Nomograms for Pre-operative and Post-operative Prediction of Long-Term Survival of Patients Who Underwent Repeat Hepatectomy for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Patients Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Hepatectomy

Purpose

This study aims to establish a prognostic nomogram for patients who underwent transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy.

Patients and Methods

Patients who underwent TACE for recurrent early- and middle-stage HCC after hepatectomy between 2009.01 and 2015.12 were included. Enrolled patients were randomly divided into training (n=345) and validation (n=173) cohorts according to a computer-generated randomized number. Independent factors for overall survival (OS) were determined and included in the nomogram based on the univariate and multivariate analyses of the training group. The nomogram was validated and compared to other prognostic models. Discriminative ability and predictive accuracy were determined using the Harrell C index (C-index), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and calibration curve.

Results

The final nomogram was established based on four parameters including resection-to-TACE time interval, recurrent tumor diameter, recurrent tumor number, and AFP level. The C-indexes of the nomogram for predicting OS were 0.67 (95% CI 0.63-0.70) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.68-0.74) in the training and validation cohort respectively. The AUROCs for predicting the 1-year, 2-year and 3-year OS based on the nomogram were also superior to those of the other models. The calibration curve for 3-year survival showed a high congruence between the predicted and actual survival probabilities. According to the scores calculated by the nomogram, patients were stratified into three subgroups: high-risk (scoring ≥53 points), middle-risk (scoring ≥26 and <53 points), and low-risk (scoring <26 points) subgroups with a median OS of 10.1 (95% CI 0.63-0.70), 20.3 (95% CI 17.5-22.5) and 47.0 (95% CI 34.2-59.8) months, respectively.

Conclusion

The proposed nomogram served as a new tool to predict individual survival in patients who underwent TACE for recurrent HCC after hepatectomy, with favorable performance and discrimination. For high-risk patients, treatment should be optimized beyond TACE alone based on the nomogram.

An MRI-Based Radiomics Nomogram for Differentiation of Benign and Malignant Vertebral Compression Fracture

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to develop and validate a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics nomogram combining radiomics signatures and clinical factors to differentiate between benign and malignant vertebral compression fractures (VCFs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 189 patients with benign VCFs (n = 112) or malignant VCFs (n = 77) were divided into training (n = 133) and validation (n = 56) cohorts. Radiomics features were extracted from MRI T1-weighted images and short-TI inversion recovery images to develop the radiomics signature, and the Rad score was constructed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Demographic and MRI morphological characteristics were assessed to build a clinical factor model using multivariate logistic regression analysis. A radiomics nomogram was constructed based on the Rad score and independent clinical factors. Finally, the diagnostic performance of the radiomics nomogram, clinical model, and radiomics signature was validated using receiver operating characteristic and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Six features were used to build a combined radiomics model (combined-RS). Pedicle or posterior element involvement, paraspinal mass, and fluid sign were identified as the most important morphological factors for building the clinical factor model. The radiomics signature was superior to the clinical model in terms of the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, and specificity. The radiomics nomogram integrating the combined-RS, pedicle or posterior element involvement, paraspinal mass, and fluid sign achieved favorable predictive efficacy, generating AUCs of 0.92 and 0.90 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The DCA indicated good clinical usefulness of the radiomics nomogram.

CONCLUSION

The MRI-based radiomics nomogram, combining the radiomics signature and clinical factors, showed favorable predictive efficacy for differentiating benign from malignant VCFs.

Clinical impact of sarcopenia in early-stage intrahepatic recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma: an association with impaired host immunity

PURPOSE

This study investigated the role of sarcopenia in the long-term outcomes of patients with early-stage intrahepatic recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

The study included 136 patients with intrahepatic recurrent Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0/A HCC following liver resection diagnosed between 2006 and 2020 and underwent surgery, radiofrequency ablation (RFA), or transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE). Sarcopenia was defined based on the skeletal muscle index using computed tomography at the time of recurrence, and its association with long-term outcomes was evaluated. Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (CD4 + , CD8 + , and CD45RO + T cells) were assayed using immunohistochemistry on specimens obtained from repeat hepatectomies, and their association with sarcopenia was evaluated.

