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Fisher A, Fisher L, Srikusalanukul W. Prediction of Osteoporotic Hip Fracture Outcome: Comparative Accuracy of 27 Immune-Inflammatory-Metabolic Markers and Related Conceptual Issues. J Clin Med 2024; 13:3969. [PMID: 38999533 PMCID: PMC11242639 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13133969] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2024] [Revised: 06/26/2024] [Accepted: 07/03/2024] [Indexed: 07/14/2024] Open
Abstract
Objectives: This study, based on the concept of immuno-inflammatory-metabolic (IIM) dysregulation, investigated and compared the prognostic impact of 27 indices at admission for prediction of postoperative myocardial injury (PMI) and/or hospital death in hip fracture (HF) patients. Methods: In consecutive HF patient (n = 1273, mean age 82.9 ± 8.7 years, 73.5% females) demographics, medical history, laboratory parameters, and outcomes were recorded prospectively. Multiple logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristic analyses (the area under the curve, AUC) were used to establish the predictive role for each biomarker. Results: Among 27 IIM biomarkers, 10 indices were significantly associated with development of PMI and 16 were indicative of a fatal outcome; in the subset of patients aged >80 years with ischaemic heart disease (IHD, the highest risk group: 90.2% of all deaths), the corresponding figures were 26 and 20. In the latter group, the five strongest preoperative predictors for PMI were anaemia (AUC 0.7879), monocyte/eosinophil ratio > 13.0 (AUC 0.7814), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio > 7.5 (AUC 0.7784), eosinophil count < 1.1 × 109/L (AUC 0.7780), and neutrophil/albumin × 10 > 2.4 (AUC 0.7732); additionally, sensitivity was 83.1-75.4% and specificity was 82.1-75.0%. The highest predictors of in-hospital death were platelet/lymphocyte ratio > 280.0 (AUC 0.8390), lymphocyte/monocyte ratio < 1.1 (AUC 0.8375), albumin < 33 g/L (AUC 0.7889), red cell distribution width > 14.5% (AUC 0.7739), and anaemia (AUC 0.7604), sensitivity 88.2% and above, and specificity 85.1-79.3%. Internal validation confirmed the predictive value of the models. Conclusions: Comparison of 27 IIM indices in HF patients identified several simple, widely available, and inexpensive parameters highly predictive for PMI and/or in-hospital death. The applicability of IIM biomarkers to diagnose and predict risks for chronic diseases, including OP/OF, in the preclinical stages is discussed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexander Fisher
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, The Canberra Hospital, ACT Health, Canberra 2605, Australia
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Canberra Hospital, ACT Health, Canberra 2605, Australia
- Medical School, Australian National University, Canberra 2601, Australia
| | - Leon Fisher
- Frankston Hospital, Peninsula Health, Melbourne 3199, Australia
| | - Wichat Srikusalanukul
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, The Canberra Hospital, ACT Health, Canberra 2605, Australia
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Qin S, Zhang J, Sun X, Meng G, Zhuang X, Jia Y, Shi WX, Zhang YP. A scale for measuring nursing digital application skills: a development and psychometric testing study. BMC Nurs 2024; 23:366. [PMID: 38822276 PMCID: PMC11140889 DOI: 10.1186/s12912-024-02030-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2024] [Accepted: 05/20/2024] [Indexed: 06/02/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The adoption of digitization has emerged as a new trend in the advancement of healthcare systems. To ensure high-quality care, nurses should possess sufficient skills to assist in the digital transformation of healthcare practices. Suitable tools have seldom been developed to assess nurses' skills in digital applications. This study aimed to develop the Nursing Digital Application Skill Scale (NDASS) and test its psychometric properties. METHODS The Nursing Digital Application Skill Scale was developed in three phases. In Phase 1, an item pool was developed based on previous literature and the actual situation of nursing work. Phase 2 included 14 experts' assessment of content validity and a focus group interview with 30 nurses to pretest the scale. In phase 3, 429 registered nurses were selected from March to June 2023, and item analysis, exploratory factor analysis, and confirmatory factor analysis were used to refine the number of items and explore the factor structure of the scale. Additionally, reliability was determined by internal consistency and test-retest reliability. RESULTS The final version of the NDASS consisted of 12 items. The content validity index of NDASS reached 0.975 at an acceptable level. The convergent validity test showed that the average variance extracted value was 0.694 (> 0.5) and the composite reliability value was 0.964 (> 0.7), both of which met the requirements. The principal component analysis resulted in a single-factor structure explaining 74.794% of the total variance. All the fitting indices satisfied the standard based upon confirmatory factor analyses, indicating that the single-factor structure contributed to an ideal model fit. The internal consistency appeared high for the NDASS, reaching a Cronbach's alpha value of 0.968. The test-retest reliability was 0.740, and the split-half coefficient was 0.935. CONCLUSION The final version of the NDASS, which possesses adequate psychometric properties, is a reliable and effective instrument for nurses to self-assess digital skills in nursing work and for nursing managers in designing nursing digital skill training.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shijia Qin
