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Abouelazayem M, Jain R, Wilson MSJ, Martinino A, Balasubaramaniam V, Biffl W, Coccolini F, Riera M, Wadhawan H, Wazir I, Abderaouf B, Abramov D, Abu Jayyab MA, Al-Shami K, Alfarwan A, Alhajami FM, Alkaseek A, Alozairi O, Ammar AS, Atar B, Baatarjav GE, Bains L, Bakri A, Bayramov N, Bhojwani R, Brachini G, Calini G, Campanelli M, Cheng SY, Choudhary CS, Chowdhury S, Colak E, Das JK, Dawani S, Dönmez T, Elzayat I, Erdene S, Faizi TQ, Frountzas M, Gafsi B, Gentileschi P, Guler M, Gupta G, Harkati NE, Harris M, Hasan DM, Irowa OO, Jafferi S, Jain SA, Jun Han L, Kandiboyina SM, Karabulut M, Khamees A, Khan S, Khan MM, Khaw CJ, Kisielewski M, Klib M, Košir JA, Krawczyk WJ, Lisi G, Makama JG, Maqbool B, Marques CN, Meric S, Mietła MP, Ads AM, Muhumuza J, Mulita F, Mustafayeva M, Omar MA, Omarov T, Pathak AA, Paul R, Pavone G, Podda M, Raja Ram NK, Rauf F, Rauf S, Safy AM, Sandag E, Şanlı AN, Siddiqui AZ, Sotiropoulou M, Talib V, Tatar C, Thota A, Tokocin M, Tolat A, Uchikov PA, Valenzuela JI, Venkatappa SK, Verras GI, Vlahović I, Zreeg DAS, Cardoso VR, Gkoutos GV, Singhal R, Mahawar K. Global 30-day morbidity and mortality of surgery for perforated peptic ulcer: GRACE study. Surg Endosc 2024:10.1007/s00464-024-10881-0. [PMID: 38886232 DOI: 10.1007/s00464-024-10881-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2023] [Accepted: 04/28/2024] [Indexed: 06/20/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There is little international data on morbidity and mortality of surgery for perforated peptic ulcer (PPU). This study aimed to understand the global 30-day morbidity and mortality of patients undergoing surgery for PPU and to identify variables associated with these. METHOD We performed an international study of adults (≥ 18 years) who underwent surgery for PPU from 1st January 2022 to 30th June 2022. Patients who were treated conservatively or had an underlying gastric cancer were excluded. Patients were divided into subgroups according to age (≤ 50 and > 50 years) and time from onset of symptoms to hospital presentation (≤ 24 and > 24 h). Univariate and Multivariate analyses were carried out to identify factors associated with higher 30-day morbidity and mortality. RESULTS 1874 patients from 159 centres across 52 countries were included. 78.3% (n = 1467) of the patients were males and the median (IQR) age was 49 years (25). Thirty-day morbidity and mortality were 48.5% (n = 910) and 9.3% (n = 174) respectively. Median (IQR) hospital stay was 7 (5) days. Open surgery was performed in 80% (n = 1505) of the cohort. Age > 50 years [(OR = 1.7, 95% CI 1.4-2), (OR = 4.7, 95% CI 3.1-7.6)], female gender [(OR = 1.8, 95% CI 1.4-2.3), (OR = 1.9, 95% CI 1.3-2.9)], shock on admission [(OR = 2.1, 95% CI 1.7-2.7), (OR = 4.8, 95% CI 3.2-7.1)], and acute kidney injury [(OR = 2.5, 95% CI 1.9-3.2), (OR = 3.9), 95% CI 2.7-5.6)] were associated with both 30-day morbidity and mortality. Delayed presentation was associated with 30-day morbidity [OR = 1.3, 95% CI 1.1-1.6], but not mortality. CONCLUSIONS This study showed that surgery for PPU was associated with high 30-day morbidity and mortality rate. Age, female gender, and signs of shock at presentation were associated with both 30-day morbidity and mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohamed Abouelazayem
- Department of Surgery, University College London Hospitals, London, UK.
- Department of Surgery, National Cancer Institute, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt.
