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Singh MP, Bharti PK, Rajvanshi H, Sahu RS, Jayswar H, Anvikar AR, Lal AA. Malaria elimination: situation analysis of cases in India, the state of Madhya Pradesh in central India, and district Mandla of Madhya Pradesh. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1363736. [PMID: 38655519 PMCID: PMC11035778 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1363736] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/31/2023] [Accepted: 03/11/2024] [Indexed: 04/26/2024] Open
Abstract
India contributed approximately 66% of the malaria cases in the WHO South-East Asia region in 2022. In India, approximately 44% of cases have been reported to be disproportionately contributed by approximately 27 districts. A comparative analysis of reported malaria cases between January 2017 and December 2022 was performed in Mandla district, which is the site of a model malaria elimination demonstration project (MEDP) in Madhya Pradesh (MP), India. Compared to 2017, the decrease in malaria cases in Mandla from 2018 to 2022 was higher than MP and the rest of the country. The reduction of cases was significant in 2018, 2019, and 2021 (p < 0.01) (Mandla vs. MP) and was highly significant during 2018-2022 (p < 0.001) (Mandla vs. India). Robust surveillance and real-time data-based decisions accompanied by appropriate management, operational controls, and independent reviews, all designed for resource optimisation, were the reasons for eliminating indigenous malaria in Mandla district. The increase in infection rates during the months immediately following rains suggests that surveillance, vector control, and case management efforts should be specifically intensified for eliminating imported and indigenous cases in the near-elimination districts to work towards achieving the national elimination goal of 2030.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mrigendra P. Singh
- Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project, Mandla, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Praveen K. Bharti
- Indian Council of Medical Research, National Institute of Malaria Research, New Delhi, India
| | - Harsh Rajvanshi
- Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project, Mandla, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Ram S. Sahu
- Department of Health Services, Government of Madhya Pradesh, Mandla, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Himanshu Jayswar
- Directorate General of Health Services, Government of Madhya Pradesh, Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Anup R. Anvikar
- Indian Council of Medical Research, National Institute of Malaria Research, New Delhi, India
| | - Altaf A. Lal
- Foundation for Disease Elimination and Control of India (FDEC India), Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
- Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd., Mumbai, India
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Anwar MN, Smith L, Devine A, Mehra S, Walker CR, Ivory E, Conway E, Mueller I, McCaw JM, Flegg JA, Hickson RI. Mathematical models of Plasmodium vivax transmission: A scoping review. PLoS Comput Biol 2024; 20:e1011931. [PMID: 38483975 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011931] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2023] [Revised: 03/26/2024] [Accepted: 02/19/2024] [Indexed: 03/27/2024] Open
Abstract
Plasmodium vivax is one of the most geographically widespread malaria parasites in the world, primarily found across South-East Asia, Latin America, and parts of Africa. One of the significant characteristics of the P. vivax parasite is its ability to remain dormant in the human liver as hypnozoites and subsequently reactivate after the initial infection (i.e. relapse infections). Mathematical modelling approaches have been widely applied to understand P. vivax dynamics and predict the impact of intervention outcomes. Models that capture P. vivax dynamics differ from those that capture P. falciparum dynamics, as they must account for relapses caused by the activation of hypnozoites. In this article, we provide a scoping review of mathematical models that capture P. vivax transmission dynamics published between January 1988 and May 2023. The primary objective of this work is to provide a comprehensive summary of the mathematical models and techniques used to model P. vivax dynamics. In doing so, we aim to assist researchers working on mathematical epidemiology, disease transmission, and other aspects of P. vivax malaria by highlighting best practices in currently published models and highlighting where further model development is required. We categorise P. vivax models according to whether a deterministic or agent-based approach was used. We provide an overview of the different strategies used to incorporate the parasite's biology, use of multiple scales (within-host and population-level), superinfection, immunity, and treatment interventions. In most of the published literature, the rationale for different modelling approaches was driven by the research question at hand. Some models focus on the parasites' complicated biology, while others incorporate simplified assumptions to avoid model complexity. Overall, the existing literature on mathematical models for P. vivax encompasses various aspects of the parasite's dynamics. We recommend that future research should focus on refining how key aspects of P. vivax dynamics are modelled, including spatial heterogeneity in exposure risk and heterogeneity in susceptibility to infection, the accumulation of hypnozoite variation, the interaction between P. falciparum and P. vivax, acquisition of immunity, and recovery under superinfection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Md Nurul Anwar
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
- Department of Mathematics, Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Science and Technology University, Gopalganj, Bangladesh
| | - Lauren Smith
- The Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Medical Biology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Angela Devine
