Prognostic models to predict overall and cause-specific survival for patients with middle ear cancer: a population-based analysis

Lateral temporal bone resection for cutaneous carcinomas of the external auditory canal and peri-auricular region

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the outcomes for patients after lateral temporal bone resection surgery for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma and basal cell carcinoma, and to ascertain predictors of survival and treatment failure.

METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted of the medical records for all patients who underwent lateral temporal bone resection for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma or basal cell carcinoma between 2007 and 2019 in Western Australia.

RESULTS

Thirty-seven patients underwent lateral temporal bone resection surgery. Median follow-up duration was 22 months. Twenty-five patients had squamous cell carcinoma and 12 had basal cell carcinoma. The overall survival rate at two years for patients with squamous cell carcinoma was 68.5 per cent. Pre-operative facial nerve involvement (determined via clinical or radiological evidence) was identified as a predictor of mortality (hazard ratio = 3.411, p = 0.006), with all patients dying before two years post-operatively. Locoregional tumour control was achieved in 81 per cent of cases (n = 30).

CONCLUSION

Lateral temporal bone resection offers acceptable local control rates and survival outcomes. Caution should be used in offering this surgery to patients with clinical or radiological evidence of facial nerve involvement because of the relatively poorer survival outcomes in this subgroup.

Evaluating the prognostic contributions of TNM classifications and building novel staging schemes for middle ear squamous cell carcinoma

Background

A universally acknowledged cancer staging system considering all aspects of the T‐, N‐, and M‐classifications for middle ear squamous cell carcinoma (MESCC) remains absent, limiting the clinical management of MESCC patients.

Materials and Methods

A total of 214 MESCC patients were extracted from the SEER (the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) database between 1973 and 2016. The relationships between patient’s characteristics and prognoses were analyzed by Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression models. Novel staging schemes for MESCC were designed by adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) modeling method according to the combinations of Stell’s T‐classification and the eighth AJCC N‐ and M‐classifications, of which performances were evaluated based on five criteria: hazard consistency, hazard discrimination, explained variation, likelihood difference, and balance.

Results

T‐classification was the most significant prognostic factor for MESCC patients in multivariable analysis (p = 0.021). The N‐ and M‐classifications also had obvious prognostic effect but were not statistically significant by multivariate analysis due to the limited metastasis events. Three novel staging schemes (AHR‐Ⅰ–Ⅲ models, different combination of T‐ and N‐classifications) and ST (solely derived from Stell’s T‐classification) were developed, among which the AHR‐Ⅰ staging scheme performed best.

Conclusions

Tumor extension, quantified by Stell’s T‐classification, is the most significant prognostic factor for MESCC patients. However, our AHR‐Ⅰ staging scheme, a comprehensive staging scheme that integrating T‐, N‐, and M‐classifications, might be an optimal option for clinical practitioners to predict MESCC patients’ prognosis and make proper clinical decisions.

Survival in Middle Ear Malignancy: A Population-Based Analysis Based on the SEER Database

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the clinical features and survival outcomes of patients with middle ear malignancies at a population level.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study with data from a national database.

SETTING

National database of middle ear malignancy.

METHODS

Records of patients diagnosed with a middle ear malignancy from 1973 to 2016 were extracted from the SEER database (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results). SPSS (version 27; IBM) was used to conduct 5-year survival analysis.

RESULTS

The average survival for all 431 patients was 61.4 months. Five-year disease-specific survival for squamous cell carcinoma (SCCA), adenocarcinoma, other carcinoma, and noncarcinoma subtypes varied significantly at 54.6%, 82.1%, 71.8%, and 82.6%, respectively (P < .0001). There was an improved 5-year survival for patients with adenocarcinoma who received surgery versus those who did not (91.7% vs 65.1%; P = .023, log-rank). Five-year disease-specific survival was significantly better in patients aged <55 years (mean ± SD, 77.8% ± 0.39%) as compared with those >70 years (55.1% ± 5.1%) and those aged 55 to 69 years (60.2% ± 4.9%; P < .01 and P < .001, respectively, log-rank). Patients with SCCA were significantly older than those with adenocarcinoma (P < .0001). Noncarcinoma subtypes were more likely to present with local disease, as opposed to regional or distant disease, when compared with SCCA (P = .0027).

