Prognostic value and predictive threshold of tumor volume for patients with locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma receiving intensity-modulated radiotherapy

Tumor volume instead of recurrent T category predicts clinical outcome of patients with locally recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma salvaged by carbon ion radiation therapy

BACKGROUND

Although carbon ion radiation therapy (CIRT) substantially improves the overall survival (OS) of patients with LR-NPC, approximately 40% of the patients may develop local recurrence. The purpose of study is to assess the value of tumor volume (TV) as a predictive tool to guide individualized CIRT.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with LR-NPC treated using CIRT at Shanghai Proton and Heavy Ion Center between April 2015 and May 2019 were included. TV before CIRT was delineated and calculated. The generalized additive Cox model was used to examine the relationship between TV and OS and local progression-free survival (LPFS). A cutoff value of tumor volume was identified to best discriminate patients with different 2-year OS rates, using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 157 patients were enrolled. The median tumor volume was 22.49 (2.52-90.13) ml. In the univariable analyses, tumor volume was significantly associated with OS (p < 0.001) and LPFS (p = 0.01). The relationships with OS (p = 0.009) and LPFS (p = 0.020) remained significant in multivariable analyses. Using ROC analysis, a TV of 26.69 ml was identified to predict the 2-year OS rate. To facilitate potential clinical use, 25 ml was designated as the final cutoff value. The 2-year OS and LPFS rates were 88.6 % vs 62.3 %, and 54.7 % vs 35.5 %, for patients with a TV ≤ 25 ml and > 25 ml, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Tumor volume could predict the OS and LPFS of patients. We propose that tumor volume should be considered in the risk stratification and CIRT-based treatment for patients with LR-NPC.

[Pre- and post-chemotherapy tumor volumes: New prognostic factors in nasopharyngeal carcinoma]

PURPOSE

The pre- and post-induction chemotherapy tumor volumes of nasopharyngeal carcinomas may be prognostic indicators for adapting the therapeutic strategy. The objective of our study is to assess the prognostic impact of pre- and post-induction chemotherapy volumes in patients treated for locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinomas.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This is a retrospective study including 52 patients with locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with 3 courses of induction chemotherapy (TPF) followed by intensity modulated radiotherapy associated with concomitant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

The median initial and post induction chemotherapy total volumes were 92.3 and 41.5mL, respectively. At 3 years, the LRFS, DMFS, DFS and OS were respectively 85.9%, 63.5%, 56.8% and 67.8%. In multivariate study, the combination of a high initial volume (>100mL) and post-chemotherapy volume (>35mL) was an independent factor for LRFS, DMFS, DFS and OS. The total baseline volume had a better predictive prognostic value for DFS and OS than the TNM classification (8th edition 2017).

CONCLUSION

The prognostic weight of tumor and nodal volumes was greater than the TNM classification (8th edition). The pre- and post-chemotherapy tumor volumes allow selecting a high-risk patients' subgroup "high initial and post chemotherapy volumes" in which it would be advisable to offer more intensive treatment regimens.

Prognostic Factors for Overall Survival in Nasopharyngeal Cancer and Implication for TNM Staging by UICC: A Systematic Review of the Literature

This study aims to identify prognostic factors in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) to improve the current 8th edition TNM classification. A systematic review of the literature reported between 2013 and 2019 in PubMed, Embase, and Scopus was conducted. Studies were included if (1) original clinical studies, (2) ≥50 NPC patients, and (3) analyses on the association between prognostic factors and overall survival. The data elements of eligible studies were abstracted and analyzed. A level of evidence was synthesized for each suggested change to the TNM staging and prognostic factors. Of 5,595 studies screened, 108 studies (44 studies on anatomical criteria and 64 on non-anatomical factors) were selected. Proposed changes/factors with strong evidence included the upstaging paranasal sinus to T4, defining parotid lymph node as N3, upstaging N-category based on presence of lymph node necrosis, as well as the incorporation of non-TNM factors including EBV-DNA level, primary gross tumor volume (GTV), nodal GTV, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, lactate dehydrogenase, C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, platelet count, SUVmax of the primary tumor, and total lesion glycolysis. This systematic review provides a useful summary of suggestions and prognostic factors that potentially improve the current staging system. Further validation studies are warranted to confirm their significance.

