Incidence of atrial fibrillation detected by implantable loop recorders in unexplained stroke

The incidence of atrial fibrillation detected by implantable loop recorders: a comparison between patients with and without embolic stroke of undetermined source

Aims

Stroke is the most debilitating outcome of atrial fibrillation (AF). The use of implantable loop recorders increases the detection of AF episodes among patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. The significance of device-detected AF, or subclinical AF, is unknown. This study aimed to compare the incidence of AF detected by implantable loop recorder in patients with and without embolic stroke of undetermined source.

Methods and results

We retrospectively studied all patients without known AF who were referred to our institution for implantable loop recorder implantation following embolic stroke of undetermined source, syncope, or palpitations from March 2009 to November 2019. The primary endpoint was any detection of AF or atrial flutter by implantable loop recorder. Seven hundred and fifty patients were included and followed up for a mean duration of 731 days (SD 443). An implantable loop recorder was implanted following embolic stroke of undetermined source in 323 and for assessment of syncope, palpitations, or another reason in 427 patients. The incidence of AF was significantly (P < 0.001) higher among patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source compared with the non-embolic stroke of undetermined source group; 48.6% vs. 13.8% (for any duration of AF) and 32.2% vs. 12.4% (for AF lasting ≥30 s) both P < 0.001. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly higher incidence of AF for incremental durations of AF up to >5.5 h, but not >24 h. This was driven by longest AF durations of <6 min and between 5.5 h and 24 h, suggesting a bimodal distribution. In a multivariable Cox regression analysis, embolic stroke of undetermined source independently conferred an almost 5-fold increase in the hazard for any duration of AF.

Conclusion

The incidence of AF is significantly higher amongst embolic stroke of undetermined source vs. non-embolic stroke of undetermined source patients monitored constantly by an implantable loop recorder. A high number of embolic stroke of undetermined source survivors have short-duration AF episodes. Further work is needed to determine the optimal treatment strategy of these AF episodes in embolic stroke of undetermined source.

The Usefulness of Outpatient Cardiac Telemetry in Patients with Cryptogenic Stroke

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF), apart from non-stenotic supracardiac atherosclerosis and neoplastic disease, is the leading cause of cryptogenic stroke, including embolic stroke of un-determined source (ESUS). The aim of our study was to determine the prevalence of AF in ESUS patients based on 30-day telemetric heart rate monitoring initiated within three months after stroke onset. Another aim was to identify factors that increase the likelihood of detecting subsequent AF among ESUS patients. Material and Methods: patients with first-ever stroke classified as per the ESUS definition were eligible for this study. All patients underwent outpatient 30-day telemetric heart rate monitoring. Results: In the period between 2020 and 2022, 145 patients were included. The mean age of all qualified patients was 54; 40% of eligible patients were female. Six patients (4.14%), mostly male patients (4 vs. 2), were diagnosed with AF within the study period. In each case, the diagnosis related to a patient whose stroke occurred in the course of large vessel occlusion. Episodes of AF were detected between day 1 and 25 after starting ECG monitoring. Out of the analyzed parameters that increase the probability of, A.F.; only supraventricular extrasystoles proved to be an independent factor regarding an increased risk of AF [OR 1.046, CI 95% 1.016-1.071, p-value < 0.01]. Conclusions: The use of telemetry heart rhythm monitoring in an outpatient setting can detect AF in 4% of ESUS patients who have undergone prior diagnostic procedures for cardiogenic embolism. Supraventricular extrasystoles significantly increases the likelihood of AF detection in patients with ESUS within three months following stroke. Comorbid coronary artery disease, diabetes and hypertension, rather than a single-factor clinical burden, increase the likelihood of AF detection in older ESUS patients. ESUS in the course of large vessel occlusion is probably associated with an increased likelihood of cardiogenic embolism.

Machine Learning Modeling to Predict Atrial Fibrillation Detection in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source Patients

BACKGROUND

In patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), occult atrial fibrillation (AF) has been implicated as a key source of cardioembolism. However, only a minority acquire implantable cardiac loop recorders (ILRs) to detect occult paroxysmal AF, partly due to financial cost and procedural inconvenience. Without the initiation of appropriate anticoagulation, these patients are at risk of increased ischemic stroke recurrence. Hence, cost-effective and accurate methods of predicting AF in ESUS patients are highly sought after.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to incorporate clinical and echocardiography data into machine learning (ML) algorithms for AF prediction on ILRs in ESUS.

METHODS

This was a single-center cohort study that included 157 consecutive patients diagnosed with ESUS from October 2014 to October 2017 who had ILR evaluation. We developed four ML models, with hyperparameters tuned, to predict AF detection on an ILR.

RESULTS

The median age of the cohort was 67 (IQR 59-74) years old and the median monitoring duration was 1051 (IQR 478-1287) days. Of the 157 patients, 32 (20.4%) had occult AF detected on the ILR. Support vector machine predicted for AF with a 95% confidence interval area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.736-0.737, multilayer perceptron with an AUC of 0.697-0.708, XGBoost with an AUC of 0.697-0.697, and random forest with an AUC of 0.663-0.674. ML feature importance found that age, HDL-C, and admitting heart rate were important non-echocardiography variables, while peak mitral A-wave velocity and left atrial volume were important echocardiography parameters aiding this prediction.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning modeling incorporating clinical and echocardiographic variables predicted AF in ESUS patients with moderate accuracy.

Predictors of atrial fibrillation detection in embolic stroke of undetermined source patients with implantable loop recorder

Background

Covert atrial fibrillation (AF) is a predominant aetiology of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Evidence suggested that AF is more frequently detected by implantable loop recorder (ILR) than by conventional monitoring. However, the predictive factors associated with occult AF detected using ILRs are not well established yet. In this study we aim to investigate the predictors of AF detection in patients with ESUS undergoing an ILR.

Methods

This observational multi-centre study included consecutive ESUS patients who underwent ILR implantation. The infarcts were divided in deep, cortical infarcts or both. The infarction sites were categorized as anterior and middle cerebral artery, posterior cerebral artery with and without brainstem/cerebellum involvement. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate variables associated with AF detection.

Results

Overall, 3,000 patients were initially identified. However, in total, 127 patients who consecutively underwent ILR implantation were included in our analysis. AF was detected in 33 (26%) out of 127 patients. The median follow-up was 411 days. There were no significant differences in clinical characteristics and comorbidities between patients with and without AF detected. AF was detected more often after posterior cerebral artery infarct with brainstem/cerebellum involvement (p < 0.001) whereas less often after infarction in the anterior and middle cerebral artery (p = 0.021). Multivariable regression analysis demonstrated that posterior cerebral artery infarct with brainstem/cerebellum involvement was an independent predictor of AF detection.

Conclusion

Our study showed that posterior circulation infarcts with brainstem/cerebellum involvement are associated with AF detection in ESUS patients undergoing ILR. Larger prospective studies are needed to validate our findings.

ECG predictors of AF: A systematic review (predicting AF in ischaemic stroke-PrAFIS)

In 25% of patients presenting with embolic stroke, a cause is not determined. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a commonly identified mechanism of stroke in this population, particularly in older patients. Conventional investigations are used to detect AF, but can we predict AF in this population and generally? We performed a systematic review to identify potential predictors of AF on 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG).

METHOD

We conducted a search of EMBASE and Medline databases for prospective and retrospective cohorts, meta-analyses or case-control studies of ECG abnormalities in sinus rhythm predicting subsequent atrial fibrillation. We assessed quality of studies based on the Newcastle-Ottawa scale and data were extracted according to PRISMA guidelines.

RESULTS

We identified 44 studies based on our criteria. ECG patterns that predicted the risk of developing AF included interatrial block, P-wave terminal force lead V1, P-wave dispersion, abnormal P-wave-axis, abnormal P-wave amplitude, prolonged PR interval, left ventricular hypertrophy, QT prolongation, ST-T segment abnormalities and atrial premature beats. Furthermore, we identified that factors such as increased age, high CHADS-VASC, chronic renal disease further increase the positive-predictive value of some of these parameters. Several of these have been successfully incorporated into clinical scoring systems to predict AF.