- , General Surgery, University College Hospital, UCLH Contact Centre, Ground Floor North, 250 Euston Road, London, NW1 2PG, UK.
| | - Rajesh Jain
- Shrewsbury & Telford Hospital NHS Trust, Shrewsbury, UK
| | | | | | | | - Walter Biffl
- Trauma and Acute Care Surgery, Scripps Memorial Hospital, La Jolla, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Federico Coccolini
- General, Emergency and Trauma Surgery Department, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy
| | | | - Himanshu Wadhawan
- Department of General Surgery, Forth Valley Royal Hospital, Larbert, UK
| | | | | | - Daniil Abramov
- Immanuel Kant Baltic Federal University, Kaliningrad, Russia
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Burak Atar
- Bakırköy Training and Research Hostpital, Bakirkoy, Turkey
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Gioia Brachini
- Policlinico Umberto I, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy
| | - Giacomo Calini
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Michela Campanelli
- San Carlo of Nancy Hospital, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Turgut Dönmez
- Bakırköy Training and Research Hospital, Bakirkoy, Turkey
| | | | - Sarnai Erdene
- Mongolian National University of Medical Sciences, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | | | - Maximos Frountzas
- First Propaedeutic Department of Surgery, Hippocration General Hospital of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Besma Gafsi
- Fattouma Bourguiba University Hospital, Monastir, Tunisia
| | - Paolo Gentileschi
- San Carlo of Nancy Hospital, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy
| | - Mert Guler
- Istanbul Research and Training Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Salman Jafferi
- Jinnah Postgraduate and Medical Center, Karachi, Pakistan
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Shahzeb Khan
- MTI Khyber Teaching Hospital, Peshawar, Pakistan
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Wiktor Jan Krawczyk
- Clinical Department of General, Colorectal and Trauma Surgery, Medical University of Silesia, Katowice, Poland
| | - Giorgio Lisi
- Department of Surgery, Sant'Eugenio Hospital, Viale Dell'Umanesimo 10, Rome, Italy
| | | | | | | | - Serhat Meric
- Bagcilar Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Mateusz Przemysław Mietła
- Clinical Department of General, Colorectal and Trauma Surgery, Medical University of Silesia, Katowice, Poland
| | | | | | | | - Matanat Mustafayeva
- Scientific Center of Surgery After Named M.A.Topchubashov, Azerbaijan, Azerbaijan
| | - Mohammed A Omar
- General Surgery Department, Qena Faculty of Medicine, South Valley University, Qena, Egypt
| | | | | | | | | | - Mauro Podda
- Department of Emergency Surgery, Cagliari University Hospital, Cagliari, Italy
| | | | - Fatima Rauf
- Benazir Bhutto Hospital, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - Sidra Rauf
- Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Ahmed Mohamed Safy
- General Surgery Department, Qena Faculty of Medicine, South Valley University, Qena, Egypt
| | - Erdene Sandag
- Mongolian National University of Medical Sciences, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | | | | | | | - Vikash Talib
- Jinnah Postgraduate and Medical Center, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Cihad Tatar
- Istanbul Research and Training Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Anuroop Thota
- NRI Medical College, General & Superspeciality Hospital, Chinakakani, India
| | - Merve Tokocin
- Bagcilar Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Ivan Vlahović
- Department of Surgery, Clinical Hospital Center Osijek, University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
| | | | - Victor Roth Cardoso
- Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- Centre for Health Data Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Georgios V Gkoutos
- Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- Centre for Health Data Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Rishi Singhal
- University Hospital Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK
| | - Kamal Mahawar
- South Tyneside and Sunderland NHS Foundation Trust, University of Sunderland, Sunderland, UK
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Liu J, Zhou S, Wang S, Xue X. Analysis of risk factors for duodenal leak after repair of a duodenal perforation. BMC Surg 2023; 23:116. [PMID: 37165360 PMCID: PMC10170746 DOI: 10.1186/s12893-023-02005-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2022] [Accepted: 04/11/2023] [Indexed: 05/12/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Repairing of a duodenal perforation is a well accepted procedure, but clinically, approximately 4% of patients develop duodenal leaks after perforation repair, increasing the risk of death. We retrospectively analyzed clinical data from 168 patients at our hospital to explore risk factors for duodenal leak after perforation repair and developed a nomogram for predicting postoperative duodenal leak. METHODS This retrospective case-control study totalled 168 patients undergoing repair of a duodenal perforation with omentopexy at the General Surgery Department, Dongnan Hospital of Xiamen University, from January 2012 to January 2022. The patients were divided into the non-leak group and the leak group. Risk factors were evaluated by analyzing the patient's sex, shock, diameter and anatomic position of the ulcer, use of NSAIDS and Glucocorticoid, history of drinking, diabetes, chronic diseases, age, time of onset of symptoms and lab tests. RESULT One hundred fifty-six patients (92.9%) who did not develop leaks after repair of a duodenal perforation were included in the non-leak group, and 12 (7.1%) developed leaks were included in the leak group. In univariate analysis, there