Prognostic significance of alpha-fetoprotein status in the outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma after treatment of transarterial chemoembolization

Development and validation a radiomics nomogram for predicting thymidylate synthase status in hepatocellular carcinoma based on Gd-DTPA contrast enhanced MRI

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a radiomics nomogram for predicting thymidylate synthase (TYMS) status in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by using Gd-DTPA contrast enhanced MRI.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 147 consecutive patients with surgically confirmed HCC and randomly allocated to training and validation set (7:3). The TYMS status was immunohistochemical determined and classified into low TYMS (positive cells ≤ 25%) and high TYMS (positive cells > 25%) groups. Radiomics features were extracted from the arterial phases and portal venous phase of Gd-DTPA contrast enhanced MRI. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were applied for generating the Rad score. Clinical data and MRI findings were assessed to build a clinical model. Rad score combined with clinical features was used to construct radiomics nomogram.

RESULTS

A total of 2260 features were extracted and reduced to 7 features as the most important discriminators to build the Rad score. InAFP was identified as the only independent clinical factors for TYMS status. The radiomics nomogram showed good discrimination in training (AUC, 0.759; 95% CI 0.665-0.838) and validation set (AUC, 0.739; 95% CI 0.585-0.860), and showed better discrimination capability (P < 0.05) compared with clinical model in training (AUC, 0.656; 95% CI 0.555-0.746) and validation set (AUC, 0.622; 95% CI 0.463-0.764).

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomics nomogram shows favorable predictive efficacy for TYMS status in HCC, which might be helpful for the personalized treatment of HCC.

Impact of radiation therapy and alpha-fetoprotein level on survival outcomes for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

The use of radiation therapy (RT) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a matter for debate. Recently published research indicate that advanced RT techniques may improve survival in patients with HCC. This study aimed to evaluate this hypothesis in a large-scale retrospective cohort. The effect of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was taken into account because of its important role in the prognosis of HCC.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for adults patients diagnosed 2010-2019 with HCC (≥ 18 years). The study population was divided into four groups: Non-radiation & AFP-positive (reference), Non-radiation & AF-negative, Radiation & AFP-positive, Radiation & AFP-negative. Distant metastasis (DM) was used as a stratification factor. Differences in 5-year overall survival (OS) of the four groups were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariable Cox proportional hazards model were used to estimate unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios (HR).

RESULTS

A total of 34,656 patients were eligible for this analysis, including 21,084 (60.8%), 8,449 (24.4%), 3,810 (11.0%) and 1,313 (3.8%) in the Non-radiation & AFP-positive, Non-radiation & AF-negative, Radiation & AFP-positive and Radiation & AFP-negative groups, respectively. Median OSs of the four groups were 3, 4, 5 and 11 months in the DM cohort, and 12, 28, 15, and 28 months in the Non-DM cohort. Patients in the Radiation & AFP - group had the best OS and patients in the Non-radiation & AFP + group had the worst OS (adjusted HR [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 0.497 [0.399-0.619] in the DM cohort, and 0.405 [0.372-0.441] in the Non-DM cohort). Radiation & AFP + also showed improved survival compared with the reference group (adjusted HR [95%CI]: 0.725 [0.657-0.801] in the DM cohort, and 0.630 [0.600-0.661] in the Non-DM cohort).

CONCLUSIONS

This population-based cohort study confirmed a significant improvement in overall survival with radiation therapy in HCC. AFP-negative patients benefit the most from RT. Superior OS of radiation therapy and AFP-negative status persisted even in patients with complex metastasis patterns. Our data suggest that radiation may provide an alternative modality for unresectable HCC.

Hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma is one of the most common cancers worldwide and represents a major global health-care challenge. Although viral hepatitis and alcohol remain important risk factors, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is rapidly becoming a dominant cause of hepatocellular carcinoma. A broad range of treatment options are available for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, including liver transplantation, surgical resection, percutaneous ablation, and radiation, as well as transarterial and systemic therapies. As such, clinical decision making requires a multidisciplinary team that longitudinally adapts the individual treatment strategy according to the patient's tumour stage, liver function, and performance status. With the approval of new first-line agents and second-line agents, as well as the establishment of immune checkpoint inhibitor-based therapies as standard of care, the treatment landscape of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma is more diversified than ever. Consequently, the outlook for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma has improved. However, the optimal sequencing of drugs remains to be defined, and predictive biomarkers are urgently needed to inform treatment selection. In this Seminar, we present an update on the causes, diagnosis, molecular classification, and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Frailty as a Predictor of Complications and Transplant-Free Survival after Transarterial Chemoembolization of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose To determine the association between frailty, 30-day complications, rehospitalization, and transplant-free survival (TFS) following conventional and drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization.

Materials and Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on a cohort of 125 patients with treatment-naïve hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent conventional or drug-eluting beads chemoembolization at our institution between 2014 and 2015. Liver function parameters, Barcelona clinic liver cancer tumor stage, and all components of the five-item modified frailty index (mFI-5) were used to determine the patient's frailty status. Key end points included severe (grade 3 or above) adverse events of chemoembolization, 30-day rehospitalization rates, and TFS. Logistic regression analysis was performed on conventional predictors of postoperative complications after chemoembolization. Median survival was estimated and compared using the Kaplan–Meier's estimator and log-rank test.

Results Among 125 patients who underwent first-time chemoembolization, higher frailty score was an independent predictor of both 30-day hospital readmission and severe liver toxicity (p = 0.01 and p = 0.03, respectively) on multivariate logistic regression analysis. Each point increase in mFI-5 conferred a threefold or twofold increase in the risk of experiencing 30-day rehospitalization or postoperative severe adverse events, respectively. At the data censor date, patients with mFI-5 score ≥ 2 had decreased overall TFS (28.1 vs. 39.8 months, p = 0.03).

Conclusion Increasing frailty as determined by mFI-5 is an independent predictor of 30-day complications and lower TFS following chemoembolization.

Clinical Evaluation of Ramucirumab for the Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC): Place in Therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma remains one of the leading causes of death from cancer worldwide as most cases are diagnosed at an advanced disease stage. Ramucirumab, a human anti-VEGFR-2 monoclonal antibody, is approved as a monotherapy for the treatment of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and α-fetoprotein levels ≥400 ng/mL previously treated with sorafenib. As most patients present with an advanced disease, patients with α-fetoprotein levels ≥400 ng/mL have an aggressive disease and a poor prognosis, making ramucirumab an important treatment option for this subgroup of patients. This article provides a comprehensive review of the clinical efficacy of ramucirumab as highlighted in the two major trials that lead to its approval. We also briefly review the agent pharmacologic properties, as well as its safety and toxicity profile, before discussing certain limitations and challenges associated with ramucirumab use. Finally, we review completed and ongoing clinical trials and focus on those involving ramucirumab-based combinations, namely with immune therapy.

