Mortality risk comparing walking pace to handgrip strength and a healthy lifestyle: A UK Biobank study

Interplay between physical activity volume and intensity with modeled life expectancy in women and men: A prospective cohort analysis

BACKGROUND

There is a lack of research examining the interplay between objectively measured physical activity volume and intensity with life expectancy.

METHODS

Individuals from UK Biobank with wrist-worn accelerometer data were included. The average acceleration and intensity gradient were extracted to describe the physical activity volume and intensity profile. Mortality data were obtained from national registries. Adjusted life expectancies were estimated using parametric flexible survival models.

RESULTS

40,953 (57.1%) women (median age = 61.9 years) and 30,820 (42.9%) men (63.1 years) were included. Over a median follow-up of 6.9 years, there were 1719 (2.4%) deaths (733 in women; 986 in men). At 60 years, life expectancy was progressively longer for higher physical activity volume and intensity profiles, reaching 95.6 years in women and 94.5 years in men at the 90th centile for both volume and intensity, corresponding to 3.4 (95% confidence interval (95%CI): 2.4-4.4) additional years in women and 4.6 (95%CI: 3.6-5.6) additional years in men compared to those at the 10th centiles. An additional 10-min or 30-min daily brisk walk was associated with 0.9 (95%CI: 0.5-1.3) and 1.4 (95%CI: 0.9-1.9) years longer life expectancy, respectively, in inactive women; and 1.4 (95%CI: 1.0-1.8) and 2.5 (95%CI: 1.9-3.1) years in inactive men.

CONCLUSION

Higher physical activity volumes were associated with longer life expectancy, with a higher physical activity intensity profile further adding to a longer life. Adding as little as a 10-min brisk walk to daily activity patterns may result in a meaningful benefit to life expectancy.

Mendelian randomisation and mediation analysis of self-reported walking pace and coronary artery disease

The aim of this study was to assess the causal relationship between habitual walking pace and cardiovascular disease risk using a Mendelian randomisation approach. We performed both one- and two-sample Mendelian randomisation analyses in a sample of 340,000 European ancestry participants from UK Biobank, applying a range of sensitivity analyses to assess pleiotropy and reverse causality. We used a latent variable framework throughout to model walking pace as a continuous exposure, despite being measured in discrete categories, which provided more robust and interpretable causal effect estimates. Using one-sample Mendelian randomisation, we estimated that a 1 mph (i.e., 1.6 kph) increase in self-reported habitual walking pace corresponds to a 63% (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.37, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.25-0.55, P = 2.0 × 10-6) reduction in coronary artery disease risk. Using conditional analyses, we also estimated that the proportion of the total effect on coronary artery disease mediated through BMI was 45% (95% CI 16-70%). We further validated findings from UK Biobank using two-sample Mendelian randomisation with outcome data from the CARDIoGRAMplusC4D consortium. Our findings suggest that interventions that seek to encourage individuals to walk more briskly should lead to protective effects on cardiovascular disease risk.

Walking pace and the time between the onset of noncommunicable diseases and mortality: a UK Biobank prospective cohort study

PURPOSE

To estimate time spent in various cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer states, according to self-reported walking pace.

METHODS

In total, 391,744 UK Biobank participants were included (median age = 57 years; 54.7% women). Data were collected 2006-2010, with follow-up collected in 2021. Usual walking pace was self-defined as slow, steady, average, or brisk. Multistate modeling determined the transition rate and mean sojourn time in and across three different states (healthy, CVD or cancer, and death) upon a time horizon of 10 years.

RESULTS

The mean sojourn time in the healthy state was longer, while that in the CVD or cancer state was shorter in individuals reporting an average or brisk walking pace (vs. slow). A 75-year-old woman reporting a brisk walking pace spent, on average, 8.4 years of the next 10 years in a healthy state; an additional 8.0 (95% CI: 7.3, 8.7) months longer than a 75-year-old woman reporting a slow walking pace. This corresponded to 4.3 (3.7, 4.9) fewer months living with CVD or cancer. Similar results were seen in men.

