Clinical examination following preoperative chemoradiation for rectal cancer is not a reliable surrogate end point

Prediction of Pathologic Complete Response for Rectal Cancer Based on Pretreatment Factors Using Machine Learning

BACKGROUND

Pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant therapy is an important prognostic indicator for locally advanced rectal cancer and may give insights into which patients might be treated nonoperatively in the future. Existing models for predicting pathologic complete response in the pretreatment setting are limited by small data sets and low accuracy.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to use machine learning to develop a more generalizable predictive model for pathologic complete response for locally advanced rectal cancer.

DESIGN

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgical resection were identified in the National Cancer Database from years 2010 to 2019 and were split into training, validation, and test sets. Machine learning techniques included random forest, gradient boosting, and artificial neural network. A logistic regression model was also created. Model performance was assessed using an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

SETTINGS

This study used a national, multicenter data set.

PATIENTS

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and proctectomy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Pathologic complete response defined as T0/xN0/x.

RESULTS

The data set included 53,684 patients. Pathologic complete response was experienced by 22.9% of patients. Gradient boosting showed the best performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.777 (95% CI, 0.773-0.781), compared with 0.684 (95% CI, 0.68-0.688) for logistic regression. The strongest predictors of pathologic complete response were no lymphovascular invasion, no perineural invasion, lower CEA, smaller size of tumor, and microsatellite stability. A concise model including the top 5 variables showed preserved performance.

LIMITATIONS

The models were not externally validated.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning techniques can be used to accurately predict pathologic complete response for locally advanced rectal cancer in the pretreatment setting. After fine-tuning a data set including patients treated nonoperatively, these models could help clinicians identify the appropriate candidates for a watch-and-wait strategy. See Video Abstract .

EL CNCER DE RECTO BASADA EN FACTORES PREVIOS AL TRATAMIENTO MEDIANTE EL APRENDIZAJE AUTOMTICO

ANTECEDENTES:La respuesta patológica completa después de la terapia neoadyuvante es un indicador pronóstico importante para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado y puede dar información sobre qué pacientes podrían ser tratados de forma no quirúrgica en el futuro. Los modelos existentes para predecir la respuesta patológica completa en el entorno previo al tratamiento están limitados por conjuntos de datos pequeños y baja precisión.OBJETIVO:Intentamos utilizar el aprendizaje automático para desarrollar un modelo predictivo más generalizable para la respuesta patológica completa para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado.DISEÑO:Los pacientes con cáncer de recto localmente avanzado que se sometieron a terapia neoadyuvante seguida de resección quirúrgica se identificaron en la Base de Datos Nacional del Cáncer de los años 2010 a 2019 y se dividieron en conjuntos de capacitación, validación y prueba. Las técnicas de aprendizaje automático incluyeron bosque aleatorio, aumento de gradiente y red neuronal artificial. También se creó un modelo de regresión logística. El rendimiento del modelo se evaluó utilizando el área bajo la curva característica operativa del receptor.ÁMBITO:Este estudio utilizó un conjunto de datos nacional multicéntrico.PACIENTES:Pacientes con cáncer de recto localmente avanzado sometidos a terapia neoadyuvante y proctectomía.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE VALORACIÓN:Respuesta patológica completa definida como T0/xN0/x.RESULTADOS:El conjunto de datos incluyó 53.684 pacientes. El 22,9% de los pacientes experimentaron una respuesta patológica completa. El refuerzo de gradiente mostró el mejor rendimiento con un área bajo la curva característica operativa del receptor de 0,777 (IC del 95%: 0,773 - 0,781), en comparación con 0,684 (IC del 95%: 0,68 - 0,688) para la regresión logística. Los predictores más fuertes de respuesta patológica completa fueron la ausencia de invasión linfovascular, la ausencia de invasión perineural, un CEA más bajo, un tamaño más pequeño del tumor y la estabilidad de los microsatélites. Un modelo conciso que incluye las cinco variables principales mostró un rendimiento preservado.LIMITACIONES:Los modelos no fueron validados externamente.CONCLUSIONES:Las técnicas de aprendizaje automático se pueden utilizar para predecir con precisión la respuesta patológica completa para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado en el entorno previo al tratamiento. Después de realizar ajustes en un conjunto de datos que incluye pacientes tratados de forma no quirúrgica, estos modelos podrían ayudar a los médicos a identificar a los candidatos adecuados para una estrategia de observar y esperar. (Traducción-Dr. Ingrid Melo ).

Clinical Tools for Rectal Cancer Response Assessment following Neoadjuvant Treatment in the Era of Organ Preservation

Local tumor response evaluation following neoadjuvant treatment(s) in rectal adenocarcinoma requires a multi-modality approach including physical and endoscopic evaluations, rectal protocoled MRI, and cross-sectional imaging. Clinical tumor response exists on a spectrum from complete clinical response (cCR), defined as the absence of clinical evidence of residual tumor, to near-complete response (nCR), which assumes a significant reduction in tumor burden but with increased uncertainty of residual microscopic disease, to incomplete clinical response (iCR), which incorporates all responses less than nCR that is not progressive disease. This article aims to review the clinical tools currently routinely available to evaluate treatment response and offers a potential management approach based on the extent of local tumor response.

Development and Validation of a Radiomics Model Based on Lymph-Node Regression Grading After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

PURPOSE

The response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) varies among patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), and the treatment response of lymph nodes (LNs) to nCRT is critical in implementing a watch-and-wait strategy. A robust predictive model may help personalize treatment plans to increase the chance that patients achieve a complete response. This study investigated whether radiomics features based on prenCRT magnetic resonance imaging nodes could predict treatment response in preoperative LARC LNs.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The study included 78 patients with clinical stage T3-T4, N1-2, and M0 rectal adenocarcinoma who received long-course neoadjuvant radiotherapy before surgery. Pathologists evaluated 243 LNs, of which 173 and 70 were assigned to training and validation cohorts, respectively. For each LN, 3641 radiomics features were extracted from the region of interest in high-resolution T2WI magnetic resonance imaging before nCRT. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used for feature selection and radiomics signature building. A prediction model based on multivariate logistic analysis, combining radiomics signature and selected LN morphologic characteristics, was developed and visualized by drawing a nomogram. The model's performance was assessed by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and calibration curves.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature consists of 5 selected features that were effectively discriminated within the training cohort (area under the curve [AUC], 0.908; 95% CI, 0.857%-0.958%) and the validation cohort (AUC, 0.865; 95% CI, 0.757%-0.973%). The nomogram, which consisted of radiomics signature and LN morphologic characteristics (short-axis diameter and border contours), showed better calibration and discrimination in the training and validation cohorts (AUC, 0.925; 95% CI, 0.880%-0.969% and AUC, 0.918; 95% CI, 0.854%-0.983%, respectively). The decision curve analysis confirmed that the nomogram had the highest clinical utility.

CONCLUSIONS

The nodal-based radiomics model effectively predicts LNs treatment response in patients with LARC after nCRT, which could help personalize treatment plans and guide the implementation of the watch-and-wait approach in these patients.

Total neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer: a narrative review

Locally advanced rectal cancer has traditionally been treated with chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy. However, a new strategy, total neoadjuvant therapy, involves the administration of CRT and neoadjuvant chemotherapy with the aim of eradicating micrometastases earlier and achieving greater control of the disease. The use of total neoadjuvant therapy has shown higher rates of pathological complete response and resectability compared with CRT, including improved survival. Nevertheless, distant relapse is the main cause of morbidity and mortality in locally advanced rectal cancer. To address this, new biomarkers are being developed to predict disease response.

Limits of Clinical Restaging in Detecting Responders After Neoadjuvant Therapies for Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Accurate clinical restaging is required to select patients who respond to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer and who may benefit from an organ preservation strategy.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to review our experience with the clinical restaging of rectal cancer after neoadjuvant therapy to assess its accuracy in detecting major and pathological complete response to treatment.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

This study was conducted at 2 high-volume Italian centers for Colorectal Surgery.

PATIENTS

Data were included from all consecutive patients who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and surgery for locally advanced rectal cancer from January 2012 to July 2020. Criteria to define clinical response were no palpable mass, a superficial ulcer <2 cm (major response), or no mucosal abnormality (complete response) at endoscopy and no metastatic nodes at MRI.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The main outcome measures were sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values, and negative predictive values of clinical restaging in detecting pathological complete response (ypT0) or major pathological response (ypT0-1) after neoadjuvant therapy.

