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Weeda LJZ, Bradshaw CJA, Judge MA, Saraswati CM, Le Souëf PN. How climate change degrades child health: A systematic review and meta-analysis. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2024; 920:170944. [PMID: 38360325 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170944] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2023] [Revised: 02/08/2024] [Accepted: 02/11/2024] [Indexed: 02/17/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Children are more vulnerable than adults to climate-related health threats, but reviews examining how climate change affects human health have been mainly descriptive and lack an assessment of the magnitude of health effects children face. This is the first systematic review and meta-analysis that identifies which climate-health relationships pose the greatest threats to children. OBJECTIVES We reviewed epidemiologic studies to analyse various child health outcomes due to climate change and identify the relationships with the largest effect size. We identify population-specific risks and provide recommendations for future research. METHODS We searched four large online databases for observational studies published up to 5 January 2023 following PRISMA (systematic review) guidelines. We evaluated each included study individually and aggregated relevant quantitative data. We used quantitative data in our meta-analysis, where we standardised effect sizes and compared them among different groupings of climate variables and health outcomes. RESULTS Of 1301 articles we identified, 163 studies were eligible for analysis. We identified many relationships between climate change and child health, the strongest of which was increasing risk (60 % on average) of preterm birth from exposure to temperature extremes. Respiratory disease, mortality, and morbidity, among others, were also influenced by climate changes. The effects of different air pollutants on health outcomes were considerably smaller compared to temperature effects, but with most (16/20 = 80 %) pollutant studies indicating at least a weak effect. Most studies occurred in high-income regions, but we found no geographical clustering according to health outcome, climate variable, or magnitude of risk. The following factors were protective of climate-related child-health threats: (i) economic stability and strength, (ii) access to quality healthcare, (iii) adequate infrastructure, and (iv) food security. Threats to these services vary by local geographical, climate, and socio-economic conditions. Children will have increased prevalence of disease due to anthropogenic climate change, and our quantification of the impact of various aspects of climate change on child health can contribute to the planning of mitigation that will improve the health of current and future generations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lewis J Z Weeda
- School of Medicine, University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
| | - Corey J A Bradshaw
- Global Ecology | Partuyarta Ngadluku Wardli Kuu, College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia; Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Australian Biodiversity and Heritage, EpicAustralia.org.au, Australia
| | - Melinda A Judge
- Telethon Kids Institute, Perth, Western Australia, Australia; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia, Australia
| | | | - Peter N Le Souëf
- School of Medicine, University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia, Australia; Telethon Kids Institute, Perth, Western Australia, Australia
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Khosravipour M, Golbabaei F. Short-term ambient temperature variations and incidence of preterm birth: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Hyg Environ Health 2024; 256:114319. [PMID: 38171266 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijheh.2023.114319] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2023] [Revised: 12/18/2023] [Accepted: 12/23/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024]
Abstract
This study aimed to determine the short-term effects of ambient temperature variations exposures on the incidence of preterm birth (PTB) for each single lag day (lag0 to lag6) and cumulative lag days (lag0-1 to lag0-6) up to a week before birth. To find relevant publications, online databases, including Web of Science, PubMed, and Scopus were searched with appropriate keywords and Mesh terms from their inception to October 25, 2023. Overall, the number of 39 observational studies with 12.5 million pregnant women and 700.000 cases of PTB met our eligibility criteria. The associations of temperature variations with the incidence of PTB were investigated with two different meta-analyses, including the percentile meta-analysis (comparing different percentiles (P1 to P99) with a referent percentile (P50)), and the linear meta-analysis (per 5 °C increment of the temperature levels). For the percentile meta-analysis, we observed both extreme cold (P1, only lag 0) and heat (P95 and P99 with the highest risk at lag1 and lag0-6) exposures can be significantly associated with a higher risk of PTB. The pooled RR (95 % CI) per 5 °C increase in the temperature levels at lag0-6 was estimated as 1.038 (1.018, 1.058) for the overall analysis. Subgroup analysis based on the season shows a significant association in the warm season (RR = 1.082 and 95 % CI = 1.036, 1.128) at all lag days but not the cold season. For the single lag day, we observed the risk of PTB is the highest at lag1 and decreased with moving to lag6. In sum, we suppose there is a nearly V-shape non-linear association between air temperature levels and the incidence of PTB with the linear relationship for each unit increase (also decrease) in the temperature levels above (also below) moderate temperature limits. Future studies should investigate possible association of occupational heat and cold exposure during pregnancy on the incidence of adverse birth outcomes such as PTB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masoud Khosravipour
- Occupational Health Engineering Department, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
| | - Farideh Golbabaei
- Occupational Health Engineering Department, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
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Qing M, Guo Y, Yao Y, Zhou C, Wang D, Qiu W, Guo Y, Zhang X. Effects of apparent temperature on daily outpatient and inpatient visits for cause-specific respiratory diseases in Ganzhou, China: a time series study. Environ Health Prev Med 2024; 29:20. [PMID: 38522902 DOI: 10.1265/ehpm.23-00188] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/26/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Non-optimum temperatures are associated with increased risk of respiratory diseases, but the effects of apparent temperature (AT) on respiratory diseases remain to be investigated. METHODS Using daily data from 2016 to 2020 in Ganzhou, a large city in southern China, we analyzed the impact of AT on outpatient and inpatient visits for respiratory diseases. We considered total respiratory diseases and five subtypes (influenza and pneumonia, upper respiratory tract infection (URTI), lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI), asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD]). Our analysis employed a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) combined with a generalized additive model (GAM). RESULTS We recorded 94,952 outpatients and 72,410 inpatients for respiratory diseases. We found AT significantly non-linearly associated with daily outpatient and inpatient visits for total respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia, and URTI, primarily during comfortable AT levels, while it was exclusively related with daily inpatient visits for LRTI and COPD. Moderate heat (32.1 °C, the 75.0th centile) was observed with a significant effect on both daily outpatient and inpatient visits for total respiratory diseases at a relative risk of 1.561 (1.161, 2.098) and 1.276 (1.027, 1.585), respectively (both P < 0.05), while the results of inpatients became insignificant with the adjustment for CO and O3. The attributable fractions in outpatients and inpatients were as follows: total respiratory diseases (24.43% and 18.69%), influenza and pneumonia (31.54% and 17.33%), URTI (23.03% and 32.91%), LRTI (37.49% and 30.00%), asthma (9.83% and 3.39%), and COPD (30.67% and 10.65%). Stratified analyses showed that children ≤5 years old were more susceptible to moderate heat than older participants. CONCLUSIONS In conclusion, our results indicated moderate heat increase the risk of daily outpatient and inpatient visits for respiratory diseases, especially among children under the age of 5.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mengxia Qing
- Department of Occupational & Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology
- Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, Ministry of Education & Ministry of Environmental Protection, and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health (Incubating), School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology
| | - Yanjun Guo
- Department of Occupational & Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology
- Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, Ministry of Education & Ministry of Environmental Protection, and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health (Incubating), School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology
| | - Yuxin Yao
- Department of Occupational & Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology
- Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, Ministry of Education & Ministry of Environmental Protection, and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health (Incubating), School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology
| | - Chuanfei Zhou
- School of Public Health and Health Management, Gannan Medical University
| | - Dongming Wang
- Department of Occupational & Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology
- Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, Ministry of Education & Ministry of Environmental Protection, and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health (Incubating), School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology
| | - Weihong Qiu
- Department of Occupational & Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology
- Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, Ministry of Education & Ministry of Environmental Protection, and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health (Incubating), School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology
| | - You Guo
- First Affiliated Hospital, Gannan Medical University
- Key Laboratory of Prevention and Treatment of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Diseases, Ministry of Education, Gannan Medical University
- School of Public Health and Health Management, Gannan Medical University
| | - Xiaokang Zhang
- First Affiliated Hospital, Gannan Medical University
- Key Laboratory of Prevention and Treatment of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Diseases, Ministry of Education, Gannan Medical University
- School of Public Health and Health Management, Gannan Medical University
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Mehta M, Basu R, Ghosh R. Adverse effects of temperature on perinatal and pregnancy outcomes: methodological challenges and knowledge gaps. Front Public Health 2023; 11:1185836. [PMID: 38026314 PMCID: PMC10646498 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1185836] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2023] [Accepted: 09/19/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Evidence linking temperature with adverse perinatal and pregnancy outcomes is emerging. We searched for literature published until 30 January 2023 in PubMed, Web of Science, and reference lists of articles focusing on the outcomes that were most studied like preterm birth, low birth weight, stillbirth, and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. A review of the literature reveals important gaps in knowledge and several methodological challenges. One important gap is the lack of knowledge of how core body temperature modulates under extreme ambient temperature exposure during pregnancy. We do not know the magnitude of non-modulation of body temperature during pregnancy that is clinically significant, i.e., when the body starts triggering physiologic counterbalances. Furthermore, few studies are conducted in places where extreme temperature conditions are more frequently encountered, such as in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Little is also known about specific cost-effective interventions that can be implemented in vulnerable communities to reduce adverse outcomes. As the threat of global warming looms large, effective interventions are critically necessary to mitigate its effects.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maitry Mehta
- Sawyer Business School, Suffolk University, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Rupa Basu
- California Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment, Oakland, CA, United States
| | - Rakesh Ghosh
- Sawyer Business School, Suffolk University, Boston, MA, United States
- Institute for Health and Aging, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
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Gordon M, Casey JA, McBrien H, Gemmill A, Hernández D, Catalano R, Chakrabarti S, Bruckner T. Disparities in preterm birth following the July 1995 Chicago heat wave. Ann Epidemiol 2023; 87:S1047-2797(23)00166-7. [PMID: 37678645 PMCID: PMC10842513 DOI: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2023.08.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2022] [Revised: 08/20/2023] [Accepted: 08/25/2023] [Indexed: 09/09/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE To evaluate if changes in preterm birth (PTB, <37 weeks of gestation) incidence differed between non-Hispanic (NH) Black and NH white births following the July 1995 Chicago heat wave-among the most severe U.S. heat waves since 1950. METHODS We used an ecologic study design. We obtained birth data from January 1990-December 1996 from the National Vital Statistics File to calculate the mean monthly PTB incidence in Chicago's Cook County, Illinois. Births between July 1995 and February 1996 were potentially exposed to the heat wave in utero. We generated time series models for NH Black and NH white births, which incorporated synthetic controls of Cook County based on unexposed counties. We ran a secondary analysis considering socioeconomic status (SES). RESULTS From 1990-1996, the mean monthly PTB incidence among NH Black births was 18.6% compared to 7.8% among NH white births. The mean monthly PTB incidence among NH Black births from August 1995-January 1996 was 16.7% higher than expected (three additional PTBs per 100 live births per month [95% confidence interval (CI): 1, 5]). A similar increase occurred among low-SES NH Black births. No increase appeared among NH white births. CONCLUSIONS Severe heat waves may increase racial disparities in PTB incidence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Milo Gordon
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY
| | - Joan A Casey
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY; Department of Environmental & Occupational Health Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | - Heather McBrien
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY
| | - Alison Gemmill
- Department of Population, Family, and Reproductive Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD
| | - Diana Hernández
- Sociomedical Sciences Department, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY
| | - Ralph Catalano
- School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley
| | | | - Tim Bruckner
- Program in Public Health, University of California, Irvine.
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Ruan T, Yue Y, Lu W, Zhou R, Xiong T, Jiang Y, Ying J, Tang J, Shi J, Wang H, Xiao G, Li J, Qu Y, Mu D. Association between low ambient temperature during pregnancy and adverse birth outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Chin Med J (Engl) 2023; 136:2307-2315. [PMID: 36805588 PMCID: PMC10538931 DOI: 10.1097/cm9.0000000000002361] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2022] [Indexed: 02/22/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Extreme temperature events, including extreme cold, are becoming more frequent worldwide, which might be harmful to pregnant women and cause adverse birth outcomes. We aimed to investigate the association between exposure to low ambient temperature in pregnant women and adverse birth outcomes, such as preterm birth, low birth weight, and stillbirth, and to summarize the evidence herein. METHODS Relevant studies were searched in PubMed, Cochrane, and Embase electronic databases until November 2021. Studies involving low ambient temperature, preterm birth, birth weight, and stillbirth were included. The guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses were followed to conduct this study risk of bias and methods for data synthesis. RESULTS A total of 34 studies were included. First, pregnant women exposed to low ambient temperature had an increased risk of preterm birth (risk ratio [RR] 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.13). Subgroup analyses revealed that exposure during late pregnancy was more likely to induce preterm birth. In addition, only pregnant women exposed to <1st percentile of the mean temperature suffered increased risk of preterm birth. Moreover, pregnant women living in medium or hot areas were more prone to have preterm births than those in cold areas when exposed to low ambient temperatures. Asians and Blacks were more susceptible to low ambient temperatures than Caucasians. Second, pregnant women exposed to low ambient temperature had an increased risk of low birth weight (RR 1.07; 95% CI 1.03-1.12). Third, pregnant women had an increased risk of stillbirth while exposed to low ambient temperature during the entire pregnancy (RR 4.63; 95% CI 3.99-5.38). CONCLUSIONS Exposure to low ambient temperature during pregnancy increases the risk of adverse birth outcomes. Pregnant women should avoid exposure to extremely low ambient temperature (<1st percentile of the mean temperature), especially in their late pregnancy. This study could provide clues for preventing adverse outcomes from meteorological factors. REGISTRATION No. CRD42021259776 at PROSPERO ( https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/ ).
