Incidence and prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis in Saskatchewan, Canada: 2001-2014

Population-based epidemiological projections of rheumatoid arthritis in Germany until 2040

OBJECTIVES

Our aim was to conduct a population-based projection to estimate the number of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) cases in Germany until 2040.

METHOD

Data obtained from a report published in 2017 (doi:10.20364/VA-17.08) were used for future prediction analysis. The data were originally collected by the German Central Institute for Statutory Health Insurance. We used the illness-death model to estimate future numbers of RA cases, considering nine possible scenarios based on different incidence and mortality rates.

RESULTS

In the baseline scenario, the number of women with RA is projected to increase by 417 000 cases and men by 179 000 cases by 2040, compared with 2015. Peak numbers of cases are concentrated in the 70-80-year-old age group, particularly among women. In the most favourable scenario (scenario 2), assuming a decreasing incidence, the total number of RA cases is projected to rise by 284 000 by 2040, reflecting a 38% relative increase from 2015 to 2040. The least favourable scenario (scenario 9), assuming an increasing incidence, projects a significant burden on the healthcare system. The total number of RA cases is expected to rise by 1.16 million by 2040, marking a substantial 158% relative increase from 2015 to 2040.

CONCLUSIONS

Our research emphasizes a discernible trend: with an ageing society, improving treatment effectiveness, and declining all-cause mortality, we anticipate a rise in the absolute numbers of RA cases in Germany in the coming years. Our models robustly support this viewpoint, underscoring impending challenges for healthcare systems. Addressing these challenges demands multifaceted interventions.

Global epidemiology of rheumatoid arthritis

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a systemic autoimmune disease that predominantly affects the joints. The prevalence of RA varies globally, with generally a higher prevalence in industrialized countries, which may be explained by exposures to environmental risk factors, but also by genetic factors, differing demographics and under-reporting in other parts of the world. Over the past three decades, strong trends of the declining severity of RA probably reflect changes in treatment paradigms and overall better management of the disease. Other trends include increasing RA prevalence. Common risk factors for RA include both modifiable lifestyle-associated variables and non-modifiable features, such as genetics and sex. A better understanding of the natural history of RA, and of the factors that contribute to the development of RA in specific populations, might lead to the introduction of specific prevention strategies for this debilitating disease.

Immunomodulatory effects of curcumin in systemic autoimmune diseases

Systemic autoimmune diseases like rheumatoid arthritis, multiple sclerosis, and systemic lupus erythematosus represent various autoimmune conditions identified by immune system dysregulation. The activation of immune cells, auto-antigen outbreak, inflammation, and multi-organ impairment is observed in these disorders. The immune system is an essential complex network of cells and chemical mediators which defends the organism's integrity against foreign microorganisms, and its precise operation and stability are compulsory to avoid a wide range of medical complications. Curcumin is a phenolic ingredient extracted from turmeric and belongs to the Zingiberaceae, or ginger family. Curcumin has multiple functions, such as inhibiting inflammation, oxidative stress, tumor cell proliferation, cell death, and infection. Nevertheless, the immunomodulatory influence of curcumin on immunological reactions/processes remains mostly unknown. In the present narrative review, we sought to provide current information concerning the preclinical and clinical uses of curcumin in systemic autoimmune diseases.

Update of advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma

The incidence of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) is rapidly increasing. A growing part of this patient group is formed by immunocompromised patients, for example organ-transplant recipients (OTR). Although over 90% of the cSCC show a relatively harmless clinical behaviour, there is also a chance of developing advanced cSCC and metastases. Locally advanced cSCC are defined as cSCC that have locally advanced progression and are no longer amenable to surgery or radiation therapy. Better understanding of the clinical behaviour of cSCC is essential to discriminate between low- and high-risk cSCC. Staging systems are important and have recently been improved. Genetic characterisation of SCC will likely become an important tool to help distinguish low and high-risk cSCC with an increased potential to metastasise in the near future. Available treatments for high-risk and advanced cSCC include surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy and targeted therapy with epidermal growth factor receptors inhibitors. Anti-PD-1 antibodies show promising results with response rates of up to 50% in both locally advanced and metastatic cSCC but, in its present form, is not suitable for OTR.

Prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis in South America: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is among the most prevalent chronic autoimmune and inflammatory diseases worldwide. The aim of this study was to establish a pooled estimate of the RA prevalence in South America by means of a meta-analysis of the available epidemiologic studies. Systematic searches in PubMed, Lilacs, SciELO, Scopus, and Web of Science databases (updated May 2019) were done followed by a systematic grey literature search to identify original research articles and reports, published after 2000, providing data of RA prevalence in any South American country. Proportion meta-analysis of weighted pooled was performed, with between-trial heterogeneity assessed by the inconsistency relative index. Sensitivity analyses and sub-group analyses were also done. A total of 25 articles, representing 27 population-based studies were included. Pooled prevalence of RA resulted in 0.48% with 591,981 cases in a population of 114,537,812 individuals (I2=99%). Brazil and Colombia presented the lowest rates of RA prevalence 0.22%, and 0.24%, respectively. RA prevalence in indigenous population was higher 1.45%, and studies using COPCORD method reported also the highest rates 1.07%.

Immune Function and Mechanism of Costimulating Molecules PD-1 and OX40 in Rheumatoid Arthritis

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a T lymphocyte-mediated autoimmune disease, although its immune mechanism has not been fully studied. In this study, healthy controls (HC), osteoarthritis patients (OA), and RA patients were enrolled, and mice were evenly divided into control, collagen-induced arthritis (CIA), PD-1 Fc/CIA (PD-1 Fc membrane fusion protein administered to CIA mice), OX40 Fc/CIA (OX40 Fc membrane fusion protein administered to CIA mice), and PD-1 Fc + OX40 Fc/CIA groups. The expressions of programmed death-1 (PD-1) and OX40 in CD4⁺ T lymphocytes and the levels of sPD-1, immunoglobulin, and proinflammatory factors in patients and mice were measured. The results showed that the expression levels of PD-1 and OX40 in CD4⁺ T lymphocytes separated from the peripheral blood and synovial fluid of RA patients and the spleen of CIA mice were observably elevated. The levels of soluble PD-1, interleukin (IL)-2, IL-4, IL-5, IL-17, and interferon-γ (IFN-γ) in RA patients obviously increased. In animal experiments, PD-1 Fc not only increased the serum levels of immunoglobulin G (IgG), IgG1, and IgG2a in CIA mice, but also increased the levels of IL-4, IL-2, IL-5, IL-17, and IFN-γ in mouse spleen cells and joint tissues, which, however, were reversed by OX40 Fc. In conclusion, OX40 inhibition could reverse the progression of RA caused by PD-1 blocking, and PD-1 might be a potential target for RA. Clinical Trials.gov ID: HGH2018012203.

Use of selected NSAIDs in Guangzhou and other cities in the world as identified by wastewater analysis

The mass load of pharmaceuticals in the municipal wastewater based on wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) is a good indication of population consumption in the catchment. After successful application of illicit drugs' estimation, this method holds the potential to measure the geographical and temporal consumption of prescription medicines. In this study, we investigated the occurrence of four non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), acetaminophen (ACM), diclofenac (DCF), ibuprofen (IBU) and naproxen (NPX), in two wastewater treatment plants in Guangzhou City, China and compared the spatial and temporal consumption variation of them. Over a period of 28 days' sampling, the detection frequency of ACM, DCF, IBU, and NPX in the influent of two wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) in Guangzhou City were 91%, 66%, 100%, and 95%, and their concentrations were up to 128, 131, 372, and 324 ng/L, respectively. No significant inter-catchment difference was observed regarding the per capita mass load in the two WWTPs investigated. A literature review which covered 160 WWTPs in 18 countries was conducted to compare the population normalized mass load of four commonly used NSAIDs. ACM had the highest population normalized mass loads (29-17,430 mg/d/1000 inhabitants) and DCF had the lowest population normalized mass load (6.5-628 mg/d/1000 inhabitants) in the catchments located in 18 countries. The mass loads of selected NSAIDs in China were lower than those in European and North American. ACM and IBU consumptions were at least 2 times higher in winter than that in summer, in contrast, DCF and NPX consumptions had no significant seasonal variation.

Genetic meta-analysis of cancer diagnosis following statin use identifies new associations and implicates human leukocyte antigen (HLA) in women

We sought to perform a genomic evaluation of the risk of incident cancer in statin users, free of cancer at study entry. Patients who previously participated in two phase IV trials (TNT and IDEAL) with genetic data were used (n_pooled = 11,196). A GWAS meta-analysis using Cox modeling for the prediction of incident cancer was conducted in the pooled cohort and sex-stratified. rs13210472 (near HLA-DOA gene) was associated with higher risk of incident cancer amongst women with prevalent coronary artery disease (CAD) taking statins (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.66, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.88-3.76, P = 3.5 × 10^-8). Using the UK Biobank and focusing exclusively on women statin users with CAD (n_female= 2952), rs13210472 remained significantly associated with incident cancer (HR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.14-2.56, P = 9.0 × 10^-3). The association was not observed in non-statin users. In this genetic meta-analysis, we have identified a variant in women statin users with prevalent CAD that was associated with incident cancer, possibly implicating the human leukocyte antigen pathway.