Maximal lymph nodal diameter on N stage of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

To assess the maximal lymph nodal diameter on the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).This study extracted NPC patients between 2004 and 2016 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Included patients were divided into 3 groups: ≤3 cm, >3-6 cm, and >6 cm based on the maximal lymph nodal diameter. Cumulative survival curves of 5-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method between the 3 groups.The 5-year OS (64.0% vs 59.3%, P = .240) and CSS (71.8% vs 67.0%, P = .242) of ≤3 cm and >3-6 cm groups were not different. In contrast, the 5-year OS and CSS were different between >6 cm and ≤3 cm groups, and between >6 cm and >3-6 cm groups. The stratified hazard ratio of OS and CSS was 1.75 (95% confidence interval: 1.25-2.45; P = .001) and 1.77 (95% confidence interval: 1.20-2.60; P = .004) for the >6 cm group in the multivariate regression analysis.It is reasonable that the maximal lymph nodal diameter with >6 cm is classified as stage N3 of the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for NPC.

Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram for Patients With Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Incorporating TNM Stage, Post-Induction Chemotherapy Tumor Volume and Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Load

Objectives

To establish and validate an effective nomogram to predict clinical outcomes for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC).

Materials and Methods

The clinicopathological parameters and follow-up information of 402 locoregionally advanced NPC patients (training cohort, n = 302; validation cohort, n = 100) were retrospectively enrolled. The nomogram was built with the important prognostic variables identified by Cox regression analysis. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were the primary and secondary endpoints, respectively. The predictive power and clinical utility of the nomogram were assessed using the Harrell concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. We compared the eighth staging system model with the nomogram to analyze whether the model could improve the accuracy of prognosis

Results

Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA load, the gross tumor volume (GTVnx), and cervical lymph node tumor volume (GTVnd) after induction chemotherapy were the independent predictors of OS and PFS. The calibration curves indicated superb agreement between the nomogram-predicted probabilities and observed actual probabilities of survival. The C-index and area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of the nomogram integrating these significant factors and N stage, and TNM stage were higher than those of the eighth TNM system alone. In addition, the decision curve analyses demonstrated the clinical value and higher overall net benefit of the nomogram. High-risk groups identified by the nomogram had significantly poorer OS and PFS than the low-risk group (p < 0.05).

Conclusions

The multidimensional nomogram incorporating TNM stage, EBV DNA load, and tumor volume after induction chemotherapy led to a more precise prognostic prediction and could be helpful for stratifying risk and guiding treatment decisions in locoregionally advanced NPC patients who have undergone induction chemotherapy and concurrent chemoradiation.

An interpretable machine learning prognostic system for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on tumor burden features

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to build a survival system by combining a highly-accurate machine learning (ML) model with explainable artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to predict distant metastasis in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based tumor burden features.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

1643 patients from three hospitals were enrolled according to set criteria. We employed ML to develop a survival model based on tumor burden signatures and all clinical factors. Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was utilized to explain prediction results and interpret the complex non-linear relationship among features and distant metastasis. We also constructed other models based on routinely used cancer stages, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, or other clinical features for comparison. Concordance index (C-index), receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA) were executed to assess the effectiveness of the models.

RESULTS

Our proposed system consistently demonstrated promising performance across independent cohorts. The concordance indexes were 0.773, 0.766 and 0.760 in the training, internal validation and external validation sets. SHAP provided personalized protective and risk factors for each NPC patient and uncovered some novel non-linear relationships between features and distant metastasis. Furthermore, high-risk patients who received induction chemotherapy (ICT) and concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) had better 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) than those who only received CCRT, whereas ICT + CCRT and CCRT had similar DMFS in low-risk patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The interpretable machine learning system demonstrated superior performance in predicting metastasis in locoregionally advanced NPC. High-risk patients might benefit from ICT.

