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Calvo L, Terrado M, Pérez-Montoro M, Vélez DF, Cucchietti F. Analysing environmental opinion using highly customisable visualisation tools to understand citizens' attitudes and barriers. Sci Rep 2024; 14:3939. [PMID: 38365973 PMCID: PMC10873361 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-54457-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2023] [Accepted: 02/13/2024] [Indexed: 02/18/2024] Open
Abstract
Knowledge of public opinion is key to understanding citizens' attitudes towards environmental policies. However, large polls and surveys generate complex datasets from which it is not always easy to draw conclusions. In addition, tailor-made solutions for analysing public opinion face the challenge of handling too many layers of information, which can easily lead to an overwhelming user experience and impair decision-making. Service design methodologies can support the design of ad hoc visualisation tools focused on user needs. We present Op-e-nion, a case study of a visualisation tool for the analysis of public opinion regarding environmental issues, aimed at administrations and public institutions. The involvement of experts from different fields allowed for the identification of the main metrics necessary to target the least engaged socio-demographic groups as well as the barriers that limited their environmental actions. Experts also highlighted useful aspects of the design process and the final prototype to help them define more effective campaigns and policies to address social challenges and promote citizen action. An innovative step was introduced in the methodology by involving non-state actors in the evaluation of the tool, ensuring problem detection and enhancing the sustainability of the final product. Important aspects for the visualisation of multi-categorical data included simplifying the interaction with the tool while prioritising relevant information, and using highly customizable visualisations to answer specific user requirements and changing needs (i.e. analytical vs. managerial tasks). Improved visualisations of public opinion data will, in turn, better support the development of policies shaped by citizens' concerns.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luz Calvo
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center, CASE, 08034, Barcelona, Spain.
| | - Marta Terrado
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Earth Sciences, 08034, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Mario Pérez-Montoro
- Faculty of Information and Audiovisual Media at the University of Barcelona, Melcior de Palau, 140, 08014, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Diana F Vélez
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center, CASE, 08034, Barcelona, Spain
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Katale RN, Gemechu DB. Spatio-temporal analysis of malaria incidence and its risk factors in North Namibia. Malar J 2023; 22:149. [PMID: 37149600 PMCID: PMC10163860 DOI: 10.1186/s12936-023-04577-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2022] [Accepted: 04/25/2023] [Indexed: 05/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Millions of dollars have been spent in fighting malaria in Namibia. However, malaria remains a major public health concern in Namibia, mostly in Kavango West and East, Ohangwena and Zambezi region. The primary goal of this study was to fit a spatio-temporal model that profiles spatial variation in malaria risk areas and investigate possible associations between disease risk and environmental factors at the constituency level in highly risk northern regions of Namibia. METHODS Malaria data, climatic data, and population data were merged and Global spatial autocorrelation statistics (Moran's I) was used to detect the spatial autocorrelation of malaria cases while malaria occurrence clusters were identified using local Moran statistics. A hierarchical Bayesian CAR model (Besag, York and Mollie's model "BYM") known to be the best model for modelling the spatial and temporal effects was then fitted to examine climatic factors that might explain spatial/temporal variation of malaria infection in Namibia. RESULTS Average rainfall received on an annual basis and maximum temperature were found to have a significant spatial and temporal variation on malaria infection. Every mm increase in annual rainfall in a specific constituency in each year increases annual mean malaria cases by 0.6%, same to average maximum temperature. The posterior means of the time main effect (year t) showed a visible slightly increase in global trend from 2018 to 2020. CONCLUSION The study discovered that the spatial temporal model with both random and fixed effects best fit the model, which demonstrated a strong spatial and temporal heterogeneity distribution of malaria cases (spatial pattern) with high risk in most of the Kavango West and East outskirt constituencies, posterior relative risk (RR: 1.57 to 1.78).
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Affiliation(s)
- Remember Ndahalashili Katale
- Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Actuarial Science, Faculty of Health, Natural Resources and Applied Sciences, School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Namibia University of Science and Technology, Windhoek, Namibia
| | - Dibaba Bayisa Gemechu
- Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Actuarial Science, Faculty of Health, Natural Resources and Applied Sciences, School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Namibia University of Science and Technology, Windhoek, Namibia.
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Moradi G, Masoumi Asl H, Bahmani N, Vahabi A, Shirzadi S, Zare Z, Goodarzi E, Naemi H, Khazaei Z, Karimi A. Epidemiology incidence and geographical distribution of leptospirosis using GIS and its incidence prediction in Iran in 2021. Med J Islam Repub Iran 2021; 35:109. [PMID: 34956955 PMCID: PMC8683794 DOI: 10.47176/mjiri.35.109] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2020] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Leptospirosis is known as a public health problem in developing and developed countries. The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence and geographical distribution of leptospirosis using the Geographic Information System (GIS) and to predict its incidence in Iran in 2021.
Methods: This was a descriptive analytical study. Information on leptospirosis was obtained from the Center for Communicable Diseases Control during 2009-2015. In the next step, The ArcGIS 9.3 was used to prepare geographic maps of the disease incidence and frequency. Therefore, using the Raster Calculator tool, the disease prediction map was drawn.
Results: The results showed that the highest incidence of leptospirosis during 2009-2015 was observed in Gilan, Mazandaran, and Golestan provinces, respectively. The incidence of the disease had an increasing trend from 2013 to 2015. Based on the results of the modeling in Iran, the provinces of Gilan, Mazandaran, and Golestan, with 72.18%, 8.54%, and 4.95% of their area, respectively, have the largest areas at a high-risk for leptospirosis in the coming years.