RESULTS

The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates after initial recurrence of patients with sarcopenia were significantly lower than those without sarcopenia (p < 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively). Multivariate analysis identified sarcopenia as an independent prognostic factor for RFS (p < 0.001). In patients without sarcopenia, surgery resulted in better RFS than RFA or TACE. Contrastingly, in patients with sarcopenia, the RFS was extremely poor regardless of the treatment type: surgery, RFA, or TACE (median RFS, 11.7, 12.7, and 10.1 months). Significantly low levels of tumor-infiltrating CD4 + , CD8 + , and CD45RO + lymphocytes were observed in patients with sarcopenia (p = 0.001, p = 0.001, and p = 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that patients with sarcopenia have poor RFS regardless of the treatment type for early-stage intrahepatic recurrent HCC. Impaired host immunity might be one of the underlying mechanisms.

Efficacy of treatment based on TKIs in combination with PD-1 inhibitors for unresectable recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The recurrence occurs within 5 years in up to 70% of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who received radical liver resection, and most patients are no longer suitable for repeat surgery. There are limited treatment options for unresectable recurrent HCC. This study aimed to explore the potential efficacy of treatment based on TKIs in combination with PD-1 inhibitors for unresectable recurrent HCC.

METHODS

Forty-four patients with unresectable recurrent HCC after radical surgery between January 2017 and November 2022 were retrospectively collected and screened. All patients received the combination therapy of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) and programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) inhibitors, and 18 of these patients received trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE) or TACE combined with radiofrequency ablation (RFA). Two patients who received TKIs in combination with PD-1 inhibitors eventually obtained repeat surgery, with one patient undergoing a repeat hepatectomy and one patient receiving a liver transplant.

RESULTS

The median survival for these patients was 27.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 21.2, 32.8), with a 1-year overall survival (OS) rate of 83.6% (95% CI 77.9%, 89.3%). Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 15.0 months (95.0% CI 12.1, 17.9), with a 1-year PFS rate of 77.0% (95% CI 70.6%, 83.4%). The two patients who underwent repeat surgery had a survival time of 34 and 37 months after the combined treatment with no recurrence, respectively, as of November 2022.

CONCLUSION

The combination of TKIs and PD-1 inhibitors for unresectable recurrent HCC is effective and can prolong the survival of patients in this group.

Treatment of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma following liver resection, ablation or liver transplantation

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy and causes one third of cancer related deaths world-wide. Approximately one third of patients with HCC are eligible for curative treatments that include hepatic resection, liver transplantation or imaging guided tumor ablation. Recurrence rates after primary therapy depends on tumor biology and pre-treatment tumor burden with early recurrence rates ranging from 30%-80% following surgical resection and ablation. HCC recurs in over ten percent following liver transplantation for HCC. Treatment modalities for tumor recurrence following resection and ablation include repeat liver resection, salvage liver transplantation, locoregional therapies, and systemic chemotherapy/immunotherapy. Locoregional and immune mediated therapies are limited for patients with tumor recurrence following liver transplantation given potential immune related allograft rejection. Given the high HCC recurrence rates after primary tumor treatment, it is imperative for the clinician to review the appropriate treatment strategy for this disease entity. This article will review the current literature regarding HCC recurrence after primary curative therapies and will discuss the relevant future trends in the HCC field.

Application of ablative therapy for intrahepatic recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma following hepatectomy

The post-hepatectomy recurrence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is persistently high, affecting the prognosis of patients. An effective therapeutic option is crucial for achieving long-term survival in patients with postoperative recurrences. Local ablative therapy has been established as a treatment option for resectable and unresectable HCCs, and it is also a feasible approach for recurrent HCC (RHCC) due to less trauma, shorter operation times, fewer complications, and faster recovery. This review focused on ablation techniques, description of potential candidates, and therapeutic and prognostic implications of ablation for guiding its application in treating intrahepatic RHCC.