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Affiliation(s)
- Tiechao Ruan
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Yan Yue
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Wenting Lu
- Department of General Practice, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Ruixi Zhou
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Tao Xiong
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Yin Jiang
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Junjie Ying
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Jun Tang
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Jing Shi
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Hua Wang
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Guoguang Xiao
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Jinhui Li
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Yi Qu
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Dezhi Mu
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics and Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
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Guo Y, Chen P, Xie Y, Wang Y, Mu Y, Zhou R, Niu Y, Shi X, Zhu J, Liang J, Liu Q. Association of Daytime-Only, Nighttime-Only, and Compound Heat Waves With Preterm Birth by Urban-Rural Area and Regional Socioeconomic Status in China. JAMA Netw Open 2023; 6:e2326987. [PMID: 37566422 PMCID: PMC10422195 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.26987] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/06/2023] [Accepted: 06/22/2023] [Indexed: 08/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Importance Associations between heat waves and preterm birth (PTB) have been reported. However, associations of daytime-only, nighttime-only, and compound heat waves with PTB have yet to be explored at a national level. Furthermore, possible heterogeneity across urban-rural communities with different socioeconomic statuses needs to be explored. Objective To examine the association between daytime-only, nighttime-only, and compound heat waves and PTB in China and to find variations between urban and rural regions. Design, Setting, and Participants This case-crossover study used nationwide representative birth data between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2019, from China's National Maternal Near Miss Surveillance System. This multisite study covered 30 provinces in China and ensured the representation of urban and rural populations across 3 socioeconomic regions. Singleton live births delivered in the warm seasons from April to October during the study period were included. Exclusion criteria consisted of gestational age younger than 20 or older than 45 weeks, maternal ages younger than 13 or older than 50 years, conception dates earlier than 20 weeks before January 1, 2012, and later than 45 weeks before December 31, 2019, and an inconsistent combination of birthweight and gestational age according to growth standard curves of Chinese newborns. Data were analyzed from September 10, 2021, to April 25, 2023. Exposures Eighteen definitions of heat waves by 3 distinct types, including daytime only (only daily maximum temperature exceeds thresholds), nighttime only (only daily minimum temperature exceeds thresholds), and compound (both daily maximum and minimum temperature exceeds thresholds) heat waves, and 6 indexes, including 75th percentile of daily temperature thresholds for 2 or more (75th-D2), 3 or more (75th-D3), or 4 or more (75th-D4) consecutive days and 90th percentile of daily temperature thresholds for 2 or more (90th-D2), 3 or more (90th-D3), and 4 or more (90th-D4) consecutive days. Main Outcomes and Measures Preterm births with less than 37 completed weeks of gestation. Results Among the 5 446 088 singleton births in the final analytic sample (maternal mean [SD] age, 28.8 [4.8] years), 310 384 were PTBs (maternal mean [SD] age, 29.5 [5.5] years). Compared with unexposed women, exposure of pregnant women to compound heat waves in the last week before delivery was associated with higher risk for PTB, with the adjusted odds ratios (AORs) ranging from 1.02 (95% CI, 1.00-1.03) to 1.04 (95% CI, 1.01-1.07) in 6 indexes. For daytime-only heat wave exposures, AORs ranged from 1.03 (95% CI, 1.01-1.05) to 1.04 (95% CI, 1.01-1.08) in the 75th-D4, 90th-D2, 90th-D3, and 90th-D4 indexes. Such associations varied by rural (AOR range, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.01-1.09] to 1.09 [95% CI, 1.04-1.14]) and urban (AOR range, 1.00 [95% CI, 0.98-1.02] to 1.01 [95% CI, 0.99-1.04]) regions during exposure to daytime-only heat waves in the 75th-D3 and 90th-D3 indexes. Conclusions and Relevance In this case-crossover study, exposure to compound and daytime-only heat waves in the last week before delivery were associated with PTB, particularly for pregnant women in rural regions exposed to daytime-only heat waves. These findings suggest that tailored urban-rural preventive measures may improve maternal health in the context of climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yafei Guo
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
- Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Peiran Chen
- National Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance of China, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Key Laboratory of Birth Defects and Related Diseases of Women and Children (Sichuan University), Ministry of Education, Chengdu, China
| | - Yanxia Xie
- National Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance of China, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Key Laboratory of Birth Defects and Related Diseases of Women and Children (Sichuan University), Ministry of Education, Chengdu, China
| | - Yanping Wang
- National Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance of China, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Key Laboratory of Birth Defects and Related Diseases of Women and Children (Sichuan University), Ministry of Education, Chengdu, China
| | - Yi Mu
- National Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance of China, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Key Laboratory of Birth Defects and Related Diseases of Women and Children (Sichuan University), Ministry of Education, Chengdu, China
| | - Ruobing Zhou
- Department of Health, Ethics and Society, Maastricht University, Maastricht, the Netherlands
| | - Yanlin Niu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
- Institute for Nutrition and Food Hygiene, Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaoming Shi
- Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Jun Zhu
- National Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance of China, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Key Laboratory of Birth Defects and Related Diseases of Women and Children (Sichuan University), Ministry of Education, Chengdu, China
| | - Juan Liang
- National Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance of China, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Key Laboratory of Birth Defects and Related Diseases of Women and Children (Sichuan University), Ministry of Education, Chengdu, China
| | - Qiyong Liu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
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Yüzen D, Graf I, Tallarek AC, Hollwitz B, Wiessner C, Schleussner E, Stammer D, Padula A, Hecher K, Arck PC, Diemert A. Increased late preterm birth risk and altered uterine blood flow upon exposure to heat stress. EBioMedicine 2023:104651. [PMID: 37355458 PMCID: PMC10363435 DOI: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104651] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2023] [Revised: 05/26/2023] [Accepted: 05/30/2023] [Indexed: 06/26/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Climate change, in particular the exposure to heat, impacts on human health and can trigger diseases. Pregnant people are considered a vulnerable group given the physiological changes during pregnancy and the potentially long-lasting consequences for the offspring. Evidence published to date on higher risk of pregnancy complications upon heat stress exposure are from geographical areas with high ambient temperatures. Studies from geographic regions with temperate climates are sparse; however, these areas are critical since individuals may be less equipped to adapt to heat stress. This study addresses a significant gap in knowledge due to the temperature increase documented globally. METHODS Birth data of singleton pregnancies (n = 42,905) from a tertiary care centre in Hamburg, Germany, between 1999 and 2021 were retrospectively obtained and matched with climate data from the warmer season (March to September) provided by the adjacent federal meteorological station of the German National Meteorological Service to calculate the relative risk of heat-associated preterm birth. Heat events were defined by ascending temperature percentiles in combination with humidity over exposure periods of up to 5 days. Further, ultrasound data documented in a longitudinal prospective pregnancy cohort study (n = 612) since 2012 were used to identify pathophysiological causes of heat-induced preterm birth. FINDINGS Both extreme heat and prolonged periods of heat exposure increased the relative risk of preterm birth (RR: 1.59; 95% CI: 1.01-2.43; p = 0.045; RR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.02-1.40; p = 0.025). We identified a critical period of heat exposure during gestational ages 34-37 weeks that resulted in increased risk of late preterm birth (RR: 1.67; 95% CI: 1.14-1.43; p = 0.009). Pregnancies with a female fetus were more prone to heat stress-associated preterm birth. We found heat exposure was associated with altered vascular resistance within the uterine artery. INTERPRETATION Heat stress caused by high ambient temperatures increases the risk of preterm birth in a geographical region with temperate climate. Prenatal routine care should be revised in such regions to provide active surveillance for women at risk. FUNDING Found in acknowledgements.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dennis Yüzen
- Department of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, Laboratory for Experimental Feto-Maternal Medicine, University Medical Centre of Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany; Institute of Immunology, University Medical Centre of Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
| | - Isabel Graf
- Department of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, Laboratory for Experimental Feto-Maternal Medicine, University Medical Centre of Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
| | - Ann-Christin Tallarek
- Department of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, University Medical Centre of Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
| | - Bettina Hollwitz
- Department of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, University Medical Centre of Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
| | - Christian Wiessner
- Institute of Medical Biometry and Epidemiology, University Medical Centre of Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
| | | | - Detlef Stammer
- Centre for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University Hamburg, Germany
| | - Amy Padula
- Division of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics, University of California, San Francisco, USA
| | - Kurt Hecher
- Department of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, University Medical Centre of Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
| | - Petra Clara Arck
- Department of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, Laboratory for Experimental Feto-Maternal Medicine, University Medical Centre of Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany.
| | - Anke Diemert
- Department of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, University Medical Centre of Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
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The burden of heatwave-related preterm births and associated human capital losses in China. Nat Commun 2022; 13:7565. [PMID: 36513644 PMCID: PMC9747907 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-35008-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2022] [Accepted: 11/15/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Frequent heatwaves under global warming can increase the risk of preterm birth (PTB), which in turn will affect physical health and human potential over the life course. However, what remains unknown is the extent to which anthropogenic climate change has contributed to such burdens. We combine health impact and economic assessment methods to comprehensively evaluate the entire heatwave-related PTB burden in dimensions of health, human capital and economic costs. Here, we show that during 2010-2020, an average of 13,262 (95%CI 6,962-18,802) PTBs occurred annually due to heatwave exposure in China. In simulated scenarios, 25.8% (95%CI 17.1%-34.5%) of heatwave-related PTBs per year on average can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change, which further result in substantial human capital losses, estimated at over $1 billion costs. Our findings will provide additional impetus for introducing more stringent climate mitigation policies and also call for more sufficient adaptations to reduce heatwave detriments to newborn.