Conclusion: The prevalence of leptospirosis is affected by geographical and climatic conditions of every region; thus, the incidence of the disease is higher in the provinces located at the Caspian coastal side and in some regions in Semnan province. Hence, if health authorities pay more attention to developing health plans to prevent the disease, the risk of disease in these areas will be reduced in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ghobad Moradi
- Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran
| | - Hossein Masoumi Asl
- Center for Communicable Diseases Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran
| | - Nasrin Bahmani
- Zoonoses Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran
| | - Ahmad Vahabi
- Zoonoses Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran
| | | | - Zahra Zare
- Zoonosis Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Elham Goodarzi
- Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran
| | - Hasan Naemi
- Cellular and Molecular Research Center, Sabzevar University of Medical Sciences, Sabzevar, Iran
| | - Zaher Khazaei
- Department of Public Health, School of Medicine, Dezful University of Medical Sciences, Dezful, Iran
| | - Asrin Karimi
- Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran
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Jo Y, Barthel N, Stierman E, Clifton K, Pak ES, Ezeiru S, Ekweremadu D, Onugu N, Ali Z, Egwu E, Akoh O, Uzunyayla O, Van Hulle S. The Potential of Digital Data Collection Tools for Long-lasting Insecticide-Treated Net Mass Campaigns in Nigeria: Formative Study. JMIR Form Res 2021; 5:e23648. [PMID: 34623310 PMCID: PMC8538022 DOI: 10.2196/23648] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2020] [Revised: 06/29/2021] [Accepted: 07/27/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Nigeria has the world’s largest malaria burden, accounting for 27% of the world’s malaria cases and 23% of malaria mortality globally. This formative study describes the operational process of the mass distribution of long-lasting insecticide-treated nets (LLINs) during a campaign program in Nigeria. Objective This study aims to assess whether and how digital data collection and management tools can change current practices and help resolve major implementation issues. Methods Qualitative data on the technical features and operational processes of paper-based and information and communication technology (ICT)–based systems in the Edo and Kwara states from June 2 to 30, 2017, were collected on the basis of documented operation manuals, field observations, and informant interviews. During the LLIN campaign in Edo State, we recruited 6 local government area focal persons and monitors and documented daily review meetings during household mobilization (9 days) and net distribution (5 days) to understand the major program implementation issues associated with the following three aspects: logistic issues, technical issues, and demand creation. Each issue was categorized according to the expected degree (low, mid, and high) of change by the ICT system. Results The net campaign started with microplanning and training, followed by a month-long implementation process, which included household mobilization, net movement, net distribution, and end process monitoring. The ICT system can improve management and oversight issues related to data reporting and processes through user-centered interface design, built-in data quality control logic flow or algorithms, and workflow automation. These often require more than 50% of staff time and effort in the current paper-based practice. Compared with the current paper-based system, the real-time system is expected to reduce the time to payment compensation for health workers by about 20 days and produce summary campaign statistics for at least 20 to 30 days. Conclusions The ICT system can facilitate the measurement of population coverage beyond program coverage during an LLIN campaign with greater data reliability and timeliness, which are often compromised due to the limited workforce capacity in a paper-based system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Youngji Jo
- Boston Medical Center, Boston, MA, United States
| | | | | | | | - Esther Semee Pak
- Graduate Institute of International Development Studies, Geneva, Switzerland
| | | | | | | | - Zainab Ali
- Catholic Relief Services, Abuja, Nigeria
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SHIRZADI MOHAMMADREZA, MOHAMMADI PARVIN, MORADI GHOBAD, GOODARZI ELHAM, KHAZAEI SALMAN, MOAYED LEILI, KHAZAEI ZAHER. The Incidence and Geographical Distribution of Brucellosis in Iran Using Geographic Information System and Prediction of its Incidence in 2021. JOURNAL OF PREVENTIVE MEDICINE AND HYGIENE 2021; 62:E635-E634. [PMID: 34909491 PMCID: PMC8639131 DOI: 10.15167/2421-4248/jpmh2021.62.3.1699] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2020] [Accepted: 05/17/2021] [Indexed: 03/02/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Brucellosis is one of the most challenging health issues in many developing countries including Iran. The purpose of this study is to investigate the incidence and geographical distribution of brucellosis using Geographic Information System (GIS) and to predict its incidence in Iran in 2021. METHOD This is a descriptive-analytical cross-sectional study, which contains spatial and climatic information along with the prevalence rate of brucellosis in Iran. Disease information was obtained from the National Center for Infectious Diseases Management during 2011-2015. Then, Arc GIS version 9.3 was used to plot the geographical maps for the incidence and frequency of the disease. Using the Raster calculator tool, the disease prediction map for the future was plotted. For proper spatial distribution of hot and cold spots, Getis-Ord-Gi statistic was employed. FINDINGS The highest incidence of brucellosis during 2009-2015 was observed in the western provinces of Iran (North Khorasan, South Khorasan and Razavi Khorasan provinces). The incidence of brucellosis in Iran decreased from 2009 to 2011 but it exhibited an increasing trend from 2011 to 2014. The provinces of Kurdistan, Lorestan, Ilam, Zanjan and Kermanshah may be among the hot spots in terms of brucellosis incidence in 2021. CONCLUSION We predicted significant variations in brucellosis risk distribution in Iran in the coming years. In the western and northwestern provinces, which are among the high risk areas for the incidence of this disease in the future, this disease can pose a serious health threat to the residents of these areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- MOHAMMAD REZA SHIRZADI
- Communicable Diseases Management Center, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran
| | - PARVIN MOHAMMADI
- Department of medical sciences, Sanandaj baranch, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj, Iran
| | - GHOBAD MORADI
- Associate Professor, Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran
| | - ELHAM GOODARZI
- Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran
| | - SALMAN KHAZAEI
- Research Center for Health Sciences, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran
| | - LEILI MOAYED
- Iranian Research Center on Healthy Aging, Sabzevar University of Medical Sciences, Sabzevar, Iran
| | - ZAHER KHAZAEI
- Department of Public Health, School of Medicine, Dezful University of Medical Sciences, Dezful, Iran
- Correspondence: Zaher Khazaei (MSc), Department of Public Health, School of Medicine, Dezful University of Medical Sciences, Dezful, Iran -
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Abstract
Environmental changes are impacting northern environments and human communities. Cumulative impact assessments are vital to understanding the combined effects of regional industrial developments and natural disturbances that affect humans and ecosystems. A gap in cumulative impacts literature includes methods to evaluate impacts in cultural landscapes. In this study, we utilized spatial overlay analysis to assess cumulative environmental impacts in the cultural landscape of northern Canada’s Gwich’in Settlement Region. In three analyses, we quantified and mapped: (1) Cultural feature density, (2) cumulative environmental disturbance, and (3) potential overlap between disturbances and cultural features. Our first analysis depicts the extent and pattern of cultural relationships with regional landscapes and illustrates the Gwich’in cultural landscape, with widespread harvesting trails, named places, traditional use areas, and archaeological sites found in highest densities near important waterways. Our second analysis suggests that spatial overlay can track multiple disturbances, illustrating diffuse, lower intensity cumulative environmental impacts. The final analysis shows that overlaying disturbance and cultural feature data provides a novel way to investigate cumulative impacts in a cultural landscape, indicating relatively low levels of potential overlap between Gwich’in cultural features and disturbances. These methods provide one way to investigate cumulative impacts, relevant for well- documented cultural landscapes.
