Relationship between tumor size and disease stage in non-small cell lung cancer

Development of machine learning models for patients in the high intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma incidence age group

BACKGROUND

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) has a poor prognosis and is understudied. Based on the clinical features of patients with ICC, we constructed machine learning models to understand their importance on survival and to accurately determine patient prognosis, aiming to develop reference values to guide physicians in developing more effective treatment plans.

METHODS

This study used machine learning (ML) algorithms to build prediction models using ICC data on 1,751 patients from the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) database and 58 hospital cases. The models' performances were compared using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, C-index, and Brier scores.

RESULTS

A total of eight variables were used to construct the ML models. Our analysis identified the random survival forest model as the best for prognostic prediction. In the training cohort, its C-index, Brier score, and Area Under the Curve values were 0.76, 0.124, and 0.882, respectively, and it also performed well in the test cohort. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that the model could effectively determine patient prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

To our knowledge, this is the first study to develop ML prognostic models for ICC in the high-incidence age group. Of the ML models, the random survival forest model was best at prognosis prediction.

Influence of adjuvant chemotherapy on survival for patients with completely resected high-risk stage IB NSCLC

BACKGROUND

The use of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) in completely resected stage IB NSCLC is still controversial. This study aims to investigate the efficacy of ACT in pathological stage IB non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with high risk factors.

METHODS

Patients with pT2aN0M0 stage IB NSCLC who underwent complete resection from 2013 to 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to assess potential independent risk factors associated with poor prognosis. To compare survival between patients who received ACT and those who did not.

RESULTS

In univariate and multivariate analyses, adenocarcinomas with predominantly micropapillary (MIP) and solid patterns (SOL), poorly differentiated squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), number of lymph nodes dissected less than 16 and tumor size larger than 36 mm were identified as high-risk factors for recurrence. In patients with high risk factors for recurrence, ACT resulted in significantly longer DFS (HR, 0.4689, 95%CI, 1.193-3.818; p = 0.0108) and OS (HR, 0.4696, 95%CI, 0.6578-6.895; p = 0.2073), although OS failed to reach statistically significance. After propensity score matching (PSM), 67 pairs of patients were 1:1 matched in the two groups and all baseline characteristics were well balanced. The results also demonstrated that ACT was associated with improved DFS (HR, 0.4776, 95%CI, 0.9779-4.484; p = 0.0440) while OS was not significantly different (92.5% vs. 91.0%; HR, 0.6167, 95%CI, 0.1688-2.038; p = 0.7458). In patients with low-risk factors for recurrence, DFS (HR, 0.4831, 95%CI, 0.03025-7.715; p = 0.6068) and OS (HR, 0.969, 95%CI, 0.08364-11.21; p = 0.9794) was not significantly different between those who received ACT and those who did not.

CONCLUSION

In patients with completely resected stage IB NSCLC, ACT can improve survival in patients with high risk for recurrence. Further large multicenter studies are needed to confirm these findings.

NSCLC patients with a changing T grade after operation may represent a special subset of tumor staging

BACKGROUND

There is consensus that postoperative adjuvant therapy is not recommended in patients with stage 1a non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Meanwhile, it is still controversial whether postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy is recommended for NSCLC patients with T2aN0M0 (stage 1b). In some patients with stage 1b NSCLC without pleural invasion, tumor diameter was measured between 3 and 4 cm by preoperative imaging and less than 3 cm by postoperative pathology specimens. TNM staging in such patients is both radiologic stage 1b and pathologic stage 1a. Thoracic surgeons are often confused about whether such patients with NSCLC will require subsequent treatment and how the survival prognosis for this group of patients will be.

METHODS

All data of radiographic TNM stage 1b patients who underwent radical R0 resection at the department of thoracic surgery, the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University between January 2013 and July 2017 were retrieved, and 208 patients were finally included in the study. Clinical data, including imaging data, pathology data, were obtained by reviewing the patients' electronic medical records. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were obtained by telephone interview. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS (SPSS 26.0 for windows, SPSS).

