A comparison of four fibrosis indexes in chronic HCV: development of new fibrosis-cirrhosis index (FCI)

Hepatitis B infection: Evaluation of demographics and treatment of chronic hepatitis B infection in Northern-western Tanzania

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is still a major public health problem. In response to the World Health Organization (WHO), Tanzania implemented immunization and treatment to achieve the eradication of HBV infection by 2030. To achieve this goal, frequent updates of demographic data, antiviral therapy eligibility, and uptake are essential. We therefore evaluated demographic data, antiviral therapy eligibility, and uptake among chronically HBV-infected patients attending at Bugando Medical Centre (BMC), Tanzania.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study enrolled 196 chronic HBV patients from April 23, 2023, to October 10, 2023, at BMC, where 100 and 96 patients were retrospectively and prospectively enrolled, respectively. Study's ethical clearance and permission were observed by the Catholic University of Health and Allied Sciences/Bugando Medical Centre research ethics and review committee and the Bugando Medical Centre management respectively. For all patients, socio-demographic data and whole blood samples were obtained. Full blood picture, alanine and aspartate amino transferases, and HBV viral load parameters were determined. Aspartate-Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) and Fibrosis Four (FIB-4) scores were calculated according to their respective formulas. Therapy eligibility and uptake were evaluated according to the 2015 WHO HBV prevention, treatment, and care guidelines. The data were summarized and analysed using STATA version 15.

RESULTS

The median age for all patients was 39 [IQR: 32-47.5] years. Nearly all study patients, 99% (194/196), were older than 20 years old, with significant male dominance (73.5% [144/196] versus 26.5% [52/196]; p<0.0001). Anti-HBV antiviral therapy eligibility was 22.4%, while uptake was 6.8% (3/4), which was significantly lower than the WHO expectation of 80% (p <0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Almost all chronically HBV-infected patients attending at BMC were older than 20 years old and were significantly dominated by males. Antiviral therapy uptake was remarkably lower than expected by the WHO towards combating HBV infection by 2030.

Liver fibrosis stage based on the four factors (FIB-4) score or Forns index in adults with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

The presence and severity of liver fibrosis are important prognostic variables when evaluating people with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Although liver biopsy remains the reference standard, non-invasive serological markers, such as the four factors (FIB-4) score and the Forns index, can also be used to stage liver fibrosis.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of the FIB-4 score and Forns index in staging liver fibrosis in people with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) virus, using liver biopsy as the reference standard (primary objective). To compare the diagnostic accuracy of these tests for staging liver fibrosis in people with CHC and explore potential sources of heterogeneity (secondary objectives).

SEARCH METHODS

We used standard Cochrane search methods for diagnostic accuracy studies (search date: 13 April 2022).

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included diagnostic cross-sectional or case-control studies that evaluated the performance of the FIB-4 score, the Forns index, or both, against liver biopsy, in the assessment of liver fibrosis in participants with CHC. We imposed no language restrictions. We excluded studies in which: participants had causes of liver disease besides CHC; participants had successfully been treated for CHC; or the interval between the index test and liver biopsy exceeded six months.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently extracted data. We performed meta-analyses using the bivariate model and calculated summary estimates. We evaluated the performance of both tests for three target conditions: significant fibrosis or worse (METAVIR stage ≥ F2); severe fibrosis or worse (METAVIR stage ≥ F3); and cirrhosis (METAVIR stage F4). We restricted the meta-analysis to studies reporting cut-offs in a specified range (+/-0.15 for FIB-4; +/-0.3 for Forns index) around the original validated cut-offs (1.45 and 3.25 for FIB-4; 4.2 and 6.9 for Forns index). We calculated the percentage of people who would receive an indeterminate result (i.e. above the rule-out threshold but below the rule-in threshold) for each index test/cut-off/target condition combination.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 84 studies (with a total of 107,583 participants) from 28 countries, published between 2002 and 2021, in the qualitative synthesis. Of the 84 studies, 82 (98%) were cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy studies with cohort-based sampling, and the remaining two (2%) were case-control studies. All studies were conducted in referral centres. Our main meta-analysis included 62 studies (100,605 participants). Overall, two studies (2%) had low risk of bias, 23 studies (27%) had unclear risk of bias, and 59 studies (73%) had high risk of bias. We judged 13 studies (15%) to have applicability concerns regarding participant selection. FIB-4 score The FIB-4 score's low cut-off (1.45) is designed to rule out people with at least severe fibrosis (≥ F3). Thirty-nine study cohorts (86,907 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 81.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 75.6% to 85.6%), specificity of 62.3% (95% CI 57.4% to 66.9%), and negative likelihood ratio (LR-) of 0.30 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.38). The FIB-4 score's high cut-off (3.25) is designed to rule in people with at least severe fibrosis (≥ F3). Twenty-four study cohorts (81,350 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 41.4% (95% CI 33.0% to 50.4%), specificity of 92.6% (95% CI 89.5% to 94.9%), and positive likelihood ratio (LR+) of 5.6 (95% CI 4.4 to 7.1). Using the FIB-4 score to assess severe fibrosis and applying both cut-offs together, 30.9% of people would obtain an indeterminate result, requiring further investigations. We report the summary accuracy estimates for the FIB-4 score when used for assessing significant fibrosis (≥ F2) and cirrhosis (F4) in the main review text. Forns index The Forns index's low cut-off (4.2) is designed to rule out people with at least significant fibrosis (≥ F2). Seventeen study cohorts (4354 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 84.7% (95% CI 77.9% to 89.7%), specificity of 47.9% (95% CI 38.6% to 57.3%), and LR- of 0.32 (95% CI 0.25 to 0.41). The Forns index's high cut-off (6.9) is designed to rule in people with at least significant fibrosis (≥ F2). Twelve study cohorts (3245 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 34.1% (95% CI 26.4% to 42.8%), specificity of 97.3% (95% CI 92.9% to 99.0%), and LR+ of 12.5 (95% CI 5.7 to 27.2). Using the Forns index to assess significant fibrosis and applying both cut-offs together, 44.8% of people would obtain an indeterminate result, requiring further investigations. We report the summary accuracy estimates for the Forns index when used for assessing severe fibrosis (≥ F3) and cirrhosis (F4) in the main text. Comparing FIB-4 to Forns index There were insufficient studies to meta-analyse the performance of the Forns index for diagnosing severe fibrosis and cirrhosis. Therefore, comparisons of the two tests' performance were not possible for these target conditions. For diagnosing significant fibrosis and worse, there were no significant differences in their performance when using the high cut-off. The Forns index performed slightly better than FIB-4 when using the low/rule-out cut-off (relative sensitivity 1.12, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.25; P = 0.0573; relative specificity 0.69, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.84; P = 0.002).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Both the FIB-4 score and the Forns index may be considered for the initial assessment of people with CHC. The FIB-4 score's low cut-off (1.45) can be used to rule out people with at least severe fibrosis (≥ F3) and cirrhosis (F4). The Forns index's high cut-off (6.9) can be used to diagnose people with at least significant fibrosis (≥ F2). We judged most of the included studies to be at unclear or high risk of bias. The overall quality of the body of evidence was low or very low, and more high-quality studies are needed. Our review only captured data from referral centres. Therefore, when generalising our results to a primary care population, the probability of false positives will likely be higher and false negatives will likely be lower. More research is needed in sub-Saharan Africa, since these tests may be of value in such resource-poor settings.

A Comparative Study of Novel Fibrosis Index and Other Non-invasive Serum Indices for Predicting Fibrosis in Patients of Chronic Liver Disease

Introduction Chronic liver disease progression leads to liver fibrosis/cirrhosis. Transient Elastography is used for staging liver fibrosis but ascites, obesity, and operator experience limit its applicability. In this study, we compared various non-invasive serum indices in predicting fibrosis in chronic liver disease patients. Materials and methods A total of 142 cases of confirmed Chronic Liver Disease were included. Quantitative determination of liver stiffness by Transient Elastography and relevant blood investigations was done. We compared the liver stiffness measurement by Transient Elastography and fibrosis indices, i.e., Aspartate Transaminase (AST) to Alanine Transaminase (ALT) Ratio (AAR), AST to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), Fibrosis Index (FI), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) Index, Age-Platelet Index (API), Pohl score, and Fibrosis Cirrhosis Index (FCI) with Novel Fibrosis Index (NFI), to predict liver fibrosis stages. Results The optimum cutoff of NFI for the F4 stage was ≥ 6670 with a sensitivity of 75.8% and specificity of 81.8%, for the F3 stage was ≥ 2112 with a sensitivity of 63.6% and specificity of 72.7%, and for the F2 stage was ≥ 1334 with a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 56.3%. The NFI had the maximum area under the curve compared to other indices in predicting fibrosis stages. Conclusion The Novel Fibrosis Index was the best in predicting fibrosis stages in Chronic Liver Disease patients, with good performance in predicting the F4 stage.

Noninvasive Models to Assess Liver Inflammation and Fibrosis in Chronic HBV Infected Patients with Normal or Mildly Elevated Alanine Transaminase Levels: Which One Is Most Suitable?

The prevalence of substantial inflammation or fibrosis in treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and normal alanine transaminase (ALT) levels is high. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 559 consecutive patients with hepatitis B virus infection, who underwent liver biopsy, to investigate the value of noninvasive models based on routine serum markers for evaluating liver histology in CHB patients with normal or mildly elevated ALT levels and to provide treatment guidance. After comparing 55 models, we identified the top three models that exhibited excellent performance. The APGA model, based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), demonstrated a superior ability to evaluate significant (AUROC = 0.750) and advanced fibrosis (AUROC = 0.832) and demonstrated a good performance in assessing liver inflammation (AUROCs = 0.779 and 0.874 for stages G ≥ 2 and G ≥ 3, respectively). APGA also exhibited significant correlations with liver inflammation and fibrosis stage (correlation coefficients, 0.452 and 0.405, respectively (p < 0.001)). When the patients were stratified into groups based on HBeAg status and ALT level, APGA consistently outperformed the other 54 models. The other top two models, GAPI and XIE, also outperformed models based on other chronic hepatitis diseases. APGA may be the most suitable option for detecting liver fibrosis and inflammation in Chinese patients with CHB.

Prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) in a middle-aged population with overweight and normal liver enzymes, and diagnostic accuracy of noninvasive proxies

The prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is increasing at an alarming rate. Elevated liver enzymes are a primary reason to refer patients for further testing. However, liver enzymes within the normal range do not exclude the presence of MASLD. We examined the prevalence of MASLD in a middle-aged population with overweight and normal liver enzymes. In addition, we examined the accuracy of 4 sets of noninvasive proxies for MASLD. We included 1017 participants from the Netherlands epidemiology of obesity cohort study with body mass index ≥25 kg/m2 and liver enzymes (asparate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase) within normal range. The diagnostic accuracy of biomarker scores (fatty liver index, liver fat score [LFS], STEATO-ELSA, and hepatic steatosis index) was determined against elevated hepatic triglyceride content measured by 1proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Participants (mean age 56 years, 49% women), had a median body mass index of 29.6 kg/m2 and a median hepatic triglyceride content of 4.4%. MASLD was present in 42% of participants and was more common in men than women, with respectively 47% and 36% being affected. The LFS showed the highest accuracy with an area under the curve of 0.72. We identified metabolic syndrome as the prime predictor for MASLD with an odds ratio of 2.95 (95% confidence interval 2.20-3.98). The prevalence of MASLD in middle-aged men and women with overweight and liver enzymes within the normal range is over 40%. LFS showed the highest accuracy to detect MASLD, but, overall, biomarker scores performed relatively poor. The presence of metabolic syndrome was the prime predictor of MASLD.

TR score: A noninvasive model to predict histological stages in patients with primary biliary cholangitis

Introduction

The aim of this study was to develop a noninvasive prediction model for histological stages in PBC that is simple, easy to implement, and highly accurate.

Methods

A total of 114 patients with PBC were included in this study. Demographic, laboratory data and histological assessments were collected. The independent predictors of histological stages were selected to establish a noninvasive serological model. The scores of 22 noninvasive models were calculated and compared with the established model.

Results

This study included 99 females (86.8%) and 15 males (13.2%). The number of patients in Scheuer’s stage 1, 2, 3 and 4 was 33 (29.0%), 34 (29.8%), 16 (14.0%), and 31 (27.2%), respectively. TBA and RDW are independent predictors of PBC histological stages. The above indexes were used to establish a noninvasive model-TR score. When predicting early histological change (S1) or liver fibrosis and cirrhosis (S3-S4), the AUROC of TR score were 0.887 (95% CI, 0.809-0.965) and 0.893 (95% CI, 0.816-0.969), higher than all of the other 22 models included in this study. When predicting cirrhosis (S4), its AUROC is still as high as 0.921 (95% CI, 0.837-1.000).

Conclusion

TR score is an easy, cheap and stable noninvasive model, without complex calculation formulas and tools, and shows good accuracy in diagnosing the histological stages of PBC.

Performance of Non-invasive Biomarkers of Liver Fibrosis Amongst Hispanics and African Americans

INTRODUCTION

 Liver biopsy is the gold standard for fibrosis staging. However, it is limited by significant complications. Non-invasive markers of fibrosis have been developed as an alternative to liver biopsy. The performance of these different markers varies with the etiology of liver fibrosis and possibly amongst different ethnicities. We aim to assess the performance of non-invasive markers of liver fibrosis amongst Hispanics and African Americans.

METHOD

This is a retrospective cohort analysis of patients who had liver biopsy as part of their evaluation of chronic liver disease. One hundred and twenty-six records were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. Probit regression receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to assess the sensitivity of the different non-invasive biomarkers and underlying variables with respect to liver biopsy. The following non-invasive markers for fibrosis were used: Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), age-platelet, AST/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio, fibrosis cirrhosis index (FCI), and fibrosis index (FI).

RESULTS

About two-thirds of the study population were African Americans with majority of the study population having chronic liver disease from viral infection. Minimal to no fibrosis by the METAVIR (an acronym for Meta-analysis of Histological Data in Viral Hepatitis) score was found in 58% of patients compared to 42% with moderate to severe fibrosis. Hispanics were more likely than Blacks to have hepatic steatosis. Age significantly increased the sensitivity and specificity of APRI and age-platelet scores. The AST/ALT score had a lower sensitivity for liver fibrosis in women compared to men in our study population. The sensitivity of FIB-4 and age-platelet was higher in Hispanics compared to African Americans while the opposite was the case for APRI, AST/ALT, FCI, and FI.

CONCLUSION

Non-invasive biomarkers are useful in detecting liver fibrosis. FIB-4 and age-platelet have a high sensitivity in Hispanics while African Americans have a high sensitivity for APRI, AST/ALT, FCI, and FI. It is worth noting that these non-invasive biomarkers had variable performances when ethnicity, age, and sex were considered in our population.

Fibrosis-4 index, a predictor for prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients after curative hepatectomy even in hepatitis B virus dominant populations

Purpose

Liver fibrosis plays an important role in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and determining its prognosis. Although many staging systems and liver reserve models have been developed without the intention of predicting prognosis of HCC, some studies have investigated their prognostic values in HCC after curative liver resection (LR). The aim of this study is to evaluate prognostic value of non-invasive biomarkers after curative LR.

Methods

Between 2006 and 2013, HCC patients underwent LR were included and total 962 patients were enrolled. All non-invasive biomarkers (fibrosis 4 index (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR), AAR-to-platelet ratio index (AARPRI), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score) were measured at the time of HCC diagnosis. To binarize each biomarker, an optimal cut-off value for fibrosis stage was selected using the value of minimum distance from the left-upper corner of the receiver operating characteristic curve with a specificity >60%. We performed Cox regression analysis on 2-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

The area under curve values for FIB-4 and APRI were the largest for fibrosis stage compared to other biomarkers, 0.669 (95% confidential interval (CI), 0.610-0.719) and 0.748 (95% CI, 0.692-0.800), respectively. Between those two indices, FIB-4 is considered a statistically significant prognostic factor of RFS in HCC patients after LR. The HR for 2-year RFS and OS were 1.81 (95% CI, 1.18-2.77; P = 0.007) and 2.36 (95% CI, 0.99-5.65; P = 0.054), respectively.

Conclusion

FIB-4 is identified as a statistically significant predictor of HCC prognosis after curative LR even in HBV dominant populations.

Value of Triage Treatment Strategies to Distribute Hepatitis C Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents in an Integrated Healthcare System: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of fibrosis-based direct-acting antiviral treatment policies for patients with chronic hepatitis C virus at the Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic States health system.

METHODS

We used a Markov model to compare the lifetime costs and effects of treating patients with chronic hepatitis C virus at different stages of disease severity, or all stages simultaneously, based on a fibrosis score from the US healthcare sector perspective and societal perspective. The initial distribution of patients across fibrosis scores, the effectiveness of direct-acting antiviral therapy, and follow-up and monitoring protocols were specific to the Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic States health system. Direct and indirect costs, transition probabilities, and utilities were derived from the literature. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of our results.

RESULTS

The "Treat All" option was dominant from both the societal and healthcare sector perspectives. The conclusion was robust in deterministic sensitivity analysis. The range of incremental costs between the less restrictive policies was small-the difference between the "Treat F1+" and the "Treat All" option was only $111 per person. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed, at both the $100 000/quality-adjusted life-year and $150 000/quality-adjusted life-year thresholds, there was a 70% chance that the "Treat All" option was more cost-effective than the "Treat F1+" option.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that expanded treatment access is cost-effective and, in many cases, cost saving. Although our results are primarily applicable to a regional integrated healthcare system, it offers some direction to any healthcare setting faced with resource constraints in the face of highly priced drugs.

A novel non-invasive score for the prediction of advanced fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Evaluation of liver fibrosis is important for treatment decisions, complications and to predict prognosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Our aim was to develop a new non-invasive fibrosis scoring method and prove its accuracy in the differentiation of no/low grade and advanced fibrosis in patients with CHB.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Our study included 273 chronic hepatitis B patients who underwent liver biopsy from February, 2007 to February, 2019 with medical records retrospectively reviewed. Preparations of these patients were divided into two groups as ≤ 3 no-low grade fibrosis (n=236) and ≥ 4 advanced fibrosis (n=37) according to histological ISHAK fibrosis scoring system.

RESULTS

The newly developed AGAP score and other non-invasive fibrosis scores; Fibrosis-4 index, Aspartate aminotransferase to platelets ratio, Gamma glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio, Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index, King's score, Albumin-bilirubin index, Fibrosis cirrhosis index, Fibrosis index, Fibrosis quotient, Lok score and mean and/or median values of Fibroindex were significantly higher in the advanced fibrosis group compared to the no/low grade fibrosis group (p<0.001). However, there was no significant difference in AAR score among the groups (p=0.265). With cut-off value of 4.038, AUROC value of 0.803, sensitivity of 75.7%, specificity of 73.7% and accuracy of 0.740, AGAP score showed the best performance in advanced fibrosis differentiation compared to 12 other non-invasive fibrosis scoring methods.

CONCLUSIONS

The newly developed AGAP score showed better performance in patients with CHB compared to 12 other non-invasive fibrosis scores in differentiation of no/low grade fibrosis and advanced fibrosis.

