Prognostic impact of postoperative serum CA 19-9 levels in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer

Gaining a new angle on pancreas cancer: A pre-operative thrombelastographic parameter predicts recurrence and survival among patients with resected periampullary and pancreatic adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

It has previously been demonstrated that Thrombelastography(TEG) angle may be associated with recurrence and survival in pancreas cancer in a cohort of patients operated on at the University of Colorado in 2016-2017. Now approaching 10 years of follow-up, we revisit these associations and strengthen these claims with multivariate analysis.

METHODS

Retrospective chart review was performed. Statistical analysis was conducted using STATA. Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves identified the performance of angle for predicting recurrence&survival. Unadjusted and adjusted cox regression models were used to identify significant predictors of these outcomes.

RESULTS

47 patients were included with median follow-up of 29.6 months. ROC curves for angle predicting recurrence and survival identified a cutoff of 44.5°. KM curves demonstrated that patients above the cutoff were more likely to recur(90%vs46 ​%,p ​= ​0.001) and less likely to survive(16%vs56 ​%,p ​= ​0.001). Angle remained significant on multivariate analyses (HR recurrence:3.64[1.32-10.25],HR survival:3.80[1.38-10.46]).

CONCLUSIONS

TEG angle is independently associated with disease recurrence and overall survival in pancreas cancer. This may be identifying virulent tumor biology, but further studies are required. A prospective study is underway.

Development of a CT radiomics nomogram for preoperative prediction of Ki-67 index in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: a two-center retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT)-based radiomics nomogram for the preoperative evaluation of Ki-67 proliferation status in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

METHODS

In this two-center retrospective study, a total of 181 patients (95 in the training cohort; 42 in the testing cohort, and 44 in the external validation cohort) with PDAC who underwent CECT examination were included. Radiomic features were extracted from portal venous phase images. The radiomics signatures were built by using two feature-selecting methods (relief and recursive feature elimination) and four classifiers (support vector machine, naive Bayes, linear discriminant analysis (LDA), and logistic regression (LR)). Multivariate LR was used to build a clinical model and radiomics-clinical nomogram. The predictive performances of the models were evaluated using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

The relief selector and LDA classifier using twelve features built the optimal radiomics signature, with AUCs of 0.948, 0.927, and 0.824 in the training, testing, and external validation cohorts, respectively. The radiomics-clinical nomogram incorporating the optimal radiomics signature, CT-reported lymph node status, and CA19-9 showed better predictive performance with AUCs of 0.976, 0.955, and 0.882 in the training, testing, and external validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curve and DCA demonstrated goodness-of-fit and improved benefits in clinical practice of the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomics-clinical nomogram is an effective and non-invasive computer-aided tool to predict the Ki-67 expression status in patients with PDAC.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The radiomics-clinical nomogram is an effective and non-invasive computer-aided tool to predict the Ki-67 expression status in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

KEY POINTS

The radiomics analysis could be helpful to predict Ki-67 expression status in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The radiomics-clinical nomogram integrated with the radiomics signature, clinical data, and CT radiological features could significantly improve the differential diagnosis of Ki-67 expression status. The radiomics-clinical nomogram showed satisfactory calibration and net benefit for discriminating high and low Ki-67 expression status in PDAC.

Dynamics of Serum CA19-9 in Patients Undergoing Pancreatic Cancer Resection

BACKGROUND

Carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 is an established perioperative prognostic biomarker for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, it is unclear how CA19-9 monitoring should be used during postoperative surveillance to detect recurrence and to guide the initiation of recurrence-focused therapy.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to elucidate the value of CA19-9 as a diagnostic biomarker for disease recurrence in patients who underwent PDAC resection.

METHODS

Serum CA19-9 levels at diagnosis, after surgery, and during postoperative follow-up were analyzed in patients who underwent PDAC resection. All patients with at least two postoperative follow-up CA19-9 measurements before recurrence were included. Patients deemed to be nonsecretors of CA19-9 were excluded. The relative increase in postoperative CA19-9 was calculated for each patient by dividing the maximum postoperative CA19-9 value by the first postoperative value. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to identify the optimal threshold for the relative increase in CA19-9 levels to identify recurrence in the training set using Youden's index. The performance of this cutoff was validated in a test set by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) and was compared to the performance of the optimal cutoff for postoperative CA19-9 measurements as a continuous value. In addition, sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values were assessed.

RESULTS

In total, 271 patients were included, of whom 208 (77%) developed recurrence. Receiver operating characteristic analysis demonstrated that a relative increase in postoperative serum CA19-9 of 2.6× was predictive of recurrence, with 58% sensitivity, 83% specificity, 95% positive predictive value, and 28% negative predictive value. The AUC for a 2.6× relative increase in the CA19-9 level was 0.719 in the training set and 0.663 in the test set. The AUC of postoperative CA19-9 as a continuous value (optimal threshold, 52) was 0.671 in the training set. In the training set, the detection of a 2.6-fold increase in CA19-9 preceded the detection of recurrence by a mean difference of 7 months ( P <0.001) and in the test set by 10 months ( P <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

A relative increase in the postoperative serum CA19-9 level of 2.6-fold is a stronger predictive marker for recurrence than a continuous CA19-9 cutoff. A relative CA19-9 increase can precede the detection of recurrence on imaging for up to 7 to 10 months. Therefore, CA19-9 dynamics can be used as a biomarker to guide the initiation of recurrence-focused treatment.

Clinical Features and Outcomes of Patients with Pancreaticobiliary Malignancies in Los Angeles County and Their Association with CA 19-9 Levels

Although CA 19-9 is a commonly used tumor marker in the management of PBMs, the literature describing outcomes in patients with PBMs who have undetectable or low (hereinafter “low”) CA 19-9 levels remains scarce. In this study, we sought to compare clinical features and outcomes in patients with PBMs and low CA 19-9 levels to those with normal and elevated CA 19-9 levels. Methods: We retrospectively collected data on patients with biopsy-confirmed PBMs and stratified patients into categories based on their CA 19-9 level at diagnosis. Survival curves were estimated for patients in each of the three aforementioned CA 19-9 groups using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared using a Cox proportional hazards regression model. Results: Of the 283 patients identified, 23 (8.1%) had low, 70 (24.7%) had normal, and 190 (67.1%) had elevated CA 19-9 levels. After controlling for sex, age, BMI, the presence of metastases at the time of diagnosis, and treatment with curative intent, the hazard ratio for death in the elevated CA 19-9 group compared to the low CA 19-9 group was 1.993 (95% CI 1.089–3.648; p = 0.025). Conclusion: The elevated CA 19-9 level compared to the low CA 19-9 level and the presence of metastases were associated with an increased hazard of death, while treatment with curative intent was associated with a decreased hazard of death.

Prognostic and predictive value of tumoral DNA damage repair protein expression in patients with resected pancreatic cancer

OBJECTIVE

DNA damage repair (DDR) gene mutations gained interest in the treatment of metastatic pancreatic cancer (PC) patients, but their relevance in adjuvant setting is not well characterized. We assessed the prognostic and predictive potential of tumoral expression of DDR proteins along with clinical and tumor characteristics in patients with resected PC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with PC who underwent pancreatic resection in our institution between 2005 and 2017 were retrospectively retrieved. Tumoral expression of a panel of DDR proteins including BRCA1, BRCA2, ATM, and p53 with immunohistochemistry was evaluated and association with patient and tumor features as well as prognosis was assessed.

RESULTS

130 patients were included in the study. The median age was 61 and 66% were males, 57% had lymph node involvement and 17% had a vascular invasion. 25 patients (19%) had thrombosis at the time of diagnosis. Median overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were 21.6 and 11.8 months, respectively. More advanced disease stage (HR: 3.67 95% CI 1.48-9.12, p = 0.005), presence of thrombosis (HR: 2.01 95% CI 1.04-3.89, p = 0.039), high BRCA1 expression (HR: 2.25, 95% CI 1.13-5.48, p = 0.023) and high post-operative CA 19-9 level (>100 IU/ml) (HR:2.61 95% CI 1.40-4.89, p = 0.003) were associated with shorter DFS. BRCA2, ATM, and p53 expression were not associated with DFS or OS. Adjuvant gemcitabine-cisplatin regimen was not associated with increased DFS or OS in the whole group, neither in low or high expressors of BRCA1, BRCA2, ATM or p53.