Argentinian clinical practice guideline for surveillance, diagnosis, staging and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

The A.A.E.E.H has developed this guideline for the best care of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) from Argentina. It was done from May 2018 to March 2020. Specific clinical research questions were systematically searched. The quality of evidence and level of recommendations were organized according to GRADE. HCC surveillance is strongly recommended with abdominal ultrasound (US) every six months in the population at risk for HCC (cirrhosis, hepatitis B or hepatitis C); it is suggested to add alpha-feto protein (AFP) levels in case of inexeperienced sonographers. Imaging diagnosis in patients at risk for HCC has high specificity and tumor biopsy is not mandatory. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer algorithm is strongly recommended for HCC staging and treatment-decision processes. Liver resection is strongly recommended for patients without portal hypertension and preserved liver function. Composite models are suggested for liver transplant selection criteria. Therapies for HCC with robust clinical evidence include transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and first to second line systemic treatment options (sorafenib, lenvatinib, regorafenib, cabozantinib and ramucirumab). Immunotherapy with nivolumab and pembrolizumab has failed to show statistical benefit but the novel combination of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab has recently shown survival benefit over sorafenib in frontline.

Clinical impact of the treatment modality on small, solitary, recurrent intrahepatic hepatocellular carcinomas after primary liver resection

Purpose

The aim of this study was to determine the survival benefit based on different treatment strategies in patients with small, solitary, recurring intrahepatic hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) that were defined as recurred Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage O (reBCLC-O).

Methods

Among the 917 patients with HCC recurrence after primary hepatic resection, 394 patients with reBCLC-O were selected. Of these, 150 patients underwent curative treatment (re-resection, radiofrequency ablation, and liver transplantation) and 203 underwent transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) group for recurrent HCC. After propensity score matching (PSM), both the groups were well balanced (89 patients in each group).

Results

Before PSM, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of patients in the curative treatment group (96.7%, 78.6%, and 70.5%, respectively) were significantly better than those in the TACE treatment group (95.6%, 53.7%, and 44.2%, respectively) (P < 0.001). After PSM, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates also differed significantly (92.0%, 79.6%, and 71.1% in the curative treatment group vs. 88.8%, 65.6%, and 57.9% in the TACE group) (P = 0.005). The independent predictors of worse OS were tumor number at the time of resection and treatment modality for the recurrence, time interval to recurrence, and prothrombin time international normalized ratio and alpha-fetoprotein levels at the time of recurrence.

Conclusion

The OS of patients in the curative treatment group was better than that in the non-curative treatment group after PSM. Based on our results, curative treatment should be strongly recommended in the patients with reBCLC-O recurrence for better survival.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein and clinical outcomes in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with ramucirumab

BACKGROUND

Post hoc analyses assessed the prognostic and predictive value of baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), as well as clinical outcomes by AFP response or progression, during treatment in two placebo-controlled trials (REACH, REACH-2).

METHODS

Serum AFP was measured at baseline and every three cycles. The prognostic and predictive value of baseline AFP was assessed by Cox regression models and Subpopulation Treatment Effect Pattern Plot method. Associations between AFP (≥ 20% increase) and radiographic progression and efficacy were assessed.

RESULTS

Baseline AFP was confirmed as a continuous (REACH, REACH-2; p < 0.0001) and dichotomous (≥400 vs. <400 ng/ml; REACH, p < 0.01) prognostic factor, and was predictive for ramucirumab survival benefit in REACH (p = 0.0042 continuous; p < 0.0001 dichotomous). Time to AFP (hazard ratio [HR] 0.513; p < 0.0001) and radiographic (HR 0.549; p < 0.0001) progression favoured ramucirumab. Association between AFP and radiographic progression was shown for up to 6 (odds ratio [OR] 5.1; p < 0.0001) and 6-12 weeks (OR 1.8; p = 0.0065). AFP response was higher with ramucirumab vs. placebo (p < 0.0001). Survival was longer in patients with an AFP response than patients without (13.6 vs. 5.6 months, HR 0.451; 95% confidence interval, 0.354-0.574; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

AFP is an important prognostic factor and a predictive biomarker for ramucirumab survival benefit. AFP ≥ 400 ng/ml is an appropriate selection criterion for ramucirumab.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, REACH (NCT01140347) and REACH-2 (NCT02435433).

Association of Postoperative Biomarker Response with Recurrence and Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma and High Alpha-Fetoprotein Expressions (>400 ng/ml)

Background

High alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) expressions (>400 ng/mL) are associated with poor oncological characteristics for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, prognosis after liver resection for high-AFP HCC is poorly studied. To investigate long-term recurrence and survival after hepatectomy for high-AFP HCC, and to identify the predictive value of postoperative incomplete biomarker response (IBR) on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Methods

Patients undergoing curative resection for high-AFP HCC were analyzed. According to the decline magnitude of serum AFP as measured at first follow-up (4~6 weeks after surgery), all patients were divided into the complete biomarker response (CBR) and IBR groups. Characteristics, recurrence, and survival rates were compared. Univariate and Multivariate Cox-regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors associated with poorer OS and RFS after liver resection for high-AFP HCC.

Results

Among 549 patients, the overall and early recurrence rates in patients with IBR were significantly higher than patients with CBR (97.8%vs.56.4%, and 92.5%vs.33.3%, both P<0.001). On multivariate analysis, postoperative IBR was the strongest risk factor with the highest hazard ratio in predicting poor OS (HR 2.97; 95% CI 2.49~3.45; P<0.001) and RFS (HR 4.29; 95% CI 3.31~5.55; P<0.001).

Conclusion

Postoperative biomarker response of serum AFP can be used in predicting recurrence and survival for high-AFP HCC patients. Once postoperative IBR was identified at first follow-up, subsequent enhanced recurrence surveillance and available treatments against recurrence should actively be considered.

Role of Biomarkers and Biopsy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing in prevalence and is the third leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Unlike other malignancies, HCC can be diagnosed with dynamic imaging with very high accuracy, and tissue diagnosis is not needed for cancer therapy. There is a unique role of established as well as developing biomarkers in diagnosis, prognosis, and management of HCC. Sequencing HCC tumors has yielded substantial insights into HCC tumor biology and has raised the possibility of precision oncology in which therapy decisions are guided by cancer genetics. However, it is not ready for prime time yet.

