Usefulness of clinical predictors for preoperative screening of deep vein thrombosis in hip fractures

Random forest predictive modeling of prolonged hospital length of stay in elderly hip fracture patients

Background

In elderly individuals suffering from hip fractures, a prolonged hospital length of stay (PLOS) not only heightens the probability of patient complications but also amplifies mortality risks. Yet, most elderly hip fracture patients present compromised baseline health conditions. Additionally, PLOS leads to increased expenses for patient treatment and care, while also diminishing hospital turnover rates. This, in turn, jeopardizes the prompt allocation of beds for urgent cases.

Methods

A retrospective study was carried out from October 2021 to November 2023 on 360 elderly hip fracture patients who underwent surgical treatment at West China Hospital. The 75th percentile of the total patient cohort's hospital stay duration, which was 12 days, was used to define prolonged hospital length of stay (PLOS). The cohort was divided into training and testing datasets with a 70:30 split. A predictive model was developed using the random forest algorithm, and its performance was validated and compared with the Lasso regression model.

Results

Out of 360 patients, 103 (28.61%) experienced PLOS. A Random Forest classification model was developed using the training dataset, identifying 10 essential variables. The Random Forest model achieved perfect performance in the training set, with an area under the curve (AUC), balanced accuracy, Kappa value, and F1 score of 1.000. In the testing set, the model's performance was assessed with an AUC of 0.846, balanced accuracy of 0.7294, Kappa value of 0.4325, and F1 score of 0.6061.

Conclusion

This study aims to develop a prognostic model for predicting delayed discharge in elderly patients with hip fractures, thereby improving the accuracy of predicting PLOS in this population. By utilizing machine learning models, clinicians can optimize the allocation of medical resources and devise effective rehabilitation strategies for geriatric hip fracture patients. Additionally, this method can potentially improve hospital bed turnover rates, providing latent benefits for the healthcare system.

Comparison of different machine learning classification models for predicting deep vein thrombosis in lower extremity fractures

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a common complication in patients with lower extremity fractures. Once it occurs, it will seriously affect the quality of life and postoperative recovery of patients. Therefore, early prediction and prevention of DVT can effectively improve the prognosis of patients. This study constructed different machine learning models to explore their effectiveness in predicting DVT. Five prediction models were applied to the study, including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model, Logistic Regression (LR) model, RandomForest (RF) model, Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) model, and Support Vector Machine (SVM) model. Afterwards, the performance of the obtained prediction models was evaluated by area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1 score, and Kappa. The prediction performances of the models based on machine learning are as follows: XGBoost model (AUC = 0.979, accuracy = 0.931), LR model (AUC = 0.821, accuracy = 0.758), RF model (AUC = 0.970, accuracy = 0.921), MLP model (AUC = 0.830, accuracy = 0.756), SVM model (AUC = 0.713, accuracy = 0.661). On our data set, the XGBoost model has the best performance. However, the model still needs external verification research before clinical application.

Dissecting the rationale for thromboprophylaxis in challenging surgical cases

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a leading preventable cause of death in surgical patients, and rates of fatal PE are increasing. Individual assessment, to balance the risks of thrombosis and bleeding, is the key to providing appropriate prophylaxis. The risk assessment process includes use of evidence-based guidelines, literature published since the latest guidelines, large registries, and risk scoring systems together with clinical experience and judgment. Risk assessment is a dynamic process and needs to be updated both during the hospital stay and just prior to discharge since clinical events may change the level of risk. The final assessment may identify patients who require ongoing anticoagulant prophylaxis after discharge. The Caprini risk score is widely used in surgical patients and is a composite of the number of risk factors and their relative weights. The Caprini risk score set point for risk levels requiring anticoagulant prophylaxis varies depending on the type of surgical procedure, surgical population, and number of risk factors. Mandatory implementation of evidence-based care pathways is helpful in lowering PE-related mortality. This review presents several challenging cases, emphasizing the importance of employing all available assessment tools, including dynamic assessment of risk during hospitalization. Finally, the limitations of evidence-based guidelines in complex scenarios and the need to employ all available tools to properly protect very high-risk patients are emphasized.

A Comparison of the Caprini Score With an Institutional Risk Assessment Tool for Prediction of Venous Thromboembolism After Total Joint Arthroplasty at an Urban Tertiary Care Health Safety Net Hospital

Background

Patients undergoing total joint arthroplasty (TJA) are at increased risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE). Prediction tools such as the Caprini Risk Assessment Model (RAM) have been developed to identify patients at higher risk. However, studies have reported heterogeneous results when assessing its efficacy for TJA. Patients treated in an urban health safety net hospital have increased medical complexity, advanced degenerative joint disease, and severe disability prior to TJA increasing the risk of VTE. We hypothesize that use of a tool designed to account for these conditions-the Boston Medical Center (BMC) VTE score-will more accurately predict VTE in this patient population.

Methods

A retrospective case-control study was performed including subjects 18 years of age and older who underwent primary or revision TJA in an urban academic health safety net hospital. Patients with hemiarthroplasties, simultaneous bilateral TJA, and TJA after acute trauma were excluded. A total of 80 subjects were included: 40 who developed VTE after TJA (VTE+) and 40 who did not develop VTE (controls). Subjects were matched by age, gender, and surgical procedure.

Results

There was a statistically significant difference between the mean BMC VTE score for VTE+ and controls (4.40 and 3.13, respectively, P = .036). Conversely, there was no statistical difference between the mean Caprini scores for VTE+ and controls (9.50 and 9.35, respectively, P = .797).

Conclusions

In a health safety-net patient population, an institutional RAM-the BMC VTE score-was found to be more predictive of VTE than the modified Caprini RAM following TJA. The BMC-VTE score should be externally validated to confirm its reliability in VTE prediction in similar patient populations.

D-dimer-albumin ratio (DAR) as a new biomarker for predicting preoperative deep vein thrombosis after geriatric hip fracture patients

PURPOSE

Hip fractures in the elderly are complicated by preoperative deep vein thrombosis (DVT). The objective of this study is to determine the usefulness of blood-based biomarkers, particularly the D-dimer-albumin ratio (DAR), in predicting preoperative DVT.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study was carried out on 1149 patients from a single hospital, and subsequently validated on an additional 626 patients from a separate hospital. The aim was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of 10 biomarkers, with a specific emphasis on DAR, in both cohorts. The primary measure of interest was the occurrence of preoperative DVT.

RESULTS

The ratio of D-dimer to albumin demonstrated superior predictive capability for preoperative DVT in older patients with hip fractures compared to other biomarkers (AUC = 0.677). Using the optimal cutoff point of 0.24, high DAR was significantly associated with preoperative DVT (OR 3.45, 95% CI 2.00-5.95). Notably, all the DAR definitions detailed above were successfully validated in an external, independent cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

DAR may be a valuable biomarker for predicting preoperative DVT in elderly patients with hip fractures.

The association between admission serum albumin and preoperative deep venous thrombosis in geriatrics hip fracture: a retrospective study of 1819 patients with age ≥ 65 years

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluated the association between serum albumin levels and preoperative deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in geriatric hip fractures.

METHODS

Older adult patients with hip fractures were screened between January 2015 and September 2019. The demographic and clinical characteristics of the patients were collected. Multivariate binary logistic regression and generalized additive model were used to identify the linear and nonlinear association between albumin levels and preoperative DVT. Analyses were performed using EmpowerStats and the R software.

RESULTS

A total of 1819 patients were included in this study. The average age was 79.37 ± 6.88 years. There were 550 males and 1269 females. The preoperative albumin was 38.19 ± 4.07 g/L. There were 580 (31.89%) preoperative DVTs. Multivariate binary logistic regression showed that albumin level was associated with preoperative DVT (odds ratio [OR] = 0.94, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.91-0.97, P = 0.0002) after adjusting for confounding factors. The fully adjusted model showed a DVT risk decrease of 6% when albumin concentration increased by one g/L after controlling for confounding factors. In addition, the trend test and propensity score matching also showed a stable linear correlation between albumin level and preoperative DVT.