RESULTS

A total of 208 patients were included in this study, 61 patients with T-stage migration (observation group) and 147 patients without T-stage migration (control group). There were significant statistical differences between the two groups in terms of preoperative FEV1/FVC and tumor diameter (specimens, CT and 3-dimensional measurements). Logistic regression results showed that lower FEV1/FVC and smaller CT measurements would make the patient's T stage more likely to migrate. Bland-Altman plots showed that tumor length measured by imaging was significantly higher than that measured by pathological specimens. Taking DFS as the outcome, the survival curve of the observation group was significantly better than that of the control group. Similarly, there was a significant difference in OS between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

For NSCLC patients whose preoperative imaging evaluation was stage 1b (tumor diameter more than 3 cm, no main bronchus, pleura, no atelectasis), the presence of lung tissue with smaller tumor diameter and/or higher air content may indicate that the postoperative pathological staging may be changed to stage 1a (tumor diameter less than 3 cm). These patients had better survival prognosis than those who did not undergo TNM stage change and were diagnosed with stage 1b non-small cell lung cancer before and after surgery.

Knowledge-based mechanistic modeling accurately predicts disease progression with gefitinib in EGFR-mutant lung adenocarcinoma

Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is associated with a low survival rate at advanced stages. Although the development of targeted therapies has improved outcomes in LUAD patients with identified and specific genetic alterations, such as activating mutations on the epidermal growth factor receptor gene (EGFR), the emergence of tumor resistance eventually occurs in all patients and this is driving the development of new therapies. In this paper, we present the In Silico EGFR-mutant LUAD (ISELA) model that links LUAD patients' individual characteristics, including tumor genetic heterogeneity, to tumor size evolution and tumor progression over time under first generation EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor gefitinib. This translational mechanistic model gathers extensive knowledge on LUAD and was calibrated on multiple scales, including in vitro, human tumor xenograft mouse and human, reproducing more than 90% of the experimental data identified. Moreover, with 98.5% coverage and 99.4% negative logrank tests, the model accurately reproduced the time to progression from the Lux-Lung 7 clinical trial, which was unused in calibration, thus supporting the model high predictive value. This knowledge-based mechanistic model could be a valuable tool in the development of new therapies targeting EGFR-mutant LUAD as a foundation for the generation of synthetic control arms.

Clinical risk factors of carbohydrate antigen-125, cytokeratin fragment 19, and neuron-specific enolase in liver metastases from elderly lung cancer patients

Objective: Lung cancer is a common malignant tumor characterized by challenging detection and lack of specificity in clinical manifestations. To investigate the correlation of tumor markers in the serum with liver metastasis and prognosis of lung cancer.

Methods: A total of 3,046 elderly lung cancer patients were retrospectively studied between September 1999 and July 2020. Divided into liver metastasis group and non-liver metastasis group. We compared a series of serum biomarkers between the two groups of elderly patients to predict the prognosis in patients with lung cancer by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH), advanced flow cytometry (FCM) and multi tumor marker protein chip, including tumor markers in the serum included alkaline phosphatase (ALP), serum calcium, hemoglobin (HB), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), neuron-specific enolase (NSE), cytokeratin fragment 19 (Cyfra21-1), carbohydrate antigen-125 (CA-125), carbohydrate antigen-153 (CA-153), carbohydrate antigen-199 (CA-199), and free prostate specific antigen (free PSA). We used binary logistic regression analysis to determine risk factors, and used receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis to evaluate the diagnostic value of liver metastases in elderly patients with lung cancer.

Results: The proportion of lung cancer in the liver metastasis group was higher than that observed in the non-liver metastases group. The expression levels of CA-125, Cyfra21-1, and NSE in the liver metastasis group of lung cancer were significantly higher than those reported in the non-liver metastases group (p < 0.05). ROC curve analysis shows that the area under the curve of CA-125, Cyfra21-1, and NSE are 0.614, 0.616 and 0.608, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of CA-125 were 45.70% and 76.20%, the sensitivity and specificity of Cyfra21-1 were 60.10% and 57.10%, and the sensitivity and specificity of NSE were 44.10% and 75.00%, respectively.

Conclusion: High levels of CA-125, Cyfra21-1, and NSE in the serum may be associated with liver metastasis in elderly patients with lung cancer. CA-125 and NSE are factors influencing the prognosis of elderly patients with liver metastasis of lung cancer.