CONCLUSION

There are several ECG abnormalities that can predict AF both independently, and with improved predictive value when combined with clinical risk factors, and if incorporated into clinical risk scores. Improved and validated predictive models could streamline selection of patients for cardiac monitoring and initiation of oral anticoagulants.

Atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source: role of advanced imaging of left atrial function

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is detected in over 30% of patients following an embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) when monitored with an implantable loop recorder (ILR). Identifying AF in ESUS survivors has significant therapeutic implications, and AF risk is essential to guide screening with long-term monitoring. The present study aimed to establish the role of left atrial (LA) function in subsequent AF identification and develop a risk model for AF in ESUS.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted a single-centre retrospective case-control study including all patients with ESUS referred to our institution for ILR implantation from December 2009 to September 2019. We recorded clinical variables at baseline and analysed transthoracic echocardiograms in sinus rhythm. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed to inform variables associated with AF. Lasso regression analysis was used to develop a risk prediction model for AF. The risk model was internally validated using bootstrapping. Three hundred and twenty-three patients with ESUS underwent ILR implantation. In the ESUS population, 293 had a stroke, whereas 30 had suffered a transient ischaemic attack as adjudicated by a senior stroke physician. Atrial fibrillation of any duration was detected in 47.1%. The mean follow-up was 710 days. Following lasso regression with backwards elimination, we combined increasing lateral PA (the time interval from the beginning of the P wave on the surface electrocardiogram to the beginning of the A' wave on pulsed wave tissue Doppler of the lateral mitral annulus) [odds ratio (OR) 1.011], increasing Age (OR 1.035), higher Diastolic blood pressure (OR 1.027), and abnormal LA reservoir Strain (OR 0.973) into a new PADS score. The probability of identifying AF can be estimated using the formula. Model discrimination was good [area under the curve (AUC) 0.72]. The PADS score was internally validated using bootstrapping with 1000 samples of 150 patients showing consistent results with an AUC of 0.73.

CONCLUSION

The novel PADS score can identify the risk of AF on prolonged monitoring with ILR following ESUS and should be considered a dedicated risk stratification tool for decision-making regarding the screening strategy for AF in stroke.

Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation (PFA) Detection With Cardiac Monitoring Devices Implanted by Neurologists in Patients With Embolic Strokes of Undetermined Source (ESUS)

Introduction Ischemic stroke is among the leading causes of death and disability. Approximately 50% of cryptogenic strokes are embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS). The most common cause of ESUS is atrial fibrillation. Therefore, the detection of atrial fibrillation with long-term implantable devices is needed. Neurologists are directly involved with acute and post-acute stroke care and have direct access to the management of stroke patients. Therefore, there is a need for neurologists to recommend, implant, and monitor cardiac implantable devices in patients with ESUS. Methods From November 2022 to October 2023, our group implanted 32 ESUS patients with Confirm Rx™ insertable cardiac monitors (Abbott, USA). Atrial fibrillation detection was supervised and monitored daily. Results In 24 months, atrial fibrillation was detected in 12.5% of patients (four patients), sinus bradycardia in 6.25% of patients (two patients), paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia in 9.4% of patients (three patients), and asystole in one patient. Conclusion Our study shows that neurologists involved in the treatment of stroke care can safely implant, monitor, and detect atrial fibrillation accurately. Our rate of detection of atrial fibrillation in patients with ESUS was 12.8%, which is consistent with prior studies.

Predictive Value of Supraventricular Short Runs for New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Ischemic Stroke

Background

The clinical importance of supraventricular run (SVR) is uncertain in the management of patients with previous cerebrovascular events. We aim to evaluate the role of SVRs in the development of future atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated patients who underwent 24-h Holter monitoring for the evaluation of possible AF after ischemic cerebrovascular events. The presence and duration of SVR were noted. Subsequent diagnosis of AF was searched in patients with sinus rhythm.

Results

A total of 694 patients were included in the analysis. SVR was detected in 104 (14.9%) patients in the study group. Seventy-one (10.2%) patients were diagnosed with AF in the follow-up. SVRs were more prevalent among patients with AF (P < 0.001). The median atrial run duration was 5.96 (2.02-17.84) s in the AF absent group vs. 8.76 (3.78-17.62) s in the AF present group (P < 0.001). The best predictive cut-off duration of an atrial run was 8 s (sensitivity = 61.5% and specificity = 74.4%, Area Under Curve (AUC) = 0.708). Cox regression analysis showed that age (odds ratio [OR]: 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-1.060, P = 0.020), presence of short supraventricular run (OR: 2.53, 95% CI 1.40-4.57, P = 0.002), and left atrial diameter (OR: 1.13 95% CI: 1.07-1.19, P < 0.001) were the independent predictors of AF development in the follow-up.

Conclusion

Age, left atrial diameter, and the presence of SVRs are associated with an increased risk of future AF after ischemic stroke. SVR duration may be an important parameter in risk stratification.

Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Embolic Stroke of Unknown Etiology and Implantable Loop Recorders-Further Insights of the TRACK AF Study on the Role of ECG and Echocardiography

Aims-Electrocardiography (ECG) and echocardiographic left atrial (LA) parameters may be helpful to assess the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in embolic stroke of unknown etiology (ESUS) and could therefore guide intensity of ECG monitoring. Methods-1153 consecutive patients with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) were analyzed. An internal loop recorder (ILR) was implanted in 104 consecutive patients with ESUS. Multiple morphologic P-wave parameters in baseline 12-channel ECG and echocardiographic LA parameters were measured and analyzed in patients with and without ILR-detected AF. Using logistic regression, we evaluated the predictive value of several ECG parameters and LA dimensions on the occurrence of AF. Results-In 20 of 104 (19%) patients, AF was diagnosed by ILR during a mean monitoring time of 575 (IQR 470-580) days. Patients with AF were significantly older (72 (67-75) vs. 60 (52-72) years; p = 0.001) and premature atrial contractions (PAC) were more frequently observed (40% vs. 2%; p < 0.001) during baseline ECG. All morphologic P-wave parameters did not show a significant difference between groups. There was a non-significant trend towards a larger LA volume index (31 (24-36) vs. 29 (25-37) mL/m2; p = 0.09) in AF patients. Conclusions-Age and PAC are independently associated with incident AF in ESUS and could be used as markers for selecting patients that may benefit from more extensive rhythm monitoring or ILR implantation. In our consecutive cohort of patients with ESUS, neither morphological P-wave parameters nor LA size were predictive of AF.

Device-detected atrial fibrillation in a large remote-monitored cohort: implications for anticoagulation and need for new pathways of service delivery

BACKGROUND

Remote monitoring (RM) can facilitate early detection of subclinical and symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF), providing an opportunity to evaluate the need for stroke prevention therapies. We aimed to characterize the burden of RM AF alerts and its impact on anticoagulation of patients with device-detected AF.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with a cardiac implantable electronic device, at least one AF episode, undergoing RM were included and assigned an estimated minimum CHA2DS2-VASc score based on age and device type. RM was provided via automated software system, providing rapid alert processing by device specialists and systematic, recurrent prompts for anticoagulation.

RESULTS

From 7651 individual, 389,188 AF episodes were identified, 3120 (40.8%) permanent pacemakers, 2260 (29.5%) implantable loop recorders (ILRs), 987 (12.9%) implantable cardioverter defibrillators, 968 (12.7%) cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) defibrillators, and 316 (4.1%) CRT pacemakers. ILRs transmitted 48.8% of all AF episodes. At twelve-months, 3404 (44.5%) AF < 6 min, 1367 (17.9%) 6 min-6 h, 1206 (15.8%) 6-24 h, and 1674 (21.9%) ≥ 24 h. A minimum CHA2DS2-VASc score of 2 was assigned to 1704 (63.1%) of the patients with an AF episode of ≥ 6 h, 531 (31.2%) who were not anticoagulated at 12-months, and 1031 (61.6%) patients with an AF episode duration of ≥ 24 h, 290 (28.1%) were not anticoagulated.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite being intensively managed via RM software system incorporating cues for anticoagulation, a substantial proportion of patients with increased stroke risk remained unanticoagulated after a device-detected AF episode of significant duration. These data highlight the need for improved clinical response pathways and an integrated care approach to RM.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Australian New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry: ACTRN12620001232921.