CONCLUSION

Prognosis and treatment outcomes for primary middle ear malignancies depend on histologic subtype and age at diagnosis. The noncarcinoma and adenocarcinoma subtypes carry the best prognoses. Patients with adenocarcinoma were most likely to benefit from surgery.

Management of Temporal Bone Malignancy in Ireland

Objectives  Lateral temporal bone malignancy remains a challenging rare disease. We report 17 years of multidisciplinary care of these tumors with univariate and multivariate analyses of key prognostic indicators for consideration in contemporary oncological management. Design  This is a retrospective cohort study. Setting  This is set at a tertiary referral center. Participants  All patients presenting with histopathologically newly diagnosed cases of temporal bone malignancy between 2000 and 2017 were included. Main Outcome Measures  The main outcome measures are disease-specific and recurrence-free survival rates. Results  In this study, 48 cases of temporal bone malignancy were diagnosed. Median age at diagnosis was 69 years (range: 5-88). Fourteen patients were female. Squamous cell carcinoma was the predominant malignancy in 34 cases (71%). Surgical treatment was undertaken in 37 patients. Mean length of follow-up was 32 months (range: 0.7-117). Overall 5-year disease-specific survival was 52.4%, while overall 5-year recurrence-free survival was 53.5%. On univariate analysis, significantly worse survival was seen in females ( p  = 0.008), those with distant metastatic disease ( p  = 0.041), and in middle ear involvement ( p  = 0.012) with no difference for involvement of the external auditory canal ( p  = 0.98) or mastoid ( p  = 0.78). Only middle ear involvement remained significant on multivariate analysis. Conclusion  A wide variety of malignant pathology may present in the temporal bone. Recurrence-free survival is equivalent to international data; however, this figure is low. This emphasizes the need to treat these tumors appropriately with radical resection, where possible, at first presentation. Therefore, multidisciplinary surgical input is recommended. Middle ear involvement was a negative prognosticator for disease-specific and recurrence-free survivals.

Personalized prognostication in head and neck cancer: A systematic review of nomograms according to the AJCC precision medicine core (PMC) criteria

BACKGROUND

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Precision Medicine Core (PMC) has recognized the need for more personalized probabilistic predictions above the "TNM" staging system and has recently released a checklist of inclusion and exclusion criteria for evaluating prognostic models.

METHODS

A systematic review of articles in which nomograms were created for head and neck cancer (HNC) was carried out according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The AJCC PMC criteria were used to score the individual studies.

RESULTS

Forty-four studies were included in the final qualitative analysis. The mean number of inclusion criteria met was 9.3 out of 13, and the mean number of exclusion criteria met was 2.1 out of 3. Studies were generally of high quality, but no single study fulfilled all of the AJCC PMC criteria.

CONCLUSION

This is the first study to utilize the AJCC checklist to comprehensively evaluate the published prognostic nomograms in HNC. Future studies should attempt to adhere to the AJCC PMC criteria. Recommendations for future research are given.

SUMMARY

The AJCC recently released a set of criteria to grade the quality of prognostic cancer models. In this study, we grade all published nomograms for head and neck cancer according to the new guidelines.

Temporal bone carcinoma: Treatment patterns and survival

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS

Carcinomas of the temporal bone are rare, and appropriate treatment, staging, and survival data are limited. This study evaluates clinical characteristics and survival rates for patients with temporal bone carcinoma treated with resection at a single tertiary-care institution, with a focus on the outcomes of patients with locally advanced disease including skull base and/or dural invasion.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective chart review.

