Comparison of disease progression subgroups in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Development of a Novel Biomarker for the Progression of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

The progression of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is diverse and unpredictable. We identified and validated a new biomarker for IPF progression. To identify a candidate gene to predict progression, we assessed differentially expressed genes in patients with advanced IPF compared with early IPF and controls in three lung sample cohorts. Candidate gene expression was confirmed using immunohistochemistry and Western blotting of lung tissue samples from an independent IPF clinical cohort. Biomarker potential was assessed using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay of serum samples from the retrospective validation cohort. We verified that the final candidate gene reflected the progression of IPF in a prospective validation cohort. In the RNA-seq comparative analysis of lung tissues, CD276, COL7A1, CTSB, GLI2, PIK3R2, PRAF2, IGF2BP3, and NUPR1 were up-regulated, and ADAMTS8 was down-regulated in the samples of advanced IPF. Only CTSB showed significant differences in expression based on Western blotting (n = 12; p < 0.001) and immunohistochemistry between the three groups of the independent IPF cohort. In the retrospective validation cohort (n = 78), serum CTSB levels were higher in the progressive group (n = 25) than in the control (n = 29, mean 7.37 ng/mL vs. 2.70 ng/mL, p < 0.001) and nonprogressive groups (n = 24, mean 7.37 ng/mL vs. 2.56 ng/mL, p < 0.001). In the prospective validation cohort (n = 129), serum CTSB levels were higher in the progressive group than in the nonprogressive group (mean 8.30 ng/mL vs. 3.00 ng/mL, p < 0.001). After adjusting for baseline FVC, we found that CTSB was independently associated with IPF progression (adjusted OR = 2.61, p < 0.001). Serum CTSB levels significantly predicted IPF progression (AUC = 0.944, p < 0.001). Serum CTSB level significantly distinguished the progression of IPF from the non-progression of IPF or healthy control.

Derivation and validation of a simple multidimensional index incorporating exercise capacity parameters for survival prediction in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

INTRODUCTION

The gender-age-physiology (GAP) index is an easy-to-use baseline mortality prediction model in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). The GAP index does not incorporate exercise capacity parameters such as 6 min walk distance (6MWD) or exertional hypoxia. We evaluated if the addition of 6MWD and exertional hypoxia to the GAP index improves survival prediction in IPF.

METHODS

Patients with IPF were identified at a tertiary care referral centre. Discrimination and calibration of the original GAP index were assessed. The cohort was then randomly divided into a derivation and validation set and performance of the GAP index with the addition of 6MWD and exertional hypoxia was evaluated. A final model was selected based on improvement in discrimination. Application of this model was then evaluated in a geographically distinct external cohort.

RESULTS

There were 562 patients with IPF identified in the internal cohort. Discrimination of the original GAP index was measured by a C-statistic of 0.676 (95% CI 0.635 to 0.717) and overestimated observed risk. 6MWD and exertional hypoxia were strongly predictive of mortality. The addition of these variables to the GAP index significantly improved model discrimination. A revised index incorporating exercise capacity parameters was constructed and performed well in the internal validation set (C-statistic: 0.752; 95% CI 0.701 to 0.802, difference in C-statistic compared with the refit GAP index: 0.050; 95% CI 0.004 to 0.097) and external validation set (N=108 (C-statistic: 0.780; 95% CI 0.682 to 0.877)).

CONCLUSION

A simple point-based baseline-risk prediction model incorporating exercise capacity predictors into the original GAP index may improve prognostication in patients with IPF.

The Association between Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and Obstructive Sleep Apnea: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

The prevalence of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has greatly increased in recent years. Recent data suggest that severe and moderate forms of OSA affect between 6 and 17% of adults in the general population. Many papers are reporting the significantly increased prevalence of OSA in patients suffering from fibrotic diseases, including idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Therefore, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis regarding the dependency between IPF and OSA. Due to the lack of papers focusing on IPF among OSA patients, we focused on the prevalence of OSA among IPF patients. In the search strategy, a total of 684 abstracts were identified, 496 after the removal of duplicates. After the screening of titles and abstracts, 31 studies were qualified for further full-text analysis for eligibility criteria. The final analysis was performed on 614 IPF patients from 18 studies, which met inclusion criteria. There were 469 (76.38%) IPF patients with OSA and 145 (23.62%) without. The mean age varied from 60.9 ± 8.1 up to 70.3 ± 7.9. The obtained prevalence was 76.4 (95% CI: 72.9–79.7) and 75.7 (95% CI: 70.1–80.9) for fixed and random effects, respectively. The median prevalence of OSA among non-IPF patients for all the ethnics groups included in this study was 16,4% (IQR: 3.4%–26.8%). The study provides strong evidence for the increased prevalence of OSA in IPF patients when comparing with the general OSA prevalence.

