Specific risk factors contributing to early and late recurrences of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after curative resection

Cox model risk score to predict survival of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after ultrasound-guided ablation

PURPOSE

To explore factors associated with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) after ultrasound-guided ablation and establish a model for survival risk evaluation.

METHODS

Data from 54 patients with 86 iCCAs between August 2008 and October 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Cox regression were used to analyze the effects of clinical features on OS and PFS. Based on the variables screened by multivariable analysis, a model was established to predict the survival of the patients. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (timeROC) curve was constructed to evaluate the performance of this model. The model was further verified by bootstrap validation. The clinical usefulness of the model was evaluated by the decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

During follow up, 39 patients died and 49 patients developed recurrence. Pre-ablation CA199 level > 140 U/ml was the only independent predictor of poor PFS. Age > 70 years, early recurrence, maximal diameter of tumor size > 1.5 cm and pre-ablation CA199 level > 140 U/ml were significantly associated with poor OS. Then a model was established based on the above four variables. The areas under the timeROC curve (AUC) for 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, 5-year were 0.767, 0.854, 0.791 and 0.848, respectively. After bootstrapping for 1000 repetitions, the AUCs were similar to the initial model. DCA also demonstrated that the model had good positive net benefits.

CONCLUSION

The established model in this study could predict the survival outcomes of the patients with iCCA after thermal ablation, but further research was needed to validate the results.

Prognostic factors associated with early recurrence following liver resection for colorectal liver metastases: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the 3rd most common malignancy with the liver being the most common site of metastases. The recurrence rate of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) after liver resection (LR) is notably high, with an estimated 40% of patients experiencing recurrence within 6 months. In this context, we conducted a meta-analysis to synthesize and evaluate the reliability of evidence pertaining to prognostic factors associated with early recurrence (ER) in CRLM following LR.

METHODS

Systematic searches were conducted from the inception of databases to July 14, 2023, to identify studies reporting prognostic factors associated with ER. The Quality in Prognostic Factor Studies (QUIPS) tool was employed to assess risk-of-bias for included studies. Meta-analysis was then performed on these prognostic factors, summarized by forest plots. The grading of evidence was based on sample size, heterogeneity, and Egger's P value.

RESULTS

The study included 24 investigations, comprising 12705 individuals, during an accrual period that extended from 2007 to 2023. In the evaluation of risk-of-bias, 22 studies were rated as low/moderate risk, while two studies were excluded because of high risk. Most of the studies used a postoperative interval of 6 months to define ER, with 30.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 24.1-36.4%) of the patients experiencing ER following LR. 21 studies were pooled for meta-analysis. High-quality evidence showed that poor differentiation of CRC, larger and bilobar-distributed liver metastases, major hepatectomy, positive surgical margins, and postoperative complications were associated with an elevated risk of ER. Additionally, moderate-quality evidence suggested that elevated levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA199), lymph node metastases (LNM) of CRC, and a higher number of liver metastases were risk factors for ER.

CONCLUSION

This review has the potential to enhance the efficacy of surveillance strategies, refine prognostic assessments, and guide judicious treatment decisions for CRLM patients with high risk of ER. Additionally, it is essential to undertake well-designed prospective investigations to examine additional prognostic factors and develop salvage therapeutic approaches for ER of CRLM.

Recombinant human adenovirus p53 combined with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for liver cancer: A meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To compare the clinical curative effects, survival and complications of recombinant human adenovirus-p53 (rAd-p53) combined with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) versus TACE for the treatment of liver cancer.

METHODS

We searched all the eligible studies of rAd-p53 plus TACE versus control group had only TACE in the treatment of liver cancer, which were retrieved from CNKI, Wanfang database, CBM, VIP, PubMed, EMBase, The Chrance of Library, Web of Science from its inception to august 2022.

RESULTS

A total of 17 studies were included, which involved 1045 patients. The results of the meta analysis indicated that the the rAd-p53combined with TACE markedly improved the patients' complete remission(OR = 2.19, 95% CI:1.13-4.22, P = 0.02), partial remission (OR = 2.22, 95% CI:1.67-2.94, P<0.00001), objective tumor response rate (OR = 2.58, 95% CI:1.95-3.41, P<0.00001) and disease control rate(OR = 2.39, 95% CI:1.65-3.47, P<0.00001) compared with TACE alone. And our results showed that rAd-p53combined with TACE had better survival benefit [6-month OS (OR = 3.41, 95% CI: 1.62-7.14, p = 0.001); 1-year OS (OR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.28-2.96, p = 0.002)] and better quality of life(MD = 5.84, 95% CI:2.09-9.60, P = 0.002). In addition, the immunity of the patients was enhanced by the combination therapy, as demonstrated by the increase in the ratio of CD4+ to CD4+/CD8+. In adverse effects, except for fever in the TACE combined with rAd-p53 group, which was higher than that in the TACE group(OR = 2.62, 95% CI:2.02-3.49, P<0.00001), all other adverse effects were lower in the TACE combined with rAd-p53 group than in the TACE group.

CONCLUSION

RAd-p53 combined with TACE for liver cancer showed significant advantages in terms of clinical efficacy, survival rate, and safety compared to the TACE alone, and effectively improved patient quality of life and immune function.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

https://inplasy.com/inplasy-2022-9-0127/.