CONCLUSIONS

Adults reporting an average or brisk walking pace at baseline displayed a lower transition to disease development and a greater proportion of life lived without CVD or cancer.

AVAILABILITY OF DATA AND MATERIALS

Research was conducted using the UK Biobank resource under Application #33266. The UK Biobank resource can be accessed by researchers on application. Variables derived for this study have been returned to the UK Biobank for future applicants to request. No additional data are available.

Handgrip strength is associated with mortality in community-dwelling older adults: the Yilan cohort study, Taiwan

INTRODUCTION

Hand grip strength (HGS) is one of the methods to help early identification of physical frailty and sarcopenia, the major concerns in the aging societies. It is also crucial to evaluate its impact on mortality. However, the available evidence regarding such impact among specific age cohorts (65 to 74 years and above) is limited. This study tried to investigate the relationship between HGS and mortality among specific cohorts of the community-dwelling older individuals in Yilan, Taiwan.

METHODS

A seven-year longitudinal follow-up study was conducted involving 2,468 community-dwelling older individuals in Yilan. The participants were divided into two groups based on their quartiles of hand grip strength: with poor HGS and with good HGS. The association between HGS and mortality was examined using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

The analysis revealed that age, HGS, gender, medical history of cardiovascular diseases, body mass index, and wrist-hip ratio had significant impacts on seven-year survival. Specifically, individuals with poor HGS exhibited increased mortality, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.87 (95% CI: 1.52-2.30). Furthermore, the adverse effect of poor HGS on mortality was more pronounced in males aged 65-74 years (adjusted HR 4.12, 95% CI: 2.16-7.84), females aged 75 years or older (2.09, 1.43-3.04) and males aged 75 years or older (1.49, 1.07-2.07).

CONCLUSION

Poor hand grip strength is an independent risk factor for mid-term mortality among community-dwelling older individuals in Yilan. The assessment of HGS can serve as a valuable tool in identifying older individuals at higher risk of death.

Mortality, falls and slow walking speed are predicted by different muscle strength and physical performance measures in women and men

BACKGROUND

Different measures of muscle strength, physical performance and body size/composition are used in various sarcopenia definitions. This study investigated which baseline measures best predict incident mortality and falls, and prevalent slow walking speed in older women and men.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data for 899 women (mean age±standard deviation, 68.7 ± 4.3 years) and 497 men (69.4 ± 3.9 years) from the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study 2, comprising sixty variables for muscle strength (quadriceps strength), physical performance (walking speed, timed up and go (TUG) test, sit to stand (STS) test), body size (weight, height, body mass index) and body composition (lean mass, body fat) were included. Sex-stratified Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analyses calculated baseline variable accuracy for predicting incident mortality and falls, and prevalent slow walking speed (<0.8 m/s).

RESULTS

Over 14.5 years, 103/899 (11.5%) women and 96/497 (19.3%) men died, 345/899 (38.4%) women and 172/497 (34.6%) men had ≥1 fall, and 304/860 (35.3%) women and 172/461 (31.7%) had baseline slow walking speed (<0.8 m/s). CART models identified age and walking speed adjusted for height as the most important predictors for mortality in women, and quadriceps strength (with adjustments) as the most important predictor for mortality in men. In both sexes, STS (with adjustments) was the most important predictor for incident falls, and TUG test was the most important predictor for prevalent slow walking speed. Body composition measures were not important predictors for any outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Muscle strength and physical performance variables and cut points predict falls and mortality differently in women and men, suggesting targeted sex-specific application of selected measures may improve outcome prediction in older adults.

Four-Year Increase in Step Cadence Is Associated with Improved Cardiometabolic Health in People with a History of Prediabetes

PURPOSE

To investigate associations between 4-yr change in step cadence and markers of cardiometabolic health in people with a history of prediabetes and to explore whether these associations are modified by demographic factors.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, adults, with a history of prediabetes, were assessed for markers of cardiometabolic health (body mass index, waist circumference, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol [HDL-C], low-density lipoprotein cholesterol [LDL-C], triglycerides, and glycated hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c]), and free-living stepping activity (activPAL3™) at baseline, 1 yr, and 4 yr. Brisk steps per day were defined as the number of steps accumulated at ≥100 steps per minute and slow steps per day as those accumulated at <100 steps per minute; the mean peak stepping cadence during the most active 10 minutes of the day was also derived. Generalized estimating equations examined associations between 4-yr change in step cadence and change in cardiometabolic risk factors, with interactions by sex and ethnicity.

