Combining serum inflammation indexes at baseline and post treatment could predict pathological efficacy to anti‑PD‑1 combined with neoadjuvant chemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

The Prognostic Value of Peripheral Blood Inflammatory Markers in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Lenvatinib Combined with PD-1 Inhibitors

Purpose

To investigate the prognostic value of inflammatory indexes based on peripheral blood cells in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with Lenvatinib combined with PD-1 inhibitors.

Methods

This study retrospectively collected baseline inflammatory indexes from HCC patients received Lenvatinib and PD-1 inhibitor-based combination therapy at the Cancer Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences between October 2018 and October 2021. The optimal threshold values for inflammatory indexes determined using X-tile. The factors related to treatment response and survival outcomes were analyzed through logistic regression and Cox regression, respectively. A novel preoperative prognostic nomogram was constructed based on inflammatory indexes, and the predictive efficacy of the nomogram and BCLC staging was compared by the area under the ROC curve.

Results

156 eligible patients with unresectable HCC were included, with median OS and PFS of 23.8 and 11.5 months, respectively, and ORR of 48.7%. The baseline SIRI was an independent factor of treatment response, with a significantly higher ORR for patients with a SIRI <0.8 than for patients with a SIRI ≥0.8 (59.7% vs 41.5%, P=0.03). SIRI and PNI were independent prognostic factors of PFS, and SIRI was an independent prognostic factor of OS. The AUC value of nomogram based on baseline SIRI, PNI, and tumor distribution in predicting the 6-,12- and 18-month PFS of patients was significantly higher than that of traditional BCLC stage, and its prediction performance was substantially better than that of BCLC stage system (C-index, 0.730 vs 0.535).

Conclusion

The baseline SIRI could be used as a potential non-invasive biomarker to predict the efficacy and survival benefit of immune combination therapy for HCC. The nomogram based on inflammation indexes could achieve better prediction performance and help clinicians to identify high-risk patients and formulate treatment plans.

Prognostic value of immuno-inflammatory biomarkers in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients receiving immunotherapy combined with chemoradiotherapy and its association with immuno-genomic landscape

BACKGROUND

The clinical significance of immuno-inflammatory indicators and the underlying biological basis in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who receive chemoradiotherapy (CRT) combined with immunotherapy remains unclear. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic value of immuno-inflammatory biomarkers, develop a prognostic model, and explore the underlying mechanisms.

METHODS

This study included 212 ESCC patients who received CRT and anti-PD-1 immunotherapy. Association between progression-free survival (PFS) and immuno-inflammatory biomarkers, including absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-monocyte ratio was analyzed. A nomogram was built based on the independent prognostic factors identified using multivariable Cox regression model. Pre-treatment tumor samples from 47 patients were collected for RNA sequencing to investigate the immune-related tumor microenvironment.

RESULTS

Patients experienced significant changes in immuno-inflammatory biomarkers during CRT, which gradually recovered after radiotherapy. Body mass index < 18.5 (HR, 1.85; P = 0.032), N3 stage (HR, 2.41; P = 0.002), high pre-CRT PLR (HR, 1.53; P = 0.037), low ALC nadir (HR, 1.84; P = 0.006), and high post-CRT NLR (HR, 2.12; P = 0.002) were independent prognostic factors for unfavorable PFS, which were incorporated into a nomogram with a concordance index of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.67-0.72). High-risk patients stratified by the nomogram had worse survival and were associated with lower levels of leukocyte and T cell activation, proliferation, and migration and less intratumoral immune cell infiltration.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-CRT PLR, ALC nadir during CRT, and post-CRT NLR were significantly associated with PFS in patients with ESCC receiving CRT and immunotherapy. A nomogram model with good prognostic ability was developed.

Inflammatory markers correlate with lymphocytes infiltrating and predict immunotherapy prognosis for esophageal cancer

Aim: To investigate the prognostic value of inflammatory markers in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs).Materials & methods: The infiltration of CD3+ and CD8+ T cells in tissue microarrays from 180 patients who underwent radical esophagectomy was detected using immunohistochemistry. A separate cohort of 351 patients with metastatic/recurrent or unresectable ESCC treated with ICIs was enrolled for further investigation. The overall survival difference among groups was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Cox proportional hazards models were employed to investigate the prognostic impact of the inflammatory markers, along with other factors.Results: Decreased inflammation was found to be associated with increased CD3+ and CD8+ T-cell infiltration and a better prognosis. Then, the value of inflammatory markers in predicting survival in 351 ESCC patients receiving immunotherapy was validated. Ultimately, the systemic immune-inflammation index was identified as an independent prognostic factor for overall survival. Additionally, the patients with no distant organ metastasis, or treated by first-line immunotherapy combined with concurrent chemoradiotherapy can considerably prolong survival.Conclusion: Inflammation is associated with the level of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes and that the systemic immune-inflammation index is an effective prognostic predictor for ESCC patients treated with ICIs.