RESULTS

A total of 333 patients were included; 81 (24.3%) had a complete response whereas 115 (34.5%) had a pathological major response. Accuracy for clinical complete response was 80.8% and for major clinical response was 72.9%. Sensitivity was low for both clinical complete response (37.5%) in detecting ypT0 and clinical major response (59.3%) in detecting ypT0-1. Positive predictive value was 68.2% for ypT0 and 60.4% for ypT0-1.

LIMITATIONS

The main limitation of the study its retrospective nature.

CONCLUSION

Accuracy of actual clinical criteria to define pathological complete response or pathological major response is poor. Failure to achieve good sensitivity and precision is a major limiting factor in the clinical setting. Current clinical assessments need to be revised to account for indications for rectal preservation after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/C63 .

LMITES DE LA REESTADIFICACIN CLNICA EN LA DETECCIN DE RESPONDEDORES DESPUS DE TERAPIAS NEOADYUVANTES PARA EL CNCER DE RECTO

ANTECEDENTES:Se requiere una nueva reestadificación clínica precisa para seleccionar pacientes que respondan a la quimiorradioterapia neoadyuvante para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado y que puedan beneficiarse de una estrategia de preservación de órganos.OBJETIVO:El propósito de este estudio fue revisar nuestra experiencia con la reestadificación clínica del cáncer de recto después de la terapia neoadyuvante para evaluar su precisión en la detección de una respuesta patológica importante y completa al tratamiento.DISEÑO:Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo.AJUSTE:Este estudio se realizó en dos centros italianos de alto volumen para cirugía colorrectal.PACIENTES:Incluimos datos de todos los pacientes consecutivos que se sometieron a terapia neoadyuvante y cirugía por cáncer de recto localmente avanzado desde enero de 2012 hasta julio de 2020. Los criterios para definir la respuesta clínica fueron ausencia de masa palpable, úlcera superficial <2 cm (respuesta mayor) o ausencia de anomalías en la mucosa. (respuesta completa) en la endoscopia, y sin ganglios metastásicos en la resonancia magnética.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Exploramos la sensibilidad, la especificidad, los valores predictivos positivos y negativos de la reestadificación clínica para detectar una respuesta patológica completa (ypT0) o mayor (ypT0-1) después de la terapia neoadyuvante.RESULTADOS:Se incluyeron 333 pacientes; 81 (24,3%) tuvieron una respuesta completa mientras que 115 (34,5%) tuvieron una respuesta patológica mayor. La precisión de la respuesta clínica completa y la respuesta clínica importante fue del 80,8 % y el 72,9 %, respectivamente. La sensibilidad fue baja tanto para la respuesta clínica completa (37,5 %) en la detección de ypT0 como para la respuesta clínica mayor (59,3 %) en la detección de ypT0-1. El valor predictivo positivo fue del 68,2 % para ypT0 y del 60,4 % para ypT0-1.LIMITACIONES:Nuestro estudio tiene como principal limitación su carácter retrospectivo.CONCLUSIÓNES:La precisión de los criterios clínicos reales para definir una respuesta patológica completa o mayor es pobre. El hecho de no lograr una buena sensibilidad y precisión es un factor limitante importante en el entorno clínico. La indicación para la preservación rectal después de la quimiorradioterapia neoadyuvante necesita una mejora de la evaluación clínica actual. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/C63 . (Traducción-Dr. Mauricio Santamaria ).

New Opportunities for Minimizing Toxicity in Rectal Cancer Management

Advances in multimodal management of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), consisting of preoperative chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy followed by surgery with or without adjuvant chemotherapy, have improved local disease control and patient survival but are associated with significant risk for acute and long-term morbidity. Recently published trials, evaluating treatment dose intensification via the addition of preoperative induction or consolidation chemotherapy (total neoadjuvant therapy [TNT]), have demonstrated improved tumor response rates while maintaining acceptable toxicity. In addition, TNT has led to an increased number of patients achieving a clinical complete response and thus eligible to pursue a nonoperative, organ-preserving, watch and wait approach, thereby avoiding toxicities associated with surgery, such as bowel dysfunction and stoma-related complications. Ongoing trials using immune checkpoint inhibitors in patients with mismatch repair-deficient tumors suggest that this subgroup of patients with LARC could potentially be treated with immunotherapy alone, sparing them the toxicity associated with preoperative treatment and surgery. However, the majority of rectal cancers are mismatch repair-proficient and less responsive to immune checkpoint inhibitors and require multimodal management. The synergy noted in preclinical studies between immunotherapy and radiotherapy on immunogenic tumor cell death has led to the design of ongoing clinical trials that explore the benefit of combining radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and immunotherapy (mainly of immune checkpoint inhibitors) and aim to increase the number of patients eligible for organ preservation.

Deep learning based on co-registered ultrasound and photoacoustic imaging improves the assessment of rectal cancer treatment response

Identifying complete response (CR) after rectal cancer preoperative treatment is critical to deciding subsequent management. Imaging techniques, including endorectal ultrasound and MRI, have been investigated but have low negative predictive values. By imaging post-treatment vascular normalization using photoacoustic microscopy, we hypothesize that co-registered ultrasound and photoacoustic imaging will better identify complete responders. In this study, we used in vivo data from 21 patients to develop a robust deep learning model (US-PAM DenseNet) based on co-registered dual-modality ultrasound (US) and photoacoustic microscopy (PAM) images and individualized normal reference images. We tested the model's accuracy in differentiating malignant from non-cancer tissue. Compared to models based on US alone (classification accuracy 82.9 ± 1.3%, AUC 0.917(95%CI: 0.897-0.937)), the addition of PAM and normal reference images improved the model performance significantly (accuracy 92.4 ± 0.6%, AUC 0.968(95%CI: 0.960-0.976)) without increasing model complexity. Additionally, while US models could not reliably differentiate images of cancer from those of normalized tissue with complete treatment response, US-PAM DenseNet made accurate predictions from these images. For use in the clinical settings, US-PAM DenseNet was extended to classify entire US-PAM B-scans through sequential ROI classification. Finally, to help focus surgical evaluation in real time, we computed attention heat maps from the model predictions to highlight suspicious cancer regions. We conclude that US-PAM DenseNet could improve the clinical care of rectal cancer patients by identifying complete responders with higher accuracy than current imaging techniques.

Utility of Circulating Free DNA Fragmentomics in the Prediction of Pathological Response after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

A "Watch and Wait" (W&W) approach has become an alternative to surgery for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). Precise prediction of pathological complete response (pCR) will improve patient selection for W&W. We investigated the utility of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) fragmentomics in predicting pCR.

METHODS

We recruited 119 LARC patients and evaluated nCRT response by pCR status and pathological or MRI tumor regression grade (mrTRG). Plasma samples before, during, and after nCRT were applied to deep targeted-panel sequencing, with 103 patients having complete samples. cfDNA fragment and 5'-end motif profiles were used to construct elastic-net logistic regression models to predict non-pCR. Predictive performance was measured by area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, the model based on 5'-end motif profile plus mrTRG achieved the highest cross-validation AUC (0.92, 95% CI, 0.91-0.93). The AUC in a testing cohort was 0.96 (95% CI, 0.90-1.00). The models based on 5'-end motif profile alone or in combination with mrTRG both maintained good predictive ability for patients without detectable circulating tumor DNA (AUC 0.94, 95% CI, 0.93-0.95; AUC 0.95, 95% CI, 0.94-0.96). In an external validation cohort, the model trained with a local 5'-end motif profile obtained an AUC of 0.878 (95% CI, 0.801-0.956) in discriminating colorectal cancer from healthy subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of a 5'-end motif profile with mrTRG has the potential to predict the response to nCRT, and therefore may improve the patient selection for a W&W approach.

Feasibility study of a Response Surveillance Program in locally advanced mid and low rectal cancer to increase organ preservation

BACKGROUND

Assessment of tumor response in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant treatment by MRI (Tumour Regression Grade, TRG 1-5) is well standardized. The overall timing and method of defining complete response (cCR) remain controversial. The aim of this work was to evaluate the feasibility of a defined Response Surveillance Program (RSP) to increase organ preservation for locally advanced rectal cancer after neoadjuvant treatment.

METHODS

A standardized program of clinical (CR), radiological (RR) and metabolic (MR) assessment of tumor response is defined over a 6 month period from completion of NACRT with formal assessment performed every 2 months (M). Patients with TRG1-3 at M2 and TRG1-2 at M4 continue in the program up to M6 assessment. Patients managed with this protocol from 2016 to 2020 were analyzed. The primary endpoint was rectal preservation rate. Secondary endpoints included disease-free survival and overall survival at 3 years.