RESULTS

Seven hundred ninety-four participants were included (age, 59.8 ± 8.9 yr; 48.7% women; 27.1% ethnic minority; total steps per day, 8445 ± 3364; brisk steps per day, 4794 ± 2865; peak 10-min step cadence, 128 ± 10 steps per minute). Beneficial associations were observed between change in brisk steps per day and change in body mass index, waist circumference, HDL-C, and HbA1c. Similar associations were found between peak 10-min step cadence and HDL-C and waist circumference. Interactions by ethnicity revealed change in brisk steps per day and change in peak 10-min step cadence had a stronger association with HbA1c in White Europeans, whereas associations between change in 10-min peak step cadence with measures of adiposity were stronger in South Asians.

CONCLUSIONS

Change in the number of daily steps accumulated at a brisk pace was associated with beneficial change in adiposity, HDL-C, and HbA1c; however, potential benefits may be dependent on ethnicity for outcomes related to HbA1c and adiposity.

Self-reported walking pace: A simple screening tool with lowest risk of all-cause mortality in those that 'walk the talk'

To determine whether the association between self-reported walking pace and all-cause mortality (ACM) persists across categories of accelerometer-assessed physical activity status. Data from 93,709 UK Biobank participants were included. Physical activity was assessed using wrist-worn accelerometers for 7-days. Participants accumulating <150 min/week moderate-to-vigorous- activity were classed as "inactive", ≥150 min/week moderate (≥3 METs) activity as "somewhat active" excluding those with ≥150 min/week upper-moderate-to-vigorous activity (≥4.3 METs), who were classed as "high-active". Over a 6.3 y (median) follow-up, 2,173 deaths occurred. More than half of slow walkers were "inactive", but only 26% of steady and 12% of brisk walkers. Associations between walking pace and ACM were consistent with those for activity. "High active" brisk walkers had the lowest risk of ACM (Hazard Ratio (HR) 0.22; 95% CI: 0.17,0.28), relative to "inactive" slow walkers. Within those classed as "inactive", steady (HR 0.54; 0.46,0.64) and brisk walkers (HR 0.42; 0.34,0.52) had lower risk than slow walkers. In conclusion, self-reported walking pace was associated with accelerometer-assessed physical activity with both exposures having similar associations with ACM. "inactive", steady, and brisk walkers had lower ACM risk than slow walkers. The pattern was similar for "High active" participants. Overall, "High active" brisk walkers had lowest risk.

Brisk Walking Pace Is Associated with Better Cardiometabolic Health in Adults: Findings from the Chilean National Health Survey 2016-2017

BACKGROUND

Although the importance of walking for promoting a better cardiometabolic health is widely known (this includes both cardiovascular and metabolic/endocrine systems), there is little knowledge regarding its appropriate pace to provide adults with more cardiometabolic benefits.

AIM

To analyze the associations between different walking pace categories and cardiometabolic health markers in the adult Chilean population.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study. A total of 5520 participants aged 15 to 90 years old from the Chilean National Health Survey (CNHS) 2016-2017 were included. Walking pace categories (slow, average, and brisk) were collected through self-reported methods. Glycaemia, glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT), vitamin D2, vitamin D3, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, and lipid profile (Total, HDL, LDL, VLDL, No HDL cholesterol and triglycerides) were determined using blood sample tests and measured with the standardized methods described in the CNHS 2016-2017.