CONCLUSION

Serum albumin is associated with preoperative DVT in geriatric patients with hip fractures, and it could be considered a predictor for the risk of DVT.

REGISTRATION ID

ChiCTR2200057323.

Incidence and risk factors of isolated calf muscular venous thrombosis after tibial plateau fractures surgery

BACKGROUND

The risks associated with deep vein thrombosis (DVT) have gained significant recognition over time. A prevalent form of distal DVT is isolated calf muscular venous thrombosis (ICMVT). Despite its common clinical occurrence, data on ICMVT subsequent to tibial plateau fracture (TPF) surgery are scarce. This study aimed to examine the epidemiological characteristics and associated risk factors (RFs) of ICMVT following TPF surgery.

METHODS

For this retrospective analysis, we included patients from our hospital, who underwent TPF surgery between March 2017 and March 2021. Patients' electronic medical records were reviewed, including admission details, fracture classification, surgical procedures, and laboratory biomarkers. The HSS (The American Hospital for Special Surgery) and Rasmussen scores were employed to evaluate the clinical effect. A Color Duplex Flow Imager (CDFI) was regularly used to detect pre- and postoperative venous thrombosis in the lower limbs. Finally, uni- and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent RFs associated with ICMVT.

RESULTS

Overall, 481 participants were recruited for analysis. Postoperative ICMVT occurred in 47 patients. All ICMVTs occurred on the affected side. Four of the 47 ICMVT patients exhibited sudden postoperative swelling in the affected limb. The HSS and Rasmussen scores in the non-ICMVT cohort (87.6 ± 8.2, 16.0 ± 1.7) were markedly different from the ICMVT cohort (84.8 ± 8.2, 15.5 ± 1.6) (p = 0.014, p = 0.031). This study finally identified five postoperative ICMVT-related RFs, which were age (> 55 years old) (OR 3.06; 95% CI 1.47-6.37; p = 0.003), gender (female) (OR 2.67; 95% CI 1.37-5.22; p = 0.004), surgical duration (> 114 min) (OR 3.14; 95% CI 1.44-6.85; p = 0.004), elevated white blood cell content (OR 2.85; 95% CI 1.47-5.51; p = 0.002), and hyponatremia (OR 2.31; 95% CI 1.04-5.12; p = 0.040).

CONCLUSION

The epidemiological findings of this study may help predict ICMVT risk after surgery thus facilitating the development of individualized clinical assessments and targeted prevention programs.

The Thresholds of Caprini Score Associated With Increased Risk of Venous Thromboembolism Across Different Specialties: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVE

Estimation of the specific thresholds of the Caprini risk score (CRS) that are associated with the increased incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) across different specialties, including identifying the highest level of risk.

BACKGROUND

Accurate risk assessment remains an important but often challenging aspect of VTE prophylaxis. One well-established risk assessment model is CRS, which has been validated in thousands of patients from many different medical and surgical specialties.

METHODS

A search of MEDLINE and the Cochrane Library was performed in March 2022. Manuscripts that reported on (1) patients admitted to medical or surgical departments and (2) had their VTE risk assessed by CRS and (3) reported on the correlation between the score and VTE incidence, were included in the analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 4562 references were identified, and the full text of 202 papers was assessed for eligibility. The correlation between CRS and VTE incidence was reported in 68 studies that enrolled 4,207,895 patients. In all specialties, a significant increase in VTE incidence was observed in patients with a CRS of ≥5. In most specialties thresholds of ≥7, ≥9, and ≥11 to 12 were associated with dramatically increased incidences of VTE. In COVID-19, cancer, trauma, vascular, general, head and neck, and thoracic surgery patients with ≥9 and ≥11 to 12 scores the VTE incidence was extremely high (ranging from 13% to 47%).

CONCLUSION

The Caprini score is being used increasingly to predict VTE in many medical and surgical specialties. In most cases, the VTE risk for individual patients increases dramatically at a threshold CRS of 7 to 11.

Deep vein thrombosis screening in pediatric orthopedic patients

Background

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is an important clinical condition that leads to subsequent morbidity and mortality in children, particularly those who involved operative procedures. The preoperative assessment for DVT in children may vary among different population risk factors and types of surgery. This study aimed to evaluate the screening methods for DVT in pediatric orthopedic patients.

Method

We performed a retrospective cohort study of orthopedic patients aged <18 years at Ramathibodi Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand, from 2015 to 2019. The inclusion criteria were children scheduled for orthopedic surgery; who performed a D-dimer test, Wells score, and Caprini score; and who underwent Doppler ultrasonography for DVT screening. The exclusion criteria were incomplete data or inconclusive ultrasonographic results. Age and results of the D-dimer test, Wells score, and Caprini score were collected from all patients. The outcome assessment was ultrasound-proven DVT. The screening abilities of each test were analyzed in terms of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), likelihood ratio (LR) for positive and negative tests, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

Results

A total of 419 children were included in the study. Five (1.19%) patients were diagnosed with DVT. The mean age was 10.16 ± 4.83 years. D-dimer ≥500 ng/mL had a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI: 47.8%–100%), a specificity of 36.7% (95% CI: 32.1%–41.6%), a PPV of 1.9% (95% CI: 0.6%–4.3%), and an NPV of 100% (95% CI: 97.6%–100%). Wells score ≥3 demonstrated a sensitivity of 0% (95% CI: 0%–52.2%), a specificity of 99.3% (95% CI: 97.9%–99.9%), and an LR for a negative test of 1.00 (95% CI: 1.00–1.01). Caprini score ≥11 had a sensitivity of 0% (95% CI: 0%–52.2%) and a specificity of 99.8% (95% CI: 98.7%–100%). The parallel test included D-dimer ≥500 ng/mL, Wells score ≥3, or Caprini score ≥11 points, generating a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI: 47.8%–100%), a specificity of 36.7% (95% CI: 32.1%–41.6%), an LR for a positive test of 1.58 (95% CI: 1.47–1.70), and an AUC of 0.68 (95% CI: 0.66–0.71).

Conclusions

The D-dimer test exhibited moderate ability in predicting the development of DVT among pediatric orthopedic patients requiring surgery. The Wells score and Caprini score had low performance in identifying hospitalized children at increased risk of DVT events.

Correlation between shape-closed femoral stem design and bone cement implantation syndrome in osteoporotic elderly femoral neck fracture undergoing cemented hip arthroplasty: A retrospective case-control study in 128 patients

BACKGROUND

Bone cement implantation syndrome (BCIS) is a serious and potentially fatal complication especially in patients with osteoporotic femoral neck fracture (OFNF) undergoing cemented hip arthroplasty (CHA). Recent studies showed that the shape-closed femoral stem profile could lead to a significant increase of the intramedullary pressure during cementation and prosthesis insertion. This study aimed to (1) correlate the use of shaped-closed femoral stem and other perioperative risk factors with severe grade of BCIS grade 2 or 3: BCIS gr2/3, and (2) identify the prevalence of BCIS in the elderly patients with OFNF and treated with CHA.

HYPOTHESIS

Large wedge-shaped (or "shape-closed") femoral stem design would significantly associate with BCIS gr2/3 in the elderly patients who sustained OFNF and underwent CHA.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 128 OFNF patients, who aged over 75years and underwent CHA were retrospectively reviewed and then allocated into 2 groups: SC Group (use shape-closed femoral stem, n=40) and FC Group (use force-closed femoral stem, n=88). BCIS was grading in all patients according to Donaldson classification. Perioperative data between the patients with BCIS-gr2/3 and those with BCIS grade 0 or 1 (BCIS-gr0/1) were compared. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictive factors for BCIS-gr2/3.

