Prognostic Impact of Central Nervous System Recurrence After Surgery in Patients With Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Mutation-positive Non-small-cell Lung Cancer

BACKGROUND/AIM

Adjuvant therapy using third-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) demonstrated improved central nervous system (CNS) disease-free survival after surgery in patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation-positive lung cancer. However, the prognostic impact of CNS recurrence in surgical patients remains unknown. We evaluated the effect of CNS recurrence on post-recurrence survival (PRS) in patients with postoperatively recurrent NSCLC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We assessed the prognostic impact of CNS recurrence using a cohort from a prospective observational study (Kyushu University Lung Surgery Group Study 2: KLSS-2). Based on data from 340 patients in whom EGFR mutations were assessed among 498 total patients in the KLSS-2 cohort, factors related to CNS recurrence and prognosis after postoperative recurrence were analyzed.

RESULTS

We noted no marked differences in the presence of EGFR mutations (p=0.14) between patients with CNS recurrence and those without CNS recurrence. Among the patients tested for EGFR mutations with stage IV recurrences (n=219), survival analysis of patients with EGFR mutations showed that the CNS group had a significantly poorer PRS than the no-CNS group (MST: 36.8 vs. 43.9 months, p=0.035). In multivariate survival analysis of stage IV EGFR mutation-positive cases, recurrence in multiple organs and recurrence of brain metastases were independent poor prognostic factors (hazard ratio=2.2, p=0.029; hazard ratio=3.2, p=0.0006, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Postoperative CNS recurrence was associated with a poor prognosis among patients with EGFR mutation-positive lung cancer in the period when third-generation EGFR-TKIs were not available. In EGFR mutation-positive lung cancer, prevention of CNS recurrence after surgery may improve post-recurrence prognosis.

A novel nomogram for predicting post-recurrence survival in recurrent neuroblastoma patients

Patients with recurrent neuroblastoma (NB) have a broad range of prognoses. This research aimed to develop a nomogram to assess post-recurrence survival (PRS) in patients with recurrent neuroblastoma. The TARGET database was utilized to enroll 825 individuals diagnosed with neuroblastoma between 1986 and 2012, 250 of whom were diagnosed with recurrent NB. These patients were randomly divided into a training group (n = 175) and a validation group (n = 75) at a ratio of 7:3. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis. A prognosis nomogram was constructed based on post-recurrence survival indicators identified through Cox regression and LASSO analysis. The nomogram's capability for classification and calibration was assessed using the calibration curve, the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and the consistency index (C-index). The nomogram was verified in the validation cohort, and its clinical applicabilities were assessed using the decision curve analysis (DCA). Four PRS predictors, COG risk group, INSS stage, MYCN status, and age, were identified to construct the nomogram, which showed good discrimination and calibration in the training and validation sets. The C-index of the training and validation sets was 0.681 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.632-0.730] and 0.666 [95% CI, 0.593-0.739], respectively. The nomogram's AUC values for the training and validation sets at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.747, 0.775, and 0.782 vs. 0.721, 0.757, and 0.776. The nomogram's AUC values were consistently higher than those of the COG risk groups and INSS stage, indicating that the nomogram had superior differentiation compared to the INSS stage and COG risk group. The DCA curve also demonstrated that the nomogram we developed outperformed conventional COG risk groups and INSS stage regarding clinical advantage. In the present study, we developed and validated a novel nomogram that should facilitate more accurate and personalized assessment of the survival probability of children with relapsed neuroblastoma. This model should assist physicians in their clinical decision-making process.

Is radical local therapy effective in postoperative recurrent EGFR-mutated non-small cell lung cancer?

BACKGROUND

Long-term survival can be achieved with radical local therapy in some cases of postoperative recurrence of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Here, we evaluated post-recurrence survival (PRS) after treatment of postoperative recurrent epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutated NSCLC and examined the effectiveness of radical local therapy.

METHODS

This multicenter prospective cohort study was conducted in 14 hospitals. The inclusion criteria for this study were patients with recurrence after radical resection for NSCLC. Information about the patient characteristics at recurrence, tumor-related variables, primary surgery, and treatment for recurrence was collected. After registration, follow-up data (e.g., treatment and survival outcomes) were obtained and analyzed.

