The prognostic significance of age in operated and non-operated colorectal cancer

Risk of non-colorectal cancer-related death in elderly patients with the disease: A comparison of five preoperative risk assessment indices

BACKGROUND

A considerable number of elderly patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) die of non-CRC-related causes. The Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status classification, Charlson Comorbidity Index, National Institute on Aging, and National Cancer Institute Comorbidity Index, and Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 score are all known predictors of survival in patients with CRC. However, the utility of these indices for predicting non-CRC-related death in elderly CRC patients is not known.

METHODS

The study population comprised 364 patients aged 80 years or more who received curative resection for stage I-III CRC between 2000 and 2016. The association of each index with non-CRC-related death was compared by competing-risks analysis such as the cumulative incidence function and proportional subdistribution hazards regression analysis as well as time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

There were 85 deaths (40 CRC-related and 45 non-CRC-related) during a median observation period of 53.2 months. Cumulative incidence function analysis identified CONUT score as the most suitable for risk stratification for non-CRC-related death. In proportional subdistribution hazards regression, risk of non-CRC-related death increased significantly as CONUT score worsened (2/3/4 vs. 0/1, hazard ratio 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.91-3.15; ≥5 vs. 2/3/4, hazard ratio 2.71, 95% CI 1.08-6.81). Time-dependent ROC curve analysis showed that CONUT score were consistently superior to other indices during the 5-year observation period.

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of deaths in elderly patients with CRC were not CRC-related. CONUT score was the most useful predictor of non-CRC-related death in these patients.

Prediction of survival in patients with colorectal liver metastases- development and validation of a prognostic score model

BACKGROUND

Metastatic spread of colorectal cancer to the liver impacts prognosis. Advances in chemotherapy have resulted in increased resectability rates and thereby improved survival in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). However, criteria are needed to ensure that patients selected for hepatic resection benefit from the invasive therapy. The study aimed to construct a predictive model for overall survival (OS) in patients with CRLM, based on preoperatively available information.

METHODS

The retrospective cohort study reviewed all patients with CRLM discussed at multidisciplinary team conference at Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden, 2013-2018. Independent prognostic factors for OS were identified, based on which a score model was generated. The model was validated on patients treated for CRLM at Hôpital Universitaire Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France, 2007-2018. Calibration and discrimination methods were used for internal and external validation.

RESULTS

The Swedish development cohort included 1013 patients, the French validation cohort 391 patients. Poor OS was significantly associated with age>60years (hazard ratio (HR) 3.57 (95%CI 2.18-9.94)), number of CRLM (HR 4.59 (2.83-12.20)), diameter of largest CRLM>5 cm (HR 2.59 (1.74-5.03)), right-sided primary tumour (HR 2.98 (2.00-5.80)), extrahepatic disease (HR 4.14 (2.38-15.87)) and non-resectability (HR 0.77 (0.66-0.90)). The C-statistic for prediction of OS was .74, in the development cohort and 0.69 in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

The presented predictive score model can adequately predict OS for patients at the initial diagnosis of CRLM. The prognostic model could be of clinical value in the management of all patients with CRLM, by predicting individualized survival and thereby facilitating treatment recommendations.

Survival after cytoreductive surgery for peritoneal metastases in colorectal cancer patients: Does a history of resected liver metastases worsen the prognosis?

BACKGROUND

Nowadays, resection of two (liver and peritoneum) concomitant colorectal cancer metastatic sites is no longer contraindicated. However, the oncologic outcomes of resecting peritoneal metastases (PM) occurring more than six months after resection of liver metastases (LM) are unknown.

AIM

The aim of this study was to compare patients with complete cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with or without a history of previous liver resection (LR).

METHODS

Analysis from a prospective database of 74 patients with metachronous PM treated with CRS between 2010 and 2020.

RESULTS

All patients had PM metachronous to primary, 64 patients underwent CRS alone (CRSa) and 10 CRS more than six months after LR (LR-CRS). There was no statistical difference between the groups for clinical or therapeutic characteristics. There were more signet ring cell/mucinous adenocarcinomas in the CRSa group than in the LR-CRS group (19% vs. 0%, p = 0.049). The median peritoneal cancer index (PCI) was 4 and 6 (p = 0.749) in the LR-CRS and CRSa groups, respectively. Median overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were not statistically different between the two groups with 43.6 and 13 months for the CRSa group and 31.1 months and 9.4 months for LR-CRS. Advanced age was an independent negative prognostic factor for OS and high PCI was limit significant. No prognostic factor for DFS was found.

