Rule-based meta-analysis reveals the major role of PB2 in influencing influenza A virus virulence in mice

Machine learning approaches for influenza A virus risk assessment identifies predictive correlates using ferret model in vivo data

In vivo assessments of influenza A virus (IAV) pathogenicity and transmissibility in ferrets represent a crucial component of many pandemic risk assessment rubrics, but few systematic efforts to identify which data from in vivo experimentation are most useful for predicting pathogenesis and transmission outcomes have been conducted. To this aim, we aggregated viral and molecular data from 125 contemporary IAV (H1, H2, H3, H5, H7, and H9 subtypes) evaluated in ferrets under a consistent protocol. Three overarching predictive classification outcomes (lethality, morbidity, transmissibility) were constructed using machine learning (ML) techniques, employing datasets emphasizing virological and clinical parameters from inoculated ferrets, limited to viral sequence-based information, or combining both data types. Among 11 different ML algorithms tested and assessed, gradient boosting machines and random forest algorithms yielded the highest performance, with models for lethality and transmission consistently better performing than models predicting morbidity. Comparisons of feature selection among models was performed, and highest performing models were validated with results from external risk assessment studies. Our findings show that ML algorithms can be used to summarize complex in vivo experimental work into succinct summaries that inform and enhance risk assessment criteria for pandemic preparedness that take in vivo data into account.

Virulence network of interacting domains of influenza a and mouse proteins

There exist several databases that provide virus-host protein interactions. While most provide curated records of interacting virus-host protein pairs, information on the strain-specific virulence factors or protein domains involved, is lacking. Some databases offer incomplete coverage of influenza strains because of the need to sift through vast amounts of literature (including those of major viruses including HIV and Dengue, besides others). None have offered complete, strain specific protein-protein interaction records for the influenza A group of viruses. In this paper, we present a comprehensive network of predicted domain-domain interaction(s) (DDI) between influenza A virus (IAV) and mouse host proteins, that will allow the systematic study of disease factors by taking the virulence information (lethal dose) into account. From a previously published dataset of lethal dose studies of IAV infection in mice, we constructed an interacting domain network of mouse and viral protein domains as nodes with weighted edges. The edges were scored with the Domain Interaction Statistical Potential (DISPOT) to indicate putative DDI. The virulence network can be easily navigated via a web browser, with the associated virulence information (LD50 values) prominently displayed. The network will aid influenza A disease modeling by providing strain-specific virulence levels with interacting protein domains. It can possibly contribute to computational methods for uncovering influenza infection mechanisms mediated through protein domain interactions between viral and host proteins. It is available at https://iav-ppi.onrender.com/home.

Influenza virus genotype to phenotype predictions through machine learning: a systematic review

Background: There is great interest in understanding the viral genomic predictors of phenotypic traits that allow influenza A viruses to adapt to or become more virulent in different hosts. Machine learning techniques have demonstrated promise in addressing this critical need for other pathogens because the underlying algorithms are especially well equipped to uncover complex patterns in large datasets and produce generalizable predictions for new data. As the body of research where these techniques are applied for influenza A virus phenotype prediction continues to grow, it is useful to consider the strengths and weaknesses of these approaches to understand what has prevented these models from seeing widespread use by surveillance laboratories and to identify gaps that are underexplored with this technology. Methods and Results: We present a systematic review of English literature published through 15 April 2021 of studies employing machine learning methods to generate predictions of influenza A virus phenotypes from genomic or proteomic input. Forty-nine studies were included in this review, spanning the topics of host discrimination, human adaptability, subtype and clade assignment, pandemic lineage assignment, characteristics of infection, and antiviral drug resistance. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that biases in model design and a dearth of wet laboratory follow-up may explain why these models often go underused. We, therefore, offer guidance to overcome these limitations, aid in improving predictive models of previously studied influenza A virus phenotypes, and extend those models to unexplored phenotypes in the ultimate pursuit of tools to enable the characterization of virus isolates across surveillance laboratories.

VirPreNet: a weighted ensemble convolutional neural network for the virulence prediction of influenza A virus using all eight segments

MOTIVATION

Influenza viruses are persistently threatening public health, causing annual epidemics and sporadic pandemics. The evolution of influenza viruses remains to be the main obstacle in the effectiveness of antiviral treatments due to rapid mutations. Previous work has been investigated to reveal the determinants of virulence of the influenza A virus. To further facilitate flu surveillance, explicit detection of influenza virulence is crucial to protect public health from potential future pandemics.

RESULTS

In this article, we propose a weighted ensemble convolutional neural network (CNN) for the virulence prediction of influenza A viruses named VirPreNet that uses all eight segments. Firstly, mouse lethal dose 50 is exerted to label the virulence of infections into two classes, namely avirulent and virulent. A numerical representation of amino acids named ProtVec is applied to the eight-segments in a distributed manner to encode the biological sequences. After splittings and embeddings of influenza strains, the ensemble CNN is constructed as the base model on the influenza dataset of each segment, which serves as the VirPreNet's main part. Followed by a linear layer, the initial predictive outcomes are integrated and assigned with different weights for the final prediction. The experimental results on the collected influenza dataset indicate that VirPreNet achieves state-of-the-art performance combining ProtVec with our proposed architecture. It outperforms baseline methods on the independent testing data. Moreover, our proposed model reveals the importance of PB2 and HA segments on the virulence prediction. We believe that our model may provide new insights into the investigation of influenza virulence.

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

Codes and data to generate the VirPreNet are publicly available at https://github.com/Rayin-saber/VirPreNet.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.