METHODS

Demographic, tumor-specific, and survival data were collected for patients with primary carcinomas of the external auditory canal with involvement of the temporal bone from 2003 to 2015. All patients were staged according to the modified Pittsburgh system. Kaplan-Meier and logistic regression analysis were used to calculate factor-specific survival outcomes.

RESULTS

Sixty-seven patients met inclusion criteria; 85% were male. There were 43 squamous cell carcinomas (64%) and 24 basal cell carcinomas (BCCs) (36%). Tumor stage was 24 (36%) T2, 12 (18%) T3, and 31 (46%) T4 tumors; 53% had recurrent disease. Surgical management included 49 lateral temporal bone resections and 18 subtotal temporal bone resections. Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed more favorable 5-year survival rates associated with BCC histology (P = .01), lateral temporal bone resection compared to subtotal temporal bone resection (P < .01), lack of immunocompromise (P = .04), and absence of perineural/lymphovascular invasion (P = .01). Multivariate regression analysis did not yield statistically significant results.

CONCLUSIONS

Factors predictive of more favorable survival include lack of immunocompromise, BCC histology, absence of perineural/lymphovascular invasion, and disease extent amenable to lateral temporal bone resection. Dural invasion is not an absolute contraindication to surgery, with a subset of patients surviving >5 years.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 Laryngoscope, 130:E11-E20, 2020.

Prognostic value of serum neurofilaments in patients with clinically isolated syndromes

Objective

To assess the prognostic role of serum neurofilament light chains (NfL) for clinically defined multiple sclerosis (CDMS) and McDonald 2017 multiple sclerosis (MS) in patients with clinically isolated syndromes (CIS).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed data of patients admitted to our neurologic department between 2000 and 2015 for a first demyelinating event. We evaluated baseline serum NfL in addition to CSF, MRI, and clinical data.

Results

Among 222 patients who were enrolled (mean follow-up 100.6 months), 45 patients (20%) developed CDMS and 141 patients (63.5%) developed 2017 MS at 2 years. Serum NfL (median 22.0, interquartile range 11.6–40.4 pg/mL) was noticeably increased in patients with a recent relapse, with a high number of T2 and gadolinium-enhancing lesions at baseline MRI. Serum NfL was prognostic for both CDMS and McDonald 2017 MS, with a threefold and a twofold respective reduction in CDMS and 2017 MS risk in those patients with low and extremely low levels of NfL. The results remained unchanged subsequent to adjustment for such established MS prognostic factors as oligoclonal bands, Gd-enhancing lesions, and a high T2 lesion load at baseline MRI. NfL was associated with disability at baseline but not at follow-up.

Conclusions

Serum NfL have a prognostic value for CIS patient conversion to MS. NfL might play a twin role as biomarker in MS as peak level measurements can act as a quantitative marker of serious inflammatory activity, while steady-state levels can be a reflection of neurodegenerative and chronic inflammatory processes.

Data Set for the Reporting of Ear and Temporal Bone Tumors: Explanations and Recommendations of the Guidelines From the International Collaboration on Cancer Reporting

The International Collaboration on Cancer Reporting (ICCR) was established to internationally unify and standardize the pathologic reporting of cancers based on collected evidence, as well as to allow systematic multi-institutional intercountry data collection to guide cancer care in the future. Such collaborative efforts are particularly essential for developing an evidence base for rare neoplasms or those with marked geographic variation in incidence, such as the tumors of the ear and the temporal bone. The ear and the temporal bone, including the external auditory canal and the middle and inner ear, with the closely associated facial nerve, internal carotid artery, and internal jugular vein, is one of the most complex anatomic structures in the head and neck. A wide range of benign and malignant neoplasms arise in this region. The management of these neoplasms involves complex surgery because of the anatomic confines, and as such, both benign and malignant tumors are included in this data set, as the oncologically equivalent management requires a multidisciplinary approach and standardized nomenclature and terminology. Surgical procedures at this site result in multifaceted 3-dimensional specimens that can be difficult to handle at macroscopic exam. A comprehensive macroscopic examination is important for identifying critical prognostic factors and often requires clinical and radiologic correlation. Histologic examination is straightforward for basal cell or squamous cell carcinoma but can be quite challenging for other neoplasms. A summary of the ICCR guidelines for ear tumors is presented, along with discussion of the salient evidence and practical issues.