Serum Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer predicts esophagogastric varices in cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection treated with IFN-free direct-acting antiviral agent: M2BPGi levels predict varices in SVR patients

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

We examined whether Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) levels could be a predictive marker for the presence of esophagogastric varices (EGV) in cirrhotic patients after hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 102 cirrhotic patients with HCV infection treated with DAAs were enrolled. Esophagogastroduodenoscopy was performed in 84 of the patients before treatment (Cohort A), in 66 after treatment (Cohort B), and in 48 at both time points (Cohort C). We examined factors associated with EGV before and after DAA treatment.

RESULTS

In Cohort A, M2BPGi levels and liver stiffness were significantly higher in the EGV-positive group than the EGV-negative group (p=0.034, and p=0.042, respectively). The proportion of EGV-positive patients with before-treatment levels of M2BPGi ≧ 7.3 C.O.I. was significantly higher than in patients with M2BPGi levels<7.3 C.O.I. (p=0.015). In Cohort B, M2BPGi levels were significantly higher in the EGV-positive group than EGV-negative group (p=0.003). The proportion of EGV-positive patients with after-treatment levels of M2BPGi ≧ 3.4 C.O.I. was significantly higher than in patients with M2BPGi levels<3.4C.O.I. (p=0.001). In Cohort C, M2BPGi levels decreased during DAA treatment regardless of EGV development, but there was no significant difference in the reduction of M2BPGi among the EGV-improvement, EGV-invariant, and EGV-exacerbation groups (p=0.659).

CONCLUSIONS

M2BPGi levels may be a novel serum marker for the presence of EGV before and after DAA treatment.

Alpha lipoic acid priming enhances the hepatoprotective effect of adipose derived stem cells in CCl4 induced hepatic injury in-vitro

Mesenchymal stem cells are known to support hepatic defense against liver fibrosis. However, the fibrosis induced oxidative microenvironment affects the proliferative, regenerative, and angiogenic properties of mesenchymal stem cells. Alpha lipoic acid (ALA) is a strong anti-oxidant which has been shown to ameliorate the adverse effects of fibrosis that otherwise can lead to severe liver problems like cirrhosis and liver failure. Here, we studied the protective role of ALA primed adipose derived stem cells (ADSCs) against carbon tetrachloride (CCl₄₎ induced hepatotoxicity in primary hepatocytes in-vitro. Priming of ADSCs helped to abrogate the damaging effects of fibrosis induced oxidative stress as evidenced by significantly reduced levels of alkaline phosphatase (ALP), Alanine Aminotransferase (ALAT) along with decreased lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) release and improved superoxide dismutase (SOD) activity. ALA and ADSCs synergistically down-regulated the expression of Bax gene, an apoptosis regulator while enhancing cell proliferation by up-regulating the expression of Bcl2l1 gene. This treatment improved the expression of albumin (Alb), cytokeratin-8 (Ck8), and hepatic nuclear factor alpha (Hnf4α). Cytochrome P450 2E1 (Cyp2e1) and Alpha fetoprotein (Afp) were down-regulated to lessen the damage caused by CCl₄ treatment. Furthermore, paracrine release of several growth factors like hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNFα), and insulin growth factor (IGF) reinforced the improved response of primary hepatocytes against CCl₄ induced hepatotoxicity in the presence of ALA primed ADSCs. This study suggests that ALA priming may improve the therapeutic potential of ADSCs against chronic liver problems by activating the nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (Nrf2) and its downstream antioxidant factors heme oxygenase 1 (HO-1) and quinone acceptor oxidoreductase-1 (NQO1).

Predictive value of noninvasive indices in chronic hepatitis B virus-related fibrosis

OBJECTIVES

Despite being an invasive method, liver biopsy followed by pathological grading remains the gold standard in evaluating liver fibrosis resulting from chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. The present study aims to evaluate the utility of biochemical parameters and their derived indices in predicting development of fibrosis related to HBV infection.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Pathology results and biochemical parameters of patients who underwent liver biopsy were retrieved from electronic archive records dated 2010-2019 and evaluated retrospectively. Pathological fibrosis grading was performed as per Ishak scoring, with scores of 1-2 considered as mild fibrosis and 3-6 as advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS

The mean age of 302 patients was 37.69 ± 11.33 years. Of the 302 patients, 230 (76.2%) had mild fibrosis and 72 (23.8%) had advanced fibrosis. Age-platelet index, aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index, fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), modified fibrosis-4, platelets count, aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio/platelet ratio index, Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index and King's score were markedly and significantly higher in patients with advanced fibrosis than those with mild fibrosis. FIB-4, age-platelet index and King's score had higher (>80%) area under the curve values than other indices in the receiver operating characteristics analysis. Evaluation of sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of these indices with the specified cut-off values revealed 87% sensitivity with FIB-4, 70% specificity with King's score and 72% accuracy with the age-platelet index.

CONCLUSION

In this study, the highest rates of sensitivity, specificity and accuracy in distinguishing and predicting liver fibrosis were observed with the noninvasive indices FIB-4, King's score and the age-platelet index, respectively.

HCC-Mark: a simple non-invasive model based on routine parameters for predicting hepatitis C virus related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial in providing more effective therapies. As routine laboratory variables are readily accessible, this study aimed to develop a simple non-invasive model for predicting hepatocellular cancer.

METHODS

Two groups of patients were recruited: an estimation group (n = 300) and a validation group (n = 625). Each comprised two categories: hepatocellular cancer and liver cirrhosis. Logistic regression analyses and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to develop and validate the HCC-Mark model comprising AFP, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, albumin and platelet count. This model was tested in cancer patients classified by the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), Cancer of Liver Italian Program (CLIP) and Okuda systems, and was compared with other non-invasive models for predicting hepatocellular cancer.

RESULTS

HCC-Mark produced a ROC AUC of 0.89 (95% CI 0.85-0.90) for discriminating hepatocellular carcinoma from liver cirrhosis in the estimation group and 0.90 (0.86-0.90) in the validation group (both p < 0.0001). This AUC exceeded all other models, that had AUCs from 0.41 to 0.81. AUCs of HCC-Mark for discriminating patients with a single focal lesion, absent macrovascular invasion, tumour size <2 cm, BCLC (0-A), CLIP (0-1) and Okuda (stage Ι) from cirrhotic patients were 0.88 (0.85-0.90), 0.87 (0.85-0.89), 0.89 (0.85-0.93), 0.87 (0.84-0.89), 0.85 (0.82-0.87) and 0.86 (0.83-0.89), respectively (all p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

HCC-Mark is an accurate and validated model for the detection of hepatocellular cancer and certain of its clinical features.

The novel fibrosis index at diagnosis may predict all-cause mortality in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis without substantial liver diseases

OBJECTIVES

Antineutrophil cyto plasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV) is a fatal disease. Currently, predictors of mortality due to AAV are based on the distribution of organ involvement. The novel fibrosis index (NFI) is an index composed of laboratory results that reflect the degree of liver fibrosis. This study aimed to evaluate whether NFI can predict poor outcomes in patients with AAV without substantial liver disease.

METHODS

A total of 210 patients with immunosuppressive drug-naïve AAV were retrospectively reviewed. NFI was calculated as follows: NFI=(serum bilirubin × (alkaline phosphatase)2)/(platelet count×(serum albumin)2). NFI cut-off was set at 1.24 (the highest quartile). Poor outcomes were defined as all-cause mortality, relapse, and end-stage renal disease (ESRD).

RESULTS

During the median 34.5 months of follow-up, 21 patients (10%) died, 72 patients (34.3%) relapsed, and 38 patients (18.1%) had ESRD due to AAV progression. The median calculated NFI was 0.61, and it was higher in AAV patients with all-cause mortality than in those without mortality, but the difference was not statistically significant (1.26 vs. 0.59). AAV patients with NFI at diagnosis ≥1.24 exhibited a significantly lower cumulative patient survival rate than those with NFI at diagnosis <1.24 (p=0.002). Multivariate Cox hazard model analysis showed that NFI at diagnosis ≥1.24 was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in AAV (hazard ratios [HR] 2.850, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.026, 7.910).

CONCLUSIONS

NFI ≥1.24, which may be an independent predictive marker for all-cause mortality in AAV patients without substantial liver disease.

Body mass index (BMI) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level correlate with the severity of HCV-induced fibrosis in a cohort of Egyptian patients with chronic HCV

Background

Viral hepatitis is the seventh leading cause of mortality globally, and half of this mortality is attributed to hepatitis C virus (HCV). Egypt has the highest HCV prevalence worldwide, with an estimated 14.7% of the population being HCV-positive. HCV infection is the primary cause of liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Liver fibrosis varies in severity during chronic HCV infection, and 10–20% of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients with severe fibrosis develop cirrhosis. The goal of this work was to assess the clinico-demographic predictors of severity of HCV-induced fibrosis in a cohort of Egyptian patients.

Results

A cohort of Egyptian patients with chronic HCV genotype 4a infection showed significant association between severe fibrosis stages and obesity, represented by a higher body mass index (BMI), low albumin level, high alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, low thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) level, and high alkaline phosphatase (ALP) level. Multivariate analysis delineated BMI, TSH, and ALP as independent significant variables that could predict the risk of fibrosis severity in HCV infections.

Conclusion

This study argues in favor of using the biomarker profile of CHC patients infected with HCV genotype 4a to identify patients at higher risk of developing severe fibrosis, which is a necessary first step towards precision medicine via patient stratification.

FIB-5 versus FIB-4 index for assessment of hepatic fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B affected patients

AIM OF THE STUDY

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is one of the major health problems worldwide. Use of non-invasive tests for assessment of hepatic fibrosis such as the FIB-4 index could be used to avoid liver biopsy. Another promising noninvasive test, FIB-5, could also be used to detect significant hepatic fibrosis. The aim of the study was to compare the use of FIB-5 and FIB-4 as noninvasive markers to assess chronic HBV-related hepatic fibrosis.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This study was done on 176 chronic HBV patients who underwent liver biopsy. Grading and staging of liver fibrosis was done according to the METAVIR scoring system. FIB-5 and FIB-4 scores were calculated for all patients.