Predicting ipsilateral supraclavicular lymph node pathological complete response: nomogram based on the inflammatory markers

Background

The prediction of ISLN pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) based on inflammatory markers and its prognostic value have rarely been investigated.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with ISLN-involved breast cancer who received NAC in West China Hospital between September 2009 and December 2020 were enrolled in the derivation cohort for model construction and survival analysis, and patients with the same criteria between January 2021 and July 2024 were involved in validation cohort for external validation. After randomly dividing patients into training and testing groups at 7:3 ratio, a nomogram predicting ISLN pCR was constructed based on logistic regression in training group. Internal validation was performed in the testing group and external validation was performed in the independent validation cohort. The ROC curves were applied to validate the accuracy of the model. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier plots.

Results

A total of 120 eligible patients were involved in the derivation cohort to establish the nomogram (84 patients in training group and 36 patients in testing group), and 45 patients were involved in the independent validation cohort for external validation of the nomogram. Pretreatment NLR and hormone receptor (HR) status, as well as preoperative SII, CEA, CA15-3 and anti-HER2 therapy were included in the nomogram predicting ISLN pCR. The AUC were 0.906 (95% CI 0.837-0.975, P<0.001), 0.888 (95% CI 0.751-1.000, P<0.001) and 0.828 (95% CI 0.703-0.953, P< 0.001) in training, testing groups and the validation cohort respectively. ISLN pCR was significantly associated with better prognosis (all P<0.05).

Conclusion

Inflammatory factors combined with tumor makers, hormone receptor status and anti-HER2 therapy could predict ISLN pCR effectively, which was significantly associated with improved survival outcomes.

Integrating MR radiomics and dynamic hematological factors predicts pathological response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in esophageal cancer

Purpose

We aimed to integrate MR radiomics and dynamic hematological factors to build a model to predict pathological complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

Methods

Patients with ESCC receiving NCRT and esophagectomy between September 2014 and September 2022 were retrospectively included. All patients underwent pre-treatment T2-weighted imaging as well as pre-treatment and post-treatment blood tests. Patients were randomly divided to training set and testing set at a ratio of 7:3. Machine learning models were constructed based on MR radiomics and hematological factors to predict pCR, respectively. A nomogram model was developed to integrate MR radiomics and hematological factors. Model performances were evaluated by areas under curves (AUCs), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative.

Results

A total of 82 patients were included, of whom 39 (47.6 %) achieved pCR. The hematological model built with four hematological factors had an AUC of 0.628 (95%CI 0.391-0.852) in the testing set. Two out of 1106 extracted features were selected to build the radiomics model with an AUC of 0.821 (95%CI 0.641-0.981). The nomogram model integrating hematological factors and MR radiomics had best predictive performance, with an AUC of 0.904 (95%CI 0.770-1.000) in the testing set.

Conclusion

An integrated model using dynamic hematological factors and MR radiomics is constructed to accurately predicted pCR to NCRT in ESCC, which may be potentially useful to assist individualized preservation treatment of the esophagus.

A Correlation Evaluation Between the Peripheral Blood Index and the Prognosis of Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Treated with Camrelizumab

Purpose

This study aimed to investigate the relationship between peripheral blood indices and the efficacy and prognosis of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients treated with camrelizumab.

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 64 patients who received camrelizumab for advanced ESCC at the Second People's Hospital of Lianyungang City between July 2020 and June 2022. The study included examination of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), the systemic inflammation index (SII), the lymph-to-monocytes ratio (LMR), the absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH). We used multivariate logistic regression analysis to explore the link existing between peripheral blood and the efficacy of treatment. Determination of potential prognostic factors for Progression-free survival (PFS) and Overall survival (OS) using Cox regression analysis. The nomogram model was developed based on the results of the Cox multivariate analysis. Patients were divided into three groups according to the reduction in LDH and LDL levels before treatment, and the Kaplan-Meier survival curves for the three groups were compared and ROC curves for LDH combined with PLR were plotted.

Results

Lower LDH (OR=6.237, 95% CI: 1.625-23.944) were independently associated with disease control rates(DCR). LDH was independently correlated with PFS (HR: 0.227 95% CI: 0.099-0.517). LDH and PLR were independently linked to OS. The C index of the nomogram model is 0.819, indicating good predictive performance. Kaplan-Meier Survival Curve suggested better OS in patients with reduced pretreatment LDH and PLR. The area under the ROC curve showed that the LDH index combined with the PLR index predicts patient survival better than the index alone.

Conclusion

LDH combined with PLR predicted prognosis in patients with ESCC treated with camrelizumab.

