Systematic literature review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in the USA, Europe, Canada, Australia, and Brazil

Clinical characteristics and impact on patient-reported outcomes and quality of life of people with ambulatory secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: DISCOVER study

BACKGROUND

People with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (pwSPMS) experience increasing disability, which impacts negatively on their health-related quality of life (HRQoL). Our aims were to assess the impact of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) on functional status and HRQoL and describe the clinical profile in this population.

METHODS

DISCOVER is an observational, cross-sectional, multicenter study with retrospective data collection in real-world clinical practice in Spain. Sociodemographic and clinical variables, functional and cognitive scales, patient-reported outcomes (PROs), and direct healthcare, and non-healthcare and indirect costs were collected.

RESULTS

A total of 297 evaluable pwSPMS with a EDSS score between 3-6.5 participated: 62.3 % were female and 18.9 % had active SPMS. At the study visit, 77 % of them presented an Expanded Disability Scale Score (EDSS) of 6-6.5. Nearly 40 % did not receive any disease-modifying treatment. Regarding the working situation, 61.6 % were inactive due to disability. PROs: 99.3 % showed mobility impairment in EuroQoL-5 Dimensions-5 Levels, and about 60 % reported physical impact on the Multiple Sclerosis Impact Scale-29. Fatigue was present in 76.1 %, and almost 40 % reported anxiety or depression. The Symbol Digit Modalities Test was used to assess cognitive impairment; 80 % of the patients were below the mean score. Participants who presented relapses two years before and had high EDSS scores had a more negative impact on HRQoL. PwSPMS with a negative impact on HRQoL presented a higher cost burden, primarily due to indirect costs.

CONCLUSIONS

PwSPMS experience a negative impact on their HRQoL, with a high physical impact, fatigue, cognitive impairment, and a high burden of indirect costs.

Evaluating the effectiveness of simvastatin in slowing the progression of disability in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS-STAT2): protocol for a multicentre, randomised controlled, double-blind, phase 3 clinical trial in the UK

INTRODUCTION

There remains a high unmet need for disease-modifying therapies that can impact disability progression in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS). Following positive results of the phase 2 MS-STAT study, the MS-STAT2 phase 3 trial will evaluate the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of repurposed high-dose simvastatin in slowing the progression of disability in SPMS.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

MS-STAT2 will be a multicentre, randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial of participants aged between 25 and 65 (inclusive) who have SPMS with an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 4.0-6.5 (inclusive). Steady progression rather than relapse must be the major cause of increasing disability in the preceding 2 years.Participants will be allocated to simvastatin or placebo in a 1:1 ratio. The active treatment will be 80 mg daily, after 1 month at 40 mg daily. 31 hospitals across the UK will participate.The primary outcome is (confirmed) disability progression at 6 monthly intervals, measured as change from EDSS baseline score. Recruitment of 1050 participants will be required to achieve a total of 330 progression events, giving 90% power to demonstrate a 30% relative reduction in disability progression versus placebo. The follow-up period is 36 months, extendable by up to 18 months for patients without confirmed progression.Clinician-reported measures include Timed 25 Foot Walk; 9 Hole Peg Test; Single Digit Modalities Test; Sloan Low Contrast Visual Acuity; Relapse assessment; modified Rankin Scale and Brief International Cognitive Assessment For Multiple Sclerosis. Patient-reported outcomes include MS-specific walking, fatigue and impact scales. A health economic analysis will occur.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The protocol was approved by the London-Westminster REC (17/LO/1509). This manuscript is based on protocol version 8.0, 26 February 2024. Trial findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS

NCT03387670; ISRCTN82598726.

Trends in mortality due to multiple sclerosis in the United States: A retrospective analysis from 1999 to 2020

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a neuroinflammatory condition with a prevalence of about 309.2 per 100,000 people in the United States. We aim to identify MS-related mortality trends in the USA from 1999 to 2020, stratified by age, sex, race, and geography, and its correlation with sunlight.

METHODS

Death certificates from the CDC-WONDER database were examined for adults aged ≥25 years. Crude rates (CR) and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 1,000,000 persons and annual percent change (APC) were calculated. We also retrieved data for daily sunlight from 1999 to 2011.

RESULTS

From 1999 to 2020, a total of 121,694 deaths occurred due to MS. The AAMR rose from 23.6 in 1999 to 29.7 in 2020 (APC 0.65), with a stable trend till 2018 (APC -0.22) followed by an abrupt increase towards 2020 (APC 9.27). Women had higher AAMR than men. Non-Hispanic (NH) Whites exhibited the highest AAMR (28.5), followed by NH Blacks (25.9), NH American Indians/Alaska Natives (9.6), Hispanics or Latino (6.8), and NH Asian or Pacific Islanders (1.9). AAMRs also varied substantially by region (Midwest: 32.4; Northeast: 26.9; West: 26.2; South: 19.4). States with the highest AAMRs were Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, and Oregon. The states with lower daily sunlight had higher AAMRs (r = -0.559, p = 0.000). AAMRs were comparable in urban (25) and rural (26.3) areas. Most deaths occurred in medical facilities (33.92 %) and nursing homes / long-term care (30.80 %), followed by home (27.79 %), and hospice (4.06 %). Adults ≥ 65 years depicted the highest mortality rates (CR 64.4) while adults aged 25 to 44 years showed the lowest rates (CR 4.6).

CONCLUSION

We found an overall stable trend in MS-related mortality rates in the US till 2018 with a sharp increase thereafter. We observed highest mortality among women and NH White adults, among residents of Midwest and Northeast regions, and among adults ≥ 65 years. Higher disease burden in recent years calls for devising timely policies focused on these high-risk populations.