Prognostic value of neutrophils for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between absolute neutrophils count (ANC) in different periods of treatment and the outcomes of patients and assess effect of longitudinal neutrophils variation during radiotherapy (RT) on prognosis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

METHODS

A total of 1753 patients with newly diagnosed NPC were retrospectively analyzed. Complete blood counts of patients were obtained before treatment, before, during, and end of RT. The survival rate was calculated by Kaplan-Meier method and the result was compared by the log-rank test. The univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses were performed to investigate the association between the variation of ANC and survival for patients in different periods.

RESULTS

Higher ANC pretreatment (>4 × 109/L) and pre-RT (>7 × 109/L) were correlated with poor OS (89.7% vs 85.6%, P = .009; 88.3% vs 77.3%, P = .002, respectively). An increase >5 × 109/L of ANC during RT was associated with adverse OS (87.9% vs 73.6%, P = .042). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that high ANC of pre-RT (>7 × 109/L) and a high increase (>5 × 109/L) of ANC during RT were independent prognostic factors of patients with NPC (P = .002, .044, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrated that ANC was an independent prognostic factor for survival in patients with NPC who received RT. Neutrophils may promote tumor resistance to radiotherapy in NPC.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

2a.

Convolutional neural network in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: how good is automatic delineation for primary tumor on a non-contrast-enhanced fat-suppressed T2-weighted MRI?

PURPOSE

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) show potential for delineating cancers on contrast-enhanced MRI (ce-MRI) but there are clinical scenarios in which administration of contrast is not desirable. We investigated performance of the CNN for delineating primary nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) on non-contrast-enhanced images and compared the performance to that on ce-MRI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed primary NPC in 195 patients using a well-established CNN, U-Net, for tumor delineation on the non-contrast-enhanced fat-suppressed (fs)-T2W, ce-T1W and ce-fs-T1W images. The CNN-derived delineations were compared to manual delineations to obtain Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and average surface distance (ASD). The DSC and ASD on fs-T2W were compared to those on ce-MRI. Primary tumor volumes (PTVs) of CNN-derived delineations were compared to that of manual delineations.

RESULTS

The CNN for NPC delineation on fs-T2W images showed similar DSC (0.71 ± 0.09) and ASD (0.21 ± 0.48 cm) to those on ce-T1W images (0.71 ± 0.09 and 0.17 ± 0.19 cm, respectively) (p > 0.05), and lower DSC but similar ASD to ce-fs-T1W images (0.73 ± 0.09, p < 0.001; and 0.17 ± 0.20 cm, p > 0.05). The CNN overestimated PTVs on all sequences (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The CNN showed promise for NPC delineation on fs-T2W images in cases where it is desirable to avoid contrast agent injection. The CNN overestimated PTVs on all sequences.

Paranasal Sinus Invasion Should Be Classified as T4 Disease in Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients Receiving Radiotherapy

In this study, we explored the association between paranasal sinus invasion and prognosis in patients with advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC, (T3/T4N0–3M0), and we assessed the possibility of considering paranasal sinus invasion a T category in the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system. We enrolled 352 NPC patients who received intensity-modulated radiotherapy between 2008 and 2012. Clinical characteristics and follow-up data were collected. The incidence of paranasal sinus invasion was 36.4% (128 of 352 patients). Multivariate cox regression analysis indicated that paranasal sinus invasion and cervical lymphatic metastasis were independent negative prognostic factors for overall survival (OS, P=0.024, P=0.012), progression-free survival (PFS, P=0.007, P=0.007), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS, P=0.001, P=0.000). The gross tumor volume of the nasopharynx was an independent negative prognostic factor for OS (P=0.013). Cox regression analysis indicated that there were no significant differences in OS, PFS, DMFS, or local relapse-free survival (LRFS) between NPC patients with T4 stage disease and those with T3 and paranasal sinus invasion (P>0.05). The updated T + N staging system slightly improved the prediction of LRFS (0.649, 95% CI: 0.553–0.745) in NPC patients compared to the AJCC system (0.640, 95% CI: 0.545–0.736; P=0.023). Paranasal sinus invasion is independently associated with a poor prognosis in NPC patients. Thus, we recommend that the AJCC staging system upgrade paranasal sinus invasion to the T4 classification.