Circulatory miRNA as a Biomarker for Therapy Response and Disease-Free Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The clinical outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment remains unsatisfactory, contributing to the high mortality of HCC worldwide. Circulating miRNAs have the potential to be a predictor of therapy response. Microarray profiling was performed in serum samples of 20 HCC patients before treatment. Circulating miRNAs associated with treatment response were validated in 86 serum HCC samples using the qRT-PCR system. Patients were treated either with curative treatments (resection or radiofrequency) or trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE), and grouped according to therapy response in complete responders (CR) and partial responders or progressive disease (PRPD), following mRECIST criteria. Four miRNA candidates from the discovery phase (miR-4443, miR-4454, miR-4492, and miR-4530) were validated. Before therapy, miR-4454 and miR-4530 were up-regulated in CR to curative treatments (2.83 fold, p = 0.02 and 2.33 fold, p = 0.008, respectively) and were able to differentiate CR from PRPD (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.74, sens/spec 79/63% and AUC = 0.77, sens/spec 72/73%). On the contrary, miR-4443 was 1.95 times down-regulated in CR (p = 0.05) with an AUC of 0.72 (sens = 70%, spec = 60%) in distinguishing CR vs. PRPD). The combination of the three miRNAs was able to predict the response to curative treatment with an AUC of 0.84 (sens = 72%, spec = 75%). The higher levels of miR-4454 and miR-4530 in were associated to longer overall survival (HR = 2.79, p = 0.029 and HR = 2.97, p = 0.011, respectively). Before TACE, miR-4492 was significantly up-regulated in CR patients (FC = 2.67, p = 0.01) and able to differentiate CR from PRPD (AUC = 0.84, sens/spec 84.6/71%). We demonstrated that different miRNAs predictors can be used as potential prognostic circulating biomarkers according to the selected treatment for HCC.

Evaluation of Alpha-fetoprotein Staging System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Noncirrhotic Patients

The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging classification is commonly used for staging hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This system assumes the coexistence of cirrhosis; however, a significant proportion of patients with HCC present without cirrhosis. Recently, an alternative system was proposed that stratifies patients according to alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level. The aim of this study was to apply the AFP staging system to noncirrhotic patients with HCC and evaluate its ability to predict overall survival (OS). A prospective hepatopancreatobiliary database was reviewed for all patients with a diagnosis of HCC. Patients were staged based on BCLC classification as well as by AFP stage according to four levels: less than 10 ng/mL, 10 to 150 ng/mL, 150 to 500 ng/mL, and greater than 500 ng/mL. Cirrhotic patients were compared with noncirrhotic patients in terms of patient demographics and HCC stage. Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis of OS was performed for noncirrhotic patients according to BCLC and AFP staging systems. Cirrhotic and noncirrhotic patients differed significantly in terms of median age at presentation (64 vs 70 years, P < 0.001) and gender (76 vs 65% male, P = 0.006). BCLS staging classification did not distinguish between cirrhotics and noncirrhotics ( P = 0.733), whereas AFP staging demonstrated a significant difference between the two groups ( P < 0.0001). KM analysis of OS for noncirrhotic patients with HCC was significant for both the BCLC and the AFP staging systems ( P = 0.003 vs P < 0.0001, respectively). Patients presenting with HCC in the absence of cirrhosis appear to have different characteristics than patients with cirrhosis. Staging according to AFP level is an appropriate predictor of prognosis in noncirrhotic patients with HCC.

Prognostic role of alpha-fetoprotein in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with repeat transarterial chemoembolisation

BACKGROUND

Repeat transarterial chemoembolisation (rTACE) is often required for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to achieve disease control, however, current practice guidelines regarding treatment allocation vary significantly. This study aims to identify key factors associated with patient survival following rTACE to facilitate treatment allocation and prognostic discussion.

METHOD

Patients with HCC undergoing rTACE at six Australian tertiary centers from 2009 to 2014 were included. Variables encompassing clinical, tumour, treatment type and response factors were analysed against the primary outcome of overall survival. Univariate analysis and multivariate Cox regression modelling were used to identify factors pre- and post-TACE therapy significantly associated with survival.

RESULTS

Total of 292 consecutive patients underwent rTACE with mainly Child Pugh A cirrhosis (61%) and BCLC stage A (57%) disease. Median overall survival (OS) was 30 months (IQR 15.2-50.2) from initial TACE. On multivariate analysis greater tumour number (p = 0.02), higher serum bilirubin (p = 0.007) post initial TACE, and hepatic decompensation (p = 0.001) post second TACE were associated with reduced survival. Patients with serum AFP ≥ 200 ng/ml following initial TACE had lower survival (p = 0.001), compared to patients with serum AFP level that remained < 200 ng/ml post-initial TACE, with an overall survival of 19.4 months versus 34.7 months (p = 0.0001) respectively.

CONCLUSION

Serum AFP level following initial treatment in patients undergoing repeat TACE for HCC is a simple and useful clinical prognostic marker. Moreover, it has the potential to facilitate appropriate patient selection for rTACE particularly when used in conjunction with baseline tumour burden and severity of hepatic dysfunction post-initial TACE.

Development and validation of a risk score to predict the overall survival following surgical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma in non-cirrhotic liver

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to develop and validate a risk score to predict overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in non-cirrhotic liver (NC-HCC).

METHODS

Patients who underwent resection for NC-HCC between 2004 and 2013 were identified from the SEER database. A derivation set of 75% of this cohort was used to develop a risk score. This was then internally validated on the remaining patients, and externally validated using a cohort of patients from The HPB Unit, Birmingham, UK.

RESULTS

A total of 3897 patients were included from the SEER database, with a median post-diagnosis survival of 59 months. In the derivation set, multivariable analyses identified male sex, increasing tumour size, the presence of multiple tumours, bilobar tumours and major vascular invasion as adverse prognostic factors. A risk score generated from these factors was significantly predictive of OS, and was used to classify patients into low, medium and high-risk groups. These groups had a five-year OS of 69%, 51% and 19% in the internal, and 73%, 50% and 45% in the external validation sets.

CONCLUSION

The proposed risk score is useful in the selection, pre-operative consenting and counselling of patients for surgery and to allow patients to make an informed decision regarding treatment.