Central location and risk of imaging occult mediastinal lymph node involvement in cN0T2-4 non-small cell lung cancer

Background

Appropriate pre-operative staging is a cornerstone in the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Central location and size greater than 3 cm are amongst indications for pre-operative invasive mediastinal staging but the quality of the evidence behind this recommendation is low.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed all cases of cT2-4N0M0 NSCLCL after CT and TEP-CT which underwent surgical resection with lymph node dissection or had a positive invasive pre-operative mediastinal staging in our institution from 2014 to 2018.

Results

Three hundred and ten patients met inclusion criteria, 79 (25.5%) central and 231 (74.5%) peripheral tumors. Central tumor location was associated with a higher prevalence of pN2-3 disease (17.7% vs. 6.1%, P<0.001). In a multivariate analysis, central tumor location remained the only factor statistically associated with imaging occult mediastinal disease (OR 3.23, 95% CI: 1.45–7.18). NPV of PET-CT for occult mediastinal disease was 0.83 (95% CI: 0.72–0.90) in central and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.90–0.97) in peripheral tumor. Central location was also associated with a higher prevalence of occult N1 to N3 disease (43.0% vs. 15.2%, P<0.001).

Conclusions

This study suggests that invasive mediastinal staging is required in central cT2-4N0 NSCLC but can be questioned in peripheral one, especially in cT2N2 subgroup if the patient is a candidate for lobar resection.

Prediction model for hyperprogressive disease in non-small cell lung cancer treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors

BACKGROUND

Hyperprogressive disease (HPD) is a paradoxical acceleration of tumor growth after immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment. This study aimed to identify the risk factors and to present a predictive model for HPD in patients treated with ICIs.

METHODS

A total of 78 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) cases, treated with at least two cycles of ICIs who underwent computed tomography (CT) for response assessment were recruited into the study from January 2016 to August 2019. HPD was defined by the following criteria: (i) time-to-treatment failure <2 months; (ii) a 50% increase in the sum of target lesion diameters; (iii) new development of at least two lesions in an already involved organ; (iv) appearance of a new organ lesion; and (v) a decrease in ECOG PS 2.

RESULTS

Of the 78 total patients, 15 (19.2%) had HPD. The risk factors of HPD were age; primary lesion size; and metastases in the contralateral lung, pleura, liver, and bone in multivariable logistic regression (odds ratio [OR]; 0.9038, 1.6619, 28.5913, 23.8264, 14.5711, and 20.1533, respectively, all P-values < 0.05). By using these risk factors, we developed a prediction model for HPD and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model was 0.9556 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.9133-0.9978).

CONCLUSIONS

HPD is relatively common and associated with a grave clinical outcome, requiring a careful monitoring in lung cancer patients treated with ICIs. Moreover, risk factors such as age, size of tumor and number of various metastatic lesions should be taken into consideration before ICI administration.

KEY POINTS

SIGNIFICANT FINDINGS OF THE STUDY: Age, primary lesion size, and number of metastases are risk factors of HPD. HPD is strongly associated with poor prognosis. HPD during ICI use needs comprehensive monitoring.

WHAT THIS STUDY ADDS

This is the first study to develop a prediction model. The area under the curve of the prediction model for HPD was 0.9556.

Low Galectin-3 Expression Level in Primary Tumors Is Associated with Metastasis in T1 Lung Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Although nodal and distant metastasis is rare in T1 lung adenocarcinoma, it is related to poor clinical prognosis. Association between galectin-3 (Gal-3) expression level, and clinical outcome of T1 lung adenocarcinoma has not been clarified.

METHODS

From January 2009 to December 2014, 74 patients with surgically resected T1 lung adenocarcinoma were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Patient outcomes were followed up until December 2019. Gal-3 expression level in primary tumors was assessed immunohistochemically and evaluated based on the staining intensity and percentage. Patient characteristics and correlation between Gal-3 expression level and clinical outcomes were reviewed.

RESULTS

Low Gal-3 expression was associated with increased metastatic events (p = 0.03), especially distant metastasis (p = 0.007), and mortality rate (p = 0.04). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that high Gal-3 expression level was associated with favorable recurrence-free survival in T1 lung adenocarcinoma (log-rank p = 0.048) and T1a (≤ 2 cm, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th edition) lung adenocarcinoma (log-rank p = 0.043). Gal-3 expression along with tumor size showed a larger area under curve (AUC) than tumor size alone for predicting metastatic events (AUC = 0.747 vs. 0.681) and recurrence (AUC = 0.813 vs. 0.766) in T1a lung adenocarcinoma in the receiver-operating characteristic curve.