Association of systemic inflammatory markers and tertiary lymphoid structure with pathological complete response in gastric cancer patients receiving preoperative treatment: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Assessment of systemic and local immune responses is crucial in determining the efficacy of cancer interventions. The identification of specific factors that correlate with pathological complete response (pCR) is essential for optimizing treatment decisions.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, a total of 521 patients diagnosed with gastric adenocarcinoma who underwent curative gastrectomy following preoperative treatment were reviewed. Of these patients, 463 did not achieve pCR (non-pCR) and 58 achieved pCR. Clinicopathological factors were evaluated to identify predictors for pCR using a logistic regression model. Additionally, a smaller cohort (n=76) was derived using propensity score matching to investigate local immune response, specifically the features of tertiary lymphoid structure (TLS) using H&E staining, immunohistochemistry, and multiplex immunofluorescence.

RESULTS

The multivariate regression analysis demonstrated a significant association between low systemic inflammatory status and pCR, as evidenced by reduced levels of the combined systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (SII+NLR) (odds ratio: 3.33, 95% CI: 1.79-6.17, P<0.001). In the smaller cohort analysis, distinct TLS characteristics were correlated with the presence of pCR. Specifically, a higher density of TLS and a lower proportion of PD1+ cells and CD8+ cells within TLS in the tumor bed were strongly associated with pCR.

CONCLUSION

Both systemic and local immune profile were associated with pCR. A low level of SII+NLR served as an independent predictor of pCR, while distinct TLS features were associated with the presence of pCR. Focusing on the immune profile was crucial for optimal management of gastric cancer patients receiving preoperative treatment.

Contrast-enhanced CT-based radiomic analysis for determining the response to anti-programmed death-1 therapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients: A pilot study

BACKGROUND

In view of the fact that radiomics features have been reported as predictors of immunotherapy to various cancers, this study aimed to develop a prediction model to determine the response to anti-programmed death-1 (anti-PD-1) therapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients from contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) radiomics features.

METHODS

Radiomic analysis of images was performed retrospectively for image samples before and after anti-PD-1 treatment, and efficacy analysis was performed for the results of two different time node evaluations. A total of 68 image samples were included in this study. Quantitative radiomic features were extracted from the images, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was applied to select radiomic features. After obtaining selected features, three classification models were used to establish a radiomics model to predict the ESCC status and efficacy of therapy. A cross-validation strategy utilizing three folds was employed to train and test the model. Performance evaluation of the model was done using the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic, sensitivity, specificity, and precision metric.

RESULTS

Wavelet and area of gray level change (log-sigma) were the most significant radiomic features for predicting therapy efficacy. Fifteen radiomic features from the whole tumor and peritumoral regions were selected and comprised of the fusion radiomics score. A radiomics classification was developed with AUC of 0.82 and 0.884 in the before and after-therapy cohorts, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The combined model incorporating radiomic features and clinical CECT predictors helps to predict the response to anti-PD-1therapy in patients with ESCC.

A novel immune-nutritional score predicts response to neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy after minimally invasive esophagectomy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

The role of neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (NICT) has gradually attracted attention in recent years. To date, sensitive and reliable blood indicators to forecast the therapeutic response are still lacking. This study aimed to conduct a novel predictive score based on a variety of peripheral hematological immune-nutritional indicators to predict the therapeutic response in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) receiving NICT.

Methods

There were 206 ESCC patients receiving NICT retrospectively recruited. With pathological complete response (pCR) as the dependent variable, independent risk variables of various peripheral blood immune-nutritional indexes were screened by logistic regression analyses to establish an integrative score.

Results

By logical regression analyses, lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) and body mass index (BMI) were independent risk factors among all immune-nutritional indices. Then, an integrative score named BMI-LMR score (BLS) was established. Compared with BMI or LMR, BLS was related to complications, especially for respiratory complication (P=0.012) and vocal cord paralysis (P=0.021). Among all patients, 61 patients (29.6%) achieved pCR after NICT. BLS was significantly related to pCR [odds ratio (OR)=0.269, P<0.001)]. Patients in high BLS cohort demonstrated higher 3-year overall survival (OS) (89.9% vs. 67.9%, P=0.001) and disease-free survival (DFS) (81.2% vs. 62.1%, P=0.001). BLS served as an independent factor of DFS [hazard ratio (HR) =2.044, P =0.020) and OS (HR =2.960, P =0.019).

Conclusion

The BLS, based on immune-nutritional indicators of BMI and LMR, employed as a straightforward, accurate, and useful indicator of pCR and prognostic prediction in ESCC patients undergoing NICT.

The bidirectional interplay between ncRNAs and methylation modifications in gastrointestinal tumors

The aberrant expression of methylation and ncRNAs, two crucial regulators of epigenetic modifications, has been widely demonstrated in cancer. The complex interplay between them is essential in promoting malignant phenotype, poor prognosis, and drug resistance in GI tumors (including esophageal, gastric, colorectal, liver, and pancreatic cancers). Therefore, we summarize the interrelation process between ncRNAs and methylation modifications in GI tumors, including the detailed mechanism of methylation enzyme regulation of ncRNAs, the molecular mechanism of ncRNAs regulation of methylation modifications, and the correlation between the interactions between ncRNAs and methylation modifications and clinical features of tumors. Finally, we discuss the potential value of ncRNAs and methylation modifications in clinical diagnosis and therapy.

