Delay in sputum smear conversion and outcomes of smear-positive tuberculosis patients: a retrospective cohort study in Bafoussam, Cameroon

Delays to treatment initiation and emergence of drug resistance among new adult tuberculosis patients in Tigray, Northern Ethiopia

Introduction. Studies in Ethiopia have indicated that tuberculosis (TB) patient's elapsed a long time before initiating treatment.Gap Statement. However, there is very limited evidence on the association of treatment initiation delay with drug resistance.Research Aim. To investigate the association of delayed treatment initiation with drug resistance among newly diagnosed TB patients in Tigray, Ethiopia.Methods. We conducted a follow-up study from October 2018 to June 2020 by recruiting 875 pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) patients from 21 randomly selected health facilities. Delays to initiate treatment and drug resistance were collected using a standardized questionnaire and standard laboratory investigation. The association of delay to initiate treatment with acquired drug resistance was modelled using penalized maximum-likelihood (PML) regression models. Data were analysed using stata software version 15. Statistical significance was reported whenever the P-value was less than 0.05.Result. The median total delay to treatment initiation was 62 days with an inter-quartile range of 16-221 days. A unit change in time to initiate treatment reduced the risk of acquired drug resistance by 3 %. Being smear-positive at the end of treatment and after 2 months of treatment initiation were significantly associated with a higher risk of acquired drug resistance. Whereas, having a mild clinical condition was associated with a lower risk of drug resistance.Conclusion. Time to treatment initiation delay is associated with an increased risk of the emergence of drug resistance. Efforts targeted towards reducing the negative effects of PTB should focus on reducing the length of delay to initiate treatment.

Prevalence and factors associated with sputum smear non-conversion after two months of tuberculosis treatment among smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis patients in Rwanda: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Non-conversion of sputum smear prolongs the infectivity of pulmonary tuberculosis patients and has been associated with unfavorable tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes. Nevertheless, there is a limited evidence on predictors of sputum smear non-conversion among smear-positive PTB (SPPTB) patients in Rwanda. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the factors associated with sputum smear non-conversion after two months of treatment among SPPTB patients in Rwanda.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted among SPPTB patients registered in the national electronic TB reporting system by all health facilities countrywide (Rwanda) from July 2019 to June 2021. Eligible patients who had completed the first two months of anti-TB treatment and with smear results at the end of the second month of treatment were included in the study. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were done using STATA version 16 to determine the factors associated with sputum smear non-conversion. Adjusted odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence interval (CI), and p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

This study included 7,211 patients. Of them, 632 (9%) patients had sputum smear non-conversion at the end of the second month of treatment. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, age groups of 20-39 years (AOR = 1.7, 95% CI: 1.0-2.8) and 40-59 years (AOR:2, 95% CI: 1.1-3.3), history of first-line TB treatment failure (AOR = 2, 95% CI: 1.1-3.6), follow-up by community health workers(CHWs) (AOR = 1.2, 95% CI: 1.0-1.5), BMI < 18.5 at TB treatment initiation (AOR = 1.5, 95% CI: 1.2-1.8), and living in Northern Province of Rwanda (AOR = 1.4, 95% CI: 1.0-2.0), were found to be significantly associated with sputum smear non-conversion after two months of treatment.

CONCLUSION

Sputum smear non-conversion among SPPTB patients remains low in Rwanda compared to countries of similar health care setting. Identified risk factors for sputum smear non-conversion among SPPTB patients in Rwanda were age (20-39 years, 40-59 years), history of first-line TB treatment failure, follow up by CHWs, BMI < 18.5 at TB treatment initiation and residence (Northern province).

Treatment outcomes of extended versus nonextended intensive phase in pulmonary tuberculosis smear positive patients with delayed sputum smear conversion: A retrospective cohort study at primary care clinics in Kota Kinabalu

INTRODUCTION

Delayed sputum smear conversion in patients with smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis is a crucial problem at primary care clinics in Sabah resulting in poor treatment outcomes. This study aimed to compare the treatment outcomes between extended and nonextended intensive phase treatments among patients with delayed sputum smear conversion and to identify the factors associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes.

METHOD

This retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from a Malaysian tuberculosis registry, medical records and clinic referral emails from five primary care clinics in Kota Kinabalu from January 2014 to December 2018. A total of 163 patients with delayed sputum smear conversion were selected and divided into cohort groups: 90 patients received 3 months of intensive phase treatment (extended intensive phase), and 73 patients received 2 months of intensive phase treatment (non-extended intensive phase).