Interleukin-37 as an anti-inflammatory cytokine: does its relation to disease activity suggest its potential role in rheumatoid arthritis therapy?

Background

This study aimed to measure the serum and synovial interleukin (IL)-37 levels in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients compared to patients with primary knee osteoarthritis (PKOA) and healthy controls and to detect its relation to RA disease activity.

Results

This cross-sectional study included 50 RA patients with a mean age of 40.24 ± 8.62 years, 50 patients with PKOA with a mean age of 56.69 ± 4.21, and 40 healthy controls with a mean age of 41.75 ± 7.38 years. The mean serum IL-37 level in the RA patients (382.6 ± 73.97 pg/ml) was statistically significantly (P < 0.001) the highest among the studied groups; however, it showed a non-significant difference between the PKOA patients (70.38 ± 27.49 pg/ml) and the healthy controls (69.97 ± 25.12 pg/ml) (P > 0.94). Both serum and synovial IL-37 levels were significantly positively correlated with disease activity scores (r = 0.92, P< 0.001 and r = 0.85, P < 0.001), tender joint counts (r = 0.83, P < 0.001 and r = 0.82, P < 0.001 ), swollen joint counts (r = 0.72, P < 0.001 and r = 0.60, P < 0.001), visual analog scale (r = 0.82, P < 0.001 and r = 0.82, P < 0.001), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (r = 0.75, P < 0.001 and r = 0.65, P < 0.001), and C-reactive protein (r = 0.93, P < 0.001 and r = 0.79, P < 0.001), respectively.

Conclusion

Serum and synovial IL-37 were significantly elevated in the RA patients, and they were closely correlated. Being less invasive, the serum IL-37 could be a marker of disease activity and could reflect the effective disease control by drugs. Having an anti-inflammatory effect could not suggest IL-37 as the key player to control inflammation alone, but its combination with other anti-proinflammatory cytokines could be investigated.

Crossing the barriers: Revisiting the gut feeling in rheumatoid arthritis

To avoid autoimmunity, it is essential to keep the balance between the defence against pathogens and the maintenance of tolerance to self-antigens. Mucosal inflammation may lead to breakdown of tolerance and activation of autoreactive cells. Growing evidence suggests a major contribution of gut microbiota to the onset of chronic, autoimmune inflammatory diseases including rheumatoid arthritis (RA). RA patients show significant differences in the composition of gut microbiota compared to healthy controls, and in murine arthritis models certain bacteria can induce inflammatory Th17 responses or autoantibody production. The gut microbiota plays an important role in regulating the balance between immunogenic and tolerogenic immune responses. The intestinal barrier is the site of the body where most host-microbiota interaction takes place. Certain microbiota or their metabolites can cause a break in homeostasis by affecting the intestinal barrier integrity and permeability. However, an intact intestinal barrier is essential to separate the intestinal epithelium from toxins, microorganisms, and antigens in the gut lumen. This review will focus on the correlation between a leaky gut and the onset of arthritis. Furthermore, it will be discussed how targeting the intestinal barrier function by dietary changes might provide an opportunity to modulate the development of RA.

Higher mortality rates associated with rheumatoid arthritis in Saskatchewan, Canada, 2001-2019

OBJECTIVES

To estimate provincial all-cause mortality rates of Saskatchewan people with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) for comparison with the general population over time and between different geographic regions.

METHODS

Saskatchewan provincial administrative health databases (2001-2019) were utilized as data sources. Two RA case definitions were employed: (1) ≥ 3 physician billing diagnoses, at least 1 from a specialist (rheumatologist, general internist or orthopaedic surgeon) within 2 years; (2) ≥ 1 hospitalization diagnosis (ICD-9 code 714, and ICD-10-CA codes M05, M06). Data from these definitions were combined to create an administrative data RA cohort. All-cause mortality rates across geographic regions, between rural/urban residences and between sexes were examined.