Mechanism of postoperative recurrence and metastasis of intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma and clinical prevention and treatment strategy

Intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma is a primary adenocarcinoma originating from intrahepatic bile duct epithelial cells. The tumor has no capsule. At the early stage of the tumor, there are infiltration and metastasis along the lymphatic vessels, blood vessels, perineural space, and loose fibrous connective tissue, which are characterized by lymph node metastasis. Due to the absence of characteristic clinical manifestations and the lack of specific molecular markers for early diagnosis, the surgical resection rate is low and the postoperative tumor recurrence and metastasis rate is high. Low efficacy of chemoradiotherapy, molecular targeted drugs, and immunotherapy results in the poor prognosis. Further research of molecular pathology, gene function, and imaging technology can help elucidate the occurrence, recurrence, and metastasis mechanism of intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma to improve its early diagnosis rate and precise clinical staging. Individualized precision treatment and prevention for the risk factors to reduce the recurrence and metastasis rate postoperatively are key to improving the patient prognosis.

Call to Improve the Quality of Prediction Tools for Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Resection: A Critical Appraisal, Systematic Review, and External Validation Study

Objective

To conduct a systematic review, critical appraisal, and external validation of survival prediction tools for patients undergoing intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) resection.

Summary background data

Despite the development of several survival prediction tools in recent years for patients undergoing iCCA resections, there is a lack of critical appraisal and external validation of these models.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review and critical appraisal of survival and recurrence prediction models for patients undergoing curative-intent iCCA resections. Studies were evaluated based on their model design, risk of bias, reporting, performance, and validation results. We identified the best model and externally validated it using our institution's data.

Results

This review included a total of 31 studies, consisting of 26 studies with original prediction tools and 5 studies that only conducted external validations. Among the 26, 54% of the studies conducted internal validations, 46% conducted external validations, and only 1 study scored a low risk of bias. Harrell's C-statistics ranged from 0.67 to 0.76 for internal validation and from 0.64 to 0.75 for external validation. Only 81% of the studies reported model calibration. Our external validation of the best model (Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma [ICC]-Metroticket) estimated Harrell's and Uno's C-statistics of 0.67 (95% CI: 0.56-0.77) and Uno's time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.71 (95% CI: 0.53-0.88), with a Brier score of 0.20 (95% CI: 0.15-0.26) and good calibration plots.

Conclusions

Many prediction models have been published in recent years, but their quality remains poor, and minimal methodological quality improvement has been observed. The ICC-Metroticket was selected as the best model (Uno's time-dependent AUC of 0.71) for 5-year overall survival prediction in patients undergoing curative-intent iCCA resection.

Machine learning radiomics to predict the early recurrence of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after curative resection: A multicentre cohort study

PURPOSE

Postoperative early recurrence (ER) leads to a poor prognosis for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). We aimed to develop machine learning (ML) radiomics models to predict ER in ICC after curative resection.

METHODS

Patients with ICC undergoing curative surgery from three institutions were retrospectively recruited and assigned to training and external validation cohorts. Preoperative arterial and venous phase contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) images were acquired and segmented. Radiomics features were extracted and ranked through their importance. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify clinical characteristics. Various ML algorithms were used to construct radiomics-based models, and the predictive performance was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

127 patients were included for analysis: 90 patients in the training set and 37 patients in the validation set. Ninety-two patients (72.4%) experienced recurrence, including 71 patients exhibiting ER. Male sex, microvascular invasion, TNM stage, and serum CA19-9 were identified as independent risk factors for ER, with the corresponding clinical model having a poor predictive performance (AUC of 0.685). Fifty-seven differential radiomics features were identified, and the 10 most important features were utilized for modelling. Seven ML radiomics models were developed with a mean AUC of 0.87 ± 0.02, higher than the clinical model. Furthermore, the clinical-radiomics models showed similar predictive performance to the radiomics models (AUC of 0.87 ± 0.03).

CONCLUSION

ML radiomics models based on CECT are valuable in predicting ER in ICC.

Predictive factors of microvascular invasion in patients with intrahepatic mass-forming cholangiocarcinoma based on magnetic resonance images

PURPOSE

The aim of this retrospective study was to develop and validate a preoperative nomogram for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with intrahepatic mass-forming cholangiocarcinoma (IMCC) based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

METHODS

In this retrospective study, 224 consecutive patients with clinicopathologically confirmed IMCC were enrolled. Patients whose data were collected from February 2010 to December 2020 were randomly divided into the training (131 patients) and internal validation (51 patients) datasets. The data from January 2021 to November 2021 (42 patients) were allocated to the time-independent validation dataset. Univariate and multivariate forward logistic regression analyses were used to identify preoperative MRI features that were significantly related to MVI, which were then used to develop the nomogram. We used the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve to evaluate the performance of the nomogram.

RESULTS

Interobserver agreement of MRI qualitative features was good to excellent, with κ values of 0.613-0.882. Multivariate analyses indicated that the following variables were independent predictors of MVI: multiple tumours (odds ratio [OR]) = 4.819, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.562-14.864, P = 0.006), ill-defined margin (OR = 6.922, 95% CI 2.883-16.633, P < 0.001), and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) > 37 U/ml (OR = 2.890, 95% CI 1.211-6.897, P = 0.017). A nomogram incorporating these factors was established using well-fitted calibration curves. The nomogram showed good diagnostic efficacy for MVI, with AUC values of 0.838, 0.819, and 0.874 for the training, internal validation, and time-independent validation datasets, respectively.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram constructed using independent factors, namely the presence of multiple tumours, ill-defined margins, and CA 19-9 > 37 U/ml could predict the presence of MVI. This can facilitate personalised therapeutic strategy and clinical management in patients with IMCC.