A new prediction model for prognosis of patients with intermediate-stage HCC after conventional transarterial chemoembolization: an internally validated study

Purpose: The prognosis of patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated by conventional TACE (cTACE) is greatly heterogeneous. This study aimed to develop a new survival prediction model to help select patients who would benefit better from cTACE treatment. Methods: We collected data of 848 treatment-naïve patients with BCLC B HCC who received cTACE as first-line therapy. The prognostic model's variables were derived from univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The concordance index (C-statistic) calculated through cross-validation and bootstrap resampling was used for the model selection. The calibration of our final prediction model was also assessed. Results: The model showed a better discrimination ability than Bolondi's BCLC B1-B4 subclassification to predict the prognosis of BCLC B patients (C-statistic, 0.66 vs. 0.60; difference, 0.05, 95% CI, 0.03-0.07). In cross-validation, bootstrap resampling demonstrated that the model maintained sufficiently discriminant (an average of C-statistic, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.65-0.68). The model calibration was accurate in predicting survival of patients matched well with the observed outcomes. On the basis of the improved survival of 18 months or more as the responding patient, the observations of patients in each response category (responder and non-responder) were fair-moderately matched with those predicted by the model (κ=0.40, P<0.001). Conclusions: Based on clinically available features of patient, tumor and liver function, we developed an alternative prediction model with better performance than the Bolondi's substaging system for intermediate HCC patients after cTACE, which could help define the distinct subgroup of BCLC B patients who are suitable for cTACE treatment.

A Novel Index in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients After Curative Hepatectomy: Albumin to Gamma-Glutamyltransferase Ratio (AGR)

Aim: As high gamma-glutamyltransferase level or low albumin had negative impacts on the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the prognostic role of albumin to gamma-glutamyltransferase ratio (AGR) in HCC patients after hepatectomy remains unclear. Methods: Between January 2007 and December 2015, 1143 HCC patients after hepatectomy were reviewed from a prospectively maintained database in West China Hospital. All qualified patients (n = 959) were classified as training set (year 2007-2012, n = 480) and validation set (year 2012-2017, n = 479). A time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the performance. Result: AGR = 0.5 was identified as the best cut-off point to predict recurrence free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) in the training set. Low AGR was related to poor tumor characteristics and high systemic inflammation. Based on the multivariate analysis, high AGR was an independent predictor for better RFS and OS with an hazard ratio of 0.696 and 0.673. The high AGR group had better RFS and OS than the low AGR group in the training set as well as the validation set. The AGR-based score (AGR-PLR) could stratify HCC patients into three subgroups with different prognosis in the training and validation set. Patients with score 1 had a worse prognosis than those with AGR-PLR score 0, but better than those with AGR-PLR score 2. The predictive accuracy of the AGR-PLR score appeared superior to that of the AGR or PLR alone. Conclusions: we firstly reported that AGR ≤ 0.5 was an independently prognostic factor in HCC after hepatectomy. The AGR-PLR score could further improve the discriminatory ability of prognosis.

Prognostic role of serial alpha-fetoprotein levels in hepatocellular carcinoma treated with locoregional therapy

Background and aim: To evaluate early serial AFP changes in responders and non-responders to locoregional therapy and identify differences between significant AFP decliners and non-decliners post-treatment. Methods: Case records of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients having AFP ≥20 ng/ml and treated with locoregional therapy were examined retrospectively. Patients with complete details were included. Trends of serial AFP change (from baseline to post-treatment one month) in patients showing early tumor response (complete response (CR), partial response (PR), progressive disease (PD)) as assessed on multiphasic MRI/CT liver performed at one month following treatment. Receiver operating curves were drawn to estimate the best AFP reduction cut off for differentiating between responders (CR plus PR) from non-responders (PD). AFP decliners (those with AFP level reduction greater than 20% post-treatment) were identified and comparisons of their clinical parameters, tumor response and survival rate were made with AFP non-decliners. Results: HCC patients (n = 126) had mean age of 52.8 years, male:female ratio (4:1), Child's A 94, BCLC stage A/B/C HCC 49/65/12, respectively. On 4-6 weeks' MRI/CT, 46 patients developed CR, 55 PR and 25 PD. Reduction in median AFP level (83% in CR, 19% in PR) occurred in responders while 16% increase occurred in PD patients (non-responders). A 30% AFP reduction could differentiate responders from non-responders with 70% sensitivity and 68% specificity, AUROC 74% (CI 0.64-0.85). AFP decliners showed better survival and tumor response than non-decliners. Conclusions: Serial AFP change can predict tumor response to locoregional therapy in AFP producing HCC patients. AFP decliners have better survival and tumor response than AFP non-decliners.

Prognostic and clinicopathological significance of Gamma-Glutamyltransferase in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A PRISMA-compliant meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Many studies explored the prognostic and clinicopathological significance of pretreatment serum Gamma-Glutamyltransferase (GGT) level in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there are inconsistent results in the prognostic and clinicopathological significance of pretreatment serum GGT level in HCC. Thus, we conducted this meta-analysis to comprehensively assess the prognostic and clinicopathological significance of pretreatment serum GGT level in HCC patients.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science for relevant studies (up to June 14, 2018). The estimated hazard ratios (HRs) were used to assess the association between pretreatment serum GGT level and survival in HCC patients. The estimated odds ratios (ORs) were applied to evaluate the correlation between pretreatment serum GGT and clinicopathological features in HCC.

RESULTS

Our results showed that high pretreatment serum GGT level was significantly correlated with poor overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.70, 95% CI: 1.54-1.87; P < .01) and disease-free survival/relapse-free survival (DFS/RFS) (HR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.42-1.71; P < .01). Additionally, our results also revealed that there was a close correlation between GGT level and several clinicopathological features in HCC patients, including vascular invasion, tumor size, tumor number and Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis shows that high pretreatment serum GGT level is significantly correlated with poor survival and unfavorable clinicopathological features in HCC patients, suggesting that pretreatment serum GGT may be an economical and effective prognostic biomarker for HCC patients. However, more high-quality studies are still warranted to further validate our findings, considering there are several limitations in this meta-analysis.

Alpha-fetoprotein response following transarterial chemoembolization indicates improved survival for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To investigate the clinical value of the alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response following transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Data on patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer B staging system were analyzed. An AFP response was defined as a decrease in AFP of more than 20% after a TACE session. The association between AFP response and treatment outcome regarding imaging response and overall survival (OS) was explored. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to identify independent risk factors for OS after TACE.

RESULTS

Of the enrolled 376 patients with elevated serum AFP >20 ng/mL, 214 (57%) with AFP responses were identified. AFP responders had improved median survival than non-responders (20 vs. 12 months, P = 0.002). AFP response was significantly correlated with imaging response (P < 0.001). The Cox proportional hazards model revealed that AFP response was an independent factor for OS (hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% confidence interval, 0.45-0.78; P < 0.001). In stratified analyses, an AFP response achieved improved survival in patients with tumor diameters ≤5 cm, diameters >5 cm, tumor number ≤3 and without underlying cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The AFP response indicates enhanced survival after TACE in patients with intermediate-stage BCLC.