RESULTS

Of the 163 patients, 33.7% had unsuccessful treatment outcomes (25.2% had treatment failure; 0.6% died; 3.7% defaulted; and 4.3% transferred out), and 3.7% had relapse. There were no significant differences in the prevalence of unsuccessful treatment outcomes (37.6% vs 28.6%, OR=1.51, CI=0.77-2.94, P=0.226) and relapse (2.2% vs 5.7%, 0R=0.36, CI=0.65-2.04, P=0.404) between the extended and non-extended intensive phase groups. High sputum acid-fast bacilli grade (AFB) at 2 months, drug resistance and lack of directly observed treatment, short-course supervision (DOTS) were associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Extended intensive phase treatment in patients with delayed sputum smear conversion does not prevent unsuccessful treatment outcomes and relapse.

Wahid UNI, Ling LL, Liansim SMS, Oon J, Balakrishnan MN, Ng WL, Cheong AT. Prevalence and associated factors of delayed sputum smear conversion in patients treated for smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis: A retrospective follow up study in Sabah, Malaysia

INTRODUCTION

Tuberculosis remains a major health problem globally and in Malaysia, particularly in the state of Sabah. Delayed sputum conversion is associated with treatment failure, drug-resistant tuberculosis and mortality. We aimed to determine the prevalence of delayed sputum conversion among smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) patients and its associated factors in Sabah, Malaysia.

METHODS

A retrospective follow up study on all patients newly diagnosed with smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis from 2017 to 2019 was conducted at three government health clinics in Sabah, utilizing data from a national electronic tuberculosis database and medical records. Descriptive statistics and binary logistic regression were applied for data analysis. The outcome of the study was the sputum conversion status at the end of the two-month intensive treatment phase with either successful conversion to smear negative or non-conversion.

RESULTS

374 patients were included in the analysis. Our patients were generally younger than 60 years old with no medical illness and varying proportions of tuberculosis severity as judged by radiographic appearance and sputum bacillary load upon diagnosis. Foreigners constituted 27.8% of our sample. 8.8% (confidence interval: 6.2-12.2) did not convert to smear negative at the end of the intensive phase. Binary logistic regression showed that older patients ≥60 years old (adjusted odds ratio, AOR = 4.303), foreigners (AOR = 3.184) and patients with higher sputum bacillary load at diagnosis [2+ (AOR = 5.061) and 3+ (AOR = 4.992)] were more likely to have delayed sputum smear conversion.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of delayed sputum conversion in our study was considerably low at 8.8% with age ≥60 years old, foreigners and higher pre-treatment sputum bacillary load associated with delayed conversion. Healthcare providers should take note of these factors and ensure the patients receive proper follow up treatment.

Sputum smear conversion and treatment outcomes among drug-resistant pulmonary tuberculosis patients in eastern Ethiopia: A 9-years data analysis

Background

Drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) has become a public health problem throughout the world and about one-third of deaths were attributed to DR-TB from antimicrobial resistance which contributes to 10% of all TB deaths. Sub-Saharan Africa, particularly Ethiopia accounts for a significant number of TB cases. However, the scanty evidence on DR-TB contributing factors could affect the level of this deadly case tackling program. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the factors affecting sputum smear conversion and treatment outcomes among patients with DR-TB in Health facilities in Eastern Ethiopia.

Methods and materials

A cross-sectional study design was employed from 10 October to 10 November 2021, in the health facilities providing DR-TB services in Harari Region and Dire Dawa city administration. The medical records of 273 DR-TB patients from 10 January 2013 to 27 December 2021, were reviewed using structured checklists. Data were entered into Epidata 3.1 version and exported to STATA 14 version for analysis. The outcome variables were Initial Sputum conversion (converted vs. not-converted) and treatment outcome (Unfavorable vs. Favorable). Sputum examination was performed using both Acid-fast bacillus (AFB) smear microscopy and Löwenstein–Jensen (LJ) culture technique. A binary logistic regression analysis was used to assess the association of independent variables with the first month sputum smear conversion, while a conditional logistic regression model was used to assess the association of treatment outcome with explanatory variables. The associations were reported using adjusted odds ratios (AORs) at a 95% confidence interval.