RESULTS

As regards FIB-4 for differentiation between non-significant fibrosis (group I) and significant fibrosis (group II), at a cutoff level of 1.28 with positive predictive value (PPV) 41.4% and specificity 48% while at a cutoff level of 7.08 with PPV 98.8% and specificity 98% for FIB-5.

CONCLUSIONS

As regards both scores, the FIB-5 score was more specific than FIB-4 for diagnosing significant from nonsignificant hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic HBV infection.

Validation of Novel Fibrosis Index (NFI) for assessment of liver fibrosis: comparison with transient elastography (FibroScan)

Background

In this study, we collated cheap and readily available non-invasive biomarkers and FibroScan score in predicting fibrosis stages in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.

Methods

We studied 1898 patients with HCV infection confirmed by presence of HCV RNA in their serum. We compared the FibroScan score and fibrosis indices (FIs): aspartate transaminase (AST) to alanine transaminase (ALT) ratio (AAR), AST to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), FI, fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), Age-Platelet Index (API), Pohl score, Fibrosis Cirrhosis Index (FCI). We developed a new FI, named Novel Fibrosis Index (NFI) calculated by the following formula: NFI=[(bilirubin×(ALP)²)/(platelet count (albumin)²)]−n.

Results

AAR, APRI, FI, FIB-4, API, Pohl score, FCI and NFI were able to predict fibrosis stage with correlation coefficient indices 0.848, 0.711, 0.618, 0.741, 0.529, 0.360, 0.477 and 0.26, respectively. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed sensitivity and specificity for predicting F3 by NFI=75.1% and 41.1% and F4 for NFI=72.1% and 47.1%, AAR=62.8% and 37.6%, APRI=74.6% and 87.6%, FIB-4=53.2% and 72.3%, FI=78.1% and 92.3%, API=78.1% and 60%, Pohl score=38.1% and 78.1% and FCI=78.1% and 88.1%.

Conclusions

Our NFI predicted F3 and has been found to have more sensitivity and specificity in predicting F4 fibrosis stage than other FIs.

Enhanced processing of von Willebrand factor reflects disease severity and discriminates severe portal hypertension in cirrhosis

OBJECTIVES

Portal hypertension in cirrhosis is associated with endothelial dysfunction, impaired wound healing, and decreased platelet count. Increased von Willebrand factor (VWF) formation has been suggested as a compensatory mechanism, but the role of VWF processing has not been directly assessed. The aim was to measure the processing of activated VWF (VWF-A) in addition to VWF release (VWF-N) to investigate the association of primary hemostasis with disease activity and portal hypertension in liver cirrhosis.

PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS

Plasma samples from 105 participants undergoing liver vein catheterization and with liver cirrhosis of varying severity were included in the study together with 20 controls without liver disease. Competitive enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay format was used to estimate biomarkers of VWF turnover using neo-epitope-specific monoclonal antibodies.

RESULTS

VWF-N levels and VWF-A levels were significantly elevated in cirrhotic patients compared with controls (P<0.0001), and both markers could discriminate mild from severe cirrhosis (VWF-N, P<0.0001; VWF-A, P<0.05). Both markers correlated well with increasing portal hypertension and could identify patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (VWF-N, area under the curve: 0.78; VWF-A, area under the curve: 0.67). Only VWF-A significantly separated compensated from decompensated patients (P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

The data indicate that both VWF release and processing of active VWF are increased in cirrhosis, reflecting ongoing wound healing initiation. VWF-N and VWF-A may specifically contain information to assess the presence and severity of PHT as an early indicator of cirrhosis, and for acute damage in decompensated cirrhosis. Whether the increased wound healing affects long-term outcome needs to be addressed in future studies.

Serum alkaline phosphatase levels as a simple and useful test in screening for significant fibrosis in treatment-naive patients with hepatitis B e-antigen negative chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Staging of liver fibrosis is critical in guiding the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) virus. Many efforts have been made toward the research of noninvasive techniques, mostly focusing on hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg)-positive [HBeAg(+)] CHB patients, whereas HBeAg(+) and HBeA-negative [HBeAg(-)] represent different stages of hepatitis B virus infection. Thus, in this study, we aimed to search for routinely available clinical noninvasive liver fibrosis markers and separately analysed the markers in HBeAg(+) and HBeAg(-) CHB patients.

METHODS

Patients with CHB who were treatment naive and who underwent a liver biopsy at our hospital from 1 January 2016 to 31 April 2017 were enrolled. Liver histology was scored using the Scheuer classification system. The area under the receiver operator curve was used to determine the diagnostic accuracy.

RESULTS

A total of 191 patients, including 104 HBeAg(+) and 87 HBeAg(-) treatment-naive CHB patients, were enrolled in this study. Serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels increased gradually in all patients and separately in HBeAg(-) CHB patients, but not in HBeAg(+) CHB patients. ALP was an independent factors predicting significant fibrosis (S≥2) in all of the patients and separately in HBeAg(-) patients, with area under the receiver operator curves of 0.651 and 0.717, respectively. Further, the optimal cut-off value of ALP (>69.5 IU/l) for distinguishing HBeAg(-) CHB patients with significant fibrosis was determined (S≥2).

CONCLUSION

Serum ALP levels can identify significant fibrosis (S≥2) in treatment-naive HBeAg(-) CHB patients and could potentially reduce the need for liver biopsies and help to guide the clinical treatment of CHB.

Cost-effectiveness and budgetary impact of HCV treatment with direct-acting antivirals in India including the risk of reinfection

BACKGROUND

HCV direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are produced in India at low cost. However, concerns surrounding reinfection and budgetary impact limit treatment scale-up in India. We evaluate the cost-effectiveness and budgetary impact of HCV treatment in India, including reinfection.

METHODS

A closed cohort Markov model of HCV disease progression, treatment, and reinfection was parameterized. We compared treatment by fibrosis stage (F2-F4 or F0-F4) to no treatment from a health care payer perspective. Costs (2017 USD$, based on India-specific data) and health utilities (in quality-adjusted life years, QALYs) were attached to each health state. We assumed DAAs with 90% sustained viral response at $900/treatment and 1%/year reinfection, varied in the sensitivity analysis from 0.1-15%. We deemed the intervention cost-effective if the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) fell below India's per capita GDP ($1,709). We assessed the budgetary impact of treating all diagnosed individuals.

RESULTS

HCV treatment for diagnosed F2-F4 individuals was cost-saving (net costs -$2,881 and net QALYs 3.18/person treated; negative ICER) compared to no treatment. HCV treatment remained cost-saving with reinfection rates of 15%/year. Treating all diagnosed individuals was likely cost-effective compared to delay until F2 (mean ICER $1,586/QALY gained, 67% of simulations falling under the $1,709 threshold) with 1%/year reinfection. For all scenarios, annual retesting for reinfection was more cost-effective than the current policy (one-time retest). Treating all diagnosed individuals and reinfections results in net costs of $445-1,334 million over 5 years (<0.25% of total health care expenditure over 5 years), and cost-savings within 14 years.

CONCLUSIONS

HCV treatment was highly cost-effective in India, despite reinfection. Annual retesting for reinfection was cost-effective, supporting a policy change towards more frequent retesting. A comprehensive HCV treatment scale-up plan is warranted in India.

A panel of a mitogenic (PDGF), biochemical (albumin) and demographic (age) parameters for the non-invasive assessment of hepatic fibrosis

Background: Several studies have investigated certain fibrosis markers that incorporate liver function tests, fragments of liver-matrix components and/or degraded products generated by hepatic stellate cells for determining the degree of hepatic fibrosis. However, the role of these molecules in the development of hepatic fibrosis is unclear. This work aimed (a) to determine whether platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF) is linked to different stages of hepatic fibrosis and (b) investigate its diagnostic performance alongside other laboratory and demographic factors in assessing liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C infection. Methods: Liver-fibrosis was staged according to Fibroscan, PDGF quantified using ELISA, and liver function tests and other analytes determined by standard techniques in 239 patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection. Results: Patients with significant (F2-F4), advanced fibrosis (F3-F4) and cirrhotic liver disease (F4) showed significantly (P<0.0001) higher PDGF levels increase respectively compared to stage F0/1. We used this to construct the PARA-Index (PDGF/albumin ratio, age), which performed well in assessing hepatic-fibrosis stages with AUCs of 0.91, 0.87 and 0.86 for identifying F2-F4, F3-F4 and F4, respectively. Additionally, the PARA-Index correlated strongly (r=0.65, P<0.0001) with the severity of the fibrosis. An elevated PARA-index provided odds ratios of 21.0, 20.7 and 10.3 for developing F2-F4, F3-F4 and F4, respectively. Conclusion: A panel of mitogenic (PDGF), biochemical (albumin) and demographical (age) parameters may improve liver-fibrosis staging with a high degree of accuracy in those with a hepatitis C virus infection.

HCV infection causes cirrhosis in human by step-wise regulation of host genes involved in cellular functioning and defense during fibrosis: Identification of bio-markers

Chronic Hepatitis C Viral (HCV) infection is a leading health problem worldwide and resulted in fibrotic scar formation, and finally liver-cirrhosis. Although contemporary therapies can partially reverse this destructive process, the rehabilitation is too slow and unsuitable for all chronic infections. The current study elucidates the mechanism of disease progression from early (F1) to moderate (F2, F3), and to severe fibrosis (F4)/cirrhosis in HCV genotype 3a infected patients to find out new candidates as potential disease progression markers and antiviral therapeutic agents. A total of 550 genes were found differentially regulated in the four fibrosis stages and grouped in 22 classes according to their biological functions. Gene set enrichment (GSEA) and Ingenuity pathway analysis (IPA) were used to identify the regulation of crucial biological functions and pathways involved in HCV progression. HCV differentially regulated the expression of genes involved in apoptosis, cell structure, signal transduction, proliferation, metabolism, cytokine signaling, immune response, cell adhesion and maintenance, and post translational modifications by pathway analysis. There was an increasing trend of proliferative and cell growth related genes and shutting down of immune response as the disease progress mild to moderate to advanced stage cirrhosis. The myriad of changes in gene expression showed more chances of developing liver cancer in patients infected with HCV genotype 3a in a systematic manner. The identified gene set can act as disease markers for prediction, whether the fibrosis lead to cirrhosis and its association with end stage liver disease development.

