Prognostic rules for predicting cognitive syndromes following stroke: A systematic review

Are we ready to cure post-stroke cognitive impairment? Many key prerequisites can be achieved quickly and easily

PURPOSE

Post-stroke (PS) cognitive impairment (CI) is frequent and its devastating functional and vital consequences are well known. Despite recent guidelines, they are still largely neglected. A large number of recent studies have re-examined the epidemiology, diagnosis, imaging determinants and management of PSCI. The aim of this update is to determine whether these new data answer the questions that are essential to reducing PSCI, the unmet needs, and steps still to be taken.

METHODS

Literature review of stroke unit-era studies examining key steps in the management of PSCI: epidemiology and risk factors, diagnosis (cognitive profile and assessments), imaging determinants (quantitative measures, voxelwise localization, the disconnectome and associated Alzheimer's disease [AD]) and treatment (secondary prevention, symptomatic drugs, rehabilitation and noninvasive brain stimulation) of PSCI.

FINDINGS

(1) the prevalence of PSCI of approximately 50% is probably underestimated; (2) the sensitivity of screening tests should be improved to detect mild PSCI; (3) comprehensive assessment is now well-defined and should include apathy; (4) easily available factors can identify patients at high risk of PSCI; (5) key imaging determinants are the location and volume of the lesion and the resulting disconnection, associated AD and brain atrophy; WMH, ePVS, microhemorrhages, hemosiderosis, and cortical microinfarcts may contribute to cognitive impairment but are more likely to be markers of brain vulnerability or associated AD that reduce PS recovery; (6) remote and online assessment is a promising approach for selected patients; (7) secondary stroke prevention has not been proven to prevent PSCI; (8) symptomatic drugs are ineffective in treating PSCI and apathy; (9) in addition to cognitive rehabilitation, the benefits of training platforms and computerized training are yet to be documented; (10) the results and the magnitude of improvement of noninvasive brain stimulation, while very promising, need to be substantiated by large, high-quality, sham-controlled RCTs.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

These major advances pave the way for the reduction of PSCI. They include (1) the development of more sensitive screening tests applicable to all patients and (2) online remote assessment; crossvalidation of (3) clinical and (4) imaging factors to (5) identify patients at risk, as well as (6) factors that prompt a search for associated AD; (7) the inclusion of cognitive outcome as a secondary endpoint in acute and secondary stroke prevention trials; and (8) the validation of the benefit of noninvasive brain stimulation through high-quality, randomized, sham-controlled trials. Many of these objectives can be rapidly and easily attained.

Web-based artificial intelligence to predict cognitive impairment following stroke: A multicenter study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Post-stroke cognitive impairment (PSCI) is highly prevalent in modern society. However, there is limited study implying an accurate and explainable machine learning model to predict PSCI. The aim of this study is to develop and validate a web-based artificial intelligence (AI) tool for predicting PSCI.

METHODS

The retrospective cohort study design was conducted to develop and validate a web-based prediction model. Adults who experienced a stroke between January 1, 2004, and September 30, 2017, were enrolled, and patients with PSCI were followed up from the stroke index date until their last follow-up. The model's performance metrics, including accuracy, area under the curve (AUC), recall, precision, and F1 score, were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 3209 stroke patients were included in the study. The model demonstrated an accuracy of 0.8793, AUC of 0.9200, recall of 0.6332, precision of 0.9664, and F1 score of 0.7651. In the external validation phase, the accuracy improved to 0.9039, AUC to 0.9094, recall to 0.7457, precision to 0.9168, and F1 score to 0.8224. The final model can be accessed at https://psci-calculator.my.id/.

CONCLUSION

Our results are able to produce a user-friendly interface that is useful for health practitioners to perform early prediction on PSCI. These findings also suggest that the provided AI model is reliable and can serve as a roadmap for future studies using AI models in a clinical setting.

Serum C-reactive protein adds predictive information for post-stroke delirium: The PROPOLIS study

OBJECTIVE

Delirium is common and serious complication after stroke. Accurate prediction of delirium is important for prevention and monitoring of high-risk patients. Our study aimed to determine if addition of C-reactive protein (CRP) to a model based on easy-to-access clinical predictors improves accuracy of delirium prediction in acute stroke patients.

METHODS

We analyzed data of patients participating in the Prospective Observational Polish Study on post-stroke delirium. We included patients admitted within 24 h after stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) in whom serum CRP was measured on admission. We examined core features of delirium during first 7 days of hospitalization. We assessed if addition of CRP to two clinical models improved metrics of discrimination and reclassification. Model A included age and stroke severity and Model B included stroke severity, atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, pre-stroke dependency, and hemorrhagic stroke.