Yttrium-90 Radioembolization and Concomitant Systemic Gemcitabine, Cisplatin, and Capecitabine as the First-Line Therapy for Locally Advanced Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

PURPOSE

To determine the safety and effectiveness of yttrium-90 transarterial radioembolization (TARE) combined with systemic gemcitabine, cisplatin, and capecitabine for the first-line treatment of locally advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data of 13 patients with treatment-naïve, locally advanced iCCA treated with a downstaging protocol using gemcitabine, cisplatin, TARE, and capecitabine were retrospectively reviewed. Overall survival (OS), local tumor response (modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors), progression-free survival (PFS), technical adverse events, and toxicity were measured.

RESULTS

Calculated from the time of diagnosis, the median OS was 29 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 15 to not reached), with a 1-year OS of 84.6% (95% CI, 52.2%-95.9%) and 2-year OS of 52.9% (95% CI, 20.3%-77.5%). The median OS values were 24 months (95% CI, 8 to not reached) and 21 months (95% CI, 5 to not reached) from the time of initial cycle of chemotherapy and TARE, respectively. Patients who were downstaged to surgery (n = 7, 53.8%) had a more favorable OS (median OS, not reached vs 15 months; P = .0221). Complete and partial radiologic responses were achieved in 5 (38.5%) and 6 (46.2%) patients, respectively. The median PFS was 13 months (95% CI, 12 to not reached). Although no serum toxicity with Grade >2 occurred within 3 months after TARE, 1 patient was no longer a surgical candidate given suboptimal nutrition status despite successful downstage on imaging studies. Two patients required a reduced dose or delay of post-TARE chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

First-line combination therapy with TARE and systemic gemcitabine, cisplatin, and capecitabine is an effective treatment with an acceptable safety profile for iCCA with a high rate of downstaging to resection.

A Multiparametric Fusion Radiomics Signature Based on Contrast-Enhanced MRI for Predicting Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objectives

The postoperative early recurrence (ER) rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is 50%, and no highly reliable predictive tool has been developed yet. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a predictive model with radiomics analysis based on multiparametric magnetic resonance (MR) images to predict early recurrence of HCC.

Methods

In total, 302 patients (training dataset: n = 211; validation dataset: n = 91) with pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent preoperative MR imaging were enrolled in this study. Three-dimensional regions of interest of the entire lesion were accessed by manually drawing along the tumor margins on the multiple sequences of MR images. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression were then applied to select ER-related radiomics features and construct radiomics signatures. Univariate analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to identify the significant clinico-radiological factors and establish a clinico-radiological model. A predictive model of ER incorporating the fusion radiomics signature and clinico-radiological risk factors was constructed. The diagnostic performance and clinical utility of this model were measured by receiver-operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analyses.

Results

The fusion radiomics signature consisting of 6 radiomics features achieved good prediction performance (training dataset: AUC = 0.85, validation dataset: AUC = 0.79). The predictive model of ER integrating clinico-radiological risk factors and the fusion radiomics signature improved the prediction efficacy with AUCs of 0.91 and 0.87 in the training and validation datasets, respectively. Furthermore, the nomogram and ER risk stratification system based on the predictive model demonstrated encouraging predictions of the individualized risk of ER and gave three risk groups with low, intermediate, or high risk of ER.

Conclusions

The proposed predictive model incorporating clinico-radiological factors and the fusion radiomics signature derived from multiparametric MR images may be an effective tool for the individualized prediction of postoperative ER in patients with HCC.

Factors of Early Recurrence After Resection for Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Two-thirds of patients undergoing liver resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma experience recurrence after surgery. Our aim was to identify factors associated with early recurrence after resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

METHODS

Patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma undergoing curative intent resection (complete resection and lymphadenectomy) were included in two centers between 2005 and 2021 and were divided into three groups: early recurrence (< 12 months after resection), delayed recurrence (> 12 months), and no recurrence. Patients experiencing early (< 90 days) postoperative mortality were excluded.

RESULTS

Among 120 included patients, 44 (36.7%) experienced early recurrence, 24 (20.0%) experienced delayed recurrence, and 52 (43.3%) did not experience recurrence after a median follow-up of 59 months (IQR: 26-113). The median recurrence-free survival was 16 months (95% CI: 9.6-22.4). Median overall survival was 55 months (95% CI: 45.7-64.3), while it was 25 months for patients with early recurrence (p < 0.001). Patients with early recurrence had significantly larger tumors (59.1% of tumors > 70 mm in early vs. 58.3% in delayed vs. 26.9% in no recurrence group, p = 0.002), multiple lesions (65.9% vs. 29.2% vs. 11.5%, p < 0.001), and positive lymph nodes (N +) (38.6% vs. 37.5% vs. 11.5%, p = 0.005). In multivariable analysis, presence of multiple lesions (OR: 9.324; 95% CI: 3.051-28.489; p < 0.001) and positive lymph nodes (OR: 3.307. 95% CI: 1.001-11.011. p = 0.05) were associated with early recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Early recurrence after curative resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma is frequent and is associated with the presence of multiple lesions and positive lymph nodes, raising the question of surgery's futility in this context.