Carbamoyl phosphate synthetase 1 (CPS1) as a prognostic marker in chronic hepatitis C infection

This study aims to assess the value of carbamoyl phosphate synthetase 1 (CPS1), as a non-invasive serum marker, for the evolution of chronic HCV infection and hepatic fibrosis. Seventy-two patients with HCV positive serum RNA and 15 health volunteers were enrolled in this study. Out of 72 patients, 10 patients had decompensated liver with ascites. Quantitative analysis of CPS1 was performed in the harvested sera and corresponding liver biopsies using ELISA and immunohistochemistry techniques respectively. Also, mitochondrial count using electron microscopy, urea analysis and conventional liver tests were done. Patients were grouped into (F1 + F2) and (F3 + F4) representing stages of moderate and severe fibrosis respectively. Tissue and serum CPS1 (s.CPS1) correlated significantly in moderate and severe fibrosis. Patients with severe fibrosis showed significantly higher levels of s.CPS1 (p-value ≤ 0.05) and significantly lower mitochondrial counts (p-value = 0.0065) than those with moderate fibrosis. S.urea positively correlated with s.CPS1 only in the decompensated group, at which s.urea reached maximal levels. In conclusion, s.CPS1 is a potential non-invasive marker for the assessment of severity and progression of HCV in relation to mitochondrial dysfunction. Also, increased s.urea with the progression of the disease is mainly due to a concurrent renal malfunction, which needs further investigation.

Evaluation and comparison of thirty noninvasive models for diagnosing liver fibrosis in chinese hepatitis B patients

The limitations of liver biopsy have led to the development of indirect noninvasive models for liver fibrosis assessment. We aimed to evaluate and compare the performance of 30 noninvasive models to predict fibrosis stage in treatment-naïve and treated chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. A total of 576 Chinese treatment-naïve CHB patients and 236 treated CHB patients who had undergone percutaneous liver biopsy were included in the analysis. Histological grading and staging was assessed by the Ishak scoring system. The diagnostic accuracies of 30 noninvasive models were assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs). In treatment-naïve CHB patients, the AUROCs of the 30 noninvasive models for discriminating significant fibrosis (SF) were less than 0.800, and only the AUROC of the PP score for diagnosing advanced fibrosis (AF) was more than 0.800, while the AUROCs of FIB-4, FibroQ, HB-F, Lok index, PHP score and PP score for predicting cirrhosis were greater than 0.800. In treated CHB patients, only the AUROCs of APRI, GUCI, King's score and Wang I for identifying cirrhosis were more than 0.800. The Spearman correlation analysis identified that only the changes in FCI and Virahep-C model values were weakly correlated with changes in Ishak fibrosis scores before and after treatment (r = 0.206, p = 0.008; r = 0.187, p = 0.016, respectively). In conclusion, in Chinese CHB patients, the 30 existing noninvasive models were not suitable for assessing each stage of fibrosis except cirrhosis before and after antiviral therapy, especially in gauging progression and regression of liver fibrosis following therapy.

Cost-effectiveness of generic pan-genotypic sofosbuvir/velpatasvir versus genotype-dependent direct-acting antivirals for hepatitis C treatment

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection with low-cost generic direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) available in India and other developing countries needs determination of HCV genotype ("genotype-dependent" regimens). Generic velpatasvir, a DAA that obviates the need for genotype determination ("pan-genotypic" regimen), recently became available but is costlier. The aim of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of genotype-dependent versus pan-genotypic DAA treatments in India.

METHODS

A previously validated microsimulation model, adapted to Indian population, was used to compare the costs and long-term outcomes of three scenarios: no treatment, treatment with genotype-dependent regimens, and treatment with pan-genotypic regimen. Input parameters were derived from literature. Using a payer's perspective and lifetime time horizon, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), total costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio were calculated. Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were also conducted.

RESULTS

At the current price ($US223 for 4 weeks), pan-genotypic regimen was cost-saving compared with no treatment. Compared with genotype-dependent regimens, it increased QALYs by 0.92 and increased costs by $US107 but was deemed cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $US242 per QALY gained. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis also supported the cost-effectiveness of pan-genotypic regimen. At the reduced price of $US188 for 4 weeks, the pan-genotypic regimen will become cost-neutral to genotype-dependent regimens (current price: $US100 for 4 weeks).

CONCLUSIONS

At current prices, velpatasvir-based pan-genotypic regimen is cost-effective for HCV treatment in India where generic drugs are available. A reduction in the prices of pan-genotypic regimen has the potential to make its use cost-saving while simplifying treatment in community-level programs aimed at HCV elimination.

Validation and comparison of seventeen noninvasive models for evaluating liver fibrosis in Chinese hepatitis B patients

BACKGROUND & AIMS

To avoid liver biopsy, many noninvasive models comprised of serum markers for liver fibrosis assessment have been developed. Given that most of them were developed in hepatitis C cohorts and few of them have been validated in Chinese hepatitis B patients, we aim to conduct this validation and compare their diagnostic accuracies in such a population.

METHODS

A total of 937 HBV-infected patients who underwent liver biopsy were included in this single-centre retrospective study. The diagnostic accuracies of the 17 noninvasive models were assessed by areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUROCs), using histologically evaluated fibrotic stages of the biopsy specimens as standards. To compare efficiencies of the models, a grading system based on AUROC levels was developed.

RESULTS

For discriminating significant fibrosis in all patients, the best three noninvasive models were King's score (AUROC = 0.756), Virahep-C model (AUROC = 0.756) and GPR (AUROC = 0.744); and for diagnosing cirrhosis, Lok index (AUROC = 0.832), FI (AUROC = 0.820) and FIB-4 (AUROC = 0.818) got the first three places. AUROCs in HBeAg-positive group were generally higher than those in HBeAg-negative group. In addition, based on the grading system, Virahep-C and GPR outstood others in evaluating liver fibrosis in all patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In Chinese HBV-infected patients, Virahep-C models and GPR had high accuracies in diagnosing liver fibrosis and cirrhosis, while the most discussed models like APRI and FIB-4 did not outstand. Assessment should take into account the HBeAg sero-status, since these noninvasive models were more appropriate for HBeAg-positive patients than HBeAg-negative ones.

Use of Non-invasive Testing to Stage Liver Fibrosis in Patients with HIV

Patients with HIV have a proclivity to develop liver fibrosis, especially when associated with other conditions such as HCV, HBV, and NAFLD. Identifying HIV-infected patients with significant fibrosis or cirrhosis plays an important role in clinical and therapeutic decision-making. Liver biopsy is currently considered as the gold standard for fibrosis assessment but carries many shortcomings (cost, invasiveness, complications, false negative rate of 20 %). Multiple non-invasive methods of liver fibrosis assessment have been developed, but not all have been studied in HIV-infected individuals. Non-invasive liver fibrosis tools include both serologic-based testing scores (rely on direct and/or indirect markers) such as APRI, FIB4, FibroTest, FibroSpect II, HepaScore, or imaging-based methods such as vibration controlled liver elastography. There is validated data to support the use of non-invasive modalities of fibrosis assessment in HIV-HCV co-infected individuals for the exclusion of cirrhosis, but may be poorly reliable or not enough data exists for the assessment of other co-morbid disease processes.

VAP score as a novel non-invasive liver fibrosis model in patients with chronic hepatitis C

AIM

Assessment of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients is necessary before antiviral treatment. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of eight non-invasive models (aspartate aminotransferase [AST]/alanine transaminase ratio [AAR], AST/platelet ratio index [APRI], fibrosis-cirrhosis index [FCI], fibrosis index [FI], fibrosis-4 [FIB-4] score, fibrosis quotient [FibroQ], King, and von Willebrand factor antigen (vWF-Ag)/thrombocyte ratio [VITRO] scores) for predicting fibrosis compared with liver biopsy and to create a new score for predicting different fibrosis stages with increased accuracy.

METHODS

We prospectively studied 127 treatment-naive CHC patients who underwent liver biopsy. The AAR, APRI, FCI, FI, FIB-4, FibroQ, King and VITRO scores were calculated and correlated with fibrosis stages. A new score (VAP) was derived from vWF-Ag, AST, and platelets: [VAP = (AST (U/L) × vWF-Ag)/platelets (10⁹ /L)].

RESULTS

Apart from AAR, readily available scores were correlated with liver fibrosis stages. VITRO (r = 0.62) and APRI (r = 0.46) showed the closest correlation. Our new (VAP) score significantly correlated with fibrosis stages (r = 0.702, P < 0.001). Compared to other scores, VAP had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, with 0.854, 0.921, 0.849, and 0.861 for mild (F1), significant (≥F2), advanced (≥F3) fibrosis, and cirrhosis (F4) respectively. At a cut-off value >1, VAP had 75.2% sensitivity and 100% positive predictive value for predicting mild fibrosis. At a cut-off value >2.3 for predicting cirrhosis, VAP had 73% sensitivity and 81.7% positive predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS

The VAP score is a novel model that had higher diagnostic performance to predict different fibrosis stages and subclinical cirrhosis among CHC patients compared to the other studied scores and hence may offer a useful strategy to stratify patients who would benefit from direct-acting antivirals.