Predicting risk of AF in ischaemic stroke using sinus rhythm ECG abnormalities: A meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To identify ECG changes in sinus rhythm that may be used to predict subsequent development of new AF.

METHOD

We identified prospective and retrospective cohort or case control studies evaluating ECG patterns from a 12-lead ECG in sinus rhythm taken in hospital or community predicting subsequent development of new AF. For each identified ECG predictor, we then identify absolute event rates and pooled risk ratios (RR) using an aggregate level random effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

We identified 609,496 patients from 22 studies. ECG patterns included P wave terminal force V1 (PTFV1), interatrial block (IAB) and advanced interatrial block (aIAB), abnormal P wave axis (aPWA), PR prolongation and atrial premature complexes (APCs). Pooled risk ratios reached significance for each of these; PTFV1 RR 1.48 (95% CI 1.04-2.10), IAB 2.54 (95% CI 1.64-3.93), aIAB 4.05 (95% CI 2.64-6.22), aPWA 1.89 (95% CI 1.25-2.85), PR prolongation 2.22 (95% CI 1.27-3.87) and APCs 3.71 (95% CI 2.23-6.16). Diabetes reduced the predictive value of PR prolongation.

CONCLUSION

APC and aIAB were most predictive of AF, while IAB, PR prolongation, PTFV1 and aPWA were also significantly associated with development of AF. These support their use in a screening tool to identify at risk cohorts who may benefit from further investigation, or following stroke, with empirical anticoagulation.

Atrial Cardiomyopathy in Valvular Heart Disease: From Molecular Biology to Clinical Perspectives

This review discusses the evolving topic of atrial cardiomyopathy concerning valvular heart disease. The pathogenesis of atrial cardiomyopathy involves multiple factors, such as valvular disease leading to atrial structural and functional remodeling due to pressure and volume overload. Atrial enlargement and dysfunction can trigger atrial tachyarrhythmia. The complex interaction between valvular disease and atrial cardiomyopathy creates a vicious cycle of aggravating atrial enlargement, dysfunction, and valvular disease severity. Furthermore, atrial remodeling and arrhythmia can predispose to atrial thrombus formation and stroke. The underlying pathomechanism of atrial myopathy involves molecular, cellular, and subcellular alterations resulting in chronic inflammation, atrial fibrosis, and electrophysiological changes. Atrial dysfunction has emerged as an essential determinant of outcomes in valvular disease and heart failure. Despite its predictive value, the detection of atrial fibrosis and dysfunction is challenging and is not included in the clinical routine. Transthoracic echocardiography and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging are the main diagnostic tools for atrial cardiomyopathy. Recently published data have revealed that both left atrial volumes and functional parameters are independent predictors of cardiovascular events in valvular disease. The integration of atrial function assessment in clinical practice might help in early cardiovascular risk estimation, promoting early therapeutic intervention in valvular disease.

P-wave duration and interatrial block as predictors of new-onset atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Early detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) could improve patient outcomes. P-wave duration (PWD) and interatrial block (IAB) are known predictors of new-onset AF and could improve selection for AF screening. This meta-analysis reviews the published evidence and offers practical implications.

METHODS

Publication databases were systematically searched, and studies reporting PWD and/or morphology at baseline and new-onset AF during follow-up were included. IAB was defined as partial (pIAB) if PWD≥120 ms or advanced (aIAB) if the P-wave was biphasic in the inferior leads. After quality assessment and data extraction, random-effects analysis calculated odds ratio (OR) and confidence intervals (CI). Subgroup analysis was performed for those with implantable devices (continuous monitoring).

RESULTS

Among 16,830 patients (13 studies, mean 66 years old), 2,521 (15%) had new-onset AF over a median of 44 months. New-onset AF was associated with a longer PWD (mean pooled difference: 11.5 ms, 13 studies, p < 0.001). The OR for new-onset AF was 2.05 (95% CI: 1.3-3.2) for pIAB (5 studies, p = 0.002) and 3.9 (95% CI: 2.6-5.8) for aIAB (7 studies, p < 0.001). Patients with pIAB and devices had higher AF-detection risk (OR: 2.33, p < 0.001) than those without devices (OR: 1.36, p = 0.56). Patients with aIAB had similarly high risk regardless of device presence. There was significant heterogeneity but no publication bias.

CONCLUSION

Interatrial block is an independent predictor of new-onset AF. The association is stronger for patients with implantable devices (close monitoring). Thus, PWD and IAB could be used as selection criteria for intensive screening, follow-up or interventions.

Electrocardiographic Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common pathological arrhythmia, and its complications lead to significant morbidity and mortality. However, patients with AF can often go undetected, especially if they are asymptomatic or have a low burden of paroxysms. Identification of those at high risk of AF development may help refine screening and management strategies.

METHODS

PubMed and Embase databases were systematically searched for studies looking at electrocardiographic predictors of AF from inception to August 2021.

RESULTS

A total of 115 studies were reported which examined a combination of atrial and ventricular parameters that could be electrocardiographic predictors of AF. Atrial predictors include conduction parameters, such as the PR interval, p-wave index and dispersion, and partial interatrial or advanced interatrial block, or morphological parameters, such as p-wave axis, amplitude and terminal force. Ventricular predictors include abnormalities in QRS amplitude, morphology or duration, QT interval duration, r-wave progression and ST segment, i.e., t-wave abnormalities.

CONCLUSIONS

There has been significant interest in electrocardiographic prediction of AF, especially in populations at high risk of atrial AF, such as those with an embolic stroke of undetermined source. This review highlights the breadth of possible predictive parameters, and possible pathological bases for the predictive role of each parameter are proposed.

Patent Foramen Ovale and Cryptogenic Stroke: Integrated Management

Patent foramen ovale (PFO) is a common cardiac abnormality with a prevalence of 25% in the general population. PFO has been associated with the paradoxical embolism causing cryptogenic stroke and systemic embolization. Results from clinical trials, meta-analyses, and position papers support percutaneous PFO device closure (PPFOC), especially if interatrial septal aneurysms coexist and in the presence of large shunts in young patients. Remarkably, accurately evaluating patients to refer to the closure strategy is extremely important. However, the selection of patients for PFO closure is still not so clear. The aim of this review is to update and clarify which patients should be considered for closure treatment.

Implantable loop recorders in patients with atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Implantable loop recorders (ILRs) provide practitioners with high-quality electrocardiographic data over an extended monitoring period. These data can guide the diagnosis and management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

AREAS COVERED

This review summarizes the available evidence and consensus statements supporting the use of ILRs in the detection of AF, as well as monitoring of patients with known AF. Future directions for research are also discussed.

EXPERT OPINION

ILRs are the gold standard for detecting AF, providing superior diagnostic yield compared to other modes of ambulatory electrocardiography monitoring. Both experimental evidence and consensus statements support the use of ILRs in clinical settings where the diagnosis of AF may significantly change management, or where a high degree of sensitivity is needed. ILRs may also be used to monitor patients following AF ablation. More evidence is needed to better inform how ILR-detected AF should change management.

Atrial fibrillation: focus on monitoring strategies after cryptogenic stroke

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is responsible for up to one-third of ischemic strokes, with stroke potentially being the first manifestation of a previously undetected AF. Given the efficacy of oral anticoagulants in preventing AF-related ischemic events, searching for unknown AF after stroke requires a comprehensive diagnostic workup. Prospective data have demonstrated the benefits of long-term cardiac monitoring to identify AF in association with cryptogenic stroke, as most strokes are presumed to result from AF. However, strategies of empirical anticoagulation using oral anticoagulants following cryptogenic stroke failed to improve outcomes. We herein summarize contemporary evidence and knowledge gaps on searching for AF after a stroke and the potential secondary prevention strategies to prevent further recurrences.