RESULTS

The prevalence of overall BCIS and BCIS-gr2/3 was 32.8% (n=42) and 6.2% (n=8), respectively. The total in-hospital and 1-year mortality rates were 2.3% and 4.7%, respectively. The major perioperative complication in patients with BCIS-gr2/3 was significantly higher compared to those in patients with BCIS-gr0/1 (62.5% vs. 10.0%, p=0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that age>90years (OR=9.4, 95% CI: 1.4-62.9, p=0.02), preinjury Parker mobility score<4 (OR=48.8; 95% CI: 2.7-897.2, p=0.008) and shape-closed femoral stem used (OR=19.1; 95% CI: 1.8-204.5, p=0.01) were the significant independent predictors for BCIS-gr2/3 in these patients.

CONCLUSION

BCIS in OFNF patients undergoing CHA is common and associates with a high major perioperative complication rate. Our initial hypothesis is validated as the patients at risk for BCIS-gr2/3 are those whose CHA procedures use a shape-closed femoral stem design and with extreme age, and having poor preinjury ambulatory status. Therefore, we recommended using cementless stem as the first option in OFNF. However, if CHA is needed, strict guideline for cement insertion should be followed with force-closed stem application to avoid the risk of BCIS-gr2/3.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III; retrospective case-control study.

A nomogram for prediction of deep venous thrombosis risk in elderly femoral intertrochanteric fracture patients: A dual-center retrospective study

Objective

Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) of the lower extremity is a common perioperative complication of femoral intertrochanteric fracture. This study aimed to identify the risk factors of lower extremity deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in elderly femoral intertrochanteric fracture patients and establish a nomogram model.

Methods

From August 2014 to June 2021, a total of 1,652 femoral intertrochanteric fracture patients over the age of 65 were enrolled in our study. We distinguished independent risk factors by univariate and multivariate Cox analyses. A nomogram model was then built, and the discriminative and calibration of the model was evaluated through receiver operating characteristics (ROC) and calibration plots.

Results

A total of 378 patients developed DVT (292 in the training group, 86 in the validation group) while the remaining patients did not. According to the univariate and multivariate Cox analyses results, age (OR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.04-1.10), fibrinogen (OR = 2.09, 95% CI: 1.68-2.60), D-dimer (OR = 1.33, 95% CI: 1.27-1.40), time from injury to admission (OR = 1.78, 95% CI: 1.55-2.05), functional status (OR = 4.21, 95% CI: 2.86-6.20), and diabetes (OR = 1.65, 95% CI: 1.10-2.48) were identified as independent risk factors of DVT. The ROC values for DVT of the training and validation group were 0.862 and 0.912, and the P-value of the Hosmer-Lemeshow calibration test was 0.767.

Conclusion

This nomogram model can be used to predict the probability of preoperative DVT in elderly patients with femoral intertrochanteric fracture and guide physician in perioperative thrombosis management.

The Association between the Hematocrit at Admission and Preoperative Deep Venous Thrombosis in Hip Fractures in Older People: A Retrospective Analysis

Hematocrit, a commonly used hematological indicator, is a simple and easily applicable test. As a marker of anisocytosis and anemia, it indicates the percentage of blood cells per unit volume of whole blood. This study aimed to evaluate the association between the level of the hematocrit at admission and preoperative deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in hip fractures of older people. We collected the demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with geriatric hip fractures between 1 January 2015, and 30 September 2019, at the largest trauma center in northwestern China. Doppler ultrasonography was used to diagnose DVT. The correlation between hematocrit levels at admission and preoperative DVT was assessed using linear and nonlinear multivariate logistic regression, according to the adjusted model. All analyzes were performed using EmpowerStats and R software. In total, 1840 patients were included in this study, of which 587 patients (32%) had preoperative DVT. The mean hematocrit level was 34.44 ± 5.64 vol%. Linear multivariate logistic regression models showed that admission hematocrit levels were associated with preoperative DVT (OR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.95−0.99; p = 0.0019) after adjustment for confounding factors. However, the linear association was unstable, and nonlinearity was identified. An admission hematocrit level of 33.5 vol% was an inflection point for the prediction. Admission hematocrit levels <33.5 vol% were not associated with preoperative DVT (OR = 1.00, 95% CI: 0.97−1.04, p = 0.8230), whereas admission hematocrit levels >33.5 vol% were associated with preoperative DVT (OR = 0.94, 95% CI: 25 0.91−0.97, p = 0.0006). Hematocrit levels at admission were nonlinearly associated with preoperative DVT, and hematocrit at admission was a risk factor for preoperative DVT. However, the severity of a low hematocrit was not associated with preoperative DVT when the hematocrit was <33.5 vol%.

Predictors of preoperative deep vein thrombosis in hip fractures: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The predictors of preoperative deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in patients with hip fractures remain unclear. Therefore, this study describes the results of a systematic review and meta-analysis of relevant peer-reviewed literature on this topic.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and MEDLINE for articles published in English on the predictors of preoperative DVT in hip fractures. We calculated pooled odds ratios (OR) or mean differences (MD) for the DVT groups as compared with the non-DVT groups for each variable, including gender, age, body mass index, injury side, current smoking status, time from injury to admission, time from injury to surgery, fracture type, hypertension, arrhythmia, coronary artery disease, diabetes, stroke, kidney disease, liver disease, lung disease, malignancy, rheumatoid arthritis, D-dimer, fibrinogen, activated partial thromboplastin time, prothrombin time, thrombin time, hemoglobin, albumin, total cholesterol, and triglycerides.

RESULTS

We included 9 studies involving 3,123 Asian patients with hip fractures (DVT, n = 570; non-DVT, n = 2,553). Being female (OR = 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.56; p = 0.02), being of advanced age (MD = 1.63; 95% CI 0.80-2.47; p = 0.0001), having a longer time from injury to admission (MD = 0.80; 95% CI 0.48-1.12; p < 0.00001), having a longer time from injury to surgery (MD = 2.20; 95% CI 1.53-2.88; p < 0.00001), and the presence of kidney disease (OR = 1.76; 95% CI 1.04-2.96; p = 0.03) were correlated with a high risk of DVT. However, we found no significant differences between the two groups in the other predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

Evidence indicates that being female, being of advanced age, having a longer time from injury to admission, having a longer time from injury to surgery, and having kidney disease are significantly correlated with a high risk of preoperative DVT in Asian patients with hip fracture. Further investigations with patients of other ethnicities are required.

Association between hyperglycemia on admission and preoperative deep venous thrombosis in patients with femoral neck fractures

Background

Elevated blood glucose is the most frequent electrolyte disturbance in acutely ill patients. This study aimed to determine whether admission hyperglycemia is associated with the incidence of preoperative deep venous thrombosis (DVT) in patients with femoral neck fractures.

Methods

This retrospective study was conducted on consecutive patients with femoral neck fractures admitted to our institution from March 2018 to March 2022. Blood glucose levels were measured within 24 h of admission and categorized into quartiles (Q1 = 5.30; Q2 = 5.70; Q3 = 6.60). Patients were divided into four groups (Group1-4) based on the quartiles. Preoperative DVT was diagnosed using venous compression ultrasonography. Multivariable logistic regression models and propensity score matching analysis evaluated the association between blood glucose and preoperative DVT in patients.

Results

Of 217 patients included in this study, 21(9.7%) had preoperative DVT in hospital, and admission hyperglycemia was observed in 83 (38.2%). Preoperative DVT was higher in patients with hyperglycemia (n = 15) than patients without hyperglycemia (n = 6) in the multivariable logistic regression models (OR 3.03, 95% CI 0.77–11.87). Propensity scores matching analyses manifested that compared with patients with group 2 (5.30 – 5.70 mmol/L) of glucose levels, the odds of preoperative DVT were slightly higher (OR 1.94, 95% CI 0.31–12.12) in patients with group 3 (5.70 – 6.60 mmol/L), substantially higher (OR 6.89, 95% CI 1.42–33.44, P trend < 0.01) in patients with the group 4 (> 6.60 mmol/L) of glucose levels.