Cause-specific mortality prediction model for patients with basaloid squamous cell carcinomas of the head and neck: a competing risk analysis

Purpose: Basaloid squamous cell carcinoma (BSCC) is a rare, high-grade variant of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). Most published studies based on population-based datasets focus on prognostic differences between SCC and BSCC. Competing risk analyses for this disease have not been performed. We used Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) data to calculate and model the cumulative incidence of death for patients with head and neck BSCC (HNBSCC) with competing risk approaches, and built a model to predict probability of cause-specific death for these patients.

Methods: We analyzed data on 1163 patients who were diagnosed with primary lip and oral cavity, oropharynx, or hypopharynx and larynx BSCC and registered in the SEER program between 2004 and 2013. We calculated crude cumulative incidence function (CIF) for mortality after diagnosis of HNBSCC. We built a Fine and Gray's proportional sub-distribution hazard model and nomogram to predict their probability of cause-specific death. We calculated concordance indexes (c-index) and plotted calibration curves to evaluate model performance.

Results: Five-year cumulative incidence of cause-specific death after diagnosis of HNBSCC was 26.5% (95% CI: 23.4-29.8%); cumulative incidence of other causes of death was 11.8% (95% CI: 9.4-14.3%). Old age, large tumor size, hypopharynx and larynx sites, lymph node-positive, distant metastasis, and non-radiotherapy were significant factors for high probability of cause-specific death. The model was well calibrated. The bootstrap-corrected c-index for the model was 0.71.

Conclusions: We built the first competing risk nomogram for HNBSCC. The model performance was found to be good. This individualized prognostic predictive tool will aid physicians in clinical counseling, and will assist patients in planning for their future lives.

Overall survival and cancer-specific survival in patients with surgically resected pancreatic head adenocarcinoma: A competing risk nomogram analysis

Background: The objective of this study was to estimate probabilities of overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with pancreatic head adenocarcinoma after surgery. In addition, we attempted to build nomograms to predict prognosis of these patients.

Methods: Patients diagnosed with surgically resected pancreatic head adenocarcinoma between 2004 and 2014 were selected for the study from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Nomograms were established for estimating 1-, 2- and 3-year OS and CSS based on Cox regression model and Fine and Grey's model. The performance of the nomogram was measured by concordance index (C-index) and the area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC).

Results: A total of 2374 patients were retrospectively collected from the SEER database. The discrimination of nomogram for OS prediction was superior to that of the Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) 7th or 8th edition stage systems (C-index = 0.640, 95% CI, 0.618 - 0.662 vs 0.573, 95% CI, 0.554 - 0.593, P < 0.001; 0.640, 95% CI, 0.618 - 0.662 vs 0.596, 95% CI, 0.586 - 0.607, P < 0.001, respectively). The comparisons of values of AUC showed that the established nomograms displayed better discrimination power than TNM 7th or 8th stage systems for predicting both OS and CSS.

Conclusions: The nomograms which could predict 1-, 2- and 3-year OS and CSS were established in this study. Our nomograms showed a relatively good performance and could be served as an effective tool for prognostic evaluation of patients with pancreatic head adenocarcinoma after surgery.

Carcinoma of the Middle Ear: A Review of the National Cancer Database

INTRODUCTION

Malignancy of the middle ear is a rare condition with limited data available for clinical guidance.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective evaluation of a large national database.

SETTING

Deidentified national cancer database.

PATIENTS

Subjects with diagnosis of malignancy of the middle ear in the National Cancer Database between 2004 and 2012.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Demographic information and tumor characteristics were evaluated. The primary endpoint of interest is overall survival.