RESULTS

From 2010 to 2015, 505 patients with recurrent NSCLC were enrolled into the study, and 154 EGFR mutation-positive cases were included. As the initial treatment for recurrence, 111 patients (72%) received chemotherapy, 14 (9%) received chemoradiotherapy, 14 (9%) received definitive radiotherapy, and seven (5%) received surgical resection. The remaining eight patients (5%) received supportive care. The median PRS and 5-year survival rates for all cases were 64 months and 53.2%, respectively. The 5-year survival rate according to the initial treatment was as follows: supportive care, 0%; chemotherapy, 53.3% and radical local therapy, 60.1%. The six patients who received radical local treatment remained recurrence-free for more than 3 years after recurrence with only initial treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Although radical local therapy may be curative in some patients, chemotherapy including EGFR-TKI treatment is expected to provide long-term survival comparable to that of radical local therapy.

Examination of the effectiveness of local therapy for oligo-recurrence of EGFR-mutated NSCLC

BACKGROUND

The effectiveness of local therapy has been reported in patients with oligo-recurrence of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), a metachronous recurrence with a limited number of recurrences, which can be treated with local therapy. Conversely, remarkable progress has been made in systemic therapy for NSCLC with the advent of molecular targeted therapy. In particular, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) are very effective in the treatment of EGFR-mutated NSCLC. There is currently no consensus on treatment for oligo-recurrence of EGFR-mutated NSCLC.

METHODS

From 2004 to 2014, 811 patients underwent complete resection for NSCLC at Kitasato University Hospital and, of these, 244 patients developed recurrence. Oligo-recurrence was defined as the presence of two or less recurrent lesions, and 34 patients presented with EGFR-mutated oligo-recurrence.

RESULTS

We retrospectively examined and compared the effects of EGFR-TKIs with those of radical local therapy in patients with oligo-recurrent EGFR-mutated NSCLC. The five-year post-recurrence survival (PRS) rates of patients with EGFR-mutated oligo-recurrence who received radical local therapy (n = 23) and those who did not (n = 11) were 59.4 and 45.5%, respectively (p = 0.777). Multivariate analysis revealed no favorable prognostic factors associated with prolonged PRS, and radical local therapies did not improve PRS in patients with oligo-recurrence (p = 0.551).

CONCLUSION

Radical local therapy did not affect PRS in patients with oligo-recurrent EGFR-mutated NSCLC. Even in cases of oligo-recurrence, the administration of local therapy in patients with EGFR-mutated NSCLC might be carefully considered.

Post-recurrence survival analysis of patients with pulmonary recurrence from gynaecologic cancers: a multi-institutional analysis of 122 patients

In this retrospective study, patients with epithelial gynaecologic cancer with pulmonary recurrence (PR) were evaluated from five national gynaecologic oncology clinics. Patients with a diagnosis of primary endometrial, ovarian/fallopian tube/peritoneal, cervical or vaginal/vulvar tumours who developed an initial PR were included in the study A total of 122 patients were included in the study. The median follow-up time after recurrence was 7.5 (range, 1-84) months. The 2-year PRS was 48% in the main cohort. The risk of death was more than seven times higher in patients who did not receive salvage chemotherapy compared with those who did (hazard ratio: 7.6, 95% CI: 3.0-18.9; p < .001). When squamous cell carcinoma was compared with the other tumour types, the risk of death increased more than three times (hazard ratio: 3.7, 95% CI: 1.4-9.6; p = .007).IMPACT STATEMENTWhat is already known on this subject? Pulmonary recurrence (PR) from gynaecologic malignancies is rare and can cause major clinical problem. Therefore, defining the clinical and pathologic characteristics and recurrence patterns are essential.What the results of this study add? This study demonstrates non-squamous subtype and salvage chemotherapy at PR were associated with improved survival.What of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? To the best of our knowledge, our study is the largest study to investigate the clinico-pathologic characteristics, recurrence patterns, treatment options, and post-recurrence survival (PRS) in patients with PR from epithelial gynaecologic cancers. Future research should examine the underlying causes of these findings.

Second Surgery for Recurrent Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma after Multimodality Treatment: A Systematic Review

Malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is an aggressive asbestos-related tumour with poor prognosis. To date, a multimodality treatment, including chemotherapy and surgery, with or without radiotherapy, is the gold standard therapy for selected patients with epithelioid and early-stage MPM. In this setting, the goal of surgery is to achieve the macroscopic complete resection, obtained by either extrapleural pneumonectomy or pleurectomy/decortication. Failure, in local and/or distant sites, is one of the major concerns; in fact, there has been no established treatment for the recurrence of MPM after the multimodal approach, and the role of surgery in this context is still controversial. By using electronic databases, studies that included recurrent MPM patients who underwent a second surgery were identified. The endpoints included were: a pattern of recurrence, post-recurrence survival (PRS), and the type of second surgery. When available, factors predicting better PRS and perioperative mortality and morbidity were collected. This systematic review offers an overview of the results that are currently obtained in patients undergoing a second surgery for relapsed MPM, with the aim to provide a comprehensive view on this subject that explores if a second surgery leads to an improvement in survival.