RESULT

314 potentially suitable patients were enrolled in the RSP and 50 patients completed the six month program and were successfully enrolled into watch and wait. Fourteen (28%) were T2 tumor stage, 27 (54%) T3 and nine (18%) were T4. During watch and wait, patients with locoregional recurrence (n = 11) were treated with local excision (n = 3), endocavitary radiotherapy (n = 1), TME (n = 5) and APR (n = 2). With a median follow-up of 32 months, the rectal preservation rate was 88%, with a 3-year disease-free survival of 67% and an overall survival of 98%.

CONCLUSION

This study validates the feasibility of the practical implementation of a Response Surveillance Program to increase organ preservation rates without compromising oncological outcomes in rectal cancer.

Rectal MRI radiomics inter- and intra-reader reliability: should we worry about that?

PURPOSE

The aim of this review paper is to summarize the current literature regarding inter- and intra-reader reliability of radiomics on rectal MRI.

METHODS

Original studies examining treatment response prediction in patients with rectal cancer following neoadjuvant therapy using rectal MRI-based radiomics between January 2010 and December 2021 were identified via a PubMed/Medline search. Studies in which intra- and/or inter-reader reliability had been reported were included in this review.

RESULTS

Thirteen studies were selected, with an average number of patients of 145 (range, 20-649). All included studies evaluated T2-weighted imaging (T2WI) and/or diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) sequences, while 3/13 (23%) also evaluated the contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging (T1WI) sequence. Most of the selected studies involved two readers (10/13, 77%), 6/13 (46%) studies used baseline MRI only, 1/13 (8%) study used restaging MRI only, and 6/13 (46%) used both. Segmentation was performed manually in 10/13 (77%) studies, and in a slight majority of studies (7/13, 54%), the entire tumor volume (3D VOI) was segmented, while 4/13 (31%) studies segmented the 2D ROI and 2/13 (15%) segmented both. Intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) on intra-reader agreement varied from 0.73 to 0.93. ICC to assess inter-reader varied from 0.60 to 0.99. Overall, features obtained from baseline rectal MRI, using 3D VOI and first-order features, had higher agreement.

CONCLUSION

Based on our qualitative assessment of a small number of non-dedicated studies, there seems to be good reliability, particularly among low-order features extracted from the entire tumor volume using baseline MRI; however, direct evidence remains scarce. More targeted research in this area is required to quantitatively verify reliability, and before these novel radiomic techniques can be clinically adopted.

The Multimodal Management of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: Making Sense of the New Data

In the past 40 years, the treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer has evolved with the addition of radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy and providing (neo)adjuvant systemic chemotherapy to major surgery. However, recent trends have focused on improving our ability to risk-stratify patients and tailoring treatment to achieve the best oncologic outcome while limiting the impact on long-term quality of life. Therefore, there has been increasing interest in pursuing a watch-and-wait approach to achieve organ preservation. Several retro- and prospective studies suggest safety of the watch-and-wait approach, though it is still considered controversial due to limited clinical evidence, concerns about tumor regrowth, and subsequent distant progression. To further reduce treatment, MRI risk stratification, together with patient characteristics and patient preferences, can guide personalized treatment and reserve radiation and chemotherapy for a select patient population. Ultimately, improved options for reassessment during neoadjuvant treatment may allow for more adaptive therapy options based on treatment response. This article provides an overview of some major developments in the multimodal treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer. It reviews some relevant, controversial issues of the watch-and-wait approach and opportunities to personally tailor and reduce treatment. It also reviews the overall neoadjuvant treatment, including total neoadjuvant therapy trials, and how to best optimize for a potential complete response. Finally, it provides an algorithm as an example of how such a personalized, tailored, adaptive, and reduced treatment could look like in the future.

Endoscopy-Based Deep Convolutional Neural Network Predicts Response to Neoadjuvant Treatment for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Background and Aims: Although the wait and watch (W&W) strategy is a treatment choice for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients who achieve clinical complete response (cCR) after neoadjuvant therapy (NT), the issue on consistency between cCR and pathological CR (pCR) remains unsettled. Herein, we aimed to develop a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) model using endoscopic images of LARC patients after NT to distinguish tumor regression grade (TRG) 0 from non-TRG0, thus providing strength in identifying surgery candidates. Methods: A total of 1000 LARC patients (6,939 endoscopic images) who underwent radical surgery after NT from April 2013 to April 2021 at the Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University were retrospectively included in our study. Patients were divided into three cohorts in chronological order: the training set for constructing the model, the validation set, and the independent test set for validating its predictive capability. Besides, we compared the model's performance with that of three endoscopists on a class-balanced, randomly selected subset of 20 patients' LARC images (10 TRG0 patients with 70 images and 10 non-TRG0 patients with 72 images). The measures used to evaluate the efficacy for identifying TRG0 included overall accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results: There were 219 (21.9%) cases of TRG0 in the included patients. The constructed DCNN model in the training set obtained an excellent performance with good accuracy of 94.21%, specificity of 94.39%, NPV of 98.11%, and AUROC of 0.94. The validation set showed accuracy, specificity, NPV, and AUROC of 92.13%, 93.04%, 96.69%, and 0.95, respectively; the corresponding values in the independent set were 87.14%, 92.98%, 91.37%, and 0.77, respectively. In the reader study, the model outperformed the three experienced endoscopists with an AUROC of 0.85. Conclusions: The proposed DCNN model achieved high specificity and NPV in detecting TRG0 LARC tumors after NT, with a better performance than experienced endoscopists. As a supplement to radiological images, this model may serve as a useful tool for identifying surgery candidates in LARC patients after NT.

Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: What We Learned in the Last Two Decades and the Future Perspectives

The advancement in surgical techniques, optimization of systemic chemoradiotherapy, and development of refined diagnostic and imaging modalities have brought a phenomenal shift in the treatment of the locally advanced rectal cancer. Although each therapeutic option has shown substantial progress in their field, it is finding their ideal amalgamation which has baffled the clinician and researchers alike. In the effort to identifying the perfect salutary treatment plan, we have even shifted our attention from the trimodal approach to non-operative "watchful waiting" to more recent individualized care. In this article, we acknowledge the scientific progress in the management of locally advanced rectal cancer and compare the opportunities as well as the obstacles while implementing them clinically. We also explore the current challenges and controversies surrounding the multidisciplinary approach and highlight the new trends and recent advances with an ultimate goal to improve the patients' quality of life.

Predicting stage ypT0–1N0 for nonradical management in patients with middle or low rectal cancer who undergo neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a retrospective cohort study

Purpose

It is important to discover predictive factors that can identify rectal cancer patients who will respond well to neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) to develop management strategies, preserve sphincter and avoid over-treatment. This study explored clinical factors that would predict the adequacy of nonradical management after CCRT in patients with middle or low rectal cancer.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated 447 patients with middle or low rectal cancer who were treated with curative surgery after neoadjuvant CCRT between January 2010 and December 2019. The good response group comprised patients with stages ypT0–1N0 on resection after CCRT; the remaining patients were included in the poor response group.

Results

Of 447 patients (mean age, 60.37 ± 11.85 years), 108 (24.2%) had ypT0–1N0 (71.3% with ypT0N0, 4.6% with ypTisN0, and 24.1% with ypT1N0). Overall, 19 patients with cT1–2 (50.0% vs. 21.8% with cT3–4, P < 0.001), 22 with well-differentiated tumors (51.2% vs. 21.3% with moderately/poorly differentiated tumors, P < 0.001), 16 with fungating tumors (47.1% vs. 22.3% with other types, P = 0.001), and 66 with anterior/posterior circumference direction (28.9% vs. 19.2% with lateral/encircling direction, P = 0.016) had stage ypT0–1N0. On multivariable analysis, cT1–2 (P = 0.021) and well-differentiated tumor (P = 0.001) were independent predictors of ypT0–1N0. Fungating tumors were not significantly associated with ypT0–1N0 (P = 0.054).

Conclusion

Stage cT1–2 and well differentiation are predictors of ypT0–1N0, while fungating tumors could be considered clinically meaningful, possibly identifying candidates for nonradical treatment post-CCRT.

A multicentre cohort study assessing the utility of routine blood tests as adjuncts to identify complete responders in rectal cancer following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

Management of rectal cancer with a complete clinical response (cCR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) is controversial. Some advocate "watch and wait" programmes and organ-preserving surgery. Central to these strategies is the ability to accurately preoperatively distinguish cCR from residual disease (RD). We sought to identify if post-NACRT (preoperative) inflammatory markers act as an adjunct to MRI and endoscopy findings for distinguishing cCR from RD in rectal cancer.