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Abstract
Malaria is one of the most cited vector-borne infectious diseases by climate change expert panels. Malaria vectors often need water sheets or wetlands to complete the disease life cycle. The current context of population mobility and global change requires detailed monitoring and surveillance of malaria in all countries. This study analysed the spatiotemporal distribution of death and illness cases caused by autochthonous and imported malaria in Spain during the 20th and 21st centuries using multidisciplinary sources, Geographic Information System (GIS) and geovisualisation. The results obtained reveal that, in the 20th and 21st centuries, malaria has not had a homogeneous spatial distribution. Between 1916 and 1930, 77% of deaths from autochthonous malaria were concentrated in only 20% of Spanish provinces; in 1932, 88% of patients treated in anti-malarial dispensaries were concentrated in these same provinces. These last data reveal the huge potential that anti-malarial dispensaries could have as a tool to reconstruct historical epidemiology. Spanish autochthonous malaria has presented epidemic upsurge episodes, especially those of 1917–1922 and 1939–1944, influenced by armed conflict, population movement and damaged health and hygiene conditions. Although meteorological variables have not played a key role in these epidemic episodes, they contributed by providing suitable conditions for their intensification. After the eradication of autochthonous malaria in 1961, imported malaria cases began to be detected in 1973, reaching more than 700 cases per year at the end of the second decade of the 21st century. Therefore, consistent and detailed historical studies are necessary to better understand the drivers that have led to the decline and elimination of malaria in Europe and other temperate countries.
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A Novel Integrated and Labile eHealth System for Monitoring Dog Rabies Vaccination Campaigns. Vaccines (Basel) 2019; 7:vaccines7030108. [PMID: 31505844 PMCID: PMC6789753 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines7030108] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2019] [Revised: 07/24/2019] [Accepted: 07/25/2019] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
The elimination of canine rabies through the implementation of high coverage mass dog vaccination campaigns is a complex task, particularly in the resource-limited countries of the rabies endemic world. Here we demonstrated the feasibility of applying targeted rabies vaccination campaigns to deliver more impactful intervention campaigns in resource-limited settings using evidence and lessons learnt from other diseases. With the use of strategic rabies intervention programs, we demonstrate the noteworthy reduction of rabies cases in two very different African settings. The strategic intervention was most significantly aided by the use of a custom-developed vaccination tracking device (the Global Alliance for Rabies Control (GARC) Data Logger) and an integrated rabies surveillance system (the Rabies Epidemiological Bulletin). Our first case study, an island-wide strategic dog vaccination on Tanzania's Unguja island, reduced the incidence of rabies by 71% in the first 16 months of implementation. In the second case study, a similar approach was applied in the metropolitan capital city of Zimbabwe and the incidence of rabies declined by 13% during the first 13 months of implementation. The methodologies and results presented here suggest that, in resource-limited settings, an optimal approach towards the elimination of dog rabies would revolve around strategic interventions, subject to the use of appropriate planning, surveillance, and vaccination tools.
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Abstract
Finding a simple and less expensive method to assess and improve sidewalk and corridor conditions in developing countries is essential in order to motivate more people to walk. This study aimed to design and test a method that uses direct observations of driver behavior and street measurements to assess sidewalk and corridor walkability in developing countries. The proposed method includes different walkability indicators related to sidewalk features, crossing facilities, sidewalk facilities, and driver behavior to provide one score that represents the walkability of a sidewalk and one that represents the walkability of a corridor. The method was tested on streets from 10 neighborhoods in the city of Doha, Qatar. The results indicated that the developed method was easy to use and could efficiently measure various indicators, illustrating that it can be used to evaluate corridors with different characteristics to identify and rank areas that require improvement. The study’s findings will provide maintenance agencies, policymakers, and practitioners in developing countries with a simple, efficient, and cost-effective method to evaluate, plan, rank, and improve the walkability of sidewalks and corridors.
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Geographical mapping of advanced practice registered nurses in Louisiana: Leveraging the power of data display. J Am Assoc Nurse Pract 2018; 31:8-16. [PMID: 30383550 DOI: 10.1097/jxx.0000000000000091] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Identifying the locations of advanced practice registered nurses (APRNs) in the state is challenging without data readily available, which can adversely affect stakeholder initiatives. The purpose of this project was to develop an online interactive map reflecting distribution of APRNs licensed by the Louisiana State Board of Nursing (LSBN), heightening APRN visibility and improving usability of data for policy, education, practice, and research initiatives. METHODS A descriptive design with development of a graphical interactive map showing all Louisiana parishes with integrated distribution summaries of APRNs was made. Work proceeded from paper to higher fidelity simulations to the final interactive web page. Compatibility with LSBN's web page and annual data upload were ensured. CONCLUSION The project was done in collaboration with LSBN, an academic institution, and a privately hired web designer. The principals of Louisiana State Board of Nursing approved the final product. The product meets and exceeds the expectations for mapping. Evaluation of use and usability will be done at the discretion of LSBN. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE The outcome of this project will serve to heighten visibility of the distribution of APRNs in the state of Louisiana, enhancing opportunities for APRNs and for patients. Furthermore, those interested in leveraging the information in policy, education, or research initiatives will be served.