- Faculty of Nursing, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, No.76, West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, China
| | - Jianzhong Zhang
- Faculty of Nursing, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, No.76, West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, China
| | - Xiaomin Sun
- Department of Nursing, Xi'an No.3 Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Northwest University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710018, China
| | - Ge Meng
- Faculty of Nursing, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, No.76, West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, China
| | - Xinqi Zhuang
- Faculty of Nursing, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, No.76, West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, China
| | - Yitong Jia
- Faculty of Nursing, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, No.76, West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, China
| | - Wen-Xin Shi
- Faculty of Nursing, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, No.76, West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, China
| | - Yin-Ping Zhang
- Faculty of Nursing, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, No.76, West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, China.
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Petersen TG, Abrahamsen B, Høiberg M, Rothmann MJ, Holmberg T, Gram J, Bech M, Åkesson KE, Javaid MK, Hermann AP, Rubin KH. Ten-year follow-up of fracture risk in a systematic population-based screening program: the risk-stratified osteoporosis strategy evaluation (ROSE) randomised trial. EClinicalMedicine 2024; 71:102584. [PMID: 38638398 PMCID: PMC11024575 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102584] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2023] [Revised: 03/13/2024] [Accepted: 03/19/2024] [Indexed: 04/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Osteoporotic fractures pose a growing public health concern. Osteoporosis is underdiagnosed and undertreated, highlighting the necessity of systematic screening programs. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of a two-step population-based osteoporotic screening program. Methods This ten-year follow-up of the Risk-stratified Osteoporosis Strategy Evaluation (ROSE) randomized trial tested the effectiveness of a screening program utilizing the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) for major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) to select women for dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scan following standard osteoporosis treatment. Women residing in the Region of Southern Denmark, aged 65-80, were randomised (single masked) into a screening or a control group by a computer program prior to inclusion and subsequently approached with a mailed questionnaire. Based on the questionnaire data, women in the screening group with a FRAX value ≥15% were invited for DXA scanning. The primary outcome was MOF derived from nationwide registers. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01388244, status: Completed. Findings All randomised women were included February 4, 2010-January 8, 2011, the same day as approached to participate. During follow-up, 7355 MOFs were observed. No differences in incidences of MOF were identified, comparing the 17,072 women in the screening group with the 17,157 controls in the intention-to-treat analysis (IRR 1.01, 0.95; 1.06). However, per-protocol, women DXA-scanned exhibited a 14% lower incidence of MOF (IRR 0.86, 0.78; 0.94) than controls with a FRAX value ≥15%. Similar trends were observed for hip fractures, all fractures, and mortality. Interpretation While the ROSE program had no overall effect on osteoporotic fracture incidence or mortality it showed a preventive effect for women at moderate to high risk who underwent DXA scans. Hence the overall effect might have been diluted by those who were not at an intervention level threshold risk or those who did not show up for DXA. Using self-administered questionnaires as screening tools may be inefficient for systematic screening due to the low and differential screening uptake. Funding INTERREG and the Region of Southern Denmark.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tanja Gram Petersen
- Research Unit OPEN, Department of Clinical Research, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
| | - Bo Abrahamsen
- Research Unit OPEN, Department of Clinical Research, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
- Department of Medicine, Holbæk Hospital, Holbæk, Denmark
| | - Mikkel Høiberg
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital of Southern Norway, Arendal, Norway
| | - Mette Juel Rothmann
- Research Unit for Endocrinology, Odense University Hospital; University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
- Research Unit for Steno Diabetes Center Odense, Odense University Hospital; University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
| | | | - Jeppe Gram
- Department of Endocrinology, Esbjerg Hospital, University Hospital of Southern Denmark
| | - Mickael Bech