RESULTS

Over an 18-year span, between fiscal-year 2001-2002 and fiscal-year 2018-2019, age- and sex-adjusted mortality rates ranged from 17.10 to 21.04 (95% CI 14.77, 19.44; 18.03, 24.05)/1000 RA person-years, compared with mortality rates for the general Saskatchewan population without RA, which ranged from 9.37 to 10.88 (95% CI 9.23, 9.51; 10.72, 11.05)/1000 person-years. Fiscal-year mortality rate ratios ranged from 1.82 to 2.13 (95% CI 1.56, 2.13; 1.83, 2.46). Provincial mortality rates were higher in men than in women for both general and RA populations. Northern Saskatchewan mortality rates were significantly higher in the general population but did not achieve significance compared with other provincial regions for the RA population. Regression analysis identified age, male sex, RA and geographic region as factors contributing to increased mortality. A trend towards lower mortality rates over time was observed.

CONCLUSION

Higher mortality rates were observed in the RA population overall. Men had higher mortality rates, as did residents of Northern Saskatchewan compared with residents of other regions for the general population.

Acute Myocardial Infarction in Autoimmune Rheumatologic Disease: A Nationwide Analysis of Clinical Outcomes and Predictors of Management Strategy

OBJECTIVES

To examine national-level differences in management strategies and outcomes in patients with autoimmune rheumatic disease (AIRD) with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) from 2004 through 2014.

METHODS

All AMI hospitalizations were analyzed from the National Inpatient Sample, stratified according to AIRD diagnosis into 4 groups: no AIRD, rheumatoid arthritis (RA), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and systemic sclerosis (SSC). The associations between AIRD subtypes and (1) receipt of coronary angiography and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and (2) clinical outcomes were examined compared with patients without AIRD.

RESULTS

Of 6,747,797 AMI hospitalizations, 109,983 patients (1.6%) had an AIRD diagnosis (RA: 1.3%, SLE: 0.3%, and SSC: 0.1%). The prevalence of RA rose from 1.0% (2004) to 1.5% (2014), and SLE and SSC remained stable. Patients with SLE were less likely to receive invasive management (odds ratio [OR] [95% CI]: coronary angiography-0.87; 0.84 to 0.91; PCI-0.93; 0.90 to 0.96), whereas no statistically significant differences were found in the RA and SSC groups. Subsequently, the ORs (95% CIs) of mortality (1.15; 1.07 to 1.23) and bleeding (1.24; 1.16 to 1.31) were increased in patients with SLE; SSC was associated with increased ORs (95% CIs) of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (1.52; 1.38 to 1.68) and mortality (1.81; 1.62 to 2.02) but not bleeding or stroke; the RA group was at no increased risk for any complication.

CONCLUSION

In a nationwide cohort of AMI hospitalizations we found lower use of invasive management in patients with SLE and worse outcomes after AMI in patients with SLE and SSC compared with those without AIRD.

Prevalence of patients with rheumatoid arthritis and age-stratified trends in clinical characteristics and treatment, based on the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan

AIM

To estimate the prevalence and age-stratified treatment trends and clinical characteristics of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in Japan.

METHOD

Using 7 RA definitions, the prevalence of RA in those aged ≥16 years was estimated using the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan in the fiscal year 2017. We analyzed age-stratified trends in characteristics and treatments.

RESULTS

Of 1 116 122 patients aged ≥16 years with at least 1 RA-related International Classification of Diseases-10 code, 825.7 thousand patients (women, 76.3%) were assessed as having RA with an estimated prevalence of 0.65%. The highest age-stratified prevalence was 1.63% in patients aged 70-79 years. Overall, 60.8% and 7.0% of patients with RA were aged ≥65 years and ≥85 years, respectively. Methotrexate use was most frequent in patients aged 50-59 years (73.0%) and least frequent in patients aged ≥85 years (38.2%). Biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs use was 50.9% in patients aged 16-19 years and decreased to 13.7% in those aged ≥85 years. Preference for the use of tumor necrosis factor inhibitors versus abatacept decreased from 24.0:1 to 1.7:1 in patients aged 16-19 years and ≥85 years, respectively. The prevalence of cardiovascular disease was 3.5% in patients aged 60-69 years and 12.1% in those aged ≥85 years. Overall RA-related orthopedic surgeries were most prevalent in patients aged 70-79 years.

CONCLUSION

The estimated prevalence of patients with RA in Japan was 0.65%. Age-stratified treatment trends and clinical characteristics have been described in a super-aged society for the first time.

Prevalence of Rheumatoid Arthritis and Drug Dispensing Patterns Among Medicaid and Medicaid-Medicare Dually Eligible Beneficiaries in Puerto Rico

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in Puerto Rico, to describe disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) dispensing patterns by prescriber specialty, and to illustrate the impact of RA case definition on the estimated prevalence.