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10
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Li B, Huang W, Chen P, Chen J, Biviano I, Wang Z. Effect of ambient temperature on daily hospital admissions for acute pancreatitis in Nanchang, China: A time-series analysis. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH 2022; 32:2260-2270. [PMID: 34260330 DOI: 10.1080/09603123.2021.1952166] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2021] [Accepted: 06/28/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
The aim of this study was to evaluate the short-term effect of temperature on the risk of acute pancreatitis (AP) in southern China. We performed a time-series study of 2822 patients admitted with a first episode of AP in Nanchang between May 2014 and June 2017. A generalized additive model combined with a distributed lag non-linear model was applied to assess the association of temperature and AP. In subgroup analysis, according to different etiologies of pancreatitis, significant associations were found between daily average temperature and non-biliary pancreatitis hospitalization at lags of 0-7 days, but not for biliary pancreatitis or total AP. Higher daily average temperature tended to increase the occurrence of non-biliary pancreatitis at lags of 0-7 days. These findings suggest that high temperature is associated with higher non-biliary pancreatitis risk in Nanchang, China. In the context of global warming, the morbidity of non-biliary pancreatitis may increase.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bozhen Li
- Jiangxi Ecological Meteorology Center, Jiangxi Meteorological Bureau, Nanchang, China
| | - Wenzhong Huang
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Pengguo Chen
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Jiangxi Provincial People's Hospital, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Jianyong Chen
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Jiangxi Provincial People's Hospital, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Ivano Biviano
- Gastroenterology and Operative Endoscopy Unit, Siena University Hospital, Siena, Italy
| | - Zhaohan Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Jiangxi Provincial People's Hospital, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
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11
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Ren M, Wang Q, Zhao W, Ren Z, Zhang H, Jalaludin B, Benmarhnia T, Di J, Hu H, Wang Y, Ji JS, Liang W, Huang C. Effects of extreme temperature on the risk of preterm birth in China: A population-based multi-center cohort study. THE LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH. WESTERN PACIFIC 2022; 24:100496. [PMID: 35899090 PMCID: PMC9310344 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2022.100496] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Extreme temperatures are associated with the risk of preterm birth (PTB), but evidence on the effects of different clinical subtypes and across different regions is limited. We aimed to evaluate the effects of maternal exposure to extreme temperature on PTB and its clinical subtypes in China, and to identify effect modification of regional factors in dimensions of population, economy, medical resources and environmental factors. METHODS This was a prospective population-based cohort of 210,798 singleton live births from 16 counties in eight provinces across China during 2014-2018. We used an extended Cox regression with time-varying variables to evaluate the effects of extreme heat and cold on PTB and its subtypes in the entire pregnancy, each trimester, the last gestational month and week. Meta-analysis and meta-regression were conducted to estimate the pooled effects of each city and effect modification by regional characteristics. FINDINGS Exposure to heat and cold during the entire pregnancy significantly increased the risk of PTB. The effects varied with subtypes, for medically indicated and spontaneous PTB, hazard ratios were 1·84 (95% CI: 1·29, 2·61) and 1·50 (95% CI: 1·11, 2·02) for heat, 2·18 (95% CI: 1·83, 2·60) and 2·15 (95% CI: 1·92, 2·41) for cold. The associations were stronger for PTB less than 35 weeks than those during weeks 35-36. The effects varied across locations, and GDP per capita (β=-0·16) and hospital beds per 1000 persons (β=-0·25) were protective factors for the effects. INTERPRETATION Extreme temperature can increase the risk of medically indicated and spontaneous PTB, and higher regional socio-economic status may moderate such effects. In the context of climate change, such findings may have important implications for protecting the health of vulnerable groups, especially newborns. FUNDING National Key R&D Program of China (2018YFA0606200), National Natural Science Foundation of China (42175183), Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDA20030302), National Natural Science Foundation of China (42071377).
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Affiliation(s)
- Meng Ren
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
- Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Service, Shanghai, China
- Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai, China
| | - Qiong Wang
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Wei Zhao
- National Center for Women and Children's Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Zhoupeng Ren
- State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Huanhuan Zhang
- School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Bin Jalaludin
- School of Population Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Tarik Benmarhnia
- Department of Family Medicine and Public Health & Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Jiangli Di
- National Center for Women and Children's Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Huanqing Hu
- National Center for Women and Children's Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Ying Wang
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - John S. Ji
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Wannian Liang
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute of Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Cunrui Huang
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute of Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
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12
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Syed S, O’Sullivan TL, Phillips KP. Extreme Heat and Pregnancy Outcomes: A Scoping Review of the Epidemiological Evidence. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:2412. [PMID: 35206601 PMCID: PMC8874707 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19042412] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2022] [Revised: 02/15/2022] [Accepted: 02/17/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Extreme heat caused by climate change is a major public health concern, disproportionately affecting poor and racialized communities. Gestational heat exposure is a well-established teratogen in animal studies, with a growing body of literature suggesting human pregnancies are similarly at risk. Characterization of extreme heat as a pregnancy risk is problematic due to nonstandard definitions of heat waves, and variable study designs. To better focus future research in this area, we conducted a scoping review to assess the effects of extreme heat on pregnancy outcomes. METHODS A scoping review of epidemiological studies investigating gestational heat-exposure and published 2010 and 2020, was conducted with an emphasis on study design, gestational windows of sensitivity, adverse pregnancy outcomes and characterization of environmental temperatures. RESULTS A sample of 84 studies was identified, predominantly set in high-income countries. Preterm birth, birthweight, congenital anomalies and stillbirth were the most common pregnancy outcome variables. Studies reported race/ethnicity and/or socioeconomic variables, however these were not always emphasized in the analysis. CONCLUSION Use of precise temperature data by most studies avoided pitfalls of imprecise, regional definitions of heat waves, however inconsistent study design, and exposure windows are a significant challenge to systematic evaluation of this literature. Despite the high risk of extreme heat events and limited mitigation strategies in the global south, there is a significant gap in the epidemiological literature from these regions. Greater consistency in study design and exposure windows would enhance the rigor of this field.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Karen P. Phillips
- Interdisciplinary School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON K1N 6N5, Canada; (S.S.); (T.L.O.)
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13
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Dalugoda Y, Kuppa J, Phung H, Rutherford S, Phung D. Effect of Elevated Ambient Temperature on Maternal, Foetal, and Neonatal Outcomes: A Scoping Review. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:ijerph19031771. [PMID: 35162797 PMCID: PMC8835067 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19031771] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/24/2021] [Revised: 02/02/2022] [Accepted: 02/02/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
This scoping review provides an overview of the published literature, identifies research gaps, and summarises the current evidence of the association between elevated ambient temperature exposure during pregnancy and adverse maternal, foetal, and neonatal outcomes. Following the PRISMA extension for scoping reviews reporting guidelines, a systematic search was conducted on CINAHL, PubMed, and Embase and included original articles published in the English language from 2015 to 2020 with no geographical limitations. A total of seventy-five studies were included, conducted across twenty-four countries, with a majority in the USA (n = 23) and China (n = 13). Study designs, temperature metrics, and exposure windows varied considerably across studies. Of the eighteen heat-associated adverse maternal, foetal, and neonatal outcomes identified, pre-term birth was the most common outcome (n = 30), followed by low birth weight (n = 11), stillbirth (n = 9), and gestational diabetes mellitus (n = 8). Overall, papers reported an increased risk with elevated temperature exposures. Less attention has been paid to relationships between heat and the diverse range of other adverse outcomes such as congenital anomalies and neonatal mortality. Further research on these less-reported outcomes is needed to improve understanding and the effect size of these relationships with elevated temperatures, which we know will be exacerbated by climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yohani Dalugoda
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, Australia; (J.K.); (H.P.); (S.R.)