A Nomogram Model to Predict Early Recurrence of Patients With Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma for Adjuvant Chemotherapy Guidance: A Multi-Institutional Analysis

Background

The influence of different postoperative recurrence times on the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the independent risk factors and establish a nomogram prediction model of early recurrence (recurrence within 1 year) to screen patients with ICC for ACT.

Methods

Data from 310 ICC patients who underwent radical resection between 2010 and 2018 at eight Chinese tertiary hospitals were used to analyze the risk factors and establish a nomogram model to predict early recurrence. External validation was conducted on 134 patients at the other two Chinese tertiary hospitals. Overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) were estimated by the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate analysis was conducted to identify independent risk factors for prognosis. A logistic regression model was used to screen independent risk variables for early recurrence. A nomogram model was established based on the above independent risk variables to predict early recurrence.

Results

ACT was a prognostic factor and an independent affecting factor for OS and RFS of patients with ICC after radical resection (p < 0.01). The median OS of ICC patients with non-ACT and ACT was 14.0 and 15.0 months, and the median RFS was 6.0 and 8.0 months for the early recurrence group, respectively (p > 0.05). While the median OS of ICC patients with non-ACT and ACT was 41.0 and 84.0 months, the median RFS was 20.0 and 45.0 months for the late recurrence group, respectively (p < 0.01). CA19-9, tumor size, major vascular invasion, microvascular invasion, and N stage were the independent risk factors of early recurrence for ICC patients after radical resection. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.777 (95% CI: 0.713~0.841) and 0.716 (95%CI: 0.604~0.828) in the training and testing sets, respectively.

Conclusion

The nomogram model established based on the independent risk variables of early recurrence for curatively resected ICC patients has a good prediction ability and can be used to screen patients who benefited from ACT.

Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Prognostic Factors for Early Recurrence in Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Curative-Intent Resection

BACKGROUND

Recurrence rates of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) after curative hepatectomy are as high as 50% to 70%, and about half of these recurrences occur within 2 years. This systematic review aims to define prognostic factors (PFs) for early recurrence (ER, within 24 months) and 24-month disease-free survival (DFS) after curative-intent iCCA resections.

METHODS

Systematic searching was performed from database inception to 14 January 2021. Duplicate independent review and data extraction were performed. Data on 13 predefined PFs were collected. Meta-analysis was performed on PFs for ER and summarized using forest plots. The Quality in Prognostic Factor Studies tool was used for risk-of-bias assessment.

RESULTS

The study enrolled 10 studies comprising 4158 patients during an accrual period ranging from 1990 to 2016. In the risk-of-bias assessment of patients who experienced ER after curative-intent iCCA resection, six studies were rated as low risk and four as moderate risk (49.6%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 49.2-50.0). Nine studies were pooled for meta-analysis. Of the postoperative PFs, multiple tumors, microvascular invasion, macrovascular invasion, lymph node metastasis, and R1 resection were associated with an increased hazard for ER or a reduced 24-month DFS, and the opposite was observed for receipt of adjuvant chemo/radiation therapy. Of the preoperative factors, cirrhosis, sex, HBV status were not associated with ER or 24-month DFS.

CONCLUSION

The findings from this systematic review could allow for improved surveillance, prognostication, and treatment decision-making for patients with resectable iCCAs. Further well-designed prospective studies are needed to explore prognostic factors for iCCA ER with a focus on preoperative variables.

Correlation Between Adjuvant Chemotherapy Regimen, Recurrence Pattern and Prognosis of Cholangiocarcinoma After Radical Surgery

Background and Purpose

About 70% of patients with radical surgery Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) have recurrence and metastasis. There are few studies on the relationship between CCA adjuvant chemotherapy (mono or combined therapy), recurrence pattern (local, regional, distant recurrence) and prognosis [(Disease free survival, DFS), (Overall survival, OS)] after radical surgery. This study focuses on the correlation between CCA adjuvant chemotherapy, recurrence pattern and prognosis.

Methods

The study involved retrospective analysis of data: preoperative hematology, clinical pathology, adjuvant chemotherapy regimens, recurrence pattern, DFS and OS, of 207 patients with CCA. Chi-square test was used to analyze the correlation between related factors and postoperative recurrence. Survival curves were plotted by Kaplan-Meier method, P-values were calculated by Log-rank for univariate analysis, multivariate COX regression method for multivariate analysis.

Results

Using chi-square test, there were correlations between high carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level(CA19-9≥35), vascular invasion, single-agent adjuvant chemotherapy and postoperative recurrences (p=0.04, p=0.04, p=0.02), COX multivariate regression analysis showed that adjuvant chemotherapy (single vs. doublet drug regimen) was an independent prognostic factor for DFS (11.0 vs. 24.6 months, HR=2.88, P=0.01), whereas recurrence pattern (local vs. distant; regional vs. distant) was an independent prognostic factor for OS (31.2 months vs. 20.4 months, HR=0.58, p=0.01; 32.0 months vs. 20.4 months, HR=0.51, p=0.01).

Conclusion

Adjuvant chemotherapy regimen was an independent prognostic factor of DFS, whereas recurrence patterns were independent prognostic factors for OS. adjuvant chemotherapy with doublet drug regimen was correlated with longer DFS, and different recurrence modes affect OS.

Role of eIF3C Overexpression in Predicting Prognosis of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Elevated expression of eukaryotic initiation factor 3c (eIF3C) was recently uncovered to promote several types of cancer progression by inducing cell proliferation. Here, we aimed to assess the expression and prognostic value of eIF3C in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) patients.