METHODS

This study estimated the prevalence of RA in Puerto Rico during 2016 among Medicaid and Medicaid-Medicare dually eligible beneficiaries of the Mi Salud health care plan, a federally funded health insurance program. DMARD dispensing and cost patterns were described and stratified by provider specialty. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate the effect of RA case definition on estimated prevalence.

RESULTS

The prevalence of RA in 2016 was estimated to be 2 cases per 1,000 beneficiaries, with 3 per 1,000 beneficiaries among females, 4.5 times that of males. In total, 44% of beneficiaries received conventional synthetic DMARDs (csDMARDs) only, 32% received biologic or targeted synthetic DMARDs (b/tsDMARDs) only, and 24% received a combination of csDMARDs and b/tsDMARDs. Rheumatologists and a combination of specialties accounted for the highest median number of dispensed DMARDs, with 14 each. A sensitivity analysis revealed that when RA cases with ≥3 medical claims were restricted to having ≥1 DMARD claim, the estimated prevalence changed from 6 to 3 cases per 1,000 beneficiaries.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of RA in Puerto Rico in this study is lower than reported in the mainland US, possibly due to more stringent criteria to define RA. DMARD dispensing and cost patterns are similar to those found in other studies. Claims algorithms that identify RA have higher validity when pharmacy data is included.

Incidence trend of five common musculoskeletal disorders from 1990 to 2017 at the global, regional and national level: results from the global burden of disease study 2017

OBJECTIVE

To assess cause-specific incidence and its trend of musculoskeletal (MSK) disorders at global, regional and national levels.

METHODS

Data on MSK disorders were downloaded from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study website. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was calculated to quantify the temporal trend in age-standardised incidence rate (ASR) of MSK disorders, by age, sex, region and cause.

RESULTS

Between 1990 and 2017 incident cases of MSK disorders increased globally by 58% from 211.80 million to 334.74 million, with a decreasing ASR of 0.18% annually (95% CI -0.21% to -0.15%). The ASR decreased for low back pain (LBP), remained stable for neck pain (NP), and increased for rheumatoid arthritis (RA), osteoarthritis (OA) and gout, with EAPCs (95% CI) of -0.24 (-0.29 to -0.20), -0.09 (-0.13 to -0.05), 0.36 (0.28 to 0.43), 0.32 (0.28 to 0.36) and 0.22 (0.21 to 0.23), respectively. It appears women have higher increase in EAPC than men for RA (1.3 times) and gout (1.6 times). The absolute EAPC was strikingly high in high or high-middle sociodemographic index (SDI) regions for overall, LBP and gout, and in low SDI regions for NP. EAPC was significantly associated with baseline ASR for LBP (nonlinear), RA (ρ=-0.41) and gout (ρ=-0.42), also with 2017 human development index for LBP (ρ=-0.53) and gout (ρ=0.15).

CONCLUSIONS

Globally, MSK disorders remain a public health burden. The ASR is decreasing for MSK disorders overall, mainly in high-middle SDI regions, but increasing for RA, OA and gout.

Is the epidemiology of rheumatoid arthritis changing? Results from a population-based incidence study, 1985-2014

OBJECTIVES

To examine trends in the incidence of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) from 2005 to 2014 overall and by serological status as compared with 1995-2004 and 1985-1994.

METHODS

We evaluated RA incidence trends in a population-based inception cohort of individuals aged ≥18 years who first fulfilled the 1987 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria for RA between 1 January 1985 and 31 December 2014. Incidence rates were estimated and were age-adjusted and sex-adjusted to the white population in the USA in 2010. Trends in incidence were examined using Poisson regression methods.

RESULTS

The 2005-2014 incidence cohort comprised 427 patients: mean age 55.4 years, 68% female, 51% rheumatoid factor (RF) positive and 50% anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody positive. The overall age-adjusted and sex-adjusted annual RA incidence in 2005-2014 was 41/100 000 population (age-adjusted incidence: 53/100 000 in women and 29/100 000 in men). While these estimates were similar to the 1995-2004 decade, there was a decline in the incidence of RF-positive RA in 2005-2014 compared with the previous two decades (p=0.004), with a corresponding increase in RF-negative cases (p<0.001). Smoking rates declined and obesity rates increased from earlier decades to more recent years.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant increase in incidence of RF-negative RA and decrease in RF-positive RA in 2005-2014 compared with previous decades was found using 1987 ACR criteria. The incidence of RA overall during this period remained similar to the previous decade. The changing prevalence of environmental factors, such as smoking, obesity and others, may have contributed to these trends. Whether these trends represent a changing serological profile of RA requires further investigation.