RESULTS

The most common histology was squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) (50%). Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis found the following variables had a significant negative impact on overall survival: age (HR 1.04 95% CI [1.02-1.05]), squamous cell carcinoma, not otherwise specified (NOS) (HR 2.08 95% CI [1.30-3.32]), squamous cell carcinoma, keratinizing, NOS (HR 4.20 95% CI [2.14-8.24]), embroynal rhabdomyosarcoma, NOS (HR 4.96 95% CI [1.17-21.11]), and unknown extension (HR 2.87 95% CI [1.22-6.74]). For patients of SCC who underwent surgery, 30 had positive margins and 29 underwent adjuvant radiation. For these, no survival advantage was found with the addition of chemotherapy, regardless of node status.

CONCLUSION

Malignancy of the middle ear is a rare condition with prognosis that depends on histology. The most common histology, SCC, is associated with the poorest overall survival. Evaluation of large national datasets can add significantly to the understanding of such uncommon tumors.

Prognostic models and nomograms for predicting survival of patients with maxillary sinus carcinomas

BACKGROUND

Maxillary sinus carcinoma is an uncommon malignancy. Most reports on prognosis of this disease are from single institutions and include few patients. We used data from the United States National Cancer Institute's Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program to construct models and nomograms for predicting outcomes of patients with maxillary sinus carcinomas.

METHODS

We used records from 668 patients with primary maxillary sinus carcinomas reported to the SEER program from 2004 to 2013 to build nomograms based on stratified multivariable Cox proportional hazard models for predicting 5-year overall survival (OS) and cause-specific survival (CSS). Model building was internally validated with the bootstrap approach.

RESULTS

Five-year survival was 39.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 35.5% to 44.5%) and 46.8% (42.3% to 51.8%) for OS and CSS, respectively. The final Cox model included the variables of age at diagnosis, tumor size, histologic type, TNM stage, and surgery. Radiotherapy was a stratification factor in the models. The models demonstrated good accuracy for predicting survival with a bootstrap-corrected Somers D_xy of 0.44 for both OS and CSS models. Calibration curves indicated acceptable model calibration.

CONCLUSION

We developed tools for predicting prognosis that incorporate TNM stage and other readily available variables for patients with maxillary sinus carcinomas. The model performance was validated as good. These models can help clinicians to offer improved patient counseling in terms of clinical outcomes and make optimal treatment plans.

Model to Predict Cause-Specific Mortality in Patients with Head and Neck Adenoid Cystic Carcinoma: A Competing Risk Analysis

PURPOSE

The main objective of this study was to evaluate the cumulative incidence of cause-specific death and other causes of death for patients with head and neck adenoid cystic carcinoma (ACC). The secondary aim was to model the probability of cause-specific death and build a competing risk nomogram to predict cause-specific mortality for this disease.

METHODS

Data were extracted from the US National Cancer Institute's Surveillance Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-18 dataset. The study cohort included patients with a diagnosis of primary head and neck ACC during the period 2004-2013. We calculated the cumulative incidence function (CIF) for cause-specific death and other causes of death, and constructed the Fine and Gray's proportional subdistribution hazard model, as well as a competing-risk nomogram based on Fine and Gray's model, to predict the probability of cause-specific death for patients with head and neck ACC.

RESULTS

After data selection, 1435 cases were included for analysis. Five-year cumulative incidence of cause-specific death was 17.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] 15.1-19.8%) and cumulative incidence of other causes of death was 5.8% (95% CI 4.4-7.4%). Predictors of cause-specific death for head and neck ACC included age, tumor size, advanced T stage, positive lymph node, distant metastasis, and surgery. The nomogram was well-calibrated, and had good discriminative ability.

CONCLUSION

The large sample allowed us to construct a reliable predictive model for rare malignancy. The model performance was good, with a concordance index of 0.79, and the nomogram can provide useful individualized predictive information for patients with head and neck ACC.

Multicenter experiences in temporal bone cancer surgery based on 89 cases

OBJECTIVE

To present outcomes of extensive surgery: lateral, subtotal, total petrosectomies in patients with temporal bone invasion resulting from specific primary cancers.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective case review.