METHODS

Expression of eIF3C was analyzed by immunohistochemistry in tissue microarrays (TMAs) containing 138 ICC and paired peritumoral tissues from ICC patients. Then, the roles of eIF3C in ICC cells were investigated by RNA interference, and the relationship between the eIF3C and KI67 expression was explored in ICC cells and tissues. Finally, the relation between the eIF3C level and clinicopathologic features of ICC was probed, and Kaplan-Meier and Cox's analyses were performed to assess the prognostic merit of eIF3C and KI67 in ICC patients.

RESULTS

The expression of eIF3C was elevated in ICC tissues compared to paired peritumoral tissues, which was consistent with the result from the GEPIA database. The downregulation of eIF3C in ICC cells impaired the cellular invasion, metastasis, colony formation, and proliferation. Moreover, we further found a positive relationship between the eIF3C and KI67 expression in ICC cells and tissues. The expression of eIF3C in ICC tissues was positively correlated with lymphatic metastasis (p = 0.049), and the high level of KI67 was frequently found in ICC patients with the large tumor (p = 0.028), high serum AFP (p = 0.019), or lymphatic metastasis (p = 0.039). Notably, patients with the eIF3C or KI67 overexpression had shorter overall survival and higher disease-free survival rates than those with low expression of eIF3C or KI67, and the combination of eIF3C or KI67 expression was an independent parameter for predicting the prognosis and recurrence of ICC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated eIF3C expression promotes ICC development, and combination of eIF3C and KI67 is a valuable predictor of the survival and recurrence of ICC patient.

Integration of global metabolomics and lipidomics approaches reveals the molecular mechanisms and the potential biomarkers for postoperative recurrence in early-stage cholangiocarcinoma

Background

Cholangiocarcioma (CCA) treatment is challenging because most of the patients are diagnosed when the disease is advanced, and cancer recurrence is the main problem after treatment, leading to low survival rates. Therefore, our understanding of the mechanism underlying CCA recurrence is essential in order to prevent CCA recurrence and improve patient outcomes.

Methods

We performed ¹H-NMR and UPLC-MS-based metabolomics on the CCA serum. The differential metabolites were further analyzed using pathway analysis and potential biomarker identification.

Results

At an early stage, the metabolites involved in energy metabolisms, such as pyruvate metabolism, and the TCA cycle, are downregulated, while most lipids, including TGs, PCs, PEs, and PAs, are upregulated in recurrence patients. This metabolic feature has been described in cancer stem-like cell (CSC) metabolism. In addition, the CSC markers CD44v6 and CD44v8-10 are associated with CD36 (a protein involved in lipid uptake) as well as with recurrence-free survival. We also found that citrate, sarcosine, succinate, creatine, creatinine and pyruvate, and TGs have good predictive values for CCA recurrence.

Conclusion

Our study demonstrates the possible molecular mechanisms underlying CCA recurrence, and these may associate with the existence of CSCs. The metabolic change involved in the recurrence pathway might be used to determine biomarkers for predicting CCA recurrence.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40170-021-00266-5.

High level of CD73 predicts poor prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

Background: Despite recent improvements in the diagnosis and therapy of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), the prognosis for ICC patients remains poor. Therefore, it is needed to identify new biological indicators for ICC progression.

Methods: Immunohistochemistry was engaged to inspect the ecto-5ʹ-nucleotidase (CD73) and CD8 expressions in tissue microarrays including tissues from 140 ICC patients. Then, the association between the level of CD73/CD8 and clinicopathologic characteristics of ICC was analysed. Finally, the prognostic value of CD73 and CD8 levels in ICC patients was assessed by Kaplan-Meier and multivariate and univariate analyses.

Results: The CD73 expression was evidently upregulated in ICC tissues compared to the corresponding peritumoral tissues. The elevated CD73 expression was positively related to the lymphatic metastasis (p=0.049). While the level of tumour-infiltrating CD8 T⁺ cells in tumour tissues was negatively associated with serum AFP (p=0.019), tumor size (p=0.028), and lymphatic metastasis (p=0.039). Additionally, patients with elevated CD73 expression or low tumour-infiltrating CD8⁺ T cells exhibited shorter overall survival (OS) and higher disease-free survival (DFS) rates than patients with low CD73 expression and/or high tumour-infiltrating CD8⁺ T cells. Notably, the overexpression of CD73 or low tumour-infiltrating CD8⁺ T cells was an independent indicator for predicting the OS and DFS of ICC patients.

Conclusions: We revealed that CD73 expression and low tumour-infiltrating CD8⁺T cells are valuable predictors of survival and recurrence in patients with ICC.

Postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients with microvascular invasion: a propensity score analysis

Background

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is an independent risk factor associated with tumor recurrence and poor survival in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after partial hepatectomy (PH). The potential impact of adjuvant TACE on the prognosis of patients with ICC involving MVI (ICC-MVI) remains uncertain. Our aim was to investigate the effectiveness of postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) on ICC involving MVI.

Methods

Multicentric data consisted of 223 patients who underwent curative-intent PH for ICC-MVI from 2002-2015 were retrospectively analyzed. The impact of adjuvant TACE was evaluated using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and propensity-score matched (PSM) analyses.