CONCLUSION

Contrary to BRCA2, ATM, and P53, BRCA1 expression may be beneficial for prognosis in resected pancreatic cancer, while no predictive role was observed in terms of adjuvant platinum efficacy.

Role of neoadjuvant treatment in resectable pancreatic cancer according to vessel invasion and increase of CA19-9 levels

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

The efficacy of neoadjuvant treatment (NAT) for resectable pancreatic cancer remains debatable, particularly in patients with portal vein (PV)/superior mesenteric vein (SMV) contact and elevated serum carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9. This study investigated the clinical significance of PV/SMV contact and CA19-9 levels, and the role of NAT in resectable pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

A total of 775 patients who underwent surgery for resectable pancreatic cancer between 2007 and 2018 were included. Propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis (1:3) was performed based on tumor size, lymph node enlargement, and PV/SMV contact. Subgroup analyses were performed according to PV/SMV contact and CA19-9 level.

RESULTS

Among the patients, 52 underwent NAT and 723 underwent upfront surgery. After PSM, NAT group showed better survival than upfront surgery group (median 30.0 vs 22.0 months, P = .047). In patients with PV/SMV contact, NAT tended to have better survival (30.0 vs 22.0 months, P = .069). CA19-9 >150 U/mL was a poor prognostic factor, with NAT showing a significant survival difference compared with upfront surgery (34.0 vs 18.0 months, P = .004).

CONCLUSIONS

Neoadjuvant treatment showed better survival than upfront surgery in resectable pancreatic cancer. In patients with PV/SMV contact or CA19-9 >150 U/mL, NAT showed a survival difference compared to upfront surgery; therefore, NAT could be considered in these patients.

Current Treatment of Potentially Resectable Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Medical Oncologist's Perspective

Pancreatic cancer has traditionally been associated with a dismal prognosis, even in early stages of the disease. In recent years, the introduction of newer generation chemotherapy regimens in the adjuvant setting has improved the survival of patients treated with upfront resection. However, there are multiple theoretical advantages to deliver early systemic therapy in patients with localized pancreatic cancer. So far, the evidence supports the use of neoadjuvant therapy for patients with borderline resectable pancreatic cancer. The benefit of this treatment sequence for patients with resectable disease remains elusive. In this review, we summarize the data on adjuvant therapy for pancreatic cancer and describe which evidence backs the use of neoadjuvant therapy. Additionally, we address important issues faced in clinical practice when treating patients with localized pancreatic cancer.

Postoperative surveillance of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) recurrence: practice pattern on standardized imaging and reporting from the society of abdominal radiology disease focus panel on PDAC

PURPOSE

Surgical resection is the only potential curative treatment for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), but unfortunately most patients recur within 5 years of surgery. This article aims to assess the practice patterns across major academic institutions and develop consensus recommendations for postoperative imaging and interpretation in patients with PDAC.

METHODS

The consensus recommendations for postoperative imaging surveillance following PDAC resection were developed using the Delphi method. Members of the Society of Abdominal Radiology (SAR) PDAC Disease Focused Panel (DFP) underwent three rounds of surveys followed by live webinar group discussions to develop consensus recommendations.

RESULTS

Significant variations currently exist in the postoperative surveillance of PDAC, even among academic institutions. Differentiating common postoperative inflammatory and fibrotic changes from tumor recurrence remains a diagnostic challenge, and there is no reliable size threshold or growth rate of imaging findings that can provide differentiation. A new liver lesion or peritoneal nodule should be considered suspicious for tumor recurrence, and the imaging features should be interpreted in the appropriate clinical context (e.g., CA 19-9, clinical presentation, pathologic staging).

CONCLUSION

Postoperative imaging following PDAC resection is challenging to interpret due to the presence of confounding postoperative inflammatory changes. A standardized reporting template for locoregional findings and report impression may improve communication of relaying risk of recurrence with referring providers, which merits validation in future studies.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes in carbohydrate antigen 19-9 negative pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a leading cause of death from cancer worldwide. Tumor markers like carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) have been proven valuable as a diagnostic tool and a predictor for tumor staging and response to therapy.

AIM

To delineate the phenotype of normal CA 19-9 PDAC according to clinical features, disease staging and prognosis as compared with high CA 19-9 PDAC cases.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective single-center analysis of all PDAC cases admitted in our Gastroenterology department over a period of 30 mo that were diagnosed by endoscopic ultrasound-guided tissue acquisition. Patients were divided into two groups according to CA 19-9 levels over a threshold of 37 U/mL. We performed a comparison between the two groups with regard to demographic and clinical data, biomarkers, tumor staging and 6-mo survival.

RESULTS

Altogether 111 patients were recruited with 29 having documented normal CA 19-9 (< 37 U/mL). In the CA 19-9 negative group of patients, 20.68% had elevated levels of both CEA and CA 125, 13.79% for CA 125 only whilst 17.24% for CEA only. The two groups had similar demographic characteristics. Abdominal pain was more frequently reported in positive vs negative CA 19-9 PDAC cases (76.83% vs 55.17%), while smoking was slightly more prevalent in the latter group (28.04% vs 31.03%). Tumors over 2 cm were more frequently seen in the positive CA 19-9 group, reflecting a higher proportion of locally advanced and metastatic neoplasia (87.7% vs 79.3%). Six-month survival was higher for the negative CA 19-9 group (58.62% vs 47.56%).

CONCLUSION

Elevated CA 19-9 at diagnosis seems to be associated with a more pronounced symptomatology, high tumor burden and poor prognosis compared to negative CA 19-9 PDAC cases. CEA and CA 125 can be adjunctive useful markers for PDAC, especially in CA 19-9 negative cases.

Prognostic value of serum CEA and CA19‑9 levels in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

The present study investigated the associations of serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels with clinicopathological variables and survival outcomes in Libyan patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The clinicopathological variables of 123 patients with PDAC registered at the National Cancer Institute in Misurata, Libya, between 2010 and 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Blood samples from these patients were analyzed for serum CEA and CA19-9 levels before treatment by electrochemiluminescence immunoassay (double antibody sandwich ELISA) on a Roche cobas e 602 modules. The relationships between CA19-9 and CEA serum levels with clinicopathologic variables and survival outcomes were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test and Cox regression analyzes. Cut-off values for serum CEA and CA19-9 levels were 5 ng/ml and 400 U/ml, respectively. The median serum levels of all patients with PDAC for CEA and CA19-9 were 8 ng/ml (1.1-377 ng/ml) and 389 U/ml (1-10,050 U/ml), respectively. Tumors with higher serum CEA and CA19-9 levels were found in 63 and 48% of patients, respectively. Higher CEA and CA19-9 serum levels were significantly associated with more indicators of a malignant phenotype, including a surgically unresectable tumor, unevaluable lymph nodes, advanced stages and distant metastases. Regarding survival, patients with higher serum levels of the biomarkers CEA and CA19-9 had shorter overall survival rates (P<0.016 and (P<0.014, log-rank, respectively) and lower disease-free survival rates (P<0.002 and P<0.0001, log-rank, respectively). The present study demonstrated significant clinical and prognostic value of serum levels of biomarkers CEA and CA19-9 for Libyan patients with PDAC. Moreover, patients with PDAC with higher serum CEA and CA19-9 levels had more aggressive tumors, higher rates of disease recurrence and shorter overall survival rates and thus required more vigilant follow-up. Further multinational studies with larger PDAC cohorts are warranted to confirm these findings in terms of improved clinical decision making, more effective management and improved survival.

Predictive risk factors for early recurrence in patients with localized pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma who underwent curative-intent resection after preoperative chemoradiotherapy

Background

The optimal surgical indication after preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) remains a subject of debate for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) because early recurrence often occurs even after curative-intent resection. The present study aimed to identify perioperative risk factors of early recurrence for patients with PDAC who underwent curative-intent resection after preoperative CRT.

Methods

Two hundred three patients with PDAC who underwent curative-intent resection after preoperative CRT from February 2005 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. The optimal threshold for differentiating between early and late recurrence was determined by the minimum p-value approach. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to identify predictive factors for early recurrence.