CONCLUSION

Low Gal-3 expression level in primary tumors was remarkably associated with increased metastatic events and reduced recurrence-free survival in T1 lung adenocarcinoma. We suggest that Gal-3 expression level in addition to tumor size may potentially be stronger than tumor size alone in predicting metastasis in T1a lung adenocarcinoma patients.

Prognostic Value of Tumor Size in Resected Stage IIIA-N2 Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

The eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for lung cancer was introduced in 2017 and included major revisions, especially of stage III. For the subgroup stage IIIA-N2 non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), surgical resection remains controversial due to heterogeneous disease entity. The aim of this study was to evaluate the clinicopathologic features and prognostic factors of patients with completely resected stage IIIA-N2 NSCLC. We retrospectively evaluated 77 consecutive patients with pathologic stage IIIA-N2 NSCLC (AJCC eighth edition) who underwent surgical resection with curative intent in China Medical University Hospital between 2006 and 2014. Survival analysis was conducted, using the Kaplan–Meier method. Prognostic factors predicting overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were analyzed, using log-rank tests and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. Of the 77 patients with pathologic stage IIIA-N2 NSCLC examined, 35 (45.5%) were diagnosed before surgery and 42 (54.5%) were diagnosed unexpectedly during surgery. The mean age of patients was 59 years, and the mean length of follow-up was 38.1 months. The overall one-, three-, and five-year OS rates were 91.9%, 61.3%, and 33.5%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that tumor size <3 cm (hazards ratio (HR): 0.373, p = 0.003) and video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) approach (HR: 0.383, p = 0.014) were significant predictors for improved OS. For patients with surgically treated, pathologic stage IIIA-N2 NSCLC, tumor size <3 cm and the VATS approach seemed to be associated with better prognosis.

Relationship between tumor size and metastatic site in patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer: A large SEER-based study

Objective

To analyze the relationship between tumor size and metastatic site in stage IV NSCLC patients.

Methods

A total of 40,196 stage IV NSCLC patients from 2010 to 2015 were screened by SEER database. Chi-square test was used to compare the characteristics of clinical variables. At the same time, multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between tumor size and organ metastasis.

Results

Regardless of tumor size, the proportion of bone metastasis and lung metastasis was higher and similar in patients with squamous cell carcinoma, while in patients with adenocarcinoma, bone metastasis accounted for the highest proportion. We found that whether the metastatic site was bone, brain, liver or lung, the proportion of patients with a tumor size of 3–7 cm was the highest. Multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that patients with a tumor size of 3–7 cm and a tumor size ≥7 cm were more likely to develop brain metastasis and lung metastasis compared with patients with a tumor size ≤3 cm (all P < 0.001), which meant the larger the tumor, the greater the risk of brain or lung metastasis. At the same time, the results indicated that patients with a tumor size of 3–7 cm had a tendency to develop liver metastasis (P = 0.004), while the statistical significance was not found for patients with a tumor size ≥7 cm (P = 0.524). The results also revealed that patients with a tumor size of 3–7cm had no significant difference to develop bone metastasis (P = 0.116), while the statistical significance was found for patients with a tumor size ≥7 cm (P < 0.001).

Conclusions

There was statistical significance between tumor size and metastatic site in patients with stage IV NSCLC. For brain or lung metastasis, the larger the tumor, the higher the risk of brain or lung metastasis. For liver metastasis, patients with a tumor size of 3–7 cm were more prone to develop liver metastasis. For bone metastasis, patients with a tumor size ≥7 cm were more likely to have bone metastasis.

Molecular analysis of small tissue samples obtained via transbronchial lung biopsy using radial probe endobronchial ultrasound

BACKGROUND

Radial probe endobronchial ultrasound using a guide sheath (EBUS-GS) is used to diagnose peripheral lung cancer. The aim was to identify the accuracy of molecular analysis that were performed with EBUS-GS specimens in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHOD

From December 2015 to September 2017, we retrospectively studied 91 patients with peripheral NSCLC who underwent surgery after EBUS-GS. Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutational and anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) translocation status obtained from surgical specimens served as the references.