Conclusions

In patients hospitalized for femoral neck fracture, markedly elevated blood glucose is associated with increased preoperative DVT in patients. The development of this biomarker could help in guiding patient counseling, risk assessment, and future management decisions.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12891-022-05862-0.

Patient-Completed Caprini Risk Score for Venous Thromboembolism Risk Assessment: Developed and Validated from 1,017 Medical and Surgical Patients

Background The Caprini Risk Score (CRS) is one of the most widely used risk assessment models for venous thromboembolism (VTE). A well-validated patient-completed CRS form may allow patients to self-report and simplify the evaluation by health care workers.

Methods The Chinese version of the CRS was optimized for easy understanding in a pilot study. The amended CRS form was completed by prospectively recruited patients and blinded nurses. The agreement levels of the individual questions and the total scores of patient and nurse-completed forms were compared using the Kappa value. The total scores were used for risk stratification of patients. Correlation and differences between patient and nurse-completed forms were analyzed using the Spearman correlation and Bland–Altman method, respectively.

Results We recruited 504 medical patients and 513 surgical patients, aged 52.7 ± 16.3 years, of which 443 (43.6%) were men, and 91.6% of the patients were educated beyond junior high school. The patients spent less time to complete the form compared with trained nurses. There was good question-to-question agreement between patient and nurse-completed CRS (k >0.6 for most questions, p < 0.0001). The total scores also showed good agreement (k = 0.6097, p < 0.0001), and enabled the classification of patients into different risk groups. The patient and nurse-derived scores were highly correlated (Spearman's r = 0.84), and without extreme values (p < 0.0001).

Conclusion We have created and verified a Chinese version of the patient-completed CRS, which showed good agreement and correlation with nurse-completed CRS. CRS represents a suitable tool for VTE risk assessment of hospitalized patients in China.

Risk factors for preoperative deep venous thrombosis in hip fracture patients: a meta-analysis

Study design

A meta-analysis.

Background

Hip fracture (HF), as common geriatric fracture, is related to increased disability and mortality. Preoperative deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is one of the most common complications in patients with hip fractures, affecting 8–34.9% of hip fracture patients. The study aimed to assess the risk factors of preoperative DVT after hip fractures by meta-analysis.

Methods

An extensive search of the literature was performed in the English databases of PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library; and the Chinese databases of CNKI and WAN FANG. We collected possible predictors of preoperative DVT from included studies, and data analysis was conducted with RevMan 5.3 and STATA 12.0.

Results

A total of 26 English articles were included, and the rate of DVT was 16.6% (1627 of 9823 patients) in our study. Our findings showed that advanced age [p = 0.0003, OR = 0.13 95% CI (0.06, 0.21)], female patients [p = 0.0009, OR = 0.82 95% CI (0.72, 0.92)], high-energy injury [p = 0.009, OR = 0.58 95% CI (0.38, 0.87)], prolonged time from injury to admission [p < 0.00001, OR = 0.54 95% CI (0.44, 0.65)], prolonged time from injury to surgery [p < 0.00001, OR = 2.06, 95% CI (1.40, 2.72)], hemoglobin [p < 0.00001, OR = − 0.32 95% CI (− 0.43, − 0.21)], coronary heart disease [p = 0.006, OR = 1.25 95% CI (1.07, 1.47)], dementia [p = 0.02, OR = 1.72 95% CI (1.1, 2.67)], liver and kidney diseases [p = 0.02, OR = 1.91 95% CI (1.12, 3.25)], pulmonary disease [p = 0.02, OR = 1.55 95% CI (1.07, 2.23)], smoking [p = 0.007, OR = 1.45 95% CI (1.11, 1.89)], fibrinogen [p = 0.0005, OR = 0.20 95% CI (0.09, 0.32)], anti-platelet drug [p = 0.01, OR = 0.51 95% CI (0.30, 0.85)], C-reactive protein [p = 0.02, OR = 5.95 95% CI (1.04, 10.85)], < 35 g/l albumin [p = 0.006, OR = 1.42 95% CI (1.1, 1.82)], and thrombosis history [p < 0.00001, OR = 5.28 95% CI (2.85, 9.78)] were risk factors for preoperative DVT.

Conclusions

Many factors, including advanced age, female patients, high-energy injury, prolonged time from injury to admission, prolonged time from injury to surgery, patients with a history of coronary heart disease, dementia, liver and kidney diseases, pulmonary disease, smoking, and thrombosis, fibrinogen, C-reactive protein, and < 35 g/l albumin, were found to be associated with preoperative DVT. Our findings suggested that the patient with above characteristics might have preoperative DVT.

Level of evidence: Level III.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s10195-022-00639-6.

Utilization of the Caprini Score for Risk Stratification of the Arthroplasty Patient in the Prevention of Postoperative Venous Thrombosis

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a serious and predictable complication following arthroplasty. It has been recognized that a strategy utilizing individualized anticoagulation choices based on patient risk stratification results in improved patient outcomes. A 2013 version of the Caprini Risk Score has previously been validated for use in total joint arthroplasty. A Caprini score of 10 or greater assesses the patient as "high risk" while 9 or less is considered "low risk." Patients scored as "low risk" for postoperative VTE receive enteric coated aspirin 81 mg twice a day for 6 weeks. Patients scored as "high risk" for VTE are prescribed apixaban. This retrospective cohort study was conducted to assess the safety and efficacy of the thromboprophylaxis treatment prescribed based on a standardized risk assessment protocol for the calendar year 2020. Patients having total hip arthroplasty, total knee arthroplasty, revision total hip arthroplasty, revision total knee arthroplasty, or bilateral arthroplasties by 13 surgeons (N = 873) were reviewed. Patients were risk assessed using the Caprini Risk Score and thromboprophylaxis was prescribed based on the score obtained. The annual rate of VTE was 0.2%. The Caprini Risk Score is an effective approach to individualize thromboprophylaxis choices after total joint arthroplasty.

Incidence of and risk factors for pre-operative deep venous thrombosis in geriatric intertrochanteric fracture patients

PURPOSE

The purpose of this prospective study was to investigate the pre-operative incidence of and risk factors for deep venous thrombosis (DVT) in geriatric intertrochanteric fractures to help facilitate the peri-operative management of them.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data of 1515 geriatric intertrochanteric fracture patients were extracted from a prospective intertrochanteric fractures database according to the inclusion criteria and exclusion criteria. The demographics, fracture characteristics, and pre-operative laboratory indicators of patients were evaluated statistically.

RESULTS

The incidence of pre-operative DVT was 10.2% (155 in 1360 patients) in the present study. The rates of proximal DVT, distal DVT, and mixed DVT were 18.1% (28 patients), 56.8% (88 patients), and 25.2% (39 patients), respectively. The percentages of DVT developing in the affected limb, uninjured limb, and bilateral limbs were 74.2% (115 in 55 patients), 16.8% (26 in 155 patients), and 9% (14 in 155 patients), respectively. After the multivariable analysis, the time from injury to surgery (TIS) > 4 days [odds ratio (OR) = 1.870, p = 0.001], the number of comorbidities > 2 (OR = 2.124, p = 0.014), and albumin (ALB) < 35 g/L (OR = 1.516, p = 0.043), etc. were significantly associated with the development of preoperative DVT in geriatric intertrochanteric fracture patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Although routine anticoagulant therapy was used to prevent the formation of DVT, the incidence of which was still high. Therefore, pre-operative ultrasound of both lower extremities was advised for pre-operatively, especially for patients with delayed surgery, hypoproteinemia, three or more comorbidities, and a D-dimer level > 1.59 mg/L.