METHODS

Patients from three specialist rectal cancer centres were screened for inclusion (2010-2015). For inclusion, patients were required to have completed NACRT, had a post-NACRT MRI (to assess mrTRG) and proceeded to total mesorectal excision (TME). Endoluminal response was assessed on endoscopy at 6-8 weeks post-NACRT. Pathological response to therapy was calculated using a three-point tumour regression grade system (TRG1-3). Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), serum albumin (SAL), CEA and CA19-9 levels post-NACRT (preoperatively) were recorded. Variables were compared between those who had RD on post-operative pathology and those with ypCR. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS (version 21).

RESULTS

Six hundred forty-six patients were screened, of which 422 were suitable for inclusion. A cCR rate of 25.5% (n = 123) was observed. Sixty patients who achieved cCR were excluded from final analysis as they underwent organ-preserving surgery (local excision) leaving 63 ypCR patients compared to 359 with RD. On multivariate analysis, combining cCR on MRI and endoscopy with NLR < 5 demonstrated the greatest odds of ypCR on final histological assessment [OR 6.503 (1.594-11.652]) p < 0.001]. This method had the best diagnostic accuracy (AUC = 0.962 95% CI 0.936-0.987), compared to MRI (AUC = 0.711 95% CI 0.650-0.773) or endoscopy (AUC = 0.857 95% CI 0.811-0.902) alone or used together (AUC = 0.926 95% CI 0.892-0.961).

CONCLUSION

Combining post-NACRT inflammatory markers with restaging MRI and endoscopy findings adds another avenue to aid distinguishing RD from cCR in rectal cancer.

Rectal cancer: Maximizing local control and minimizing toxicity

Adoption of multimodality treatment approach for rectal cancer has resulted in significant improvements in oncologic outcomes. The roles of chemotherapy, radiation, and surgery in rectal cancer treatment are continuously evolving with the goal of achieving the best possible oncologic and functional outcome while minimizing treatment toxicity. The aim of this review is to summarize the most recent trials focusing on organ-sparing treatment strategies and the optimal selection of patients for neoadjuvant radiation therapy.

Pathological Complete Response After Neoadjuvant Therapy in Rectal Adenocarcinoma: a 5-Year Follow-up

Neoadjuvant therapy is the gold standard treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer. It may induce complete sterilization of tumor cell and decreases its local recurrence rate. While 15–20% of patients were found to have pathological complete response (pCR) with combined multimodal therapy, Asian data were generally scarce. pCR rate can indicate the suitability of applying the “watch-and-wait” strategy, which advocates deferment of surgery that can alleviate surgery-associated morbidity.To determine the percentage of pCR of rectal cancer after neoadjuvant therapy. Patients diagnosed with rectal cancer underwent treatment from 2013 to 2017 were retrieved retrospectively. Demographic data, tumor localization, pre- and post-operative pathological reports, neoadjuvant therapy, and pCR status were collected from patients’ records. A total of 242 out of 259 patients were treated with definitive rectal surgery. Mean age was 67.1 years old. Chinese ethnicity and male gender were predominant (n = 131, 54.1% and n = 146, 64.3% respectively). More than half (n = 124, 51.2%) had tumor located at mid or low rectum. Histologically, moderate differentiated adenocarcinoma was predominant (n = 227, 93.8%). Merely half (n = 123, 50.8%) of the patients received neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy, but only 12 (9.8%) had a pCR. From follow-up on these 12 pCR patients, most had 2-year disease-free survival but 1 (8.3%) of the pCR had distant metastasis within 1-year post-surgery. The pathological complete response rate in our center was lower than reported. Stringent patient selection with close follow-up for patients should be carried out if the “watch-and-wait” strategy is implemented in our population.

Endoscopic and MRI response evaluation following neoadjuvant treatment for rectal cancer: a pictorial review with matched MRI, endoscopic, and pathologic examples

A nonoperative management strategy, or Watch-and-Wait, following neoadjuvant therapies of locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma is increasingly considered for select patients. Yet, standardized tumor response assessment to best select and surveil suitable patients remains an unmet clinical challenge. Endoscopic and MRI currently provide the most reliable tumor response estimations. However, resources illustrating variable tumor responses to neoadjuvant therapies remain limited. This pictorial review aims to provide detailed and annotated examples of common endoscopic and MRI findings of rectal cancer treatment response, while also emphasizing their respective diagnostic shortcomings and consequently, the necessity for a multidisciplinary approach to optimally manage these patients.

Radical surgery versus organ preservation via short-course radiotherapy followed by transanal endoscopic microsurgery for early-stage rectal cancer (TREC): a randomised, open-label feasibility study

BACKGROUND

Radical surgery via total mesorectal excision might not be the optimal first-line treatment for early-stage rectal cancer. An organ-preserving strategy with selective total mesorectal excision could reduce the adverse effects of treatment without substantially compromising oncological outcomes. We investigated the feasibility of recruiting patients to a randomised trial comparing an organ-preserving strategy with total mesorectal excision.

METHODS

TREC was a randomised, open-label feasibility study done at 21 tertiary referral centres in the UK. Eligible participants were aged 18 years or older with rectal adenocarcinoma, staged T2 or lower, with a maximum diameter of 30 mm or less; patients with lymph node involvement or metastases were excluded. Patients were randomly allocated (1:1) by use of a computer-based randomisation service to undergo organ preservation with short-course radiotherapy followed by transanal endoscopic microsurgery after 8-10 weeks, or total mesorectal excision. Where the transanal endoscopic microsurgery specimen showed histopathological features associated with an increased risk of local recurrence, patients were considered for planned early conversion to total mesorectal excision. A non-randomised prospective registry captured patients for whom randomisation was considered inappropriate, because of a strong clinical indication for one treatment group. The primary endpoint was cumulative randomisation at 12, 18, and 24 months. Secondary outcomes evaluated safety, efficacy, and health-related quality of life assessed with the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) QLQ C30 and CR29 in the intention-to-treat population. This trial is registered with the ISRCTN Registry, ISRCTN14422743.

FINDINGS

Between Feb 22, 2012, and Dec 19, 2014, 55 patients were randomly assigned at 15 sites; 27 to organ preservation and 28 to radical surgery. Cumulatively, 18 patients had been randomly assigned at 12 months, 31 at 18 months, and 39 at 24 months. No patients died within 30 days of initial treatment, but one patient randomly assigned to organ preservation died within 6 months following conversion to total mesorectal excision with anastomotic leakage. Eight (30%) of 27 patients randomly assigned to organ preservation were converted to total mesorectal excision. Serious adverse events were reported in four (15%) of 27 patients randomly assigned to organ preservation versus 11 (39%) of 28 randomly assigned to total mesorectal excision (p=0·04, χ2 test). Serious adverse events associated with organ preservation were most commonly due to rectal bleeding or pain following transanal endoscopic microsurgery (reported in three cases). Radical total mesorectal excision was associated with medical and surgical complications including anastomotic leakage (two patients), kidney injury (two patients), cardiac arrest (one patient), and pneumonia (two patients). Histopathological features that would be considered to be associated with increased risk of tumour recurrence if observed after transanal endoscopic microsurgery alone were present in 16 (59%) of 27 patients randomly assigned to organ preservation, versus 24 (86%) of 28 randomly assigned to total mesorectal excision (p=0·03, χ2 test). Eight (30%) of 27 patients assigned to organ preservation achieved a complete response to radiotherapy. Patients who were randomly assigned to organ preservation showed improvements in patient-reported bowel toxicities and quality of life and function scores in multiple items compared to those who were randomly assigned to total mesorectal excision, which were sustained over 36 months' follow-up. The non-randomised registry comprised 61 patients who underwent organ preservation and seven who underwent radical surgery. Non-randomised patients who underwent organ preservation were older than randomised patients and more likely to have life-limiting comorbidities. Serious adverse events occurred in ten (16%) of 61 non-randomised patients who underwent organ preservation versus one (14%) of seven who underwent total mesorectal excision. 24 (39%) of 61 non-randomised patients who underwent organ preservation had high-risk histopathological features, while 25 (41%) of 61 achieved a complete response. Overall, organ preservation was achieved in 19 (70%) of 27 randomised patients and 56 (92%) of 61 non-randomised patients.

INTERPRETATION

Short-course radiotherapy followed by transanal endoscopic microsurgery achieves high levels of organ preservation, with relatively low morbidity and indications of improved quality of life. These data support the use of organ preservation for patients considered unsuitable for primary total mesorectal excision due to the short-term risks associated with this surgery, and support further evaluation of short-course radiotherapy to achieve organ preservation in patients considered fit for total mesorectal excision. Larger randomised studies, such as the ongoing STAR-TREC study, are needed to more precisely determine oncological outcomes following different organ preservation treatment schedules.