Reticulation pattern without honeycombing on high-resolution CT is associated with the risk of disease progression in interstitial lung diseases

Background

The disease course of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is progressive and occasionally, other types of interstitial lung disease (ILD) may progress similarly to IPF. This study aimed to evaluate risk factors for disease progression within 24 months in patients with various ILDs.

Methods

This prospective study obtained 97 patients with a suspected ILD who underwent a transbronchial lung cryobiopsy. The extent of several high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) patterns was assessed. Due to the inclusion criteria the study population presented a low extent of honeycombing and definite usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern on HRCT suggesting an early stage of ILD. Disease progression within 24 months despite treatment was defined as a relative decline of ≥ 10% in forced vital capacity (FVC), or a relative decline in FVC of ≥ 5% and one of the three additional criteria: (1) a decline in diffusion capacity to carbon monoxide (DLCO) ≥ 15%; (2) increased fibrosis on HRCT; (3) progressive symptoms, or progressive symptoms and increased fibrosis on HRCT. The same definition was utilized in patients with IPF and other ILDs. Risk factors for disease progression were evaluated in a multivariable logistic regression model.

Results

Disease progression was revealed in 52% of the patients with ILD, 51% of the patients with IPF, and 53% of the patients with other types of ILD. A high extent of reticulation on HRCT (Odds ratio [OR] 3.11, 95% Confidence interval [CI] 1.21–7.98, P = 0.019) and never smoking (OR 3.11, CI 1.12–8.63, P = 0.029) were associated with disease progression whereas platelet count (OR 2.06 per 100 units increase, CI 0.96–4.45, P = 0.065) did not quite reach statistical significance.

Conclusion

Higher extent of reticulation on HRCT and never smoking appeared to associate with the risk of disease progression within 24 months in ILD patients without honeycombing. Approximately half of the patients with ILD revealed disease progression, and similar proportions were observed in patients with IPF and in other types of ILD.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12890-022-02105-9.

Prognostic Predictive Characteristics in Patients With Fibrosing Interstitial Lung Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: Limited data are available regarding the entire spectrum of interstitial lung disease with a progressive fibrosing feature. We investigated the prevalence and prognostic predictive characteristics in patients with PF-ILD.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study included patients with fibrosing ILD who were investigated between 1 January 2015 and 30 April 2021. We recorded clinical features and outcomes to identify the possible risk factors for fibrosing progression as well as mortality.

Results: Of the 579 patients with fibrosing ILD, 227 (39.21%) met the criteria for progression. Clubbing of fingers [odds ratio (OR) 1.52, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03 to 2.24, p = 0.035] and a high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT)-documented usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP)-like fibrotic pattern (OR 1.95, 95% CI 1.33 to 2.86, p = 0.001) were risk factors for fibrosis progression. The mortality was worse in patients with PF with hypoxemia [hazard ratio (HR) 2.08, 95% CI 1.31 to 3.32, p = 0.002], in those with baseline diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) % predicted &lt;50% (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.45 to 3.50, p &lt; 0.001), or in those with UIP-like fibrotic pattern (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.04 to 2.71, p &lt; 0.001).

Conclusion: Clubbing of fingers and an HRCT-documented UIP-like fibrotic pattern were more likely to be associated with progressive fibrosing with varied prevalence based on the specific diagnosis. Among patients with progressive fibrosing, those with hypoxemia, lower baseline DLCO% predicted, or UIP-like fibrotic pattern showed poor mortality.

Filtration-histogram based texture analysis and CALIPER based pattern analysis as quantitative CT techniques in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: head-to-head comparison

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prognostic performance of two quantitative CT (qCT) techniques in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) compared to established clinical measures of disease severity (GAP index).

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of high-resolution CT scans for 59 patients (age 70.5 ± 8.8 years) with two qCT methods. Computer-aided lung informatics for pathology evaluation and ratings based analysis classified the lung parenchyma into six different patterns: normal, ground glass, reticulation, hyperlucent, honeycombing and pulmonary vessels. Filtration histogram-based texture analysis extracted texture features: mean intensity, standard deviation (SD), entropy, mean of positive pixels (MPPs), skewness and kurtosis at different spatial scale filters. Univariate Kaplan-Meier survival analysis assessed the different qCT parameters' performance to predict patient outcome and refine the standard GAP staging system. Multivariate cox regression analysis assessed the independence of the significant univariate predictors of patient outcome.