- Department of Political Science and Public Management, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
| | - Kristina E. Åkesson
- Clinical and Molecular Osteoporosis Research Unit, Department of Clinical Sciences Malmö, Lund University, Sweden and Department of Orthopaedics, Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden
| | - M Kassim Javaid
- Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Anne Pernille Hermann
- Research Unit for Endocrinology, Odense University Hospital; University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
| | - Katrine Hass Rubin
- Research Unit OPEN, Department of Clinical Research, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
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Yokota S, Ishizu H, Miyazaki T, Takahashi D, Iwasaki N, Shimizu T. Osteoporosis, Osteoarthritis, and Subchondral Insufficiency Fracture: Recent Insights. Biomedicines 2024; 12:843. [PMID: 38672197 PMCID: PMC11048726 DOI: 10.3390/biomedicines12040843] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2024] [Revised: 03/31/2024] [Accepted: 04/08/2024] [Indexed: 04/28/2024] Open
Abstract
The increased incidence of osteoarthritis (OA), particularly knee and hip OA, and osteoporosis (OP), owing to population aging, have escalated the medical expense burden. Osteoarthritis is more prevalent in older women, and the involvement of subchondral bone fragility spotlights its association with OP. Notably, subchondral insufficiency fracture (SIF) may represent a more pronounced condition of OA pathophysiology. This review summarizes the relationship between OA and OP, incorporating recent insights into SIF. Progressive SIF leads to joint collapse and secondary OA and is associated with OP. Furthermore, the thinning and fragility of subchondral bone in early-stage OA suggest that SIF may be a subtype of OA (osteoporosis-related OA, OPOA) characterized by significant subchondral bone damage. The high bone mineral density observed in OA may be overestimated due to osteophytes and sclerosis and can potentially contribute to OPOA. The incidence of OPOA is expected to increase along with population aging. Therefore, prioritizing OP screening, early interventions for patients with early-stage OA, and fracture prevention measures such as rehabilitation, fracture liaison services, nutritional management, and medication guidance are essential.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | - Tomohiro Shimizu
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo 060-8638, Japan; (S.Y.); (H.I.); (T.M.); (D.T.); (N.I.)
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Ishizu H, Shimizu T, Sakamoto Y, Toyama F, Kitahara K, Takayama H, Miyamoto M, Iwasaki N. Radiofrequency Echographic Multispectrometry (REMS) can Overcome the Effects of Structural Internal Artifacts and Evaluate Bone Fragility Accurately. Calcif Tissue Int 2024; 114:246-254. [PMID: 38127125 DOI: 10.1007/s00223-023-01167-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2023] [Accepted: 11/16/2023] [Indexed: 12/23/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE This study measured bone mineral density (BMD) in a Japanese population using the novel non-ionizing system using radiofrequency echographic multispectrometry (REMS) and compared the results with those obtained using traditional dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). We aimed to identify any discrepancies between measurements obtained using these instruments and identify the influencing factors. METHODS This cross-sectional study examined patients with osteoporosis treated at a single center from April to August 2023. We examined BMD assessment by DXA and REMS in lumbar spine and proximal femur. Patients were categorized into two groups: those with discrepancies between lumbar spine BMD measured by DXA and REMS, and those without. Semiquantitative evaluation of vertebral fractures and abdominal aortic calcification scoring were also performed and compared between the two groups, along with various patient characteristics. RESULTS A total of 70 patients (88.6% female; mean age 78.39 ± 9.50 years) undergoing osteoporosis treatment were included in the study. A significant difference was noted between DXA and REMS measurement of BMD and T-scores, with REMS recording consistently lower values. The discrepancy group exhibited a higher incidence of multiple vertebral fractures and increased vascular calcification than the non-discrepancy group. Multivariate analysis indicated that diabetes mellitus, severe vertebral fractures, and increased abdominal aortic calcification scores were significantly associated with discrepancies in lumbar spine T-scores. CONCLUSION This study suggests that REMS may offer a more accurate measurement of BMD, overcoming the overestimation of BMD by DXA owing to factors such as vertebral deformities, abdominal aortic calcification, and diabetes mellitus.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hotaka Ishizu
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Faculty of Medicine and Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Kita-15 Nishi-7, Kita-Ku, Sapporo, Hokkaido, 060-8638, Japan
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Iwamizawa Hokushokai Hospital, Iwamizawa, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Tomohiro Shimizu
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Faculty of Medicine and Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Kita-15 Nishi-7, Kita-Ku, Sapporo, Hokkaido, 060-8638, Japan.