- Correspondence:
| | - Jyothi Kuppa
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, Australia; (J.K.); (H.P.); (S.R.)
| | - Hai Phung
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, Australia; (J.K.); (H.P.); (S.R.)
| | - Shannon Rutherford
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, Australia; (J.K.); (H.P.); (S.R.)
| | - Dung Phung
- School of Public Health, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD 4006, Australia;
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14
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Khodadadi N, Dastoorpoor M, Khanjani N, Ghasemi A. Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) and adverse pregnancy outcomes in Ahvaz, Iran. Reprod Health 2022; 19:33. [PMID: 35109854 PMCID: PMC8811963 DOI: 10.1186/s12978-022-01344-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2020] [Accepted: 01/03/2022] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Climate change may jeopardize the health of mothers and their offspring. There are few studies on the association between increasing temperature and pregnancy outcomes. The aim of this study was to investigate the relation between Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) and adverse pregnancy outcomes including stillbirth, low birth weight (LBW), preterm labor (PTL), spontaneous abortion (SA), preeclampsia and hypertension in Ahvaz, Iran. Methods Distributed Lag Non-linear Models (DLNM) combined with quasi-Poisson regression were used to research the effect of UTCI on adverse pregnancy outcomes. The effect of time trend, air pollutants (NO2, SO2 and PM10), and weekdays were adjusted. Results The results showed that the low values of UTCI index (11.6 °C, in lags 0–6, 0–13) caused significant increase in the risk of preterm labor. However, hot thermal stress (high UTCI) significantly increased the risk of stillbirth in lag 0–13. We did not observe any significant relation between UTCI and other pregnancy outcomes in this study. Conclusions It seems like both hot and cold weathers can be associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. Scientists have found that climate change has adverse effects on human health. Because pregnant women are one of the most vulnerable groups, these negative impacts may affect their fetuses, which make up the next generation. In this study, we examined the effect of temperature on some pregnancy outcomes, including low birth weight, preterm labor, spontaneous abortion, preeclampsia and gestational hypertension in Ahvaz city, which is one of the hottest cities in the world. One way to assess temperature impact on humans is by using temperature indicators. In this study we used the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) for this purpose. The data at different time intervals were collected and evaluated with specific models. Our results showed that low values of UTCI, which is equivalent to cold weather, significantly increase the risk of preterm labor. But, high levels of UTCI, which means hot weather, significantly increase the risk of stillbirth. In conclusion; both hot and cold weather can be associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes in Ahvaz city. Therefore, pregnant women should protect themselves from exposure to hot and cold weather.
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Affiliation(s)
- Narges Khodadadi
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Menopause Andropause Research Center, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
| | - Maryam Dastoorpoor
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Menopause Andropause Research Center, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
| | - Narges Khanjani
- Environmental Health Engineering Research Center, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran
| | - Afsaneh Ghasemi
- Department of Public Health, School of Public Health, Fasa University of Medical Sciences, Fasa, Iran.
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15
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Yang D, Chen L, Yang Y, Shi J, Xu J, Li C, Wu Y, Ji X. Influence of ambient temperature and diurnal temperature variation on the premature rupture of membranes in East China: A distributed lag nonlinear time series analysis. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2021; 202:111145. [PMID: 33844967 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2021.111145] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2021] [Revised: 03/17/2021] [Accepted: 04/05/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Extreme ambient temperature has an adverse effect on pregnancy outcomes, but the conclusions have been inconsistent. The influence of ambient temperature and diurnal temperature variation on the premature rupture of membranes (PROM) needs further study. METHODS AND FINDINGS The daily data of PROMs, daily meteorological and air pollutant were obtained. After controlling for potential confounding factors, the quasi-Poisson generalized additive model (GAM) combined with the distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to analyze the association between temperature or diurnal temperature variation and PROM, including preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM) and term premature rupture of membranes (term PROM). Compared with the median temperature(18.7 °C), the mean temperature of 5-7 days lagging beyond 31.5 °C and below -1.5 °C was positively correlated with PROM; the mean temperature had more sensitive effect on the term PROM. Exposure to extremely high temperatures (97.5th percentile, 32 °C) had a 6-day lagging relative risk (RR) (95% CI: 1.005-1.160) of 1.08 for PROM and a 6-day lagging RR of 1.079 (95% CI: 1.005-1.159) for term PROM; Exposure to a high diurnal temperature variation (diurnal temperature variation greater than 16 °C) was positively correlated with the term PROM. Compared with the 2.5th percentile diurnal temperature variation (2 °C), exposure to the 95th percentile diurnal temperature variation (17 °C) significantly increased the risk of term PROM (RR: 1.229, 95% CI: 1.029-1.467). CONCLUSIONS Exposure to a high-temperature and a high diurnal temperature variation environment will increase the relative risks of PROM. For pregnant women in the 3rd trimester, it is important to reduce exposure to extremely high-temperatures and greater diurnal temperature changes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dongjian Yang
- International Peace Maternity and Child Health Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Embryo Original Diseases, Shanghai, China
| | - Lei Chen
- International Peace Maternity and Child Health Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Embryo Original Diseases, Shanghai, China
| | - Ya Yang
- Department of Infection control, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Jingjin Shi
- International Peace Maternity and Child Health Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Embryo Original Diseases, Shanghai, China
| | - Jingjing Xu
- International Peace Maternity and Child Health Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Embryo Original Diseases, Shanghai, China
| | - Cheng Li
- International Peace Maternity and Child Health Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Embryo Original Diseases, Shanghai, China
| | - Yanting Wu
- Institute of Reproduction and Development, Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Xinhua Ji
- International Peace Maternity and Child Health Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Embryo Original Diseases, Shanghai, China.
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16
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Dastoorpoor M, Khanjani N, Khodadadi N. Association between Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) with adverse pregnancy outcomes in Ahvaz, southwest of Iran. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2021; 21:415. [PMID: 34088277 PMCID: PMC8178880 DOI: 10.1186/s12884-021-03876-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2020] [Accepted: 05/13/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background There are few epidemiological studies on the relation between temperature changes and adverse pregnancy outcomes. The purpose of this study was to determine the relation between Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) with adverse pregnancy outcomes including stillbirth, low birth weight (LBW), preterm labor (PTL), spontaneous abortion (SA), preeclampsia and hypertension in Ahvaz, Iran. Methods Distributed Lag Non-linear Models (DLNM) combined with quasi-Poisson regression were used to investigate the effect of PET on adverse pregnancy outcomes. In this study the effect of time trend, air pollutants (NO2, SO2 and PM10), and weekdays were adjusted. Results High PET (45.4 C°, lag = 0) caused a significant increase in risk of stillbirth. Also, high levels of PET (45.4, 43.6, 42.5 C°, lag = 0–6) and low levels of PET (9.9, 16.9 C°, lags = 0, 0–13, 0–21) significantly increased the risk of LBW. But, low levels of PET (6.4, 9.9, 16.9 C°, lags = 0–6, 0–13) reduced the risk of gestational hypertension. Conclusion The results of this study showed that hot and cold thermal stress may be associated with increased risk of stillbirth, and LBW in Ahvaz.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maryam Dastoorpoor
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Menopause Andropause Research Center, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
| | - Narges Khanjani
- Environmental Health Engineering Research Center, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran
| | - Narges Khodadadi
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Menopause Andropause Research Center, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran.