RESULTS

People who had a brisk walking pace were associated with lower levels of glycaemia, HbA1c, GGT, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, and higher vitamin D3 levels compared with those with a slow walking pace. Moreover, people with a brisk walking pace had lower levels of VLDL cholesterol compared with those with a slow walking pace. However, after adjusting the model to include sociodemographic background, nutritional status, and lifestyle variables, the differences remained only for glycaemia, HbA1c and systolic blood pressure levels.

CONCLUSIONS

A brisk walking pace was associated with better cardiometabolic health markers and lipid profile compared with a slow walking pace.

Individual frailty phenotype components and mortality in adults with type 2 diabetes: A UK Biobank study

AIMS

This study aimed to explore associations between frailty components and mortality and rank prognostic relevance of each frailty component in predicting mortality in adults with and without type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODS

We used data from the UK Biobank. Associations and prognostic discrimination of individual Fried's frailty components and the overall frailty status with all-cause and cardiovascular (CVD) mortality were investigated using Cox proportional-hazard models and C-index in adults with and without T2D.

RESULTS

In both populations the strongest association with all-cause mortality across all frailty components and overall frailty status was observed for slow walking pace (without T2D Hazard Ratio [HR] 2.25, 95 %CI: 2.12-2.38 and with T2D HR 1.95, 95 %CI: 1.67-2.28). Similarly, slow walking pace was associated with a greater risk of CVD mortality. The combination of T2D and slow walking pace had the strongest association with all-cause and CVD mortality, compared to the combination of T2D and other frailty components or overall frailty status. Slow walking pace also provided the greatest prognostic discrimination.

CONCLUSION

Slow walking pace has a stronger predictive factor for all-cause and CVD mortality compared to other frailty components and overall frailty status, especially when simultaneously present with T2D.

Physical activity volume, intensity, and incident cardiovascular disease

AIMS

The interplay between physical activity (PA) volume and intensity is poorly understood in relation to cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. This study aimed to investigate the role of PA intensity, over and above volume, in relation to incident CVD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data were from 88 412 UK Biobank middle-aged adults (58% women) without prevalent CVD who wore accelerometers on their dominant wrist for 7 days, from which we estimated total PA energy expenditure (PAEE) using population-specific validation. Cox proportional hazards regressions modelled associations between PAEE (kJ/kg/day) and PA intensity (%MVPA; the fraction of PAEE accumulated from moderate-to-vigorous-intensity PA) with incident CVD (ischaemic heart disease or cerebrovascular disease), adjusted for potential confounders. There were 4068 CVD events during 584 568 person-years of follow-up (median 6.8 years). Higher PAEE and higher %MVPA (adjusted for PAEE) were associated with lower rates of incident CVD. In interaction analyses, CVD rates were 14% (95% confidence interval: 5-23%) lower when MVPA accounted for 20% rather than 10% of 15 kJ/kg/d PAEE; equivalent to converting a 14 min stroll into a brisk 7 min walk. CVD rates did not differ significantly between values of PAEE when the %MVPA was fixed at 10%. However, the lowest CVD rates were observed for combinations of both higher PAEE and %MVPA.

CONCLUSION

Reductions in CVD risk may be achievable through higher PA volume and intensity, with the role of moderately intense PA appearing particularly important. This supports multiple approaches or strategies to PA participation, some of which may be more practical or appealing to different individuals.

Self-reported walking pace, polygenic risk scores and risk of coronary artery disease in UK biobank

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Both polygenic risk scores (PGS) and self-reported walking pace have been shown to predict cardiovascular disease; whether combining both factors produces greater risk differentiation is, however, unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We estimated the 10-year absolute risk of coronary artery disease (CAD), adjusted for traditional risk factors, and the C-index across nine PGS and self-reported walking pace in UK Biobank study participants between Mar/2006-Feb/2021. In 380,693 individuals (54.8% women), over a median (5th, 95th percentile) of 11.9 (8.3, 13.4) years, 2,603 (1.2%) CAD events occurred in women and 8,259 (4.8%) in men. Both walking pace and genetic risk were strongly associated with CAD. The absolute 10-year risk of CAD was highest in slow walkers at high genetic risk (top 20% of PGS): 2.72% (95% CI: 2.30-3.13) in women; 9.60% (8.62-10.57) in men. The risk difference between slow and brisk walkers was greater at higher [1.26% (0.81-1.71) in women; 3.63% (2.58-4.67) in men] than lower [0.76% (0.59-0.93) and 2.37% (1.96-2.78), respectively] genetic risk. Brisk walkers at high genetic risk had equivalent (women) or higher (men) risk than slow walkers at moderate-to-low genetic risk (bottom 80% of PGS). When added to a model containing traditional risk factors, both factors separately improved risk discrimination; combining them resulted in the greatest discrimination: C-index of 0.801 (0.793-0.808) in women; 0.732 (0.728-0.737) in men.