Results

A total of 273 DR-TB patients were included in this study. The unfavorable DR-TB treatment outcome was significantly associated with the history of chewing khat (AOR = 4.38, 95% CI = 1.62, 11.84), having bilateral lung cavity on baseline chest X-ray (AOR = 12.08, 95% CI = 1.80, 2.57), having greater than 2+ smear result at baseline (AOR = 3.79, 95% CI = 1.35, 10.59), and poor adherence (AOR = 2.9, 95% CI = 1.28, 6.82). The sputum smear non-conversion at first month was significantly associated with being Human Immune Virus (HIV)-negative (AOR = 0.37, 0.17, 0.82), having low baseline BMI (AOR = 0.54, 95% CI = 0.29, 0.97), baseline culture &gt; 2++ (AOR = 0.15, 95% CI = 0.05, 0.49) and having greater than 2+ sputum smear result (AOR = 0.09, 95% CI = 0.012, 0.67). Patients with normal chest X-ray at baseline had 3.8 times higher chance of sputum smear conversion on first month (AOR = 3.77, 1.11, 12.77).

Conclusion

The overall initial sputum smear conversion and the treatment success rate among DR-TB patients were 52.75 and 66.30%, respectively. The Baseline underweight, HIV-negative, baseline smear &gt; 2+, baseline culture &gt; 2++, and clear lung on baseline X-ray were associated with smear conversion and history of khat chewing, bilateral lung cavity at baseline, having greater than 2+ smear results at baseline, and patients with poor treatment adherence had hostile treatment outcomes. So, strengthening and implementing nutrition assessment and patient counseling during directly observed therapies (DOTs) service and drug compliance could result in early sputum conversion and better treatment outcomes. DR-TB patients with high bacterial load and abnormal lungs on radiologic examination at baseline could need special attention during their course of treatment.

Association between sputum conversion and in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis: a retrospective study

Background

Non-conversion of sputum culture or smear within 2 months after the start of treatment is a known poor prognostic factor of pulmonary tuberculosis. In elderly patients, sputum conversion may be delayed because of the age-related decline in immune competence. This study aimed to assess how a long interval to sputum conversion predicts in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis.

Methods

Consecutive elderly patients (age > 65 years) who were admitted to our institution for bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis were included. The association between sputum conversion within 30, 60, 90, or 120 days from the start of treatment and in-hospital mortality were analyzed by Cox proportional-hazards regression after adjustment for other potential variables.

Results

This study included 262 patients, and 74 patients (28%) died during hospitalization. Multivariate analyses showed that sputum non-conversion within 90 days (adjusted hazard ratio 0.424, 95% CI 0.252–0.712, p = 0.001) or 120 days (0.333, 0.195–0.570, p < 0.001) was independently associated with in-hospital mortality, whereas that within 60 days was not (p = 0.890).

Conclusions

In elderly patients with tuberculosis, 2 months may be insufficient when evaluating sputum conversion as a prognostic factor. Sputum non-conversion within 90 days or longer may predict in-hospital mortality more accurately.

Epidemiology and Risk Factors of Delayed Sputum Smear Conversion in Malaysian Aborigines with Smear-Positive Pulmonary Tuberculosis

Background: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a serious public health challenge despite enormous eradication efforts. Indigenous groups worldwide have a higher TB incidence and associated delayed sputum–smear conversion. The aim of this case–control study was to determine the epidemiology and factors associated with delayed sputum–smear conversion among Malaysian aborigines. Methods: We used secondary data from 2016 to 2020 in the MyTB surveillance system. Malaysian aborigines with smear-positive pulmonary TB were enrolled and followed until the end of the intensive phase. Descriptive statistics and multiple logistic regression were used for data analysis. Results: Of 725 Malaysian aborigines with pulmonary TB, 572 (78.9%) were smear-positive and 487 (78.9%) fulfilled the study criteria. The mean (SD) age of smear-positive pulmonary TB was 39.20 (16.33) years. Majority of participants were male (63%), Senoi tribe (54.9%), living in rural areas (88.1%), formally educated (60.4%) and living below the poverty line (97.1%). Overall, 93 (19.1%) of 487 patients showed delayed sputum-smear conversion and significantly associated factors, such as smoking (AdjOR: 3.25; 95% CI: 1.88, 5.59), diabetes mellitus (AdjOR: 12.84; 95% CI: 6.33, 26.06), and HIV infection (AdjOR: 9.76; 95% CI: 3.01, 31.65). Conclusions: Stakeholders should adopt targeted approaches to tackle the problem of aboriginal groups with pulmonary TB and these associated risk factors to realise the End TB target.