CONCLUSIONS

LR before CRS has no major prognostic impact. Resection of iterative liver and peritoneum metastases can achieve long-term survival.

Prognostic Nomograms to Predict Survival of Patients with Resectable Gallbladder Cancer: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Based Analysis

Background

Gallbladder adenocarcinoma (GBAC) is globally acknowledged as one of the most common malignancies among all gastrointestinal cancers. Despite prognosis of GBAC patients remains poor, patients with early-stage disease can be observed with long-term survival.

Material/Methods

In this study, 2556 patients with pathological GBAC between 2010 and 2015 were derived from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The prognostic nomograms containing all independent prognostic factors for predicting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were constructed to achieve superior prognostic discriminatory ability.

Results

Based on the AJCC 7^th TNM staging system, we found the TNM substaging was not accurate enough to predict the survival and stratify the risk. Based on the results of univariate and multivariate analyses, a more precise prognostic nomogram was constructed containing all significant independent prognostic factors (age, grade, TNM stage, bone metastasis, and chemotherapy) for OS, while age, grade, TNM stage, bone metastasis and radiotherapy significant independent prognostic factors for CSS. The C-index of the constructed nomogram for predicting OS and CSS was 0.740 and 0.737 higher than that of TNM staging alone (0.667 for OS and 0.689 for CSS), respectively. In addition, the calibration curves and decision curve analysis further showed its robust power in survival prediction.

Conclusions

The constructed nomograms showed better discrimination abilities to predict OS and CSS rates at 1, 3, and 5 years. In the future, these constructed models for this disease will assist in risk stratification to guide GBAC treatment.

Oncologic Outcome and Efficacy of Chemotherapy in Colorectal Cancer Patients Aged 80 Years or Older

Purpose: The present study aimed to evaluate the oncologic outcomes of patients 80 years or older compared with younger patients, and we then further investigated the efficacy of chemotherapy in individuals 80 years or older. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. The χ² test was used to analyze the different clinicopathologic and demographic variables between 65- and 79-year and ≥80-year groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank testing were used to compare colorectal cancer (CRC)-specific survival (CCSS) curves between different groups. Multivariate and univariate Cox proportional hazards models with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were also used to assess CCSS and OS. Results: A total of 189,926 patients were included in our study. Compared with 65- to 79-year-old patients, age 80 years or older was associated with 48.4% increased CRC-specific mortality (HR = 1.484, 95% CI = 1.453-1.516, P < 0.0001; using 65-79 years old as the reference). Moreover, not receiving chemotherapy was significantly associated with an increased risk of CRC-related death, independent of other prognostic factors (HR = 0.615, 95% CI = 0.589-0.643, P < 0.0001) in individuals 80 years or older. Conclusions: This large population-based study showed that older age was associated with worse oncologic outcomes compared to younger age. Chemotherapy could offer survival benefit for very old patients diagnosed with CRC, and we strongly believed that very old patients were undertreated in the present medical practices.

Long-term outcomes and prognostic factors of young patients with mucinous and signet-ring cell colorectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

The aim of the study was to assess the clinico-pathological features and prognosis of mucinous adenocarcinoma (MAC) and signet-ring cell carcinoma (SRC) in young colorectal cancer (CRC) patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated the patient records of young patients with MAC and SRC (aged ≤ 40 years) treated at the Cancer Hospital of China Medical University from January 2006 to December 2013. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank testing were performed to estimate overall survival (OS). Subsequently a Cox proportional hazard model was used to calculate hazard ratios for the risk of death.

RESULTS

A total of 90 young CRC patients (MAC = 69 and SRC = 21) were included in the analysis during the study period. The overall cumulative 5-year OS rate was 56.6 ±6%. Estimated 5-year OS was 58.1 ±7.7% for MAC and 31.3 ±12.9% for SRC (p = 0.018). On univariate analysis, metastatic disease, AJCC stage, adjuvant chemotherapy (CT), cycles of adjuvant CT, surgery type, lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, and histologic type were significant prognostic factors for OS. In multivariate analysis, preoperative CEA levels and cycles of adjuvant CT were found to be independent prognostic factors for overall survival (hazard ratio = 2.47; 95% CI: 1.06-5.78, p = 0.037; hazard ratio = 0.18; 95% CI: 0.05-0.62, p = 0.007, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

A greater proportion of young patients with MAC and SRC present with advanced disease. Young patients with SRC have poorer prognosis than MAC. Preoperative CEA levels and cycles of adjuvant CT are two independent predictors of overall survival for young CRC patients with MAC and SRC.