RESULTS

Compared to the reference data, EGFR mutational testing of EBUS-GS specimens was in 97% agreement, and the κ coefficient was 0.931 (P< 0.001). In addition, on ALK translocation testing, the results of all 91 patients were in agreement with the reference data (concordance rate of 100%, κ coefficient 1.000; P< 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We found that EBUS-GS could be used for molecular diagnosis, such as EGFR mutational and ALK translocation status, in patients with peripheral NSCLC.

Five-year survival analysis and prognostic factors in patients operated on for non-small cell lung cancer with N2 disease

Background

The aim of the study is to analyse 5-year survival and prognostic factors in patients operated due to lung cancer with postoperatively confirmed metastases to N2 group nodes.

Methods

In the years 2007-2015, 1,148 patients with lung cancer were treated surgically. A postoperative histopathological study confirmed N2 feature in 150 patients. One hundred and ten patients, in whom a 5-year survival analysis was possible to perform, were included in such analysis. The patients underwent the following procedures: pneumonectomy, 31 patients; lobectomy, 61; bilobectomy, 10; and wedge resection, 8. All patients were subjected to supplementary treatment after the surgery.

Results

Five-year survival was achieved in 23 patients (21%). The patients' survival did not depend on the type of surgery, type of tumour, its location or presence of metastases in N1 nodes (P=0.82, P=0.51, P=0.36 and P=0.23, respectively). A statistically significant correlation was observed (P=0.01) between the 5-year survival of a patient and the occurrence of metastases only in one group of lymph nodes of the N2 feature (22 patients, 20%). Involvement of three or more mediastinal nodal groups resulted in survival shorter than 5-year.

Conclusions

(I) In patients with the N2 feature, the type of performed surgery, type of tumour and the occurrence of metastases in the lymph nodes of the lung hilum do not affect 5-year survival; (II) involvement of only one nodal group allows to achieve 5-year survival in 20% of patients; (III) involvement of three and more nodal groups with the N2 feature results in decreased 5-year survival.

Main bronchus location is a predictor for metastasis and prognosis in lung adenocarcinoma: A large cohort analysis

OBJECTIVES

In the literature, inconsistent associations between the primary locations of lung adenocarcinomas (ADCs) with patient prognosis have been reported, due to varying definitions for central and peripheral locations. In this study, we investigated the clinical characteristics and prognoses of ADCs located in the main bronchus.

METHODS

A total of 397,189 lung ADCs registered from 2004 to 2013 in the National Cancer Database (NCDB) were extracted and divided into main bronchus-located ADCs (2.5%, N = 10,111) and non-main bronchus ADCs (97.5%, N = 387,078). The ADCs located in the main bronchus and those not in the main bronchus were compared in terms of patient prognosis, lymph node involvement, distant metastases and other clinical features, including rate of curative-intent resection, histologic grade, and stage.

RESULTS

ADCs located in the main bronchus had significantly worse patient survival than those in the non-main bronchus, both for all patients (HR = 1.82, 95% CI 1.78-1.86) and for those undergoing curative-intent resection (HR = 2.49, 95% CI 2.23-2.78). Furthermore, ADCs located in the main bronchus had a significantly higher rate of lymph node involvement and distant metastasis than those not in the main bronchus, when stratified by tumor size (trend test, p < e^-16). Multivariate analysis of overall survival showed that main bronchus location is a prognostic factor (HR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.08-1.23) independent of other clinical factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Main bronchus location is an independent predictor for metastasis and worse outcomes irrespective of stage and treatment. Tumor primary location might be considered in prognostication and treatment planning.

Factors Associated With Small Aggressive Non-Small Cell Lung Cancers in the National Lung Screening Trial: A Validation Study

Background

A small proportion of non-small cell lung cancers (NSCLCs) have been observed to spread to distant lymph nodes (N3) or metastasize (M1) or both, while the primary tumor is small (≤3 cm, T1). These small aggressive NSCLCs (SA-NSLSC) are important as they are clinically significant, may identify unique biologic pathways, and warrant aggressive follow-up and treatment. This study identifies factors associated with SA-NSCLC and attempts to validate a previous finding that women with a family history of lung cancer are at particularly elevated risk of SA-NSCLC.