Fibro-Mark: a panel of laboratory parameters for predicting significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C patients

BACKGROUND

Fibrosis markers are useful for the prediction of cirrhosis but clinical scores such as King's score, AST-Platelet ratio index (APRI), Biotechnology research center (BRC), Fibrosis routine test (FRT), Fibro-α score and Fibro-quotient (FibroQ) have limited accuracy for diagnosing significant fibrosis. We hypothesised that new markers (reflecting the balance between hepatic fibrogenesis and fibrolysis) together with other indirect fibrosis markers would together construct a more sensitive and specific score capable of identifying fibrosis than existing scores.

METHODS

Collagen IV, hyaluronic acid, platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF) and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) were measured by ELISA, and AST, ALT, platelet count, albumin, total bilirubin, INR and AFP by routine methods in 148 patients with hepatitis C induced liver disease. Stepwise linear discriminant analysis and area under receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were used to create a predictive score and compare it to others.

RESULTS

Patients with significant fibrosis (n = 100, F2-F4) showed 2.08, 2.14, 1.80 and 1.90-fold increase in collagen IV, hyaluronic acid, PDGF and TIMP-1, respectively, over patients with no or mild fibrosis (n = 48, F0/F1)(all p < 0.01). Significant independent predictors of F2-F4 were AFP (AUC 0.79), age (0.76), PDGF (0.74), collagen IV (0.78) and TIMP (0.75), which together formed a five-marker score 'Fibro-Mark' for predicting F2-F4. In comparison with other scores, AUC for Fibro-Mark was 0.89, BRC was 0.83, followed by FRT and King's score (both 0.82), APRI (0.80), Fibro-α (0.70) and finally Fibro Q (0.63).

CONCLUSIONS

The Fibro-Mark score provides better discrimination in hepatic-fibrosis staging in chronic hepatitis C patients than existing scores.

A simple bedside blood test (Fibrofast; FIB-5) is superior to FIB-4 index for the differentiation between non-significant and significant fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C

INTRODUCTION

A simple non-invasive score (Fibrofast, FIB-5) was developed using five routine laboratory tests (ALT, AST, alkaline phosphatase, albumin and platelets count) for the detection of significant hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C. The FIB-4 index is a non-invasive test for the assessment of liver fibrosis, and a score of ≤1.45 enables the correct identification of patients who have non-significant (F0-1) from significant fibrosis (F2-4), and could avoid liver biopsy. The aim of this study was to compare the performance characteristics of FIB-5 and FIB-4 to differentiate between non-significant and significant fibrosis.

METHOD

A cross-sectional study included 604 chronic HCV patients. All liver biopsies were scored using the METAVIR system. Both FIB-5 and FIB-4 scores were measured and the performance characteristics were calculated using the ROC curve.

RESULTS

The performance characteristics of FIB-5 at ≥7.5 and FIB-4 at ≤1.45 for the differentiation between non-significant fibrosis and significant fibrosis were: specificity 94.4%, PPV 85.7%, and specificity 54.9%, PPV 55.7% respectively.

CONCLUSION

FIB-5 score at the new cutoff is superior to FIB-4 index for the differentiation between non-significant and significant fibrosis.

Incidence and Predictors of Advanced Liver Fibrosis by a Validated Serum Biomarker in Liver Transplant Recipients

Background and Aims. Serum fibrosis biomarkers have shown good accuracy in the liver transplant (LT) population. We employed a simple serum biomarker to elucidate incidence and predictors of advanced fibrosis after LT over a long follow-up period. Methods. We included 440 consecutive patients who underwent LT between 1991 and 2013. Advanced liver fibrosis was defined as FIB-4 > 3.25 beyond 12 months after LT. Results. Over 2030.5 person-years (PY) of follow-up, 189 (43%) developed FIB-4 > 3.25, accounting for an incidence of 9.3/100 PY (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.1-10.7). Advanced fibrosis was predicted by chronic HCV infection (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 3.96, 95% CI 2.92-5.36, p < 0.001), hypoalbuminemia (aHR = 2.31, 95% CI 1.72-3.09; p < 0.001), and hyponatremia (aHR = 1.48, 95% CI 1.09-2.01; p = 0.01). LT recipients with more than 1 predictor had a higher incidence of advanced fibrosis, the highest being when all 3 predictors coexisted (log-rank: p < 0.001). Conclusions. Chronic HCV infection, hypoalbuminemia, and hyponatremia predict progression to advanced liver fibrosis following LT. Patients with these risk factors should be serially monitored using noninvasive fibrosis biomarkers and prioritized for interventions.

Biochemical non-invasive assessment of liver fibrosis cannot replace biopsy in HIV-HCV coinfected patients

BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE

The liver biopsy has been considered the gold standard for the diagnosis and quantification of fibrosis. However, this method presents limitations. In addition, the non-invasive evaluation of liver fibrosis is a challenge. The aim of this study was to validate the fibrosis cirrhosis index (FCI) index in a cohort of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfected patients, and compare to AST/ALT ratio (AAR), AST to platelet ratio index (APRI) and FIB-4 scores, as a tool for the assessment of liver fibrosis in coinfected patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Retrospective cross sectional study including 92 HIV-HCV coinfected patients evaluated in two reference centers for HIV treatment in the Public Health System in Southern Brazil. Patients who underwent liver biopsy for any indication and had concomitant laboratory data in the 3 months prior to liver biopsy, to allow the calculation of studied noninvasive markers (AAR, APRI, FIB-4 and FCI) were included.

RESULTS

APRI < 0.5 presents the higher specificity to detect no or minimal fibrosis, whereas APRI > 1.5 presents the best negative predictive value and FCI > 1.25 the best specificity to detect significant fibrosis. The values of noninvasive markers for each Metavir fibrosis stage showed statistically significant differences only for APRI. In conclusion, until better noninvasive markers for liver fibrosis are developed and validated for HIV-HCV coinfected patients, noninvasive serum markers should be used carefully in this population.

Mean Platelet Volume, Red Cell Distribution Width to Platelet Count Ratio, Globulin Platelet Index, and 16 Other Indirect Noninvasive Fibrosis Scores: How Much Do Routine Blood Tests Tell About Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis C?

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Many indirect noninvasive scores to predict liver fibrosis are calculated from routine blood investigations. Only limited studies have compared their efficacy head to head. We aimed to compare these scores with liver biopsy fibrosis stages in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From blood investigations of 1602 patients with chronic hepatitis C who underwent a liver biopsy before initiation of antiviral treatment, 19 simple noninvasive scores were calculated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves and diagnostic accuracy of each of these scores were calculated (with reference to the Scheuer staging) and compared.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 41.8±9.6 years (1365 men). The most common genotype was genotype 4 (65.6%). Significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis were seen in 65.1%, 25.6, and 6.6% of patients, respectively. All the scores except the aspartate transaminase (AST) alanine transaminase ratio, Pohl score, mean platelet volume, fibro-alpha, and red cell distribution width to platelet count ratio index showed high predictive accuracy for the stages of fibrosis. King's score (cutoff, 17.5) showed the highest predictive accuracy for significant and advanced fibrosis. King's score, Göteborg university cirrhosis index, APRI (the AST/platelet count ratio index), and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) had the highest predictive accuracy for cirrhosis, with the APRI (cutoff, 2) and FIB-4 (cutoff, 3.25) showing the highest diagnostic accuracy.We derived the study score 8.5 - 0.2(albumin, g/dL) +0.01(AST, IU/L) -0.02(platelet count, 10(9)/L), which at a cutoff of >4.7 had a predictive accuracy of 0.868 (95% confidence interval, 0.833-0.904) for cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

King's score for significant and advanced fibrosis and the APRI or FIB-4 score for cirrhosis could be the best simple indirect noninvasive scores.

Multiple approaches to assess fourteen non-invasive serum indexes for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C patients

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to compare fourteen non-invasive indexes/scores: AAR, APRI, Fibroindex, MODEL3, Forns index, FIB4, GUCI, FI, FCI, Pohl score, AP index, CDS, HGM-1 and HGM-2, in order to diagnose the hepatic fibrosis stage in a survey of patients with chronic hepatitis C.

METHODS

84 patients with chronic hepatitis C were studied. Liver fibrosis was staged according to the Scheuer scoring system. The diagnostic accuracy of these indexes/scores was evaluated by AUROC, contingency tables and logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The best AUROCs (>0.9) to discriminate cirrhosis (F=4), were observed for CDS, FI, AAR, MODEL3, FIB4, HGM-2 and FCI. To discriminate at least advance fibrosis (F≥3), the best AUROCs (>0.89) were for CDS, FI, FIB4, HGM2-2, MODEL3 and FCI. To discriminate at least significant fibrosis (F≥2), the best AUROCs (>0.8) were for FIB4, GUCI, APRI, FI, Forns index, HGM-2 and FCI. Contingency tables and logistic regression analysis supported the results obtained by AUROC.

CONCLUSIONS

This study compares the diagnostic performance of fourteen indexes for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis stage in the same group of CHC patients. These results allow the selection of the best indexes for further studies in larger populations, in order to build diagnostic algorithms as an alternative to liver biopsy for fibrosis staging in patients with chronic HCV infection. These algorithms would allow to take therapeutical decisions and the continuous follow-up of hepatic fibrosis in these patients.

The VITRO Score (Von Willebrand Factor Antigen/Thrombocyte Ratio) as a New Marker for Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension in Comparison to Other Non-Invasive Parameters of Fibrosis Including ELF Test

Background

Clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), defined as hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) ≥10 mmHg, causes major complications. HVPG is not always available, so a non-invasive tool to diagnose CSPH would be useful. VWF-Ag can be used to diagnose. Using the VITRO score (the VWF-Ag/platelet ratio) instead of VWF-Ag itself improves the diagnostic accuracy of detecting cirrhosis/ fibrosis in HCV patients.

Aim

This study tested the diagnostic accuracy of VITRO score detecting CSPH compared to HVPG measurement.