The prognostic significance of pretreatment serum γ-glutamyltranspeptidase in primary liver cancer: a meta-analysis and systematic review

Aim: To assess the prognostic value of the pretreatment serum γ-glutamyltranspeptidase (GGT) level in patients with primary liver cancer (PLC). Methods: Relevant studies were systematically searched online on Web of Science, PubMed, and Embase databases published until 9 October 2018. The end points were overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and disease-free survival (DFS). Meta-analysis was conducted using hazard ratio (HR), and its 95% confidence interval (CI) as effect measure. Results: A total of 33 eligible studies with 9238 patients with PLC were included in this meta-analysis. The synthesized analysis showed that that higher serum GGT level was significantly related to poorer OS (HR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.66–1.93, P<0.01), RFS (HR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.46–1.77, P<0.01), and DFS (HR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.33–1.73, P<0.01) of patients with PLC. Subgroup analyses demonstrated that the negative prognostic impact of higher serum GGT level on OS and RFS was still of significance regardless of ethnicity, pathological type, sample size, cut-off value, first-line treatment, and analysis type. Conclusion: The pretreatment serum GGT might be a predictive factor of poor prognosis for PLC patients.

Evaluation of Diagnostic Efficiency of Alpha-Fetoprotein in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Single-Center Experience

BACKGROUND

AFP serum levels are considered as diagnostic and specific for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC).

AIM

This study aimed to examine the diagnostic value of AFP in the distinguishing of patients with HCC from patients with LC, and to analyse the potential correlation between AFP levels and liver disease stages.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Fifty patients with LC and fifty patients with HCC were included in this study. The majority of the patients were males, while the HBV aetiology was dominant.

RESULTS

Significant differences between LC and HCC patients were detected for AST, ALT, GGT, bilirubin, AFP and AP. Patients with HCC had higher AFP values compared to LC. There was no significant correlation between the size of the tumour lesion and serum AFP levels. A positive correlation between AFP concentration and GGT activity was determined, as was the negative correlation between AFP and age of the subjects. The AFP value of 23.34 ng/m showed high sensitivity (84%) and specificity (82%).

CONCLUSION

The size of the surface below the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.877 (0.80-0.95), which makes AFP a good biomarker and this diagnostic test is sufficient to separate patients with HCC and LC.

The status of transarterial chemoembolization treatment in the era of precision oncology

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the gold standard of therapy for patients with unresectable intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and is also commonly used as postresection adjuvant therapy in Asia. The delivery of TACE is highly variable from center to center, and clinical decision making for patients is based primarily on tumor staging guidelines, with very little focus on individualized tumor features. This review will discuss recent efforts for improving patient outcomes with TACE treatment through personalized medicine advances, including ongoing clinical trials investigating the combination of targeted therapy with TACE and the discovery of prognostic biomarkers for predicting TACE response.

Changes of alpha-fetoprotein levels could predict recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma survival after trans-arterial chemoembolization

Background

There is paucity of information concerning whether AFP change is a predictor of prognosis for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (RHCC) patients after trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Methods

A total of 177 RHCC patients who received TACE as first-line therapy were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were classified into three groups according to their pre-TACE and post-TACE AFP levels (group A: AFP decreased, group B: AFP consistent normal, and group C: AFP increased). The recurrence to death survival (RTDS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and compared by the log-rank test. Multivariate analyses were performed to identify prognostic factors for OS and RTDS.

Results

There was no significant difference among the three groups concerning the baseline characteristics. The median overall survival (OS) was 74.5 months in group A (95% confidence interval (CI): 63.5, 85.6), 64.0 months in group B (95% CI: 52.3, 75.7) and 29.0 months in group C (95% CI: 24.1, 33.9; P<0.001). The median recurrence to death survival (RTDS) was 66.5 months (95% CI: 53.4, 79.6) in group A, 50.4 months (95% CI: 39.5, 61.4) in group B and 17.7 months (95% CI: 13.4, 22.1; P<0.001) in group C. Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor size at resection stage, tumor number at recurrent stage, cycles of TACE, mRECIST response and AFP change after TACE were significant independent risk factors for RTDS and OS.

Conclusions

AFP change could predict the prognoses of patients with RHCC who received trans-arterial chemoembolization, which may help clinicians make subsequent treatment decision.

Risk stratification for locally advanced hepatocellular carcinoma using pretreatment alpha-foetoprotein and 18 F-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography

BACKGROUND & AIMS

We investigated the significance of ¹⁸ F-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography (¹⁸ F-FDG PET) parameters and alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) levels in patients with locally advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (LA-HCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed data of 228 patients with LA-HCC who underwent pretreatment ¹⁸ F-FDG PET between January 2003 and December 2013. All patients were treated using liver-directed therapy involving radiotherapy. The maximum standardized uptake values (SUVs) and tumour-to-extratumoural liver SUV ratios were calculated, and pretreatment AFP values were obtained.

RESULTS

Patients were divided into high and low maximum SUV (SUVmax) groups according to a SUV cut-off of 4.825 determined via receiver-operating characteristic analysis. High AFP level (>550 ng/mL) and high SUVmax were significant predictors of overall and progression-free survival. Better treatment responses and longer median progression-free and overall survival were observed in the low SUVmax group, compared to the high SUVmax group. Similar results were obtained for SUV ratio-based (cut-off value: 2.355) and AFP-based analyses (cut-off value: 550 ng/mL). Three risk groups were identified using the double biomarkers of SUVmax and AFP value as strong prognosticators predictive of survival outcomes. This risk stratification was identified as a prognosticator of survival outcomes, even after subgroup analyses. Furthermore, in high risk group, significantly high extrahepatic failure was shown while in low risk group, significantly low intrahepatic failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical significance of double biomarkers, SUV and AFP, could be translated into risk stratification for LA-HCC. It could be a valuable tool for survival outcome prediction.

Early Prediction of the Outcome Using Tumor Markers and mRECIST in Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Who Underwent Transarterial Chemoembolization

OBJECTIVE

We examined early predictors of the outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

We analyzed 116 patients with unresectable HCC treated with initial TACE. α-Fetoprotein (AFP) or des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) response was assessed in patients who had baseline AFP levels ≥200 ng/ml or DCP ≥60 mAU/ml; a positive response was defined as a reduction of >50% compared to baseline 1 month after TACE.

RESULTS

A baseline AFP level ≥200 ng/ml was associated with a poor overall survival (OS) (29.4 vs. 6.1 months; p <0.0001). AFP response had no significantly prognostic effects on the OS. Conversely, although the baseline DCP did not influence the OS, DCP responders showed a significantly better OS than nonresponders (67.0 vs. 19.8 months, p = 0.020). The baseline AFP (p = 0.004) and initial tumor response evaluated by the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) (p = 0.012) were found to be independent predictors of the OS. The combination of the baseline AFP and initial assessment by mRECIST allowed stratification of the OS.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of the baseline AFP level and mRECIST is useful for the early prediction of the OS in HCC patients who underwent TACE.