Role of IMRT/VMAT-Based Dose and Volume Parameters in Predicting 5-Year Local Control and Survival in Nasopharyngeal Cancer Patients

Objective: This study aimed to look into the relationship between intensity-modulated-radiotherapy (IMRT)- or volumetric-modulated-arc-therapy (VMAT)-based dose–volume parameters and 5-year outcome for a consecutive series of non-metastatic nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) patients (pts) treated in a single institution in a non-endemic area in order to identify potential prognostic factors.

Materials and methods: A retrospective analysis of consecutive non-metastatic NPC pts treated curatively with IMRT or VMAT and chemotherapy (CHT) between 2004 and 2014 was conducted. One patient was in stage I (0.7%), and 24 pts (17.5%) were in stage II, 38 pts (27.7%) in stage III, 29 pts (21.2%) in stage IVA, and 45 pts (32.8%) in stage IVB. Five pts (3.6%) received radiotherapy (RT) alone. Of the remaining 132 pts (96.4%), 30 pts (21.9%) received CHT concomitant to RT, and 102 pts (74.4%) were treated with induction CHT followed by RT-CHT. IMRT was given with standard fractionation at a total dose of 70 Gy. Clinical outcomes investigated in the study were local control (LC), disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS). Kaplan–Meier (KM) analysis was performed for the outcomes considering dose and coverage parameters, staging, and RT technique.

Results: Overall, 137 pts were eligible for this retrospective analysis. With a median follow-up of 70 months (range 12–143), actuarial rates at 5 years were LC 90.4, DFS 77.2, and OS 82.8%. For this preliminary study, T stage was dichotomized as T1, T2, T3 vs. T4. At 5 years, the group T1–T2–T3 reported an LC of 93%, a DFS of 79%, and an OS of 88%, whereas T4 pts reported LC, DFS, and OS, respectively, of 56, 50, and 78%. Pts with V95% > 95.5% had better LC (p = 0.006). Pts with D99% > 63.8 Gy had better LC (p = 0.034) and OS (p = 0.005). The threshold value of 43.2 cm³ of GTVT was prognostic for LC (p = 0.016). To predict the risk of local recurrence at 5 years, we constructed a nomogram which combined GTVT with D99% relative to HRPTV.

Conclusions: We demonstrated the prognostic value of some dose–volume parameters, although in a retrospective series, this is potentially useful to improve planning procedure. In addition, for the first time in a non-endemic area, a threshold value of GTVT, prognostic for LC, has been confirmed.

Validation of Stage N3 of the Eighth Edition AJCC Staging System for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To validate stage nodal (N)3 of the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study extracted NPC patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2004 and 2016. Pathologically confirmed patients with complete data of level IV, N3a, and N3b lymph node metastasis were investigated. The included patients were divided into level IV, N3a, and N3b groups. Five-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were compared among the three groups.

RESULTS

A total of 693 patients were included: 285 (41.13%) patients in the level IV group, 124 (17.89%) patients in the N3a group, and 284 (40.98%) patients in the N3b group. The 5-year OS (57.1%, 55.0%, and 55.2%) and CSS (64.4%, 63.5%, and 64.4%) were not different among the level IV, N3a, and N3b groups. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that N stage was not an independent prognostic factor for OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.91-1.17; P = .65) or CSS (HR = 1.03, 95% CI: 0.89-1.19; P = .70).

CONCLUSION

Stage N3 of the 8th edition AJCC staging system for NPC is reasonable.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III Laryngoscope, 131:535-540, 2021.

Selection of a high-level physician may help improve outcomes of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To assess the relationship between the level of clinical radiation oncologist and the prognosis of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). To our knowledge, no previous study has explicitly assessed the relationship with cancer prognosis and clinical radiation oncologists level. The effect of physicians on the prognosis has been entirely ignored.