CONCLUSION

Self-reported slow walkers at high genetic risk had the greatest risk of CAD, identifying a potentially important population for intervention. Both PGS and walking pace contributed to risk discrimination.

Associations of grip strength, walking pace, and the risk of incident dementia: A prospective cohort study of 340212 participants

INTRODUCTION

Grip strength and walking pace have been linked to cognitive dysfunction. Their relationships, however, demand further clarification as the evidence is derived primarily from less-comprehensive investigations.

METHODS

A total of 340212 UK Biobank participants without dementia and cardiovascular diseases at baseline were analyzed. Cox proportional hazard models assessed the longitudinal associations.

RESULTS

Over a mean follow-up of 8.51 ± 2.68 years, 2424 incident dementia cases were documented. A 5 kg increment of absolute grip strength was associated with lower risks of all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR] 0.857), Alzheimer's disease (HR 0.874), and vascular dementia (HR 0.788). The patterns of associations remained similar when grip strength was expressed in relative terms and quintiles. A slow walking pace demonstrated consistent associations with increased risks of all dementia types.

DISCUSSION

Our findings provide amplified evidence and suggest that muscle fitness, reflected by objective grip strength measures and self-reported walking pace, may be imperative for estimating the risks of dementia.

Relationships Between Physical Activity Metrics of Intensity and Diabetes

INTRODUCTION

Physical activity (PA) prevents diabetes-associated complications. Little is known about what constitutes effective PA interventions to mitigate diabetes. Identifying PA metrics associated with the efficacy of PA interventions will provide insight into devising strategies to treat diabetes.

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to analyze the relationships between preclinical and postclinical variables from a 10-week intervention designed to increase PA in adults with diabetes.

METHODS

A secondary analysis was performed to evaluate data using Wilcoxon rank sum test, permutation test and Spearman correlation to analyze hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), weight, and PA metrics (maximum steps per episode, cadence, daily steps, and 6-minute walk).

RESULTS

Poststudy HbA1c level was associated with maximum steps (r = -0.63, P = .03) and 6-minute walk (r = -0.50, P = .09). Baseline weight was associated with average cadence (r = -0.76, P = .007), and poststudy weight was associated with average cadence (r = -0.60, P = .041) and maximum steps (r = -0.62, P = .03).

CONCLUSIONS

Cadence and maximum steps per episode reflect PA intensity and were associated with HbA1c and weight in adults with diabetes.

Investigation of a UK biobank cohort reveals causal associations of self-reported walking pace with telomere length

Walking pace is a simple and functional form of movement and a strong predictor of health status, but the nature of its association with leucocyte telomere length (LTL) is unclear. Here we investigate whether walking pace is associated with LTL, which is causally associated with several chronic diseases and has been proposed as a marker of biological age. Analyses were conducted in 405,981 UK Biobank participants. We show that steady/average and brisk walkers had significantly longer LTL compared with slow walkers, with accelerometer-assessed measures of physical activity further supporting this through an association between LTL and habitual activity intensity, but not with total amount of activity. Bi-directional mendelian randomisation analyses suggest a causal link between walking pace and LTL, but not the other way around. A faster walking pace may be causally associated with longer LTL, which could help explain some of the beneficial effects of brisk walking on health status. Given its simple measurement and low heritability, self-reported walking pace may be a pragmatic target for interventions.