| | - Yuki Sakamoto
- Department of Radiological Technology, Iwamizawa Hokushokai Hospital, Iwamizawa, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Fumi Toyama
- Department of Nursing, Iwamizawa Hokushokai Hospital, Iwamizawa, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Keita Kitahara
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Faculty of Medicine and Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Kita-15 Nishi-7, Kita-Ku, Sapporo, Hokkaido, 060-8638, Japan
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Iwamizawa Hokushokai Hospital, Iwamizawa, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Hiroki Takayama
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Iwamizawa Hokushokai Hospital, Iwamizawa, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Moritaka Miyamoto
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Iwamizawa Hokushokai Hospital, Iwamizawa, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Norimasa Iwasaki
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Faculty of Medicine and Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Kita-15 Nishi-7, Kita-Ku, Sapporo, Hokkaido, 060-8638, Japan
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Lu K, Wu YM, Shi Q, Gong YQ, Zhang T, Li C. A novel fracture liaison service using digital health: impact on mortality in hospitalized elderly osteoporotic fracture patients. Osteoporos Int 2024; 35:53-67. [PMID: 37698600 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-023-06905-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2023] [Accepted: 08/30/2023] [Indexed: 09/13/2023]
Abstract
We examined the performance of an intelligent fracture liaison service (FLS) assisted by digital health (DH) to reduce all-cause mortality (ACM) risk. According to our findings, the new FLS reduced ACM by 36%. INTRODUCTION A well-designed secondary prevention program known as FLS enhances the bone densitometry-based assessment rate as well as osteoporosis (OP) medication usage following a fracture. However, there are only a few reports on FLS incorporating DH, and it remains unclear whether this integration has influenced patient ACM, which refers to the overall death rate from any cause during the study period. METHODS This retrospective observational study was conducted on data from the Fragility Fracture Registration System database linked to the Regional Health Registration Platform of Kunshan City and the Population Death Registration System of Jiangsu Province for one tertiary-level A hospital in China. Patients aged ≥ 50 years, who experienced an OP fracture between January 1, 2017, and July 27, 2022, requiring hospitalization, were selected for analysis. We compared the outcomes of patients who received routine fragility fracture management (the no-FLS group) or FLS (the FLS group). We employed multivariable Cox regression with inverse probability weighting based on the propensity score (PS). RESULTS Of 2317 patients, 756 (32.6%) received FLS and 1561 (67.4%) did not. Using PS matching, we minimized the baseline characteristic differences between the two groups in the propensity score-matched samples, relative to the unmatched samples. Based on our analysis, the new FLS reduced ACM by 36% (hazard ratio [HR], 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47 to 0.87; P-value = 0.004). Moreover, FLS patients experienced further reductions in fall-related mortality, refracture rate, and total refracture-related hospital costs, and had increased dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) testing and treatment initiation rates, relative to the no-FLS patients. CONCLUSIONS A new FLS model implementation assisted by DH can effectively reduce ACM among elderly patients with OP fractures requiring surgery. In future investigations, we recommend examining the scalability of this model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ke Lu
- Department of Orthopedics, Affiliated Kunshan Hospital of Jiangsu University, No. 566 East of Qianjin Road, Suzhou, 215300, Jiangsu, China
| | - Ya-Ming Wu
- Department of Orthopedics, Affiliated Kunshan Hospital of Jiangsu University, No. 566 East of Qianjin Road, Suzhou, 215300, Jiangsu, China
| | - Qin Shi
- Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Orthopedic Institute of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Ya-Qin Gong
- Information Department, Affiliated Kunshan Hospital of Jiangsu University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Ting Zhang
- Chronic Disease Department, Kunshan Center For Disease Control and Prevention, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Chong Li
- Department of Orthopedics, Affiliated Kunshan Hospital of Jiangsu University, No. 566 East of Qianjin Road, Suzhou, 215300, Jiangsu, China.