Surgical Outcome and Prognosis of Patients with Spinal Metastasis from Esophageal Cancer: The Experience from a Single Center

BACKGROUND

The spine is one of the common sites of esophageal cancer metastasis, with a worse prognosis than that of metastasis occurring in other sites. However, the exact mechanism underlying metastatic spinal esophageal cancer (MSEC) is poorly understood possibly due to the short survival time of patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate surgical outcomes and factors affecting the prognosis of patients with MSEC.

METHODS

Enrolled in this retrospective study were 20 consecutive patients who received surgical treatment for MSEC in our hospital from 2013 to 2020. The impact of surgery on patient's quality of life was assessed by visual analog scale score and American Spinal Injury Association grade. Prognostic variables relative to traditional clinical parameters and inflammation and nutrition indicators were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

The median survival time of patients with MSEC was 6 months, with a one-year survival rate of 20%. Pain relief was achieved in most patients, and nerve function was recovered in part of the patients after surgery. Analysis of clinical factors showed that total tumor resection was beneficial to overall survival of patients with MSEC. Laboratory indicators of erythrocyte sedimentation rate, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, and platelet/lymphocyte ratio were identified as independent prognostic factors for patients with MSEC.

CONCLUSIONS

Timely surgical intervention can improve the quality of life of patients with MSEC. The preoperative erythrocyte sedimentation rate, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, and platelet/lymphocyte ratio could help predict the overall survival of patients with MSEC. These findings may help in decision-making for the treatment of patients with MSEC.

Systemic Immune-Inflammatory Index, Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes, and Clinical Outcomes in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Receiving Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

Background

Systemic inflammation may be involved in the entire cancer process as a promoter and is associated with antitumor immunity. The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) has been shown to be a promising prognostic factor. However, the relationship between SII and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) have not been established in esophageal cancer (EC) patients receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT).

Methods

Retrospective analysis of 160 patients with EC was performed, peripheral blood cell counts were collected, and TIL concentration was assessed in H&E-stained sections. Correlations of SII and clinical outcomes with TIL were analyzed. Cox proportional hazard model and Kaplan-Meier method were used to perform survival outcomes.

Results

Compared with high SII, low SII had longer overall survival (OS) (P = 0.036, hazard ratio (HR) = 0.59) and progression-free survival (PFS) (P = 0.041, HR = 0.60). Low TIL showed worse OS (P < 0.001, HR = 2.42) and PFS (P < 0.001, HR = 3.05). In addition, research have shown that the distribution of SII, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were negatively associated with the TIL state, while lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio presented a positive correlation. Combination analysis observed that SII^low + TIL^high had the best prognosis of all combinations, with a median OS and PFS of 36 and 22 months, respectively. The worst prognosis was identified as SII^high + TIL^low, with a median OS and PFS of only 8 and 4 months.

Conclusion

SII and TIL as independent predictors of clinical outcomes in EC receiving CCRT. Furthermore, the predictive power of the two combinations is much higher than a single variable.

Evaluation of neoadjuvant immunotherapy and traditional neoadjuvant therapy for resectable esophageal cancer: a systematic review and single-arm and network meta-analysis

Objective

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate the role of neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy with or without radiotherapy [NIC(R)T] compared to traditional neoadjuvant therapies, without immunotherapy [NC(R)T].

Summary background data

NCRT followed by surgical resection is recommended for patients with early-stage esophageal cancer. However, it is uncertain whether adding immunotherapy to preoperative neoadjuvant therapy would improve patient outcomes when radical surgery is performed following neoadjuvant therapy.

Methods

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Central databases, as well as international conference abstracts. Outcomes included R0, pathological complete response (pCR), major pathological response (mPR), overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates.

Results

We included data from 5,034 patients from 86 studies published between 2019 and 2022. We found no significant differences between NICRT and NCRT in pCR or mPR rates. Both were better than NICT, with NCT showing the lowest response rate. Neoadjuvant immunotherapy has a significant advantage over traditional neoadjuvant therapy in terms of 1-year OS and DFS, with NICT having better outcomes than any of the other three treatments. There were no significant differences among the four neoadjuvant treatments in terms of R0 rates.

Conclusions

Among the four neoadjuvant treatment modalities, NICRT and NCRT had the highest pCR and mPR rates. There were no significant differences in the R0 rates among the four treatments. Adding immunotherapy to neoadjuvant therapy improved 1-year OS and DFS, with NICT having the highest rates compared to the other three modalities.

Systematic Review Registration

https://inplasy.com/inplasy-2022-12-0060/, identifier INPLASY2022120060.

Retrospective study of the combination of TP and PF regimens with or without immune checkpoint inhibitors for the first-line treatment of locally advanced or advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Objective

To investigate the efficacy and safety differences between the cisplatin + paclitaxel (TP) and cisplatin + fluorouracil (PF) regimens in combination with or without immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) first-line treatment and prognostic factors.