The impact of smoking on tuberculosis treatment outcomes: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND: Cigarette smoking contributes to tuberculosis (TB) epidemiology. However, limited evidence exists on how smoking impacts TB treatment outcomes such as treatment loss to follow-up and culture conversion.METHODS: This meta-analysis assessed current evidence of the impact of active cigarette smoking on TB treatment outcomes. PubMed, Scopus, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched for English-language articles published from database inception through 2017. Articles addressing active pulmonary TB and cigarette smoking were identified and data abstracted. Smokers were defined as those who smoked every day or some days at the time of interview/diagnosis. Non-smokers did not smoke at the time of interview/diagnosis. Unfavorable outcomes included any outcome other than cure or completion of TB treatment. Three different data sets were examined: 8 articles addressing unfavorable treatment outcomes, 9 analyzing only treatment loss to follow-up, and 5 addressing delayed smear or culture conversion. Studies that had <20 subjects or that addressed only populations with comorbidities were excluded.RESULTS: We identified 1030 studies; 21 studies fulfilled the inclusion/exclusion criteria. Smokers had greater odds of unfavorable outcomes (pooled odds ratio [pOR] 1.23, 95%CI 1.14-1.33), delayed smear or culture conversion (pOR 1.55, 95%CI 1.04-2.07), and treatment loss to follow-up (pOR 1.35, 95%CI 1.21-1.50).CONCLUSION: Cigarette smoking is associated with negative treatment results and delayed conversion to negative smear or culture, suggesting smoking is an important factor for consideration in TB elimination efforts.

Sputum smear conversion and associated factors among smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis patients in East Gojjam Zone, Northwest Ethiopia: a longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

Sputum smear conversion is a key indicator of treatment response and reduced infectivity among bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) patients. This study aimed at estimating sputum smear conversion and identifying factors hindering sputum smear conversion among bacteriologically confirmed PTB cases in East Gojjam Zone, Northwest Ethiopia.

METHODS

A total of 282 bacteriologically confirmed PTB patients were followed for 22 weeks through weekly sputum smear examination. Due to the absence of sputum culture and rapid diagnostic services, sputum smear conversion evaluation was conducted microscopically using acid-fast-bacilli staining technique of sediments from a 5% sodium hypochlorite concentration technique. Data on socio-demographic, clinical profile and personal behavior variables were collected using a pretested interviewer-administered questionnaire. Various descriptive statistics including mean, median with interquartile range (IQR), and proportions were computed to describe study objectives. Factors of sputum smear conversion were identified by multivariable logistic regression analysis and statistical significance was determined at a p value < 0.05.

RESULTS

Over half, 166 (59%) of bacteriologically confirmed PTB patients were males and 147 (52%) were rural dwellers. The mean age of respondents was 35 ± 5 SD years. About 88 (31.2%) of bacteriologically confirmed PTB patients had comorbidities, 102 (36.2%) faced stigma, and 54 (19%) history of cigarette smoking. The median sputum smear conversions during the intensive phase and 5th  months of treatment follow up were 35 dyas (IQR: 21-56 days) and 53 days (IQR: 28-82 days), respectuvely. The majority, 85% (95% CI 76-93%) and 95% (95% CI 85-99%) of bacteriologically confirmed PTB patients underwent sputum smear conversion at the end of 2nd and 5th months of treatment, respectively. Poor knowledge on TB, being HIV positive, higher smear grading, having diabetes mellitus, undernutrition, cigarette smoking, facing societal stigma, and TB service delays were positively associated with the length of sputum smear conversion (p value < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Based on this study, the median sputum smear conversion time was higher compared to TB program expectations and findings from former studies. The study also identified important factors associated with sputum smear conversion time. Improving health literacy of the community by revising the existing community awareness strategies is essential to enhance treatment adherence and lower infectiousness after treatment initiation.

Sputum smear non-conversion among adult persons with bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis in rural eastern Uganda

Rationale

Failure to convert sputum at two months of treatment among persons with bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis (BC-PTB) indicates poor response to treatment but data are limited on its assessment.

Objective

We determined the frequency and factors associated with sputum smear non-conversion at two months among persons with BC-PTB in eastern Uganda.

Methods

We abstracted data of adult persons with BC-PTB, from routinely available records from TB registers at 10 clinics in eastern Uganda. We determined factors that are independently associated with sputum smear non-conversion using logistic regression analysis. We expressed the results as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI).