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17
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Mohammadi D, Zare Zadeh M, Zare Sakhvidi MJ. Short-term exposure to extreme temperature and risk of hospital admission due to cardiovascular diseases. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH 2021; 31:344-354. [PMID: 33615930 DOI: 10.1080/09603123.2019.1663496] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2019] [Accepted: 08/26/2019] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Objective: Numerous epidemiological studies have reported relevance of morbidity and mortality from cardiovascular diseases with short-term exposure to environmental temperature. In this study, we examined the hypothesis between temperature indices and hospital admission because of cardiovascular diseases. Methods: The daily number of CVDs was obtained from all hospitals of the Sabzevar city. A semi-parametric generalized additive model (GAM) following a quasi-Poisson distribution with distributed lag non-linear model (dlnm) was selected as a modeling framework for time-series analysis. Results: The overall CVD risk comparing the 1st percentile and the 99th percentile relative to the mean temperature (at lag 0) was 1.33 (95% CI, 1.11: 1.61), and 1.34 (95% CI, 1.10: 1.64), respectively. For all indicators, the extremely cold effects persisted for the initial 7 days. Conclusions: Our results suggest that extremely cold and extremely hot temperatures increase the relative risk of cardiovascular diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Danial Mohammadi
- Occupational Health Research Center, School of Public Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences , Yazd, Iran
- Department of Occupational Health, School of Public Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences , Yazd, Iran
| | - Mohammad Zare Zadeh
- Department of Health Care Management, School of Public Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences , Yazd, Iran
| | - Mohammad Javad Zare Sakhvidi
- Occupational Health Research Center, School of Public Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences , Yazd, Iran
- Department of Occupational Health, School of Public Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences , Yazd, Iran
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18
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Cheng P, Peng L, Hao J, Li S, Zhang C, Dou L, Fu W, Yang F, Hao J. Short-term effects of ambient temperature on preterm birth: a time-series analysis in Xuzhou, China. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2021; 28:12406-12413. [PMID: 33078353 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-020-11201-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2020] [Accepted: 10/09/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
To date, research evidence suggests that extreme ambient temperatures may lead to preterm birth. Since the results of studies in subtropical humid monsoon climate are inconclusive, we investigated the association between extreme ambient temperatures and the risk of preterm birth in Xuzhou, China. We analyzed the association between the birth data of 103,876 singleton deliveries (from July 1, 2016 to June 30, 2019) and ambient temperature. We used a quasi-Poisson model with distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) to investigate the delay and nonlinear effects of temperature, taking into account the effects of air pollutants and relative humidity. During the study period, the number of hospitalizations for preterm birth was 4623. Taking the median temperature (16.8 °C) as a reference, the highest risk estimate at extreme cold temperature (- 2.8 °C, 1st percentile) was found at lag 0-1 days. Exposure to extreme cold (- 2.8 °C, 1st percentile), or moderate cold (6.8 °C, 25th percentile) were associated with 1.659 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.177-2.338) and 1.456 (95% CI 1.183-1.790) increased risks of preterm birth, respectively. In the further stratified analysis of the age of pregnant women, we found that there were significant associations between cold temperatures and preterm birth in both groups (older group ≥ 35; younger group < 35). In a subtropical humid monsoon climate, low ambient temperatures may lead to preterm birth, suggesting that women should stay away from low temperatures during pregnancy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peng Cheng
- Department of Maternal Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Lei Peng
- Xuzhou Maternal and Child Health Family Planning Service Center, 46 Heping Road, Xuzhou, 221000, Jiangsu, China
| | - Jingwen Hao
- Department of Maternal Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Sha Li
- Department of Maternal Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Chao Zhang
- Department of Maternal Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Lianjie Dou
- Department of Maternal Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Weinan Fu
- Department of Maternal Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Fan Yang
- Department of Maternal Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Jiahu Hao
- Department of Maternal Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China.
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19
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The Combined Effects of Fine Particulate Matter and Temperature on Preterm Birth in Seoul, 2010-2016. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph18041463. [PMID: 33557331 PMCID: PMC7914592 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18041463] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2020] [Revised: 01/22/2021] [Accepted: 01/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Background: Preterm birth contributes to the morbidity and mortality of newborns and infants. Recent studies have shown that maternal exposure to particulate matter and extreme temperatures results in immune dysfunction, which can induce preterm birth. This study aimed to evaluate the association between fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure, temperature, and preterm birth in Seoul, Republic of Korea. Methods: We used 2010–2016 birth data from Seoul, obtained from the Korea National Statistical Office Microdata. PM2.5 concentration data from Seoul were generated through the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model. Seoul temperature data were collected from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). The exposure period of PM2.5 and temperature were divided into the first (TR1), second (TR2), and third (TR3) trimesters of pregnancy. The mean PM2.5 concentration was used in units of ×10 µg/m3 and the mean temperature was divided into four categories based on quartiles. Logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between PM2.5 exposure and preterm birth, as well as the combined effects of PM2.5 exposure and temperature on preterm birth. Result: In a model that includes three trimesters of PM2.5 and temperature data as exposures, which assumes an interaction between PM2.5 and temperature in each trimester, the risk of preterm birth was positively associated with TR1 PM2.5 exposure among pregnant women exposed to relatively low mean temperatures (<3.4 °C) during TR1 (OR 1.134, 95% CI 1.061–1.213, p < 0.001). Conclusions: When we assumed the interaction between PM2.5 exposure and temperature exposure, PM2.5 exposure during TR1 increased the risk of preterm birth among pregnant women exposed to low temperatures during TR1. Pregnant women should be aware of the risk associated with combined exposure to particulate matter and low temperatures during TR1 to prevent preterm birth.
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Kwag Y, Kim MH, Oh J, Shah S, Ye S, Ha EH. Effect of heat waves and fine particulate matter on preterm births in Korea from 2010 to 2016. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2021; 147:106239. [PMID: 33341584 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2020.106239] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/29/2020] [Revised: 10/21/2020] [Accepted: 10/21/2020] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Previous studies have reported that fine particulate matter (PM2.5) affects the incidence of premature births. In addition, recent studies have suggested that heat waves have a negative impact on birth outcomes. However, the combined effect of PM2.5 and heat waves on the incidence of premature birth is controversial. This study investigated the independent and combined effects of PM2.5 and heat wave exposures during the 1st and 2nd trimesters on premature birth. METHODS The National Statistical Office of Korea provided birth data from 2010 to 2016. Preterm birth was defined as birth between 22 and 36 weeks. To assess the exposure to PM2.5 and heat waves, we used PM2.5 data estimated by the Community Multiscale Air Quality Modeling System (CMAQ) and heat wave warning data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. A multivariate logistic regression was used to investigate the risk of preterm birth according to the exposure to PM2.5 and heat waves during the 1st and 2nd trimesters, and it was adjusted for residential area, year of birth, season of birth, parity, education level of the mother, age of the mother, and sex of the baby. RESULTS In the 2nd trimester, compared with the 0 h of heat wave exposure (≤67 percentile), 62.50-314.00 h (79-88 percentile) and>315.00 h of heat wave exposure (>88 percentile) were both significantly associated with preterm birth (OR for 79-88 percentile, 1.037, 95% CI, 1.003-1.073; OR for > 88 percentile, 1.174, 95% CI, 1.134-1.215). However, PM2.5 exposure was not significantly associated with preterm birth. On the other hand, in the analysis to evaluate the combined effect of PM2.5 and heat wave exposures of the 2nd trimester, compared with 0 h of heat wave exposure (≤67 percentile) and<11.64 μg/m3 (≤25 percentile) of PM2.5, 11.64-22.74 μg/m3 (≤25 percentile), 22.74-27.58 μg/m3 (26-50 percentile), and 27.57-32.39 μg/m3 (51-75 percentile) of PM2.5 exposure combined with>315.00 h of heat wave exposure (>88 percentile) were all significantly associated with preterm birth. In addition, the effect size was increased with an increase of PM2.5 exposure (OR for ≤ 25 percentile, 1.148, 95% CI, 1.095-1.203; OR for 26-50 percentile, 1.248, 95% CI, 1.178-1.323; OR for 51-75 percentile, 1.370, 95% CI, 1.245-1.507). CONCLUSION Our findings suggest that the combined effect of heat wave and PM2.5 exposure during the 2nd trimester on the risk of preterm birth was greater than that of each exposure alone. In other words, exposure to PM2.5 increases the impact of heat waves on the risk of preterm birth. These results indicate that control of prenatal exposure to fine particular matter and extreme temperatures is important for the prevention of preterm birth.