RESULTS

The predominant parenchymal lung pattern was reticulation (16.6% ± 13.9), with pulmonary vessel percentage being the most predictive of worse patient outcome (p = 0.009). Higher SD, entropy and MPP, in addition to lower skewness and kurtosis at fine texture scale (SSF2), were the most significant predictors of worse outcome (p < 0.001). Multivariate cox regression analysis demonstrated that SD (SSF2) was the only independent predictor of survival (p < 0.001). Better patient outcome prediction was achieved after adding total vessel percentage and SD (SSF2) to the GAP staging system (p = 0.006).

CONCLUSION

Filtration-histogram texture analysis can be an independent predictor of patient mortality in IPF patients.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

qCT analysis can help in risk stratifying IPF patients in addition to clinical markers.

Decline in Mast Cell Density During Diffuse Alveolar Damage in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

Mast cells (MCs) are known to be involved in the pathogenesis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), although their role in acute exacerbations of IPF has not been investigated. The aims of the study were to evaluate the numbers of MCs in fibrotic and non-fibrotic areas of lung tissue specimens of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients with or without an acute exacerbation of IPF, and to correlate the MC density with clinical parameters. MCs of IPF patients were quantified from surgical lung biopsy (SLB) specimens (n = 47) and lung tissue specimens taken at autopsy (n = 7). MC density was higher in the fibrotic areas of lung tissue compared with spared alveolar areas or in controls. Female gender, low diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide, diffuse alveolar damage, and smoking were associated with a low MC density. MC densities of fibrotic areas had declined significantly in five subjects in whom both SLB in the stable phase and autopsy after an acute exacerbation of IPF had been performed. There were no correlations of MC densities with survival time or future acute exacerbations. The MC density in fibrotic areas was associated with several clinical parameters. An acute exacerbation of IPF was associated with a significant decline in MC counts. Further investigations will be needed to clarify the role of these cells in IPF and in the pathogenesis of acute exacerbation as this may help to identify some potential targets for medical treatment for this serious disease.

Mangostanin Derivatives as Novel and Orally Active Phosphodiesterase 4 Inhibitors for the Treatment of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis with Improved Safety

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive lung disease, and its incidence rate is rapidly rising. However, effective therapies for the treatment of IPF are still lacking. Phosphodiesterase 4 (PDE4) inhibitors were reported to be potential anti-fibrotic agents, but their clinical use was hampered by side effects like emesis and nausea. Herein, structure-based hit-to-lead optimizations of natural mangostanin resulted in the novel and orally active PDE4 inhibitor 18a with potent inhibitory affinity (IC50 = 4.2 nM), favorable physico-chemical properties, and a different binding pattern from roflumilast. Emetic activity tests on dogs demonstrated that 18a cannot cause emesis even at an oral dose of 10 mg/kg, whereas rolipram had severe emetic effects at an oral dose of 1 mg/kg. Finally, the oral administration of 18a (10 mg/kg) exhibited comparable anti-pulmonary fibrosis effects with pirfenidone (150 mg/kg) in a bleomycin-induced IPF rat model, indicating its potential as a novel anti-IPF agent with improved safety.

Survival of patients with asbestosis can be assessed by risk-predicting models

OBJECTIVES

Our aim was to investigate the pulmonary function test (PFT) results of patients with asbestosis and determine whether baseline PFTs and the risk-predicting models such as gender, age and physiologic (GAP) variables model and composite physiologic index (CPI) would be useful in predicting survival in these patients.

METHODS

Demographics and PFTs of 100 patients with asbestosis were evaluated. The survival difference between the GAP stages was determined with Kaplan-Meier survival curves with statistical significance analysed with log-rank test. The suitability of the risk-predicting models and baseline PFTs to predict the survival of patients was analysed with Cox regression.

RESULTS

At baseline, the mean value of diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) was 65%; for forced vital capacity it was 81%, with restrictive lung function being the most common impairment. The median estimated survival of the patients was 124 months, that is, 171 months in GAP stage I, 50 months in stage II and 21 months in stage III (p<0.001). CPI, DLCO% predicted, age at baseline and GAP stage were significant predictors of mortality (all p values under 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

GAP and CPI as well as baseline DLCO% predicted were significant parameters in the evaluation of the prognosis of the patients with asbestosis; they may be useful in clinical practice when considering treatment strategies of individual patients.

Several specific high-resolution computed tomography patterns correlate with survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Background

Evidence of honeycombing in high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) is a recognized risk factor for shortened survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but few studies have evaluated the feasibility of exploiting other specific patterns for predicting survival. The aim of this study was to examine the extent of specific HRCT patterns in IPF and determine whether they correlate with clinical features, pulmonary function tests (PFT), and survival.

Methods

Both the presence and extent of specific HRCT patterns, such as traction bronchiectasis, honeycombing, architectural distortion, reticulation, emphysema, and ground glass opacity, in 129 HRCT examinations were scored semi-quantitatively in three zones of each lung. HRCT examinations were also re-classified according to the 2011 and 2018 international statements. Correlations were calculated between the scores of specific HRCT patterns, clinical features, PFT, and patient survival.