METHODS

Clinical data were collected for 1140 patients with newly diagnosed NPC. Based on the 3-year overall survival, the treating physicians were classified into 3 grades: high-level group, medium-level group, and low-level group. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to assess the independent significance of different prognostic factors. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to minimize the influence of confounders so that difference in outcomes provides an unbiased estimate of the influence of physician. Interactive Risk Attributable Program (IRAP) was used to calculate the attribution risk of individual risk factors or a combination of multiple factors.

RESULTS

The 3-year OS in the high-level, medium-level, and low-level groups was 92.9%, 87.7%, and 83.5%, respectively (p = 0.003). After propensity score matching, the 3-year OS was 92.4%, 87.4%, and 82.9%, respectively (p = 0.004). IRAP was used to calculate the attribution risk of mortality risk. After multivariable adjustment, patient-related factors including tumor accounted for 90.02% [95% confidence interval (CI), 73.43-96.84%) and physician factors accounted for 17.66% (95% CI, 5.39-44.65%) of the mortalityrisk. All related factors, including patient-related factors and physician factors accounted for 92.02% (95% CI, 77.83-97.43%).

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrated obvious differences in the prognosis of patients treated by various clinical radiation oncologists. The largest share of prognosis risk was found to be at the patient level, while variation in prognosis was, in part, attributable to differences among physicians.

Minimally invasive surgery alone compared with intensity-modulated radiotherapy for primary stage I nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

The National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines recommend intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) as the primary curative treatment for newly diagnosed nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), but the radiation-related complications and relatively high medical costs remain a consequential burden for the patients. Endoscopic nasopharyngectomy (ENPG) was successfully applied in recurrent NPC with radiation free and relatively low medical costs. In this study, we examined whether ENPG could be an effective treatment for localized stage I NPC.

Methods

Ten newly diagnosed localized stage I NPC patients voluntarily received ENPG alone from June 2007 to September 2017 in Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center. Simultaneously, the data of 329 stage I NPC patients treated with IMRT were collected and used as a reference cohort. The survival outcomes, quality of life (QOL), and medical costs between two groups were compared.

Results

After a median follow-up of 59.0 months (95% CI 53.4–64.6), no death, locoregional recurrence, or distant metastasis was observed in the 10 patients treated with ENPG. The 5-year overall survival, local relapse-free survival, regional relapse-free survival, and distant metastasis-free survival among the ENPG-treated patients was similar to that among the IMRT-treated patients (100% vs. 99.1%, 100% vs. 97.7%, 100% vs. 99.0%, 100% vs. 97.4%, respectively, P > 0.05). In addition, compared with IMRT, ENPG was associated with decreased total medical costs ($ 4090.42 ± 1502.65 vs. $ 12620.88 ± 4242.65, P < 0.001) and improved QOL scores including dry mouth (3.3 ± 10.5 vs. 34.4 ± 25.8, P < 0.001) and sticky saliva (3.3 ± 10.5 vs. 32.6 ± 23.3, P < 0.001).

Conclusions

ENPG alone was associated with promising long-term survival outcomes, low medical costs, and satisfactory QOL and might therefore be an alternative strategy for treating newly diagnosed localized stage I NPC patients who refused radiotherapy. However, the application of ENPG should be prudent, and prospective clinical trials were needed to further verify the results.

A Pairwise Meta-Analysis of Induction Chemotherapy in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma has high risk of distant metastasis and mortality. Induction chemotherapy is commonly administrated in clinical practice, but the efficacy was quite controversial in and out of randomized controlled trials. We thus conducted this pairwise meta-analysis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Trials that randomized patients to receive radiotherapy or concurrent chemoradiotherapy with or without induction chemotherapy were identified via searches of PubMed, MEDLINE, and ClinicalTrials.gov.