- Division of Global and Tropical Health, Menzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, Australia
- Health Economics Unit, Centre for Health Policy, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
| | - Somya Mehra
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
| | - Camelia R Walker
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
| | - Elizabeth Ivory
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
| | - Eamon Conway
- The Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Medical Biology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Ivo Mueller
- The Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Medical Biology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - James M McCaw
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
- Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
| | - Jennifer A Flegg
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
| | - Roslyn I Hickson
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
- Australian Institute of Tropical Health and Medicine, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia
- Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Townsville, Australia
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Rajvanshi H, Singh MP, Bharti PK, Sahu RS, Jayswar H, Govil PJ, Anvikar A, Chan XX, Chebbi A, Das S, Lal AA. Science of malaria elimination: using knowledge of bottlenecks and enablers from the Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project in Central India for eliminating malaria in the Asia Pacific region. Front Public Health 2024; 11:1303095. [PMID: 38303961 PMCID: PMC10830794 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1303095] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2023] [Accepted: 11/27/2023] [Indexed: 02/03/2024] Open
Abstract
Malaria poses a major public health challenge in the Asia Pacific. Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project was conducted as a public-private partnership initiative in Mandla between State government, ICMR, and FDEC India. The project employed controls for efficient operational and management decisions. IEC campaigns found crucial in schools and communities. Capacity building of local workers emphasized for better diagnosis and treatment. SOCH mobile app launched for complete digitalization. Better supervision for Indoor Residual Sprays and optimized Long Lasting Insecticidal Nets distribution. Significant malaria cases reduction in Mandla. Insights from MEDP crucial for malaria elimination strategies in other endemic regions of the Asia Pacific.
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Affiliation(s)
- Harsh Rajvanshi
- Asia Pacific Leaders' Malaria Alliance, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Mrigendra P. Singh
- Foundation for Disease Elimination and Control of India, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
| | - Praveen K. Bharti
- Indian Council of Medical Research – National Institute of Malaria Research, New Delhi, India
| | | | - Himanshu Jayswar
- Directorate of Health Services, Government of Madhya Pradesh, Bhopal, India
| | - Pallavi Jain Govil
- Department of Tribal Welfare, Government of Madhya Pradesh, Bhopal, India
| | - Anup Anvikar
- Indian Council of Medical Research – National Institute of Malaria Research, New Delhi, India
| | | | - Amita Chebbi
- Asia Pacific Leaders' Malaria Alliance, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Sarthak Das
- Asia Pacific Leaders' Malaria Alliance, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Altaf A. Lal
- Foundation for Disease Elimination and Control of India, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
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Singh A, Singh MP, Ali NA, Poriya R, Rajvanshi H, Nisar S, Bhandari S, Sahu RS, Jayswar H, Mishra AK, Das A, Kaur H, Anvikar AR, Escalante AA, Lal AA, Bharti PK. Assessment of Plasmodium falciparum drug resistance associated molecular markers in Mandla, Madhya Pradesh, India. Malar J 2023; 22:375. [PMID: 38072967 PMCID: PMC10712044 DOI: 10.1186/s12936-023-04817-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/11/2023] [Accepted: 12/06/2023] [Indexed: 12/18/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Resistance against artemisinin-based combination therapy is one of the challenges to malaria control and elimination globally. Mutations in different genes (Pfdhfr, Pfdhps, Pfk-13 and Pfmdr1) confer resistance to artesunate and sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (AS + SP) were analysed from Mandla district, Madhya Pradesh, to assess the effectiveness of the current treatment regimen against uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum. METHODS Dried blood spots were collected during the active fever survey and mass screening and treatment activities as part of the Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project (MEDP) from 2019 to 2020. Isolated DNA samples were used to amplify the Pfdhfr, Pfdhps, Pfk13 and Pfmdr1 genes using nested PCR and sequenced for mutation analysis using the Sanger sequencing method. RESULTS A total of 393 samples were subjected to PCR amplification, sequencing and sequence analysis; 199, 215, 235, and 141 samples were successfully sequenced for Pfdhfr, Pfdhps, Pfk13, Pfmdr1, respectively. Analysis revealed that the 53.3% double mutation (C59R, S108N) in Pfdhfr, 89.3% single mutation (G437A) in Pfdhps, 13.5% single mutants (N86Y), and 51.1% synonymous mutations in Pfmdr1 in the study area. Five different non-synonymous and two synonymous point mutations found in Pfk13, which were not associated to artemisinin resistance. CONCLUSION The study has found that mutations linked to SP resistance are increasing in frequency, which may reduce the effectiveness of this drug as a future partner in artemisinin-based combinations. No evidence of mutations linked to artemisinin resistance in Pfk13 was found, suggesting that parasites are sensitive to artemisinin derivatives in the study area. These findings are a baseline for routine molecular surveillance to proactively identify the emergence and spread of artemisinin-resistant parasites.