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Geo-spatial reporting for monitoring of household immunization coverage through mobile phones: Findings from a feasibility study. Int J Med Inform 2017; 107:48-55. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2017.09.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2016] [Revised: 08/13/2017] [Accepted: 09/13/2017] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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Dupuis JR, Bremer FT, Jombart T, Sim SB, Geib SM. mvmapper: Interactive spatial mapping of genetic structures. Mol Ecol Resour 2017; 18:362-367. [PMID: 28987008 DOI: 10.1111/1755-0998.12724] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/13/2017] [Revised: 10/02/2017] [Accepted: 10/03/2017] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Characterizing genetic structure across geographic space is a fundamental challenge in population genetics. Multivariate statistical analyses are powerful tools for summarizing genetic variability, but geographic information and accompanying metadata are not always easily integrated into these methods in a user-friendly fashion. Here, we present a deployable Python-based web-tool, mvmapper, for visualizing and exploring results of multivariate analyses in geographic space. This tool can be used to map results of virtually any multivariate analysis of georeferenced data, and routines for exporting results from a number of standard methods have been integrated in the R package adegenet, including principal components analysis (PCA), spatial PCA, discriminant analysis of principal components, principal coordinates analysis, nonmetric dimensional scaling and correspondence analysis. mvmapper's greatest strength is facilitating dynamic and interactive exploration of the statistical and geographic frameworks side by side, a task that is difficult and time-consuming with currently available tools. Source code and deployment instructions, as well as a link to a hosted instance of mvmapper, can be found at https://popphylotools.github.io/mvMapper/.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julian R Dupuis
- Daniel K. Inouye U.S. Pacific Basin Agricultural Research Center, U.S. Department of Agriculture-Agricultural Research Service, Hilo, HI, USA.,Department of Plant and Environmental Protection Services, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, USA
| | - Forest T Bremer
- Daniel K. Inouye U.S. Pacific Basin Agricultural Research Center, U.S. Department of Agriculture-Agricultural Research Service, Hilo, HI, USA.,Department of Plant and Environmental Protection Services, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, USA
| | - Thibaut Jombart
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, School of Public Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Sheina B Sim
- Daniel K. Inouye U.S. Pacific Basin Agricultural Research Center, U.S. Department of Agriculture-Agricultural Research Service, Hilo, HI, USA
| | - Scott M Geib
- Daniel K. Inouye U.S. Pacific Basin Agricultural Research Center, U.S. Department of Agriculture-Agricultural Research Service, Hilo, HI, USA
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Rifaie F, Maharani T, Hamidy A. Where did Venomous Snakes Strike? A Spatial Statistical Analysis of Snakebite Cases in Bondowoso Regency, Indonesia. HAYATI JOURNAL OF BIOSCIENCES 2017. [DOI: 10.1016/j.hjb.2017.09.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
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Shekhar S, Yoo EH, Ahmed SA, Haining R, Kadannolly S. Analysing malaria incidence at the small area level for developing a spatial decision support system: A case study in Kalaburagi, Karnataka, India. Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol 2016; 20:9-25. [PMID: 28137677 DOI: 10.1016/j.sste.2016.12.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/09/2016] [Accepted: 12/16/2016] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
Spatial decision support systems have already proved their value in helping to reduce infectious diseases but to be effective they need to be designed to reflect local circumstances and local data availability. We report the first stage of a project to develop a spatial decision support system for infectious diseases for Karnataka State in India. The focus of this paper is on malaria incidence and we draw on small area data on new cases of malaria analysed in two-monthly time intervals over the period February 2012 to January 2016 for Kalaburagi taluk, a small area in Karnataka. We report the results of data mapping and cluster detection (identifying areas of excess risk) including evaluating the temporal persistence of excess risk and the local conditions with which high counts are statistically associated. We comment on how this work might feed into a practical spatial decision support system.
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Affiliation(s)
- S Shekhar
- Department of Geography, Central University of Karnataka, India
| | - E-H Yoo
- Department of Geography, State University of New York, Buffalo, USA
| | - S A Ahmed
- Department of Applied Geology, Kuvempu University, Shankaraghatta, India
| | - R Haining
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.
| | - S Kadannolly
- Department of Geography, Central University of Karnataka, India
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Alimi TO, Fuller DO, Quinones ML, Xue RD, Herrera SV, Arevalo-Herrera M, Ulrich JN, Qualls WA, Beier JC. Prospects and recommendations for risk mapping to improve strategies for effective malaria vector control interventions in Latin America. Malar J 2015; 14:519. [PMID: 26694047 PMCID: PMC4689006 DOI: 10.1186/s12936-015-1052-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2015] [Accepted: 12/12/2015] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
With malaria control in Latin America firmly established in most countries and a growing number of these countries in the pre-elimination phase, malaria elimination appears feasible. A review of the literature indicates that malaria elimination in this region will be difficult without locally tailored strategies for vector control, which depend on more research on vector ecology, genetics and behavioural responses to environmental changes, such as those caused by land cover alterations, and human population movements. An essential way to bridge the knowledge gap and improve vector control is through risk mapping. Malaria risk maps based on statistical and knowledge-based modelling can elucidate the links between environmental factors and malaria vectors, explain interactions between environmental changes and vector dynamics, and provide a heuristic to demonstrate how the environment shapes malaria transmission. To increase the utility of risk mapping in guiding vector control activities, definitions of malaria risk for mapping purposes must be standardized. The maps must also possess appropriate scale and resolution in order to become essential tools in integrated vector management (IVM), so that planners can target areas in greatest need of control measures. Fully integrating risk mapping into vector control programmes will make interventions more evidence-based, making malaria elimination more attainable.