RESULTS

A total of ten trials (2,627 patients) were included. The pooled hazard ratios (HRs) based on fixed effect model were 0.68 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56-0.80, p < .001) for overall survival (OS) and 0.70 (95% CI 0.61-0.79, p < .001) for progression-free survival (PFS), which strongly favored the addition of induction chemotherapy. The absolute 5-year survival benefits were 8.47% in OS and 10.27% in PFS, respectively. In addition, based on the available data of eight trials, induction chemotherapy showed significant efficacy in reducing locoregional failure rate (risk ratio [RR] = 0.81, 95% CI 0.68-0.96, p = .017) and distant metastasis rate (RR = 0.69, 95% CI 0.58-0.82, p < .001).

CONCLUSION

This pairwise meta-analysis confirms the benefit in OS, PFS, and locoregional and distant controls associated with the addition of induction chemotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

According to the results of this meta-analysis of ten trials, induction chemotherapy can prolong overall survival and progression-free survival and improve locoregional and distant controls for nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Predictive value of pretreatment MRI texture analysis in patients with primary nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Objectives

To determine the predictive value of pretreatment MRI texture analysis for progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with primary nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Methods

Ethical approval by the institutional review board was obtained for this retrospective analysis. In 79 patients with primary NPC, texture analysis of the primary tumour was performed on pretreatment T2 and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted images (T2WIs and CE-T1WIs). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the association of texture features, tumour volume and the tumour-node-metastasis (TNM) stage with PFS. Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method. The prognostic performance was evaluated with the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses and C-index.

Results

Tumour volume (hazard ratio, 1.054; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.016–1.093) and CE-T1WI-based uniformity (hazard ratio, 0; 95% CI, 0–0.001) were identified as independent predictors for PFS (p < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that smaller tumour volume (less than the cut-off value, 11.699 cm³) and higher CE-T1WI-based uniformity (greater than the cut-off value, 0.856) were associated with improved PFS (p < 0.05). The combination of CE-T1WI-based uniformity with tumour volume and the overall stage predicted PFS better (area under the curve [AUC], 0.825; Cindex, 0.794) than the tumour volume (AUC, 0.659; C-index, 0.616) or the overall stage (AUC, 0.636; C-index, 0.627) did (p < 0.05).

Conclusions

A texture parameter of pretreatment CE-T1WI-based uniformity improves the prediction of PFS in NPC patients.

Key Points

• Higher CE-T1WI-based uniformity and smaller tumour volume are predictive of improved PFS in NPC patients.

• The combination of CE-T1WI-based uniformity with tumour volume and the overall stage has a better predictive ability for PFS than the tumour volume or the overall stage alone.

• Pretreatment MRI texture analysis has a prognostic value for NPC patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00330-018-5961-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Tumor volume/metabolic information can improve the prognostication of anatomy based staging system for nasopharyngeal cancer? Evaluation of the 8th edition of the AJCC/UICC staging system for nasopharyngeal cancer

Purpose

We evaluated prognostic value of the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer/International Union for Cancer Control (AJCC/UICC) staging system for nasopharyngeal cancer and investigated whether tumor volume/metabolic information refined prognostication of anatomy based staging system.

Materials and Methods

One hundred thirty-three patients with nasopharyngeal cancer who were staged with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) between 2004 and 2013 were reviewed. Multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate prognostic value of the 8th edition of the AJCC/UICC staging system and other factors including gross tumor volume and maximum standardized uptake value of primary tumor (GTV-T and SUV-T).

Results

Median follow-up period was 63 months. In multivariate analysis for overall survival (OS), stage group (stage I-II vs. III-IVA) was the only significant prognostic factor. However, 5-year OS rates were not significantly different between stage I and II (100% vs. 96.2%), and between stage III and IVA (80.1% vs. 71.7%). Although SUV-T and GTV-T were not significant prognostic factors in multivariate analysis, those improved prognostication of stage group. The 5-year OS rates were significantly different between stage I-II, III-IV (SUV-T ≤ 16), and III-IV (SUV-T > 16) (97.2% vs. 78% vs. 53.8%), and between stage I, II-IV (GTV-T ≤ 33 mL), and II-IV (GTV-T > 33 mL) (100% vs. 87.3% vs. 66.7%).

