Left colon as a novel high-risk factor for postoperative recurrence of stage II colon cancer

Effects of Adjuvant Chemotherapy on Early-onset Stage II Colon Cancer at Different Tumor Sites

OBJECTIVES

Left-sided colon cancer (LSCC) and right-sided colon cancer (RSCC) have shown distinct clinical and prognostic features. We investigated the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) on cause-specific survival (CSS) in patients with stage II LSCC and RSCC.

METHODS

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, a cohort of patients with stage II colon cancer, aged between 20 and 49 years was identified. Both Cox proportional hazards regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis as well as propensity score matching were used.

RESULTS

Overall, 5633 patients were eligible. Patients with RSCC were more likely to be male, black, and younger, with a poor grade and histologic type, and were more likely to have more regional nodes examined and larger tumor size. After propensity score matching, CSS was significantly superior in patients with RSCC compared to those with LSCC (Hazard Ratio (HR): 0.80, 95% CI: 0.68-0.95, P =0.01). However, no survival benefit was observed for patients with LSCC after ACT (HR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.90-1.35, P =0.35), and surprisingly, ACT was found to do more harm than good in patients with RSCC (HR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.05-1.63, P =0.02). Even among patients with high-risk features such as T4 stage and regional nodes examined<12 in both groups, ACT still did not improve CSS except for T4 stage LSCC (HR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.44-0.97, P =0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this analysis indicate that the prognosis of RSCC is better than that of LSCC in stage II colon cancer, and ACT did not improve CSS in patients with either LSCC or RSCC. Even in patients with parts of high-risk features, ACT still did not improve CSS, except for T4 stage LSCC.

Construction of a nomogram based on clinicopathologic features to predict the likelihood of No. 253 lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer patients

PURPOSE

To explore the high-risk factors for rectal cancer No.253 lymph node metastasis (LNM) and to construct a risk nomogram for the individualized prediction of No.253 LNM.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of 425 patients with rectal cancer who underwent laparoscopic-assisted radical surgery. Independent risk factors for rectal cancer No.253 LNM was identified using multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a risk prediction nomogram was constructed based on the independent risk factors. In addition, the performance of the model was evaluated by discrimination, calibration, and clinical benefit.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that No.253 lymphadenectasis on CT (OR 10.697, P < 0.001), preoperative T4-stage (OR 4.431, P = 0.001), undifferentiation (OR 3.753, P = 0.004), and preoperative Ca199 level > 27 U/ml (OR 2.628, P = 0.037) were independent risk factors for No.253 LNM. A nomogram was constructed based on the above four factors. The calibration curve of the nomogram was closer to the ideal diagonal, indicating that the nomogram had a better fitting ability. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.865, which indicated that the nomogram had high discriminative ability. In addition, decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the model could show better clinical benefit when the threshold probability was between 1% and 50%.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative No.253 lymphadenectasis on CT, preoperative T4-stage, undifferentiation, and elevated preoperative Ca199 level were found to be independent risk factors for the No.253 LNM. A predictive model based on these risk factors can help surgeons make rational clinical decisions.

Elevated postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen guides adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer: a multicentre cohort retrospective study

Most clinical doctors rely on high-risk factors recommended by guidelines to decide whether to undergo adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer. However, these high-risk factors do not include postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). This study aims to explore the elevation of postoperative CEA as a risk factor, in addition to other high-risk factors, to guide adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with stage II colon cancer. A retrospective analysis was conducted on stage II colon cancer patients who underwent curative surgery at Yunnan Cancer Hospital and The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University from April 2008 to January 2019. Patients were classified into three groups based on high-risk factors recommended by guidelines and postoperative CEA levels: low-risk with normal postoperative CEA, low-risk with elevated postoperative CEA and high-risk. COX regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors affecting patients' recurrence free survival (RFS). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to create the patients' RFS curve. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) curve was used to assess the correlation between postoperative CEA and RFS on a continuous scale. Among 761 patients, there were 444 males (62.01%), with a median [IQR] age of 58.0 (18.0-88.0) years. A group of 425 high-risk patients had a 3-year RFS of 82.2% (95% CI 78.5-86.1%), while a group of 291 low-risk patients had a 3-year RFS of 89.7% (95% CI 86.1-93.5%). There was a statistically significant difference between the two groups (HR 1.83; 95% CI 1.22-2.74; P = 0.0067). Among them, the 3-year RFS of 261 low-risk patients with normal postoperative CEA was 93.6% (95% CI 90.5-96.8%), while the 3-year RFS of 30 low-risk patients with elevated postoperative CEA was 57.3% (95% CI 41.8-71.4%). There was a significant difference compared to the 3-year RFS of 425 high-risk patients (overall log-rank P < 0.0001). The multivariate analysis adjusted by the COX proportional hazards model showed that low-risk patients with elevated postoperative CEA patients (HR 14.95, 95% CI 4.51-49.63, P < 0.0001) was independently associated with a 3-year RFS. The restricted cubic spline model showed that in stage II colon cancer patients with tumor diameter > 1.955 ng/mL, the risk of postoperative recurrence increased with increasing postoperative CEA levels. Patients with elevated postoperative CEA levels have a significantly increased risk of recurrence. They should be included as high-risk factors to guide adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer.