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Affiliation(s)
- Youngrin Kwag
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, School of Medicine, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Min-Ho Kim
- Ewha University-Industry Collaboration Foundation Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jongmin Oh
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, School of Medicine, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Surabhi Shah
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, School of Medicine, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Shinhee Ye
- Occupational Safety and Health Research Institute, Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency, Incheon, Republic of Korea.
| | - Eun-Hee Ha
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, School of Medicine, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
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Zhou G, Yang M, Chai J, Sun R, Zhang J, Huang H, Zhang Y, Deng Q, Jiang L, Ba Y. Preconception ambient temperature and preterm birth: a time-series study in rural Henan, China. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2021; 28:9407-9416. [PMID: 33145731 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-020-11457-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2020] [Accepted: 10/27/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Changes in the preconception ambient temperature (PAT) can affect the gametogenesis, disturbing the development of the embryo, but the health risks of PAT on the developing fetus are still unclear. Here, based on the National Free Preconception Health Examination Project in the rural areas of Henan Province, we evaluate the effects of PAT on preterm birth (PTB). Data of 1,231,715 records from self-reported interviews, preconception physical examination, early gestation follow-up, and postpartum follow-up were collected from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2016. Generalized additive models were used to assess the cumulative and lag effects of PAT upon PTB. The significant cumulative effects of mean temperature within 2 weeks and 3 weeks on the risk of PTB, especially upon late PTB (34-36 weeks) (P < 0.05), were observed. Exposure to extreme heat (> 90th percentile) within 2 weeks (RR = 1.470) and 3 weeks (RR = 1.375) before conception could increase the risk of PTB. After stratifying PTB, exposure to extreme heat within 2 weeks before conception can increase the risks of early (< 34 weeks) and late PTB (P < 0.05). Besides, exposure to extreme cold (< 10th percentile) within 3 weeks or longer before conception can elevate the risk of PTB, especially late PTB. The significant lag effects of temperature changes on the risk of early PTB (lag-8 days or earlier) were observed. In conclusion, the risk of PTB was susceptible to PAT changes within 2 weeks or longer before conception. Our findings provide (i) guidance for rural couples to make pregnancy plans and (ii) scientific evidence for the government to formulate policies to prevent PTB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guoyu Zhou
- Department of Environmental Health & Environment and Health Innovation Team, School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, People's Republic of China
- Yellow River Institute for Ecological Protection & Regional Coordinated Development, School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Meng Yang
- Department of Environmental Health & Environment and Health Innovation Team, School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Jian Chai
- National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Birth Defects Prevention, Zhengzhou, 450002, Henan, People's Republic of China
- Key Laboratory of Population Defects Prevention, Henan Provincial Research, Zhengzhou, 450002, Henan, People's Republic of China
- Henan Institute of Reproduction Health Science and Technology, Zhengzhou, 450002, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Renjie Sun
- Department of Environmental Health & Environment and Health Innovation Team, School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Junxi Zhang
- National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Birth Defects Prevention, Zhengzhou, 450002, Henan, People's Republic of China
- Key Laboratory of Population Defects Prevention, Henan Provincial Research, Zhengzhou, 450002, Henan, People's Republic of China
- Henan Institute of Reproduction Health Science and Technology, Zhengzhou, 450002, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Hui Huang
- Department of Environmental Health & Environment and Health Innovation Team, School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Yawei Zhang
- Department of Environment Health Science, Yale University School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Qihong Deng
- Department of Environmental Health & Environment and Health Innovation Team, School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, People's Republic of China
- School of Energy Science and Engineering, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, 410083, Hunan, People's Republic of China
| | - Lifang Jiang
- National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Birth Defects Prevention, Zhengzhou, 450002, Henan, People's Republic of China.
- Key Laboratory of Population Defects Prevention, Henan Provincial Research, Zhengzhou, 450002, Henan, People's Republic of China.
- Henan Institute of Reproduction Health Science and Technology, Zhengzhou, 450002, Henan, People's Republic of China.
| | - Yue Ba
- Department of Environmental Health & Environment and Health Innovation Team, School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, People's Republic of China.
- Yellow River Institute for Ecological Protection & Regional Coordinated Development, School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, People's Republic of China.
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Ranjbaran M, Mohammadi R, Yaseri M, Kamari M, Yazdani K. Ambient temperature and air pollution, and the risk of preterm birth in Tehran, Iran: a time series study. J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med 2020; 35:726-737. [PMID: 32160820 DOI: 10.1080/14767058.2020.1731458] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Abstract
Objective: The aim of the present study was to determine the relationship between temperature and air pollution, and preterm birth in Tehran, Iran.Methods: In this time series study, the daily data of preterm births, air pollution, and maximum, minimum and mean temperature from March 2015 to March 2018 were used. To evaluate the effect of air pollution and temperature with and without adjustment of their mutual effects on preterm birth in lags (days) 0-21, the Distributed Lag Non-linear Models (DLNM) was used. The relative risk (RR) was estimated for extreme, moderate and mild heat (99th, 95th, 75th percentile) and cold (1st, 5th, 25th percentile) compared with the median, and for each 10-unit increase in PM2.5, NO2, and O3, 5-unit increase in SO2, and 1-unit increase in CO.Results: The highest RR was seen in extreme (26.9 °C) and moderate (24.8 °C) heat of minimum temperature on lag 0 (RR = 1.17; 1.05-1.31, Adjusted RR = 1.16; 1.04-1.29, RR = 1.15; 1.05-1.26, Adjusted RR = 1.14; 1.03-1.25, respectively). In regard of cold, the only significant effect was for maximum temperature on lags 7-9 (RR = 1.02; 1.00-1.04). Each 10-unit increase in PM2.5 in Lag 0 (RR = 1.008; 1.001-1.014) and lag 1 (RR = 1.004; 1.001-1.007) and in NO2 in lag 0 (RR = 1.006; 1.000-1.012) had significant effects.Conclusion: Maternal exposure to a minimum daily temperature of 26.9 and 24.8 °C compared to 13.2 °C increased the risk of preterm birth by 17 and 15% on the same day, respectively. This risk increased by 0.8 and 0.6%, on the same day for each 10-unit increase in PM2.5 and NO2, respectively.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mehdi Ranjbaran
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Rasool Mohammadi
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health and Nutrition, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran
| | - Mehdi Yaseri
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mehdi Kamari
- Deputy of Health, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Kamran Yazdani
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
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Liu X, Xiao J, Sun X, Chen Q, Yao Z, Feng B, Cao G, Guo L, He G, Hu J, Zeng W, Rong Z, Wang Q, Zhang B, Dong M, Wang J, Chen D, Ma W, Liu T. Associations of maternal ambient temperature exposures during pregnancy with the risk of preterm birth and the effect modification of birth order during the new baby boom: A birth cohort study in Guangzhou, China. Int J Hyg Environ Health 2020; 225:113481. [PMID: 32058935 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijheh.2020.113481] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2019] [Revised: 01/28/2020] [Accepted: 02/03/2020] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Abstract
Maternal exposures to ambient temperatures during pregnancy may increase the preterm birth (PTB) risk; however, which periods have stronger effects remain controversial. The effects of temperature exposure on PTB in first- and second-born neonate groups may be different during the new baby boom that has followed the Two-child Policy in China. We examined a birth cohort of 4928 pregnant women beginning in 2016 in Guangzhou, China. An inverse distance weighted method was used to estimate the temperature exposure at each individual residential address. A distribution lag non-linear model incorporating a Cox proportional hazard model was employed to estimate the effects of temperature exposure on PTB and test the effects modification of birth order related to the new baby boom. A total of 4101 pregnant women were included, of which 234 (5.7%) experienced PTB. Compared with the mean temperature (23.0 °C), we found a significantly higher risks of PTB associated with high temperatures (i.e, 30 °C [95th centile]) from the 4th to 8th, and 22nd to 27th gestational weeks. A peak effect was found during the 6th week (HR = 1.79, 95% CI: 1.26, 2.54) and 24th week (HR = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.27, 2.62). The risks of PTB were reduced for low temperatures (i.e. 14 °C [5th centile] versus 23.0 °C) from the 2nd to 10th and 20th to 26th gestational weeks, and the negative peak effect was found during the 4th week (HR = 0.43, 95% CI: 0.26, 0.72) and 23rd week (HR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.43, 0.83). Stratification analyses showed that significant effects of 30 °C versus 23 °C on PTB were observed during the 4th to 8th weeks in the second-born neonate, and the peak effect was found in the 6th week (HR = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.31, 3.47). However, we did not find significant effects of 30 °C during the same weeks in the first-born neonate group. Maternal exposures to higher temperatures during pregnancy may increase the risk of PTB, and lower temperatures may decrease the risk of PTB. Stronger effects of temperature exposures during the first trimester on PTB risk were found among the second-born neonates than among the first-born neonates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xin Liu
- School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, 510080, China; Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Jianpeng Xiao
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Xiaoli Sun
- Gynecology Department, Guangdong Women and Children Hospital, Guangzhou, 511442, China
| | - Qingsong Chen
- School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, 510080, China
| | - Zhenjiang Yao
- School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, 510080, China
| | - Baixiang Feng
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Ganxiang Cao
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Lingchuan Guo
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Guanhao He
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Jianxiong Hu
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Weilin Zeng
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Zuhua Rong
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Qiong Wang
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China
| | - Bo Zhang
- Food Safety and Health Research Center, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China; Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China
| | - Moran Dong
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Jiaqi Wang
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Dengzhou Chen
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Wenjun Ma
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Tao Liu
- School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, 510080, China; Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.