Conclusion

Current anatomy based staging system has limitations on prognostication for nasopharyngeal cancer despite the most accurate assessment of tumor extent by MRI. Tumor volume/metabolic information seem to improve prognostication of current anatomy based staging system, and further studies are needed to confirm its clinical significance.

MAP2K6 is associated with radiation resistance and adverse prognosis for locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients

Background

Although radiotherapy is the primary therapeutic option for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), local recurrence and distant metastasis caused by radioresistance are still the major barriers for some NPC patients who cannot benefit from radiotherapy. In this study, we analyzed the association between MAP2K6 expression and radioresistance in patients with locally advanced NPC.

Methods

We collected 120 NPC patients who received radiotherapy in the Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from August 2008 to July 2012. The clinical data and tissue samples of patients were collected. Detection of MAP2K6 was performed using immunohistochemical staining.

Results

The rates of two groups were 19.4% and 4.2%, and significant difference was observed between MAP2K6 high expression group and low expression group (χ²=5.817, P=0.016). The Kaplan–Meier analysis suggested a significant difference in the survival rate between two groups (P<0.05). The results from multivariate Cox regression indicated that the MAP2K6 was independently related to adverse prognosis in NCP patients (HR =3.40, 95% CI =1.13–10.26, P=0.030).

Conclusion

The present study indicated that MAP2K6 was correlated with radioresistance, and the elevated expression of MAP2K6 predicted poor prognosis in NPC patients. MAP2K6 may be a new therapy target for radioresistance of NPC.

External validity of a prognostic nomogram for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on the 8th edition of the AJCC/UICC staging system: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system does not perform well for guiding individualized induction or adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). We attempted to externally validate the Pan's nomogram, developed based on the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) staging system, for patients with locoregionally advanced disease. In addition, we investigated the reliability of Pan's nomogram for selection of participants in future clinical trials.

METHODS

This study included 535 patients with locoregionally advanced NPC who were treated between March 2007 and January 2012. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with predicted outcomes. The calibration was tested using calibration plots and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Discrimination ability, which was assessed using the concordance index, as compared with other predictors.

RESULTS

Pan's nomogram was observed to underestimate the 5-year OS of the entire cohort by 8.65% [95% confidence interval (CI) - 9.70 to - 7.60%, P < 0.001] and underestimated the 5-year OS of each risk group. The differences between the predicted and observed 5-year OS rates were smallest among low-risk patients (< 135 points calculated using Pan's nomogram; which predicted minus observed OS, - 6.41%, 95% CI - 6.75 to - 6.07%, P < 0.001) and were largest among high-risk patients (≥ 160 points) (- 13.56%, 95% CI - 15.48 to - 11.63%, P < 0.001). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test suggested that the predicted and observed 5-year OS rates had no ideal relationship (P < 0.001). Pan's nomogram had better discriminatory ability compared with the levels of Epstein-Barr virus DNA acid (EBV DNA) and the 7th or 8th AJCC/UICC staging system, although not better compared with the combination of EBV DNA and the 8th staging system. Additionally, Pan's nomogram was marginally inferior to our predictive model, which included the 8th AJCC/UICC N-classification, age, gross primary tumor volume, lactate dehydrogenase, and body mass index.

CONCLUSIONS

Pan's nomogram underestimated the 5-year OS of patients with locoregionally advanced NPC at our cancer center, and may not be a precise tool for selecting participants for clinical trials.