Gene Signature Associated with Upregulation of the Wnt/β-Catenin Signaling Pathway Predicts Tumor Response to Transarterial Embolization

PURPOSE

To identify gene mutations in tumors undergoing transarterial embolization and explore the relationship between gene mutations and tumor response to embolization.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective review that included 17 patients with primary or metastatic liver tumors treated with embolization and had specimens analyzed for a 341-gene panel next-generation sequence assay. Pathologic conditions included hepatocellular, carcinoid, pancreatic neuroendocrine, melanoma, medullary thyroid, and liver acinar-cell carcinoma. Disease, procedure data, and tumor response data were collected. Dimensionality reduction was performed by using principal component analysis. A linear support vector machine was used to learn a prediction rule and identify the genes most predictive of objective tumor response (partial or complete) per modified Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors. Cross-validation was used to test the prediction on the holdout set. Permutation testing was used to determine statistical significance of prediction accuracy. Recursive feature elimination was used to identify the most predictive genes.

RESULTS

At 4 months after embolization, 9 tumors showed a response and 8 did not. Using the top two principal components, prediction accuracy of the gene mutation signature was 70% (±11%), which was statistically significant (P < .05). The most predictive genes were CTNNB1, MEN1, and NCOR1: three genes associated with the Wnt/β-catenin and hypoxia signaling pathways.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identifies gene mutations in tumors treated with transarterial embolization. A gene-mutation signature obtained from the mutation data suggests that upregulation of the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway may be associated with sensitivity to embolization.

Insights for hepatitis C virus related hepatocellular carcinoma genetic biomarkers: Early diagnosis and therapeutic intervention

The current review explores the role of emerging molecular contributing factors in liver carcinogenesis on top of hepatitis C virus (HCV). Here we will try to discuss the role genetic and epigenetic factors in pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma. Understanding the role of these factors will help in discovering the mystery of liver carcinogenesis on top of chronic HCV infection. Moreover, use of the studied molecular factors will provide the hepatologists with tailored diagnostic promising biomarkers and flatten the way for establishment of emerging molecular treatment based on exploring the molecular subscription of this aggressive liver cancer.

Comparison of transarterial chemoembolization with radiofrequency ablation for unresectable Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0/A hepatocellular carcinoma: a propensity score matching

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is recommended as one of the standard treatments for early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Because of high-risk tumor locations unfit for RFA, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is served as an alternative option in these settings. To define the role of TACE on early HCC, we retrospectively compared the efficacies of TACE with RFA in patients with unresectable Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0/A HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Treatment-naïve patients with unresectable BCLC stage 0/A HCC who underwent TACE or RFA were recruited from 2007 to 2011. In all, 208 patients who underwent TACE and 235 patients who underwent RFA were included in the final analysis. Using the propensity model to correct selection bias, 103 patients were selected from each treatment arm. Cumulative overall survival (OS) as the primary end point was compared after adjustment with propensity score matching.

RESULTS

In all patients, the OS rate was significantly higher in patients treated with RFA than that in those who received TACE (1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates, 93.7%, 72.6%, and 58.1% vs 88.1%, 50.3%, and 30.4%, respectively; P < 0.001). However, adjustment with propensity score matching yielded comparable OS between the two groups (P = 0.207). Subgroup analysis showed that RFA provided better OS than TACE in patients with serum γ-glutamyltranspeptidase < 75 IU/L (P = 0.035). Univariate and subsequent multivariate analyses revealed that Child-Pugh class B (hazard ratio = 1.805; 95% confidence interval, 1.805-3.003; P = 0.023) and hepatitis C virus positivity (hazard ratio = 2.478; 95% confidence interval, 1.136-5.404; P = 0.023) were independent predictors of poor prognosis.

CONCLUSION

Transarterial chemoembolization is an effective alternative treatment for unresectable BCLC stage 0/A HCC when RFA is not feasible.

Hepatitis B virus DNA negativity acts as a favorable prognostic factor in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

This retrospective study was aimed to investigate the efficacy of prophylactic agents in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving TACE and compare the difference between lamivudine and entecavir.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A consecutive series of 203 HBV-related HCC patients receiving TACE were analyzed including 91 patients given prophylactic agents. Virologic events, defined as an increase in serum HBV DNA level to more than 1 log10 IU/ml higher than the nadir level, hepatitis flares due to HBV reactivation and progression free survival (PFS) were the main endpoints.

RESULTS

Some 48 (69.6%) reached virologic response. Prophylaxis significantly reduced virologic events (8.8% vs 58.0%, p=0.000) and hepatitis flares (1.1% vs 13.4%, p=0.001). Patients presenting undetectable HBV DNA levels displayed a significantly improved PFS as compared to those who never achieved undetectable HBV DNA. Prophylaxis and e-antigen positivity were the only significant variables associated with virologic events. In addition, prophylaxis was the only independent protective factor for hepatitis flares. Liver cirrhosis, more cycles of TACE, HBV DNA negativity, a lower Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score, non-metastasis and no hepatitis flares were protective factors for PFS. Prophylactic lamivudine demonstrated similar efficacy as entecavir.

CONCLUSIONS

Prophylactic agents are efficacious for prevention of HBV reactivation in HCC patients receiving TACE. Achievement of undetectable HBV DNA levels displayed a significant capability in improving PFS. Moreover, persistent tumor residual lesions, positive HBV DNA and hepatitis B flares might be causes of tumor progression in these patients.

Nomograms for Predicting Outcomes after Chemoembolization in Patients with Nonmetastatic Hepatocellular Carcinoma

PURPOSE

To construct prognostic nomograms capable of estimating individual probabilities of tumor progression and overall survival (OS) at specific time points during serial transarterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study included 1,181 consecutive patients with nonmetastatic HCC undergoing repeated transarterial chemoembolization at a single tertiary referral center. Patients were assigned to 2 cohorts according to the first transarterial chemoembolization date: derivation (2004-2006; n = 854) and validation (2007; n = 327) sets. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were developed based on covariates derived before transarterial chemoembolization and assessed for their association with 5-year OS and 3-year progression-free survival (PFS). The accuracy of the models was internally and externally validated.

RESULTS

The 5-year OS of the derivation set was 25.4%, and 3-year PFS was 20.8%. Nomograms for OS and PFS were built into the derivation set incorporating the following factors: log [tumor volume] calculated as 4/3 × 3.14 × (maximum radius of tumor in cm(3)); tumor number; tumor type (nodular or infiltrative); Child-Pugh class (A or B); (model for end-stage liver disease score/10)(-2); log [α-fetoprotein]; and portal vein invasion. The models had good discrimination and calibration abilities with C-indexes of 0.80 (5-y survival) and 0.77 (3-y progression). The results of external validation confirmed that these models performed well in terms of discrimination and goodness-of-fit (C-indexes 0.77 for 5-y survival and 0.73 for 3-y progression).