Results

In 130 patients who developed recurrence after resection, 52 who had an initial recurrence within 12 months were defined as the early recurrence group, and the remaining 78 were defined as the late recurrence group. The incidence of hepatic recurrence was significantly higher in the early recurrence group than in the late recurrence group (39.7 vs. 15.4%). The early recurrence group had significantly lower 3-year rates of post-recurrence and overall survival than the late recurrence group (4.0 and 10.7% vs. 9.8 and 59.0%, respectively). Serum level of CA19-9 before surgery ≥56.8 U/ml was identified as an independent risk factor for early recurrence (OR:3.07, 95%CI:1.65–5.73, p<0.001) and associated with a significantly higher cumulative incidence rate of hepatic recurrence and lower rates of recurrence-free and overall survival.

Conclusion

Serum level of CA19-9 before surgery after preoperative CRT was a strong predictive factor for early recurrence.

Simple Serum Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (PDAC) Protein Biomarkers-Is There Anything in Sight?

A poor PDAC prognosis is due to a lack of effective treatment and late diagnosis. The early detection of PDAC could significantly decrease mortality and save lives. Idealbiomarkers for PDAC should be cost-effective, detectable in easily accessible biological material, and present in sufficient concentration in the earliest possible phase of the disease. This review addresses newly selected, simple protein biomarkers—new ones such as thrombospondin-2, insulin-linked binding protein 2, lysophosphatidic acid, and autotaxin and conventional ones such as Ca19-9, inflammatory factors, and coagulation factors. Their possible use in the early detection of PDAC, differentiation from benign diseases, prognosis, and treatment response prediction is discussed. We also address the usefulness of possible combinations of biomarkers in diagnostic panels.

Circulating Tumor DNA as a Potential Prognostic Marker in Patients with Borderline-Resectable Pancreatic Cancer Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Followed by Pancreatectomy

BACKGROUND

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) might be a promising biomarker for pancreatic cancer in liquid biopsy. This study aimed to evaluate the usefulness of liquid biopsy for patients with borderline-resectable pancreatic cancer (BR-PC).

METHODS

Patients with BR-PC according to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines (2017) and eligible for neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by pancreatectomy were recruited at Wakayama Medical University Hospital (UMIN000026647) between March 2017 and April 2020. The study enrolled 55 patients with locally advanced PC, and each patient consented to inclusion in the study. The study investigated the relationship between KRAS status in ctDNA and clinicopathologic features, analyzing ctDNA at three time points: pretreatment, post-NAC, and post-operation.

RESULTS

Of the 55 enrolled patients with a diagnosis of BR-PC, 34 were scheduled to undergo pancreatectomy. From 27 patients with resected BR-PC, 81 blood samples were analyzed in triplicate for ctDNA. The patients with positive pretreatment and post-NAC ctDNA status had no significant decrease in median relapse-free survival (RFS) or overall survival (OS). However, the patients with positive postoperation ctDNA status had a significantly shorter median OS (723 days) than the patients with negative ctDNA results (not reached; P = 0.0148). A combined analysis of postoperative ctDNA and CA19-9 values showed the cumulative effect on both RFS (P = 0.0066) and OS (P = 0.0046). The adjusted hazard ratio for risk of survival computed for the patients carrying risk factors (either detectable ctDNA or CA19-9 > 37 U/ml) increased from 4.13-fold to 17.71-fold (both P = 0.0055) compared with the patients who had no risk factors.

CONCLUSION

Positive ctDNA predicts poor survival for patients with BR-PC who undergo NAC followed by pancreatectomy.

Plasma KRAS mutations predict the early recurrence after surgical resection of pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

The technique to analyze circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in body fluid (so-called "liquid biopsy") is recently developed.

AIMS

Our aim was to assess the utility of liquid biopsy for predicting progression of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) after surgical resection or chemotherapy.

METHODS

A total of 72 patients with PDAC were retrospectively enrolled for this study, 33 treated surgically and 39 given chemotherapy, either FOLFIRINOX (oxaliplatin/irinotecan/fluorouracil/leucovorin) or gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel. Prior to treatment, patients were screened for the presence of KRAS mutations (G12D and G12V) in plasma using droplet digital polymerase chain reaction, and outcomes were compared.

RESULTS

KRAS mutations were identified in plasma samples of 12 patients (36%) underwent surgical resection. Patients with plasma KRAS mutations had significantly shorter disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (p < .01 and p = .01, respectively). Of 10 clinical variables analyzed, plasma KRAS mutation was the factor predictive of DFS in multivariate analysis (RR = 3.58, 95% CI: 1.36-9.60; p = .01). Although 12 patients (31%) given chemotherapy tested positive for plasma KRAS mutations, there was no demonstrable relation between plasma KRAS mutations and progression-free survival (PFS) or overall survival (OS) (p = .35 and p = .68, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with PDAC, detection of KRAS mutations in plasma proved independently predictive of early recurrence after surgical resection but did not correlate with PFS following chemotherapy.

Prognostic Role of Carbohydrate Antigen 19 to 9 in Predicting Survival of Patients With Pancreatic Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

This study evaluates the prognostic role of carbohydrate antigen 19 to 9 (CA19-9) in predicting survival of pancreatic cancer patients. Literature search was conducted in electronic databases (Google Scholar, Ovid, PubMed, and Science Direct) and study selection was based on precise eligibility criteria. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed to achieve overall estimates of median survival and hazard ratios (HRs) of survival with cutoff defined lower and higher CA19-9 levels before and after surgery or chemotherapy (CT)/radiotherapy (RT) and the changes in CA19-9 levels after any treatment. A total of 41 studies (6519 patients; 42% females; age 63.3 years [95% confidence interval [CI]: 62.2, 64.4]) were included. A pooled HR of 1.79 with a narrow 95% CI (1.58, 2.01) showed that higher CA19-9 levels or less decrease in CA19-9 levels after treatment predicted shorter survival. Median survival in patients with lower and higher preoperative CA19-9 levels was 23.2 months [95% CI: 17.2, 29.2] and 14.0 months [95% CI: 10.9, 17.2], respectively, whereas median survival with lower and higher postoperative CA19-9 levels was 25.0 months [95% CI: 21.9, 28.0] and 13.0 months [95% CI: 10.9, 15.0] respectively. Median survival with lower and higher pre-CT/RT CA19-9 levels was 11.9 months [95% CI: 10.2, 13.6] and 7.7 months [95% CI: 6.2, 9.2], respectively, whereas median survival with lower and higher post-CT/RT CA19-9 levels was 15.1 months [95% CI: 13.2, 17.0] and 10.7 months [95% CI: 7.3, 14.0] respectively. A decrease in CA19-9 levels after treatment was also associated with longer survival. Thus, both pretreatment and posttreatment CA19-9 levels or their changes after treatment have good prognostic value in determining the survival of pancreatic cancer patients.

Prognostic impact of the ratio of preoperative CA19-9 to liver enzyme levels in pancreatic cancer patients with jaundice (predictability of combined CA19-9/AST and CA19-9/γ-GGT for jaundiced PDAC patients)

BACKGROUND

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) has been reported as the most significant survival predictor of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, the elevation of CA19-9 could interfere with obstructive jaundice and the predictive value of CA19-9 in PDAC patients with jaundice remains to be analyzed and elucidated to find possible adjustments.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the predictability of preoperative CA19-9 and its adjustments for the overall survival (OS) of PDAC patients by analyzing the relationship between preoperative serum CA19-9 and total bilirubin (TBIL).

METHODS

A total of 563 consecutive patients who underwent surgery for primary pancreatic adenocarcinoma in our center between January 2015 and September 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Clinicopathologic information was collected and preoperative parameters such as CA19-9, CEA, TBIL, γ-GGT, AST, ALT, and ALP were recorded as well as overall survival rates, which began from the date of operation to that of death or the last follow-up. Kaplan-Meier survival curves with log-rank test and Cox regression models were applied using SPSS and the survival and survminer packages in R software.

RESULTS

Using 39/390/1000 as the cut-off values for preoperative serum CA19-9, significant capability of OS stratification was found in the total cohort (p < 0.001, MST = 29.7/19.1/15.2/12.1 months) and patients with TBIL <102.6 μmol/L (p < 0.001, MST = 32.2/19.6/15.0/11.2 months). However, in the subgroup of TBIL≥102.6 μmol/L, this classification method was replaced by the combined scoring of CA19-9/AST and CA19-9/γ-GGT.

CONCLUSIONS

As an independent predictor of overall survival of PDAC patients, preoperative serum CA19-9 is defective in survival stratification when TBIL≥102.6 μmol/L but a positive survival prognosis could be achieved with the application of combined preoperative CA19-9/AST and CA19-9/γ-GGT.