Methods

This study used a case-case design within the National Cancer Institute's National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) cohort. Case patients and "control" patients were selected based on TNM staging parameters. Case patients (n = 64) had T1 NSCLCs that were N3 or M1 or both, while "control" patients (n = 206) had T2 or T3, N0 to N2, and M0 NSCLCs. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression were used to identify factors associated with SA-NSCLC.

Results

In bootstrap bias-corrected multivariable logistic regression models, small aggressive adenocarcinomas were associated with a positive history of emphysema (odds ratio [OR] = 5.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.63 to 23.00) and the interaction of female sex and a positive family history of lung cancer (OR = 6.55, 95% CI = 1.06 to 50.80).

Conclusions

Emphysema may play a role in early lung cancer progression. Females with a family history of lung cancer are at increased risk of having small aggressive lung adenocarcinomas. These results validate previous findings and encourage research on the role of female hormones interacting with family history and genetic factors in lung carcinogenesis and progression.

A Prediction Model to Help with the Assessment of Adenopathy in Lung Cancer: HAL

RATIONALE

Estimating the probability of finding N2 or N3 (prN2/3) malignant nodal disease on endobronchial ultrasound-guided transbronchial needle aspiration (EBUS-TBNA) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) can facilitate the selection of subsequent management strategies.

OBJECTIVES

To develop a clinical prediction model for estimating the prN2/3.

METHODS

We used the AQuIRE (American College of Chest Physicians Quality Improvement Registry, Evaluation, and Education) registry to identify patients with NSCLC with clinical radiographic stage T1-3, N0-3, M0 disease that had EBUS-TBNA for staging. The dependent variable was the presence of N2 or N3 disease (vs. N0 or N1) as assessed by EBUS-TBNA. Univariate followed by multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop a parsimonious clinical prediction model to estimate prN2/3. External validation was performed using data from three other hospitals.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The model derivation cohort (n = 633) had a 25% prevalence of malignant N2 or N3 disease. Younger age, central location, adenocarcinoma histology, and higher positron emission tomography-computed tomography N stage were associated with a higher prN2/3. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.85 (95% confidence interval, 0.82-0.89), model fit was acceptable (Hosmer-Lemeshow, P = 0.62; Brier score, 0.125). We externally validated the model in 722 patients. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.88 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.90). Calibration using the general calibration model method resulted in acceptable goodness of fit (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P = 0.54; Brier score, 0.132).

CONCLUSIONS

Our prediction rule can be used to estimate prN2/3 in patients with NSCLC. The model has the potential to facilitate clinical decision making in the staging of NSCLC.

Value of window technique in diagnosis of the ground glass opacities in patients with non-small cell pulmonary cancer

The aim of the present study was to examine the value of window technique in qualitative diagnosis of the ground glass opacities (GGO) in patients with non-small cell pulmonary cancer. A total of 124 clinically suspected pulmonary cancer patients were analyzed retrospectively. The lesions were affirmed by puncture biopsy, and were GGO on pulmonary window while were invisible on mediastinal window. Sixty-four multi-detector spiral computed tomography with the window width and window level of 1,500 Hounsfield units (HU) and −450 HU on pulmonary window, while the window width and window level of 400 and 40 HU on mediastinal window, was used in the study. The window adjustment technique was used to analyze the window width and window level of lesion on pulmonary window and mediastinal window, for searching invisible threshold on 3-megapixel medical displays. The diagnostic accuracy and the cut-off value were compared on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The results showed that the window width and window level on pulmonary window and mediastinal window of malignant lesions were significantly less than those of benign ones (P<0.05). The cut-off value on pulmonary window was the window width and window level of 1,300 and −220 HU, the area under the ROC was 0.830 [sensitivity was 72.5%, specificity was 84.3%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.712–0.945]. The cut-off value on mediastinal window was the window width and window level of 360 and 30 HU, and the area under the ROC was 0.623 (was 62.0%, specificity was 55.7%; 95% CI, 0.541–0.745). In conclusion, the window technique has high sensitivity and accuracy in qualitative diagnosis of the GGO.