Optimal treatment strategy and prognostic analysis for patients with non-metastatic pT4 colon adenocarcinoma

Objective

This study endeavored to explore the optimal treatment strategy and conduct a prognostic analysis for patients diagnosed with pT4M0 (pathologic stage T4) colon adenocarcinoma (COAD).

Methods and materials

A total of 8,843 patients diagnosed with pT4M0 COAD between January 2010 and December 2015 were included in this study from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. These patients were randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set using a 7:3 ratio. Variables that demonstrated statistical significance (P<0.05) in univariate COX regression analysis or held clinical significance were incorporated into the multivariate COX regression model. Subsequently, this model was utilized to formulate a nomogram. The predictive accuracy and discriminability of the nomogram were assessed using the C-index, area under the curve (AUC), and calibration curves. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was conducted to confirm the clinical validity of the model.

Results

In the entire SEER cohort, the 3-year overall survival (OS) rate (74.22% vs. 63.20%, P<0.001) and the 3-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) rate (76.25% vs. 66.98%, P<0.001) in the surgery combined with postoperative adjuvant therapy (S+ADT) group surpassed those in the surgery (S) group. Multivariate COX regression analysis of the training set unveiled correlations between age, race, N stage, serum CEA (carcinoembryonic antigen), differentiation, number of resected lymph nodes, and treatment modalities with OS and CSS. Nomograms for OS and CSS were meticulously crafted based on these variables, achieving C-indexes of 0.692 and 0.690 in the training set, respectively. The robust predictive ability of the nomogram was further affirmed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration curves in both the training and validation sets.

Conclusion

In individuals diagnosed with pT4M0 COAD, the integration of surgery with adjuvant chemoradiotherapy demonstrated a substantial extension of long-term survival. The nomogram, which incorporated key factors such as age, race, differentiation, N stage, serum CEA level, tumor size, and the number of resected lymph nodes, stood as a dependable tool for predicting OS and CSS rates. This predictive model held promise in aiding clinicians by identifying high-risk patients and facilitating the development of personalized treatment plans.

Differences in Colorectal Cancer Survival Based on Primary Tumor Location: Retrospective Study from a Single Institution

Objective: The location of the primary tumor in colorectal cancer (CRC) could be a prognostic factor related to survival. However, its usefulness has not been sufficiently analyzed. The results in patients with tumors in initial stages are very limited, and there are descriptive parameters of survival that have not been analyzed in detail. In this study, the relationship between primary tumor location and survival in CRC patients was analyzed. Materials And Methods: This was a retrospective observational study. All patients treated consecutively for CRC between January 2005 and December 2019 in the same hospital center were included. Overall survival (OS), cancer-related survival (CRS), time to recurrence (TTR), relapse-free survival (RFS) and postrecurrence survival (PRS) were analyzed, and the results were classified by tumor stage. The results were compared among patients with right colon (RS), left colon (LS) and rectal tumors. Results: In the entire cohort, patients with RS tumors had lower OS and lower CRS at 60 months after diagnosis than did patients with LS or rectal tumors. In the regression analysis, the localization of the primary tumor was an independent prognostic indicator for OS and CRS. Analysis by tumor stage showed that patients with RS stage III tumors had lower OS and lower CRS at 60 months than did patients with LS and rectal tumors (42%, 59% and 53%, respectively, p = 0.006; and 48%, 63% and 57%, respectively, p = 0.025). Additionally, patients with RS Stage IV tumors had lower OS and lower CRS at 36 months than did patients with LS and rectal tumors (9%, 24%, 24%, respectively, p < 0.001; and 10%, 24% and 24%, respectively, p < 0.001). No differences were found in TTR and RFS among patients with stage I and II RS, LS, and rectal tumors. In contrast, patients with stage RS III tumors had significantly poorer PRS (9% for RS tumors, 13% for LS tumors, and 22% for rectal tumors) (p < 0.001). Conclusion: The location of the primary tumor in patients with CRC is related to survival. The effect of laterality is more marked in patients with stage III and IV tumors. Patients with RS tumors had lower OS and CRS due to the lower survival of patients with stage IV RS tumors and lower PRS for patients with stage III tumors.

