.329, 95% CI 0.133–0.810, p = 0.016), and diagnosis after 1998 (OR 0.305, 95% CI 0.133–0.700, p = 0.005). Relapse-free survival was significantly better in patients treated with prednisolone and MPA as maintenance immunosuppression (91% after 5 yrs and 83% after 10 yrs, respectively) compared with prednisolone and AZA (70% and 52%, respectively, p = 0.044). LN diagnosed in 1998–2013 showed 5-year and 10-year relapse-free survival rates of 93% and 86%, respectively, compared with 81% and 66%, respectively (p = 0.017) for LN that presented in 1983–1997.

Conclusion.

Our data show a relatively low flare rate for LN in the more recent era, attributed to effective induction of immunosuppression and MPA as maintenance treatment.

Moderator's view: Cyclophosphamide in lupus nephritis

Mycophenolate mofetil was recently accepted as the effective induction treatment of lupus nephritis, with the potential to replace cyclophosphamide or at least expand our therapeutic armamentarium in patients with this lifelong disease often requiring repeated induction treatment of its relapses. Compared with cyclophosphamide, mycophenolate may be more effective in black patients, and the risk of gonadotoxicity may be significantly lower in mycophenolate-treated subjects. However, experience with mycophenolate in severe lupus nephritis is still limited and we also have insufficient data on the long-term outcome of mycophenolate-treated patients. Treatment with mycophenolate is more expensive than with cyclophosphamide, which may limit its use, especially in low- and middle-income countries. The efficacy of mycophenolate mofetil may be more dependent on the patient's compliance compared with intravenous cyclophosphamide pulses. Low-dose cyclophosphamide remains an effective and relatively safe induction treatment of active lupus nephritis, but to decrease its cumulative toxicity, repeated exposure to cyclophosphamide in relapsing patients should be (if possible) avoided.