The influence of aging and the microbiome in multiple sclerosis and other neurologic diseases

The human gut microbiome is well-recognized as a key player in maintaining health. However, it is a dynamic entity that changes across the lifespan. How the microbial changes that occur in later decades of life shape host health or impact age-associated inflammatory neurological diseases such as multiple sclerosis (MS) is still unclear. Current understanding of the aging gut microbiome is largely limited to cross-sectional observational studies. Moreover, studies in humans are limited by confounding host-intrinsic and extrinsic factors that are not easily disentangled from aging. This review provides a comprehensive summary of existing literature on the aging gut microbiome and its known relationships with neurological diseases, with a specific focus on MS. We will also discuss preclinical animal models and human studies that shed light on the complex microbiota-host interactions that have the potential to influence disease pathology and progression in aging individuals. Lastly, we propose potential avenues of investigation to deconvolute features of an aging microbiota that contribute to disease, or alternatively promote health in advanced age.

Onboarding of siponimod in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis patients in Australia: Novel, real-world evidence from the MSGo digital support programme

Background

Siponimod is approved for use in people with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (pwSPMS). An integrated digital platform, MSGo, was developed for pwSPMS and clinicians to help navigate the multiple steps of the pre-siponimod work-up.

Objective

To explore real-world onboarding experiences of siponimod amongst pwSPMS in Australia.

Methods

Retrospective, non-interventional, longitudinal, secondary analysis of data extracted from MSGo (20 April 2022). The primary endpoint was the average time for siponimod onboarding; secondary endpoints were adherence and sub-group analyses of variables influencing onboarding.

Results

Mixed-cure modelling estimated that 58% of participants (N = 368, females 71%, median age of 59 years) registered in MSGo would ever initiate siponimod. The median time to initiation was 56 days (95% CI [47-59] days). Half of the participants cited 'waiting for vaccination' as the reason for initiation delay. Cox regression analyses found participants with a nominated care partner had faster onboarding (HR 2.1, 95% CI [1.5-3.0]) and were more likely to continue self-reporting daily siponimod dosing than were those without a care partner (HR 2.2, 95% CI [1.3-3.7]).

Conclusions

Despite the limitations of self-reported data and the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic, this study provides insights into siponimod onboarding in Australia and demonstrates the positive impact of care partner support.

The prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis over the past 20 years in northern Japan

OBJECTIVES

The prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in East Asia is thought to be lower than in Western countries. Globally, there is a trend of increasing MS prevalence. We investigated the changes in the prevalence and clinical phenotype of MS in the Tokachi province of Hokkaido in northern Japan, from 2001 to 2021.

METHODS

Data processing sheets were sent to all related institutions inside and outside the Tokachi area of Hokkaido island in Japan and were collected from April to May 2021. The prevalence according to the Poser's diagnostic criteria for MS was determined on March 31, 2021.

RESULTS

In 2021, the crude MS prevalence in northern Japan was 22.4/100,000 (95% confidence interval, 17.6-28.0). The prevalences of MS standardized by the Japanese national population in 2001, 2006, 2011, 2016, and 2021 were 6.9, 11.5, 15.3, 18.5, and 23.3, respectively. The female/male ratio was 4.0 in 2021, increased from 2.6 in 2001. We checked the prevalence using the 2017 revised McDonald criteria, and found only additional male patient who had not fulfilled Poser's criteria. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of MS per 100,000 individuals increased from 0.09 in 1980-1984 to 0.99 in 2005-2009; since then, it has remained stable. The proportions of primary-progressive, relapsing-remitting, and secondary-progressive MS types in 2021 were 3%, 82%, and 15%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrated a consistent increase in the prevalence of MS among the northern Japanese over 20 years, particularly in females, and consistently lower rates of progressive MS in northern Japan than elsewhere in the world.

Proportion and characteristics of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in five European registries using objective classifiers

Background

To assign a course of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) (SPMS) may be difficult and the proportion of persons with SPMS varies between reports. An objective method for disease course classification may give a better estimation of the relative proportions of relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and SPMS and may identify situations where SPMS is under reported.

Materials and methods

Data were obtained for 61,900 MS patients from MS registries in the Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, Sweden, and the United Kingdom (UK), including date of birth, sex, SP conversion year, visits with an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, MS onset and diagnosis date, relapses, and disease-modifying treatment (DMT) use. We included RRMS or SPMS patients with at least one visit between January 2017 and December 2019 if ≥ 18 years of age. We applied three objective methods: A set of SPMS clinical trial inclusion criteria ("EXPAND criteria") modified for a real-world evidence setting, a modified version of the MSBase algorithm, and a decision tree-based algorithm recently published.

Results

The clinically assigned proportion of SPMS varied from 8.7% (Czechia) to 34.3% (UK). Objective classifiers estimated the proportion of SPMS from 15.1% (Germany by the EXPAND criteria) to 58.0% (UK by the decision tree method). Due to different requirements of number of EDSS scores, classifiers varied in the proportion they were able to classify; from 18% (UK by the MSBase algorithm) to 100% (the decision tree algorithm for all registries). Objectively classified SPMS patients were older, converted to SPMS later, had higher EDSS at index date and higher EDSS at conversion. More objectively classified SPMS were on DMTs compared to the clinically assigned.

Conclusion

SPMS appears to be systematically underdiagnosed in MS registries. Reclassified patients were more commonly on DMTs.