Results of Laparoscopic Surgery and D3 Lymph Node Dissection Combined With Chemotherapy for the Radical Treatment of Advanced-Stage Right Colon Cancer: A Single-Center Observational Study in Vietnam

AIM

To describe the results of laparoscopic surgery and D3 lymph node dissection combined with adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) for the treatment of advanced-stage right colon cancer (stages II and III).

METHODS

A total of 172 right colon cancer patients (with tumour, node, and metastasis (TNM) stage II and III; mean age of 59.30±14.27 years; 58.1% male, 41.9% female) who had undergone complete mesocolic excision (CME) with D3 lymph node dissection at Nguyen Tri Phuong Hospital, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, were included in this study. They were divided into two groups: group 1 (n=34) without ACT and group 2 (n=138) with ACT. We collected clinical and laboratory data twice (before and after one year of performing laparoscopic surgery). Rates of recurrence and mortality were obtained during a five-year follow-up.

RESULTS

After one year of surgery, the rate of anemia and the increase in serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels in group 1 were significantly higher than those in group 2 (p<0.001). After five years of follow-up, the recurrence rate was 11.6% (that of group 1 was 41.2%, which is higher than that of group 2, i.e., 4.3%; p<0.001), and the mortality rate was 8.7% (that of group 1 was 32.4%, which is higher than that of group 2, i.e., 2.9%; p<0.001). Preoperative serum CEA levels were predictive of recurrence and mortality, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.729 and 0.805, respectively (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Laparoscopic CME surgery and D3 lymph node dissection combined with ACT reduced the five-year recurrence and mortality rates for advanced-stage right colon cancer patients.

A Clinicopathological Feature-Based Nomogram for Predicting the Likelihood of D3 Lymph Node Metastasis in Right-Sided Colon Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

Despite advancements in treating right-sided colon cancer patients, the ideal scope of lymphadenectomy remains controversial.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to investigate the likelihood of D3 lymph node metastasis in right-sided colon cancer patients and develop a clinicopathological feature-based nomogram for D3 lymphadenectomy.

DESIGN

We retrospectively analyzed 286 right-sided colon cancer patients who underwent D3 lymphadenectomy. The patients were divided into 2 groups based on whether D3 lymph node metastasis was positive. Then, univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to obtain independent risk factors for predicting D3 lymph node metastasis. Moreover, we performed receiver operating characteristic curve analyses to evaluate the predictive power of the model.

SETTING

This study was conducted at Nanfang Hospital of Southern Medical University in China.

PATIENTS

A total of 286 consecutive patients who underwent right hemicolectomy and D3 lymphadenectomy as a primary treatment for right-sided colon cancer between January 2016 and December 2019 were enrolled in this study.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary measures were independent risk factors for predicting D3 lymph node metastasis in right-sided colon cancer.

RESULTS

The D3 lymph node metastasis rate in right-sided colon cancer patients was 16.1% (46/286). D3 lymphadenectasis on CT, lymphatic invasion, and T4 tumors were filtered out as independent risk factors for D3 lymph node metastasis according to the multivariable logistic regression analysis. We established a nomogram that predicted D3 lymph node metastasis of right-sided colon cancer on the combination of the 3 factors with an area under the curve of 0.717 (95% CI, 0.629-0.806).