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Paccou J, Philippoteaux C, Cortet B, Fardellone P. Effectiveness of fracture liaison services in osteoporosis. Joint Bone Spine 2023; 90:105574. [PMID: 37080285 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbspin.2023.105574] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/13/2023] [Revised: 03/21/2023] [Accepted: 04/03/2023] [Indexed: 04/22/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In response to the gradual decline in the number of prescriptions for anti-osteoporosis medication (AOM) following fragility fractures, fracture liaison services (FLSs) have been set up around the world with the aim of filling this treatment gap. Several studies have already reported the benefits of such organizations, particularly in reducing fracture risk, mortality rates and healthcare costs, and literature on FLSs has increased at a steady pace over time. METHODS A narrative review was conducted on the latest available findings on the effectiveness of FLSs. Various approaches to implementing an effective FLS program are discussed. RESULTS FLS programs have enhanced the management of osteoporosis-related fractures. However, several studies have highlighted that not all FLSs are necessarily effective in reducing subsequent fracture risk and mortality. Long-term AOM persistence and monitoring are another critical issue in FLS programs. A few studies have reported that FLSs are associated with an improvement in AOM persistence, regardless of the type of AOM. Practitioners in the FLS setting need to be aware of the impact of recency of fracture and fracture recurrence rates, and the need for timely interventions. The administration of zoledronic acid in an in-patient setting may improve AOM treatment rates in patients, who often encounter obstacles to outpatient follow-up. Introducing 'vertebral fracture identification services' in FLS programs is also an option. However, doing so leads to an increase in workload and this would need to be considered by any FLS that is considering introducing such a service. Evidence suggests that digital technologies can support (i) multidisciplinary teams in providing the best possible patient care based on current evidence, and (ii) patient self-management. However, as the methodological quality of many of the studies evaluating these technologies was poor, their validity of their results is limited. CONCLUSION Further research should focus on the optimal implementation of post-fracture care using automated systems, and standardized reporting of patient's characteristics and outcome measures using key performance indicators.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julien Paccou
- Department of Rheumatology, MABlab ULR 4490, Université de Lille, CHU de Lille, 59000 Lille, France.
| | | | - Bernard Cortet
- Department of Rheumatology, MABlab ULR 4490, Université de Lille, CHU de Lille, 59000 Lille, France
| | - Patrice Fardellone
- Department of Rheumatology, CHU d'Amiens, Unité EA MP3CV, Amiens, France
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Harvey NC, Orwoll E, Cauley JA, Kwok T, Karlsson MK, Rosengren BE, Ribom E, Cawthon PM, Ensrud K, Liu E, Laskou F, Ward KA, Dennison EM, Cooper C, Kanis JA, Vandenput L, Lorentzon M, Ohlsson C, Mellström D, Johansson H, McCloskey E. Greater pQCT Calf Muscle Density Is Associated with Lower Fracture Risk, Independent of FRAX, Falls and BMD: A Meta-Analysis in the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Study. JBMR Plus 2022; 6:e10696. [PMID: 36530188 PMCID: PMC9751652 DOI: 10.1002/jbm4.10696] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2022] [Accepted: 10/26/2022] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
We investigated the predictive performance of peripheral quantitative computed tomography (pQCT) measures of both calf muscle density (an established surrogate for muscle adiposity, with higher values indicating lower muscle adiposity and higher muscle quality) and size (cross-sectional area [CSA]) for incident fracture. pQCT (Stratec XCT2000/3000) measurements at the tibia were undertaken in Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) United States (US), Hong Kong (HK), and Swedish (SW) cohorts. Analyses were by cohort and synthesized by meta-analysis. The predictive value for incident fracture outcomes, illustrated here for hip fracture (HF), using an extension of Poisson regression adjusted for age and follow-up time, was expressed as hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation (SD) increase in exposure (HR/SD). Further analyses adjusted for femoral neck (fn) bone mineral density (BMD) T-score, Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) 10-year fracture probability (major osteoporotic fracture) and prior falls. We studied 991 (US), 1662 (HK), and 1521 (SW) men, mean ± SD age 77.0 ± 5.1, 73.9 ± 4.9, 80 ± 3.4 years, followed for a mean ± SD 