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Affiliation(s)
- Temitope O Alimi
- Abess Center for Ecosystem Science and Policy, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL, USA.
| | - Douglas O Fuller
- Department of Geography and Regional Studies, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL, USA.
| | - Martha L Quinones
- Department of Public Health, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogota, Colombia.
| | - Rui-De Xue
- Anastasia Mosquito Control District, 500 Old Beach Road, St. Augustine, FL, USA.
| | - Socrates V Herrera
- Centro de Investigacion Cientifica Caucaseco, Universidad del Valle, Cali, Colombia. .,School of Health, Valle State University, Cali, Colombia.
| | - Myriam Arevalo-Herrera
- Centro de Investigacion Cientifica Caucaseco, Universidad del Valle, Cali, Colombia. .,School of Health, Valle State University, Cali, Colombia.
| | - Jill N Ulrich
- Abess Center for Ecosystem Science and Policy, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL, USA.
| | - Whitney A Qualls
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.
| | - John C Beier
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.
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The historical distribution of main malaria foci in Spain as related to water bodies. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2014; 11:7896-917. [PMID: 25101771 PMCID: PMC4143839 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph110807896] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2014] [Revised: 07/04/2014] [Accepted: 07/25/2014] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
The possible connectivity between the spatial distribution of water bodies suitable for vectors of malaria and endemic malaria foci in Southern Europe is still not well known. Spain was one of the last countries in Western Europe to be declared free of malaria by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 1964. This study combines, by means of a spatial-temporal analysis, the historical data of patients and deceased with the distribution of water bodies where the disease-transmitting mosquitos proliferate. Therefore, data from historical archives with a Geographic Information System (GIS), using the Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) interpolation method, was analyzed with the aim of identifying regional differences in the distribution of malaria in Spain. The reasons, why the risk of transmission is concentrated in specific regions, are related to worse socioeconomic conditions (Extremadura), the presence of another vector (Anopheles labranchiae) besides A. atroparvus (Levante) or large areas of water bodies in conditions to reproduce theses vectors (La Mancha and Western Andalusia). In the particular case of Western Andalusia, in 1913, the relatively high percentage of 4.73% of the surface, equal to 202362 ha, corresponds to wetlands and other unhealthy water bodies. These wetlands have been reduced as a result of desiccation policies and climate change such as the Little Ice Age and Global Climate Change. The comprehension of the main factors of these wetland changes in the past can help us interpret accurately the future risk of malaria re-emergence in temperate latitudes, since it reveals the crucial role of unhealthy water bodies on the distribution, endemicity and eradication of malaria in southern Europe.
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Clements ACA, Reid HL, Kelly GC, Hay SI. Further shrinking the malaria map: how can geospatial science help to achieve malaria elimination? THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2013; 13:709-18. [PMID: 23886334 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(13)70140-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
Abstract
Malaria is one of the biggest contributors to deaths caused by infectious disease. More than 30 countries have planned or started programmes to target malaria elimination, often with explicit support from international donors. The spatial distribution of malaria, at all levels of endemicity, is heterogeneous. Moreover, populations living in low-endemic settings where elimination efforts might be targeted are often spatially heterogeneous. Geospatial methods, therefore, can help design, target, monitor, and assess malaria elimination programmes. Rapid advances in technology and analytical methods have allowed the spatial prediction of malaria risk and the development of spatial decision support systems, which can enhance elimination programmes by enabling accurate and timely resource allocation. However, no framework exists for assessment of geospatial instruments. Research is needed to identify measurable indicators of elimination progress and to quantify the effect of geospatial methods in achievement of elimination outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Archie C A Clements
- University of Queensland, Infectious Disease Epidemiology Unit, School of Population Health, Herston, QLD, Australia.
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Cabieses B, Faba G, Espinoza M, Santorelli G. The link between information and communication technologies and global public health: pushing forward. Telemed J E Health 2013; 19:879-87. [PMID: 24093955 DOI: 10.1089/tmj.2012.0232] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
.Global public health (GPH) continues to be a challenging field. It focuses on health-related issues that transcend national boundaries and thus requires global cooperation for implementing solutions to public health problems. Information and communication technologies (ICTs) have the potential to contribute to GPH by improving the quality of healthcare services. The purpose of this commentary article is to discuss the nature and characteristics of the existing link between ICTs and GPH. The key underlying questions discussed in this article are (a) whether ICTs can truly reduce the burden of current GPH problems and (b) how to effectively achieve it. We selected three widely recognized GPH challenges: diarrheal disease among children under 5 years old, malaria, and type 2 diabetes mellitus. These are considered to be examples of salient global issues that, despite the availability of cost-effective preventive and therapeutic interventions, still remain a major burden of morbidity and mortality worldwide. We conclude that there is a growing global interest in ICT-related solutions in GPH. We recommend the development of more transparent frameworks, more theory-informed solutions, and clearer translational links between ICTs and GPH matters. Ten further specific recommendations are also discussed in this article.