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Affiliation(s)
- Akansha Singh
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Research in Tribal Health (ICMR-NIRTH), Jabalpur, Madhya Pradesh, India
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Malaria Research (ICMR-NIMR), New Delhi, India
- University of Illinois, Urbana Champaign, Champaign, IL, USA
| | - Mrigendra P Singh
- Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project, Mandla, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Nazia Anwar Ali
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Research in Tribal Health (ICMR-NIRTH), Jabalpur, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Rajan Poriya
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Research in Tribal Health (ICMR-NIRTH), Jabalpur, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Harsh Rajvanshi
- Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project, Mandla, Madhya Pradesh, India
- Asia Pacific Leaders Malaria Alliance (APLMA), Singapore, Singapore
| | - Sekh Nisar
- Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project, Mandla, Madhya Pradesh, India
- Department of Health and Family Welfare, NHM Raigarh, Chattisgarh, India
| | - Sneha Bhandari
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Research in Tribal Health (ICMR-NIRTH), Jabalpur, Madhya Pradesh, India
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Research in Environment Health (ICMR-NIREH), Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Ram S Sahu
- Department of Health Services, Government of Madhya Pradesh, Mandla, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Himanshu Jayswar
- Directorate of Health Services, Government of Madhya Pradesh, Bhopal, India
| | - Ashok K Mishra
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Research in Tribal Health (ICMR-NIRTH), Jabalpur, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Aparup Das
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Research in Tribal Health (ICMR-NIRTH), Jabalpur, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Harpreet Kaur
- Department of Health Research, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
| | - Anup R Anvikar
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Malaria Research (ICMR-NIMR), New Delhi, India
| | - Ananias A Escalante
- Institute for Genomics and Evolutionary Medicine, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Altaf A Lal
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Malaria Research (ICMR-NIMR), New Delhi, India
- Foundation for Disease Elimination and Control of India, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
- Global Health and Pharmaceuticals Inc., Atlanta, USA
| | - Praveen K Bharti
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Research in Tribal Health (ICMR-NIRTH), Jabalpur, Madhya Pradesh, India.
- Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Malaria Research (ICMR-NIMR), New Delhi, India.
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Dabaro D, Birhanu Z, Adissu W, Yilma D, Yewhalaw D. Prevalence and predictors of asymptomatic malaria infection in Boricha District, Sidama Region, Ethiopia: implications for elimination strategies. Malar J 2023; 22:284. [PMID: 37752572 PMCID: PMC10521520 DOI: 10.1186/s12936-023-04722-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2023] [Accepted: 09/21/2023] [Indexed: 09/28/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Malaria remains a major public health threat in Ethiopia despite the tremendous progress made towards the 2030 elimination targets. The silent transmission of asymptomatic infection is one of the factors that enhance the persistence of the disease as a public health issue and impedes efforts to eliminate malaria. Thus, this study aimed at investigating the prevalence and risk factors of asymptomatic malaria infection in Boricha district, Sidama region of Ethiopia. METHODS A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted in eight selected kebeles (smallest administrative unit) in Boricha district. Representative households were chosen using a multi-stage sampling technique. A total of 573 participants were included in the study. Malaria diagnosis was performed using rapid diagnostic test (RDT) and microscopy. A structured questionnaire was administered to collect socio-demographic information. Epi data 3.1 was employed for data entry, and SPSS version 25 was used for analysis. RESULTS Of the 573 asymptomatic participants tested, 6.1% were found to be positive by RDT and 4.0% by microscopy. Participants aged under 5 years (AOR = 1.57, 95% CI 0.46-5.39) and 5-14 years old (AOR = 2.42, 95% CI 1.08-5.40), Insecticide-treated net utilization (AOR = 8.41; 95% CI 1.09-65.08), travel history (AOR = 6.85, 95% CI 2.32-20.26) and living in a house with windows (AOR = 2.11, 95% CI 1.02-4.36) were significantly associated with the asymptomatic malaria infection. CONCLUSION The findings of this study revealed that prevalence of asymptomatic malaria infection was higher in the study area. As a result, rigorous implementation of existing interventions, such as vector control and anti-malaria drugs, is strongly recommended. In addition, devising new ones that are suited to the contextual situations is highly suggested.