Cardiovascular Autonomic Function Changes and Predictors During a 2-Year Physical Activity Program in Rheumatoid Arthritis: A PARA 2010 Substudy

Background: Chronic inflammation leads to autonomic dysfunction, which may contribute to the increased risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Exercise is known to restore autonomic nervous system (ANS) activity and particularly its parasympathetic component. A practical clinical tool to assess autonomic function, and in particular parasympathetic tone, is heart rate recovery (HRR). The aim of this substudy from the prospective PARA 2010 study was to determine changes in HRR post-maximal exercise electrocardiogram (ECG) after a 2-year physical activity program and to determine the main predictive factors associated with effects on HRR in RA. Methods: Twenty-five participants performed physiotherapist-guided aerobic and muscle-strengthening exercises for 1 year and were instructed to continue the unsupervised physical activity program autonomously in the next year. All participants were examined at baseline and at years 1 and 2 with a maximal exercise ECG on a cycle ergometer. HRR was measured at 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 min following peak heart rate during exercise. Machine-learning algorithms with the elastic net linear regression models were performed to predict changes in HRR1 and HRR2 at 1 year and 2 years of the PARA program. Results: Mean age was 60 years, range of 41-73 years (88% women). Both HRR1 and HRR2 increased significantly from baseline to year 1 with guided physical activity and decreased significantly from year 1 to year 2 with unsupervised physical activity. Blood pressure response to exercise, low BMI, and muscular strength were the best predictors of HRR1/HRR2 increase during the first year and HRR1/HRR2 decrease during the second year of the PARA program. Conclusion: ANS activity in RA assessed by HRR was improved by guided physical activity, and machine learning allowed to identify predictors of the HRR response at the different time points. HRR could be a relevant marker of the effectiveness of physical activity recommended in patients with RA at high risk of CVD. Very inactive and/or high CVD risk RA patients may get substantial benefits from a physical activity program.

Differences in Accelerometer-Measured Patterns of Physical Activity and Sleep/Rest Between Ethnic Groups and Age: An Analysis of UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

Physical activity and sleep are important for health; whether device-measured physical activity and sleep differ by ethnicity is unclear. This study aimed to compare physical activity and sleep/rest in white, South Asian (SA), and black adults by age.

METHODS

Physical activity and sleep/rest quality were assessed using accelerometer data from UK Biobank. Linear regressions, stratified by sex, were used to analyze differences in activity and sleep/rest. An ethnicity × age group interaction term was used to assess whether ethnic differences were consistent across age groups.

RESULTS

Data from 95,914 participants, aged 45-79 years, were included. Overall activity was 7% higher in black, and 5% lower in SA individuals compared with white individuals. Minority ethnic groups had poorer sleep/rest quality. Lower physical activity and poorer sleep quality occurred at a later age in black and SA adults (>65 y), than white adults (>55 y).

CONCLUSIONS

While black adults are more active, and SA adults less active, than white adults, the age-related reduction appears to be delayed in black and SA adults. Sleep/rest quality is poorer in black and SA adults than in white adults. Understanding ethnic differences in physical activity and rest differ may provide insight into chronic conditions with differing prevalence across ethnicities.

Obesity treatment: Weight loss versus increasing fitness and physical activity for reducing health risks

We propose a weight-neutral strategy for obesity treatment on the following grounds: (1) the mortality risk associated with obesity is largely attenuated or eliminated by moderate-to-high levels of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) or physical activity (PA), (2) most cardiometabolic risk markers associated with obesity can be improved with exercise training independent of weight loss and by a magnitude similar to that observed with weight-loss programs, (3) weight loss, even if intentional, is not consistently associated with lower mortality risk, (4) increases in CRF or PA are consistently associated with greater reductions in mortality risk than is intentional weight loss, and (5) weight cycling is associated with numerous adverse health outcomes including increased mortality. Adherence to PA may improve if health care professionals consider PA and CRF as essential vital signs and consistently emphasize to their patients the myriad benefits of PA and CRF in the absence of weight loss.