ESC Working Group on e-Cardiology Position Paper: accuracy and reliability of electrocardiogram monitoring in the detection of atrial fibrillation in cryptogenic stroke patients : In collaboration with the Council on Stroke, the European Heart Rhythm Association, and the Digital Health Committee

The role of subclinical atrial fibrillation as a cause of cryptogenic stroke is unambiguously established. Long-term electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring remains the sole method for determining its presence following a negative initial workup. This position paper of the European Society of Cardiology Working Group on e-Cardiology first presents the definition, epidemiology, and clinical impact of cryptogenic ischaemic stroke, as well as its aetiopathogenic association with occult atrial fibrillation. Then, classification methods for ischaemic stroke will be discussed, along with their value in providing meaningful guidance for further diagnostic efforts, given disappointing findings of studies based on the embolic stroke of unknown significance construct. Patient selection criteria for long-term ECG monitoring, crucial for determining pre-test probability of subclinical atrial fibrillation, will also be discussed. Subsequently, the two major classes of long-term ECG monitoring tools (non-invasive and invasive) will be presented, with a discussion of each method's pitfalls and related algorithms to improve diagnostic yield and accuracy. Although novel mobile health (mHealth) devices, including smartphones and smartwatches, have dramatically increased atrial fibrillation detection post ischaemic stroke, the latest evidence appears to favour implantable cardiac monitors as the modality of choice; however, the answer to whether they should constitute the initial diagnostic choice for all cryptogenic stroke patients remains elusive. Finally, institutional and organizational issues, such as reimbursement, responsibility for patient management, data ownership, and handling will be briefly touched upon, despite the fact that guidance remains scarce and widespread clinical application and experience are the most likely sources for definite answers.

Plasma levels of miRNA-1-3p are associated with subclinical atrial fibrillation in patients with cryptogenic stroke

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Identifying biomarkers of subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) is of most interest in patients with cryptogenic stroke (CrS). We sought to evaluate the circulating microRNA (miRNA) profile of patients with CrS and AF compared with those in persistent sinus rhythm.

METHODS

Among 64 consecutive patients with CrS under continuous monitoring by a predischarge insertable monitor, 18 patients (9 with AF and 9 in persistent sinus rhythm) were selected for high-throughput determination of 754 miRNAs. Nine patients with concomitant stroke and AF were also screened to improve the yield of miRNA selection. Differentially expressed miRNAs were replicated in an independent cohort (n=46). Biological markers were stratified by the median and included in logistic regression analyses to evaluate their association with AF at 6 and 12 months.

RESULTS

Eight miRNAs were differentially expressed between patients with and without AF. In the replication cohort, miR-1-3p, a gene regulator involved in cardiac arrhythmogenesis, was the only miRNA to remain significantly higher in patients with CrS and AF vs those in sinus rhythm and showed a modest association with AF burden. High (= above the median) miR-1-3p plasma values, together with a low left atrial ejection fraction, were independently associated with the presence of AF at 6 and 12 months.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort, plasma levels of miR-1-3p were elevated in CrS patients with subsequent AF. Our results preliminarily suggest that miR-1-3p could be a novel biomarker that, together with clinical parameters, could help identify patients with CrS and a high risk of occult AF.

Prediction of occult atrial fibrillation in patients after cryptogenic stroke and transient ischaemic attack: PROACTIA

AIMS

Studies with implantable cardiac monitors (ICMs) show that one-third of patients with cryptogenic stroke/transient ischaemic attack (TIA) have episodes of subclinical atrial fibrillation (SCAF) and benefit switching from antiplatelet- to anticoagulant therapy. However, ICMs are costly and resource demanding. We aimed to build a score based on participant's baseline characteristics that could assess individual risk of SCAF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In a prospective study, 236 eligible patients with a final diagnosis of cryptogenic stroke/TIA had an ICM implantated during the index hospitalization. Pre-specified evaluated variables were: CHA2DS2-VASc, P-wave duration, P-wave morphology, premature atrial beats (PAC)/24 h, supraventricular tachycardia/24 h, left atrial end-systolic volume index (LAVI), Troponin-T, NT-proBNP, and D-dimer. SCAF was detected in 84 patients (36%). All pre-specified variables were significantly associated with SCAF detection in univariate analysis. P-wave duration, followed by PAC/24 h, NT-proBNP, and LAVI, had the largest ratio of SCAF prevalence between its upper and lower quartiles (3.3, vs. 3.2, vs. 3.1 vs. 2.8, respectively). However, in a multivariate analysis, only PAC/24t, P-wave duration, P-wave morphology, and LAVIs remained significant predictors and were included in the PROACTIA score. Subclinical atrial fibrillation prevalence was 75% in the highest vs. 10% in the lowest quartile of the PROACTIA score with a 10-fold higher number of patients with an atrial fibrillation burden >6 h in the highest vs. the lowest quartile.

CONCLUSION

The PROACTIA score can identify patients with cryptogenic stroke/TIA at risk of subsequent SCAF detection. The large difference in SCAF prevalence between groups may provide a basis for future tailored therapy.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov; NCT02725944.

Left Ventricular Abnormality and Covert Atrial Fibrillation in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

AIMS

The relationship between left ventricular (LV) function and AF detection in embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) patients with insertable cardiac monitors (ICMs) remains unclear. We investigated the association between LV function and AF detection in patients with ESUS after ICMs implantation.

METHODS

We enrolled patients with ESUS who underwent ICMs implantation from September 2016 to September 2020 using a single-center, prospective registry. LV systolic and diastolic functions were assessed on precordial echocardiography by LV fractional shortening (LVFS) and average E/e', respectively. Associations between characteristics of LV function and detection of AF by ICMs were analyzed.

RESULTS

Participants comprised 101 patients (median age, 74 years; male, 62%). During a median follow-up period of 442 days (interquartile range (IQR), 202-770 days), AF was detected in 24 patients (24%). Median duration from ICMs implantation to AF detection was 71 days (IQR, 13-150 days). When LVFS and E/e' were dichotomized by cutoff value, each of low LVFS (＜35.5%; adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 4.77; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.77-12.9) and high E/e' (≥ 8.65; adjusted HR, 4.56; 95%CI, 1.17-17.7) were independently associated with AF detection after adjusting for age and sex. When patients were divided into four groups according to dichotomized LVFS and E/e', the combination of low LVFS and high E/e' was independently associated with AF.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with ESUS after ICMs implantation, the LV characteristics of low LVFS and high E/e' were associated with AF detection.

European Stroke Organisation (ESO) guideline on screening for subclinical atrial fibrillation after stroke or transient ischaemic attack of undetermined origin

We aimed to provide practical recommendations for the screening of subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA) of undetermined origin. These guidelines are based on the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology. Five relevant Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome questions were defined by a multidisciplinary module working group (MWG).

Longer duration of cardiac rhythm monitoring increases the detection of subclinical AF, but the optimal monitoring length is yet to be defined. We advise longer monitoring to increase the rate of anticoagulation, but whether longer monitoring improves clinical outcomes needs to be addressed. AF detection does not differ from in- or out-patient ECG-monitoring with similar monitoring duration, so we consider it reasonable to initiate in-hospital monitoring as soon as possible and continue with outpatient monitoring for more than 48h. Although insertable loop recorders (ILR) increase AF detection based on their longer monitoring duration, comparison with non-implantable ECG devices for similar monitoring time is lacking. We suggest the use of implantable devices, if feasible, for AF detection instead of non- implantable devices to increase the detection of subclinical AF. There is weak evidence of a useful role for blood, ECG, and brain imaging biomarkers for the identification of patients at high risk of AF. In patients with patent foramen ovale, we found insufficient evidence from RCT, but prolonged cardiac monitoring in patients >55 years is advisable for subclinical AF detection. To conclude, in adult patients with ischaemic stroke or TIA of undetermined origin, we recommend longer duration of cardiac rhythm monitoring of more than 48h and if feasible with IRL to increase the detection of subclinical AF.