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Affiliation(s)
- Desalegn Dabaro
- Yirgalem Hospital Medical College, Yirgalem, Ethiopia.
- Tropical and Infectious Diseases Research Center, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia.
| | - Zewdie Birhanu
- Department of Health Education and Behavioral Sciences, Institute of Health, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia
| | - Wondimagegn Adissu
- School of Medical Laboratory Sciences, Institute of Health, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia
- Clinical Trial Unit, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia
| | - Daniel Yilma
- Department of Internal Medicine, Institute of Health, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia
- Clinical Trial Unit, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia
| | - Delenasaw Yewhalaw
- Tropical and Infectious Diseases Research Center, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia
- School of Medical Laboratory Sciences, Institute of Health, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia
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Garg S, Gupta V, Patel K, Dewangan M, Nanda P, Sridhar R, Singh G. Assessing afebrile malaria and bed-net use in a high-burden region of India: Findings from multiple rounds of mass screening. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0287667. [PMID: 37467182 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0287667] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/28/2023] [Accepted: 06/12/2023] [Indexed: 07/21/2023] Open
Abstract
A key obstacle in the fight against malaria is afebrile malaria. It remains undiagnosed and, therefore, is invisible to the health system. Apart from being a serious illness, it contributes to increased transmission. Existing studies in India have not adequately reported afebrile malaria and its determinants, including the use of long-lasting insecticide-treated nets (LLINs). This study used six waves of mass screening, which were conducted by the state government in the high-malaria-burden region of Chhattisgarh, a state in India, in 2020, 2021, and 2022. Each round of data collection included more than 15000 individuals. Descriptive statistics were used to analyse key indicators of malaria prevalence and LLIN use. Multivariate analyses were performed to identify the determinants of afebrile malaria and LLIN use. Malaria prevalence in the afebrile population varied from 0.6% to 1.4% across the different waves of mass screening. In comparison, malaria positivity among febrile individuals was greater than 33% in each wave. Afebrile malaria contributed to 19.6% to 47.2% of the overall malaria burden in the region. Indigenous communities (scheduled tribes) were more susceptible to malaria, including afebrile malaria. Individuals using LLINs were less likely to be affected by afebrile malaria. Overall, 77% of the individuals used LLINs in early monsoon season, and in winter the rate was lower at 55%. LLIN use was significantly associated with the number of LLINs the households received from the government. Although fever continues to be a primary symptom of malaria, afebrile malaria remains a significant contributor to the malaria burden in the region. The free distribution of LLINs should be expanded to include high-burden populations. Global policies must include strategies for surveillance and control of afebrile malaria in high-burden areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samir Garg
- Division of Health Systems, State Health Resource Centre, Raipur, Chhattisgarh, India
| | - Vishnu Gupta
- Division of Health Systems, State Health Resource Centre, Raipur, Chhattisgarh, India
| | - Kavita Patel
- Division of Health Systems, State Health Resource Centre, Raipur, Chhattisgarh, India
| | - Mukesh Dewangan
- Division of Health Systems, State Health Resource Centre, Raipur, Chhattisgarh, India
| | - Prabodh Nanda
- Division of Health Systems, State Health Resource Centre, Raipur, Chhattisgarh, India
| | - Ryavanki Sridhar
- Health Section, UNICEF, Chhattisgarh Field Office, Raipur, India
| | - Gajendra Singh
- Health Section, UNICEF, Chhattisgarh Field Office, Raipur, India
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