LIMITATIONS

This was a retrospective study from a single center.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a valuable clinicopathological feature-based nomogram to predict the incidence of D3 lymph node metastasis in right-sided colon cancer patients. Patients with D3 lymphadenectasis on CT, preoperative T4 tumors, and lymphatic invasion should undergo D3 lymphadenectomy. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B852 .

UN NOMOGRAMA BASADO EN CARACTERSTICAS CLNICOPATOLGICAS PARA PREDECIR LA PROBABILIDAD DE METSTASIS EN GANGLIOS LINFTICOS D EN PACIENTES CON CNCER DE COLON DERECHO

ANTECEDENTES:A pesar de los avances en el tratamiento de pacientes con cáncer de colon derecho, el ámbito ideal de la linfadenectomía sigue siendo controvertido.OBJETIVO:Investigar la probabilidad de metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos D3 en pacientes con cáncer de colon derecho y desarrollar un nomograma basado en características clínico-patológicas basado para la linfadenectomía D3.DISEÑO:Analizamos retrospectivamente a 286 pacientes con cáncer de colon derecho que se sometieron a linfadenectomía D3. Los pacientes se dividieron en dos grupos en función de si eran positivos para metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos D3. Luego, se realizaron análisis de regresión logística univariable y multivariable para obtener factores de riesgo independientes para predecir metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos D3. Además, realizamos análisis de las curvas de características operatorias del receptor para evaluar el poder predictivo del modelo.SEDE:Este estudio se realizó en el Hospital Nanfang de la Universidad Médica del Sur en China.PACIENTES:Un total de 286 pacientes consecutivos que se sometieron a hemicolectomía derecha y linfadenectomía D3 como tratamiento primario para el cáncer de colon derecho entre enero de 2016 y diciembre de 2019 se inscribieron en este estudio.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Las medidas primarias fueron factores de riesgo independientes para predecir las metástasis en ganglios linfáticos D3 en el cáncer de colon derecho.RESULTADOS:La tasa de metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos D3 en pacientes con cáncer de colon del lado derecho fue del 16,1% (46/286). El aumento de tamaño de ganglios D3 en la TC, la invasión linfática y los tumores T4 se filtraron como factores de riesgo independientes de metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos D3 de acuerdo con el análisis de regresión logística multivariable. Establecimos un nomograma que predijo metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos D3 del cáncer de colon derecho en la combinación de los tres factores con un área bajo la curva de 0,717 (IC del 95%, 0,629-0,806).LIMITACIONES:Este fue un estudio retrospectivo de un solo centro.CONCLUSIONES:Desarrollamos un valioso nomograma basado en características clínico-patológicas para predecir la incidencia de metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos D3 en pacientes con cáncer de colon derecho. Los pacientes con crecimiento de ganglios D3 en TC, tumores con clasificación preoperatoria T4 e invasión linfática, deben ser sometidos a linfadenectomía D3. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B852 . (Traducción-Dr. Juan Carlos Reyes ).

Poorer Survival in Patients with Cecum Cancer Compared with Sigmoid Colon Cancer

Background and Objectives: An increasing number of studies have shown the influence of primary tumor location of colon cancer on prognosis, but the prognostic difference between colon cancers at different locations remains controversial. After comparing the prognostic differences between left-sided and right-sided colon cancer, the study subdivided left-sided and right-sided colon cancer into three parts, respectively, and explored which parts had the most significant prognostic differences, with the aim to further analyze the prognostic significance of primary locations of colon cancer. Materials and Methods: Clinicopathological data of patients with colon cancer who underwent radical surgery from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program database were analyzed. The data was divided into two groups (2004−2009 and 2010−2015) based on time intervals. Two tumor locations with the most significant survival difference were explored by using Cox regression analyses. The prognostic difference of the two locations was further verified in survival analyses after propensity score matching. Results: Patients with right-sided colon cancer had worse cancer-specific and overall survival compared to left-sided colon cancer. Survival difference between cecum cancer and sigmoid colon cancer was found to be the most significant among six tumor locations in both 2004−2009 and 2010−2015 time periods. After propensity score matching, multivariate analyses showed that cecum cancer was an independent unfavorable factor for cancer specific survival (HR [95% CI]: 1.11 [1.04−1.17], p = 0.001 for 2004−2009; HR [95% CI]: 1.23 [1.13−1.33], p < 0.001 for 2010−2015) and overall survival (HR [95% CI]: 1.09 [1.04−1.14], p < 0.001 for 2004−2009; HR [95% CI]: 1.09 [1.04−1.14], p < 0.001 for 2010−2015) compared to sigmoid colon cancer. Conclusions: The study indicates the prognosis of cecum cancer is worse than that of sigmoid colon. The current dichotomy model (right-sided vs. left-sided colon) may be inappropriate for the study of colon cancer.