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Meng Q, Liu X, Xie J, Xiao D, Wang Y, Deng D. Epidemiological characteristics of bacillary dysentery from 2009 to 2016 and its incidence prediction model based on meteorological factors. Environ Health Prev Med 2019; 24:82. [PMID: 31883513 PMCID: PMC6935186 DOI: 10.1186/s12199-019-0829-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2019] [Accepted: 11/12/2019] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background This study aimed to analyse the epidemiological characteristics of bacillary dysentery (BD) caused by Shigella in Chongqing, China, and to establish incidence prediction models based on the correlation between meteorological factors and BD, thus providing a scientific basis for the prevention and control of BD. Methods In this study, descriptive methods were employed to investigate the epidemiological distribution of BD. The Boruta algorithm was used to estimate the correlation between meteorological factors and BD incidence. The genetic algorithm (GA) combined with support vector regression (SVR) was used to establish the prediction models for BD incidence. Results In total, 68,855 cases of BD were included. The incidence declined from 36.312/100,000 to 23.613/100,000, with an obvious seasonal peak from May to October. Males were more predisposed to the infection than females (the ratio was 1.118:1). Children < 5 years old comprised the highest incidence (295.892/100,000) among all age categories, and pre-education children comprised the highest proportion (34,658 cases, 50.335%) among all occupational categories. Eight important meteorological factors, including the highest temperature, average temperature, average air pressure, precipitation and sunshine, were correlated with the monthly incidence of BD. The obtained mean absolute percent error (MAPE), mean squared error (MSE) and squared correlation coefficient (R2) of GA_SVR_MONTH values were 0.087, 0.101 and 0.922, respectively. Conclusion From 2009 to 2016, BD incidence in Chongqing was still high, especially in the main urban areas and among the male and pre-education children populations. Eight meteorological factors, including temperature, air pressure, precipitation and sunshine, were the most important correlative feature sets of BD incidence. Moreover, BD incidence prediction models based on meteorological factors had better prediction accuracies. The findings in this study could provide a panorama of BD in Chongqing and offer a useful approach for predicting the incidence of infectious disease. Furthermore, this information could be used to improve current interventions and public health planning.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiuyu Meng
- School of Public Health and Management, Research Center for Medicine and Social Development, Innovation Center for Social Risk Governance in Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400016, China
| | - Xun Liu
- Department of Healthcare-associated Infection Control, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Military Medical University, Chongqing, 400037, China
| | - Jiajia Xie
- School of Public Health and Management, Research Center for Medicine and Social Development, Innovation Center for Social Risk Governance in Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400016, China
| | - Dayong Xiao
- Institute for Prevention and Control of Endemic and Parasitic Diseases, Chongqing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chongqing, 400042, China
| | - Yi Wang
- School of Public Health and Management, Research Center for Medicine and Social Development, Innovation Center for Social Risk Governance in Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400016, China
| | - Dan Deng
- School of Public Health and Management, Research Center for Medicine and Social Development, Innovation Center for Social Risk Governance in Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400016, China.
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Song J, Lu J, Wang E, Lu M, An Z, Liu Y, Zeng X, Li W, Li H, Xu D, Yao S, Wu W. Short-term effects of ambient temperature on the risk of premature rupture of membranes in Xinxiang, China: A time-series analysis. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2019; 689:1329-1335. [PMID: 31466169 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.06.457] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2019] [Revised: 06/24/2019] [Accepted: 06/27/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Studies on the effects of extreme ambient temperature on the risk of adverse birth outcomes are limited, and the results are inconsistent. In this study, we evaluated the short-term effects of daily mean temperature on the risk of premature rupture of membranes (PROM) in Xinxiang, China. METHODS Daily hospitalization data for PROM, daily meteorological data, and ambient pollution data in Xinxiang from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2017 were collected. A quasi-Poisson generalized additive model (GAM) combined with a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was applied to assess the short-term impact of temperature on PROM. The model was adjusted for relative humidity, air pollution, time trend, day of the week, and public holidays. RESULTS The number of daily hospitalizations for PROM during the study period was 3255. With a reference median temperature of 17 °C, there were significant associations between the temperature deviation from the threshold temperature (2 °C, 12th percentile; 29 °C, 91st percentile) and PROM hospitalization at lag 0-2 days. Exposure to extreme cold (-2 °C, 1st percentile) or extreme heat (32 °C, 99th percentile) were associated with 0.528 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.278-0.986) and 2.161 (95% CI: 1.240-3.764) increased risks of PROM, respectively. Younger mothers with age <35 years were more sensitive to the impact of extreme temperature. CONCLUSIONS These findings suggest that heat temperature is associated with higher PROM risk, while cold temperature might be a protective factor against PROM in Xinxiang, China. Given the adverse consequences of PROM and concerns over global climate change, pregnant women should take special precautions in summer when there are sudden increases in temperature.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Song
- School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang 453003, China; Henan International Collaborative Laboratory for Air Pollution Health Effects and Intervention, Xinxiang 453003, China.
| | - Jianguo Lu
- The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang 453100, China
| | - Erhui Wang
- School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang 453003, China
| | - Mengxue Lu
- Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang 453003, China
| | - Zhen An
- School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang 453003, China; Henan International Collaborative Laboratory for Air Pollution Health Effects and Intervention, Xinxiang 453003, China
| | - Yue Liu
- National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China
| | - Xiang Zeng
- School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang 453003, China; Henan International Collaborative Laboratory for Air Pollution Health Effects and Intervention, Xinxiang 453003, China
| | - Wen Li
- School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang 453003, China; Henan International Collaborative Laboratory for Air Pollution Health Effects and Intervention, Xinxiang 453003, China
| | - Huijun Li
- School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang 453003, China; Henan International Collaborative Laboratory for Air Pollution Health Effects and Intervention, Xinxiang 453003, China
| | - Dongqun Xu
- National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China
| | - Sanqiao Yao
- School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang 453003, China; Henan International Collaborative Laboratory for Air Pollution Health Effects and Intervention, Xinxiang 453003, China
| | - Weidong Wu
- School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang 453003, China; Henan International Collaborative Laboratory for Air Pollution Health Effects and Intervention, Xinxiang 453003, China
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