Measurements and main results

Of 516 persons with BC-PTB, 81 (15.7%) did not achieve sputum smear conversion at two months of TB treatment. Higher Mycobacteria tuberculosis (MTB) load and treatment at a private-not-for-profit (PNFP) facility compared to government health facility were significantly associated with sputum smear non-conversion. A one unit (+1) increase in MTB load based on ZN stain counts was associated with a 48% increase in the odds of sputum smear non-conversion with adjusted odds ratio (AOR), 1.48 (95% CI, 1.02-2.18). TB treatment at private-not-for-profit health facility was associated with a two-fold increase in the odds of sputum smear non-conversion (AOR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.01-3.92).

Conclusions

Our study shows that sputum smear non-conversion is common at two months of treatment in this population. It is more likely among patients with higher baseline MTB load and those treated at PNFP facilities. Strategies targeting patients with these risk factors are needed to enhance sputum smear conversion.

A high C-reactive protein level and poor performance status are associated with delayed sputum conversion in elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis in Japan

INTRODUCTION

Although the aging population had been increasing in many countries, the factors associated with sputum conversion in elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis have not been fully elucidated.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to identify the predictors of delayed sputum conversion and to assess the impact of non-conversion on mortality during tuberculosis treatment in elderly patients.

METHODS

Elderly patients (>65 years) admitted at our hospital in Japan for sputum smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis were included. The risk factors for sputum non-conversion after 2 months of treatment were determined using multiple logistic regression. Cox hazard regression was used to assess the influence of non-conversion on mortality.

RESULTS

We included 185 patients, with median age of 82 years (IQR, 79-88 years). The median time to conversion was 47 (95% CI 43-51) days, and 62 (34%) were identified as non-converters. Multivariate analysis showed that high pretreatment smear grade, high C-reactive protein level and poor performance status were associated with non-conversion. Non-conversion did not contribute to death during treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

In elderly patients, inflammation level and physical activity level, along with initial smear grade may have a significant impact on delayed sputum conversion. Non-conversion after two months of treatment might not be related with mortality.

Determinants of sputum smear nonconversion in smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis patients in Suriname, 2010 - 2015

OBJECTIVE

To identify factors associated with sputum smear nonconversion in patients with pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) in Suriname.

METHODS

A case-control study was conducted using routinely-collected surveillance data of PTB cases reported in January 2010 - December 2015 and recorded in the database of the National Tuberculosis Program of Suriname. Cases were smear-positive PTB patients whose sputum results were negative 2 months after treatment initiation. Controls were the smear-positive PTB patients whose sputum results were negative in the same timeframe. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to examine associations between potential risk factors and smear conversion.

RESULTS

The two age groups ≥ 35 years (35 - 54 years, AOR: 2.7, 95%CI: 1.2 - 6.1; and 55+ years, AOR: 2.5, 95%CI: 1.1 - 5.9) and high bacillary load at baseline (AOR 2.34, 95%CI: 1.2 - 4.8) were significantly associated with delayed smear conversion.

CONCLUSION

The National TB program of Suriname should develop strategies to address patients at higher risk for delayed smear conversion to prevent further spreading and unfavorable treatment outcomes. To better inform decision-making and future studies, the NTP should expand its data collection to include all risk factors for delayed smear conversion.

Longitudinal body weight and sputum conversion in patients with tuberculosis, Southwest Ethiopia: a retrospective follow-up study

OBJECTIVES

To describe the association between change in body weight and sputum smear conversion and to identify factors linked with body weight and sputum smear conversion in Jimma University Specialized Hospital, Southwest Ethiopia.

DESIGN

A retrospective follow-up study.

SETTING

Teaching hospital in Southwest Ethiopia.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 450 patients with tuberculosis (TB) were included in the follow-up between 2011 and 2013.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The association between body weight and sputum conversion was measured using joint modelling.

RESULTS

The association between change in body weight and change in sputum conversion was -0.698 (p<0.001). A strong inverse association between change in body weight and change in sputum conversion was observed. The study variables sex, age, type of TB, HIV status, dose of anti-TB drug and length of enrolment to TB treatment were significantly associated with change in body weight of patients with TB. The study variables age, type of TB, dose of anti-TB drug and length of enrolment were significantly associated with change in sputum status of patients with TB.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with TB who were on anti-TB treatment, increase in body weight and positive sputum status were inversely related over time. TB prevention and control strategies should give emphasis on factors such as female sex, older age, non-pulmonary positive type of TB, HIV-positive, lower dose of anti-TB drug and length of enrolment to TB treatment during monitoring of trends in body weight and sputum status.