Postoperative outcomes and recurrence patterns of intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma dictated by the sum of tumor size and number

BACKGROUND

The selection criteria for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who would truly benefit from liver resection (LR) remain undefined.

AIM

To identify BCLC-B HCC patients more suitable for LR.

METHODS

We included patients undergoing curative LR for BCLC stage A or B multi-nodular HCC (MNHCC) and stratified BCLC-B patients by the sum of tumor size and number (N + S). Overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), recur-rence-to-death survival (RTDS), recurrence patterns, and treatments after recurrence in BCLC-B patients in each subgroup were compared with those in BCLC-A patients.

RESULTS

In total, 143 patients who underwent curative LR for MNHCC with BCLC-A (n = 25) or BCLC-B (n = 118) were retrospectively analyzed. According to the N + S, patients with BCLC-B HCC were divided into two subgroups: BCLC-B1 (N + S ≤ 10, n = 83) and BCLC-B2 (N + S > 10, n = 35). Compared with BCLC-B2 patients, those with BCLC-B1 had a better OS (5-year OS rate: 67.4% vs 33.6%; P < 0.001), which was comparable to that in BCLC-A patients (5-year OS rate: 67.4% vs 74.1%; P = 0.250), and a better RFS (median RFS: 19 mo vs 7 mo; P < 0.001), which was worse than that in BCLC-A patients (median RFS: 19 mo vs 48 mo; P = 0.022). Further analysis of patients who developed recurrence showed that both BCLC-B1 and BCLC-A patients had better RTDS (median RTDS: Not reached vs 49 mo; P = 0.599), while the RTDS in BCLC-B2 patients was worse (median RTDS: 16 mo vs not reached, P < 0.001; 16 mo vs 49 mo, P = 0.042). The recurrence patterns were similar between BCLC-B1 and BCLC-A patients, but BCLC-B2 patients had a shorter recurrence time and a higher proportion of patients had recurrence with macrovascular invasion and/or extrahepatic metastasis, both of which were independent risk factors for RTDS.

CONCLUSION

BCLC-B HCC patients undergoing hepatectomy with N + S ≤ 10 had mild recurrence patterns and excellent OS similar to those in BCLC-A MNHCC patients, and LR should be considered in these patients.

Novel postoperative nomograms for predicting individual prognoses of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma with cirrhosis

Background

Liver cirrhosis is a well-known risk factor for carcinogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of the present study was to construct individual prognostic models for HCC with cirrhosis.

Methods

The clinical differences between HCC patients with and without cirrhosis were compared using a large cohort of 1003 cases. The patients with cirrhosis were randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort in a ratio of 2:1. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to reveal the independent risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) in HCC patients with cirrhosis. These factors were subsequently used to construct nomograms.

Results

Multivariate analyses revealed that five clinical variables (hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) positivity, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, tumour diameter, microvascular invasion (MVI), and satellite lesions) and seven variables (HBeAg positivity, AFP level, tumour diameter, MVI, satellite lesions, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase level, and histological differentiation) were significantly associated with RFS and OS, respectively. The C-indices of the nomograms for RFS and OS were 0.739 (P < 0.001) and 0.789 (P < 0.001), respectively, in the training cohort, and 0.752 (P < 0.001) and 0.813 (P < 0.001), respectively, in the validation cohort. The C-indices of the nomograms were significantly higher than those of conventional staging systems (P < 0.001). The calibration plots showed optimal consistence between the nomogram-predicted and observed prognoses.

Conclusions

The nomograms developed in the present study showed good performance in predicting the prognoses of HCC patients with hepatitis B virus-associated cirrhosis.