Methods

All patients underwent HVPG testing and were categorised as CSPH or no CSPH. The following patient data were determined: CPS, D’Amico stage, VITRO score, APRI and transient elastography (TE).

Results

The analysis included 236 patients; 170 (72%) were male, and the median age was 57.9 (35.2–76.3; 95% CI). Disease aetiology included ALD (39.4%), HCV (23.4%), NASH (12.3%), other (8.1%) and unknown (11.9%). The CPS showed 140 patients (59.3%) with CPS A; 56 (23.7%) with CPS B; and 18 (7.6%) with CPS C. 136 patients (57.6%) had compensated and 100 (42.4%) had decompensated cirrhosis; 83.9% had HVPG ≥10 mmHg. The VWF-Ag and the VITRO score increased significantly with worsening HVPG categories (P<0.0001). ROC analysis was performed for the detection of CSPH and showed AUC values of 0.92 for TE, 0.86 for VITRO score, 0.79 for VWF-Ag, 0.68 for ELF and 0.62 for APRI.

Conclusion

The VITRO score is an easy way to diagnose CSPH independently of CPS in routine clinical work and may improve the management of patients with cirrhosis.

Improvement of liver function and non-invasive fibrosis markers in hepatitis B virus-associated cirrhosis: 2 years of entecavir treatment

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Entecavir (ETV) induces biochemical and histologic improvement of the liver in patients with chronic hepatitis B. This study aimed to confirm that 2 years of ETV treatment improves liver function and non-invasive fibrosis markers in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated cirrhosis.

METHODS

A total 472 naïve patients with HBV-associated cirrhosis was treated with ETV for at least 2 years, between March 2007 and December 2012. Model for end-stage liver disease and Child-Pugh (CP) score were used to evaluate the improvement of liver function. Aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index, FIB-4 index, and fibrosis index were used to evaluate the improvement of fibrosis.

RESULTS

The final 370 of 472 patients with HBV-associated cirrhosis were enrolled. Mean age was 51 ± 10 years, and 240 patients (64.9%) were men. The distribution of CP class was 71.1% in A, 24.6% in B, and 4.3% in C. Mean end-stage liver disease and CP score changed over the study period from 8.5 ± 4.6 to 6.2 ± 4.2 (P < 0.001) and from 6.2 ± 1.6 to 5.6 ± 0.9 (P < 0.001), respectively. Aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index, FIB-4 index, and fibrosis index changed from 3.6 ± 4.5 to 1.5 ± 1.5 (P < 0.001), from 7.0 ± 6.2 to 3.9 ± 2.8 (P < 0.001), and from 3.3 ± 0.9 to 2.5 ± 1.1 (P < 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

After 2 years of treatment, ETV improves liver function and non-invasive fibrosis markers in patients with HBV-associated cirrhosis.

Cost-effectiveness of non-invasive methods for assessment and monitoring of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver disease: systematic review and economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

Liver biopsy is the reference standard for diagnosing the extent of fibrosis in chronic liver disease; however, it is invasive, with the potential for serious complications. Alternatives to biopsy include non-invasive liver tests (NILTs); however, the cost-effectiveness of these needs to be established.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the diagnostic accuracy and cost-effectiveness of NILTs in patients with chronic liver disease.

DATA SOURCES

We searched various databases from 1998 to April 2012, recent conference proceedings and reference lists.

METHODS

We included studies that assessed the diagnostic accuracy of NILTs using liver biopsy as the reference standard. Diagnostic studies were assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Meta-analysis was conducted using the bivariate random-effects model with correlation between sensitivity and specificity (whenever possible). Decision models were used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the NILTs. Expected costs were estimated using a NHS perspective and health outcomes were measured as quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Markov models were developed to estimate long-term costs and QALYs following testing, and antiviral treatment where indicated, for chronic hepatitis B (HBV) and chronic hepatitis C (HCV). NILTs were compared with each other, sequential testing strategies, biopsy and strategies including no testing. For alcoholic liver disease (ALD), we assessed the cost-effectiveness of NILTs in the context of potentially increasing abstinence from alcohol. Owing to a lack of data and treatments specifically for fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the analysis was limited to an incremental cost per correct diagnosis. An analysis of NILTs to identify patients with cirrhosis for increased monitoring was also conducted.

RESULTS

Given a cost-effectiveness threshold of £20,000 per QALY, treating everyone with HCV without prior testing was cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £9204. This was robust in most sensitivity analyses but sensitive to the extent of treatment benefit for patients with mild fibrosis. For HBV [hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative)] this strategy had an ICER of £28,137, which was cost-effective only if the upper bound of the standard UK cost-effectiveness threshold range (£30,000) is acceptable. For HBeAg-positive disease, two NILTs applied sequentially (hyaluronic acid and magnetic resonance elastography) were cost-effective at a £20,000 threshold (ICER: £19,612); however, the results were highly uncertain, with several test strategies having similar expected outcomes and costs. For patients with ALD, liver biopsy was the cost-effective strategy, with an ICER of £822.

LIMITATIONS

A substantial number of tests had only one study from which diagnostic accuracy was derived; therefore, there is a high risk of bias. Most NILTs did not have validated cut-offs for diagnosis of specific fibrosis stages. The findings of the ALD model were dependent on assuptions about abstinence rates assumptions and the modelling approach for NAFLD was hindered by the lack of evidence on clinically effective treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

Treating everyone without NILTs is cost-effective for patients with HCV, but only for HBeAg-negative if the higher cost-effectiveness threshold is appropriate. For HBeAg-positive, two NILTs applied sequentially were cost-effective but highly uncertain. Further evidence for treatment effectiveness is required for ALD and NAFLD.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42011001561.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Comparative diagnostic accuracy of red cell distribution width-to-platelet ratio versus noninvasive fibrosis scores for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis in biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

OBJECTIVE

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a chronic liver disease and assessment of liver fibrosis is important. We aimed to investigate the performance of red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio (RPR) in predicting liver fibrosis in patients with NAFLD and to compare it with well-known noninvasive predicting fibrosis scores (alanine aminotransferase ratio, aspartate aminotransferase platelet ratio index, fibrosis index, fibrosis 4, and fibrosis, cirrhosis index).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Serum samples of consecutive biopsy-proven NAFLD patients were used to calculate the RPR index. Fibrosis stages were evaluated using the Brunt Criteria. Area under receiver operating characteristics curve was used to calculate predicting performance and compare with other noninvasive fibrosis scores.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty-three consecutive patients with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD were recruited; 54 patients (43.9%) were women. The median age of the patients was 49 years. Fibrosis scores were F0-1, F2, F3, and F4 in 79 (64.2%), 27 (22%), 11 (8.9%), and 6 (4.9%) patients, respectively. The median RPR increased as the fibrosis scores progressed: F0, 0.0524; F1, 0.0534; F2, 0.0606; F3, 0.0815; and F4 0.2022. Area under receiver operating characteristics curve of the RPR was 0.69 in predicting significant fibrosis (≥ F2), 0.81 in advanced fibrosis (≥ F3), and 0.85 in F4, and all were statistically significant (P<0.001). Comparisons with other noninvasive fibrosis scores were not statistically significant (P>0.05). RPR was correlated with fibrosis r: 0.37, 95% confidence interval: (0.21-0.52), P<0.001. RPR was an independent predicting factor for identifying both significant and advanced fibrosis in regression analysis (P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

RPR was both correlated and able to predict liver fibrosis and may be suggested to reduce liver biopsy in NAFLD.

The PAPAS index: a novel index for the prediction of hepatitis C-related fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Several noninvasive tests have been developed to determine the degree of hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) without performing liver biopsy.

AIM

This study aimed to determine the performance of the PAPAS (Platelet/Age/Phosphatase/AFP/AST) index in patients with CHC for the prediction of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis and to compare it with other noninvasive tests. To date, no study has evaluated the application of the PAPAS index in CHC-associated liver fibrosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 137 consecutive patients with CHC who had undergone a percutaneous liver biopsy before treatment. The aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio (APRI), aspartate aminotransferase/alanine transaminase ratio (AAR), age-platelet index (API), FIB4, cirrhosis discriminate score (CDS), the Göteborg University cirrhosis index (GUCI), and PAPAS were calculated and compared with the diagnostic accuracies of all fibrosis indices between the groups F0-F2 (no-mild fibrosis) versus F3-F6 (significant fibrosis) and F0-F4 (no cirrhosis) versus F5-F6 (cirrhosis).

RESULTS

To predict significant fibrosis, the area under curve (95% confidence interval) for FIB4 was 0.727 followed by GUCI (0.721), PAPAS≈APRI≈CDS (0.716), and API (0.68). To predict cirrhosis, the area under curve (95% confidence interval) for FIB4 was calculated to be 0.735, followed by GUCI (0.723), PAPAS≈APRI≈CDS≈(0.71), and API (0.66). No statistically significant difference was observed among these predictors to exclude both significant fibrosis and cirrhosis (P>0.05).

CONCLUSION

The diagnostic capability of the PAPAS index has moderate efficiency and was not superior to other fibrosis markers for the identification of fibrosis in CHC patients. There is a need for more comprehensive prospective studies to help determine the diagnostic value of PAPAS for liver fibrosis.

Non invasive tools for the diagnosis of liver cirrhosis

Liver cirrhosis (LC), the end stage of many forms of chronic hepatitis of different etiologies is a diffuse process characterized by fibrosis and the conversion of normal liver architecture into structurally abnormal nodules surrounded by annular fibrosis. This chronic progressive clinical condition, leads to liver cell failure and portal hypertension, which can favour the onset of hepatocellular carcinoma. Defining the phase of the natural history is crucial for therapeutic choice and prognosis. Liver biopsy is currently considered the best available standard of reference but it has some limits, so alternative tools have been developed to substitute liver biopsy when assessing liver fibrosis. Serum markers offer a cost-effective alternative to liver biopsy being less invasive and theoretically without complications. They can be classified into direct and indirect markers which may be used alone or in combination to produce composite scores. Diagnostic imaging includes a number of instruments and techniques to estimate liver fibrosis and cirrhosis like ultrasound (US), US Doppler, contrast enhanced US and Elastography. US could be used for the diagnosis of advanced LC while is not able to evaluate progression of fibrosis, in this case Elastography is more reliable. This review aims to revise the most recent data from the literature about non invasive methods useful in defining liver fibrosis.