Current practice for the treatment of obstructive left-sided colon cancer in China: a nationwide cross-sectional survey

PURPOSE

This study surveyed the current practice of surgical treatment of obstructive left-sided colon cancer (OLCC) in China.

METHODS

All colorectal surgery departments at tertiary or secondary hospitals in China were invited to complete a web-based questionnaire between August 27 and September 2, 2020.

RESULTS

Overall, completed questionnaire were received from 357 hospitals. Emergency surgery was the mainstay of treatment for OLCC, with the open approach accounting for up to 61.62%. The stoma rate of emergency surgery was up to 80%, mainly due to inadequate bowel preparation and severe edema of colon walls. Hartmann's procedure (61.62%) was the most preferred operation. A total of 243 hospitals (68.7%) reported that they would consider the use of a self-expanding metallic stent (SEMS) as a bridge for elective surgery. More than 50% of the hospitals participating in this study reported the success rate of SEMS placement, as well as the resolution rate of obstruction more than 80%, and the stent-related perforation rate was < 5%. A total of 126 hospitals considered carrying out a strategy of SEMS followed by neoadjuvant chemotherapy prior to elective surgery and believed that it might further improve treatment outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

SEMS is a feasible option for the treatment of OLCC in addition to traditional emergency surgery, and its clinical benefits have been preliminarily recognized.

Prognostic significance of additional histologic features for subclassification of pathological T3 colon cancer

BACKGROUND

Additional histologic features of T3 colon cancer, such as tumour depth invasion beyond muscularis propria and elastic lamina invasion (ELI), have taken interest for a more accurate staging.

METHODS

Patients with pT3 and pT4a (control group) colon adenocarcinoma were retrospectively collected from our institutional database. The study group was divided according to depth of tumour invasion < 5 mm and ≥ 5 mm, and into ELI - and ELI + . Chi-square test was used to compare the clinicopathological characteristics. OS and DFS were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were employed to assess the effect on OS and DFS.

RESULTS

Out of 290 pT3 tumours, 168 (58%) had a depth of tumour invasion < 5 mm and 122 (42%) ≥ 5 mm. The 5-year OS and DFS were 85.2, 68.7 and 60.9%, and 81.4, 73.9 and 60.1% in pT3 < 5 mm, pT3 ≥ 5 mm, and pT4a respectively (p = 0.001, p = 0.072). Considering ELI - (n = 157, 54%) and ELI + (n = 133, 46%), the 5-year OS and DFS were 78.9, 76.7, and 60.9%, and 75.5, 81.5, and 60.1% in ELI  - , ELI + and pT4a respectively (p = 0.955, p = 0.462). At multivariable analysis, the depth of invasion was found to be an independent predictive factor for OS (HR 2.04, 95%CI 1.28-3.24, p = 0.003) and DFS (HR 1.98, 95%CI 1.24-3.18, p = 0.004), while ELI did not result a prognostic factor for OS nor DFS.

CONCLUSION

In pT3 colon cancer, depth of tumour invasion ≥ 5 mm is an independent risk factor for OS and DFS, whereas ELI did not result a prognostic factor affecting OS nor DFS.

Postoperative locoregional recurrence pattern and treatment management of stage pT4 sigmoid colon cancer: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to explore the pattern of locoregional recurrence after surgery in patients with non-metastatic stage pT4 sigmoid colon cancer and the role of adjuvant radiotherapy on survival.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data from 208 patients who underwent surgery in our hospital. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation groups at a 1:1 ratio. Patients at high risk for locoregional recurrence were screened using Cox regression analysis. Based on the data of 2,886 patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, the effect of adjuvant radiotherapy on overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier curves.