The role of re-resection in recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma

Purpose

While liver resection is a well-established treatment for primary HCC, surgical treatment for recurrent HCC (rHCC) remains the topic of an ongoing debate. Thus, we investigated perioperative and long-term outcome in patients undergoing re-resection for rHCC in comparative analysis to patients with primary HCC treated by resection.

Methods

A monocentric cohort of 212 patients undergoing curative-intent liver resection for HCC between 2010 and 2020 in a large German hepatobiliary center were eligible for analysis. Patients with primary HCC (n = 189) were compared to individuals with rHCC (n = 23) regarding perioperative results by statistical group comparisons and oncological outcome using Kaplan–Meier analysis.

Results

Comparative analysis showed no statistical difference between the resection and re-resection group in terms of age (p = 0.204), gender (p = 0.180), ASA category (p = 0.346) as well as main preoperative tumor characteristics, liver function parameters, operative variables, and postoperative complications (p = 0.851). The perioperative morbidity (Clavien-Dindo ≥ 3a) and mortality were 21.7% (5/23) and 8.7% (2/23) in rHCC, while 25.4% (48/189) and 5.8% (11/189) in primary HCC, respectively (p = 0.851). The median overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in the resection group were 40 months and 26 months, while median OS and RFS were 41 months and 29 months in the re-resection group, respectively (p = 0.933; p = 0.607; log rank).

Conclusion

Re-resection is technically feasible and safe in patients with rHCC. Further, comparative analysis displayed similar oncological outcome in patients with primary and rHCC treated by liver resection. Re-resection should therefore be considered in European patients diagnosed with rHCC.

An Efficient Nomogram for Discriminating Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma From Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Retrospective Study

Objective

This study aims to establish a nomogram and provide an effective method to distinguish between intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

A total of 1,591 patients with HCC or ICC hospitalized at Shandong Provincial Hospital between January 2016 and August 2021 were included and randomly divided into development and validation groups in a ratio of 3:1. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the independent differential factors between HCC and ICC patients in the development cohort. By combining these independent differential factors, the nomogram was established for discriminating ICC from HCC. The accuracy of the nomogram was estimated by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Furthermore, the predictive nomogram was assessed in the internal testing set.

Results

Through multivariate analysis, independent differential factors between HCC and ICC involved hepatitis B virus (HBV), logarithm of alpha-fetoprotein (Log AFP), logarithm of protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (Log PIVKA-II), logarithm of carbohydrate antigen 199 (Log CA199), and logarithm of carbohydrate antigen 125 (Log CA125). A nomogram was finally established by incorporating these five independent differential factors. Comparing a model of conventional tumor biomarkers including AFP and CA199, the nomogram showed a better distinction between ICC and HCC. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of ICC diagnosis was 0.951 (95% CI, 0.938–0.964) for the nomogram. The results were consistent in the validation cohort with an AUC of 0.958 (95% CI, 0.938–0.978). After integrating patient preferences into the analysis, the DCA showed that using this nomogram to distinguish ICC and HCC increased more benefit compared with the conventional model.

Conclusion

An efficient nomogram has been established for the differential diagnosis between ICC and HCC, which may facilitate the detection and diagnosis of ICC. Further use of the nomogram in multicenter investigations will confirm the practicality of the tool for future clinical application.

Comparison of Treatment Response, Survival Profiles, as Well as Safety Profiles Between CalliSpheres® Microsphere Transarterial Chemoembolization and Conventional Transarterial Chemoembolization in Huge Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose

CalliSpheres^® microspheres (CSM) are the first drug-eluting beads (DEB) developed in China. This study aimed to compare treatment response, survival, and safety profiles between DEB transarterial chemoembolization (DEB-TACE) with CSM and conventional TACE (cTACE) in huge hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

Methods

A total of 71 patients with huge HCC who underwent DEB-TACE or cTACE were consecutively enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Treatment response was assessed at first month (M1), third month (M3), and sixth month (M6) after TACE therapy; progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated; liver function indexes were recorded before TACE operation (M0), at first week (W1), M1 and M6 after TACE therapy; adverse events which occurred after TACE operation were recorded.