Incidence of and risk factors for new-onset deep venous thrombosis after intertrochanteric fracture surgery

This study aimed to investigate the incidence of and risk factors for postoperative new-onset deep venous thrombosis (PNO-DVT) following intertrochanteric fracture surgery. Information on 1672 patients who underwent intertrochanteric fracture surgery at our hospital between January 2016 and December 2019 was extracted from a prospective hip fracture database. Demographic information, surgical data, and preoperative laboratory indices were analysed. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, univariate analyses and binary logistic regression analyses were performed. The incidences of postoperative deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and PNO-DVT in inpatients after intertrochanteric fracture surgery were 11.5% (202 of 1751 patients) and 7.4% (123 of 1672 patients), respectively. PNO-DVT accounted for 60.9% of postoperative DVT. Additionally, there were 20 cases of central thrombosis (16.3%), 82 cases of peripheral thrombosis (66.7%), and 21 cases of mixed thrombosis (17.1%). In addition, 82.1% of PNO-DVTs were diagnosed within 8 days after surgery. The multivariate analysis revealed that age > 70 years, duration of surgery (> 197 min), type of anaesthesia (general), and comorbidities (≥ 3) were independent risk factors for the development of PNO-DVT after intertrochanteric fracture surgery. This study demonstrated a high incidence of PNO-DVT in inpatients after intertrochanteric fracture surgery. Therefore, postoperative examination for DVT should be routinely conducted for patients.

Predicting venous thromboembolism in hospitalized trauma patients: a combination of the Caprini score and data-driven machine learning model

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common complication of hospitalized trauma patients and has an adverse impact on patient outcomes. However, there is still a lack of appropriate tools for effectively predicting VTE for trauma patients. We try to verify the accuracy of the Caprini score for predicting VTE in trauma patients, and further improve the prediction through machine learning algorithms.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed emergency trauma patients who were admitted to a trauma center in a tertiary hospital from September 2019 to March 2020. The data in the patient's electronic health record (EHR) and the Caprini score were extracted, combined with multiple feature screening methods and the random forest (RF) algorithm to constructs the VTE prediction model, and compares the prediction performance of (1) using only Caprini score; (2) using EHR data to build a machine learning model; (3) using EHR data and Caprini score to build a machine learning model. True Positive Rate (TPR), False Positive Rate (FPR), Area Under Curve (AUC), accuracy, and precision were reported.

RESULTS

The Caprini score shows a good VTE prediction effect on the trauma hospitalized population when the cut-off point is 11 (TPR = 0.667, FPR = 0.227, AUC = 0.773), The best prediction model is LASSO+RF model combined with Caprini Score and other five features extracted from EHR data (TPR = 0.757, FPR = 0.290, AUC = 0.799).

CONCLUSION

The Caprini score has good VTE prediction performance in trauma patients, and the use of machine learning methods can further improve the prediction performance.

Predictive factors associated with the clinical outcome of intertrochanteric hip fracture in high-risk elderly patients treated with total hip arthroplasty versus percutaneous external fixation

Background

Little is known regarding the survival and functional recovery of elderly intertrochanteric hip fracture (IHF) patients after total hip arthroplasty (THA) versus percutaneous external fixation (PEF). This study aims to analyze the prognostic factors of THA and PEF in elderly IHF patients.

Methods

A total of 155 consecutive elderly patients (mean age of 80 years) diagnosed with IHF were retrospectively reviewed from our database between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2018. The preoperative, intraoperative and postoperative covariates were analyzed by two independent surgical cohorts: THA and PEF. The main outcomes included the hip function score, all-cause mortality within 1 year after surgery, and overall survival. Covariables and their influence on independent outcomes were analyzed using multivariate regression models.

Results

The median follow-up period was 5.1 years, and 6 patients were lost to follow-up. At the endpoint, 70 of 85 patients treated with THA and 37 of 70 patients treated with PEF survived, exhibiting mean Harris hip scores of 84.4 and 69.0, respectively. The Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests showed no significant difference in overall survival. After adjusting for the covariates, the surgical mode was a unique prognostic factor affecting hip function recovery, and two prognostic factors (leukocyte count and D-dimer) were correlated with 1-year all-cause mortality. Age at admission, fracture classification, D-dimer level and surgical mode were identified as prognostic factors affecting overall survival. After adjusting for the former three covariates, THA reduced the risk of death by 67.20% compared with PEF (HR 0.328, 95% CI, 0.121–0.890).

Conclusions

Despite the nonsignificant difference in 1-year all-cause mortality, THA demonstrated superior midterm survival and hip function recovery in elderly IHF patients compared with PEF. Predictive factors, including age at admission, fracture classification, D-dimer level and surgical mode, are associated with the overall survival of IHF in high-risk elderly patients.

Clinical predictors for deep vein thrombosis on admission in patients with intertrochanteric fractures: a retrospective study

Background

Limited studies were available to investigate the prevalence of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) on admission in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures. The aim of present study was to evaluate risk factors and the prevalence of pre-admission DVT in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures.

Methods

This retrospective study included 788 elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture who were eligible for this study from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2019. Color doppler ultrasonography was performed for DVT detection at admission. All patients’ clinical data were collected. Univariate analysis and stepwise backward multivariate logistic regression were used to identify the risk factors contributing to the occurrence of DVT.

Results

The overall prevalence of pre-admission DVT in patients with intertrochanteric fractures was 20.81% (164 of 788 patients). The mean time from injury to admission was 2.1 days in the total population, 2.96 and 1.87 days in patients with and without DVT. Univariate analysis showed that significantly elevated risk of DVT were found in patients with longer time from injury to admission, high energy injury, lower Hb value, higher BMI, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), atrial fibrillation, dementia, varicose veins, higher age-adjusted CCI, higher ASA class and A3 type intertrochanteric fractures (P < 0.05). The adjusted multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that longer time from injury to admission, high energy trauma, COPD, lower Hb, diabetes and A3 type intertrochanteric fractures were independent risk factors of pre-admission DVT.

Conclusions

A high prevalence of pre-admission DVT was found in elderly Chinese patients with intertrochanteric fractures. Therefore, surgeons should be aware of the high prevalence of DVT for elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures in order to prevent intraoperative and postoperative PE and other lethal complications.

Analysis of perioperative risk factors for deep vein thrombosis in patients with femoral and pelvic fractures

Objective

Clinical characteristics, anticoagulant protocols, and risk factors of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in patients with femoral and pelvic fractures were analyzed throughout the perioperative period to provide references for early identification and optimization of risk factors.

Methods

This was a retrospective study. A total of 569 patients undergoing surgery of femoral and pelvic fractures from May 2018 to December 2019 were included.

The clinical data including general conditions, trauma, surgery, anticoagulant protocols, and laboratory indexes were collected. According to the results of deep vein Doppler ultrasonography of the lower extremities, the patients were divided into non-DVT group and DVT group. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to identify the independent risk factors of preoperative and postoperative DVT.

Results

The incidence of DVT was 40.25% and preoperative DVT was 26.71%, which was higher than the incidence of postoperative DVT of 17.22%. Most of them were thrombus on the affected side (60.26%) and distal thrombus (81.66%). The average time of DVT formation was 6.55 ± 0.47 days after trauma and 6.67 ± 0.48 days after surgery. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), anemia, hypoproteinemia, non-anticoagulation before surgery, delayed anticoagulation after trauma and admission, high-energy trauma, multiple injuries, drinking history, and advanced age were independent risk factors for perioperative DVT. The increased level of fibrinogen degradation products was an independent risk factor for preoperative DVT. These risk factors were identified to be independently associated with postoperative DVT, including intraoperative blood transfusion, postoperative blood transfusion, pulmonary infection, preoperative non-anticoagulation, postoperative delayed anticoagulation, preoperative waiting time > 7 days, operative time > 2 h, c-reactive protein, fibrinogen level, platelet count 1 day after surgery, c-reactive protein, fibrinogen, and hemoglobin levels 3 days after surgery, comminuted fracture.