7.8 ± 2.2, 8.1 ± 2.3, 5.3 ± 2.0 years, with 31, 47, and 78 incident HFs, respectively. Both greater muscle CSA and greater muscle density were associated with a lower risk of incident HF [HR/SD: 0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.72-1.0 and 0.78; 95% CI, 0.66-0.91, respectively]. The pattern of associations was not materially changed by adjustment for prior falls or FRAX probability. In contrast, after inclusion of fn BMD T-score, the association for muscle CSA was no longer apparent (1.04; 95% CI, 0.88-1.24), whereas that for muscle density was not materially changed (0.69; 95% CI, 0.59-0.82). Findings were similar for osteoporotic fractures. pQCT measures of greater calf muscle density and CSA were both associated with lower incidence of fractures in older men, but only muscle density remained an independent risk factor for fracture after accounting for fn BMD. These findings demonstrate a complex interplay between measures of bone, muscle size, and quality, in determining fracture risk. © 2022 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicholas C. Harvey
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology CentreUniversity of SouthamptonSouthamptonUK
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of Southampton and University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation TrustSouthamptonUK
| | - Eric Orwoll
- Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Clinical Nutrition, School of MedicineOregon Health & Science UniversityPortlandORUSA
| | - Jane A. Cauley
- Department of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public HealthUniversity of PittsburghPittsburghPAUSA
| | - Timothy Kwok
- Department of Medicine & Therapeutics and School of Public HealthThe Chinese University of Hong KongShatinChina
| | - Magnus K. Karlsson
- Clinical and Molecular Osteoporosis Research Unit, Department of Clinical Sciences MalmoLund University and Department of Orthopedics, Skane University HospitalMalmoSweden
| | - Björn E. Rosengren
- Clinical and Molecular Osteoporosis Research Unit, Department of Clinical Sciences MalmoLund University and Department of Orthopedics, Skane University HospitalMalmoSweden
| | - Eva Ribom
- Department of Surgical SciencesUniversity of UppsalaUppsalaSweden
| | - Peggy M. Cawthon
- Research InstituteCalifornia Pacific Medical CenterSan FranciscoCAUSA
- Department of Epidemiology and BiostatisticsUniversity of CaliforniaSan FranciscoCAUSA
| | - Kristine Ensrud
- Medicine and Epidemiology & Community HealthUniversity of MinnesotaMinneapolisMNUSA
- Center for Care Delivery and Outcomes ResearchMinneapolis VA Health Care SystemMinneapolisMNUSA
| | - Enwu Liu
- Mary MacKillop Institute for Health ResearchAustralian Catholic UniversityMelbourneAustralia
| | - Faidra Laskou
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology CentreUniversity of SouthamptonSouthamptonUK
| | - Kate A. Ward
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology CentreUniversity of SouthamptonSouthamptonUK
| | - Elaine M. Dennison
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology CentreUniversity of SouthamptonSouthamptonUK
| | - Cyrus Cooper
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology CentreUniversity of SouthamptonSouthamptonUK
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of Southampton and University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation TrustSouthamptonUK
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
| | - John A. Kanis
- Mary MacKillop Institute for Health ResearchAustralian Catholic UniversityMelbourneAustralia
- Centre for Metabolic Bone DiseasesUniversity of SheffieldSheffieldUK
| | - Liesbeth Vandenput
- Mary MacKillop Institute for Health ResearchAustralian Catholic UniversityMelbourneAustralia
- Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, Sahlgrenska AcademyUniversity of GothenburgGothenburgSweden
| | - Mattias Lorentzon
- Mary MacKillop Institute for Health ResearchAustralian Catholic UniversityMelbourneAustralia
- Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, Sahlgrenska AcademyUniversity of GothenburgGothenburgSweden
| | - Claes Ohlsson
- Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, Sahlgrenska AcademyUniversity of GothenburgGothenburgSweden
| | - Dan Mellström
- Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, Sahlgrenska AcademyUniversity of GothenburgGothenburgSweden
| | - Helena Johansson
- Mary MacKillop Institute for Health ResearchAustralian Catholic UniversityMelbourneAustralia
- Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, Sahlgrenska AcademyUniversity of GothenburgGothenburgSweden
| | - Eugene McCloskey
- Centre for Metabolic Bone DiseasesUniversity of SheffieldSheffieldUK
- Centre for Integrated Research into Musculoskeletal Ageing (CIMA), Mellanby Centre for Musculoskeletal ResearchUniversity of SheffieldSheffieldUK
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