were significant differences between the two groups referring to age, shock, NSAIDs, albumin, and perforation size (P < 0.05). The area under the ROC curve for perforation diameter was 0.737, the p-value was 0.006, the optimal cutoff point was 11.5, sensitivity was 58.3%, and specificity was 93.6%, the positive predictive value is 41.1%, and the negative predictive value is 98.0%. In the internal validation of the performance of the nomogram, the C-index and AUC of the model were 0.896(95%CI 0.81-0.98), demonstrating that the nomogram model was well calibrated. CONCLUSION The study discussed the risk factors for postoperative duodenal leak in patients undergoing repair of a duodenal perforation, and a nomogram was constructed to predict the leak. Future prospective studies with large sample sizes and multiple centres are needed to further elucidate the risk of duodenal leak after repair of a duodenal perforation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jianping Liu
- Department of General Surgery, Dongnan Hospital of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, No.269, Zhanghua Road, Xiangcheng District, Fujian Prov, Zhangzhou, China
| | - Song Zhou
- Department of General Surgery, Dongnan Hospital of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, No.269, Zhanghua Road, Xiangcheng District, Fujian Prov, Zhangzhou, China
| | - Shaoyi Wang
- Department of General Surgery, Dongnan Hospital of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, No.269, Zhanghua Road, Xiangcheng District, Fujian Prov, Zhangzhou, China
| | - Xiaojun Xue
- Department of General Surgery, Dongnan Hospital of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, No.269, Zhanghua Road, Xiangcheng District, Fujian Prov, Zhangzhou, China.
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Xie X, Ren K, Zhou Z, Dang C, Zhang H. The global, regional and national burden of peptic ulcer disease from 1990 to 2019: a population-based study. BMC Gastroenterol 2022; 22:58. [PMID: 35144540 PMCID: PMC8832644 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-022-02130-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 49] [Impact Index Per Article: 24.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2021] [Accepted: 01/31/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Peptic ulcer disease (PUD) is a common digestive disorder, of which the prevalence decreased in the past few decades. However, the decreasing tendency has plateaued in recent years due to changes in risk factors associated with the etiology of PUD, such as non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug use. In this study, we investigated the epidemiological and the sociodemographic characteristics of PUD in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 based on data from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries and Risk Factors (GBD) Study. Methods Demographic characteristics and annual prevalence, incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and age-standardized death rate (ASR) data associated with PUD were obtained and analyzed. According to the sociodemographic index (SDI), the numbers of patients, ASRs, estimated annual percentage changes and geographical distributions were assessed with a generalized linear model and presented in world maps. All evaluations of numbers and rates were calculated per 100,000 population with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Results In 2019, the global prevalence of PUD was approximately 8.09 [95% UI 6.79–9.58] million, representing a 25.82% increase from 1990. The age-standardized prevalence rate was 99.40 (83.86–117.55) per 100,000 population in 2019, representing a decrease of 143.37 (120.54–170.25) per 100,000 population from 1990. The age-standardized DALY rate in 2019 was decreased by 60.64% [74.40 (68.96–81.95) per 100,000 population] compared to that in 1990. In both sexes, the numbers and ASRs of the prevalence, incidence, deaths and DALYs were higher in males than in females over 29 years. Regionally, South Asia had the highest age-standardized prevalence rate [156.62 (130.58–187.05) per 100,000 population] in 2019. A low age-standardized death rate was found in the high-income super-region. Among nations, Kiribati had the highest age-standardized prevalence rate [330.32 (286.98–379.81) per 100,000 population]. Regarding socioeconomic status, positive associations between the age-standardized prevalence, incidence, death rate, DALYs and SDI were observed globally in 2019. Conclusions Morbidity and mortality due to PUD decreased significantly from 1990 to 2019, while a gradual upward inclination has been observed in recent 15 years, which might be associated with changes in risk factors for PUD. Attention and efforts by healthcare administrators and society are needed for PUD prevention and control. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-022-02130-2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xin Xie
- Department of Surgical Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China.,Department of Nuclear Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China
| | - Kaijie Ren
- Department of Surgical Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China
| | - Zhangjian Zhou
- Department of Oncology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710004, Shaanxi, China
| | - Chengxue Dang
- Department of Surgical Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China.,Clinical Medicine and Cancer Research Center of Shaanxi Province, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China
| | - Hao Zhang
- Department of Surgical Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China. .,Clinical Medicine and Cancer Research Center of Shaanxi Province, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China.
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