Methods

We selected the medical records of patients with late stage ESCC admitted to the hospital between 2019 and 2021. Based on the first-line treatment regimen, control groups were divided into chemotherapy plus ICIs (n = 243) and non-ICIs (n = 171), 119 (49%) in the TP + ICIs group, 124 (51%) in the PF + ICIs group, 83 (48.5%) in the TP group, and 88 (51.5%) in the PF group in the control group. We analyzed and compared factors related to efficacy, safety, or response to toxicity and prognosis across four subgroups.

Results

The overall objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) of the TP plus ICIs group were 42.1% (50/119) and 97.5% (116/119), respectively, which were 6.6% and 7.2% higher than those of the PF plus ICIs group. Patients in the TP combined with ICIs group had higher overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) than those in the PF combined with ICIs group [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.702, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.767-1.499, p = 0.0167 and HR = 1.158, 95% CI: 0.828-1.619, p = 0.0055] ORR and DCR were 15.7% (13/83) and 85.5% (71/83) in the TP chemotherapy alone group, significantly higher than the PF group [13.6% (12/88) and 72.2% (64/88)] (p < 0.05), OS and PFS were also better in patients treated with TP regimen chemotherapy than PF (HR = 1.173, 95% CI: 0.748-1.839, p = 0.0014 and HR = 0.1.245, 95% CI: 0.711-2.183, p = 0.0061). Furthermore, following the combination of TP and PF diets with ICIs, the OS of the patients was higher than that of the group treated with chemotherapy alone (HR = 0.526, 95% CI: 0.348-0.796, p = 0.0023 and HR = 0.781, 95% CI: 0.0.491-1.244, p < 0.001). Regression analysis showed that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the control nuclear status score (CONUT), and the systematic immune inflammation index (SII) were independent prognostic factors for the efficacy of immunotherapy (p < 0.05). The overall incidence of treatment-associated adverse events (TRAEs) was 79.4% (193/243) and 60.8% (104/171) in the experimental and control groups, respectively, and there was no statistically significant difference in TRAEs between TP + ICIs (80.6%) and PF + ICIs (78.2%) (61.4%) and PF groups (60.2%) (p > 0.05). Overall, 21.0% (51/243) of patients in the experimental group experienced immune-related adverse events (irAEs), and all of these adverse effects were tolerated or remitted following drug treatment without affecting follow-up.

Conclusion

The TP regimen was associated with better PFS and OS with or without ICIs. Furthermore, high CONUT scores, high NLR ratios, and high SII were found to be associated with poor prognosis in combination immunotherapy.

Factors affecting the ORR after neoadjuvant therapy of TP regimen combined with PD-1 inhibitors for esophageal cancer

The aim of this study is to evaluate the factors affecting the objective response rate (ORR) after neoadjuvant therapy of taxol plus platinum (TP) regimen combined with programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) inhibitors for esophageal cancer, and establish a predictive model for forecasting ORR. According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, consecutive esophageal cancer patients who were treated in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2020 to February 2022 were enrolled in this study as a training cohort, while patients who were treated in the Shaanxi Provincial Cancer Hospital Affiliated to Medical College of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2020 to December 2021 were enrolled as a validation cohort. All patients were treated with resectable locally advanced esophageal cancer and received neoadjuvant chemotherapy combined with immunotherapy. The ORR was defined as the sum of complete pathological response, major pathological response and partial pathological response. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the factors that might be related to the ORR of the patients after neoadjuvant therapy. The nomogram based on the result of regression analysis was established and verified to predict the ORR. In this study, 42 patients were included as training cohort and 53 patients were included as validation cohort. Chi-square analysis showed that neutrophil, platelet, platelet-to-lymphocytes ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), D-dimer and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) between ORR group and non-ORR group were significantly different. Logistic regression analysis showed that aspartate aminotransferase (AST), D-dimer and CEA were independent predictors of ORR after neoadjuvant immunotherapy. Finally, a nomogram was established based on AST, D-dimer and CEA. Internal validation and external validation revealed that the nomogram had a good ability to predict ORR after neoadjuvant immunotherapy. In conclusion, AST, D-dimer and CEA were the independent predictors of ORR after neoadjuvant immunotherapy. The nomogram based on these three indicators showed a good predictive ability.

A Novel Predictor of Pathologic Complete Response for Neoadjuvant Immunochemotherapy in Resectable Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Purpose

Neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (nICT) for resectable locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-ESCC) has attracted widespread attention recently, whose safety and clinical benefit was observed in clinical researches. This study aimed to develop and validate a novel predictor systemic inflammation-tumor markers index (SITI) to predict the pathological complete response (pCR) for resectable LA-ESCC patients receiving nICT.

Patients and Methods

A total of 147 LA-ESCC patients who underwent nICT followed by surgery from February 2020 to April 2022 were included in the study. The dynamic change of inflammatory indexes was compared at baseline, after two cycles of nICT and postoperative one month. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was performed to avoid collinearity and identify key indexes, with SITI constructed. After univariate and multivariate stepwise forward logistic analyses, a nomogram for pCR prediction was developed.