CONCLUSION

Nomograms quantifying the survival and progression outcomes in patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization are useful clinical aids in providing personalized care.

Using serum α-fetoprotein for prognostic prediction in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: what is the most optimal cutoff?

Background and Aims

The prognostic ability of α-fetoprotein (AFP) for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was examined by using different cutoff values. The optimal AFP cutoff level is still unclear.

Methods

A total of 2579 HCC patients were consecutively enrolled in Taiwan, where hepatitis B is the major etiology of chronic liver disease. Four frequently used AFP cutoff levels, 20, 200, 400, 1000 ng/mL, were investigated. One-to-one matched pairs between patients having AFP higher and lower than the cutoffs were selected by using the propensity model. The adjusted hazard ratios of survival difference were calculated with Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

Patients with a higher AFP level were associated with more severe cirrhosis, more frequent vascular invasion, higher tumor burden and poorer performance status (all p<0.0001). In the propensity model, 4 groups of paired patients were selected, and there was no difference found in the comparison of baseline characteristics (all p>0.05). Patients with AFP <20 ng/mL had significantly better long-term survival than patients with AFP ≧20 ng/mL (p<0.0001), and patients with AFP <400 ng/mL had significantly better overall outcome than patients with AFP ≧400 ng/mL (p = 0.0186). There was no difference of long-term survival between patients divided by AFP levels of 200 and 1000 ng/mL. The adjusted hazard ratios of AFP ≧20 ng/mL and AFP ≧400 ng/mL were 1.545 and 1.471 (95% confidence interval: 1.3–1.838 and 1.178–1.837), respectively.

Conclusions

This study shows the independently predictive ability of baseline serum AFP level in HCC patients. AFP levels of 20 and 400 ng/mL are considered feasible cutoffs to predict long-term outcome in unselected HCC patients.

The predictive value of metabolic tumor volume on FDG PET/CT for transarterial chemoembolization and transarterial chemotherapy infusion in hepatocellular carcinoma patients without extrahepatic metastasis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of metabolic tumor volume (MTV) on pre-treatment F-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

A total of 59 HCC patients who underwent FDG PET/CT before transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or transarterial chemotherapy infusion (TACI) were retrospectively enrolled. The region of interest was drawn in the HCC and normal liver tissue. MTV2SD, defined as the sum of the voxels with higher standardized uptake values (SUV) than the SUV of the 97.5th percentile of voxels of the normal liver for each patient, was calculated using an intensity-volume histogram (IVH). The ratio of the maximum SUV of the tumor to the mean SUV of normal liver (T max/L mean) was also calculated. The prognostic significance of MTV2SD and Tmax/Lmean for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was evaluated along with other clinical factors.

RESULTS

The tumor number, Tmax/Lmean, and MTV2SD were significant prognostic factors affecting PFS (p < 0.05), whereas tumor number, serum alpha-fetoprotein level, tumor stage, portal vein thrombosis, Tmax/Lmean, and MTV2SD were significant prognostic factors for OS (p < 0.05). In multivariate analysis, the tumor number and MTV2SD were independent prognostic factors for PFS (p < 0.05), whereas the independent prognostic factors for OS were tumor number, tumor stage, and MTV2SD (p < 0.05). The mean PFS and OS in patients with low MTV2SD (15.4 and 63.1 months, respectively) were significantly longer than those in patients with high MTV2SD (6.0 and 15.2 months, respectively; p = 0.005 and p < 0.0001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Metabolic tumor volume was an independent prognostic factor for PFS and OS in patients with HCC. Therefore, FDG PET/CT can provide valuable prognostic information for HCC patients who undergo TACE or TACI.

Association of serum microRNA expression in hepatocellular carcinomas treated with transarterial chemoembolization and patient survival

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most deadly tumors. Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is effective for unresectable HCC. In recent years, miRNAs have been proposed as novel diagnostic and prognostic tools for HCC. This study aimed to identify whether microRNAs (miRNAs) can serve as biomarkers to reliably predict outcome before HCC patients are treated with TACE.

METHODS

Eleven miRNAs (miR-, miR-19a, miR-101-3p, miR-199a-5p, miR-200a, miR-21, miR-214, miR-221, miR-222, miR-223 and miR-, -5p) were quantified by quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) in 136 HCC patients' serum before they received TACE therapy. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to identify the prognostic value of clinical parameters and miRNAs. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the prediction potency.

RESULTS

The levels of some miRNAs were dramatically associated with clinicopathologic features regarding Child-Puge class, AFP, tumor size and satellite nodules. Univariate analysis revealed that miR-200a, miR-21, miR-122 and miR-224-5p were significantly associated with patients' survival. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that AFP, satellite nodules and miR-200a were the independent prognostic factors associated with survival in this cohort (p = 0.000, 0.001, 0.000, respectively). The probability of the prognostic accuracy of miR-200a was 81.64% (74.47% specificity and 88.76% sensitivity), which was higher than the classifier established by combination of AFP and satellite nodules (76.87% probability, 70.21% specificity and 69.66% sensitivity). Furthermore, the combination of AFP, satellite nodules and miR-200a demonstrated as a classifier for HCC prognosis, yielding a ROC curve area of 88.19% (93.62% specificity and 68.54% sensitivity).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicated that serum miR-200a may prognosticate disease outcome in HCC patients with TACE therapy. Therefore, miR-200a can potentially guide individualized treatment for HCC patients with a high risk of TACE treatment failures.

Alpha-1-fucosidase as a prognostic indicator for hepatocellular carcinoma following hepatectomy: a large-scale, long-term study

Background:

Preoperative alpha-L-fucosidase (AFU) has been used as a diagnostic biomarker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its role as a prognostic predictor after partial hepatectomy has not been well defined. The study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of preoperative serum AFU for HCC patients after hepatic resection.

Methods:

A retrospective training data set and a prospective validation data set were used to evaluate the prognosis of HCC after partial hepatectomy. A total of 669 patients with histopathologically confirmed HCC were enrolled. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify the prognostic significance of preoperative serum AFU.

Results:

The retrospective training data set showed a preoperative AFU>35 u l⁻¹ should be used. The prospective validation data set showed preoperative AFU was an independent prognostic factor of overall survival (OS) (P=0.008; hazard ratio: 2.333; 95% confidence interval: 1.249–4.369). Patients with a preoperative AFU>35 u l⁻¹ had a lower recurrence-free survival rate and an OS rate than those with AFU⩽35 u l⁻¹, and they have a higher tendency to form macrovascular invasion. Furthermore, the prognostic significance of AFU>35 u l⁻¹ could also be applied to patients with alpha-fetoprotein levels of ⩽400 ng ml⁻¹.