Conclusions

At present, anticoagulation and other DVT prevention and treatment programs have not changed the current situation that the incidence of DVT is still high. Through the analysis of the risk factors of DVT throughout the perioperative period, optimizing the perioperative blood transfusion, preoperative lung disease, hypoproteinemia, anemia, inflammation, etc., and surgery as soon as possible after trauma may further reduce its incidence.

Application value of D-dimer testing and Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) to predict venous thromboembolism (VTE) in Chinese non-oncological urological inpatients: a retrospective study from a tertiary hospital

Background

The Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) and D-dimer testing have been widely used in the prediction of venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, the clinical significance of these testing options are limited in non-oncological urological inpatients because of the low specificity.

Methods

This retrospective study included 1,453 patients who were admitted to the non-oncological unit of the Department of Urology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, from January 2018 to December 2018. The highest score of Caprini RAM and the highest D-dimer level were collected in this retrospective study. Ultrasound examinations of the lower extremities or computed tomographic pulmonary arteriography (CTPA) were applied to patients who were suspected of having VTE, if necessary.

Results

A total of 1,453 patients were collected in this study, which included 34 VTE and 1,419 non-VTE patients. The threshold of D-dimer was 0.89 µg/mL, according to the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, with a sensitivity of 82.4%, a specificity of 83.3%, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 99.5%. The cut-off of the Caprini RAM was 5, with a sensitivity of 76.5%, a specificity of 58.7%, and an NPV of 99.0%. The area under the curve (AUC) was higher for D-dimer (0.86) than for the Caprini score (0.73).

Conclusions

The application of 0.89 µg/mL and a score of 5 as cut-offs for D-dimer testing and Caprini RAM, respectively, could safely decrease the proportion of Chinese non-oncological urological inpatients who needed to undergo further examinations. These new findings may enhance the application value of D-dimer testing and Caprini RAM for Chinese non-oncological urological inpatients.

Prophylaxis of Venous Thromboembolism in Ankle and Foot Surgeries

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is among the most feared complications by orthopedists both for due to its potentially lethal outcome and the uncertainties related to its prevention. Despite the vast literature on VTE prevention in major orthopedic surgeries, little is known about it in ankle and foot procedures. In orthopedics, adequate thromboprophylaxis requires a careful assessment of the thrombotic and hemorrhagic risks based on the procedure to be performed, as well as and knowledge on anticoagulant agents. The presentis review has the goal of assessing the risk of developingdiscusses VTE risk assessment, the modalities of thromboprophylaxis modalities, and the drugs used, with an emphasis on foot and ankle surgeries.

Deep Vein Thrombosis in Patients with Intertrochanteric Fracture: A Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the incidences of pre- and post-operative lower extremity deep venous thrombosis (DVT) in hospitalized patients with intertrochanteric fractures and to analyze the relevant risk factors.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted between July 2014 and October 2016 in 218 intertrochanteric fracture patients who presented at Xi'an Honghui Hospital and underwent Doppler ultrasonography for DVT diagnosis. We divided DVT into distal, proximal, and mixed thrombosis. Patients were divided into either the thrombosis or no thrombosis group according to preoperative and postoperative ultrasonography results. All patients were evaluated for the risk factors associated with thrombosis.

RESULTS

A total of 37.61% of preoperative patients had DVT, and the postoperative incidence increased to 58.72%. The days between fracture and hospitalization and the days between fracture and surgery were independent risk factors for preoperative DVT. The days between fracture and hospitalization and d-dimer levels at postoperative 1 day were independent risk factors of postoperative DVT. In total 23.4% of the patients progressed from having no thrombosis preoperatively to having distal, proximal, or mixed DVT postoperatively (22.02%, 0.46%, and 0.92%, respectively). Distal DVT constituted 86.59% and 90.63% of all preoperative and postoperative DVTs, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Intertrochanteric fracture is a common type of hip fracture in the elderly, and the incidence of DVT after intertrochanteric fracture may be underestimated. Early intervention (early admission and early surgery) might reduce the incidence of DVT.

The Incidence of Venous Thromboembolism Following Pelvic and Lower Extremity Trauma Despite Adherence to Modern Prophylactic Protocols

OBJECTIVES

Describe the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with pelvic and lower extremity long bone trauma in the setting of modern prophylaxis.

DESIGN

Retrospective health-system database study.

SETTING

Multi-center health care system.

PATIENTS

Database query from 2010 to 2017 identified 11,313 adult trauma patients who received open reduction internal fixation of pelvic, acetabular, femoral neck, or intertrochanteric fractures, or received intramedullary nailing (IMN) of the femoral or tibial shaft. Patients with incomplete prophylaxis, prior history of VTE, coagulopathy, or concomitant lower extremity fracture were excluded.

INTERVENTION

Mechanical and chemical VTE prophylaxis following pelvic or lower extremity fracture fixation.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS

VTE rates.

RESULTS

The overall VTE rate was 0.82% [0.39% deep venous thromboses (DVT); 0.43% pulmonary emboli (PE)]. By procedure, pelvic open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) and femoral IMN had the highest VTE rates 1.70% (0.98% DVT; 0.78% PE) and 1.33% (0.75% DVT; 0.58% PE), whereas tibial IMN had the lowest incidence of VTE 0.34% (0.17% DVT; 0.17% PE). Among hip fractures, femoral neck ORIF had a VTE rate of 0.98% (0.59% DVT; 0.39% PE), whereas intertrochanteric ORIF had lower rates of 0.59% (0.20% DVT; 0.39% PE).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite adherence to modern VTEp protocols, nonpreventable VTE occur in 0.82% of pelvic and lower extremity orthopaedic trauma patients. Incidence ranged between 0.34% and 1.70% depending on injury/fixation method with the highest rate observed in pelvis ORIF followed by femoral IMN. In the era of pay for quality performance, it is important for health systems and auditing agencies to reconcile the difference between preventable and nonpreventable VTEs.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Predicting Factors for Return to Prefracture Ambulatory Level in High Surgical Risk Elderly Patients Sustained Intertrochanteric Fracture and Treated With Proximal Femoral Nail Antirotation (PFNA) With and Without Cement Augmentation

Introduction:

Postoperative outcomes in the elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture were generally poor with a low rate of return to prefracture ambulatory level (RPAL). Recent studies showed that proximal femoral nail antirotation (PFNA) with cement augmentation might be useful for postoperative functional recovery. This study aimed to compare the outcomes in elderly patients with high surgical risk, American Society of Anesthesiologist (ASA) grade 3 or 4, who sustained intertrochanteric fractures and were treated with PFNA with and without cement augmentation, and to correlate perioperative surgical factors with the RPAL.

Methods:

A retrospective consecutive series was conducted based on 135 patients with prefracture ambulation classified as independent in community with or without a single cane (68 in augmented group and 67 in control group). Perioperative data and data on the complications within 1-year postsurgery were collected and compared. Predictive factors for RPAL were analyzed via logistic regression analysis.

Results:

The overall 1-year postoperative mortality rate was 10% (n = 14) with no significant difference between groups (P = .273). The proportion of elderly patients with RPAL in the augmented group was significantly higher than for those in the control group (48% vs 29%, P = .043). Via univariate analysis, ASA grade 4 (P = .077), history of stroke (P = .035), and use of cement augmentation (P = .041) were correlated with RPAL. However, multivariate regression analysis showed that ASA grade 4 (odds ratio [OR] = 0.40, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.18-0.90, P = .026) and use of cement augmentation (OR = 2.72, 95% CI: 1.22-6.05, P = .014) were the significant predictors for RPAL.