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Barati M, Keshavarz-valian H, Habibi-nokhandan M, Raeisi A, Faraji L, Salahi-moghaddam A. Spatial outline of malaria transmission in Iran. ASIAN PAC J TROP MED 2013; 5:789-95. [PMID: 23043918 DOI: 10.1016/s1995-7645(12)60145-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2012] [Revised: 03/09/2012] [Accepted: 03/15/2012] [Indexed: 10/27/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To conduct for modeling spatial distribution of malaria transmission in Iran. METHODS Records of all malaria cases from the period 2008-2010 in Iran were retrieved for malaria control department, MOH&ME. Metrological data including annual rainfall, maximum and minimum temperature, relative humidity, altitude, demographic, districts border shapefiles, and NDVI images received from Iranian Climatologic Research Center. Data arranged in ArcGIS. RESULTS 99.65% of malaria transmission cases were focused in southeast part of Iran. These transmissions had statistically correlation with altitude (650 m), maximum (30 °C), minimum (20 °C) and average temperature (25.3 °C). Statistical correlation and overall relationship between NDVI (118.81), relative humidity (⩾45%) and rainfall in southeast area was defined and explained in this study. CONCLUSIONS According to ecological condition and mentioned cut-off points, predictive map was generated using cokriging method.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammad Barati
- Department of Medical Parasitology and Mycology, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Bandar Abbas, Iran
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20
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Malaria elimination: moving forward with spatial decision support systems. Trends Parasitol 2012; 28:297-304. [DOI: 10.1016/j.pt.2012.04.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 51] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2012] [Revised: 04/13/2012] [Accepted: 04/13/2012] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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Shaw NT. Geographical information systems and health: current state and future directions. Healthc Inform Res 2012; 18:88-96. [PMID: 22844644 PMCID: PMC3402560 DOI: 10.4258/hir.2012.18.2.88] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2012] [Revised: 06/21/2012] [Accepted: 06/21/2012] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
This paper provides an introduction to Geographical Information Systems (GIS) and how they can be used. It reviews the current state of GIS use in health care before identifying the barriers to more pervasive use of GIS in health. Finally, it makes recommendations for the direction of health GIS research over the next decade and concludes with a call to action to health informatics researchers to stop ignoring a tool and methodology that has such immense potential for improving the health of our communities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicola T. Shaw
- Health Informatics Institute and Department of Sociology, Algoma University, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada
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Geographical mapping and Bayesian spatial modeling of malaria incidence in Sistan and Baluchistan province, Iran. ASIAN PAC J TROP MED 2012; 4:985-92. [PMID: 22118036 DOI: 10.1016/s1995-7645(11)60231-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2011] [Revised: 10/11/2011] [Accepted: 10/15/2011] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To present the geographical map of malaria and identify some of the important environmental factors of this disease in Sistan and Baluchistan province, Iran. METHODS We used the registered malaria data to compute the standard incidence rates (SIRs) of malaria in different areas of Sistan and Baluchistan province for a nine-year period (from 2001 to 2009). Statistical analyses consisted of two different parts: geographical mapping of malaria incidence rates, and modeling the environmental factors. The empirical Bayesian estimates of malaria SIRs were utilized for geographical mapping of malaria and a Poisson random effects model was used for assessing the effect of environmental factors on malaria SIRs. RESULTS In general, 64,926 new cases of malaria were registered in Sistan and Baluchistan Province from 2001 to 2009. Among them, 42,695 patients (65.8%) were male and 22,231 patients (34.2%) were female. Modeling the environmental factors showed that malaria incidence rates had positive relationship with humidity, elevation, average minimum temperature and average maximum temperature, while rainfall had negative effect on malaria SIRs in this province. CONCLUSIONS The results of the present study reveals that malaria is still a serious health problem in Sistan and Baluchistan province, Iran. Geographical map and related environmental factors of malaria can help the health policy makers to intervene in high risk areas more efficiently and allocate the resources in a proper manner.
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Bhunia GS, Dikhit MR, Kesari S, Sahoo GC, Das P. Role of remote sensing, geographical information system (GIS) and bioinformatics in kala-azar epidemiology. J Biomed Res 2011; 25:373-84. [PMID: 23554714 PMCID: PMC3596716 DOI: 10.1016/s1674-8301(11)60050-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/08/2011] [Revised: 08/21/2011] [Accepted: 09/08/2011] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Visceral leishmaniasis or kala-azar is a potent parasitic infection causing death of thousands of people each year. Medicinal compounds currently available for the treatment of kala-azar have serious side effects and decreased efficacy owing to the emergence of resistant strains. The type of immune reaction is also to be considered in patients infected with Leishmania donovani (L. donovani). For complete eradication of this disease, a high level modern research is currently being applied both at the molecular level as well as at the field level. The computational approaches like remote sensing, geographical information system (GIS) and bioinformatics are the key resources for the detection and distribution of vectors, patterns, ecological and environmental factors and genomic and proteomic analysis. Novel approaches like GIS and bioinformatics have been more appropriately utilized in determining the cause of visearal leishmaniasis and in designing strategies for preventing the disease from spreading from one region to another.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Shreekant Kesari
- *Corresponding authors: Shreekant Kesari, Ph.D, Scientist “C”, Rajendra Memorial Research Institute of Medical Sciences (ICMR), Agamkuan, Patna, Bihar 800007, India. Tel: +91-0612-2636651, E-mail: . Ganesh Chandra Sahoo, Ph.D, Scientist ‘C’, Rajendra Memorial Research Institute of Medical Sciences (ICMR), Agamkuan, Patna, Bihar 800007, India. Tel: +919973935036, E-mail:
| | - Ganesh Chandra Sahoo
- *Corresponding authors: Shreekant Kesari, Ph.D, Scientist “C”, Rajendra Memorial Research Institute of Medical Sciences (ICMR), Agamkuan, Patna, Bihar 800007, India. Tel: +91-0612-2636651, E-mail: . Ganesh Chandra Sahoo, Ph.D, Scientist ‘C’, Rajendra Memorial Research Institute of Medical Sciences (ICMR), Agamkuan, Patna, Bihar 800007, India. Tel: +919973935036, E-mail:
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Spatio-temporal patterns of Barmah Forest virus disease in Queensland, Australia. PLoS One 2011; 6:e25688. [PMID: 22022430 PMCID: PMC3192738 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0025688] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2011] [Accepted: 09/08/2011] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Barmah Forest virus (BFV) disease is a common and wide-spread mosquito-borne disease in Australia. This study investigated the spatio-temporal patterns of BFV disease in Queensland, Australia using geographical information system (GIS) tools and geostatistical analysis. Methods/Principal Findings We calculated the incidence rates and standardised incidence rates of BFV disease. Moran's I statistic was used to assess the spatial autocorrelation of BFV incidences. Spatial dynamics of BFV disease was examined using semi-variogram analysis. Interpolation techniques were applied to visualise and display the spatial distribution of BFV disease in statistical local areas (SLAs) throughout Queensland. Mapping of BFV disease by SLAs reveals the presence of substantial spatio-temporal variation over time. Statistically significant differences in BFV incidence rates were identified among age groups (χ2 = 7587, df = 7327,p<0.01). There was a significant positive spatial autocorrelation of BFV incidence for all four periods, with the Moran's I statistic ranging from 0.1506 to 0.2901 (p<0.01). Semi-variogram analysis and smoothed maps created from interpolation techniques indicate that the pattern of spatial autocorrelation was not homogeneous across the state. Conclusions/Significance This is the first study to examine spatial and temporal variation in the incidence rates of BFV disease across Queensland using GIS and geostatistics. The BFV transmission varied with age and gender, which may be due to exposure rates or behavioural risk factors. There are differences in the spatio-temporal patterns of BFV disease which may be related to local socio-ecological and environmental factors. These research findings may have implications in the BFV disease control and prevention programs in Queensland.