Second month sputum smear as a predictor of tuberculosis treatment outcomes in Brazil

OBJECTIVE

The value of sputum smear microscopy (SSM) after 2 months of treatment in the management of pulmonary tuberculosis is controversial. We analysed second month-SSM conversion as a predictor of treatment success in Brazil.

RESULTS

Overall successful outcome rate was 89.4%. The predictive value of second month-SSM conversion for successful outcomes was 85.2% 72,479/85,118), while the predictive value of non-conversion for unfavourable outcomes was 26.9% (2712/10,071). Unfavourable treatment outcomes were twice more likely among patients who did not convert (adjusted OR = 2.06; 1.97-2.16).

Factors Associated with Persistent Sputum Positivity at the End of the Second Month of Tuberculosis Treatment in Lithuania

Background

Non-conversion of sputum smear and culture prolongs the infectivity of the patient and has been associated with unfavorable outcomes. We aimed to evaluate factors associated with persistent sputum positivity at the end of two months of treatment of new case pulmonary tuberculosis (TB).

Methods

Data of 87 human immunodeficiency virus-negative patients with culture-positive drug-susceptible pulmonary TB admitted to local university hospital between September 2015 and September 2016 were reviewed. Factors associated with sputum smear and/or culture positivity at the end of the second month of treatment were analyzed.

Results

Twenty-two patients (25.3%) remained smear and/or culture-positive. Male sex, lower body mass index (BMI), unemployment, alcohol abuse, higher number of lobes involved and cavities on chest X-rays, shorter time to detection (TTD) on liquid cultures, higher respiratory sample smear grading and colony count in solid cultures, higher C-reactive protein, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, leukocytosis, thrombocytosis, and anemia were all significantly associated with persistent sputum positivity. However, in the logistic regression analysis only male sex, lower BMI, alcohol abuse, higher radiological involvement, cavitation, higher smear grading, higher colony count in solid cultures and shorter TTD were determined as independent factors associated with persistent sputum positivity at the end of 2 months of treatment.

Conclusion

In conclusion, higher sputum smear and culture grading at diagnosis, shorter TTD, higher number of lobes involved, cavitation, male sex, alcohol abuse, and lower BMI were independently associated with persistent sputum positivity. These factors should be sought when distinguishing which patients will remain infectious longer and possibly have worse outcomes.

Delays to treatment initiation is associated with tuberculosis treatment outcomes among patients on directly observed treatment short course in Southwest Ethiopia: a follow-up study

Background

Despite reported long delays to initiate anti-TB treatment and poor outcomes in different parts of Ethiopia and elsewhere, evidences on association between the delay and treatment outcomes are scanty.

Methods

A follow up study among 735 new TB cases registered at health facilities in districts of southwest Ethiopia was conducted from January 2015 to June 2016. Patients reported days elapsed between onset of illness and treatment commencement of 30 days cutoff was considered to ascertain exposure. Thus, those elapsed beyond 30 days to initiate anti-TB treatment since onset of illness were exposed and otherwise non-exposed. The cases were followed until earliest outcome was observed. Treatment outcomes was ascertained as per the World Health Organization standard definitions and dichotomized into ‘successful’ when cured or treatment completed and ‘unsuccessful’ when lost to follow-up or died or treatment failure. Bivariate and multiple log-binomial models were fitted to identify predictors of unsuccessful outcomes.

Results

The overall treatment success among the treatment cohort was 89.7% (88.4% vs. 94.2%, p = 0.01 respectively among those initiated treatment beyond and within of 30 days of onset of illness. Higher risk of unsuccessful outcome was predicted by treatment initiation beyond 30 days of onset [Adjusted Relative Risk (ARR) = 1.92, 95%CI:1.30, 2.81], HIV co-infection (ARR = 2.18, 95%CI:1.47, 3.25) and received treatment at hospital (ARR = 3.73, 95%CI:2.23, 6.25). On the other hand, lower risk of unsuccessful outcome was predicted by weight gain (ARR = 0.40, 95%CI:0.19, 0.83) and sputum smear negative conversion (ARR = 0.17,95% CI:0.09, 0.33) at the end of second month treatment.