Predicting Adverse Pathologic Features and Clinical Outcomes of Resectable Pancreas Cancer With Preoperative CA 19-9

Background

We evaluated preoperative CA 19-9 levels in patients with resected pancreatic cancer to analyze whether they were predictive of clinical outcomes and could help select patients for additional therapy. We hypothesized that elevated CA 19-9 would be associated with worse pathologic findings and oncologic outcomes.

Methods

This study assessed 509 patients with non-metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma who underwent resection at our institution from 1995-2011 and had preoperative CA 19-9 recorded. No patients received neoadjuvant therapy. CA 19-9 level was analyzed as a continuous and a dichotomized (> vs. ≤ 55 U/mL) variable using logistic and Cox models.

Results

Median follow-up was 7.8 years, and the median age was 66 years (33-90). 64% of patients had elevated preoperative CA 19-9 (median: 141 U/mL), that did not correlate with bilirubin level or tumor size. Most patients had ≥ T3 tumors (72%) and positive lymph nodes (62%). The rate of incomplete (R1 or R2) resection was 19%. Increasing preoperative CA 19-9 was associated with extra-pancreatic extension (p=0.0005), lymphovascular space invasion (p=0.0072), incomplete resection [HR (95% CI) 2.0 (1.2-3.5)], and lower OS [HR = 1.6 (1.3-2.0)]. Each doubling in preoperative CA 19-9 value was associated with an 8.3% increased risk of death [HR = 1.08 (1.02-1.15)] and a 10.0% increased risk of distant recurrence [HR = 1.10 (1.02-1.19)]. Patients classified as non-secretors had comparable outcomes to patients with normal CA 19-9.

Conclusions

Elevated preoperative CA 19-9 level was associated with adverse pathologic features, incomplete resection, and inferior clinical outcomes. Neither tumor size nor bilirubin confound an elevated CA 19-9 level. Preoperative CA 19-9 level may help select patients for additional therapy.

Roles of CA19-9 in pancreatic cancer: Biomarker, predictor and promoter

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is the best validated biomarker and an indicator of aberrant glycosylation in pancreatic cancer. CA19-9 functions as a biomarker, predictor, and promoter in pancreatic cancer. As a biomarker, the sensitivity is approximately 80%, and the major challenges involve false positives in conditions of inflammation and nonpancreatic cancers and false negatives in Lewis-negative Individuals. Lewis antigen status should be determined when using CA19-9 as a biomarker. CA19-9 has screening potential when combined with symptoms and/or risk factors. As a predictor, CA19-9 could be used to assess stage, prognosis, resectability, recurrence, and therapeutic efficacy. Normal baseline levels of CA19-9 are associated with long-term survival. As a promoter, CA19-9 could be used to evaluate the biology of pancreatic cancer. CA19-9 can accelerate pancreatic cancer progression by glycosylating proteins, binding to E-selectin, strengthening angiogenesis, and mediating the immunological response. CA19-9 is an attractive therapeutic target for cancer, and strategies include therapeutic antibodies and vaccines, CA19-9-guided nanoparticles, and inhibition of CA19-9 biosynthesis.

Prognostic Factors of Survival After Neoadjuvant Treatment and Resection for Initially Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of clinical and pathological parameters, including resection margin (R) status, on survival in patients undergoing pancreatic surgery after neoadjuvant treatment for initially unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

BACKGROUND

Prognostic factors are well documented for patients with resectable PDAC, but have not been described in detail for patients with initially unresectable PDAC undergoing resection after neoadjuvant therapy.

METHODS

Prospectively collected data of consecutive patients with initially unresectable pancreatic cancer treated by neoadjuvant treatment and resection were analyzed. The R status was categorized as R0 (tumor-free margin >1 mm), R1 ≤1 mm (tumor-free margin ≤1 mm), and R1 direct (microscopic tumor infiltration at margin). Clinicopathological characteristics and outcomes were compared among these groups and tested for survival prediction.

RESULTS

Between January, 2006 and February, 2017, 280 patients with borderline resectable (n = 18), locally advanced (n = 190), or oligometastatic (n = 72) disease underwent tumor resection after neoadjuvant treatment. Median overall survival from the time of surgery was 25.1 months for R0 (n = 82), 15.3 months for R1 ≤1 mm (n = 99), and 16.1 months for R1 direct (n = 99), with 3-year overall survival rates of 35.0%, 20.7%, and 18.5%, respectively (P = 0.0076). The median duration of the neoadjuvant treatment period was 5.1 months. In multivariable analysis, preoperative CA 19-9 levels, lymph node status, metastasis category, and vascular involvement were all significant prognostic factors for overall survival. The R status was not an independent prognostic factor.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients undergoing resection after neoadjuvant therapy for initially unresectable PDAC, preoperative CA 19-9 levels, lymph node involvement, metastasis category, and vascular involvement, but not the R status, were independent prognostic factors of overall survival.

Prognosis prediction of pancreatic cancer after curative intent surgery using imaging parameters derived from F-18 fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography

Imaging parameters including metabolic or textural parameters during F-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) are being used for evaluation of malignancy. However, their utility for prognosis prediction has not been thoroughly investigated. Here, we evaluated the prognosis prediction ability of imaging parameters from preoperative FDGPET/CT in operable pancreatic cancer patients.Sixty pancreatic cancer patients (male:female = 36:24, age = 67.2 ± 10.5 years) who had undergone FDGPET/CT before the curative intent surgery were enrolled. Clinico-pathologic parameters, metabolic parameters from FDGPET/CT; maximal standard uptake value (SUVmax), glucose-incorporated SUVmax (GI-SUVmax), metabolic tumor volume, total-lesion glycolysis, and 53 textural parameters derived from imaging analysis software (MaZda version 4.6) were compared with overall survival.All the patients underwent curative resection. Mean and standard deviation of overall follow-up duration was 16.12 ± 9.81months. Among them, 39 patients had died at 13.46 ± 8.82 months after operation, whereas 21 patients survived with the follow-up duration of 18.56 ± 9.97 months. In the univariate analysis, Tumor diameter ≥4 cm (P = .003), Preoperative Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 ≥37 U/mL (P = .034), number of metastatic lymph node (P = .048) and GI-SUVmax (P = .004) were significant parameters for decreased overall survival. Among the textural parameters, kurtosis3D (P = .052), and skewness3D (P = .064) were potentially significant predictors in the univariate analysis. However, in multivariate analysis only GI-SUVmax (P = .026) and combined operation (P = .001) were significant independent predictors of overall survival.The current research result indicates that metabolic parameter (GI-SUVmax) from FDGPET/CT, and combined operation could predict the overall survival of surgically resected pancreatic cancer patients. Other metabolic or textural imaging parameters were not significant predictors for overall survival of localized pancreatic cancer.

A nomogram to preoperatively predict 1-year disease-specific survival in resected pancreatic cancer following neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy

Objective

This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the 1-year survival of patients with pancreatic cancer who underwent pancreatectomy following neoadjuvant treatment with preoperatively detectable clinical parameters. Extended pancreatectomy is necessary to achieve complete tumor removal in borderline resectable and locally advanced pancreatic cancer. However, it increases postoperative morbidity and mortality rates, and should be balanced with potential benefit of long-term survival.

Methods

The medical records of patients who underwent pancreatectomy following neoadjuvant treatment from January 2005 to December 2016 at Severance Hospital were retrospectively reviewed. Medical records were collected from five international institutions from Japan and Singapore for external validation.

Results

A total of 113 patients were enrolled. The nomogram for predicting 1-year disease-specific survival was created based on 5 clinically detectable preoperative parameters as follows: age (year), symptom (no/yes), tumor size at initial diagnostic stage (cm), preoperative serum carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 level after neoadjuvant treatment (<34/≥34 U/mL), and planned surgery [pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) (pylorus-preserving PD)/distal pancreatectomy (DP)/total pancreatectomy]. Model performance was assessed for discrimination and calibration. The calibration plot showed good agreement between actual and predicted survival probabilities; the the Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino (GND) goodness-of-fit test showed that the model was well calibrated (χ²=8.24, P=0.5099). A total of 84 patients were used for external validation. When correlating actual disease-specific survival and calculated 1-year disease-specific survival, there were significance differences according to the calculated probability of 1-year survival among the three groups (P=0.044).