Results

No association between the TACE and the overall survival (OS) and recurrence rates was observed among the overall ICC-MVI patients. However, subgroup analyses revealed that adjuvant TACE favored OS (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.39-0.99; P=0.047) and time to recurrence (TTR) (HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.36-0.97; P=0.037) among patients with elevated CA19-9 and those without lymphadenectomy (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.30-0.93; P=0.027 for OS, and HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.28-0.87; P=0.015 for TTR, respectively). In the CA19-9 ≥39 U/L subgroup and Nx subgroup, adjuvant TACE was associated with higher 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates (P=0.033 and P=0.034, respectively) and lower corresponding recurrence rates (P=0.024 and P=0.023, respectively).

Conclusions

Among the ICC-MVI patients undergoing curative-intent PH, only those have elevated CA19-9 or who did not undergo lymphadenectomy might be suitable for adjuvant TACE.

Definition and risk factors of early recurrence based on affecting prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients after radical resection

•

21 months was defined as the optimal threshold of RFS for dividing patients into early and late recurrence according to the influence on OS by minimum P-value method.

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Primary tumor location, pathological T stage, positive lymph nodes, and TLNs were shown to be independently associated with early recurrence.

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For the late recurrent patients, there was a significant survival advantage after recurrence for concurrent chemoradiotherapy than sequential chemoradiotherapy and radiotherapy alone.

Early recurrence after surgery could affect cancerous patients’ prognosis, but the definition of early recurrence and its risk factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients are still unclear. This study analyzed the clinical data of 468 post-surgery recurrent ESCC patients retrospectively. A minimum p-value approach was used to evaluate the optimal cut-off value of recurrence free survival (RFS) to define early recurrence. Risk factors of early recurrence were developed based on a Cox model. The optimal cut-off value of RFS to distinguish early recurrence was 21 months (p <0.001). Independent risk factors for early recurrence included tumor locations (HR=0.562, p <0.001), pathological T stage (HR=1.829, p <0.001), tumor diameter (HR=1.344, p = 0.039), positive lymph nodes (HR=1.361, p <0.001), and total resected lymph nodes (HR=1.271, p = 044). For the late recurrent patients, there was a much more significant survival advantage for recurrence after concurrent chemoradiotherapy than that after sequential chemoradiotherapy and radiotherapy alone (p = 0.0066). In conclusion, this study defined 21 months of RFS as early recurrence and also identified its risk factors. Concurrent chemoradiotherapy was suggested as preferred post-relapse treatment for late recurrent ESCC patients.

Very Early Recurrence After Liver Resection for Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Considering Alternative Treatment Approaches

Importance

Although surgery offers the best chance of a potential cure for patients with localized, resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), prognosis of patients remains dismal largely because of a high incidence of recurrence.

Objective

To predict very early recurrence (VER) (ie, recurrence within 6 months after surgery) following resection for ICC in the pre- and postoperative setting.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC between May 1990 and July 2016 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. The study was conducted at The Ohio State University in collaboration with all other participating institutions. The data were analyzed in December 2019.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Two logistic regression models were constructed to predict VER based on pre- and postoperative variables. The final models were used to develop an online calculator to predict VER and the tool was internally and externally validated.

Results

Among 880 patients (median age, 59 years [interquartile range, 51-68 years]; 388 women [44.1%]; 428 [50.2%] white; 377 [44.3%] Asian; 27 [3.2%] black]), 196 (22.3%) developed VER. The 5-year overall survival among patients with and without VER was 8.9% vs 49.8%, respectively (P < .001). A preoperative model was able to stratify patients relative to the risk for VER: low risk (6-month recurrence-free survival [RFS], 87.7%), intermediate risk (6-month RFS, 72.3%), and high risk (6-month RFS, 49.5%) (log-rank P < .001). The postoperative model similarly identified discrete cohorts of patients based on probability for VER: low risk (6-month RFS, 90.0%), intermediate risk (6-month RFS, 73.1%), and high risk (6-month RFS, 48.5%) (log-rank, P < .001). The calibration and predictive accuracy of the pre- and postoperative models were good in the training (C index: preoperative, 0.710; postoperative, 0.722) as well as the internal (C index: preoperative, 0.715; postoperative, 0.728; bootstrapping resamples, n = 5000) and external (C index: postoperative, 0.672) validation data sets.

Conclusion and Relevance

An easy-to-use online calculator was developed to help clinicians predict the chance of VER after curative-intent resection for ICC. The tool performed well on internal and external validation. This tool may help clinicians in the preoperative selection of patients for neoadjuvant therapy as well as during the postoperative period to inform surveillance strategies.

Defining early recurrence in patients with resected primary colorectal carcinoma and its respective risk factors

PURPOSE

There is no evidence-based definition of early recurrence following resection of colorectal cancer. The purpose of this study is to define a point that discriminates between early and late recurrence in patients who have undergone colorectal cancer resection with curative intent and to analyze associated risk factors.

METHODS

A retrospective single-center cohort study was performed at a university hospital recognized as a comprehensive cancer center, specializing in colorectal cancer surgery. Patient data were retrieved from a prospectively maintained institutional database. Included patients underwent resection for primary, non-metastatic colorectal carcinomas with curative intent between 1995 and 2010. Aims of the study were (1) to define the optimal cut-off point of recurrence-free survival based on overall survival using a minimum p value approach and (2) to identify patterns of initial recurrence and putative risk factors for early recurrence using regression models.