Conclusion

Higher risk of unsuccessful outcome is associated with prolonged days elapsed between onset of illness and treatment commencement. Hence, promotion of early care seeking, improving diagnostic and case holding efficiencies of health facilities and TB/HIV collaborative interventions can reduce risk of unsuccessful outcome.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12890-018-0628-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Prognostic score to predict mortality during TB treatment in TB/HIV co-infected patients

Background

Estimating mortality risk during TB treatment in HIV co-infected patients is challenging for health professionals, especially in a low TB prevalence population, due to the lack of a standardized prognostic system. The current study aimed to develop and validate a simple mortality prognostic scoring system for TB/HIV co-infected patients.

Methods

Using data from the CDC’s Tuberculosis Genotyping Information Management System of TB patients in Texas reported from 01/2010 through 12/2016, age ≥15 years, HIV(+), and outcome being “completed” or “died”, we developed and internally validated a mortality prognostic score using multiple logistic regression. Model discrimination was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). The model’s good calibration was determined by a non-significant Hosmer-Lemeshow’s goodness of fit test.

Results

Among the 450 patients included in the analysis, 57 (12.7%) died during TB treatment. The final prognostic score used six characteristics (age, residence in long-term care facility, meningeal TB, chest x-ray, culture positive, and culture not converted/unknown), which are routinely collected by TB programs. Prognostic scores were categorized into three groups that predicted mortality: low-risk (<20 points), medium-risk (20–25 points) and high-risk (>25 points). The model had good discrimination and calibration (AUC = 0.82; 0.80 in bootstrap validation), and a non-significant Hosmer-Lemeshow test p = 0.71.

Conclusion

Our simple validated mortality prognostic scoring system can be a practical tool for health professionals in identifying TB/HIV co-infected patients with high mortality risk.

Treatment outcomes and factors affecting unsuccessful outcome among new pulmonary smear positive and negative tuberculosis patients in Anqing, China: a retrospective study

Background

Monitoring the treatment outcomes of tuberculosis and determining the specific factors associated with unsuccessful treatment outcome are essential to evaluate the effectiveness of tuberculosis control program. This study aimed to assess treatment outcomes and explore the factors associated with unsuccessful outcomes among new pulmonary smear positive and negative tuberculosis patients in Anqing, China.

Methods

A nine-year retrospective study was conducted using data from Anqing Center for Diseases Prevention and Control. New pulmonary tuberculosis patients treated with two six-month regimens were investigated. Non-conditional logistic regression was performed to calculate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for factors associated with unsuccessful outcomes.

Results

Among 22,998 registered patients (16,939 males, 6059 females), 64.54% were smear-positive patients. The treatment success rates was 95.02% for smear-positive patients and 95.00% for smear-negative patients. Characteristics associated with an higher risk of unsuccessful treatment among smear-positive patients included aged above 35 years, treatment management model of self-medication, full-course management and supervision in intensive phase, unchecked chest X-ray, cavity in chest X-ray, and miliary shadow in chest X-ray, while normal X-ray was negative factor. Unsuccessful treatment among smear-negative patients was significantly associated with age over 45 years, treatment management model of full-course management, unchecked chest X-ray, presence of miliary shadow in chest X-ray and delay over 51 days.

Conclusions

Tuberculosis treatment in Anqing area was successful and independent of treatment regimens. Special efforts are required for patients with unsuccessful outcomes.

Prevalence and Risk Factors of Delayed Sputum Conversion among Patients Treated for Smear Positive PTB in Northwestern Rural Tanzania: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Introduction

Smear positive TB carries high morbidity and mortality. The TB treatment aims at sputum conversion by two months of antituberculous. Patients who delay sputum conversion remain potentially infectious, with risk of treatment failure, drug resistance, and mortality. Little is known about the magnitude of this problem in our setting. This study was designed to determine the prevalence and risk factors of delayed sputum conversion in northwestern rural part of Tanzania.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study involving smear positive TB patients at Sengerema DDH in 2015. Demographic data, HIV status, and sputum results at TB diagnosis and on TB treatment were collected and analyzed using STATA 11.

Results

In total, 156 patients were studied. Males were 97 (62%); the median age was 39 [30–51] years. Fifty-five (35.3%) patients were HIV coinfected and 13 (8.3%) patients had delayed sputum conversion which was strongly associated with male gender (OR = 8.2, p = 0.046), age >50 years (OR = 6.7, p = 0.003), and AFB 3+ (OR = 8.1, p = 0.008).

Conclusions

Delayed sputum conversion is prevalent in this study. These patients can potentially fail on treatment, develop drug resistance, and continue spreading TB. Strategies to reduce the rate of delayed sputum conversion could also reduce these potential unfavorable outcomes.