FUNDING

Cancer Research UK.

Advances in the treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer

Locally advanced rectal cancer requires multidisciplinary care. In the United States, most patients are treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation delivered over 25‐28 days, total mesorectal excision, and 4 months of adjuvant chemotherapy. While effective, this trimodal approach is arduous. Alternative approaches have emerged to streamline treatment without sacrificing oncologic outcomes. These approaches include preoperative chemotherapy with selective use of radiation, short‐course radiotherapy delivered over 5 days, and total neoadjuvant therapy with attempted nonoperative organ‐preserving management (watch and wait). Ongoing trials are assessing the efficacies of these approaches in combination with various risk stratification strategies.

Organ Preservation in Rectal Cancer

A proportion of patients with rectal cancer who undergo neoadjuvant treatment end up with a complete pathological response. Because these patients have excellent oncological outcomes, many have questioned if surgical treatment in this population constitutes overtreatment. There is growing interest in watch and wait with selective organ preservation for rectal cancer patients. We review the fundamentals and key considerations of this approach including patient selection, available treatment regimens, assessment of response, long-term monitoring of response, and long-term oncological and functional outcomes.

How to measure tumour response in rectal cancer? An explanation of discrepancies and suggestions for improvement

Various methods categorize tumour response after neoadjuvant therapy, including down-staging and tumour regression grading. Response categories allow comparison of different treatments within clinical trials and predict outcome. A reproducible response categorization could identify subgroups with high or low risk for the most appropriate subsequent treatments, like watch and wait. Lack of standardization and interpretation difficulties currently limit the usability of these approaches. In this review we describe these difficulties for the evaluation of chemoradiation in rectal cancer. An alternative approach of tumour response is based on patterns of residual disease, including fragmentation. We summarise the evidence behind this alternative method of response categorisation, which explains a number of very relevant clinical discrepancies. These issues include differences between downstaging and tumour regression, high local regrowth in advanced tumours during watchful waiting procedures, the importance of resection margins, the limited value of post-treatment biopsies and the relatively poor outcome of patients with a near complete pathological response. Recognition of these patterns of response can allow meaningful development of novel biomarkers in the future.

Radiomics Model Based on Non-Contrast CT Shows No Predictive Power for Complete Pathological Response in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

(1) Background: About 15% of the patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiation for locally advanced rectal cancer exhibit pathological complete response (pCR). The surgical approach is associated with major risks as well as a potential negative impact on quality of life and has been questioned in the past. Still, there is no evidence of a reliable clinical or radiological surrogate marker for pCR. This study aims to replicate previously reported response predictions on the basis of non-contrast CT scans on an independent patient cohort. (2) Methods: A total of 169 consecutive patients (126 males, 43 females) that underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiation and consecutive total mesorectal excision were included. The solid tumors were segmented on CT scans acquired on the same scanner for treatment planning. To quantify intratumoral 3D spatial heterogeneity, 1819 radiomics parameters were derived per case. Feature selection and algorithmic modeling were performed to classify pCR vs. non-pCR cases. A random forest model was trained on the dataset using 4-fold cross-validation. (3) Results: The model achieved an accuracy of 87%, higher than previously reported. Correction for the imbalanced distribution of pCR and non-PCR cases (13% and 87% respectively) was applied, yielding a balanced accuracy score of 0.5%. An additional experiment to classify a computer-generated random data sample using the same model led to comparable results. (4) Conclusions: There is no evidence of added value of a radiomics model based on on-contrast CT scans for prediction of pCR in rectal cancer. The imbalance of the target variable could be identified as a key issue, leading to a biased model and optimistic predictions.

Radiomics features on radiotherapy treatment planning CT can predict patient survival in locally advanced rectal cancer patients

This retrospective study was to investigate whether radiomics feature come from radiotherapy treatment planning CT can predict prognosis in locally advanced rectal cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by surgery. Four-hundred-eleven locally advanced rectal cancer patients which were treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation enrolled in this study. All patients’ radiotherapy treatment planning CTs were collected. Tumor was delineated on these CTs by physicians. An in-house radiomics software was used to calculate 271 radiomics features. The results of test-retest and contour-recontour studies were used to filter stable radiomics (Spearman correlation coefficient > 0.7). Twenty-one radiomics features were final enrolled. The performance of prediction model with the radiomics or clinical features were calculated. The clinical outcomes include local control, distant control, disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Model performance C-index was evaluated by C-index. Patients are divided into two groups by cluster results. The results of chi-square test revealed that the radiomics feature cluster is independent of clinical features. Patients have significant differences in OS (p = 0.032, log rank test) for these two groups. By supervised modeling, radiomics features can improve the prediction power of OS from 0.672 [0.617 0.728] with clinical features only to 0.730 [0.658 0.801]. In conclusion, the radiomics features from radiotherapy CT can potentially predict OS for locally advanced rectal cancer patients with neoadjuvant chemoradiation treatment.

"Watch and Wait" for complete clinical response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer

The management of rectal cancer has evolved substantially over recent decades, becoming increasingly complex. This was once a disease associated with high mortality and limited treatment options that typically necessitated a permanent colostomy, has now become a model for multidisciplinary evaluation, treatment and surgical advancement. Despite advances in the rates of total mesorectal excision, decreased local recurrence and increased 5-year survival rates, the multimodal treatment of rectal cancer is associated with a significant impact on long-term functional and quality of life outcomes including risks of bowel, bladder and sexual dysfunction, and potential need for a permanent stoma. There is great interest in strategies to decrease the toxicity of treatment, including selective use of radiation, chemotherapy or even surgery. The modern concept of selective use of surgery for patients with rectal cancer are based on the observed pathological complete response in approximately 10-20% of patients following long-course chemoradiation therapy. While definitive surgical resection remains the standard of care for all patients with non-metastatic rectal cancer, a growing number of studies are providing supportive evidence for a watch-and-wait, organ preserving approach in highly selected patients with rectal cancer. However, questions regarding the heterogeneity of patient selection, optimal method for inducing pathological complete response, methods and intervals for assessing treatment response and adequacy of follow-up remain unanswered. The aim of this review is to provide an up-to-date summary of the current evidence for the watch-and-wait management of rectal cancer following a complete clinical response after neoadjuvant chemoradiation.

Combination Assessment of Clinical Complete Response of Patients With Rectal Cancer Following Chemoradiotherapy With Endoscopy and Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Purpose

The response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for rectal cancer can be assessed using digital rectal examination, endoscopy and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Precise assessment of clinical complete response (CR) after CRT is essential when deciding between optimizing surgery or organ-preserving treatment. The objectives of this study were to correlate the CR finding in endoscopy and MRI with pathologic CR and to determine the appropriate approach for combining endoscopy and MRI to predict the pathologic CR in patients with rectal cancer after neoadjuvant CRT.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 102 patients with rectal cancer who underwent endoscopy and MRI at 2–4 weeks after CRT. We assigned a confidence level (1–4) for the endoscopic and MRI assessments. Accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were analyzed based on the endoscopy, MRI, and combination method findings. Diagnostic modalities were compared using the likelihood ratios.

Results

Of 102 patients, 17 (16.7%) had a CR. The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity for the prediction CR of endoscopy with biopsy were 85.3%, 52.9%, and 91.8%, while those of MRI were 91.2%, 70.6%, and 95.3%, and those of combined endoscopy and MRI were 89.2%, 52.9%, and 96.5%, respectively. No significant differences were noted in the sensitivity and specificity of any each modality. The prediction rate for CR of the combination method was 92.6% after the posttest probability test.

Conclusion

Our study demonstrated that combining the interpretation of endoscopy with biopsy and MRI could provide a good prediction rate for CR in patients with rectal cancer after CRT.

The risk of nodal disease in patients with pathological complete responses after neoadjuvant chemoradiation for rectal cancer: a systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression

BACKGROUND

This systematic review and meta-analysis seek to evaluate the prevalence of nodal disease in rectal cancer patients with pathological complete responses (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (ypT0N+).

METHODS

This study conformed to the PRISMA guidelines. A search was performed on major databases to identify relevant articles. Meta-analyses of pooled proportions were performed on rectal cancer with pCR and ypT0N+. Meta-regression was undertaken to identify sources of heterogeneity, and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was employed to assess the risk of bias.