SETTING

Four tertiary referral centers.

MATERIAL

89 patients with cancer of the temporal bone treated between January 2006 and December 2010.

INTERVENTION

Multidisciplinary team approach including surgical resection, reconstruction, and postoperative radiotherapy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Disease-specific survival, overall survival.

RESULTS

In 27.0% of the patients, relapse was reported, with an average of 6.3 months after surgery; 31 patients (34.8%) died during the follow-up. The average mortality was 22.1 months. Fifty-four patients (58.7%) stayed alive during the time of observation. The average survival time was 42.0 months. The median time of survival with relapse was 12 months (range: 1-51 months). The three-year disease-free rate was 38.0% and the overall survival rate was 58.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

Petrosectomy is an effective treatment for malignant temporal bone invasion. The probability of a good outcome was statistically decreased with a high T grade, positive margins, and salvage surgery. Younger age is connected with better prognosis. One of the major tasks remains to improve detection and to shorten the time to diagnosis, keeping in mind that symptoms are insidious and in younger people, the time before diagnosis was longer.

Incidence, Surgical Treatment, and Prognosis of Anorectal Melanoma From 1973 to 2011: A Population-Based SEER Analysis

Anorectal melanoma (AM) is a rare type of melanoma that accounts for 0.4% to 1.6% of total malignant melanomas. The incidence of AM increases over time, and it remains highly lethal, with a 5-year survival rate of 6% to 22%. Considering the rare nature of this disease, most studies on AM comprise isolated case reports and single-center trials, which could not provide comprehensive assessment of the disease. Therefore, we conducted a population-based study by using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program to provide the latest and best available evidence of AM.We extracted all cases of AM registered in the SEER database from 1973 to 2011 (April 2014 release) and calculated age-adjusted incidence. Only cases with active follow-up were included to predict factors associated with prognosis. Survival outcomes were also compared among different types of surgery.We identified 640 AM cases, which consisted of 265 rectal melanoma and 375 anal melanoma. The estimated annual incidence rates of AM per 1 million population were 0.259 in males and 0.407 in females, and it increased with advanced age and over time. Tumor stage and surgical treatment were independent predictors of survival. Results implied that surgery improved the prognosis of patients with local- and regional-stage AM but could not prolong the survival of patients with distant-stage AM. Moreover, the outcome of less extensive excision was not statistically different from that of more extensive excision.This study provides an up-to-date estimation of the incidence and prognosis of AM by using SEER data. The incidence of AM continuously increases over time, despite its rarity. This disease also exhibits poor prognosis. Thus, AM must be further investigated in future studies. We also recommend surgery as the optimal treatment for local- and regional-stage AM patients but not for those with distant metastasis.

Outcomes of 18 cases with squamous cell carcinoma of middle ear who underwent both surgery and post-operative radiotherapy

CONCLUSIONS

Early diagnosis and treatment were critical to prevent recurrence, and the long-term outcomes were satisfactory after surgery and post-operative radiotherapy.

OBJECTIVES

To present outcomes of 18 cases with squamous cell carcinoma of the middle ear who underwent both surgery and post-operative radiotherapy.

METHODS

Eighteen cases with squamous cell carcinoma of the middle ear (two cases of T1, five of T2, and 11 of T3) underwent surgery and post-operative radiotherapy, and a surgical approach was determined by tumour sites. Extended mastoidotympanectomy was performed on two cases, with subtotal temporal bone resection on 12 cases and temporal bone resection on four cases. The patients who had cervical metastasis underwent additional radical neck resection and post-operative radiotherapy at the neck. The patients were followed-up after surgery.

RESULTS

During the follow-up, no cases of T1 recurred, and six cases of T2 or T3 recurred, with the total recurrence rate of 37.5% among the patients of T2 and T3. At the fifth year after surgery, 15 patients were still alive, and the actual 5-year survival rate was 83.3% among all patients.