Long-term outcomes of colorectal cancer surgery for elderly patients: a propensity score-matched analysis

PURPOSE

To investigate the effect of old age on the perioperative, short-term, and long-term surgical outcomes of elderly patients undergoing curative surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

The subjects of this retrospective study were 526 patients who underwent curative resections for stage I-III CRC between March 2005 and March 2016. We divided the patients into a young group (< 75 years old, n = 361) and an elderly group (≥ 75 years old, n = 165) and compared the clinicopathological factors and prognoses of the two groups. We performed a propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) to avoid confounding bias.

RESULTS

The elderly group had more right-sided tumors and more comorbidities than the young group. After PSM, there were 148 patients in each group. Although the elderly group had significantly shorter overall survival than the young group, the two groups did not differ significantly in cancer-specific survival (CSS; P = 0.136) or recurrence rate (RR; P = 0.317). Multivariate analysis with IPTW also revealed no significant difference in CSS (P = 0.171) or RR (P = 0.284) between the young and elderly groups. Our findings were limited by the study's retrospective single-institute conditions, and the inclusion of only patients who underwent radical resections.

CONCLUSION

Primary tumor resection is appropriate for elderly patients with CRC.

Using nomograms to predict prognostic factors in young colorectal mucinous and signet-ring cell adenocarcinoma patients

Due to insufficient quantitative evaluation of the clinic-pathological features and prognosis of young colorectal cancer (CRC) with mucinous adenocarcinoma (MAC) and signet-ring cell carcinoma (SRC), the aim of our study was to develop a nomogram to identify the prognostic predictors for overall survival (OS) in this patient population. We retrospectively evaluated the patient records of MAC and SRC patients aged ≤ 40 years. Kaplan–Meier analysis and log-rank testing were performed to estimate OS. A nomogram predicting OS was created for risk quantitation and decision tree analysis was performed for patient grouping. With a median follow-up of 36.5 months, we included a total of 90 young CRC patients for analysis. The overall cumulate 5-year OS rate was 57.7% (95% confidence interval (CI): 45.1–68.5%). The estimated 5-year OS was 62.9% (95% CI: 48.5–74.3%) for MAC and 37.3% (95% CI: 14.4–61.2%) for SRC (P=0.021). The recurrence rate was significantly greater in the SRC group compared with the mucinous group (52.4 compared with 26.1%, P=0.047). In the multivariate Cox regression model, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels and cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) were found to be an independent prognostic factor for OS (hazard ratio (HR): 2.43; 95% CI: 1.13–5.62, P=0.024; HR: 0.21; 95% CI: 0.083–0.57, P=0.002, respectively). Nomograms predicting 3- and 5-year OS were established that performed well (concordance index (c-indexes) of 0.636, 95% CI: 0.549–723) for OS. For MAC and SRC disease, a greater proportion of young patients present with advanced disease, and the prognosis for young SRC patients is poorer than MAC. Furthermore, preoperative CEA levels and cycles of adjuvant CT seem to independently affect the OS in this patient population.

Prognosis Prediction of Colorectal Cancer Using Gene Expression Profiles

Background: Investigation on prognostic markers for colorectal cancer (CRC) deserves efforts, but data from China are scarce. This study aimed to build a prognostic algorithm using differentially expressed gene (DEG) profiles and to compare it with the TNM staging system in their predictive accuracy for CRC prognosis in Chinese patients. Methods: DEGs in six paired tumor and corresponding normal tissues were determined using RNA-Sequencing. Subsequently, matched tumor and normal tissues from 127 Chinese patients were assayed for further validation. Univariate and multivariate Cox regressions were used to identify informative DEGs. A predictive index (PI) was derived as a linear combination of the products of the DEGs and their Cox regression coefficients. The combined predictive accuracy of the DEGs-based PI and tumors' TNM stages was also examined by a logistic regression model including the two predictors. The predictive performance was evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUCs). Results: Out of 75 candidate DEGs, we identified 10 DEGs showing statistically significant associations with CRC survival. A PI based on these 10 DEGs (PI-10) predicted CRC survival probability more accurately than the TNM staging system [AUCs for 3-year survival probability 0.73 (95% confidence interval: 0.64, 0.81) vs. 0.68 (0.59, 0.76)] but comparable to a simplified PI (PI-5) using five DEGs (LOC646627, BEST4, KLF9, ATP6V1A, and DNMT3B). The predictive accuracy was improved further by combining PI-5 and the TNM staging system [AUC for 3-year survival probability: 0.72 (0.63, 0.80)]. Conclusion: Prognosis prediction based on informative DEGs might yield a higher predictive accuracy in CRC prognosis than the TNM staging system does.