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Fisher RP, Myers BA. Free and simple GIS as appropriate for health mapping in a low resource setting: a case study in eastern Indonesia. Int J Health Geogr 2011; 10:15. [PMID: 21352553 PMCID: PMC3051879 DOI: 10.1186/1476-072x-10-15] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2010] [Accepted: 02/25/2011] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite the demonstrated utility of GIS for health applications, there are perceived problems in low resource settings: GIS software can be expensive and complex; input data are often of low quality. This study aimed to test the appropriateness of new, inexpensive and simple GIS tools in poorly resourced areas of a developing country. GIS applications were trialled in pilot studies based on mapping of health resources and health indicators at the clinic and district level in the predominantly rural province of Nusa Tenggara Timur in eastern Indonesia. The pilot applications were (i) rapid field collection of health infrastructure data using a GPS enabled PDA, (ii) mapping health indicator data using open source GIS software, and (iii) service availability mapping using a free modelling tool. RESULTS Through contextualised training, district and clinic staff acquired skills in spatial analysis and visualisation and, six months after the pilot studies, they were using these skills for advocacy in the planning process, to inform the allocation of some health resources, and to evaluate some public health initiatives. CONCLUSIONS We demonstrated that GIS can be a useful and inexpensive tool for the decentralisation of health data analysis to low resource settings through the use of free and simple software, locally relevant training materials and by providing data collection tools to ensure data reliability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rohan P Fisher
- Charles Darwin University, Darwin, Northern Territory 0909, Australia.
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Shirayama Y, Phompida S, Shibuya K. Geographic information system (GIS) maps and malaria control monitoring: intervention coverage and health outcome in distal villages of Khammouane province, Laos. Malar J 2009; 8:217. [PMID: 19772628 PMCID: PMC2754997 DOI: 10.1186/1475-2875-8-217] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2009] [Accepted: 09/22/2009] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) are a key intervention to control malaria. The intervention coverage varies as a consequence of geographical accessibility to remote villages and limitations of financial and human resources for the intervention. People's adherence to the intervention, i.e., proper use of ITNs, also affects malaria health outcome. The study objective is to explore the impact of the intervention coverage and people's adherence to the intervention on malaria health outcome among targeted villages in various geographic locations. Methods Geographic information system (GIS) maps were developed using the data collected in an active case detection survey in Khammouane province, Laos. The survey was conducted using rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) and a structured questionnaire at 23 sites in the province from June to July, the rainy season, in 2005. A total of 1,711 villagers from 403 households participated in the survey. Results As indicated on the GIS maps, villages with malaria cases, lower intervention coverage, and lower adherence were identified. Although no malaria case was detected in most villages with the best access to the district center, several cases were detected in the distal villages, where the intervention coverage and adherence to the intervention remained relatively lower. Conclusion Based on the data and maps, it was demonstrated that malaria remained unevenly distributed within districts. Balancing the intervention coverage in the distal villages with the overall coverage and continued promotion of the proper use of ITNs are necessary for a further reduction of malaria cases in the province.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yoshihisa Shirayama
- Department of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, University of Tokyo, Japan.