RESULTS

A total of 18 studies were included, totaling 7568 patients. The overall risk of bias was low, since all studies scored 6 and above out of 9 on the NOS. Preoperatively, the pooled proportions of patients with T3/T4 tumors and clinically positive nodal disease were 84.08% (95% CI 74.19 to 91.99%) and 52.14% (95% CI 35.02 to 69.00%) respectively. The prevalence of pCR in the whole pool was 18.52% (95% CI 13.31 to 24.35%; I² = 93.85%; P = 0.00), and meta-regression showed a significantly negative relationship with patient age (β = - 0.03, 95% CI - 0.03 to - 0.02; P = 0.00). The pooled prevalence of ypT0N+ was 4.61% (95% CI 2.41 to 7.28%; I² = 52.27%; P = 0.01), and meta-regression demonstrated a significantly positive relationship with male gender (β = 1.06, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.12; P = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

There is a small risk of ypN+ in patients with pCR after neoadjuvant CRT and surgery for rectal cancer. However, further research is warranted to establish these findings and to identify predictive factors for this specific group of patients.

Endoscopy and magnetic resonance imaging-based prediction of ypT stage in patients with rectal cancer who received chemoradiotherapy: Results from a prospective study of 110 patients

Accurate tumor response determination remains inconclusive after preoperative chemoradiation therapy (CRT) for rectal cancer. This study aimed to investigate whether clinical assessment, such as endoscopy and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), can accurately predict ypT stage and select candidates for pelvic organ-preserving surgery in rectal cancer after preoperative CRT. A total of 110 patients who underwent preoperative CRT followed by curative resection for rectal cancer were prospectively enrolled. Magnetic resonance tumor regression grade (mrTRG) using T2-MRI, endoscopic evaluation, and combination modality (combination of endoscopy and mrTRG) were used to analyze tumor response after preoperative CRT. Endoscopic findings were categorized as 3 grades and the mrTRG was assessed into 5 grades. Twenty-nine patients (26.4%) had achieved pathologic complete response. When predicting ypT0, endoscopy showed significantly higher area under the curve (AUC 0.818) than did mrTRG (AUC 0.568) and combination modality (AUC 0.768) in differentiating good response from poor response (P < .001). Both endoscopy and combination modality showed significantly higher diagnostic performance in sensitivity (79.31%), positive predictive value (PPV 67.65%), negative predictive value (NPV 92.11%), and accuracy (84.55%) than those of MR tumor response (sensitivity 37.93%, PPV 36.67%, NPV 77.50%, and accuracy 66.36%) for the prediction of ypT0 (P < .001). Combination modality showed significantly higher diagnostic performance in sensitivity (56.92%), NPV (56.92%), and accuracy (67.27%) compared with those of mrTRG. Neither endoscopy, nor mrTRG, nor the combination modality had adequate diagnostic performances to be clinically acceptable in selecting candidates for nonoperative treatment strategies. However, endoscopy may be incorporated in clinical restaging strategy in planning the extent of surgical resection in patients with rectal cancer.

[Evidence-based surgery of rectal cancer]

Over the past four decades, the treatment algorithms for rectal cancer have fundamentally changed, which resulted in a considerable improvement of oncological outcomes. In this context, the surgical concept of total mesorectal excision and the implementation of multimodal treatment strategies represent key milestones. These improvements were complemented by a standardized histopathological work-up of the surgical specimen and the introduction of high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) diagnostics. In addition, novel surgical techniques have been introduced, such as laparoscopic and robotic rectal resection. Other technological innovations include intraoperative pelvic neuromonitoring and fluorescence imaging. This review highlights the current evidence for selected, sometimes controversially discussed principles of surgical treatment strategies in rectal cancer.

Non-operative management of rectal cancer: understanding tumor biology

The management of locally-advanced rectal cancer involves a combination of chemotherapy, chemoradiation, and surgical resection to provide excellent local tumor control and overall survival. However, aspects of this multimodality approach are associated with significant morbidity and long-term sequelae. In addition, there is growing evidence that patients with a clinical complete response to chemotherapy and chemoradiation treatments may be safely offered initial non-operative management in a rigorous surveillance program. Weighed against the morbidity and significant sequelae of rectal resection, recognizing how to best optimize non-operative strategies without compromising oncologic outcomes is critical to our understanding and treatment of this disease.

Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocyte Function Predicts Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Purpose

The presence of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in tumors is superior to conventional pathologic staging in predicting patient outcome. However, their presence does not define TIL functionality. Here we developed an assay that tests TIL cytotoxicity in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer before definitive treatment, identifying those who will obtain a pathologic complete response (pCR). We also used the assay to demonstrate the rescue of TIL function after checkpoint inhibition blockade (CIB).

Patients and Methods

Thirty-four consecutive patients were identified initially, with successful completion of the assay before surgery in those 17 patients who underwent full treatment. An in vitro cytotoxic assay of rectal cancer tumoroids cocultured with patient-matched TILs was established and validated. Newly diagnosed patients were recruited with pretreatment biopsy specimens processed within 1 month. Evaluation of TIL-mediated tumoroid lysis was performed by measuring the mean fluorescence intensity of cell death marker, propidium iodide. CIB (anti–programmed cell death protein 1 [anti–PD-1] antibody) response was also assessed in a subset of patient specimens.

Results

Six of the 17 patients achieved an objective pCR on final evaluation of the resected specimen after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Cytotoxic killing identified the pCR group with a higher mean fluorescence intensity (27,982 [95% CI, 25,340 to 30,625]) compared with the non-pCR cohort (12,428 [95% CI, 9,434 to 15,423]; p < .001). Assessment of the effectiveness of CIB revealed partial restoration of cytotoxicity in TILs with increased PD-1 expression with anti–PD-1 antibody exposure.

Conclusion

Evaluating TIL function can be undertaken within weeks of the diagnostic biopsy, affording the potential to alter patient management decisions and refine selection for a watch-and-wait protocol. This cytotoxic assay also has the potential to serve as a platform to assist in the additional development of CIB.

Value of adding dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI visual assessment to conventional MRI and clinical assessment in the diagnosis of complete tumour response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer

PURPOSE

To determine if DCE-MRI adds diagnostic value to the combined use of T2WI and DWI-MRI in the determination of clinical complete response (cCR) after neoadjuvant treatment (NAT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

In this IRB-approved, HIPAA-compliant retrospective study, response was assessed using a 5-point confidence score by T2WI and DWI-MRI only ('standard MRI'), then with addition of DCE-MRI. Review of digital rectal exams and endoscopy notes produced a clinical overall response score. The reference standard was CR by histopathology or cCR determined after a minimum of 18 months' follow-up. Diagnostic accuracy and ROC curves were calculated for standard MRI and added DCE-MRI (to detect complete or good response), for clinical evaluation (to detect CR) and for MRI and clinical methods combined.

RESULTS

Of 65 patients undergoing NAT, 20 had cCR (31%). Sensitivity, specificity and area under the ROC (AUC) were 0.55, 0.87 and 0.69 for clinical evaluation; 0.42, 0.77 and 0.66 for standard MRI, and 0.53, 0.76 and 0.68 for added DCE-MRI, respectively. Combined clinical evaluation and standard MRI with DCE-MRI resulted in the highest specificity of 0.96 and highest AUC of 0.72.

CONCLUSION

For the assessment of cCR after neoadjuvant therapy using clinical and multi-sequence MRI reading strategies, the addition of DCE-MRI increased specificity and PPV, but not significantly.

KEY POINTS

• The addition of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI to standard MRI, including DWI-MRI, may not significantly improve accuracy of response assessment in rectal cancer treatment. • Clinical assessment consisting of digital rectal examination and endoscopy is the most accurate standalone test to assess response to chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer. • Combining MRI using DWI and DCE with the clinical assessment may potentially improve the accuracy for response assessment in rectal cancer.

Can Endorectal Ultrasound, MRI, and Mucosa Integrity Accurately Predict the Complete Response for Mid-Low Rectal Cancer After Preoperative Chemoradiation? A Prospective Observational Study from a Single Medical Center

BACKGROUND

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer could be managed by a watch-and-wait approach if they achieve clinical complete response after preoperative chemoradiotherapy. Mucosal integrity, endorectal ultrasound, and rectal MRI are used to evaluate clinical complete response; however, the accuracy remains questionable. Clinical practice based on those assessment methods needs more data and discussion.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this prospective study was to evaluate the accuracy of mucosal integrity, endorectal ultrasound, and rectal MRI to predict clinical complete response after chemoradiotherapy.

DESIGN

Endorectal ultrasound and rectal MRI were undertaken 6 to 7 weeks after preoperative chemoradiation therapy. Patients then received radical surgery based on the principles of total mesorectal excision. Preoperative tumor staging achieved by endorectal ultrasound and rectal MRI was compared with postoperative staging by pathologic examination. Sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of each evaluation method were calculated.