RESULTS

We included 459 patients. We diagnosed delirium in 29.2% of them. Patients who developed delirium had higher CRP level than those without delirium (median: 13.2 vs. 4.4 mg/L, p < 0.001). CRP >7.09 mg/L was associated with an increased risk of delirium (adjusted OR: 2.98, 95%CI: 1.71-5.19, p < 0.001). After adding CRP to clinical models, an area under receiver operator curve increased from 0.77 to 0.80 (p = 0.038) for Model A and from 0.81 to 0.84 (p = 0.016) for Model B. There was also improvement in reclassification.

CONCLUSIONS

Addition of CRP to clinical predictors moderately improved prediction of post-stroke delirium. CRP could be considered as a potential biomarker to stratify risk of delirium after stroke.

Post-Stroke Cognitive Impairment: Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Management

Stroke, characterized as a neurological deficit of cerebrovascular cause, is very common in older adults. Increasing evidence suggests stroke contributes to the risk and severity of cognitive impairment. People with cognitive impairment following stroke often face with quality-of-life issues and require ongoing support, which have a profound effect on caregivers and society. The high morbidity of post-stroke cognitive impairment (PSCI) demands effective management strategies, in which preventive strategies are more appealing, especially those targeting towards modifiable risk factors. In this review article, we attempt to summarize existing evidence and knowledge gaps on PSCI: elaborating on the heterogeneity in current definitions, reporting the inconsistent findings in PSCI prevalence in the literature, exploring established or less established predictors, outlining prevention and treatment strategies potentially effective or currently being tested, and proposing promising directions for future research.

Informing Patients with Acute Stroke About their Risk of Dementia: A Survey of UK Healthcare Professionals

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Healthcare professionals (HCPs) are generally aware of risk factors for post-stroke dementia.

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HCPs do not routinely discuss dementia risk with patients at time of stroke.

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HCPs said carers were more likely than patients to ask about risk of dementia.

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HCPs think it could be helpful to discuss risk of dementia at the time of stroke.

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HCPs think that 1-6 months after stroke was the best time to discuss risk of dementia.

Objectives

Cognitive problems following stroke are of key concern to stroke survivors. Discussing risk of dementia at the time of stroke could have implications for follow-up care. However, informing someone who has just had a stroke about risk of dementia could cause distress. This survey explored healthcare professionals’ views on discussing risk of post-stroke dementia at the time of stroke.

Materials and methods

This online survey was aimed at all UK healthcare professionals who care for patients with stroke. The survey was distributed via the mailing lists of seven professional stroke-related organisations and Twitter. Descriptive statistics were used to summarise findings.

Results

Sixty healthcare professionals completed the survey. Healthcare professionals were aware of the main risk factors associated with post-stroke dementia (e.g. previous stroke, age). Most respondents (N=34/60, 57%) thought that patients with acute stroke would benefit from knowing if they are at high risk of dementia, and 75% (N=45/60) agreed that carers would benefit. Despite this, the majority of healthcare professionals (N=47/53, 89%) who cared for patients with acute stroke in the past year said they rarely/never discussed dementia with their patients. Most respondents (N=46/60, 77%) thought risk of dementia should be discussed 1-6 months post-stroke.

Conclusion

Although healthcare professionals felt it would be helpful to discuss risk of post-stroke dementia, in practice, most said that they rarely or never discussed this with their patients. Stroke survivors could benefit from a healthcare system that offers appropriate follow-up care and support to patients at high risk of dementia.

Neurodegeneration Over 3 Years Following Ischaemic Stroke: Findings From the Cognition and Neocortical Volume After Stroke Study

Background: Stroke survivors are at high risk of dementia, associated with increasing age and vascular burden and with pre-existing cognitive impairment, older age. Brain atrophy patterns are recognised as signatures of neurodegenerative conditions, but the natural history of brain atrophy after stroke remains poorly described. We sought to determine whether stroke survivors who were cognitively normal at time of stroke had greater total brain (TBV) and hippocampal volume (HV) loss over 3 years than controls. We examined whether stroke survivors who were cognitively impaired (CI) at 3 months following their stroke had greater brain volume loss than cognitively normal (CN) stroke participants over the next 3 years.

Methods: Cognition And Neocortical Volume After Stroke (CANVAS) study is a multi-centre cohort study of first-ever or recurrent adult ischaemic stroke participants compared to age- and sex-matched community controls. Participants were followed with MRI and cognitive assessments over 3 years and were free of a history of cognitive impairment or decline at inclusion. Our primary outcome measure was TBV change between 3 months and 3 years; secondary outcomes were TBV and HV change comparing CI and CN participants. We investigated associations between group status and brain volume change using a baseline-volume adjusted linear regression model with robust standard error.