Discussion and Conclusions:

The results of the present study showed that PFNA with cement augmentation is safe and effectiveness in the intertrochanteric fracture treatment of elderly. Postoperative functional recovery, like RPAL, in elderly patients who sustained intertrochanteric fractures is relatively low, especially in those with ASA grade 4. However, cement augmentation with PFNA might be helpful for increasing the RPAL in high-surgical-risk geriatric patients.

New score including daily life independence levels with dementia is associated with the onset of deep vein thrombosis in frail older adults

AIM

The detailed risk factors of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) remain unknown, and no efficient tool to assess the risk of the development of DVT among older adults has been established. This study aimed to clarify the risk factors, including the level of daily life independence, and develop an assessment score for DVT in older patients.

METHODS

We recruited 252 patients aged ≧65 years with suspected deep vein thrombosis. Risk factors for deep vein thrombosis, cognitive impairment, laboratory data and level of daily life independence were analyzed to calculate the odds ratios for the onset of DVT with logistic regressions. The Himi score was generated with factors significantly related to DVT by adjusting the respective odds ratios. The discrimination accuracy of the Himi score associated with the onset of DVT was compared with those of conventional scores (Wells score, Padua score) based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

Low levels of daily life independence, D-dimer level >3.0 μg/mL, anticoagulant use, cancer and immobilization or symptoms of the lower limbs were associated with the onset of DVT. The discrimination accuracy of Himi scores composed of these related factors was significantly higher than those of the Wells and Padua scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Achieving a better performance than did the Wells and Padua scores, the Himi score could be used to assess the risk of DVT in frail older adults. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2020; 20: 414-421.

Venous thromboembolism rates remained unchanged in operative lower extremity orthopaedic trauma patients from 2008 to 2016

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a serious complication that contributes to morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs during the surgical care of patient with lower extremity fractures. Despite this, few recommendations on the topic exist and the literature on VTE incidence is incomplete. Therefore, this study will attempt to estimate annual incidence and trends in 30-day thrombotic events and mortality for the following fractures: (1) hip, (2) femur, (3) patella, (4) tibia and/or fibula, and (5) ankle.

METHODS

We identified 120,521 operative lower extremity orthopaedic trauma patients from 2008 to 2016 using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. To evaluate the relationship between the year in which surgery was performed and comorbidities and demographic information bivariate analysis was performed. Bivariate analysis was also performed for the outcomes of interest and year in which the surgery was performed to assess for change. Additionally, bimodal multivariate logistic regression models for hip, femur, and ankle fractures were built, comparing the years 2009 to 2016 using 2008 as a baseline.

RESULTS

Overall incidence for VTE over the study period was 1.7% for hip fractures, 2.4% for femur fractures, 0.9% for patella fractures, 1.1% in tibia and/or fibula fractures, and 0.6% in ankle fractures. Over the study period VTE incidence saw a significant decrease (p < 0.05) in hip and femur fractures, but not for patella, tibia and/or fibula, and ankle fractures. After adjusting for confounding factors with multivariate analysis, the change in hip and femur fractures was no longer significant, while no significant decrease was again found for ankle fractures (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrates that VTE rates have remained unchanged in operative lower extremity orthopaedic trauma from 2008 to 2016. This highlights the need for higher quality evidence on this important topic in orthopaedic trauma, including a reevaluation on the necessity of thromboprophylaxis guidelines.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III.

Implementation and Validation of the 2013 Caprini Score for Risk Stratification of Arthroplasty Patients in the Prevention of Venous Thrombosis

Appropriate chemoprophylaxis choice following arthroplasty requires accurate patient risk assessment. We compared the results of our prospective department protocol to the Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) retrospectively in this study group. Our goal was to determine whether the department protocol or the Caprini score would identify venous thromboembolism (VTE) events after total joint replacement. A secondary purpose was to validate the 2013 Caprini RAM in joint arthroplasty and determine whether patients with VTE would be accurately identified using the Caprini score. A total of 1078 patients met inclusion criteria. A Caprini score of 10 or greater is considered high risk and a score of 9 or less is considered low risk. The 2013 version of the Caprini RAM retrospectively stratified 7 of the 8 VTE events correctly, while only 1 VTE was identified with the prospective department protocol. This tool provided a consistent, accurate, and efficacious method for risk stratification and selection of chemoprophylaxis.

Completion of the Updated Caprini Risk Assessment Model (2013 Version)

The Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) has been validated in over 250 000 patients in more than 100 clinical trials worldwide. Ultimately, appropriate treatment options are dependent on precise completion of the Caprini RAM. As the numerical score increases, the clinical venous thromboembolism rate rises exponentially in every patient group where it has been properly tested. The 2013 Caprini RAM was completed by specially trained medical students via review of the presurgical assessment history, medical clearances, and medical consults. The Caprini RAM was completed for every participant both preoperatively and predischarge to ensure that any changes in the patient’s postoperative course were captured by the tool. This process led to the development of completion guidelines to ensure consistency and accuracy of scoring. The 2013 Caprini scoring system provides a consistent, thorough, and efficacious method for risk stratification and selection of prophylaxis for the prevention of venous thrombosis.

Is the Caprini Score Predictive of Venothromboembolism Events in Orthopaedic Fracture Patients?

OBJECTIVE

Explore the validity of the Caprini Score in orthopaedic patients with lower-extremity fractures.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Level I trauma academic medical center.

PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS

Eight hundred forty-eight patients with lower-extremity fractures from 2002 to 2015 with exclusion criteria: minors, follow-up less than 30 days.

INTERVENTION

Stratify patients into 2 groups: high-risk (pelvic and acetabular fractures) and low-risk groups (isolated foot and ankle fractures).

MAIN OUTCOME

Caprini Score, fracture classification, length of follow-up, deep vein thrombosis (DVT) chemoprophylaxis, and venothromboembolism (VTE) events [DVT and/or pulmonary embolism (PE)] diagnosed with objective testing.

RESULTS

Eight hundred forty-eight patients (499 M; 349 F) 18-93 years of age (average 43.7) with average body mass index of 29. Three hundred high-risk and 548 low-risk patients with no differences in demographics with average follow-up of 288 days. There were 33 (3.9%) VTE events, which were more common in the high-risk group (8%: 9 DVT, 15 PE) than the low-risk group (1.6%: 8 DVT, 1 PE) (P < 0.0001). The cutoff that best-predicted VTE events based on receiver-operating curves was 12 (c = 0.74) in the high-risk group, 11 (c = 0.79) in the low-risk group, and 12 (c = 0.83) overall.

CONCLUSION

There was a significant lower VTE rate found in the low-risk group, but the Caprini prediction model was not significantly different between the 2 groups. This displays that patient factors play a large role in the development of VTE events independent of injury type. The Caprini score may help identify patients who may require increased protection.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Calf measurements screening for deep vein thrombosis in acute inpatient cancer rehabilitation

Background/Aims:

Cancer patients have a fourfold increase in the frequency of thrombosis and it is a common cause of death. The purpose of this study was to review the impact of calf measurements during initial admission to an inpatient rehabilitation unit to detect deep vein thrombosis.

Methods:

During inpatient admission to a rehabilitation unit, calf measurement assessments were performed by nursing staff. The nurses were instructed to notify clinicians for an order for a venous Doppler ultrasound if the difference between the two calves was greater than 3 cm.

Findings:

A total of 374 patients were admitted to the inpatient cancer rehabilitation unit over 12 months. Only six patients (2%) did not have their calves measured, with a 98% compliance of measurement. Only two patients (0.5%) had a difference in calf measurement and clinical exam significant to warrant a venous Doppler ultrasound. Both cases were negative for thrombosis. Venous Doppler ultrasounds were performed in 63 (17%) patients before admission to the rehabilitation unit. During the rehabilitation stay, venous Doppler ultrasounds were performed on 44 (12%) patients, with 10 (3%) patients identified with having deep vein thrombosis.