Risk factors for tuberculosis smear non-conversion in Eden district, Western Cape, South Africa, 2007-2013: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Tuberculosis (TB) continues to be a major global health problem. While progress has been made to improve TB cure rates, South Africa’s 76 % smear-positive pulmonary TB (PTB) case cure rate remains below the WHO target of 85 %. We report on the trends of TB smear non-conversion and their predictors at the end of an intensive phase of treatment, and how this impacted on treatment outcomes of smear-positive PTB cases in Eden District, Western Cape Province, South Africa.

Methods

Routinely collected, retrospective data of smear-positive PTB cases from the electronic TB register in Eden District between 2007 and 2013 was extracted. Non-conversion was defined as persistent sputum smear-positive PTB cases at the end of the two or three month intensive phase of treatment. Chi-square test for linear trend and simple linear regression analysis were used to analyse the change in percentages and slope of TB smear non-conversion rates over time. Risk factors for TB non-conversion, and their impact on treatment outcomes, were evaluated using logistic regression models.

Results

Of 12,742 total smear-positive PTB cases included in our study, 12.8 % (n = 1627) did not sputum smear convert; 13.3 % (1411 of 10,574) of new cases and 9.9 % (216 of 2168) of re-treatment cases. Although not statistically significant in either new or re-treatment cases, between 2007 and 2013, smear non-conversion decreased from 16.4 to 12.7 % (slope = −0.60; 95 % CI: −1.49 to 0.29; p = 0.142) in new cases, and from 11.3 to 10.8 % in re-treatment cases (slope = −0.29; 95 % CI: −1.06 to 0.48; p = 0.376). Male gender, HIV co-infection and a >2+ acid fast bacilli (AFB) smear grading at the start of TB treatment were independent risk factors for non-conversion (p < 0.001). Age was a risk factor for non-conversion in new cases, but not for re-treatment cases. Non-conversion was also associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes (p < 0.01), including treatment default and treatment failure.

Conclusions

Smear-positive PTB cases, especially men and those with identified risk factors for non-conversion, should be closely monitored throughout their treatment period. The South African TB control program should invest in patient adherence counselling and education to mitigate TB non-conversion risk factors, and to improve conversion and TB cure rates.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12879-016-1712-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

The Usefulness of Serum CXCR3 Ligands for Evaluating the Early Treatment Response in Tuberculosis: A Longitudinal Cohort Study

Cell-mediated immunity plays an important role in the pathobiology of tuberculosis (TB). The ligands for CXC chemokine receptor 3 (CXCR3) activate the T-helper type 1 lymphocyte pathway. The CXCR3 ligands are reportedly useful clinical markers for the diagnosis and follow-up of TB. The objective of this study was to assess the utility of CXCR3 ligands for evaluating early treatment responses in TB.We recruited 88 patients who underwent antituberculous chemotherapy. The serum levels of interferon (IFN)-γ and the CXCR3 ligands CXCL9 (monokine induced by IFN-γ [MIG]), CXCL10 (IFN-γ-inducible 10-kDa protein [IP-10]), and CXCL11 (IFN-inducible T-cell α chemoattractant [I-TAC]) were measured before and 2 months after the start of treatment. Treatment responses were divided into "fast" and "slow" based on the clinical, radiological, and bacteriological improvement at 2 months. A change in level of 20% or more at 2 months was defined as "significant."In patients with treatment success, 58 patients exhibited a fast response and 20 patients exhibited a slow response. Treatment failure occurred in 5 patients, and the diagnoses were changed to non-TB diseases in 5 patients. The levels of all CXCR3 ligands significantly decreased in the fast-response group (P < 0.01) but did not decrease in the other groups. IFN-γ levels showed no significant changes. The ability of significant decreases in marker levels to predict a fast response was evaluated. CXCL9 showed a sensitivity of 83%, and CXCL10 showed a specificity of 100%. Use of various combinations of CXCR3 ligands resulted in improvements in sensitivity (88%-93%), while specificity (92%-96%) was similar to that using single CXCR3 ligands. The decreases in CXCR3 ligand levels were less marked in the 2-month Mycobacterium tuberculosis culture-positive group than in the culture-negative group. There were significant differences in treatment outcomes in terms of 2-month culture positivity (P < 0.001), the significance of CXCL9 decreases (P < 0.01), and the significance of CXCL11 decreases (P < 0.05).In conclusion, CXCR3 ligands may be useful surrogate markers for the evaluation of early treatment response and showed utility as indicators of possible treatment failure in TB.