RESULTS

Recurrence was diagnosed in 412 of 1893 patients. Statistical analysis suggested that a recurrence-free survival of 16 months could be used to distinguish between early and late recurrence based on overall survival (p < 0.001). Independent risk factors for early recurrence included advanced pT categories (pT3,4/ypT3,4) and positive lymph node status (pN+/ypN+). Early recurrence was independent of site of recurrence and was associated with worse prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Recurrence of colorectal carcinoma within 16 months after primary treatment should be labeled as "early." Tumor categories pT3,4/ypT3,4 and positive lymph node status pN+/ypN+ are predictive of early recurrence.

Characterization of hepatitis B virus DNA integration patterns in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

AIM

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) integration is one of the mechanisms contributing to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. However, the status of HBV integration in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is poorly understood. This study aims to characterize the viral integration in HBV-related ICC.

METHODS

The presence of HBV S and C gene in ICCs and the paratumor tissue was determined by polymerase chain reaction direct sequencing. Hepatitis B virus integration was detected by a high-throughput capture sequencing method. The expression analysis of the genes targeted by HBV in ICC was undertaken in The Cancer Genome Atlas dataset.

RESULTS

Hepatitis B virus S and/or C gene fragments were detected in 71.43% (10/14) ICCs and 57.14% (8/14) paratumor tissues. Using the high-throughput capture sequencing approach, 139 and 183 HBV integration breakpoints were identified from seven ICC and seven paired paratumor tissues, respectively. Seven genes (TERT, CEACAM20, SPATA18, TRERF1, ZNF23, LINC01449, and LINC00486) were recurrently targeted by HBV-DNA in different ICC tissues or different cell populations of the same tissue. TERT, which is the most preferential HBV target gene in HCC, was found to be repeatedly interrupted by HBV-DNA in three different ICC tissues. Based on The Cancer Genome Atlas dataset, TERT, as well as three other HBV recurrently targeted genes (SPATA18, TRERF1, and ZNF23), showed differential expression levels between ICC and para-ICC tissues.

CONCLUSIONS

Taken together, HBV integration is a common event in HBV-related ICC. The HBV recurrent integration genes identified from this study, such as TERT, provide new clues for further research on the causative link between HBV infection and ICC.

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: Morpho-molecular pathology, tumor reactive microenvironment, and malignant progression

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) is a relatively rare, but highly lethal and biologically complex primary biliary epithelial cancer arising within liver. After hepatocellular carcinoma, iCCA is the second most common primary liver cancer, accounting for approximately 10-20% of all primary hepatic malignancies. Over the last 10-20 years, iCCA has become the focus of increasing concern largely due to its rising incidence and high mortality rates in various parts of the world, including the United States. The challenges posed by iCCA are daunting and despite recent progress in the standard of care and management options for iCCA, the prognosis for this cancer continues to be dismal. In an effort to provide a framework for advancing our understanding of iCCA malignant aggressiveness and therapy resistance, this review will highlight key etiological, biological, molecular, and microenvironmental factors hindering more effective management of this hepatobiliary cancer. Particular focus will be on critically reviewing the cell origins and morpho-molecular heterogeneity of iCCAs, providing mechanistic insights into high risk fibroinflammatory cholangiopathies associated with iCCA development, and notably discussing the deleterious role played by the tumor reactive desmoplastic stroma in regulating iCCA malignant progression, lymphangiogenesis, and tumor immunobiology.

Clinical Characteristics and Prognostic Factors of Early and Late Recurrence After Definitive Radiotherapy for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

We investigated the clinical characteristics, prognostic factors, and post-recurrence prognostic factors of early- and late-recurrence patients for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) after definitive intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT). This was a single-center retrospective analysis of patients in China from January 2010 to December 2015. The prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and post-recurrence OS of early- and late-recurrence patients were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Of the 9,468 patients included, 409 (4.3%), 325 (3.4%), and 182(1.9%) developed purely local recurrence, purely regional recurrence, and locoregional recurrence during follow-up, respectively. In the purely local recurrence group, 192 patients (46.9%) developed early local recurrence (ETR), and 217 patients (53.1%) developed late local recurrence (LTR). Of the 192 ETR patients, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age and gender were independent risk factors of OS, and post-recurrence best supportive treatment (PRBST) was associated with poorer post-recurrence OS. Of the 217 LTR patients, the results revealed that baseline value of EBV-DNA was an independent risk factor for OS, while PRBST was associated with poorer post-recurrence OS. In the purely regional recurrence group, 183 patients (56.3%) developed early regional recurrence (ENR), and 142 patients (43.7%) developed late regional recurrence (LNR). Of the 183 ENR patients, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that alcohol abuse and TNM stage were independent risk factors of OS, while alcohol drinkers and PRBST were associated with poorer post-recurrence OS. Of the 142 LNR patients, PRBST was associated with poorer post-recurrence OS. In the locoregional recurrence group, 87 patients (47.8%) developed early locoregional recurrence (ELR), and 95 patients (52.2%) developed late locoregional recurrence (LLR). Of the 87 ELR patients, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that N stage and TNM stage were independent risk factors of OS, and N2/3 stage and PRBST were associated with poorer post-recurrence OS. Of the 95 LLR patients, the results revealed that T stage was an independent risk factor for OS, while T3/4 stage and PRBST were associated with poorer post-recurrence OS. Patients with LTR/LNR/LLR demonstrate significantly better OS compared with patients with ETR/ENR/ELR, Nevertheless, post-recurrence OS between patients with ETR/ENR/ELR and LTR/LNR/LLR was not significantly different.

Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma: which preoperative clinical data and conventional MRI characteristics have value for the prediction of microvascular invasion and clinical significance?