Oncologic outcome of colorectal cancer patients over age 80: a propensity score-matched analysis

PURPOSE

It remains unclear whether old age is a poor prognostic factor in colorectal cancer (CRC). We compared oncologic outcomes in CRC patients according to age, using 80 as the dividing point.

METHODS

CRC patients who underwent radical surgery from 2000 to 2011 were evaluated. We performed matched and adjusted analyses comparing oncologic outcomes between patients with ≥ 80 and < 80 years old.

RESULTS

Among 9562 patients, 222 were elderly. The median age was 82.0 years in elderly patients and 59.0 years in young patients. Elderly patients received less neoadjuvant or adjuvant therapy compared to young patients (p < 0.001). After recurrence, significantly fewer elderly patients received additional treatments (p < 0.001). Before matching, disease-free survival (DFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were significantly lower for elderly patients compared to those for young patients (p < 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively). After matching, DFS and CCS were not significantly different between the two groups (p = 0.400 and p = 0.267, respectively). In a multivariate analysis for prognostic factors, old age was not an independent poor prognostic factor of DFS and CCS (p = 0.619 and p = 0.137, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Elderly patients aged ≥ 80 years with CRC had similar oncologic outcome to young patients, and age was not an independent prognostic factor.

The impact of young age on the prognosis for colorectal cancer: a population-based study in Taiwan

Background

The impact of age as a prognostic factor for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) remains controversial, possibly due to heterogeneity between studies in terms of patient numbers, percentage of patients undergoing curative resection, percentage of patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy, or failure to adjust for potential confounding factors. This study used colorectal cancer survival data from the Taiwan Cancer Registry database in order to comprehensively analyze age as a prognostic factor.

Methods

Survival data were analyzed for 62 060 CRC patients diagnosed with adenocarcinoma, mucinous adenocarcinoma, or signet-ring cell carcinoma of the colon and rectum between 1998 and 2005. The rates of all-cause mortality and CRC-related mortality were determined using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and the log-rank test was used to compare differences in survival between different age groups. The crude and adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause and CRC-related mortalities were calculated according to the estimates from the univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models.

Results

Patients in the ≤40 and the 41-50 age groups had a higher proportion of mucinous adenocarcinoma (P < 0.001) and signet-ring cell carcinoma (P < 0.001) compared to the older age groups. After adjusting for gender, histology, and tumor site, patients in the ≤40 age group had a poorer overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival compared to patients in the 41-50 and 51-60, and 61-70 age groups (P < 0.001), but a better OS and cancer-specific survival compared to patients in the 71-80 and >80 age groups (P < 0.001).

Conclusions

Our study indicated that age is an important consideration while determining the clinical management of CRC patients.

High expression of Zinc-finger protein X-linked promotes tumor growth and predicts a poor outcome for stage II/III colorectal cancer patients

Zinc-finger protein X-linked (ZFX) was recently identified as a novel oncoprotein in several human malignancies. In this study, we examined the correlation between ZFX expression and the clinical characteristics of stage II/III CRC patients, as well as the molecular mechanism by which ZFX apparently contributes to CRC tumor progression. Using immunohistochemistry, we detected expression of ZFX in CRC tissues collected from stage II/III patients and determined that its expression correlated with tumor differentiation and stage. Survival analysis indicated that patients with high ZFX expression had poorer overall and disease-free survival. ZFX knockdown in SW620 and SW480 CRC cells significantly inhibited cell proliferation and colony formation, enhanced apoptosis and induced cell cycle arrest. It also enhanced the sensitivity of CRC cells to 5-Fu. In a xenograft model, ZFX knockdown suppressed in vivo CRC tumor growth. Microarray analysis revealed the primary target of ZFX to be DUSP5. Whereas ZFX knockdown increased DUSP5 expression, DUSP5 knockdown rescued ZFX-mediated cell proliferation in ZFX knockdown cells. These findings demonstrate that ZFX promotes CRC progression by suppressing DUSP5 expression and suggest that ZFX is a novel prognostic biomarker and potentially useful therapeutic target in stage II/III CRC patients.