Results: Ninety-three stroke (26 women, 66.7 ± 12 years) and 39 control participants (15 women, 68.7 ± 7 years) were available at 3 years. TBV loss in stroke patients was greater than controls: stroke mean (M) = 20.3 cm³ ± SD 14.8 cm³; controls M = 14.2 cm³ ± SD 13.2 cm³; [adjusted mean difference 7.88 95%CI (2.84, 12.91) p-value = 0.002]. TBV decline was greater in those stroke participants who were cognitively impaired (M = 30.7 cm³; SD = 14.2 cm³) at 3 months (M = 19.6 cm³; SD = 13.8 cm³); [adjusted mean difference 10.42; 95%CI (3.04, 17.80), p-value = 0.006]. No statistically significant differences in HV change were observed.

Conclusions: Ischaemic stroke survivors exhibit greater neurodegeneration compared to stroke-free controls. Brain atrophy is greater in stroke participants who were cognitively impaired early after their stroke. Early cognitive impairment was associated greater subsequent atrophy, reflecting the combined impacts of stroke and vascular brain burden. Atrophy rates could serve as a useful biomarker for trials testing interventions to reduce post-stroke secondary neurodegeneration.

Clinical Trail Registration:http://www.clinicaltrials.gov, identifier: NCT02205424.

European Stroke Organisation and European Academy of Neurology joint guidelines on post-stroke cognitive impairment

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The optimal management of post-stroke cognitive impairment (PSCI) remains controversial. These joint European Stroke Organisation (ESO) and European Academy of Neurology (EAN) guidelines provide evidence-based recommendations to assist clinicians in decision making regarding prevention, diagnosis, treatment and prognosis.

METHODS

Guidelines were developed according to the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology. The working group identified relevant clinical questions, performed systematic reviews, assessed the quality of the available evidence, and made specific recommendations. Expert consensus statements were provided where insufficient evidence was available to provide recommendations.

RESULTS

There was limited randomized controlled trial (RCT) evidence regarding single or multicomponent interventions to prevent post-stroke cognitive decline. Lifestyle interventions and treating vascular risk factors have many health benefits, but a cognitive effect is not proven. We found no evidence regarding routine cognitive screening following stroke, but recognize the importance of targeted cognitive assessment. We describe the accuracy of various cognitive screening tests, but found no clearly superior approach to testing. There was insufficient evidence to make a recommendation for use of cholinesterase inhibitors, memantine nootropics or cognitive rehabilitation. There was limited evidence on the use of prediction tools for post-stroke cognition. The association between PSCI and acute structural brain imaging features was unclear, although the presence of substantial white matter hyperintensities of presumed vascular origin on brain magnetic resonance imaging may help predict cognitive outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

These guidelines highlight fundamental areas where robust evidence is lacking. Further definitive RCTs are needed, and we suggest priority areas for future research.

European Stroke Organisation and European Academy of Neurology joint guidelines on post-stroke cognitive impairment

The optimal management of post-stroke cognitive impairment remains controversial. These joint European Stroke Organisation (ESO) and European Academy of Neurology (EAN) guidelines provide evidence-based recommendations to assist clinicians in decision making around prevention, diagnosis, treatment and prognosis. These guidelines were developed according to ESO standard operating procedure and the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology. The working group identified relevant clinical questions, performed systematic reviews and, where possible, meta-analyses of the literature, assessed the quality of the available evidence and made specific recommendations. Expert consensus statements were provided where insufficient evidence was available to provide recommendations based on the GRADE approach. There was limited randomised controlled trial evidence regarding single or multicomponent interventions to prevent post-stroke cognitive decline. Interventions to improve lifestyle and treat vascular risk factors may have many health benefits but a beneficial effect on cognition is not proven. We found no evidence around routine cognitive screening following stroke but recognise the importance of targeted cognitive assessment. We described the accuracy of various cognitive screening tests but found no clearly superior approach to testing. There was insufficient evidence to make a recommendation for use of cholinesterase inhibitors, memantine nootropics or cognitive rehabilitation. There was limited evidence on the use of prediction tools for post-stroke cognitive syndromes (cognitive impairment, dementia and delirium). The association between post-stroke cognitive impairment and most acute structural brain imaging features was unclear, although the presence of substantial white matter hyperintensities of presumed vascular origin on acute MRI brain may help predict cognitive outcomes. These guidelines have highlighted fundamental areas where robust evidence is lacking. Further, definitive randomised controlled trials are needed, and we suggest priority areas for future research.