A Review of the Wide Range of Indications and Uses of Implantable Loop Recorders: A Review of the Literature

Implantable loop recorders (ILR) are devices that are implanted subcutaneously on the chest, which enables the continuous monitoring of arrhythmias for up to three years. These devices have an important role in helping to make a diagnosis and supporting decisions about the best patient management. There are currently three companies that produce ILRs. The Reveal DX and XT device is produced by Medtronic. The Confirm device is produced by Abbott. The Biomonitor III device is produced by Biotronik. The established indications for ILR include the management of transient loss of consciousness and the diagnosis of undocumented palpitations; however, they are also used for less established applications, including atrial fibrillation (AF) monitoring and risk stratification in patients with previous myocardial infarction or inherited cardiomyopathies. There is also diverse literature exploring the use of these devices in other populations, including patients with conditions such as congenital heart disease, amyloidosis, stroke, obstructive sleep apnea, renal transplant and patients who undergo procedures such as AF ablation and coronary artery bypass graft. In this review, we describe how the use of ILR has been applied in different settings, including patients with cardiac and non-cardiac conditions as well as post-cardiac procedures. We then discuss the potential issues related to using ILR in these other indications.

Atrial CARdiac Magnetic resonance imaging in patients with embolic stroke of unknown source without documented Atrial Fibrillation (CARM-AF): Study design and clinical protocol

Background

Initiation of anticoagulation therapy in ischemic stroke patients is contingent on a clinical diagnosis of atrial fibrillation (AF). Results from previous studies suggest thromboembolic risk may predate clinical manifestations of AF. Early identification of this cohort of patients may allow early initiation of anticoagulation and reduce the risk of secondary stroke.

Objective

This study aims to produce a substrate-based predictive model using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) and baseline noninvasive electrocardiographic investigations to improve the identification of patients at risk of future thromboembolism.

Methods

CARM-AF is a prospective, multicenter, observational cohort study. Ninety-two patients will be recruited following an embolic stroke of unknown source (ESUS) and undergo atrial CMR followed by insertion of an implantable loop recorder (ILR) as per routine clinical care within 3 months of index stroke. Remote ILR follow-up will be used to allocate patients to a study or control group determined by the presence or absence of AF as defined by ILR monitoring.

Results

Baseline data collection, noninvasive electrocardiographic data analysis, and imaging postprocessing will be performed at the time of enrollment. Primary analysis will be performed following 12 months of continuous ILR monitoring, with interim and delayed analyses performed at 6 months and 2 and 3 years, respectively.

Conclusion

The CARM-AF Study will use atrial structural and electrocardiographic metrics to identify patients with AF, or at high risk of developing AF, who may benefit from early initiation of anticoagulation.

Use of Prolonged Cardiac Rhythm Monitoring to Identify Atrial Fibrillation After Cryptogenic Stroke

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Prolonged cardiac monitoring (PCM) improves detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) after cryptogenic stroke. We summarize current research supporting the use of PCM as part of the cryptogenic stroke evaluation, while highlighting areas that require more investigation.

RECENT FINDINGS

Despite increased AF detection with longer durations of PCM, more definitive research is needed to demonstrate how PCM improves clinical outcomes. The optimal type, timing, and length of cardiac monitoring after cryptogenic stoke remains unknown. Clinical calculators will be important to risk stratify which cryptogenic stroke patients are most likely to benefit from PCM. Currently, AF detection after cryptogenic stroke should prompt consideration of anticoagulation, but it is unclear if all durations and timing of AF after stroke should be treated the same. PCM remains an important part of the cryptogenic stroke work up, and detection of AF allows for anticoagulation initiation. Additional research is needed to further refine our application of PCM to cryptogenic stroke.

Neurologist-Led Management of Implantable Loop-Recorders After Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

Introduction

Upon completion of the workup for stroke, etiology cannot be identified in approximately one-third of the patients, with an embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) accounting for around 50% of these cryptogenic etiologies. Whether management of complex long-term monitoring in order to detect suspected atrial fibrillation (AFib) could be initiated and managed through a neurologist is not sufficiently investigated.

Patients and Methods

We recruited all consecutive patients with ESUS who received implantation after neurological adjudication of Reveal LINQ^® loop recorder between January 2016 and July 2020. We collected demographic, clinical, heart- and neuroimaging, laboratory, and electrocardiographic data assessed on prolonged baseline ECG monitoring, number of supraventricular (SVEs) and ventricular (VEs) extrasystolic complexes, and from preimplantation ECG–PQ interval. AFib detection was manually supervised and determined positive when the duration was over 120 s.

Results

We followed a total of 131 patients for a median of 504 days. There were 45 (34%) manually verified AFib diagnoses. In univariate analysis, earlier implantation after ESUS was associated with AFib detection (13 vs. 31 days, p = 0.011). In multivariate analysis, increased rate of AFib was associated with a more prolonged PQ interval (per 50-ms increase) (HR 1.99, 95% CI 1.39–2.85) and number of SVEs (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.05–1.57) measured on pre-implantation ECG.

Conclusion

We observed similar predictors for Afib after ESUS, albeit with higher frequency than previously reported. This study suggests that the neurologist-led decision, management, and evaluation of ILR after ESUS is feasible.

Value of advanced interatrial block in the diagnosis of the ischemic stroke's aetiology: A cohort study

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Advanced interatrial block has been linked with atrial fibrillation (AF) (Bayes syndrome). On the other hand, the aetiology of the stroke remains unknown in approximately 20-25% of patients admitted due to ischaemic stroke. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether advanced interatrial block and CHADS2-VASC scale is linked to AF in patients admitted due to ischaemic stroke without previous AF history.

METHODS

A prospective analysis of consecutive in-hospital patients admitted with ischemic stroke between January/2018 and April/2019 in a stroke hospital was performed. Patients had to be in sinus rhythm at admission and without previous history of AF/atrial flutter. During follow up patients receive the usual care.

RESULTS

A total of 236 patients were included. The median follow-up was 540 days (407-695). 19 patients (8.1%) had advanced interatrial block at admission. Advanced interatrial block was associated with the diagnosis of AF during follow up (5 (26.3%) Vs 21 (9.7%) p=0.027). A CHADS2-VASC score>4 at admission was also associated with AF diagnosis during follow up (23(14.6%) vs 3(3.9%) p=0.009).

CONCLUSION

This study confirms the association of advanced interatrial block and CHADS2-VASC>4 at admission with the diagnosis of AF during follow up in patients with ischemic stroke. This association could have important implications in patients with ischemic stroke who present advanced interatrial block and without previous history of AF.

Cryptogenic Stroke and Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: Risk Factors and Approaches for Detection of Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Stroke is a problem worldwide because of its high mortality and disability rates. Almost 90% of strokes are ischemic, and more than half of the deaths are caused by an ischemic stroke. Most risk factors for stroke are manageable so that it can be avoided with proper prevention. Despite the success in determining the causes of stroke in recent years, selectively, the "culprit" causing stroke remains unsolved. In such cases, a diagnosis of undetermined etiology (cryptogenic stroke) or embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) is generated, resulting the prevention of a recurrent cerebrovascular occurrence impossible. Atrial fibrillation (AF) can be a cause of stroke by causing blood clots in the chambers of the heart.

PURPOSE

The aim was to determine the optimal method of heart rate monitoring in patients with ischemic stroke, as methods and approaches for detecting AF are very diverse, but there is still no single opinion, which would be universal.

PROCEDURES

In our review, we consider epidemiology, risk factors for the stroke of undetermined etiology, as well as analytical methods for detecting heart rhythm disturbances in this category of patients.

FINDINGS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is detected by thorough monitoring of heart rate of patients with cryptogenic stroke and ESUS can be diagnosed in up to 46% of patients. .

CONCLUSION

After AF detection, consideration should be given to prescribing anticoagulants, instead of antiplatelet agents, for the secondary prevention of stroke.