Adjuvant radiotherapy improves cause specific survival in stage II, not stage III mucinous carcinoma of the rectum

Background

The effect of adjuvant radiotherapy on the survival outcomes of patients with mucinous rectal cancer remains unclear. This study evaluated the 5-year cause specific survival (CSS) of patients with mucinous rectal cancer after surgery to determine whether adjuvant radiotherapy conferred a survival benefit.

Methods

An analysis of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-registered database was conducted of patients presenting with mucinous rectal cancer between 2004 and 2011. The primary endpoint was 5-year CSS; univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards regression models.

Results

A total of 574 patients were included for analysis with 248 patients in postoperative radiotherapy group and 326 patients in surgery alone group. Preliminary analysis demonstrated that adjuvant radiotherapy was not associated with CSS (χ² = 0.560, P = 0.454). Subgroup analysis indicated that postoperative radiotherapy group had survival advantage in stage II rectal cancer (93.3% vs. 76.6%, χ² = 4.654, P = 0.031), but not in stage III rectal cancer (67.5% vs. 64.7%, χ² = 0.186, P = 0.666). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that postoperative radiotherapy group had a reduced risk of death on survival (HR 0.346; 95%CI 0.129-0.927, P = 0.035)

Conclusion

Postoperative radiotherapy is an independent factor for improvement in CSS in patients with stage II rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma, and it should be routinely recommended in these patients. But for stage III patients, considering the losing of CSS advantage and potential radiotherapy toxicity, postoperative radiotherapy should be recommended with great caution.

Nomograms incorporated serum direct bilirubin level for predicting prognosis in stages II and III colorectal cancer after radical resection

An elevated serum bilirubin has been reported to be associated with a reduced risk of some cancer; however, the prognostic significance of serum bilirubin in colorectal cancer wasn’t fully understood. The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether serum bilirubin could predict the prognosis of patients in stages II and III colorectal cancer. A retrospective cohort of 986 patients with colorectal cancer who received surgical resection between January 2005 and December 2010 was included in the study. Levels for serum bilirubin were obtained from medical records. Survival analysis was used to evaluate the predictive value of bilirubin. Serum direct bilirubin (DBIL) was validated as a significant prognostic factor by univariate cox regression test for both overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS) (P < 0.05). X-tile program identified 3.6 as optimal cutoff values for DBIL in terms of OS and DFS. Patients were then divided into DBIL high (DBIL ≥ 3.60 μmol/l) and low group (DBIL < 3.60 μmol/l) according to the optimal cutoff. High DBIL had higher percentage of lymph node metastasis and lymphovascular invasion as compared with low DBIL levels (P < 0.05). Multivariate cox regression analyses confirmed that high DBIL level was an independently prognostic factor for both OS (HR: 1.337, 95% CI: 1.022–1.748, P = 0.034) and DFS (HR: 1.312, 95% CI: 1.049–1.643, P = 0.018). In addition, nomograms on OS and DFS were established according to all significant factors, and c-indexes were 0.715 (95% CI: 0.683–0.748) and 0.704 (95% CI: 0.678–0.730), respectively. Nomograms based on OS and DFS can be recommended as practical models to evaluate prognosis for CRC patients.

Effect of Age on Survival Outcome in Operated and Non-Operated Patients with Colon Cancer: A Population-Based Study

Objective

To know the effect of age on survival outcome in operated and non-operated patients with colon cancer.

Methods

From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, we identified 123,356 patients with colon cancer who were diagnosed between 1996 and 2005, grouped them as older or younger than 40 years and analyzed their 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) data, along with some risk factors, using Kaplan–Meier methods and multivariable Cox regression models.

Results

The younger group had significantly higher pathological grades (P<0.001), more mucinous and signet-ring histology (P<0.001), advanced AJCC stage (P<0.001), and were more likely to undergo surgery (P<0.001). For surgically treated patients, age did not significantly affect 5-year CSS (younger: 66.7%; older: 67.3%; P = 0.86). Further analysis showed that age was an independent prognostic factor in stage I–IV disease (stage I: P = 0.001; P<0.001 for stages II–IV, in both uni- and multivariate analyses), but not for patients with unknown disease stage (P = 0.52). For non-surgically treated patients, age significantly affected 5-year CSS (younger: 16.2%; older: 12.9%; P<0.001) in univariate analysis; and was an independent prognostic factor (P<0.001) in multivariate analysis.

Conclusion

The CSS rate for younger CC patients was at least as high as for older patients, although they presented with higher proportions of unfavorable factors and more advanced disease.