Association of sarcopenia with mortality and end-stage renal disease in those with chronic kidney disease: a UK Biobank study

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia, a degenerative and generalized skeletal muscle disorder involving the loss of muscle function and mass, is an under-recognized problem in clinical practice, particularly in chronic kidney disease (CKD). We aimed to investigate the prevalence of sarcopenia in individuals with CKD, its risk factors, and its association with all-cause mortality and progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD).

METHODS

UK Biobank participants were grouped according to the presence of CKD (defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m² ) and as having probable (low handgrip strength), confirmed (plus low muscle mass), and severe sarcopenia (plus poor physical performance) based on the 2019 European Working Group of Sarcopenia in Older People and Foundation for the National Institutes of Health criteria. Risk factors were explored using logistic regression analysis. Survival models were applied to estimate risk of mortality and ESRD.

RESULTS

A total of 428 320 participants, of which 8767 individuals with CKD (46% male, aged 62.8 (standard deviation 6.8) years, median estimated glomerular filtration rate 54.5 (interquartile range 49.0-57.7) mL/min/1.72 m² ) were included. Probable sarcopenia was present in 9.7% of individuals with CKD compared with 5.0% in those without (P < 0.001). Sarcopenia was associated with being older; inflammation; poorer renal function; and lower serum albumin, total testosterone, and haemoglobin. The largest risk factors for sarcopenia were having three or more comorbidities (odds ratio: 2.30; 95% confidence interval: 1.62 to 3.29; P < 0.001) and physical inactivity: participants in the highest quartile of weekly activity were 43% less likely to have sarcopenia compared to the lowest quartile (odds ratio: 0.57; 0.42 to 0.76; P < 0.001). Participants with CKD and sarcopenia had a 33% (7% to 66%; P = 0.011) higher hazard of mortality compared with individuals without. Sarcopenic CKD individuals had a 10 year survival probability of 0.85 (0.82 to 0.88) compared with 0.89 (0.88 to 0.30) in those without sarcopenia, an absolute difference of 4%. Those with sarcopenia were twice as likely to develop ESRD (hazard ratio: 1.98; 1.45 to 2.70; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Participants with reduced kidney function are at an increased risk of premature mortality. The presence of sarcopenia increases the risk of mortality and ESRD. Appropriate measurement of sarcopenia should be used to identify at-risk individuals. Interventions such as physical activity should be encouraged to mitigate sarcopenia.

Obesity, walking pace and risk of severe COVID-19 and mortality: analysis of UK Biobank

Obesity is an emerging risk factor for coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). Simple measures of physical fitness, such as self-reported walking pace, may also be important risk markers. This analysis includes 412,596 UK Biobank participants with linked COVID-19 data (median age at linkage = 68 years, obese = 24%, median number of comorbidities = 1). As of August 24th 2020, there were 1001 cases of severe (in-hospital) disease and 336 COVID-19 deaths. Compared to normal weight individuals, the adjusted odds ratio (OR) of severe COVID-19 in overweight and obese individuals was 1.26 (1.07, 1.48) and 1.49 (1.25, 1.79), respectively. For COVID-19 mortality, the ORs were 1.19 (0.88, 161) and 1.82 (1.33, 2.49), respectively. Compared to those with a brisk walking pace, the OR of severe COVID-19 for steady/average and slow walkers was 1.13 (0.98, 1.31) and 1.88 (1.53, 2.31), respectively. For COVID-19 mortality, the ORs were 1.44 (1.10, 1.90) and 1.83 (1.26, 2.65), respectively. Slow walkers had the highest risk regardless of obesity status. For example, compared to normal weight brisk walkers, the OR of severe disease and COVID-19 mortality in normal weight slow walkers was 2.42 (1.53, 3.84) and 3.75 (1.61, 8.70), respectively. Self-reported slow walkers appear to be a high-risk group for severe COVID-19 outcomes independent of obesity.