Conclusions

The developed nomogram had quite acceptable accuracy and clinical feasibility in the decision-making process for the management of pancreatic cancer.

Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Recent Updates

This Guest Editorial introduces this month's special Pancreatic Cancer Theme Issue, a series of reviews intended to highlight the pathologic to molecular profiles and diagnoses of benign and neoplastic pancreatic lesions.

Sustained Elevation of Postoperative Serum Level of Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 is High-Risk Stigmata for Primary Hepatic Recurrence in Patients with Curatively Resected Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Survival after surgery for pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PA) is poor and heterogeneous, even for curative (R0) resection. Serum carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 levels are important prognostic markers for resected PA. However, sustained elevation of CA19-9 in association with the patterns of recurrence has been rarely investigated.

METHODS

Patients who underwent R0 resection (n = 539) were grouped according to postoperative serum CA19-9 levels (Group E: sustained elevation; Group N: no elevation). Clinicopathological factors, patterns of recurrence, and survival were compared between the groups.

RESULTS

Group E (n = 159) had significantly shorter median overall survival (17.1 vs. 35.4 months, p < 0.0001) than Group N (n = 380). Postoperative CA19-9 elevation was a significant independent predictor of poor survival in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio 1.98, p < 0.0001). The rate of hepatic recurrence in Group E was 2.6-fold higher than in Group N (45% vs. 17%, p < 0.0001). Postoperative CA19-9 elevation was a strongest independent predictor of primary hepatic recurrence (p < 0.0001) by a multiple regression model. Loco-regional, peritoneal, and other distant recurrence did not differ between the groups. The extent of preoperative CA19-9 elevation was correlated sustained elevation of CA19-9 after surgery (p < 0.0001) and primary hepatic recurrence (p = 0.0019).

CONCLUSIONS

Sustained CA19-9 elevation was strong predictor of primary hepatic recurrence and short survival in cases of R0 resection for PA.

Decreased serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels after neoadjuvant therapy predict a better prognosis for patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma: a multicenter case-control study of 240 patients

Background

Carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19–9 levels after resection are considered to predict prognosis; however, the significance of decreased CA19–9 levels after neoadjuvant therapy has not been clarified. This study aimed to define the prognostic significance of decreased CA19–9 levels after neoadjuvant therapy in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

Methods

Between 2001 and 2012, 240 consecutive patients received neoadjuvant therapy and subsequent resection at seven high-volume institutions in Japan. These patients were divided into three groups: Normal group (no elevation [≤37 U/ml] before and after neoadjuvant therapy), Responder group (elevated levels [> 37 U/ml] before neoadjuvant therapy but decreased levels [≤37 U/ml] afterwards), and Non-responder group (elevated levels [> 37 U/ml] after neoadjuvant therapy). Analyses of overall survival and recurrence patterns were performed. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed to clarify the clinicopathological factors influencing overall survival. The initial metastasis sites were also evaluated in these groups.

Results

The Responder group received a better prognosis than the Non-responder group (3-year overall survival: 50.6 and 41.6%, respectively, P = 0.026), but the prognosis was comparable to the Normal group (3-year overall survival: 54.2%, P = 0.934). According to the analysis of the receiver operating characteristic curve, the CA19–9 cut-off level defined as no elevation after neoadjuvant therapy was ≤103 U/ml. The multivariate analysis revealed that a CA19–9 level ≤ 103 U/ml, (P = 0.010, hazard ratio: 1.711; 95% confidence interval: 1.133–2.639), tumor size ≤27 mm (P = 0.040, 1.517; (1.018–2.278)), a lack of lymph node metastasis (P = 0.002, 1.905; (1.276–2.875)), and R0 status (P = 0.045, 1.659; 1.012–2.627) were significant predictors of overall survival. Moreover, the Responder group showed a lower risk of hepatic recurrence (18%) compared to the Non-responder group (31%), though no significant difference in loco-regional, peritoneal or other distant recurrence were observed between groups (P = 0.058, P = 0.700 and P = 0.350, respectively).

Conclusions

Decreased CA19–9 levels after neoadjuvant therapy predicts a better prognosis, with low incidence of hepatic recurrence after surgery.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-019-5460-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

New observations on the utility of CA19-9 as a biomarker in Lewis negative patients with pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is the best-validated biomarker for pancreatic cancer. The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guideline asserts that "CA19-9 will be undetectable in Lewis antigen-negative individuals". However, reports of CA19-9 secretion and its significance in Lewis (-) patients with pancreatic cancer have been inconsistent. This study was to examine serum CA19-9 levels in patients with pancreatic cancer according to Lewis status.

METHODS

Patients with pancreatic cancer (1482 cases) were retrieved from a prospectively maintained database. Patients with benign pancreatic disease (210 cases) and normal subjects (315 cases) were used as controls. Lewis genotypes were examined by fucosyltransferase 3 (FUT3) sequencing.

RESULTS

In patients with pancreatic cancer, 8.4% of subjects were Lewis (-), but only 41.9% of Lewis (-) subjects had CA19-9 values ≤ 2 U/mL. CA19-9 was even elevated (>37 U/mL) in 27.4% of Lewis (-) patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for CA19-9 as a diagnostic biomarker was 0.842 in Lewis (-) patients with pancreatic cancer, which is closing to that of CA19-9 applied in all of patients with pancreatic cancer (0.898). Lewis (-) status was an independent prognostic factor for shorter survival in a multivariable analysis (hazard ratio (HR), 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-1.64; P = 0.028).

CONCLUSIONS

Not all Lewis (-) patients with pancreatic cancer are non-secretors of CA19-9. Contrary to general understanding, CA19-9 can retain its utility as a biomarker in these patients in spite of Lewis (-) genotype.

CA19-9 on Postoperative Surveillance in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Predicting Recurrence and Changing Prognosis over Time

BACKGROUND

Serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) correlates with response to therapy and overall survival (OS) for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). This study aimed to define the chronologic relationship between CA19-9 elevation and radiographic recurrence to develop a model that can predict the risk of recurrence (RFS) and prognosis during interval surveillance for patients with resected PDAC.

METHODS

A retrospective review examined patients undergoing surgery for pancreatic adenocarcinoma from January 2010 to May 2016. Their CA19-9 levels were classified at diagnosis, after surgery, and at 6-month surveillance intervals. Recurrence was defined by radiographic evidence. The CA19-9 levels were correlated with RFS and OS at every time point using multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The study examined 525 patients. Five patterns of CA19-9 were identified: normal ("nonsecretors," 18.5%), always elevated, and high at diagnosis but normal after resection involving three patterns with varied behavior during surveillance. These five patterns had implications for RFS and OS. When elevation of CA19-9, as assessed at 6-month intervals, was analyzed relative to detection of radiographic disease, CA19-9 had poor positive predictive value (average, 35%) but high negative predictive value (average, 92%) for radiographic recurrence. Conditional RFS showed that CA19-9 elevation did not equal radiographic recurrence but predicted subsequent RFS. Additionally, conditional OS showed that CA19-9 elevation alone was predictive at each time point.

CONCLUSION

This study showed that CA19-9 patterns beyond the post-resection period predict RFS and OS. High CA19-9 frequently is discordant with recurrence on imaging and may precede it by more than 6 months. At each surveillance interval, CA19-9 is predictive of prognosis, which may help in counseling patients and could be used to direct protocols of salvage chemotherapy.

CA 19-9 predicts resectability of pancreatic cancer even in jaundiced patients

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection remains the only curative option for pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Despite recent improvements in medical imaging, unresectability is still often discovered at the time of surgery. It is essential to identify unresectable patients preoperatively to avoid unnecessary surgery. High serum CA 19-9 levels have been suggested as a marker of unresectability but considered inaccurate in patients with hyperbilirubinemia.

AIM OF THE STUDY

To evaluate CA 19-9 serum levels as a predictor of unresectability of pancreatic adenocarcinomas with a special focus on jaundiced patients.

METHODS

All patients presenting with histologically-confirmed pancreatic adenocarcinoma and having serum CA 19-9 levels available prior to any treatment were included in this retrospective study. The relationship between serum concentrations of CA 19-9 and resectability was studied by regression analysis and theROC curves obtained. A cut-off value of CA 19-9 was calculated. In jaundiced patients, a CA 19-9 adjusted for bilirubinemia was also evaluated.