Results

DEB-TACE presented with higher objective response rate (60.0% vs. 29.7%, p < 0.05) and disease control rate (86.7% vs. 59.4%, p < 0.05) compared with cTACE at M3. Regarding survival profiles, PFS [median: 3.3 months (95% CI: 2.8–3.7) vs. 2.1 months (95% CI: 1.7–2.5)] as well as OS [median: 7.8 months (95% CI: 4.6–11.0) vs. 5.7 months (95% CI: 5.0–6.3)] were longer in DEB-TACE group compared with cTACE group (both p < 0.01). Multivariate Cox’s regression further illustrated that DEB-TACE vs. cTACE was an independent protective factor for PFS and OS (both p < 0.01). As for safety profiles, patients’ liver function injury was reduced in the DEB-TACE group compared with the cTACE group. The incidence of fever was lower, and CINV was less severe in the DEB-TACE group compared with the cTACE group (both p < 0.05), while no difference in occurrence of liver abscess, increase of ascites, or moderate pain between two groups was observed.

Conclusion

DEB-TACE with CSM presents with better treatment response, survival profiles, as well as safety profiles compared with cTACE in treatment for huge HCC patients.

Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Review of Its Definition, Clinical Significance, and Comprehensive Management

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common types of malignancies in the world, and most HCC patients undergoing liver resection relapse within five years. Microvascular invasion (MVI) is an independent factor for both the disease-free survival and overall survival of HCC patients. At present, the definition of MVI is still controversial, and a global consensus on how to evaluate MVI precisely is needed. Moreover, this review summarizes the current knowledge and clinical significance of MVI for HCC patients. In terms of management, antiviral therapy, wide surgical margins, and postoperative transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) could effectively reduce the incidence of MVI or improve the disease-free survival and overall survival of HCC patients with MVI. However, other perioperative management practices, such as anatomical resection, radiotherapy, targeted therapy and immune therapy, should be clarified in future investigations.

A Nomogram Based on Aspartate Aminotransferase/Alanine Aminotransferase (AST/ALT) Ratio to Predict Prognosis After Surgery in Gastric Cancer Patients

INTRODUCTION

Using the TMN classification alone to predict survival in patients with gastric cancer has certain limitations, we conducted this study was to develop an effective nomogram based on aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio to predict overall survival (OS) in surgically treated gastric cancer.

METHODS

we retrospectively analyzed 190 cases of gastric cancer and used Cox regression analysis to identify the significant prognostic factors for OS in patients with resectable gastric cancer. The predictive accuracy of nomogram was assessed using a calibration plot, concordance index (C-index) and decision curve. This was then compared with a traditional TNM staging system. Based on the total points (TPS) by nomogram, we further divided patients into different risk groups.

RESULTS

multivariate analysis of the entire cohort revealed that independent risk factors for survival were age, clinical stage and AST/ALT ratio, which were entered then into the nomogram. The calibration curve for the probability of OS showed that the nomogram-based predictions were in good agreement with actual observations. Additionally, the C-index of the established nomogram for predicting OS had a superior discrimination power compared to the TNM staging system [0.794 (95% CI: 0.749-0.839) vs 0.730 (95% CI: 0.688-0.772), p < 0.05]. Decision curve also demonstrated that the nomogram was better than the TNM staging system. Based on TPS of the nomogram, we further subdivided the study cohort into 3 groups including low risk (TPS ≤ 158), middle risk (158 < TPS ≤ 188) and high risk (TPS > 188) categories. The differences in OS rate were significant among the groups.

CONCLUSION

the established nomogram is associated with a more accurate prognostic prediction for individual patients with resectable gastric cancer.