[Clinical Study of Surgical Treatment of Non-small Cell Lung Cancer 10 mm or Less in Diameter Under Video-assisted Thoracoscopy]

背景与目的

早期原发性非小细胞肺癌（non-small cell lung cancer, NSCLC）的手术切除及淋巴结切除的合理方式存在较大争议，本研究旨在探讨直径≤10 mm的原发NSCLC的微创切除及淋巴结切除的手术方式。

方法

对2013年7月-2016年3月在我院接受电视胸腔镜手术（video-assisted thoracic surgery, VATS）治疗并有明确病理诊断为NSCLC的共46例患者的临床资料进行回顾性分析。所有患者术前行薄层计算机断层扫描（computed tomography, CT），实性结节5例，混合性磨玻璃结节（mixed ground-glass opacity, mGGO）23例，纯磨玻璃结节（pure ground-glass opacity, pGGO）18例。根据患者具体情况采用不同术式，包括VATS肺叶切除和系统性淋巴结清扫，VATS肺楔形切除和选择性淋巴结切除，VATS肺段切除和选择性淋巴结切除，或仅采用VATS肺楔形切除。其中7例术前行CT引导下Hook-wire定位。

结果

VATS肺叶切除和系统性淋巴结清扫23例（mGGOs 15例，pGGOs 4例，实性结节4例），只有1例实性腺癌结节出现N2淋巴结转移，VATS肺楔形切除和选择性淋巴结切除5例（mGGOs 2例，pGGOs 3例）和VATS肺段切除和选择性淋巴结切除4例（mGGOs 2例，pGGOs 2例）均无淋巴结转移，仅采用VATS肺楔形切除14例（mGGOs 4例，pGGOs 9例，实性结节1例）。7例Hook-wire定位均成功。围手术期无重大并发症，随访1个月-26个月，平均（13.7±8.7）个月，无复发及转移。

结论

直径≤10 mm以mGGO和pGGO为表现的原发性NSCLC淋巴结转移率低，术中可以不进行淋巴结的清扫，实性结节应选择性淋巴结切除或系统性淋巴结清扫。高龄和心肺功能差的患者可以选择楔形切除或肺段切除。术前运用Hook-wire定位安全有效，可为VATS提供便利。

Tumour stage and implementation of standardised cancer patient pathways: a comparative cohort study

BACKGROUND

Some European countries have introduced standardised cancer patient pathways (CPPs), including urgent referrals, with the aim of diagnosing cancer at an earlier stage. This is despite a lack of evidence, particularly in patients with symptomatic cancer diagnosed via general practice.

AIM

To compare tumour stages in patients with incident cancer diagnosed via general practice before, during, and after CPP implementation in Denmark in 2008-2009.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A comparative cohort study of data from GPs and registries on patients with incident cancer listed with a GP before (n = 1420), during (n = 5272), and after (n = 2988) CPP implementation.

METHOD

χ(2) test was used to compare stage distributions and logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (OR) of having local cancer after versus before CPP implementation.

RESULTS

Distribution of tumour stages did not differ statistically significantly across time (P = 0.494) or between CPP use (P = 0.202). For all cancers combined, the OR of having local cancer after CPP implementation was 0.88 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.73 to 1.06) compared with before. For CPP-referred patients, the OR of having local cancer was 0.77 (95% CI = 0.62 to 0.94) compared with all patients before CPP implementation; the corresponding OR for non-CPP-referred patients was 0.96 (95% CI = 0.80 to 1.14).

CONCLUSION

No clear tendencies were observed confirming earlier detection of cancer after rather than before CPP implementation. CPP-referred patients had lower odds of having local cancer after CPP implementation than all patients before CPP implementation; this could be because the GPs refer patients who are 'more ill' as urgent referrals.

Nomogram to Predict Occult N2 Lymph Nodes Metastases in Patients With Squamous Nonsmall Cell Lung Cancer

For nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients without distant metastases, occult involvement of N2 lymph nodes would be of the utmost importance in determining both treatment and survival. The key to optimal treatment strategies relied on accurate diagnosis, in particular accurate clinical tumor staging. Patients with clinical N0 or N1 staging preoperatively had a sizeable risk to have occult N2 lymph nodes metastases.From November 2004 to March 2007, the entire database in a tertiary hospital of all patients with a pathologic diagnosis of squamous NSCLC underwent anatomical pulmonary resection and systematic mediastinal lymph node dissection were retrospectively collected and reviewed. A nomogram was developed on the basis of a multivariable logistic regression model with a combination of all potential variables. In order to surmount the potential of overestimating predictive performance, both bootstrapping for internal validation and an independent external validation set were employed.A nomogram incorporating the significant risk factors was created to predict the probability of occult N2 lymph nodes metastases. The calibration plot for the probability of occult N2 lymph nodes metastases showed an optimal agreement between the predicted probabilities by nomogram and actual observed probabilities. An objective and accurate nomogram predictive model for occult N2 lymph nodes metastases was drawn up and validated internally and externally in patients with squamous NSCLC.The nomogram model, as a robust tool in predicting occult N2 lymph nodes involvement, could be involved in a cost-effective application of specific diagnostic and therapeutic strategies.