RESULTS

Of the 171 patients included, 49 (29%) were deemed resectable and 122 (71%) unresectable. Altogether, 93 patients (54%) had jaundice. The area under the ROC curve for CA 19-9 as a predictor of resectability was 0.886 (95%CI:[0.832-0.932]); in jaundiced patients it was 0.880 (95% CI [0.798-0.934]. A cut-off in CA 19-9 at 178 UI/mlyielded 85% sensitivity, 81% specificity and 91% positive predictive value for resectability. There was no correlation between the levels of bilirubin and CA 19-9 (r = 0.149).

CONCLUSION

Serum CA 19-9 is a good predictive marker of unresectability of pancreatic adenocarcinoma, even in jaundiced patients. CA 19-9 levels over 178 UI/ml strongly suggest unresectable disease.

Clinical impact of fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer: diagnosing lymph node metastasis and predicting survival

PURPOSE

To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose PET/computed tomography (F-FDG PET/CT) for lymph node (LN) metastasis and the prognostic significance of F-FDG PET/CT LN parameters in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with resectable pancreatic cancer who underwent staging F-FDG PET/CT between May 2007 and September 2016 were retrospectively enrolled and analyzed through medical record and image re-evaluation. The diagnostic accuracy of F-FDG PET/CT in predicting LN metastasis was evaluated and compared with that of contrast-enhanced abdominal computed tomography (CECT). Prognostic variables, including LN parameters assessed by F-FDG PET/CT [standardized uptake value (SUV)LN and LN/tumor SUV ratio], that affect disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated by regression analysis.

RESULTS

When predicting LN metastasis, F-FDG PET/CT showed greater sensitivity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy than CECT. Among prognostic factors affecting DFS, PET-positive LN (P=0.008), and LN/tumor SUV ratio (P=0.003) were found to be significant by regression analysis. Among the variables affecting OS, lymphovascular invasion (P=0.018) and the LN/tumor SUV ratio (P=0.046) were found to be significant.

CONCLUSION

F-FDG PET/CT showed higher diagnostic accuracy in predicting LN metastasis than CECT in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer. Only the LN/tumor SUV ratio of F-FDG PET/CT was an independent prognostic variable in both DFS and OS.

A novel scoring system predicts postsurgical survival and adjuvant chemotherapeutic benefits in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma: Implications for AJCC-TNM staging

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the application of the latest 8^th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system in Chinese patients and determined whether the addition of biologic markers could improve the prediction of postsurgical survival in pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PC).

METHODS

This multicenter study involved 1,223 consecutive patients who underwent margin-negative pancreatectomy for PC. A scoring system was devised based on AJCC pathologic parameters and biologic markers and defined using a Cox proportional hazards model. Prognostic accuracies were evaluated by concordance index (C-index) and Akaike information criterion (AIC).

RESULTS

The 8^th edition AJCC staging system had a better survival distribution of PC with different stages and a similar C-index (0.62 in the training cohort, 0.60 in the validation cohort) than the 7^th edition (0.59 in the training cohort, 0.58 in the validation cohort). Nevertheless, survival of resected patients with stage IIA or IIB disease was indistinguishable. Incorporation of postoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels and tumor grade into the 8^th edition AJCC staging system generated a scoring system with better predictive accuracy for overall survival (OS) (C-index of 0.73 and AIC of 4301.05 in the training cohort, C-index of 0.71 and AIC of 3309.23 in the validation cohort). More importantly, patients with median or higher scores experienced OS benefits from adjuvant chemotherapy.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative CA19-9 levels and tumor grade are two well-known PC biologic markers that could be incorporated into a standard AJCC staging system to refine risk stratification and predict OS benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in resected PC.

Serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in pancreatic adenocarcinoma: a mini review for surgeons

The optimal management of oncological conditions is reflected by the careful interpretation of investigations for screening, diagnosis, staging, prognostication and surveillance. Serum tumour markers are examples of commonly requested tests in conjunction with other imaging and endoscopic tests that are used to help clinicians to stratify therapeutic decisions. Serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is a key biomarker for pancreatic cancers. Although this biomarker is considered clinically useful and informative, clinicians are often challenged by the accurate interpretation of elevated serum CA19-9 levels. Recognizing the pitfalls of normal and abnormal serum CA19-9 concentrations will facilitate its appropriate use. In this review, we appraised the biomarker, serum CA19-9, and highlighted the clinical utility and limitations of serum CA19-9 in the investigation and management of pancreatic cancers.

Diagnostic Accuracy of a CA125-Based Biomarker Panel in Patients with Pancreatic Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Increasing evidence from recent studies has revealed the association of CA125 with the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer, but inconsistent findings have been reported. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic value of a serum CA125-based diagnostic panel in predicting malignant pancreatic cancer. Materials and Methods: We searched EMBASE, MEDLINE and Web of Science for relevant articles from inception to October 2016. Methodological quality was evaluated using the Quality Assessment of Comparative Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) checklist. The performance characteristics were pooled using random-effects models. The statistical analysis was performed using Meta-Disc 1.4 and Stata Version 12.0 software. Results: A total of 1235 participants pooled from 8 eligible studies were included in the meta-analysis to evaluate the accuracy of tumor predictors for the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer. The pooling accuracy analysis of CA125 alone indicated that the pooled sensitivity was 0.59 (95% CI: 0.54-0.62) and the specificity was 0.78 (95% CI: 0.75-0.82), whereas the serum CA125-based diagnostic panel had a pooled sensitivity of 0.47 (95% CI 0.47-0.51) and a specificity of 0.88 (95% CI 0.86-0.90). Furthermore, the AUC and Q-value of the CA125-based diagnostic panel were 0.89 and 0.82, respectively, which indicated that the CA125-based panel is superior to CA125 or CA19-9 alone in diagnosing pancreatic cancer. No obvious publication bias was found. Conclusions: In summary, a CA125-based diagnostic panel is better at diagnosing pancreatic cancer than a test using CA125 or CA19-9 alone. Further studies should be performed to confirm our conclusion.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of carcinoembryonic antigen in pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is one of the most widely used tumor markers and is increased in 30%–60% of patients with pancreatic cancer. Although carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is the most important serum biomarker in pancreatic cancer, the diagnostic and prognostic value of CEA is gradually being recognized.

Materials and methods

The MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases were searched for related literature published until January 2017. Diagnostic accuracy variables were pooled using the Meta-Disc software. The pooled hazard ratios (HRs) for prognostic data were calculated and analyzed using Stata software.

Results

A total of 3,650 participants enrolled in 19 studies met our inclusion criteria. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio of a CEA-based panel were 0.45 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.41–0.50), 0.89 (95% CI, 0.86–0.91), 5.39 (95% CI, 3.16–9.18), and 0.55 (95% CI, 0.41–0.72), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC, 0.90) and Q-value (0.84) of the CEA-based panel indicated a significantly higher diagnostic accuracy compared with CEA or CA19-9 alone. Moreover, there was also a significant association between high levels of CEA and worse overall survival (HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.31–1.56).

Conclusion

Our meta-analysis indicated that elevated serum CEA level, as a vital supplementary to CA19-9, can play an important role in the clinical diagnosis of pancreatic cancer patients and predict poor prognosis.

Detection of Circulating Tumor Cells Using Negative Enrichment Immunofluorescence and an In Situ Hybridization System in Pancreatic Cancer

Pancreatic cancer (PC) is the most lethal type of gastrointestinal cancer, and early detection and monitoring is an urgent problem. Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) are emerging as a non-invasive biomarker for tumor detection. However, the low sensitivity is a main problem in the traditional CellSearch System for detecting CTCs, especially in patients with PC. In this study, we used negative enrichment (NE), immunofluorescence and in situ hybridization (FISH) of chromosome 8 (NE-iFISH) to capture and identify CTCs in PC patients. We showed that the NE-iFISH system exhibited a dramatically high detection rate of CTCs in PC patients (90%). The diagnostic rate of PC reached 97.5% when combining CTCs ≥ 2 and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) > 37 µmol/L. The 1-year survival in the group of CTCs < 3 was significantly higher than that of CTCs ≥ 3 (p = 0.043). In addition, we analyzed the role of chromosomal instability in CTCs detection. The group of triploid (three hybridization signals of chromosome 8) CTCs ≥ 3 showed a shorter 1-year survival (p = 0.0279) and overall survival (p = 0.0188) than the group with triploid CTCs < 3. Importantly, the triploid CTC number but not the overall CTC counts could be a predictor of chemo-sensitivity. Moreover, circulating tumor microembolus (CTMs) were found in stage IV patients, and were positively related to the poor response to chemotherapy. In conclusion, the NE-iFISH system significantly improved the positive detection rate of CTCs and triploid CTC could be used to predict prognosis or the response to the chemotherapy of PC patients. CTM is a potential indicator of the chemotherapeutic effect in advanced PC patients.