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Rakotomanana F, Randremanana RV, Rabarijaona LP, Duchemin JB, Ratovonjato J, Ariey F, Rudant JP, Jeanne I. Determining areas that require indoor insecticide spraying using Multi Criteria Evaluation, a decision-support tool for malaria vector control programmes in the Central Highlands of Madagascar. Int J Health Geogr 2007; 6:2. [PMID: 17261177 PMCID: PMC1803775 DOI: 10.1186/1476-072x-6-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2006] [Accepted: 01/29/2007] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The highlands of Madagascar present an unstable transmission pattern of malaria. The population has no immunity, and the central highlands have been the sites of epidemics with particularly high fatality. The most recent epidemic occurred in the 1980s, and caused about 30,000 deaths. The fight against malaria epidemics in the highlands has been based on indoor insecticide spraying to control malaria vectors. Any preventive programme involving generalised cover in the highlands will require very substantial logistical support. We used multicriteria evaluation, by the method of weighted linear combination, as basis for improved targeting of actions by determining priority zones for intervention. Results Image analysis and field validation showed the accuracy of mapping rice fields to be between 82.3% and 100%, and the Kappa coefficient was 0.86 to 0.99. A significant positive correlation was observed between the abundance of the vector Anopheles funestus and temperature; the correlation coefficient was 0.599 (p < 0.001). A significant negative correlation was observed between vector abundance and human population density: the correlation coefficient was -0.551 (p < 0.003). Factor weights were determined by pair-wise comparison and the consistency ratio was 0.04. Risk maps of the six study zones were obtained according to a gradient of risk. Nine of thirteen results of alert confirmed by the Epidemiological Surveillance Post were in concordance with the risk map. Conclusion This study is particularly valuable for the management of vector control programmes, and particularly the reduction of the vector population with a view to preventing disease. The risk map obtained can be used to identify priority zones for the management of resources, and also help avoid systematic and generalised spraying throughout the highlands: such spraying is particularly difficult and expensive. The accuracy of the mapping, both as concerns time and space, is dependent on the availability of data. Continuous monitoring of malaria transmission factors must be undertaken to detect any changes. A regular case notification allows risk map to be verified. These actions should therefore be implemented so that risk maps can be satisfactorily assessed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fanjasoa Rakotomanana
- Cellule Système d'Information Géographique, Unité Epidémiologie, BP1274, Tel 261 20 22 412 72 Institut Pasteur, Antananarivo, Madagascar
| | - Rindra V Randremanana
- Cellule Système d'Information Géographique, Unité Epidémiologie, BP1274, Tel 261 20 22 412 72 Institut Pasteur, Antananarivo, Madagascar
| | - Léon P Rabarijaona
- Cellule Système d'Information Géographique, Unité Epidémiologie, BP1274, Tel 261 20 22 412 72 Institut Pasteur, Antananarivo, Madagascar
| | | | - Jocelyn Ratovonjato
- Cellule Système d'Information Géographique, Unité Epidémiologie, BP1274, Tel 261 20 22 412 72 Institut Pasteur, Antananarivo, Madagascar
| | | | - Jean Paul Rudant
- Institut Francilien de Géosciences, Université Marne La Vallée, France
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Gaudart J, Poudiougou B, Dicko A, Ranque S, Toure O, Sagara I, Diallo M, Diawara S, Ouattara A, Diakite M, Doumbo OK. Space-time clustering of childhood malaria at the household level: a dynamic cohort in a Mali village. BMC Public Health 2006; 6:286. [PMID: 17118176 PMCID: PMC1684261 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2458-6-286] [Citation(s) in RCA: 111] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2006] [Accepted: 11/21/2006] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Spatial and temporal heterogeneities in the risk of malaria have led the WHO to recommend fine-scale stratification of the epidemiological situation, making it possible to set up actions and clinical or basic researches targeting high-risk zones. Before initiating such studies it is necessary to define local patterns of malaria transmission and infection (in time and in space) in order to facilitate selection of the appropriate study population and the intervention allocation. The aim of this study was to identify, spatially and temporally, high-risk zones of malaria, at the household level (resolution of 1 to 3 m). METHODS This study took place in a Malian village with hyperendemic seasonal transmission as part of Mali-Tulane Tropical Medicine Research Center (NIAID/NIH). The study design was a dynamic cohort (22 surveys, from June 1996 to June 2001) on about 1300 children (<12 years) distributed between 173 households localized by GPS. We used the computed parasitological data to analyzed levels of Plasmodium falciparum, P. malariae and P. ovale infection and P. falciparum gametocyte carriage by means of time series and Kulldorff's scan statistic for space-time cluster detection. RESULTS The time series analysis determined that malaria parasitemia (primarily P. falciparum) was persistently present throughout the population with the expected seasonal variability pattern and a downward temporal trend. We identified six high-risk clusters of P. falciparum infection, some of which persisted despite an overall tendency towards a decrease in risk. The first high-risk cluster of P. falciparum infection (rate ratio = 14.161) was detected from September 1996 to October 1996, in the north of the village. CONCLUSION This study showed that, although infection proportions tended to decrease, high-risk zones persisted in the village particularly near temporal backwaters. Analysis of this heterogeneity at the household scale by GIS methods lead to target preventive actions more accurately on the high-risk zones identified. This mapping of malaria risk makes it possible to orient control programs, treating the high-risk zones identified as a matter of priority, and to improve the planning of intervention trials or research studies on malaria.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jean Gaudart
- Medical Statistics and Informatics Research Team, LIF -UMR 6166- CNRS/Aix-Marseille University, Faculty of Medicine, 27 Bd Jean Moulin 13385 Marseille Cedex 05, France
| | - Belco Poudiougou
- Immunology and Genetics of Parasitic Diseases, UMR 399- INSERM/Aix-Marseille University, Faculty of Medicine, Marseille, France
- Malaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Odonto-Stomatology, University of, Bamako, Mali, BP 1805 Bamako, Mali
| | - Alassane Dicko
- Malaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Odonto-Stomatology, University of, Bamako, Mali, BP 1805 Bamako, Mali
| | - Stéphane Ranque
- Immunology and Genetics of Parasitic Diseases, UMR 399- INSERM/Aix-Marseille University, Faculty of Medicine, Marseille, France
| | - Ousmane Toure
- Malaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Odonto-Stomatology, University of, Bamako, Mali, BP 1805 Bamako, Mali
| | - Issaka Sagara
- Malaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Odonto-Stomatology, University of, Bamako, Mali, BP 1805 Bamako, Mali
| | - Mouctar Diallo
- Malaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Odonto-Stomatology, University of, Bamako, Mali, BP 1805 Bamako, Mali
| | - Sory Diawara
- Malaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Odonto-Stomatology, University of, Bamako, Mali, BP 1805 Bamako, Mali
| | - Amed Ouattara
- Malaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Odonto-Stomatology, University of, Bamako, Mali, BP 1805 Bamako, Mali
| | - Mahamadou Diakite
- Malaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Odonto-Stomatology, University of, Bamako, Mali, BP 1805 Bamako, Mali
| | - Ogobara K Doumbo
- Malaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Odonto-Stomatology, University of, Bamako, Mali, BP 1805 Bamako, Mali
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