Results

The extent of traction bronchiectasis was found to be an independent risk factor of shortened survival (HR 1.227, P=0.001). Patients with a possible usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern had a better median survival than the patients with a definite UIP pattern (61 vs. 37 months, P=0.026). The extents of traction bronchiectasis, honeycombing, and architectural distortion displayed an inverse correlation with all PFT values at the time of diagnosis. There were few differences between the radiological classifications of the 2011 and 2018 international statements.

Conclusions

We conclude that several specific HRCT patterns displayed a correlation with shortened survival in IPF; these may help in evaluating the risk of death in IPF patients.

Causes of acute respiratory hospitalizations predict survival in fibrosing interstitial lung diseases

Acute exacerbation of ILD (AE-ILD) is a common reason for hospitalization; it is also associated with significant mortality. Less is known about the prognostic significance of other events causing acute, non-elective hospitalizations in ILD patients. ILD patients hospitalized due to acute respiratory worsening were collected from medical records. Reasons for respiratory deterioration were classified into AE-ILDs and other causes. Clinical features and survival data of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and other types of ILDs were evaluated and compared. In all, 237 patients (138 with IPF and 99 with other ILD) fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Of the non-IPF ILD types, the most prevalent subgroups were connective tissue disease-associated ILD (n = 33) and asbestosis (n = 22). The most common cause for hospitalization was AE-ILD explaining 41% of hospitalizations. Lower respiratory tract infection (22%), subacute progression of ILD (12%) and cardiovascular causes (7.2%) were other common reasons for hospital treatment. Patients with a lower respiratory tract infection had a more favorable prognosis compared with patients with AE-ILD. AE-ILDs were less fatal than cardiovascular or concurrent non-ILD-related causes for hospitalizations in non-IPF patients. High Gender-Age-Physiology (GAP) index was a marker for shortened survival and earlier AE-ILDs in all patients. IPF patients had a significantly shorter overall and post-hospitalization survival time compared with other ILDs. Most respiratory hospitalizations in ILD patients were related to causes other than AE-ILD, which highlights the importance of accurate differential diagnosis in order to target the appropriate treatment for each ILD patient.

A modified GAP model for East-Asian populations with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BACKGROUND

The easy-to-calculate gender, age, and lung physiology (GAP) model shows good predictive and discriminative performance in the prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, the GAP model was not effective in predicting the prognosis accurately in previous Japanese and Korean IPF cohort studies. Therefore, we developed a modified GAP model for the East-Asian populations by weighing the GAP variables. The validity of the modified GAP model was subsequently evaluated in East-Asian IPF patients.

METHODS

The derivation cohort comprised 326 patients with IPF. Weights of the variables were adjusted on the basis of coefficients derived from Cox regression models. The total points were distributed to the three stages of the disease so that the number of patients included in each stage was appropriate. The validity of the modified model was analyzed in another Japanese cohort of 117 patients with IPF and a nationwide cohort of Korean patients with IPF.

RESULTS

Predicted survival rates differed significantly in the derivation cohort using the modified GAP model for each stage of IPF (log-rank test: stage I vs. stage II, p < 0.001; stage II vs. stage III, p < 0.001). Model performance improved according to Harrell's C-index (at three years: 0.696 in the original GAP model to 0.738 in the modified model). The performance of the modified model was validated in the Japanese validation and Korean national cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Our modification of the original GAP model showed improved performance in East-Asian IPF patient populations.

Improvement in Subjective Symptoms and Tolerability in Response to Nintedanib Treatment in Elderly Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

The efficacy of nintedanib treatment in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) was demonstrated in phase III trials. However, there is limited data on the significance of nintedanib in elderly patients aged ≥75 years. We have retrospectively evaluated 54 newly nintedanib-treated patients including 32 elderly individuals. Potential changes in modified medical research council (mMRC) grade and COPD (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) assessment test (CAT) score, as well as in forced vital capacity (FVC) were obtained 6 months before, at the time of, and 6 and 12 months after initiation of nintedanib treatment. Significant differences were observed in CAT scores between 6 months before treatment and baseline (p < 0.001), and between baseline and 6 months (p < 0.001) and 12 months (p < 0.001) after treatment. If subjective improvement is defined as an improvement in mMRC grade or CAT score by 1 or 3 points, respectively, 25 patients (46.3%) have significantly improved after 6 months of treatment. Out of these, all have improved in CAT score. The tolerability of nintedanib was similar in elderly and younger patients. These findings suggest that CAT scores could be useful in the subjective assessment during nintedanib treatment, and that nintedanib is safe and efficient for the treatment of the elderly population.