Conclusions:

Preoperative serum AFU is a prognostic predictor of HCC.

Evaluation of alpha-fetoprotein in detecting hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after radiofrequency ablation

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The performance of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after radiofrequency ablation was analyzed.

METHODS

One hundred and forty-six solitary HCC lesions treated by radiofrequency ablation were evaluated. Using the AFP cutoff level at ≥ 20 ng/mL, tumors were categorized into AFP or non-AFP-producing HCC. Factors associated with true and false interpretations for cancer recurrence including analysis of elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) were evaluated. The performance of AFP using different cutoff levels adjusted for abnormal ALT was compared.

RESULTS

Of 146 HCCs, 103 demonstrated no HCC recurrence while 43 had local recurrence. In non-recurrence HCC cases, increased AFP levels (false positive) were associated with concomitant ALT elevations, while those with normal AFP (true negative) had correspondingly normal ALT values (P < 0.001). The AFP false positive rate in cases of elevated ALT was significantly higher than those with normal ALT levels (31.9% vs 5.4%, P = 0.001). Among all positive AFP tests, those with false positive values (non-recurrence) had a significantly lower AFP level than the true positive (recurrence) HCC cases (39.8 ng/mL vs 372 ng/mL, P < 0.001). At the 20 ng/mL cutoff level, the sensitivities of AFP for detecting recurrence in non-AFP-producing HCC and AFP-producing HCC were 12.0%, and 72.2%, respectively. Using a modified AFP criteria of ≥ 100 ng/mL for cases where ALT ≥ 40 U/L, the sensitivity and specificity in AFP-producing tumors increased from 72.2% and 56% to 100% and 85%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Serum AFP is a useful test in the detection of HCC recurrence in AFP-producing HCC. The performance in AFP-producing HCC was significantly improved after adjusting for elevation of serum ALT.

Association of alpha fetoprotein levels and presence of parasitical blood vessels with response to TACE in patients with advanced liver cancer

AIM: To assess the value of alpha fetoprotein (AFP) levels and presence of parasitical blood vessels in evaluating response to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with advanced liver cancer.

METHODS: One hundred and sixty-three patients who were diagnosed with advanced liver cancer by pathology, iconography and tumor molecular biomarker detection and underwent TACE were included in this study. Serum levels of AFP were detected by radioactive enzyme-linked immunoassay. Computer tomography angiography (CTA) was used to detect parasitical angiogenesis.

RESULTS: Of 131 AFP-positive patients before TACE, 82 had decreased AFP after TACE, and the response rate (survival time over one year) was 87.8% (72/82); 13 had increased AFP, and the response rate was 30.8% (4/13); 36 had unchanged AFP, and the response rate was 58.3% (21/36). In contrast, the response rate was 100% (32/32) in 32 AFP-negative patients. The response rate was significantly higher in AFP-negative patients and patients with decreased AFP than in those with increased or unchanged AFP (P < 0.01). Fifty-six patients developed parasitical blood vessels (including 53 AFP-positive and 3 AFP-negative patients). After TACE, the response rate was significantly higher in patients without parasitical blood vessels than in those having parasitical blood vessels (78.5% vs 41.1%, P < 0.05). The percentage of AFP-positive patients having parasitical blood vessels was significantly higher than that of AFP-negative patients having parasitical blood vessels (40.1% vs 9.4%, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION: Poor treated effects of mid-advanced stage liver cancer patients cured by TACE due to patients contain High serum levels of AFP and presence of parasitic blood vessels are associated with a poor response to TACE in patients with advanced liver cancer. Measurement of AFP concentration and detection of parasitical angiogenesis by CTA may be used to evaluate the response to TACE therapy in patients with advanced liver cancer.

Small- and medium-sized hepatocellular carcinomas: monopolar radiofrequency ablation with a multiple-electrode switching system-mid-term results

PURPOSE

To prospectively assess the safety and mid-term therapeutic effectiveness of monopolar radiofrequency (RF) ablation with a multiple-electrode switching system for treating small- and medium-sized (≤ 5 cm) hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The institutional review board approved this prospective study, and all patients gave informed consent. From February 2009 to January 2010, 166 patients (110 men and 56 women; age range, 38-86 years; mean age, 62 years ± 10 [standard deviation]) with 166 HCCs less than or equal to 5 cm in diameter were treated with monopolar RF ablation with a multiple-electrode switching system. One of three experienced radiologists performed the RF ablation. Technique effectiveness, ablation volume and time, and major complications were evaluated by means of computed tomography (CT) immediately after RF ablation and at follow-up CT examinations at 1 month and then every 3 months after the procedure. The overall survival, disease-free survival, and local tumor progression-free survival rates were evaluated by using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

The technique effectiveness rate determined 1 month after RF ablation was 99.4%. Mean ablation parameters were as follows: volume, 85 cm(3) ± 54; maximum diameter, 61 mm ± 13; and minimum diameter, 43 mm ± 11. The major complication rate was 4.8%. The 6-month and 1-, 2-, and 3-year local tumor progression rates were 2%, 6%, 10%, and 11%, respectively. The overall survival rates at 1, 2, and 3 years after RF ablation were 99%, 97%, and 96%, and corresponding local tumor progression-free survival rates were 94%, 90%, and 89%, respectively. The disease-free survival rates at 1, 2, and 3 years after RF ablation were 75%, 60%, and 54%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Monopolar RF ablation with a multiple-electrode switching system in small- and medium-sized HCCs was safe and efficient, and it provided successful local tumor control and high local tumor progression-free survival rates because an adequate ablation volume was obtained.

Biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma: progression in early diagnosis, prognosis, and personalized therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors in the world. Currently, surgical resection, liver transplantation, and local ablation are considered curative therapeutic practices for HCC. The diagnosis of HCC without pathologic confirmation is achieved by analyzing serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels combined with imaging techniques, including ultrasonography, magnetic resonance imaging, and computerized tomography. Although progress has been made in the diagnosis and management of HCC, its prognosis remains dismal. Various new technologies have identified numerous novel biomarkers with potential diagnostic as well as prognostic value, including Dickkopf-1 and Golgi protein 73. These biomarkers not only help in the early diagnosis and prediction of prognosis, but also assist in identifying potential targets for therapeutic interventions. In this article, we provide an up-to-date review of the biomarkers that are used for early diagnosis, prognosis prediction, and personalized treatment of HCC.