Recurrence Features and Factors influencing Post-relapse Survival in Early-stage Endometrial Cancer after Adjuvant Radiotherapy

Purpose: To evaluate the recurrent patterns and effect of clinicopathological factors on survival after recurrence (R-OS) in early stage endometrial cancer (EC). Methods: Patients with FIGO stage I-II EC, who underwent post-surgery radiotherapy (RT) at our institution between 2000 and 2017, were enrolled. First recurrent patterns, overall survival (OS), and R-OS were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate analyses (MVA) were used to evaluate factors associated with R-OS. Results: 756 patients were analyzed including 510 patients who received vaginal brachytherapy (VBT) and 246 patients who received external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) ± VBT, of whom 66 patients experienced recurrence, including 21 locoregional relapses and 45 distant metastases. Outside RT field recurrence predominated intra-RT field recurrence (106 versus 10 lesions). The 5-year OS rates for patients with and without recurrence were 62.2% and 98.2%, respectively (p<0.001). Among patients who underwent previous VBT, the 5-year OS rates were 61.1%, 92.3%, and 99.1% for distant metastasis, locoregional relapse, and non-recurrence, respectively (p<0.001); among patients who received EBRT ± VBT, the 5-year OS rates were 51.4%, 50.0%, and 98.3%, respectively (p<0.001).On Cox MVA of R-OS for locoregional recurrence patients, para-aortic lymph node metastasis was associated with poorer R-OS (hazard ratio [HR] 10.047, p=0.039), and salvage RT was superior to other therapies (HR 0.06, p=0.026). On Cox MVA of R-OS for distant metastasis, patients with brain metastasis (p=0.041) had the worst R-OS and patients benefited most from combined therapy (HR 0.02, p=0.001). Conclusion: Recurrent patterns were dominated by outside RT field and distant metastasis for early-stage ECs after adjuvant RT. The modality of prior RT had an impact on the choice of salvage therapy. RT could still be an effective salvage treatment for patients who develop locoregional recurrence. Patients with distant metastasis may benefit from combined therapies.

Prognostic Factors for Post-Recurrence Survival in Stage II and III Colorectal Carcinoma Patients

Background and objectives: This study aimed to evaluate prognostic factors for post-recurrence survival in local and locally advanced colorectal cancer patients. Materials and Methods: A total of 273 patients with stage III and high-risk stage II colorectal cancer were prospectively enrolled. All patients underwent operative treatment of the primary tumor and adjuvant fluorouracil-based chemotherapy. Results: Over the three-year period (2008–2010), a cohort of 273 patients with stage III and high-risk stage II colorectal cancer had been screened. During follow up, 105 (38.5%) patients had disease recurrence. Survival rates 1-, 3- and 5-year after recurrence were 53.9, 18.2 and 6.5%, respectively, and the median post-recurrence survival time was 13 months. Survival analysis showed that age at diagnosis (p < 0.01), gender (p < 0.05), elevated postoperative Ca19-9 (p < 0.01), tumor histology (adenocarcinoma vs. mucinous vs. signet ring tumors, p < 0.01) and tumor stage (II vs. III, p < 0.05) had a significant influence on post-recurrence survival. Recurrence interval and metastatic site were not related to survival following recurrence. Multivariate analysis showed that older age (HR 2.43), mucinous tumors (HR 1.51) and tumors expressing Ca19-9 at baseline (HR 3.51) were independently associated with survival following recurrence. Conclusions: Baseline patient and tumor characteristics largely predicted patient outcomes after disease recurrence. Recurrence intervals in local and locally advanced colorectal cancer were not found to be prognostic factors for post-recurrence survival. Older age, male gender, stage III and mucinous histology were poor prognostic factors after the disease had recurred. Stage II patients had remarkable post-recurrence survival compared to stage III patients.