Postoperative serum CEA and CA125 levels are supplementary to perioperative CA19-9 levels in predicting operative outcomes of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Carbohydrate antigen (CA19-9) is a well-established marker to monitor disease status after resection of pancreatic cancer. However, few serum markers have been reported to improve the prognostic ability of postoperative CA19-9, especially in patients with normal postoperative CA19-9.

METHODS

A total of 353 patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma treated by radical resection were reviewed retrospectively, and a prospective cohort including 142 patients with resectable pancreatic head carcinoma was analyzed as a validation cohort. Perioperative CA19-9 and postoperative serum markers (CEA, CA242, CA72-4, CA50, CA125, CA153, and AFP) were investigated.

RESULTS

Patients with postoperative normalization of CA19-9 had improved survival times (recurrence-free survival: 11.9 months; overall survival: 22.5 months) compared with those with decreased but still elevated postoperative CA19-9 (recurrence-free survival: 6.8 months, P < .001; overall survival: 13.5 months, P < .001) or those with increased postoperative CA19-9 (recurrence-free survival: 3.5 months, P < .001; overall survival: 7.9 months, P < .001), which was similar to those with consistently normal CA19-9 during perioperative periods (recurrence-free survival: 10.6 months, P = .799; overall survival: 24.1 months, P = .756). Normal postoperative CA19-9 levels were an independent indicator for a positive outcome after operation, regardless of preoperative CA19-9 levels. Elevated postoperative CEA and CA125 were identified further as independent risk factors for patients with normal postoperative CA19-9, while elevated postoperative CA125 and nondecreased postoperative CA19-9 were independent prognostic markers for patients with elevated postoperative CA19-9.

CONCLUSION

The postoperative monitoring of CEA and CA125 provided prognostic significance to the measurement of CA19-9 in pancreatic cancer after resection.

Serum CA125 is a novel predictive marker for pancreatic cancer metastasis and correlates with the metastasis-associated burden

This study evaluated potential of serum tumor markers to predict the incidence and intensity of pancreatic cancer metastasis as well as patient survival. Retrospective records from 905 patients and prospective data from 142 patients were collected from two high-volume institutions. The levels of eight serum tumor markers (CA19-9, CEA, CA242, CA72-4, CA50, CA125, CA153, and AFP) commonly used in gastroenterological cancer were analyzed in all stages of pancreatic cancer. Serum CA125 levels were the most strongly associated with pancreatic cancer metastasis and were higher in patients with metastatic disease than those without. CA125 levels increased with increasing metastasis to lymph nodes and distant organs, especially the liver. High baseline CA125 levels predicted early distant metastasis after pancreatectomy and were associated with the presence of occult metastasis before surgery. An optimal CA125 cut-off value of 18.4 U/mL was identified; patients with baseline CA125 levels of 18.4 U/mL or higher had poor surgical outcomes. In addition, high serum CA125 levels coincided with the expression of a metastasis-associated gene signature and with alterations in “driver” gene expression involved in pancreatic cancer metastasis. CA125 may therefore be a promising, noninvasive, metastasis-associated biomarker for monitoring pancreatic cancer prognosis.

Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma: Improving Prevention and Survivorship

Pancreatic cancer is a growing problem in oncology, given slowly rising incidence and continued suboptimal outcomes. A concerted effort to reverse this tide will require prevention, early diagnosis, and improved systemic therapy for curable disease. We focus on these aspects in detail in this study. Hereditary pancreatic cancer is an underappreciated area. With the growing use of genomics (both somatic and germline) in cancer care, there is increasing recognition of hereditary pancreatic cancer cases: around 10% of all pancreatic cancer may be related to familial syndromes, such as familial atypical multiple mole and melanoma (FAMMM) syndrome, hereditary breast and ovarian cancer, Lynch syndrome, and Peutz-Jeghers syndrome. Screening and surveillance guidelines by various expert groups are discussed. Management of resectable pancreatic cancer is evolving; the use of multiagent systemic therapies, in the adjuvant and neoadjuvant settings, is discussed. Current and emerging data, along with ongoing clinical trials addressing important questions in this area, are described. Surveillance recommendations based on latest ASCO guidelines are also discussed. Finally, the multimodality management of borderline resectable pancreatic cancer is discussed. The various clinicoanatomic definitions of this entity, followed by consensus definitions, are described. Then, we focus on current opinions and practices around neoadjuvant therapy, discussing chemotherapy and radiation aspects, and the role of surgical resection.

Biomarkers in pancreatic adenocarcinoma: current perspectives

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has a poor prognosis, with a 5-year survival rate of 7.7%. Most patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage not amenable to potentially curative resection. A substantial portion of this review is dedicated to reviewing the current literature on carbohydrate antigen (CA 19-9), which is currently the only guideline-recommended biomarker for PDAC. It provides valuable prognostic information, can predict resectability, and is useful in decision making about neoadjuvant therapy. We also discuss carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), CA 125, serum biomarker panels, circulating tumor cells, and cell-free nucleic acids. Although many biomarkers have now been studied in relation to PDAC, significant work still needs to be done to validate their usefulness in the early detection of PDAC and management of patients with PDAC.

Macroscopic features predict outcome in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

As macroscopic appearance represents tumor microenvironment, it may also reflect the biological and clinicopathological characteristics of a cancer. The aim of the study was to evaluate the clinicopathological significance of the gross appearance of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDA). We investigated fresh macroscopic features in 352 cases of PDA and their clinicopathological significance. Three unique gross features were found: a honeycomb-like appearance (diffusely distributed microcysts and interstitial fibrotic thickening), macroscopic necrosis, and a tube/branching structure (apparent small cylindrical or linear structure). A honeycomb-like appearance was present in 24 cases (6.8 %) and significantly associated with low serum CA19-9 level and well-differentiated adenocarcinoma. Macroscopic necrosis was present in 235 cases (66.8 %) and significantly correlated with tumor size, nodal metastasis, nerve plexus invasion, no adjuvant chemotherapy, and distant recurrence. The presence of macroscopic necrosis was significantly associated with shorter disease-specific survival (DSS) and disease-free survival (DFS). The presence of larger areas of necrosis (≥2 mm) was closely associated with shorter survival. A tube/branching structure was found in 179 cases (50.9 %), which was correlated with larger tumor size and no adjuvant chemotherapy and macroscopic necrosis. The presence of a tube/branching structure was significantly associated with shorter DSS and DFS. Multivariate survival analyses showed that the presence of tube/branching structures was an independent negative prognostic factor in patients having PDA. We suggest that the gross appearance of PDA reflects clinicopathological characteristics and may be useful in predicting prognosis.

Systematic review of peri-operative prognostic biomarkers in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) continues to be associated with a poor prognosis. This systematic review aimed to summarize the literature regarding potential prognostic biomarkers to facilitate validation studies and clinical application.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed (2004-2014) according to PRISMA guidelines. Studies were ranked using REMARK criteria and the following outcomes were examined: overall/disease free survival, nodal involvement, tumour characteristics, metastasis, recurrence and resectability.

RESULTS

256 biomarkers were identified in 158 studies. 171 biomarkers were assessed with respect to overall survival: urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor, atypical protein kinase C and HSP27 ranked the highest. 33 biomarkers were assessed for disease free survival: CD24 and S100A4 were the highest ranking. 17 biomarkers were identified for lymph node involvement: Smad4/Dpc4 and FOXC1 ranked highest. 13 biomarkers were examined for tumour grade: mesothelin and EGFR were the highest ranking biomarkers. 10 biomarkers were identified for metastasis: p16 and sCD40L were the highest ranking. 4 biomarkers were assessed resectability: sCD40L, s100a2, Ca 19-9, CEA.

CONCLUSION

This review has identified and ranked specific biomarkers that should be a primary focus of ongoing validation and clinical translational work in PDAC.