Results

41(27.9%) patients achieved pCR among 147 resectable LA-ESCC patients received nICT. Compared with baseline, most inflammatory indexes were significantly decreased at postoperative one month. 5 key indexes were identified and then a predictive index named SITI was constructed. The result showed that lower SITI and earlier clinical tumor node metastasis (cTNM) stage were more likely to achieve pCR. The nomogram for pCR prediction had excellent discrimination performance (C-index = 0.791).

Conclusion

The SITI is an independent predictor for pCR in resectable LA-ESCC patients received nICT. To our knowledge, our nomogram is the first model using systemic inflammation-tumor markers for pCR prediction and may be a promising predictor to effectively differentiate pCR for nICT in LA-ESCC patients.

Prediction of pathologic complete response prediction in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy: A real-world study

As an emerging hotspot for patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-ESCC), neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (nICT) is safe and feasible. Pathological complete response (pCR) is considered to be an important therapeutic effect of neoadjuvant therapy. However, few studies have explored pCR predictors for nICT in LA-ESCC. The purpose of this study was to predict pCR after nICT in LA-ESCC by pretreatment clinical characteristics and hematological indexes. The primary endpoint was to explore the impacts on the predictors for pCR prediction. Clinical characteristics and hematological indexes including systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte monocyte ratio (LMR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were conducted. A total of 150 LA-ESCC patients were enrolled in the current study. There were 14 (9.3%) female and 136 (90.7%) male patients. Fifty-two patients achieved pCR (34.7%). A higher pCR rate was found in low-NLR group (43.7% vs. 26.6%, P=0.028) and high-LMR group (43.8% vs. 21.3%, P=0.004), respectively. Differentiation [odds ratio (OR) =0.464, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.259-0.830, P=0.010], LMR (OR=0.309, 95% CI=0.132-0.707, P=0.007) and cTNM (OR=0.225, 95% CI=0.115-0.441, P<0.001) were independent predictors for pCR. The nomogram for pCR prediction based on LMR, differentiation and cTNM stage had good discrimination performance and calibration coordination (C-index=0.779). The results of our study are of great significance for designing therapeutic strategies. Nomogram based on LMR, differentiation and cTNM may accurately and effectively predict pCR.

The survival outcomes of neoadjuvant sintilimab combined with chemotherapy in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

Neoadjuvant programmed death receptor-1 (PD-1) inhibitor combined with chemotherapy has been reported to improve the pathological response of locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), but the systematic report on survival follow-up is quite few. This study we will report the survival follow-up outcomes after a median follow-up of 21.1 months.

Methods

This was a real-world retrospective study. Locally advanced ESCC patients treated with neoadjuvant sintilimab combined with albumin-bound paclitaxel and nedaplatin followed by surgery and completed at least 1-year follow-up were reviewed. The primary outcome was disease-free survival (DFS) at 24 months. The secondary outcome was overall survival (OS) at 24 months.

Results

Ninety eligible patients were included in the analysis between July 2019 and October 2021. The median number of neoadjuvant cycles was 3 (range 2-4). All patients achieved R0 resection. With a median follow-up of 21.1 months (range 14.0-39.0), the median DFS and median OS had not reached, 2-year DFS rate was 78.3% (95%CI 68.8%-89.1%) and 2-years OS rate was 88.0% (95%CI 80.6%-96.0%). Postoperative pathological stage, pCR, MPR, tumor down-staging were significantly correlated with favorable survival outcome. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis identified cycle number of neoadjuvant treatment as independent predictor of DFS.

Conclusion

Our results preliminarily show a survival benefit of neoadjuvant sintilimab combined with chemotherapy in locally advanced ESCC.

Predictive value of systemic immune-inflammation index for pathological complete response in patients receiving neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy for locally advanced esophageal cancer

Objectives

Neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (nICT) has been confirmed with promising pathological complete response (pCR) among locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). However, there were still no reliable and accurate predictors to predict the treatment response. This study aimed to explore the predictive value of inflammatory and nutritional parameters.

Methods

Patients with ESCC who underwent radical surgery after nICT between January 2020 and April 2022 were included in the study. First, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression (LASSO) logistic regression analysis was used to screen independent inflammatory and nutritional parameters. Secondly, univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to screen and predict independent risk factors for pCR. Thirdly, a nomogram was constructed based on the independent predictive factors, and 30% of the included population was randomly selected as the validation cohort. We used the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) curve to evaluate the nomogram model.