Objectives

To explore which preoperative clinical data and conventional MRI findings may indicate microvascular invasion (MVI) of combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) and have clinical significance.

Methods

The study enrolled 113 patients with histopathologically confirmed cHCC-CCA (MVI-positive group [n = 56], MVI-negative group [n = 57]). Two radiologists retrospectively assessed the preoperative MRI features (qualitative analysis of morphology and dynamic enhancement features), and each lesion was assigned according to the LI-RADS. Preoperative clinical data were also evaluated. Logistic regression analyses were used to assess the relative value of these parameters as potential predictors of MVI. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates after hepatectomy in the two groups were estimated using Kaplan–Meier survival curves and compared using the log-rank test.

Results

The majority of cHCC-CCAs were categorized as LR-M. On multivariate analysis, a higher serum AFP level (OR, 0.523; 95% CI, 0.282–0.971; p = 0.040), intratumoral fat deposition (OR, 14.368; 95% CI, 2.749–75.098; p = 0.002), and irregular arterial peritumoral enhancement (OR, 0.322; 95% CI, 0.164–0.631; p = 0.001) were independent variables associated with the MVI of cHCC-CCA. After hepatectomy, patients with MVI of cHCC-CCA showed earlier recurrence than those without MVI (hazard ratio [HR], 0.402; 95% CI, 0.189–0.854, p = 0.013).

Conclusion

A higher serum AFP level and irregular arterial peritumoral enhancement are potential predictive biomarkers for the MVI of cHCC-CCA, while intratumoral fat detected on MRI suggests a low risk of MVI. Furthermore, cHCC-CCAs with MVI may have worse surgical outcomes with regard to early recurrence than those without MVI.

Key Points

• Higher serum levels of AFP combined with irregular arterial peritumoral enhancement are independent risk factors for the MVI of cHCC-CCA, while fat deposition might be a protective factor.

• cHCC-CCA with MVI may have a higher risk of early recurrence after surgery.

• Most cHCC-CCAs were categorized as LR-M in this study, and no significant difference was found in MVI based on LI-RADS category.

A Novel Prognostic Nomogram for Patients With Recurrence of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Initial Surgery

Background: The prognosis of patients with post-operative recurrent intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is at great variance. We aimed to propose a novel efficient prognostic nomogram in facilitating the risk stratification for post-operative recurrent ICC patients. Methods: From 2000 to 2016, a total of 237 post-operative recurrent ICC patients were enrolled in this study, and randomly divided into training (n = 178) and validation cohorts (n = 59) at a ratio of 3:1. The performance of this nomogram was assessed by discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness, and the results were compared with four other currently used ICC staging systems. Results: On multivariate analysis of the training cohort, serum CA 19-9, albumin-bilirubin grade at recurrence, time from primary resection to recurrence, tumor number at recurrence, and treatment for recurrence were selected for the model. The concordance index (C-index) of our model was 0.791 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.736-0.846], which was statistically higher than the values of the following systems: American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition (0.610), Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan (0.613), Nathan (0.582), and Okabayashi (0.600; P < 0.001 for all). The nomogram performed well in terms of calibration when compared with actual observation. The findings were supported by the validation cohort. Conclusions: Compared with four currently used staging systems for ICC, our nomogram showed more promising clinical utility in improving individualized predictions of survival for post-operative recurrent ICC patients.

Overexpression of a panel of cancer stem cell markers enhances the predictive capability of the progression and recurrence in the early stage cholangiocarcinoma

Background

Cancer recurrence is the important problem of cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) patients, lead to a very high mortality rate. Therefore, the identification of candidate markers to predict CCA recurrence is needed in order to effectively manage the disease. This study aims to examine the predictive value of cancer stem cell (CSC) markers on the progression and recurrence of CCA patients.

Methods

The expression of 6 putative CSC markers, cluster of differentiation 44 (CD44), CD44 variant 6 (CD44v6), CD44 variants 8-10 (CD44v8-10), cluster of differentiation 133 (CD133), epithelial cell adhesion molecule (EpCAM), and aldehyde dehydrogenase 1A1 (ALDH1A1), was investigated in 178 CCA tissue samples using immunohistochemistry (IHC) and analyzed with respect to clinicopathological data and patient outcome including recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). The candidate CSC markers were also investigated in serum from CCA patients, and explored for their predictive ability on CCA recurrence.

Results

Elevated protein level of CD44 and positive expression of CD44v6 and CD44v8-10 were significantly associated with short RFS and OS, while high levels of ALDH1A1 were correlated with a favorable prognosis patient. The elevated CD44v6 level was also correlated with higher tumor staging, whereas a decreasing level of ALDH1A1 was correlated with lower tumor staging. The levels of CD44, CD44v6 and CD44v8-10 were also correlated and were associated with a poor outcome. Furthermore, soluble CD44, CD44v6, CD44v8-10 and EpCAM were significantly increased in the recurrence group for early stage CCA; they also correlated with high levels of the tumor marker CA19-9. Elevated levels of CD44, CD44v6, CD44v8-10 or EpCAM alone or in combination has the potential to predict CCA recurrence.

Conclusions

The overexpression of CD44, CD44v6, CD44v8-10 and EpCAM increases predictability of post-operative CCA recurrence. Moreover, the overexpression of the panel of CSC markers combined with CA19-9 could improve our predictive ability for tumor recurrence in early stage CCA patients. This result may be beneficial for the patients in order to predict the outcome after treatment and may be useful for clinical intervention in order to improve patient survival.