SETTINGS

The study was conducted at a single tertiary care center.

PATIENTS

Patients diagnosed with mid-low rectal cancer by biopsy between May 2014 and December 2016 were enrolled in this study.

RESULTS

A total of 124 patients were enrolled in this study, and postoperative pathology revealed that 20 patients (16.13%) achieved complete response (ypT0N0). The sensitivity of mucosal integrity, endorectal ultrasound, and MRI to predict clinical complete response was 25%. The specificity of mucosal integrity, endorectal ultrasound, and MRI was 94.23%, 93.90%, and 93.27%. The combination of each 2 or all 3 methods did not improve accuracy. Regression analysis showed that none of these methods could predict postoperative ypT0.

LIMITATIONS

The sample size is small, and we did not focus on the follow-up data and cannot compare prognosis data with previous research studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Both single-method and combined mucosal integrity, endorectal ultrasound, and rectal MRI have poor correlation with postoperative pathologic examination. A watch-and-wait approach based on these methods might not be a proper strategy compared with radical surgery after neoadjuvant therapy. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A693.

Observation of "complete clinical response" in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiation: The Flinders experience

AIM

Observation with close follow-up ("watch and wait") is a recognized treatment option in patients who achieve a complete clinical response to long course chemoradiotherapy. This review of a prospective database aims to evaluate the clinical outcomes among patients with a complete clinical response managed with observation.

METHODS

A prospective study of 32 patients who achieved a complete clinical response was undertaken. The primary outcomes measured were overall and recurrence-free survival, and rate of organ preservation in patients who deferred immediate surgery.

RESULTS

Seven patients developed local regrowth over a median follow-up period of 38 months (range, 9-91 months). Median time to detection was 12 months. All seven underwent salvage surgery with complete surgical clearance. One patient developed combined local and systemic recurrence following a low anterior resection. Organ preservation was possible in 25 (78%) patients who sustained a complete clinical response with no evidence of local regrowth or disease recurrence. Among the patients who sustained a complete response, two developed isolated systemic disease. Overall and recurrence-free survival was 95.7% and 87.0%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The majority of patients with rectal cancer who achieved a complete clinical response after chemoradiotherapy and managed with a "watch and wait" approach preserved their rectum and did not develop cancer relapse. Salvage surgery was achieved in all patients who developed local regrowth. The study supports a period of observation in rectal cancer patients who achieve a complete clinical response.

Endoscopic assessment of tumor regression after preoperative chemoradiotherapy as a prognostic marker in locally advanced rectal cancer

PURPOSE

This study was designed to evaluate tumor regression endoscopic criteria for predicting the post-chemoradiotherapy (CRT) prognosis of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A total of 425 patients with rectal cancer who received radical surgery after CRT were included in this study. All patients were divided into two groups according to post-CRT preoperative endoscopic findings: 1) good response (E-GR): scar, telangiectasia, or erythema; 2) minimal or no response (E-MR): nodules, ulcers, strictures, or remnant tumor. Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze the effect of preoperative clinicopathological variables on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

The independent prognostic factors for DFS were tumor location less than 5 cm from anal verge (hazard ratio [HR] 1.92, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.27 to 2.88), pre-CRT carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) > 5 ng/mL (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.41 to 3.14), histologic high grade (HR 2.96, 95% CI 1.51 to 5.81), and E-GR (HR 0.26, 95% CI 0.08 to 0.83). The independent prognostic factors for OS were age over 65 years, tumor location, pre-CRT CEA, histologic grade, and E-GR (HR 0.13, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.99).

CONCLUSIONS

Post-CRT endoscopic findings were predictors of prognosis in patients with rectal cancer. If endoscopic findings are simultaneously used with certain preoperative prognostic factors, rectal cancer patients will potentially have more treatment options.

A watch-and-wait approach for locally advanced rectal cancer after a clinical complete response following neoadjuvant chemoradiation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

A watch-and-wait approach for patients with clinical complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation could avoid the morbidity of conventional surgery for rectal cancer. However, the safety of this approach is unclear. We synthesised the evidence for watch-and-wait as a treatment for rectal cancer.

METHODS

We systematically searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the grey literature (up to June 28, 2016) for studies of patients with rectal adenocarcinoma managed by watch-and-wait after complete clinical response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation. We determined the proportion of 2-year local regrowth after watch-and-wait. We assessed non-regrowth recurrence, cancer-specific mortality, disease-free survival, and overall survival from studies comparing patients who had watch-and-wait versus those who had radical surgery after detection of clinical complete response or versus patients with pathological complete response.

FINDINGS

We identified 23 studies including 867 patients with median follow-up of 12-68 months. Pooled 2-year local regrowth was 15·7% (95% CI 11·8-20·1); 95·4% (95% CI 89·6-99·3) of patients with regrowth had salvage therapies. There was no significant difference between patients managed with watch-and-wait after a clinical complete response and patients with pathological complete response identified at resection with respect to non-regrowth recurrence (risk ratio [RR] 1·46, 95% CI 0·70-3·05) or cancer-specific mortality (RR 0·87, 95% CI 0·38-1·99). Although there was no significant difference in overall survival between groups (hazard ratio [HR] 0·73, 95% CI 0·35-1·51), disease-free survival was better in the surgery group (HR 0·47, 95% CI 0·28-0·78). We found no significant difference between patients managed with watch-and-wait and patients with clinical complete response treated with surgery in terms of non-regrowth recurrence (RR 0·58, 95% CI 0·18-1·90), cancer-specific mortality (RR 0·58, 95% CI 0·06-5·84), disease-free survival (HR 0·56, 95% CI 0·20-1·60), or overall survival (HR 3·91, 95% CI 0·57-26·72).

INTERPRETATION

Most patients treated by watch-and-wait avoid radical surgery and of those who have regrowth almost all have salvage therapy. Although we detected no significant differences in non-regrowth cancer recurrence or overall survival in patients treated with watch-and-wait versus surgery, few patients have been studied and more prospective studies are needed to confirm long-term safety.

FUNDING

None.

Investigation of volumetric apparent diffusion coefficient histogram analysis for assessing complete response and clinical outcomes following pre-operative chemoradiation treatment for rectal carcinoma

PURPOSE

To investigate the relationship of pre-treatment volumetric apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) histogram parameters with post-operative histopathologic treatment response and clinical outcomes following pre-operative chemoradiation treatment (CRT) in rectal cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In a Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act compliant retrospective study, 78 rectal cancer patients treated with pre-operative CRT and rectal MRI were included. MR imaging analysis was performed using OncoTREAT (software tool). Multiple volumetric ADC histogram parameters (voxel distribution across ADC ranges, kurtosis, and skewness) were assessed. Correlation was made to post-operative pathological complete response, clinical, or radiological evidence of disease progression using the Mann-Whitney test.

RESULTS

Post CRT, 8 patients showed pathologic complete response and 13 patients showed distant disease progression. Pre-treatment mean ADC was 1.2 × 10^-3 mm²/s (range 0.3-1.99 × 10^-3 mm²/s). Mean kurtosis measured was 0.56 (range -1 to 6; SD 1.36). Mean skewness was 0.3 (range -1 to 2; SD 0.69). Skewness had significant correlation (p value = 0.006) with disease progression. The mean rectal tumor volume was 24cc (range 1cc-134cc). Pre-treatment MRI tumor volume showed significant correlation (p value = 0.013) with pathologic complete response. Mean ADC and percentage voxels distribution against ADC ranges had no significant correlation with treatment response or disease outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Volumetric ADC histogram analysis of pre-CRT rectal cancer MRI appears promising for prediction of post-CRT complete response and disease progression.

Organ preservation with local excision or active surveillance following chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Organ preservation has been proposed as an alternative to radical surgery for rectal cancer to reduce morbidity and mortality, and to improve functional outcome.

METHODS

Locally advanced non-metastatic rectal cancers were identified from a prospective database. Patients staged ⩾T3 or any stage N+ were referred for neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) (50-54 Gy and 5-fluorouracil), and were reassessed 6-8 weeks post treatment. An active surveillance programme ('watch and wait') was offered to patients who were found to have a complete endoluminal response. Transanal excision was performed in patients who were found to have an objective clinical response and in whom a residual ulcer measured ⩽3 cm. Patients were followed up clinically, endoscopically and radiologically to assess for local recurrence or disease progression.