Conclusions:

This study suggests that calf measurements at admission to a rehabilitation unit were unable to detect deep vein thrombosis in this cancer population. Venous Doppler ultrasounds were ordered and identified additional patients who had deep vein thrombosis.

Venous thromboembolism prophylaxis using the Caprini score

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) including pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is one of the leading causes of preventable cardiovascular disease in the United States (US) and is the number one preventable cause of death following a surgical procedure. Post-operative VTE is associated with multiple short and long-term complications. We will focus on reviewing the many faces of VTE in detail as they represent common challenging scenarios in clinical practice.

Admission prevalence of deep vein thrombosis in elderly Chinese patients with hip fracture and a new predictor based on risk factors for thrombosis screening

BACKGROUND

Elderly hip fracture (HF) patients are at very high risk of developing deep vein thrombosis (DVT), which increases their perioperative mortality. However, data focusing on the admission prevalence of DVT in elderly Chinese patients with hip fracture are limited. Venography and ultrasonography are not suitable for most elderly HF patients; there is also controversy about the prognostic value of D-dimer in elderly patients. Thus, our primary goal was to clarify the prevalence of and risk factors for DVT in elderly Chinese HF patients at admission. Our secondary goal was to evaluate the diagnostic value of a new predictor of DVT based on the risk factors for elderly HF patients.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted in the West China Hospital, Sichuan University. Between January 2015 and January 2017, 248 elderly Chinese HF patients (> 60 years) were enrolled in this study. The subjects were diagnosed with DVT using ultrasonography or venography. All the patients' clinical data were obtained, including demographic variables, medical history, comorbidities, and laboratory results. A stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors contributing to the occurrence of DVT. The value of the new DVT predictor was calculated using a formula based on the coefficient regression and independent variables. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the diagnostic value of different factors.

RESULTS

Of the study patients, 74 (29.8%) were diagnosed with DVT, including sixty-five (87.8%) with distal peripheral, five (6.8%) with proximal central and four (5.4%) with mixed DVT. A multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that five risk factors increased the occurrence of DVT at admission, including gender, age, time from injury to admission, fibrinogen, and D-dimer. The new DVT predictor was calculated using the following formula: 1.131× (female = 1, male = 0) + 0.071 × age (years) + 0.571 × time from injury to admission (days) + 1.028 × fibrinogen(g/L) + 0.123 × D-dimer(g/L). The diagnostic value of the new predictor was highest among those risk predictors whose AUC (area under the ROC curves) value was 0.852.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study revealed a high prevalence of DVT in elderly Chinese HF patients at admission. Moreover, the new predictor, based on risk factors, was a good method to improve the diagnosis of DVT.

Risk assessment and management of preoperative venous thromboembolism following femoral neck fracture

BACKGROUND

Limited studies are available to investigate the prevalence of preoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE) in elderly patients with femoral neck fractures. Our primary aim was to determine the incidences of VTE and its risk or protective factors in such patient population. The secondary objective was to evaluate the need of therapeutic anticoagulation for isolated calf muscular venous thrombosis (ICMVT) prior to femoral neck fracture surgery.

METHODS

This is a retrospective case-control study, including 301 femoral neck fracture patients who were admitted to our institution between January 2014 and March 2017. Bilateral Doppler ultrasonography was performed in each of the patients as a preoperative VTE screening. The event rate of VTE was calculated, and significant risk or protective factors were determined by using a multivariate logistic regression model. Patients with ICMVT were divided into anticoagulation and no anticoagulation groups to assess the efficacy and safety of preoperative therapeutic anticoagulation. Intraoperative blood loss, drainage volume, blood transfusion, perioperative hemoglobin change, and rate of thrombosis extension were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

The overall preoperative incidence of VTE in patients with femoral neck fracture was 18.9% (57/301), in which deep vein thrombosis (DVT) was 18.9% and pulmonary embolism (PE) was 1%. Among the DVT cases, 77.2% (44/57) were ICMVTs. Multiple fractures (odds ratio [OR] = 9.418; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.537 to 34.96), coexisting movement disorder (OR = 3.862; 95% CI = 1.658 to 8.993), bed rest for more than 7 days (OR = 2.082; 95% CI = 1.011 to 4.284) as well as elevated levels of D-dimer (OR = 1.019; 95% CI = 1.002 to 1.037) and fibrinogen (OR = 1.345; 95% CI = 1.008 to 1.796) led to an increase in the risk of VTE, while the recent use of antiplatelet drug (OR = 0.424; 95% CI = 0.181 to 0.995) and prophylactic anticoagulation (OR = 0.503; 95% CI = 0.263 to 0.959) decreased the risk of VTE. For the 39 patients with ICMVT undergoing femoral neck fracture surgery, there were no significant differences in the rate of thrombosis extension between anticoagulation and no anticoagulation groups, but significantly decreased postoperative hemoglobin was observed in the anticoagulation group.

CONCLUSION

Our findings showed a high prevalence of preoperative VTE in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture, with risk factors identified. We found that the most detected VTE were ICMVTs. Our study suggested that a direct surgery without preoperative use of therapeutic anticoagulation for ICMVT would not reduce the risk of thrombus extension, and the therapeutic use of anticoagulation may worsen postoperative anemia.

Effects of Natural Hirudin and Low Molecular Weight Heparin in Preventing Deep Venous Thrombosis in Aged Patients with Intertrochanteric Fracture

Our objective was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of natural hirudin and low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) in the prevention of perioperative deep venous thrombosis (DVT) in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture. From June 2014 to June 2017, 96 patients with intertrochanteric fractures were treated with proximal femoral nail antirotation (PFNA) were randomly divided into two groups. For DVT prevention, 45 patients were treated with oral natural hirudin and subcutaneous LMWH-calcium (test group) and 51 patients were treated with subcutaneous LMWH-calcium (control group). The mean intraoperative bleeding, wound drainage and incisional hematoma were higher in the test group, with no significant differences between the groups. There were significant differences in distal intramuscular venous thrombosis (P = 0.043). Both activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), thrombin time (TT), and prothrombin time (PT) lengthened in both groups postoperatively, and there was a significant difference between the two groups two weeks postoperatively. D-dimer were significantly different and platelet count (PLT) did not differ between groups two weeks postoperatively. In elderly patients with unilateral intertrochanteric fracture after PFNA on anticoagulant therapy, the combination of natural hirudin and LMWH was more effective than that of LMWH-calcium alone, with no significant difference with regard to safety.

High energy injury is a risk factor for preoperative venous thromboembolism in the patients with hip fractures: A prospective observational study

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to identify the incidence of preoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE), and determine if high energy hip fracture affects preoperative VTE occurrence.

METHODS

Three-hundred nine patients (244 low and 61 high energy injuries) treated between March 2015 and March 2017 were included in this study. Indirect multidetector computed tomographic venography for the detection of preoperative VTE was performed at admission. The incidence of preoperative VTE was compared between high and low energy injury hip fractures. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for preoperative VTE.

RESULTS

The overall incidence of preoperative VTE was 18.4% (56 of 305 patients). Preoperative VTE was identified in 17 (27.9%) and 39 (16.0%) patients in the high and low energy injury groups, respectively (p = 0.034). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that high energy injury, history of VTE, and myeloproliferative disease were significant predictive factors of preoperative VTE (OR = 2.451; 95% CI = 1.227-4.896, OR = 11.174; 95% CI = 3.500-35.673, OR = 6.936; 95% CI = 1.641-29.321, respectively) CONCLUSION: Because high energy hip fracture is significantly associated with preoperative VTE occurrence, preoperative evaluation and proper thromboprophylaxis should be performed for patients with a high-energy hip fracture.