Comparing relationships between health-related behaviour clustering and episodic memory trajectories in the United States of America and England: a longitudinal study

Healthy lifestyle and cognitive decline in middle-aged and older adults residing in 14 European countries

Studies examining lifestyle and cognitive decline often use healthy lifestyle indices, making it difficult to understand implications for interventions. We examined associations of 16 lifestyles with cognitive decline. Data from 32,033 cognitively-healthy adults aged 50-104 years participating in prospective cohort studies of aging from 14 European countries were used to examine associations of lifestyle with memory and fluency decline over 10 years. The reference lifestyle comprised not smoking, no-to-moderate alcohol consumption, weekly moderate-plus-vigorous physical activity, and weekly social contact. We found that memory and fluency decline was generally similar for non-smoking lifestyles. By contrast, memory scores declined up to 0.17 standard deviations (95% confidence interval= 0.08 - 0.27) and fluency scores up to 0.16 standard deviations (0.07 - 0.25) more over 10 years for those reporting smoking lifestyles compared with the reference lifestyle. We thus show that differences in cognitive decline between lifestyles were primarily dependent on smoking status.

Modeling Risk Factors for Intraindividual Variability: A Mixed-Effects Beta-Binomial Model Applied to Cognitive Function in Older People in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing

Cognitive functioning in older age profoundly impacts quality of life and health. While most research on cognition in older age has focused on mean levels, intraindividual variability (IIV) around this may have risk factors and outcomes independent of the mean value. Investigating risk factors associated with IIV has typically involved deriving a summary statistic for each person from residual error around a fitted mean. However, this ignores uncertainty in the estimates, prohibits exploring associations with time-varying factors, and is biased by floor/ceiling effects. To address this, we propose a mixed-effects location scale beta-binomial model for estimating average probability and IIV in a word recall test in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. After adjusting for mean performance, an analysis of 9,873 individuals across 7 (mean = 3.4) waves (2002-2015) found IIV to be greater at older ages, with lower education, in females, with more difficulties in activities of daily living, in later birth cohorts, and when interviewers recorded issues potentially affecting test performance. Our study introduces a novel method for identifying groups with greater IIV in bounded discrete outcomes. Our findings have implications for daily functioning and care, and further work is needed to identify the impact for future health outcomes.

Statistical Approaches for the Analysis of Combined Health-Related Factors in Association with Adult Cognitive Outcomes: A Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

Dementia prevention is a global health priority, and there is emerging evidence to support associations between individual modifiable health behaviors and cognitive function and dementia risk. However, a key property of these behaviors is they often co-occur or cluster, highlighting the importance of examining them in combination.

OBJECTIVE

To identify and characterize the statistical approaches used to aggregate multiple health-related behaviors/modifiable risk factors and assess associations with cognitive outcomes in adults.

METHODS

Eight electronic databases were searched to identify observational studies exploring the association between two or more aggregated health-related behaviors and cognitive outcomes in adults.

RESULTS

Sixty-two articles were included in this review. Fifty articles employed co-occurrence approaches alone to aggregate health behaviors/other modifiable risk factors, eight studies used solely clustering-based approaches, and four studies used a combination of both. Co-occurrence methods include additive index-based approaches and presenting specific health combinations, and whilst simple to construct and interpret, do not consider the underlying associations between co-occurring behaviors/risk factors. Clustering-based approaches do focus on underlying associations, and further work in this area may aid in identifying at-risk subgroups and understanding specific combinations of health-related behaviors/risk factors of particular importance in the scope of cognitive function and neurocognitive decline.

CONCLUSION

A co-occurrence approach to aggregating health-related behaviors/risk factors and exploring associations with adult cognitive outcomes has been the predominant statistic approach used to date, with a lack of research employing more advanced statistical methods to explore clustering-based approaches.