RESULTS

Of the 208 patients, 57 (27.4%) presented with locoregional recurrences (14 anastomotic and 43 abdominal or pelvic lymph node recurrences). Multivariate analysis showed that serum CEA, differentiation, lymph node dissection number, and N stage were independent predictors of locoregional recurrence-free survival (all p < 0.05). A risk-stratification model was constructed, and a total score of ≥ 6.5 points was considered the high-risk group for locoregional recurrence. Both the training and validation sets presented that the model had a good predictive ability (area under the curve = 0.828 and 0.724, respectively). Analysis of SEER data revealed that adjuvant radiotherapy significantly prolonged OS and CSS in the high-risk population (all p < 0.05, vs. no radiotherapy).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a total risk score of 6.5 or more had a high likelihood of locoregional recurrence, and perhaps adjuvant radiotherapy could improve their survival.

Effect of the duration of the capecitabine regimen following colon cancer surgery in an elderly population: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Only 50–70% of elderly colon cancer patients could complete the recommended 6 months of postoperative chemotherapy. It is unknown whether a shorter duration of postoperative capecitabine-alone chemotherapy would compromise survival. We thus conducted this study to analyze the association between postoperative chemotherapy duration of a capecitabine-alone regimen and cancer-specific survival (CSS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of surgery-treated elderly colon cancer patients.

Methods

We performed a retrospective cohort study of surgically treated stage III and high-risk stage II colon cancer patients aged ≥ 70 treated at two medical centers. Cox proportional hazard regression models were utilized to calculate crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs). The nonlinear relationship between postoperative chemotherapy duration and survival was analyzed through restricted cubic spline regression analysis, and the threshold effect was calculated by the two-piecewise Cox proportional hazard model.

Results

A total of 1217 surgery-treated colon cancer patients between August 1, 2013, and September 1, 2019, were reviewed, and 257 stage III and high-risk stage II patients aged ≥ 70 were enrolled. Postoperative chemotherapy with capecitabine was administered to 114 patients, and 143 patients only received surgery. As the duration of chemotherapy increased by 1 week, the risk of cancer-specific death was reduced by 11% (HR = 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82–0.96), and the risk of recurrence was reduced by 10% (HR = 0.90, 0.82–0.96). Nonlinearity exploration suggested a threshold effect of capecitabine duration on CSS in stage III disease. The HR for death was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.68–0.92) with duration ≤ 16 weeks and 1.34 (95% CI, 0.91–1.97) with duration > 16 weeks.

Conclusions

The postoperative capecitabine duration was significantly associated with a decrease in death risk and recurrence risk in elderly colon cancer patients. However, the threshold effect of capecitabine duration on survival suggests that short-term chemotherapy may improve survival in elderly stage III colon cancer patients.

Prognostic analysis and beneficiary identification of adjuvant external beam radiotherapy for stage pT4b sigmoid colon cancer

The clinical efficacy of adjuvant radiotherapy in sigmoid colon cancer remains questioned. To evaluate the clinical efficacy of adjuvant external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) for patients with pathologic stage T4b sigmoid colon cancer. Patients with stage pT4b sigmoid colon cancer receiving adjuvant EBRT or not followed by surgery between 2004 and 2016 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Analysis of overall survival (OS) was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves and prognostic factors were identified using Cox proportional hazards regression models with 95% confidence intervals within the entire cohort. A risk-stratification system was then developed based on the β regression coefficient. Among 2073 patients, 284 (13.7%) underwent adjuvant EBRT. The median OS in the group receiving adjuvant EBRT was significantly longer than that in the non-radiotherapy group (p < 0.001). Age, serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, perineural invasion, lymph node dissection (LND) number, and adjuvant EBRT were independent factors associated with OS. A risk-stratification system was generated, which showed that low-risk patients had a higher 5-year survival rate than high-risk patients (75.6% vs. 42.3%, p < 0.001). Adjuvant EBRT significantly prolonged the 5-year survival rate of high-risk patients (62.6% vs. 38.3%, p = 0.009) but showed no survival benefit among low-risk patients (87.7% vs. 73.2%, p = 0.100). Our risk-stratification model comprising age, serum CEA, perineural invasion, and LND number predicted the outcomes of patients with stage pT4b sigmoid colon cancer based on which subgroup of high-risk patients should receive adjuvant EBRT.