A Novel Nomogram to Predict Prolonged Survival After Hepatectomy in Repeat Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background: Repeat hepatectomy is an important treatment for patients with repeat recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods: This study was a multicenter retrospective analysis of 1,135 patients who underwent primary curative liver resection for HCC. One hundred recurrent patients with second hepatectomy were included to develop a nomogram to predict the risk of post-recurrence survival (PRS). Thirty-eight patients in another institution were used to externally validate the nomogram. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors of PRS. Discrimination, calibration, and the Kaplan–Meier curves were used to evaluate the model performance.

Results: The nomogram was based on variables associated with PRS after HCC recurrence, including the tumor, node, and metastasis (TNM) stage; albumin and aspartate aminotransferase levels at recurrence; tumor size, site, differentiation of recurrences; and time to recurrence (TTR). The discriminative ability of the nomogram, as indicated by the C statistics (0.758 and 0.811 for training cohort and external validation cohorts, respectively), was shown, which was better than that of the TNM staging system (0.609 and 0.609, respectively). The calibration curves showed ideal agreement between the prediction and the real observations. The area under the curves (AUCs) of the training cohort and external validation cohorts were 0.843 and 0.890, respectively. The Kaplan–Meier curve of the established nomogram also performed better than those of both the TNM and the BCLC staging systems.

Conclusions: We constructed a nomogram to predict PRS in patients with repeat hepatectomy (RH) after repeat recurrence of HCC.

A novel prognostic nomogram for colorectal cancer liver metastasis patients with recurrence after hepatectomy

PURPOSE

We aimed to construct a nomogram to predict personalized post-recurrence survival (PRS) among colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) patients with post-hepatectomy recurrence.

METHODS

Colorectal cancer liver metastasis patients who received initial hepatectomy and had subsequent recurrence between 2001 and 2019 in Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from China were included in the study. Patients were randomly assigned to a training cohort and a validation cohort on a ratio of 2:1. Univariable analysis was first employed to select potential predictive factors for PRS. Then, the multivariable Cox regression model was applied to recognize independent prognostic factors. According to the model, a nomogram to predict PRS was established. The nomogram's predictive capacity was further assessed utilizing concordance index (C-index) values, calibration plots, and Kaplan-Meier curves.

RESULTS

About 376 patients were finally enrolled, with a 3-year PRS rate of 37.3% and a 5-year PRS rate of 24.6%. The following five independent predictors for PRS were determined to construct the nomogram: the largest size of liver metastases at initial hepatectomy, relapse-free survival, CEA level at recurrence, recurrent sites, and treatment for recurrence. The nomogram displayed fairly good discrimination and calibration. The C-index value was 0.742 for the training cohort and 0.773 for the validation cohort. Patients were grouped into three risk groups very well by the nomogram, with 5-year PRS rates of 45.2%, 23.3%, and 9.0%, respectively (p < 0.001) in the training cohort and 36.0%, 9.2%, and 4.6%, respectively (p < 0.001) in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

A novel nomogram was built and validated to enable the prediction of personal PRS in CRLM patients with post-hepatectomy recurrence. The nomogram may help physicians in decision making.

Reappraise role of lymph node status in patterns of recurrence following curative resection of gastric adenocarcinoma

Objective

To examine the association between lymph node status and recurrence patterns in completely resected gastric adenocarcinoma.

Methods

We retrospectively assessed 1,694 patients who underwent curative gastrectomy from January 2010 to August 2014. Patients stratified according to lymph node status and recurrence patterns among different subgroups were compared.

Results

Of all, 517 (30.5%) patients developed recurrent disease, and complete data of recurrence could be obtained in 493 (95.4%) patients. For pN0 patients, the patterns of recurrence were different according to pT stage: locoregional recurrence was most common in patients with pT1−2 disease (57.1%), distant recurrence was most common in patients with pT3 disease (57.1%), and peritoneal recurrence was most common in patients with pT4a disease (66.7%). For pN+ patients, distant metastasis was most common pattern irrespective of pT stage. The site-specific trend of recurrence showed that locoregional recurrence increased within 5 years in patients with pN0−2 disease but plateaued 3 years after surgery in patients with pN3 disease. Time to recurrence was significantly longer for the pN0 patients compared with the pN+ patients (median: 25 vs. 16 months, P=0.001). Moreover, post-recurrence survival was significantly better for the pN0 patients than for the pN+ patients (median: 12 vs. 6 months, P<0.001), especially in patients with non-peritoneal recurrence, late recurrence, single recurrence, and receipt of potential curative treatment.

Conclusions

Among clinicopathologic factors, lymph node status is the most important factor associated with recurrence patterns after curative gastrectomy. Lymph node status may be used as an adjunct in clinical decision-making about postoperative therapeutic and follow-up strategies.