RESULTS

Of 785 patients with rectal cancer between 2005 and 2015, 362 had non-metastatic locally advanced tumours treated with neoadjuvant CRT. Sixty out of three hundred and sixty-two (16.5%) patients were treated with organ-preserving strategies - 10 with 'watch and wait' and 50 by transanal excision. Fifteen patients were referred for salvage total mesorectal excision post local excision owing to adverse pathological findings. There was no significant difference in overall survival (85.6% vs 93.3%, P=0.414) or disease-free survival rate (78.3% vs 80%, P=0.846) when the outcomes of radical surgery were compared with organ preservation. Tumour regrowth occurred in 4 out of 45 (8.9%) patients who had organ preservation.

CONCLUSIONS

Organ preservation for locally advanced rectal cancer is feasible for selected patients who achieve an objective endoluminal response to neoadjuvant CRT. Transanal excision defines the pathological response and refines decision-making.

Wait-and-see or radical surgery for rectal cancer patients with a clinical complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a cohort study

A wait-and-see policy might be considered instead of surgery for rectal cancer patients with no residual tumor or involved lymph nodes on imaging or endoscopy after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (clinical complete response, cCR). In this cohort study, we compared the oncologic outcomes of rectal cancer patients with a cCR who were managed according to a wait-and-see policy (observation group) or with surgery (surgery group). In the observation group, follow-up was performed every 3 months for the first year and consisted of MRI, endoscopy with biopsy, computed tomography and transrectal ultrasonography. In the surgery group, patients received radical surgery. Long-term oncologic outcomes were estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves. Thirty patients were enrolled in the observation group (median follow-up, 60 months; range, 18-100 months), and 92 patients were enrolled in the surgery group (median follow-up, 58 months; range, 18-109 months). The 5-year disease free survival and overall survival rates were similar in the two groups: 90.0% vs. 94.3% (P = 0.932) and 100.0% vs. 95.6% (P = 0.912), respectively. We conclude that for rectal cancer patients with a cCR after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, a wait-and-see policy with strict selection criteria, follow-up and salvage treatments achieves outcomes at least as good as radical surgery. Additionally, we declare that the pCR (pathologic complete regression) and non-pCR subgroups of patients with a cCR have similar long-term failure (local recurrence and/or distant metastasis) rate.

Pathologic Complete Response in Rectal Cancer: Can We Detect It? Lessons Learned From a Proposed Randomized Trial of Watch-and-Wait Treatment of Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Chemoradiotherapy has the potential to downsize and downstage tumors before surgery, decrease locoregional recurrence, and induce a complete sterilization of tumor cells for middle and low locally advanced rectal cancer. A watch-and-wait tactic has been proposed for patients with clinical complete response.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to verify our ability to identify complete clinical response in patients with rectal cancer based on clinical and radiologic criteria.

DESIGN

This was a prospective study.

SETTINGS

The study was conducted at a single institution, in the setting of a watch-and-wait randomized trial.

PATIENTS

Consecutive patients with stage T3 to T4N0M0 or T(any)N+M0 cancer located within 10 cm from anal verge or T2N0 within 7 cm from anal verge were included in the study. Patients were staged and restaged 8 weeks after completion of chemoradiation (5-fluorouracil, 5040 cGy) by digital examination, colonoscopy, pelvic MRI, and thorax and abdominal CT scans.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Clinical and radiologic judgments of tumor response were compared with pathologic response of patients treated by total mesorectal excision or clinical follow-up of patients selected for nonoperative treatment.

RESULTS

A total of 118 patients were treated. Six patients were considered clinic complete responders (2 randomly assigned for surgery (1 ypT0N0 and 1 ypT2N0) and 4 patients randomly assigned for observation (3 sustained clinic complete response and 1 had tumor regrowth)). The 112 clinic incomplete responders underwent total mesorectal excision, and 18 revealed pathologic complete response. These 18 patients were not considered complete responders at restaging because they presented at least 1 of the following conditions: mucosal ulceration and/or deformity and/or substenosis of rectal lumen at digital rectal examination and colonoscopy (n = 16), ymrT1 to T4 (n = 16), ymrN+ (n = 2), involvement of circumferential resection margin on MRI (n = 3), extramural vascular invasion on MRI (n = 4), MRI tumor response grade 2 to 4 (n = 15), and pelvic side wall lymph node involvement on MRI (n = 1). Sensitivity for identification of ypT0N0 or sustained clinic complete response was 18.2%.

LIMITATIONS

This study has a short follow-up and small sample size. Radiologists who reviewed the restaging examination were not blinded to the pretreatment stage. Only 1 radiologist read the images of each patient.

CONCLUSIONS

Evaluation of clinic complete response according to current adopted criteria has low sensitivity because pathologic complete response more frequently presented as clinic incomplete response (see Video, Supplemental Digital Content 1, http://links.lww.com/DCR/A221).

KRAS and Combined KRAS/TP53 Mutations in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer are Independently Associated with Decreased Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy

BACKGROUND

The response of rectal cancers to neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) is variable, but tools to predict response remain lacking. We evaluated whether KRAS and TP53 mutations are associated with pathologic complete response (pCR) and lymph node metastasis after adjusting for neoadjuvant regimen.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of 229 pretreatment biopsies from patients with stage II/III rectal cancer was performed. All patients received CRT. Patients received 0-8 cycles of FOLFOX either before or after CRT, but prior to surgical excision. A subset was analyzed to assess concordance between mutation calls by Sanger Sequencing and a next-generation assay.

RESULTS

A total of 96 tumors (42 %) had KRAS mutation, 150 had TP53 mutation (66 %), and 59 (26 %) had both. Following neoadjuvant therapy, 59 patients (26 %) achieved pCR. Of 133 KRAS wild-type tumors, 45 (34 %) had pCR, compared with 14 of 96 (15 %) KRAS mutant tumors (p = .001). KRAS mutation remained independently associated with a lower pCR rate on multivariable analysis after adjusting for clinical stage, CRT-to-surgery interval and cycles of FOLFOX (OR 0.34; 95 % CI 0.17-0.66, p < .01). Of 29 patients with KRAS G12V or G13D, only 2 (7 %) achieved pCR. Tumors with both KRAS and TP53 mutation were associated with lymph node metastasis. The concordance between platforms was high for KRAS (40 of 43, 93 %).

CONCLUSIONS

KRAS mutation is independently associated with a lower pCR rate in locally advanced rectal cancer after adjusting for variations in neoadjuvant regimen. Genomic data can potentially be used to select patients for "watch and wait" strategies.

Definitive Chemoradiotherapy ("Watch-and-Wait" Approach)

Preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by total mesorectal excision has been the standard of care for locally advanced patients with rectal cancer. Some patients achieve a pathologic complete response (pCR) to CRT and the oncologic outcomes are particularly favorable in this group. The role of surgery in patients with a pCR is now being questioned as radical rectal resection is associated with significant morbidity and long-term effects on quality of life. In an attempt to better tailor therapy, there is an interest in a "watch-and-wait" approach in patients who have a clinical complete response (cCR) after CRT with the goal of omitting surgery and allowing for organ preservation. However, a cCR does not always indicate a pCR, and improved clinical and imaging modalities are needed to better predict which patients have achieved a pCR and therefore can safely undergo a "watch-and-wait" approach. This article reviews the current data on nonoperative management and on-going controversies associated with this approach.

Complete radiotherapy response in rectal cancer: A review of the evidence

Complete response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer is becoming a common clinical entity. Techniques to diagnose complete response and how to survey these patients without operative intervention are still unclear. We review the most recent evidence. Barriers to firm conclusions regarding this are heterogeneity of diagnostic definitions, differing surveillance protocols, and a lack of randomised studies.

Update on advances and controversy in rectal cancer treatment

Changes in the multidisciplinary treatment of rectal cancer have been recently proposed. We performed a comprehensive review of the current data on neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatment of rectal cancer, focussing on chemoradiotherapy treatment and timing of surgery. Six components were proposed as the framework for the treatment of rectal cancer: neoadjuvant therapy and changing patterns in patient selection, long- or short-course radiotherapy, adverse effects of radiotherapy, timing of surgery, non-operative management of rectal cancer and postoperative adjuvant therapy. Lack of a consistent difference in terms of local recurrence has been observed between short-course radiotherapy and long-course chemoradiotherapy. Indications for preoperative radiotherapy have been reconsidered in the last years. An interval of 10-11 weeks seemed to be the optimal timing, with no impact on patient safety. Since assessment criteria of clinical complete response are not well defined, and the basis for non-operative management of rectal cancer is still not clear, further investigations are required. There is controversy about standard treatments for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer that are being analyzed by ongoing studies. Tailored treatments could avoid over-treatment for a large number of patients without any impairment of the oncologic results.