Prognostic Value of Metabolic and Volumetric Parameters of Preoperative FDG-PET/CT in Patients With Resectable Pancreatic Cancer

In this study, we aimed to evaluate prognostic value of metabolic and volumetric parameters measured from F fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography/computed tomography (FDG-PET/CT) in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer.Fifty-one patients with resectable pancreatic cancer who underwent FDG-PET/CT and curative operation were retrospectively enrolled. The maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) were measured from FDG-PET/CT. Association between FDG-PET/CT and clinicopathologic parameters was evaluated. The prognostic values of the FDG-PET/CT and clinicopathologic parameters for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed by univariate and multivariate analyses.The 51 enrolled patients were followed up for a median of 21 months (mean ± SD: 23 ± 16 months, range: 1-78 months) with 33 (65%) recurrences and 30 (59%) deaths during the period. SUVmax, MTV, and TLG were associated with Tumor node metastasis (TNM) stage and presence of lymph node metastasis. MTV and TLG were associated with presence of lymphovascular invasion, whereas SUVmax was not. On the univariate analysis, SUVmax, MTV, and TLG were associated with RFS and OS. Also, lymph node metastasis and TNM stage were associated with OS on the univariate analysis. On multivariate analysis, MTV and TLG were independent prognostic factors for RFS and OS. SUVmax was an independent prognostic factor for OS, but not for RFS.Metabolic tumor volume and TLG were independently predictive of RFS and OS in resectable pancreatic cancer. SUVmax was an independent factor for OS, but not for RFS.

Mutant p53 determines pancreatic cancer poor prognosis to pancreatectomy through upregulation of cavin-1 in patients with preoperative serum CA19-9 ≥ 1,000 U/mL

Patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and preoperative CA19-9 ≥ 1,000 U/mL that does not decrease postresection have the worst prognosis, but the mechanism is unclear. Here, we elucidated the relationship between this signature and driver-gene mutations, and the cavins/caveolin-1 axis. Four major driver-genes (KRAS, TP53, CDKN2A/p16, and SMAD4/DPC4) that are associated with PDAC and five critical molecules (cavin-1/-2/-3/-4 and caveolin-1) in the cavins/caveolin-1 axis were screened by immunohistochemistry in tumor tissue microarrays. Additionally, six pancreatic cancer cell lines and a spleen subcapsular inoculation nude mouse model were also used. Overexpression of mutant p53 was the major mutational event in patients with the CA19-9 signature. Cavin-1 was also overexpressed, and mutant p53 correlated directly with high cavin-1 expression in pancreatic cancer cell lines and tumor specimens (P < 0.01). Furthermore, mutant p53(R172H) upregulated cavin-1 and promoted invasiveness and metastasis of pancreatic cancer cells in vitro and in vivo. Finally, combination of mutant p53 and high cavin-1 density indicated the shortest survival for patients with PDAC after resection (P < 0.001). Mutant p53-driven upregulation of cavin-1 represents the major mechanism of poor outcome for PDAC patients with the CA19-9 signature after resection, indicating that inhibition of cavin-1 may improve the long-term efficacy of pancreatectomy.

Multimodality treatment of recurrent pancreatic cancer: Mith or reality?

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma is the fourth cause of cancer-related death in the United States. Surgery is the only potentially curative treatment, but most patients present at diagnosis with unresectable or metastatic disease. Moreover, even with an R0 resection, the majority of patients will die of disease recurrence. Most recurrences occur in the first 2-year after pancreatic resection, and are commonly located in the abdomen, even if distant metastases can occur. Recurrent pancreatic adenocarcinoma remains a significant therapeutic challenge, due to the limited role of surgery and radio-chemotherapy. Surgical management of recurrence is usually unreliable because tumor relapse typically presents as a technically unresectable, or as multifocal disease with an aggressive growth. Therefore, treatment of patients with recurrent pancreatic adenocarcinoma has historically been limited to palliative chemotherapy or supportive care. Only few data are available in the Literature about this issue, even if in recent years more studies have been published to determine whether treatment after recurrence have any effect on patients outcome. Recent therapeutic advances have demonstrated the potential to improve survival in selected patients who had undergone resection for pancreatic cancer. Multimodality management of recurrent pancreatic carcinoma may lead to better survival and quality of life in a small but significant percentage of patients; however, more and larger studies are needed to clarify the role of the different therapeutic options and the optimal way to combine them.

Clinical value and impact on prognosis of peri-operative CA 19-9 serum levels in stage I and II adenocarcinoma of the pancreas

CA 19-9 is a marker correlated to the clinical evolution of pancreatic adenocarcinoma. To analyze the clinical value of pre- and postoperative CA 19-9 serum levels in stage I and II pancreatic cancer. We analyzed 61 patients resected for pancreatic cancer. Patients were evaluated about the pre-operative CA 19-9 values and then divided into 3 groups: high, high-low and low, on the basis of pre- and postoperative CA 19-9 levels. The correlations between these groups and age, sex, pT, pN, tumor stage, jaundice, surgical radicality, tumor size, number of harvested and positive lymph nodes, grading, overall and major morbidities and post-operative mortality together with survival rates were analyzed. Higher values of pre-operative CA 19-9 were significantly correlated to the presence of jaundice, high pT, pN, stage and higher number of metastatic lymph nodes. In 49 patients (80.3 %) an R0 resection was performed. Five-year overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS) were significantly better in patients with high levels of pre-operative CA 19-9, even in R0 cases. After stratification, 30 patients were included in the high group, 13 in the high-low group and 18 in the low group. A statistically significant correlation was found between the CA 19-9 groups and the lymph nodal positivity, not between CA 19-9 and pT. OS and DFS were significantly better in low group patients. We confirm the prognostic value of preoperative CA 19-9 serum levels. We do not support early postoperative modifications of CA19-9 as an adjunctive prognostic variable.

Impact of Preoperative Biliary Drainage on Long-Term Survival in Resected Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Multicenter Observational Study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the impact of preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) on the long-term survival of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).

METHODS

A multicenter observational study was performed using a common database of patients with resected PDAC from seven high-volume surgical institutions in Japan.

RESULTS

Of 932 patients who underwent PD for PDAC, 573 (62 %) underwent PBD, including 407 (44 %) who underwent endoscopic biliary drainage (EBD) and 166 (18 %) who underwent percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage (PTBD). The patients who did not undergo PBD and those who underwent EBD had a significantly better overall survival than those who underwent PTBD, with median survival times of 25.7 months (P < 0.001), 22.3 months (P = 0.001), and 16.7 months, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that seven clinicopathologic factors, including the use of PTBD but not EBD, were independently associated with poorer overall survival. Furthermore, patients who underwent PTBD more frequently experienced peritoneal recurrence (23 %) than those who underwent EBD (10 %; P < 0.001) and those who did not undergo PBD (11 %; P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the independent risk factors for peritoneal recurrence included surgical margin status (P < 0.001) and use of PTBD (P = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Use of PTBD, but not EBD, was associated with a poorer prognosis, with an increased rate of peritoneal recurrence among patients who underwent PD for PDAC.

microRNAs with prognostic significance in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Reports have described the prognostic relevance of microRNAs (miRNAs) in patients treated for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, many of these include small numbers of patients. To increase statistical power and improve translation, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine a pooled conclusion. We examined the impact of miRNAs on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in PDAC.

METHODS

Eligible studies were identified and quality assessed using multiple search strategies (last search December 2014). Data were collected from studies correlating clinical outcomes with dysregulated tumoural or blood miRNAs. Studies were pooled, and combined hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to estimate strength of the associations.

RESULTS

Twenty studies involving 1525 patients treated for PDAC were included. After correcting for publication bias, OS was significantly shortened in patients with high tumoural miR-21 (adjusted HR = 2.48; 1.96-3.14). This result persisted when only studies adjusting for adjuvant chemotherapy were combined (adjusted HR = 2.72; 1.91-3.89). High miR-21 also predicted reduced DFS (adjusted HR = 3.08; 1.78-5.33). Similarly, we found significant adjusted HRs for poor OS for high miR-155, high miR-203, and low miR-34a; and unadjusted HRs for high miR-222 and high miR-10b. The small number of studies, limited number of miRNAs and paucity of multivariate analyses are the limitations of our study.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first rigorous pooled analysis assessing miRNAs as prognostic biomarkers in PDAC. Tumoural miR-21 overexpression emerged as an important predictor of poor prognosis after PDAC resection independent of other clinicopathologic factors, including adjuvant chemotherapy use.