A Novel Prognostic Nomogram for Patients With Recurrence of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Initial Surgery

Background: The prognosis of patients with post-operative recurrent intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is at great variance. We aimed to propose a novel efficient prognostic nomogram in facilitating the risk stratification for post-operative recurrent ICC patients. Methods: From 2000 to 2016, a total of 237 post-operative recurrent ICC patients were enrolled in this study, and randomly divided into training (n = 178) and validation cohorts (n = 59) at a ratio of 3:1. The performance of this nomogram was assessed by discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness, and the results were compared with four other currently used ICC staging systems. Results: On multivariate analysis of the training cohort, serum CA 19-9, albumin-bilirubin grade at recurrence, time from primary resection to recurrence, tumor number at recurrence, and treatment for recurrence were selected for the model. The concordance index (C-index) of our model was 0.791 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.736-0.846], which was statistically higher than the values of the following systems: American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition (0.610), Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan (0.613), Nathan (0.582), and Okabayashi (0.600; P < 0.001 for all). The nomogram performed well in terms of calibration when compared with actual observation. The findings were supported by the validation cohort. Conclusions: Compared with four currently used staging systems for ICC, our nomogram showed more promising clinical utility in improving individualized predictions of survival for post-operative recurrent ICC patients.

Prolonged post-recurrence survival following pleurectomy/decortication for malignant pleural mesothelioma

The present study analyzed surgical results in patients with malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) who underwent extrapleural pneumonectomy (EPP) or pleurectomy/decortication (P/D). Data for 44 patients who achieved macroscopic complete resection following neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by EPP (n=29) or P/D (n=15) were reviewed. Patient demographics and oncological outcomes were compared between the EPP and P/D groups. The median overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) times were 22 and 14 months, respectively. OS was significantly different between the EPP and P/D groups (median OS, 17 vs. 34 months; 5-year OS, 11 vs. 44%; P=0.019); no difference was noted in PFS (median PFS, 13 vs. 21 months; 5-year PFS, 11 vs. 17%; P=0.373). Univariate analysis demonstrated that epithelial histology (P=0.0003) and P/D (P=0.018) were significant favorable prognostic factors for OS. Using multivariate analysis, epithelial histology (P=0.001) remained the only significant factor. Post-recurrence survival (PRS) among all patients was significantly longer in the P/D group (median PRS, 3 vs. 20 months; 1.5-year PRS, 5 vs. 54%; P=0.003), even among patients with epithelial-type MPM (median PRS, 6 s vs. 20 months; 1.5-year PRS, 8 vs. 61%; P=0.012). Chemotherapy following recurrence (P=0.033) was significantly associated with superior PRS in multivariate analysis. Postoperative pulmonary function was significantly improved in the P/D group. In summary, P/D may be an alternative procedure to EPP for resectable MPM providing similar PFS and improved PRS.

A post-recurrence survival-predicting indicator for cervical cancer from the analysis of 165 patients who developed recurrence

The aim of the present study was to estimate the post-recurrence survival (PRS) of patients with relapsed uterine cervical cancer (RUCC). In addition, clinicopathological indicators that influenced PRS were investigated. Between 1998 and 2014, of 740 patients with cervical cancer, 165 patients experienced recurrence (recurrence rate, 22.3%), and 83 patients succumbed to the disease within a median follow-up of 34.3 months. A total of 151 stage Ib-IV patients who experienced recurrence after initial treatment for cervical cancer at our institute were analyzed. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed using the Kaplan Meier method, and Cox regression model. The median age was 55 years (range, 20-88 years). In all, 80 patients succumbed to the disease. The median PRS time of all the patients was 28.4 months. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year PRS rates of patients were 75.1, 41.9, and 32.1%, respectively. In addition, the median survival period in patients who had received surgery as an initial treatment was significantly longer compared with that in patients who had not previously undergone surgery (36.7 vs. 23.3 months, respectively; P=0.0338). Following the univariate analysis, the median PRS in patients with in- and out-field recurrence was 12.6, and 45.9 months, respectively (P<0.0001). Furthermore, in the multivariable analysis, the recurrence site was a significant prognostic indicator of PRS [(In-field vs. Out-field); hazard ratio, 2.848; 95% confidence interval, 1.707-4.738; P<0.0001]. The long-term clinical outcome of patients with RUCC was poor. In particular, the in-field recurrence was identified to be associated with poor post-recurrence oncological outcome in patients with RUCC.