Results

A total of 97 ESCC patients were screened for analysis, with 20 patients with pCR (20.32%). Only the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) was screened after LASSO-logistic regression when λ was 0.06. The cut-off value of SII was 921.80 with an area under curve (AUC) value of 0.62. We defined SII > 921.80 as high SII and SII ≦ 921.80 as low SII. Further, the univariate and multivariate analysis further determined SII(OR = 3.94, 95%CI:1.26-12.42, P = 0.02) and clinical stage(OR = 0.35, 95%CI:0.12-0.98, P = 0.05) were independent predictive factors of pCR. One novel nomogram was established with an AUC value of 0.72 in the training cohort and 0.82 in the validation cohort. The Brier score of the calibration curve was 0.13. The calibration curve showed good agreement between the predicted results and the actual results in both the training cohort and the validation cohort. Compared with the clinical stage, the DCA confirmed a better clinical value of the nomogram model in both the training cohort and the validation cohort.

Conclusions

High pretreatment SII and early clinical stage were independently associated with pCR among ESCC receiving nICT. We further established and validated one novel nomogram model to effectively predict pCR among ESCC after nICT.

Ability of Blood Cell Parameters to Predict Clinical Outcomes of Nivolumab Monotherapy in Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Purpose

Various blood cell parameters have been identified as predictive markers of tumor responses and the survival of patients with cancer treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors. The purpose of this study is to assess the ability of various blood cell parameters to predict therapeutic effects and survival in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with nivolumab monotherapy.

Patients and Methods

We evaluated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte (PLR) and lymphocyte-to-monocyte (LMR) ratios as predictive markers of patients' survival and effects of nivolumab monotherapy after one or more prior chemotherapies for unresectable advanced or recurrent ESCC.

Results

The objective response and disease control rates were 20.3% and 47.5%, respectively. The LMRs before, and 14 and 28 days after nivolumab initiation were significantly higher in patients with complete response (CR)/partial response (PR)/stable disease (SD) than those with progressive disease (PD). The NLRs at 14 and 28 days after nivolumab initiation were significantly lower in patients with CR/PR/SD than with PD. The optimal cutoffs for these parameters significantly discriminated patients with CR/PR/SD and PD. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified pretreatment NLRs as a significant independent factor for progression-free and overall survival (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.19, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07-1.32, and HR 1.23, 95% CI: 1.11-1.37, respectively; p ≤ 0.001 for both).

Conclusion

The pretreatment LMRs, and NLR and LMR at 14 and 28 days after starting nivolumab monotherapy were significantly associated with the clinical therapeutic effect. The pretreatment NLR was significantly associated with patients' survival. These blood cell parameters before and during the early days of nivolumab monotherapy can help to identify patients with ESCC who would most likely benefit from nivolumab monotherapy.

Home-built environment interventions and inflammation biomarkers: a systematic review and meta-analysis protocol

BACKGROUND

Inflammation control is a fundamental part of chronic care in patients with a history of cancer and comorbidity. As the risk-benefit profile of anti-inflammatory drugs is unclear in survivors of cancer, GPs and patients could benefit from alternative non-pharmacological treatment options for dysregulated inflammation. There is a potential for home-built environment (H-BE) interventions to modulate inflammation; however, discrepancies exist between studies.

AIM

To evaluate the effectiveness of H-BE interventions on cancer-associated inflammation biomarkers.

DESIGN & SETTING

A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised and non-randomised trials in community-dwelling adults.

METHOD

PubMed and MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and Google Scholar will be searched for clinical trials published in January 2000 onwards. The study will include H-BE interventions modifying air quality, thermal comfort, non-ionising radiation, noise, nature, and water. No restrictions to study population will be applied to allow deriving expectations for effects of the interventions in cancer survivors from available source populations. Outcome measures will be inflammatory biomarkers clinically and physiologically relevant to cancer. The first reviewer will independently screen articles together with GPs and extract data that will be verified by a second reviewer. The quality of studies will be assessed using the Cochrane risk-of-bias tools. Depending on the clinical and methodological homogeneity of populations, interventions, and outcomes, a meta-analysis will be conducted using random-effects models.

CONCLUSION

Findings will determine the effectiveness of H-BE interventions on inflammatory parameters, guide future directions for its provision in community-dwelling survivors of cancer and support GPs with safer anti-inflammatory treatment options in high-risk patients for clinical complications.

Prognostic Effect of the Controlling Nutritional Status Score in Patients With Esophageal Cancer Treated With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor

In recent years, a growing number of clinical studies have shown that immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) can increase the remission rate and improve the prognosis of patients with esophageal cancer. The Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score is a novel nutritional indicator that can predict the prognosis of certain malignancies. We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 69 patients with advanced esophageal cancer treated with ICI and assessed the relationship between clinicopathological factors including CONUT score, systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and the prognosis. We found the CONUT score and SII, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were an independent prognostic factor for overall survival ( P <0.05). Furthermore, among patients treated with ICI, a high CONUT score was associated with a significantly worse progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival compared with a low CONUT group. In conclusion, the CONUT can be used to predict the efficacy and prognosis of ICI therapy in patients with esophageal cancer. Our studies have shown that the CONUT score can be used as an effective indicator for the prognosis of patients with esophageal cancer receiving ICI.