Subcutaneouscardiac Rhythm Monitors: A Comprehensive Review

Subcutaneous loop recorders (SCRMs) are subcutaneous electronic devices which have revolutionized the field of arrhythmia detection. They have become increasingly appealing due to advances such as miniaturization of device, longer battery life, bluetooth capabilities and relatively simple implantation technique without the need for complex surgical suites. They can be implanted in the office, patient bedside without the need to go to the operating room. One of the most common indications for their implantation is detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) after a cryptogenic stroke. They have also been utilized for assessing the success of rhythm control strategies such post pulmonary venous isolation. More recently studies have assessed the utility of SCRMs for detecting silent AF in at risk populations such as patients with sleep apnea or those on hemodialysis. In this paper, we review the evolution of SCRMs, the clinical studies assessing their value for different indications, their role incurrent clinical practice and future avenues in the era of smart wearable devices like apple watch etc.

Current status and role of antiphospholipid antibody testing in cryptogenic stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Although it is not recognized as essential to test for antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) in stroke of unknown cause, aPL-related stroke may account for a considerable number of cryptogenic strokes. We aimed to assess the current status and diagnostic value of aPL testing in cryptogenic stroke patients.

METHODS

Consecutive patients admitted with acute ischemic stroke were examined to confirm the factors associated with performing aPL testing and with positive aPL test results in real-world practice. Cryptogenic stroke patients were separately examined in the same manner. The antibody profiles of cryptogenic stroke patients with aPL positivity were compared by age.

RESULTS

Among 2947 patients, 606 (20.6%) were tested for aPLs and 129 (21.3%) were positive. Physicians tended to perform aPL testing in patients aged <50 years and in cryptogenic stroke patients. Cryptogenic stroke was a strong predictor of positive aPL results (adjusted odds ratio 3.70, 95% confidence interval 2.38-5.76). However, aPL positivity did not differ by age in stroke patients. Among 283 cryptogenic stroke patients, 136 (48.1%) were tested for aPLs and 56 (41.2%) were positive. aPL tests were performed predominantly in patients aged <50 years rather than in older patients, even among cryptogenic stroke patients. The two age groups had similar positivity rates of >40% (<50 years: 43.2%; ≥50 years: 40.4%; p = 0.92) and their antibody profiles were similar.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant number of patients with cryptogenic stroke had positive aPL results regardless of age. aPL testing may offer additional diagnostic opportunities in cryptogenic stroke patients, and thus may reduce the incidence of cryptogenic stroke.

The efficacy and safety of insertable cardiac monitor on atrial fibrillation detection in patients with ischemic stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Atrial fibrillation (AF) leads to a high risk of recurrent stroke, and the insertable cardiac monitor (ICM), as a new kind of electrocardiographic monitoring device, has been proven to enhance the recognition rate of AF. The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of the ICM use in AF detection of patients with stroke. We pooled 1233 patients from three randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The detection rate of AF was superior in the ICM group to that in the control group at 6 months (risk ratio [RR], 4.63; P < 0.0001; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.17-9.90) and 12 months (RR, 5.04; P < 0.00001; 95% CI, 2.93 to 8.68). Patients in the ICM group had a higher rate of oral anticoagulant usage (RR, 2.76; P < 0.00001; 95% CI, 1.89-4.02). However, there was no difference in the time to first detection of AF within 12 months (mean difference, - 8.28; P = 0.82; 95% CI, - 77.84-61.28) or the rate of recurrent ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (RR, 0.88; P = 0.51; 95% CI, 0.60-1.28) between the ICM and control groups. In addition, the ICM group experienced more adverse events than the control group within 12 months (RR, 4.42; P = 0.002; 95% CI, 1.69-11.55). To conclude, the sensitivity of ICM is superior to that of conventional external cardiac monitoring. Reducing adverse reactions will be a new development direction of ICM.

Short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and atrial fibrillation hospitalization: A time-series study in Yancheng, China

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an important cardiovascular disease that causes a great burden of disease. However, there is limited evidence of a link between air pollution exposure and AF. This study aimed to explore the short-term association between air pollution and AF. We obtained daily hospitalization of AF in two major hospitals of Yancheng, China from May, 2015 to May, 2020. Generalized additive models with quasi-Poisson regression were used to assess the associations between six criteria air pollutants and AF hospitalization. We explored the lag patterns, and visualized the concentration-response relationships. The robustness of the association was tested by two-pollutant model, and we explored potential effect modification by age, sex and season. A total of 15,171 inpatients from two hospitals were collected in this study with an average daily count of eight patients. We observed consistent and significant associations between six air pollutants and AF on lag 0-4 days. A 10 ug/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with 2.81% (95%CI: 1.44%, 4.20%) changes in AF, and the effect estimate was 1.67% (95%CI: 0.77%, 2.59%) for PM10, 4.90% (95%CI: 1.69%, 8.22%) for NO2, 6.81% (95%CI: 0.46%, 13.57%) for SO2, 1.82% (95%CI: 0.60%, 3.06%) for O3; a 0.1 mg/m3 increase in CO was associated with 2.55% (95%CI: 0.91%, 4.21%) increments in AF. Associations of PM2.5 and PM10 were robust after adjusting for SO2, NO2, CO, and O3, but not vice versa. Female patients and those aged less 70 years had larger risk of AF associated with air pollution exposure. The concentration-response curves of the six pollutants were almost linear and increasing with no obvious thresholds. This time-series study in Yancheng demonstrated increased risk of AF and a delayed effect over lag 0-4 days. Our findings suggested need of prevention and protection against these environmental risk factors for AF in health departments.

Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: Approaches in Risk Stratification for Cardioembolism

Ischemic stroke is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Embolic stroke of undetermined source has been recently proposed to categorize nonlacunar ischemic strokes without confirmed etiology after adequate investigation with a likely embolic stroke mechanism. A strategy of empirical anticoagulation for embolic stroke of undetermined source patients is attractive but may only be beneficial in a select subset of patients. Strategies which would help identify the subset of embolic stroke of undetermined source patients most likely to have cardioembolic origin of stroke, and hence benefit from anticoagulation, are needed. This article will review current evidence which may be useful in the development of a risk stratification approach based on arrhythmia monitoring, cardiac imaging, and clinical risk stratification. This approach may be beneficial in clinical practice in improving patient outcomes and reducing stroke recurrence in this population; however, further work is required with active trials underway.

A meta-analysis of the association of atrial septal abnormalities and atrial vulnerability

BACKGROUND

The mechanism of cryptogenic stroke (CS) in patients with atrial septal abnormalities remains unclear, and the increased incidence of atrial vulnerability may be one of the reasons. We performed this meta-analysis to clarify the association between atrial septal abnormalities and atrial vulnerability, and to provide evidence-based basis for the prevention and mechanism of CS.

METHODS

We systematically searched for studies on the association between atrial septal abnormalities and atrial vulnerability, and pooled available data on types of atrial septal abnormalities, types of atrial vulnerability, and methods of atrial vulnerability detection. The primary endpoints were the occurrence of atrial arrhythmias or P wave abnormalities. Random-effects models were used to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Twelve case-control studies were eligible. Compared with the control group, patients with atrial septal abnormalities had a higher risk of atrial vulnerability (OR: 1.93; 95% CI: 1.13-3.30, P = .02). Data based on stroke patients showed that the group with atrial septal abnormalities had a higher risk of atrial vulnerability than the control group (OR: 2.00; 95% CI: 1.13-3.53, P = .02). However, there was no significant difference in the incidence of atrial vulnerability between the 2 groups of nonstroke patients. Subgroup analysis showed that although atrial septal abnormality increased the risk of atrial vulnerability in the subgroup of atrial septal aneurysm (OR: 1.68; 95% CI: 0.47-5.95, P = .42), the subgroup of atrial fibrillation (AF)/atrial fluster (OR: 1.81; 95% CI: 0.94-3.46, P = .07) and the subgroup of subcutaneous recording system (OR: 1.33; 95% CI: 0.68-2.61, P = .41), the difference was not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Atrial septal abnormalities can increase the risk of atrial vulnerability, and atrial arrhythmia caused by atrial septal abnormalities may be one of the mechanisms of CS.