Clinical utility of simple non-invasive liver fibrosis indices for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among Egyptian patients

AIM

Serological indices for liver fibrosis have been widely used to estimate liver fibrosis, but as far as we know they have not been tested to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our aim is to study the clinical usefulness of some simple non-invasive fibrosis indices in the prediction of HCC among Egyptian patients.

METHODS

Ninety patients with HCC who were presented to the National Cancer Institute, Cairo University, were included in this study, together with 30 patients with cirrhosis as a benign control group and 30 apparently healthy volunteers as a normal control group. FIB4 Score, Aspartate Aminotransferase (AST) to Platelet (PLT) Ratio Index (APRI) Score, AST/PLT ratio, Age/PLT Index and AST/alanine aminotransferase indices were calculated for all patients and controls and were tested for their clinical use to predict HCC.

RESULTS

Double combination between alpha-fetoprotein and FIB4 Score when either one was abnormal showed the highest diagnostic performance between the HCC group and the cirrhosis and control groups with sensitivity and specificity of (93% and 96%), respectively, whereas the APRI Score was the best to differentiate between the cirrhosis and control groups with sensitivity and specificity of 100% each.

CONCLUSIONS

Using some simple non-costly indices can accurately predict HCC and differentiate it from cirrhosis and normal control cases among Egyptian patients, it can also differentiate cirrhosis from normal controls, so can be used as diagnostic and screening tools for both HCC and liver cirrhosis among the Egyptian population.

Impact of a single nucleotide polymorphism upstream of the IL28B gene in patients positive for anti-HCV antibody in an HCV hyperendemic area in Japan

The influence of genetic variation at the interleukin-28B (IL28B) locus on the natural course of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has not been fully investigated. The goal of this study was to examine whether an IL28B polymorphism (rs8099917) is associated with natural clearance of HCV and with disease parameters of HCV infection in an HCV hyperendemic area of Japan. The patients were 502 anti-HCV antibody-positive residents who participated in liver disease screening program from 2002 to 2004. Patients who underwent interferon-based therapy or had hepatocellular carcinoma were excluded. Of these patients, 149 were negative for HCV RNA (prior infection) and 353 were positive for HCV RNA or HCV core antigen (HCV carriers). In multivariate analysis, the IL28B TT genotype was a predictor for prior HCV infection. In addition, nine of the patients with prior HCV infection were positive for anti-HCV antibody with positive for HCV core antigen or HCV RNA before 2001, and these nine patients all had the IL28B TT genotype. Furthermore, the IL28B TT genotype was associated independently with higher HCV core antigen levels in HCV carriers. In contrast, the IL28B genotype did not affect the biochemical markers, such as alanine aminotransferase, hepatic fibrosis markers, and α-fetoprotein, and the degree of hepatic fibrosis assessed by transient elastography in HCV carriers. We concluded that IL28B polymorphism (TT genotype) is associated with spontaneous clearance of HCV and conversely with high viral loads in HCV carriers. In contrast, the IL28B genotype does not affect disease progression such as hepatic fibrosis.

Impact of contacting study authors to obtain additional data for systematic reviews: diagnostic accuracy studies for hepatic fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Seventeen of 172 included studies in a recent systematic review of blood tests for hepatic fibrosis or cirrhosis reported diagnostic accuracy results discordant from 2 × 2 tables, and 60 studies reported inadequate data to construct 2 × 2 tables. This study explores the yield of contacting authors of diagnostic accuracy studies and impact on the systematic review findings.

METHODS

Sixty-six corresponding authors were sent letters requesting additional information or clarification of data from 77 studies. Data received from the authors were synthesized with data included in the previous review, and diagnostic accuracy sensitivities, specificities, and positive and likelihood ratios were recalculated.

RESULTS

Of the 66 authors, 68% were successfully contacted and 42% provided additional data for 29 out of 77 studies (38%). All authors who provided data at all did so by the third emailed request (ten authors provided data after one request). Authors of more recent studies were more likely to be located and provide data compared to authors of older studies. The effects of requests for additional data on the conclusions regarding the utility of blood tests to identify patients with clinically significant fibrosis or cirrhosis were generally small for ten out of 12 tests. Additional data resulted in reclassification (using median likelihood ratio estimates) from less useful to moderately useful or vice versa for the remaining two blood tests and enabled the calculation of an estimate for a third blood test for which previously the data had been insufficient to do so. We did not identify a clear pattern for the directional impact of additional data on estimates of diagnostic accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

We successfully contacted and received results from 42% of authors who provided data for 38% of included studies. Contacting authors of studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of serum biomarkers for hepatic fibrosis and cirrhosis in hepatitis C patients impacted conclusions regarding diagnostic utility for two blood tests and enabled the calculation of an estimate for a third blood test. Despite relatively extensive efforts, we were unable to obtain data to resolve discrepancies or complete 2 × 2 tables for 62% of studies.

Non-invasive diagnosis of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C

Assessment of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is considered a relevant part of patient care and key for decision making. Although liver biopsy has been considered the gold standard for staging liver fibrosis, it is an invasive technique and subject to sampling errors and significant intra- and inter-observer variability. Over the last decade, several noninvasive markers were proposed for liver fibrosis diagnosis in chronic HCV infection, with variable performance. Besides the clear advantage of being noninvasive, a more objective interpretation of test results may overcome the mentioned intra- and inter-observer variability of liver biopsy. In addition, these tests can theoretically offer a more accurate view of fibrogenic events occurring in the entire liver with the advantage of providing frequent fibrosis evaluation without additional risk. However, in general, these tests show low accuracy in discriminating between intermediate stages of fibrosis and may be influenced by several hepatic and extra-hepatic conditions. These methods are either serum markers (usually combined in a mathematical model) or imaging modalities that can be used separately or combined in algorithms to improve accuracy. In this review we will discuss the different noninvasive methods that are currently available for the evaluation of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C, their advantages, limitations and application in clinical practice.

Von Willebrand Factor as a new marker for non-invasive assessment of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Staging of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) is recommended prior to anti-viral therapy. As vWF-Ag was shown as a predictor of portal hypertension, decompensation and mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis, we performed this study to investigate if vWF-Ag is able to predict different fibrosis stages and if it is comparable to other fibrosis scores.

AIM

To investigate if vWF-Ag is able to predict different fibrosis stages and if it is comparable to other fibrosis scores.

METHODS

We analysed 294 patients with chronic hepatitis C who underwent biopsy. We assessed stage of liver fibrosis according to Metavir, measured vWF-Ag and calculated different fibrosis scores (APRI, FCI, FORNS, FI, Fib-4) and compared them by AUCs. We also calculated a new score: vWF-Ag/thrombocytes (VITRO score) for prediction of fibrosis.

RESULTS

vWF-Ag levels were increasing with stage of fibrosis: F0: vWF-Ag was median 136.5%, FI 140.6%, FII 157.5%, FIII 171.0%, FIV 252.0%; P < 0.001. vWF-Ag and VITRO score produced AUCs of 0.7 and 0.72 for ≥F2, comparable to the AUCs of APRI, Fib-4, FORNS with 0.75, 0.65 and 0.64 (P > 0.05). For ≥F3 AUCs were 0.79 and 0.86 for vWF-Ag and VITRO score, comparable with AUCs of 0.79, 0.86 and 0.87 for APRI, Fib-4 and FORNS. Cirrhosis shows AUCs of 0.84 and 0.89 for vWF-Ag and VITRO score, APRI, Fib-4 and FORNS showed similar results with AUCs of 0.82, 0.88 and 0.87.

CONCLUSIONS

vWF-Ag and VITRO score offer an easy possibility to evaluate the stage of fibrosis to diagnose subclinical cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C. Both vWF-Ag and VITRO score show equal performance in comparison to other fibrosis scores assessed in our study.

Prediction of fibrosis in hepatitis C patients: assessment using hydroxyproline and oxidative stress biomarkers

This study aims to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), hydroxyproline (Hyp), malondialdhyde (MDA), superoxide dismutase (SOD), and total antioxidant status (TAS) biomarkers in comparison with Metavir scoring for assessing the severity of hepatic fibrosis in the HCV patients. The histological activity index (HAI) was evaluated in liver biopsy by Metavir scoring system in 150 patients with HCV. HCV initial screening, further genotyping and biochemical data analysis were performed in serum using ELISA and biochemical assays. Out of the 150 HCV patients in this study, the most prevalent HCV genotype was genotype 4 (97 %). The significant fibrosis was estimated in 83.3 % of patients using the Metavir scoring system. They classified into 40 % of patients with mild fibrosis (F0-F1); 60 % with significant fibrosis (F2-4) and 20 % had cirrhosis (F4). Patients with cirrhosis (F4) showed significant correlation (P < 0.001) with increase in ALT, AST, AST/ALT, Hyp, Hyp/platelet count ratio, APRI, MDA, older age, and decrease (P < 0.001) in SOD, TAS, and platelet count compared to other stages of liver fibrosis. In our population, using optimized cut-off values of AST/ALT, APRI, Hyp, MDA, SOD, and TAS, significant fibrosis could be predicted accurately with a range of (80-90 %), and cirrhosis with a range of (67-97 %) of HCV patients. Our study showed that, oxidative stress and Hyp markers could be useful as noninvasive diagnostic markers in the assessment of hepatic fibrosis.