Genome-wide association study of self-reported walking pace suggests beneficial effects of brisk walking on health and survival

Walking is a simple form of exercise, widely promoted for its health benefits. Self-reported walking pace has been associated with a range of cardiorespiratory and cancer outcomes, and is a strong predictor of mortality. Here we perform a genome-wide association study of self-reported walking pace in 450,967 European ancestry UK Biobank participants. We identify 70 independent associated loci (P < 5 × 10^-8), 11 of which are novel. We estimate the SNP-based heritability as 13.2% (s.e. = 0.21%), reducing to 8.9% (s.e. = 0.17%) with adjustment for body mass index. Significant genetic correlations are observed with cardiometabolic, respiratory and psychiatric traits, educational attainment and all-cause mortality. Mendelian randomization analyses suggest a potential causal link of increasing walking pace with a lower cardiometabolic risk profile. Given its low heritability and simple measurement, these findings suggest that self-reported walking pace is a pragmatic target for interventions aiming for general benefits on health.

Impact of Improvement in Walking Speed on Hospitalization and Mortality in Females with Cardiovascular Disease

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the principal cause of death in women. Walking speed (WS) is strongly related with mortality and CVD. The rate of all-cause hospitalization or death was assessed in 290 female outpatients with CVD after participation in a cardiac rehabilitation/secondary prevention program (CR/SP) and associated with the WS maintained during a moderate 1 km treadmill-walk. Three-year mortality rates were 57%, 44%, and 29% for the slow (2.1 ± 0.4 km/h), moderate (3.1 ± 0.3 km/h), and fast (4.3 ± 0.6 km/h) walkers, respectively, with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 0.78 (p = 0.24) and 0.55 (p = 0.03) for moderate and fast walkers compared to the slow walkers. In addition, hospitalization or death was examined four to six years after enrollment as a function of the change in the WS of 176 patients re-assessed during the third year after baseline. The rates of hospitalization or death were higher across tertiles of reduced WS, with 35%, 50%, and 53% for the high (1.5 ± 0.3 km/h), intermediate (0.7 ± 0.2 km/h), and low tertiles (0.2 ± 0.2 km/h). Adjusted HRs were 0.79 (p = 0.38) for the intermediate and 0.47 (p = 0.02) for the high tertile compared to the low improvement tertile. Improved walking speed was associated with a graded decrease in hospitalization or death from any cause in women undergoing CR/SP.

Handgrip strength is inversely associated with fatal cardiovascular and all-cause mortality events

Purpose: We aimed to assess the associations of handgrip strength (HS) with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality and whether adding data on HS to cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors is associated with improvement in CVD mortality prediction.Design: Handgrip strength was assessed in a population-based sample of 861 participants aged 61-74 years at baseline. Relative HS was obtained by dividing the absolute value by body weight.Results: During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 17.3 (12.6-18.4) years, 116 fatal coronary heart diseases (CHDs), 195 fatal CVDs and 412 all-cause mortality events occurred. On adjustment for several risk factors, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) for fatal CHD, fatal CVD and all-cause mortality were 0.59 (0.37-0.95), 0.59 (0.41-0.86) and 0.66 (0.51-0.84), respectively, comparing extreme tertiles of relative HS. Adding relative HS to a CVD mortality risk prediction model containing established risk factors did not improve discrimination or reclassification using Harrell's C-index (C-index change: 0.0034; p = .65), integrated-discrimination-improvement (0.0059; p = .20) and net-reclassification-improvement (-1.31%; p = .74); however, there was a significant difference in -2 log likelihood (p < .001).Conclusions: Relative HS is inversely associated with CHD, CVD and all-cause mortality events. Adding relative HS to conventional risk factors improves CVD risk assessment using sensitive measures of discrimination.KEY MESSAGESHandgrip strength (HS) assessment is simple, inexpensive and it takes only a few minutes to measure in clinical practice; however, its prognostic role for fatal cardiovascular outcomes on top of traditional risk factors in apparently healthy populations is uncertain.In a population-based prospective cohort study, good HS adjusted for body weight was associated with lower risk of fatal cardiovascular outcomes and the associations remained consistent across several clinically relevant subgroups.Handgrip strength may be a useful prognostic tool for fatal CHD and CVD events, in the general population.