The relationship between exposure to PM2.5 and atrial fibrillation in older adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Fine particle matter (PM_2.5) is recognized as atrial fibrillation (AF) risk factor, especially for older adults. However, studies on the relationship between PM_2.5 and AF were inconsistent. Herein, we present a systematic review to further assess the correlation between PM_2.5 and AF in older adults (average age > 50 years old). A comprehensive search was conducted with the keywords in PubMed (675 records), Web of Science (1130 records), Embase (82 records), and the Cochrane Library (42 records). Using Stata12.0 software to test the heterogeneity between studies, and select the corresponding model to calculate the comprehensive effect value, odds ratio (OR, odds ratio), the pooled %-change (percentage change) and its 95% confidence interval (CL, confidence interval). A total of 16 observational studies were included, involving 10,580,394 participants, the results showed that PM_2.5 had an adverse effects on AF in older adults. An association was found between exposure to PM_2.5 (per 10 μg/m³ increase) and AF in older adults, with the corresponding pooled OR (1.11, 95% CI: 1.03-1.19) and pooled %-change (1.01%, 95% CI: 0.14%-1.88%). Our study indicated that PM_2.5 exposure was significantly related to increased incidence of AF in older adults. Both the pooled OR and %-change value were higher in areas with higher levels of PM_2.5(≥25 μg/m³).

Secondary Stroke Prevention Following Embolic Stroke of Unknown Source in the Absence of Documented Atrial Fibrillation: A Clinical Review

Approximately one-third of ischemic strokes are classified as cryptogenic strokes. The risk of stroke recurrence in these patients is significantly elevated with up to one-third of patients with cryptogenic stroke experiencing a further stroke within 10 years. While anticoagulation is the mainstay of treatment for secondary stroke prevention in the context of documented atrial fibrillation (AF), it is estimated that up to 25% of patients with cryptogenic stroke have undiagnosed AF. Furthermore, the historical acceptance of a causal relationship between AF and stroke has recently come under scrutiny, with evidence to suggest that embolic stroke risk may be elevated even in the absence of documented atrial fibrillation attributable to the presence of electrical and structural changes constituting an atrial cardiomyopathy. More recently, the term embolic stroke of unknown source has garnered increasing interest as a subset of patients with cryptogenic stroke in whom a minimum set of diagnostic investigations has been performed, and a nonlacunar infarct highly suspicious of embolic etiology is suspected but in the absence of an identifiable secondary cause of stroke. The ongoing ARCADIA (Atrial Cardiopathy and Antithrombotic Drugs in Prevention After Cryptogenic Stroke) randomized trial and ATTICUS (Apixiban for Treatment of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source) study seek to further define this novel term. This review summarizes the relationship between AF, embolic stroke, and atrial cardiomyopathy and provides an overview of the clinical relevance of cardiac imaging, electrocardiographic, and serum biomarkers in the assessment of AF and secondary stroke risk. The implications of these findings on therapeutic considerations is considered and gaps in the literature identified as areas for future study in risk stratifying this cohort of patients.

Reexamination of the Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source Concept

Occult atrial fibrillation (AF) is a leading cause of stroke of unclear cause. The optimal approach to secondary stroke prevention for these patients remains elusive. The term embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) was coined to describe ischemic strokes in which the radiographic features demonstrate territorial infarcts resembling those seen in patients with confirmed sources of embolism but without a clear source of embolism detected. It was assumed that patients with ESUS had a high rate of occult AF and would benefit from treatment with direct oral anticoagulants, which are at least as effective as vitamin K antagonists for secondary stroke prevention in patients with AF, but with a much lower risk of intracerebral hemorrhage. Two recent large randomized trials failed to show superiority of direct oral anticoagulants over aspirin in ESUS patients. These findings prompt a reexamination of the ESUS concept, with the goal of improving specificity for detecting patients with a cardioembolic cause. Based on the negative trial results, there is renewed interest in the role of long-term cardiac monitoring for AF in patients who fit the current ESUS definition, as well as the clinical implication of detecting AF. Ongoing trials are exploring these questions. Current ESUS definitions do not accurately detect the patients who should be prescribed direct oral anticoagulants, potentially because occult AF is less common than expected in these patients and/or anticoagulants may be less beneficial in patients with ESUS but no AF than they are for patients with stroke with established AF. More specific criteria to identify patients who may be at higher risk for occult AF and reduce their risk of subsequent stroke have been developed and are being tested in ongoing clinical trials.

Premature atrial complexes can predict atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Several studies have explored premature atrial complexes (PACs) as high-risk factors for atrial fibrillation (AF) in ischemic stroke patients; however, the results were controversial. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to examine whether PACs can predict AF in ischemic stroke patients.

METHODS

We comprehensively searched the published literature in PubMed, Embase, and Wiley-Cochrane library databases from inception through August 18, 2020. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were analyzed by the fixed-effect model or the random-effect model based on heterogeneity.

RESULTS

We identified 12 eligible studies including 2340 stroke patients with a mean age of 65.9 years. PACs were highly associated with AF occurrence in stroke (pooled OR: 4.16, 95% CI: 3.06-5.65) and cryptogenic stroke patients (pooled OR: 3.72, 95% CI: 2.66-5.20). Subgroup analysis showed PAC presence and frequent PACs were correlated with stroke in AF patients (pooled OR: 3.72, 95% CI: 1.65-8.36 and pooled OR: 5.12, 95% CI: 3.12-8.41, respectively). Frequent PACs were identified as the risks for asymptomatic AF (OR: 6.18, 95% CI: 3.23-11.83) and future AF occurrence (OR: 3.71, 95% CI: 2.62-5.26) in stroke patients. The definition of frequent PACs was inconsistent, and was >70 beats/24 h based on Holter monitoring.

CONCLUSIONS

PACs confer high risks for asymptomatic AF and future AF occurrence in stroke patients.

Digital health solutions in the screening of subclinical atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) will become one of the biggest challenges in cardiovascular medicine in the near future. Attempting an improvement in future patient care calls explicitly for the screening of subclinical AF. Digital health solutions implementing communication technologies for the collection and analysis of digitally assessable data will most likely serve this need. Several new rapidly developing methods were introduced in the past decade. Although the vast majority still require scientific validation, the body of evidence is growing and several randomized controlled trials are planned. This review aims to give an overview of current technologies with a specific focus on mobile health (mHealth) and appraise their value with regard to the available scientific data.

P Wave Duration/P Wave Voltage Ratio Plays a Promising Role in the Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation: A New Player in the Game

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia in clinical practice. Identification of patients at risk for developing AF and the opportunity for early targeted intervention might have a significant impact on morbidity and mortality. Prolonged P wave duration and decreased P wave voltage have been shown to be independent predictors of AF. The present study aimed to investigate the role of P wave duration/P wave voltage in predicting new-onset AF.

Methods

We screened a total of 640 consecutive patients who admitted to cardiology outpatient clinic with a complaint of palpitation between 2012 and 2014. 24-h Holter monitoring, echocardiography, and electrocardiography (ECG) recordings were reviewed to identify new-onset AF. Patients were assigned into two groups based on presence (n = 150) and absence (n = 490) of new-onset AF. Previous ECGs with sinus rhythm were analyzed. P wave duration was measured in inferior leads, and P wave voltage was measured in lead one. P wave duration/P wave voltage was also calculated for each patient.

Results

One hundred fifty subjects (23.4%) had new-onset AF among 640 patients. P wave duration (123.27 ± 12.87 vs. 119.33 ± 17.39 ms, p=0.024) and P wave duration/P wave voltage (1284.70 ± 508.03 vs. 924.14 ± 462.06 ms/mV, p < 0.001) were higher, and P wave voltage (0.12 ± 0.04 vs. 0.13 ± 0.04 mV, p < 0.001) was significantly lower in the new-onset AF group compared with non-AFs. P wave duration/P wave voltage, with a cut off of 854.5 ms/mV, had 83.3% sensitivity and 62.0% specificity in a receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC 0.728, 95% CI 0.687-0.769; p < 0.001). Their negative and positive predictive values were 78.7% and 68.6%, respectively. In a univariate regression analysis, age, smoking, C-reactive protein, brain natriuretic peptide, left atrial diameter, left atrial volume index, P wave duration, P wave voltage, and P wave duration/P wave voltage were significantly associated with the development of new-onset AF. Moreover, smoking (OR 4.008, 95% CI 1.707-9.409; p=0.001), left atrial volume index (OR 7.108, 95% CI 4.400-11.483; p < 0.001), and P wave duration/P wave voltage (OR 1.002, 95% CI 1.000-1.003; p=0.044) were found to be significant independent predictors of new-onset AF in a multivariate analysis, after adjusting for other risk parameters.