Neoadjuvant sintilimab and chemotherapy in patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A prospective, single-arm, phase 2 trial

Background

Immunotherapy (Programmed cell death 1 blockade) has entered the ranks of advanced esophageal cancer first-line treatment; however, little is known about the efficacy of PD-1 inhibitor as neoadjuvant therapy in resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We aim to evaluate the activity and safety of the neoadjuvant sintilimab combined with chemotherapy in the treatment of resectable thoracic ESCC.

Methods

The enrolled patients with resectable (clinical stage II to IVA) ESCC received neoadjuvant sintilimab injection (200 mg/time, day 1), paclitaxel liposomes (135 mg/m², day 1), and carboplatin (area under curve of 5 mg/mL/min, day 1) every 21 days for 2 cycles, and esophagectomy was performed within 3-6 weeks after the 2 cycles of treatment. The primary endpoint of the study was the pathological complete response (PCR) rate.

Results

From July 2019 to March 2021, a total of 47 patients were enrolled, of which 33 patients (70.2%) had clinical stage III disease. All patients completed the full two-cycle treatment and forty-five patients received radical surgery, including 44 (97.8%) R0 resections. Ten (22.2%) of 45 patients had a PCR, and the major pathological response (MPR) rate was 44.4% (20/45). The grade 3–4 treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) were mainly neutropenia (6 of 47,12.8%) and leucopenia (8 of 47,17.0%). One (2.1%) patient occurred postoperative immune-associated encephalitis. No delays in surgery were observed.

Conclusions

sintilimab combined with paclitaxel liposome and carboplatin, as demonstrated in this phase II trial to exhibit a relatively high PCR rate and acceptable safety, warrants additional investigation in resectable ESCC.

Trial Registration

http://www.chictr.org.cn/, ChiCTR1900026593.

Pathologic Complete Response Prediction to Neoadjuvant Immunotherapy Combined with Chemotherapy in Resectable Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Real-World Evidence from Integrative Inflammatory and Nutritional Scores

Purpose

Neoadjuvant immunotherapy and chemotherapy (nICT) is an emerging hotspot that has been shown to be safe and feasible for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-ESCC). This real-world study aimed to develop and validate a novel predictive model [integrative inflammatory and nutritional score (IINS)] in LA-ESCC patients receiving nICT to predict the pathologic complete response (pCR).

Patients and Methods

Patients with LA-ESCC who received nICT followed by surgery from Jun 2019 to Dec 2021 were enrolled and randomly divided into two sets (7:3). Using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression analysis, the IINS was constructed in LA-ESCC patients received nICT to predict pCR. A nomogram based on IINS for pCR prediction was generated in the training cohort and verified in the validation cohort.

Results

Of the 285 enrolled LA-ESCC patients received nICT followed by radical resection, 84 (29.5%) patients achieved pCR. A predictive index of IINS based on 8 inflammatory and nutritional indicators was constructed using the LASSO model. According to the cutoff finder, patients were then stratified into two groups (high and low). The pCR rates were significantly higher in high-IINS group than in low-IINS group in both the training cohort (44.7% vs 17.4%, P < 0.001) and validation cohort (50.0% vs 13.3%, P < 0.001). The IINS [odds ratio (OR) = 0.237, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.117–0.480, P < 0.001] was an independent significant predictor for pCR in multivariate logistic analyses. The IINS-based nomogram showed an excellent discrimination for pCR prediction (C-indexes = 0.759 and 0.812 for training and validation cohorts, respectively).

Conclusion

Pretreatment IINS is an independent predictor for pCR in LA-ESCC patients who are treated with nICT. To our knowledge, the IINS-based nomogram is the first model for pCR prediction and may serve as a simple and potential risk stratification model in LA-ESCC who are treated with nICT.

Individualized model for predicting pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with breast cancer: A multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Pathological complete response (pCR) is considered a surrogate for favorable survival in breast cancer (BC) patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT), which is the goal of NACT. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting the pCR probability of BC patients after NACT based on the clinicopathological features.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 527 BC patients treated with NACT between January 2018 and December 2021 from two institutions was conducted. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to select the most useful predictors from the training cohort (n = 225), and then a nomogram model was developed. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated with respect to its discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. Internal validation and external validation were performed in an independent validation cohort of 96 and 205 consecutive BC patients, respectively.

RESULTS

Among the 18 clinicopathological features, five variables were selected to develop the prediction model, including age, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) T stage, Ki67 index before NACT, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2), and hormone receptor (HR) status. The model showed good discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.825 (95% CI, 0.772 to 0.878) in the training cohort, and 0.755 (95% CI, 0.658 to 0.851) and 0.79 (95% CI, 0.724 to 0.856) in the internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curve presented good agreement between prediction by nomogram and actual observation, and decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that the nomogram had good net benefits in clinical scenarios.

CONCLUSION

This study constructed a validated nomogram based on age, AJCC T stage, Ki67 index before NACT, HER2, and HR status, which could be non-invasively applied to personalize the prediction of pCR in BC patients treated with NACT.