Impact of paranasal sinus invasion on advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with intensity-modulated radiation therapy: the validity of advanced T stage of AJCC/UICC eighth edition staging system

The aim of this study was to clarify the prognostic role of paranasal sinus invasion in advanced NPC patients. Data of patients (n = 295) with advanced NPC (T3/T4N0-3 M0) treated with intensity-modulated radiation therapy were retrospectively analyzed. Staging was according to the AJCC/UICC eighth edition staging system. Overall survival (OS), local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and disease-free survival (DFS) were calculated, and differences were compared between patients with and without paranasal sinus invasion. Multivariate analysis was used to identify the independent predictors of different survival parameters. Paranasal sinus invasion was present in 126 of 295 (42.7%) patients. Sphenoid, ethmoid, maxillary, and frontal sinus involvements were present in 123 of 295 (41.7%), 95 of 295 (32.2%), 45 of 295 (15.3%), and 0 of 295 (0%), respectively. All survival parameters were significantly better in patients without paranasal sinus invasion. When paranasal sinus invasion was reclassified as T4 instead of T3, all survival rates, other than LRFS (P = 0.156), were significantly better in the new T3 patients, and differences in all survival parameters remained nonsignificant between T3 with paranasal sinus invasion and T4 without paranasal sinus invasion patients (all P > 0.05). In multivariate analysis, paranasal sinus invasion was found to be an independent negative prognostic factor for OS, DFS, and DMFS (P = 0.016, P = 0.004, and P = 0.006, respectively), but not for LRFS (P = 0.068). Paranasal sinus invasion has prognostic value in advanced NPC. It may be reasonable to classify paranasal sinus invasion as T4 stage.

Tumor volume as a prognostic marker in p16-positive and p16-negative oropharyngeal cancer patients treated with definitive intensity-modulated radiotherapy

PURPOSE

To investigate the impact of primary gross tumor volume (pGTV) and nodal gross tumor volume (nGTV) in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and the difference in their role between human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive and HPV-negative patients.

METHODS

The patient cohort consists of 91 OPSCC patients treated with definitive radiochemotherapy or radiotherapy using intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). All patients had a minimum follow-up of 31 months. Volume measurements were made from computer tomography (CT) scans and HPV status was assessed by p16 immunohistochemistry. The end points were as follows: overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and locoregional control (LRC).

RESULTS

pGTV was a significant independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS; p = 0.020) in p16-negative patients. nGTV of p16-negative tumors had significant prognostic value in all end points in multivariate analyses. High-stage (III-IVc) p16-negative tumors were only associated with significantly poorer OS (p = 0.046) but not with poorer LRC or DFS when compared with the low-stage (I-II) tumors. nGTV of p16-positive tumors was an independent prognostic factor for DFS (p = 0.005) and LRC (p = 0.007) in multivariate analyses.

CONCLUSION

pGTV may serve as an independent prognostic factor in p16-negative patients and nGTV may serve as an independent prognostic factor both in p16-positive and p16-negative patients treated with radiochemotherapy or radiotherapy using IMRT. Tumor volume may have an impact on selecting patients for de-escalation protocols in the future, both in p16-positive and p16-negative patients.

A Study of 358 Cases of Locally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Receiving Intensity-Modulated Radiation Therapy: Improving the Seventh Edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer T-Staging System

To evaluate the rationality and limitations of the seventh edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (the 7th AJCC edition) T-staging system for locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The prognosis of 358 patients with stage T3/T4 NPC treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) was analyzed with the Kaplan–Meier method or the log-rank test. The 7th AJCC staging system of NPC has some limitations in that the T category is neither the significant factor in OS/LRFS nor the independent prognostic factor in OS/LRFS/DMFS/DFS (P > 0.05). After adjustment by anatomic structures, univariate analysis has shown that the adjusted-T category has statistical significance between T3 and T4 for OS (86.4% and 71.3%, P = 0.002), LRFS (97% and 90.9%, P = 0.048), DMFS (90.9% and 77.2%, P = 0.001), and DFS (86.2% and 67.5%, P = 0.000), and multivariate analysis has shown that the adjusted-T category is an independent prognostic factor for OS/DMFS/DFS (with the exception of LRFS). Then, GTV-P was taken into consideration. Multivariate analysis showed that these nT categories serve as suitable independent prognostic factors for OS/DMFS/DFS (P < 0.001) and LRFS (HR = 3.131; 95% CI, 1.090–8.990; P = 0.043). The 7th AJCC staging system has limitations and should be improved by including the modifications suggested, such as anatomic structures and tumor volume adjustment.