Conclusion

The P wave duration/P wave voltage ratio is a practical, easy-to-use, cheap, and reliable electrocardiographic parameter, which can play a promising role for both in predicting and elucidating a mechanism of new-onset AF.

Presence of Atrial Fibrillation in Stroke Patients With Patent Foramen Ovale: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Purpose: Patent foramen ovale (PFO) is associated with ischemic stroke, especially in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. This study aims to evaluate the presence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in ischemic stroke patients with PFO. Methods: We systematically searched EMBASE and MEDLINE databases on May 21, 2020 for studies that analyzed the presence of AF in patients with PFO. The primary outcome was the presence of AF in patients with PFO compared with those without. Outcomes were pooled using a random-effects model using the method of DerSimonian and Laird. We recorded demographic characteristics and the methods used for AF detection in the studies included (unspecified, history/medical records review, ECG, Holter monitor, or loop recorder). Results: A total of 14 studies and 13,245 patients fulfilled the entry criteria. The average age was 61.2 years and 41.3% of the participants were female. There was a lower risk of AF in patients with PFO compared with those without (RR 0.52, 95% confidence interval, 0.41-0.63, p < 0.001). There was no evidence of heterogeneity. The lower risk of AF was found in cross-sectional and longitudinal studies and in studies stratified by average age (<60 or ≥60) and in cryptogenic stroke. Meta-regression by PFO detection technique suggested that studies using transoesophageal echocardiogram for PFO detection reported higher risk of AF (1.39, 95% confidence interval 1.14-1.70, p = 0.004). Conclusion: The presence of a PFO in patients with ischemic stroke/TIA may be associated with a lower risk of AF. Few studies have estimated the risk of future AF in patients with PFO.

Predictors of atrial fibrillation on implantable cardiac monitoring for cryptogenic stroke

Background

Since the CRYSTAL-AF trial, implantation and usage of implantable loop recorder (ICM) after cryptogenic stroke (CS) for detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) has increased. However, it is unclear which CS patients would most benefit from long term ICM monitoring. This study aims to determine the risk factors in patients that would confer maximum benefit from ICM placement following CS.

Methods

A Columbia University Institutional Review Board (IRB) approved retrospective analysis of medical records of 125 patients with CS followed by implantation of ICM was evaluated. Univariable and multivariable time-to-event analyses were performed on demographics, hours of activity and variability (HRV), stroke location, thrombosis etiology, and CHA₂DS₂ − VASc score. The primary outcome was presence of ICM-detected AF defined as AF lasting at least 2 min.

Results

One hundred twenty-five patients (mean 67.6 years ± 2.4 years, 60% male) were followed for at least 3 months. Twenty-two patients (18%) were found to have clinically verified detected AF; median of time to detection was 95 days. Upon univariable demographic analysis followed by multivariable Cox regression analysis, individuals with age 75 or older (HR: 3.987, p = 0.0046) or LVEF 40% and lower (HR: 3.056, p = 0.0213) had significantly higher risk of AF. Diabetics also had a lower AF detection in multivariable analysis (HR: 0.128, p = 0.0466).

Conclusions

Age 75 or older and LVEF ≤40% were the factors on multivariable analysis that predicted AF detection. Diabetes is a possible significant factor which should be evaluated further. CHA₂DS₂ − VASc score was notably not predictive of AF detected on ICM.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10840-021-00985-1.

Insertable cardiac monitors for detection of atrial fibrillation after cryptogenic stroke: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In recent years, the implantable cardiac monitors (ICM) have enhanced the recognition ability of atrial fibrillation (AF), which makes ICM have a new application in AF detection. We conducted a meta-analysis to determine the total incidence of newly found AF detected by ICM after cryptogenic stroke and to evaluate the factors related to the detection of AF.

METHODS

A literature search was conducted in the PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Cochrane library databases until March 1, 2020. Studies that reported the detection rate of AF using ICM in cryptogenic stroke patients with negative initial AF screening were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 23 studies were included. The overall proportion of AF detected by ICM in cryptogenic stroke patients was 25% (95% confidence interval [CI], 22-29%). The rate of AF detected by ICM was independently related to both cardiac monitoring time (coefficient = 0.0003; 95% CI, 0.0001-0.0005; P = 0.0001) and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (coefficient = 0.0834; 95% CI, 0.0339-0.1329; P = 0.001). In subgroup analysis, we found a significant difference in the detection rate of AF for monitoring duration (< 6 months: 9.6% [95% CI, 4.4-16.4%]; ≥ 6 and ≤ 12 months: 19.3% [95% CI, 15.9-23.0%]; > 12 and ≤ 24 months: 23.6% [95% CI, 19.9-27.5%]; > 24 months and ≤ 36 months: 36.5% [95% CI, 24.2-49.9%]; P < 0.001), and continent (Europe: 26.5% [95% CI, 22.2-31.0%]; North America: 16.0% [95% CI, 10.3-22.6%]; Asia: 17.4% [95% CI, 12.4-23.0%]; P = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

The longer the time of ICM monitoring after cryptogenic stroke, the higher the detection rate of AF. Further research is still needed to determine the optimal duration of long-term cardiac monitoring.

Prevalence and predictors of atrial fibrillation in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source: a real-life single-center retrospective study

INTRODUCTION

Up to one-third of ischemic strokes remained cryptogenic despite extensive investigations. Atrial fibrillation may be detected in a significant proportion of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source, particularly after the introduction of implantable loop recorder in clinical practice.

METHODS

We retrospectively included all the consecutive patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source referred to our units in the period November 2013 to December 2018 and in which an implantable loop recorder was positioned within 6 months from stroke event. Prevalence and predictors of atrial fibrillation were investigated.

RESULTS

One hundred thirty-eight patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source fulfilling inclusion criteria were identified. The crude prevalence of atrial fibrillation at the end of observation period was of 45.7%. Incidence rates at 6, 12, 18, 24, and 36 months resulted, respectively, 31.8% (95% CI, 30.4-46.7), 38.0% (95% CI, 30.4-46.9), 42.6% (95% CI, 34.5-51.6), 46.6% (95% CI, 38.2-55.8), and 50.4% (95% CI, 41.6-59.9). On multivariate analysis, only excessive supraventricular electric activity and left atrial enlargement resulted to be significant predictors of atrial fibrillation (p = 0.037 and p < 0.0001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Atrial fibrillation may be detected in a relevant proportion (up to 50%) of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source if a careful and extensive diagnostic work-up is employed. Excessive supraventricular electric activity and left atrial enlargement are significant predictors of the occurrence of atrial fibrillation in these patients.

Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation in Cryptogenic Stroke Patients With Major-Vessel Occlusion

Background and Purpose: To determine whether acute major-vessel occlusion (MVO) predicts atrial fibrillation (AF) in cryptogenic stroke (CS) patients, we analyzed the association between acute MVO and AF detected by insertable cardiac monitoring (ICM).

Methods: We conducted a retrospective, multicenter, observational study of patients with CS who underwent ICM implantation between October 2016 and March 2018. In this analysis, we included follow-up data until June 2018. We analyzed the association of MVO with AF detected by ICM.

Results: We included 84 consecutive patients with CS who underwent ICM implantation. The proportion of patients with newly detected AF by ICM was higher in patients with MVO than in those without (41% [12/29] vs. 13% [7/55], p < 0.01) within 90 days of ICM implantation. The MVO was associated with AF after adjustment for each clinically relevant factor.

Conclusions: MVO was independently associated with AF detection in patients with CS, which suggests that MVO may be a useful predictor of latent AF. It is therefore essential to actively assess latent AF in patients with CS presenting with MVO.