Diagnosis of the invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as ground glass opacities on high-resolution computed tomography

BACKGROUND

To explore the diagnostic method in assessing the malignancy of pulmonary adenocarcinoma characterized by ground glass opacities (GGO) on computed tomography (CT).

METHODS

Preoperative CT data for preinvasive and invasive lung adenocarcinomas were analyzed retrospectively. GGO lesions that were detected on lung windows but absent using the mediastinal window were subject to adjustment of the window width, which was reduced with the fixed interval of 100 HU until the lesions were no longer evident, with a fixed mediastinal window level of 40 HU. The shape, smoking habits, size of the lesion on the lung window, and window width at which lesions disappeared were compared and receiver operating characteristic curves were used to determine the optimal cut-off of the lesion size and window width to differentiate between these invasive and preinvasive lesions.

RESULTS

Of the 209 lung adenocarcinomas, 102 were preinvasive (25 atypical adenomatous hyperplasia and 77 adenocarcinoma in situ), while 107 were invasive (78 minimally invasive adenocarcinoma and 29 invasive adenocarcinoma). The shape, lesion size, and window width at which lesions were no longer evident differed significantly between the two groups (P < 0.05). The size of 8.9 mm and a window width of 1250 HU were the optimal cut-off to differentiate between preinvasive and invasive lesions.

CONCLUSION

The shape, size of the lesion, and window width on high-resolution CT may be useful in assessing the invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma that manifests as GGO. Irregular lesions that disappear at window width <1250 HU, with a diameter of > 8.9 mm are more likely to be invasive.

Lipopolysaccharide enhances mouse lung tumorigenesis: a model for inflammation-driven lung cancer

The association between pulmonary inflammation and lung cancer is well established. However, currently there are no appropriate models that recapitulate inflammation-related lung cancer in humans. In the present study, we examined, in 2 tumor bioassays, enhancement by bacterial lipopolysaccharide (LPS) of 4-(methylnitrosamino)-1-(3-pyridyl)-1-butanone (NNK)-induced lung tumorigenesis in A/J mice. Mice that were treated with NNK alone developed 29.6 ± 9.8 and 36.2 ± 4.1 lung tumors per mouse in experiments 1 and 2, respectively. Chronic intranasal instillation of LPS to NNK-treated mice increased the multiplicity of lung tumors to 47.3 ± 16.1 and 51.2 ± 4.8 lung tumors per mouse in experiments 1 and 2, corresponding to a significant increase by 60% and 41%, respectively. Moreover, administration of LPS to NNK-pretreated mice significantly increased the multiplicity of larger tumors and histopathologically more advanced lesions (adenoma with dysplasia and adenocarcinoma), macrophage recruitment to the peritumoral area, and expression of inflammation-, cell proliferation-, and survival-related proteins. Overall, our findings demonstrated the promise of the NNK-LPS-A/J mice model to better understand inflammation-driven lung cancer, dissect the molecular pathways involved, and identify more effective preventive and therapeutic agents against lung cancer.

[Correlation between regional node metastasis and imageological characteristics in non-small cell lung cancer]

非小细胞肺癌（non-small cell lung cancer, NSCLC）局部淋巴结（N）分期是影响患者治疗方案选择的关键因素之一。目前临床所使用的无创和有创性N分期方法均有其局限性。研究发现NSCLC的某些影像学特点可预测淋巴结转移的危险性，包括大小、CT密度和氟代脱氧葡萄糖（fluorodeoxyglucose, FDG）标准化摄取值（standardized uptake value, SUV）等。期待系统性多因素分析，以发现影响肺癌淋巴结转移的关键因素。