Surgery for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Achieving Long-term Survival

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the long-term outcomes of surgery for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

BACKGROUND

HCC recurs with high incidence after liver resection. Little is known about long-term outcomes of patients undergoing surgery for recurrent HCC.

METHODS

Among 989 patients who underwent R0/R1 liver resection for HCC between 1995 and 2014, 676 patients who exhibited recurrence were included. Repeat surgery was performed in 128 patients (RS group), and not in the remaining 548 patients (NS group). Prognostic value after repeat surgery was evaluated by comparing survival after recurrence (SAR) between the RS and NS groups. Subgroup analyses according to the 3 recurrence patterns [intrahepatic recurrence (IHR), extrahepatic recurrence (EHR), and intra plus extrahepatic recurrence (IHR + EHR)] were performed.

RESULTS

Seventy-three of 430 patients (17.0%) with IHR, 17 of 57 patients (29.8%) with EHR, and 38 of 189 patients (20.1%) with IH + EHR underwent repeat surgery. Compared with the NS group, the RS group had better liver function and their time to recurrence was significantly longer (16.5 vs 11.4 months; P < 0.001). In the overall and 3 recurrence patterns, the 5-year SAR rate was better in the RS group compared with the NS group (RS vs NS group; overall, 53.0% vs 25.7%; IHR, 73.8% vs 37.2%; EHR, 30.0% vs 0%; IHR + EHR, 34.1% vs 10.6%; all P < 0.001, respectively). On multivariate analysis, repeat surgery was identified as an independent factor for better SAR (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Surgery for recurrent HCC may yield long-term survival for not only IHR but also for EHR in selected patients.

A Novel Nomogram to Predict Prolonged Survival After Hepatectomy in Repeat Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background: Repeat hepatectomy is an important treatment for patients with repeat recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods: This study was a multicenter retrospective analysis of 1,135 patients who underwent primary curative liver resection for HCC. One hundred recurrent patients with second hepatectomy were included to develop a nomogram to predict the risk of post-recurrence survival (PRS). Thirty-eight patients in another institution were used to externally validate the nomogram. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors of PRS. Discrimination, calibration, and the Kaplan–Meier curves were used to evaluate the model performance.

Results: The nomogram was based on variables associated with PRS after HCC recurrence, including the tumor, node, and metastasis (TNM) stage; albumin and aspartate aminotransferase levels at recurrence; tumor size, site, differentiation of recurrences; and time to recurrence (TTR). The discriminative ability of the nomogram, as indicated by the C statistics (0.758 and 0.811 for training cohort and external validation cohorts, respectively), was shown, which was better than that of the TNM staging system (0.609 and 0.609, respectively). The calibration curves showed ideal agreement between the prediction and the real observations. The area under the curves (AUCs) of the training cohort and external validation cohorts were 0.843 and 0.890, respectively. The Kaplan–Meier curve of the established nomogram also performed better than those of both the TNM and the BCLC staging systems.

Conclusions: We constructed a nomogram to predict PRS in patients with repeat hepatectomy (RH) after repeat recurrence of HCC.

Development and validation of a nomogram for assessing survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

Background and aim: Assessing the average survival rate of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy is important for making critical decisions in everyday clinical practice. The present study aims to develop and validate a nomogram for assessing the overall survival probability for such patients.

Methods: The putative prognostic indicators for constructing the nomogram were identified using multivariable Cox regression and model selection based on the Akaike information criterion. The nomogram was subjected to internal and external validation. The nomogram endpoints were death within 1, 3, and 5 years.

Results: A consecutive sample of 522 HCC patients who underwent potentially curative hepatectomy was retrospectively analyzed. Age, Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) stage, tumor size, alanine transaminase, alpha fetal protein, and serum prealbumin were included in the final model. The nomogram's discriminative ability was good in the training set (C-index was 0.74 for 1 year, 0.73 for 3 years, 0.70 for 5 years) and was validated using both an internal bootstrap method (C-index was 0.73 for 1 year, 0.72 for 3 years, 0.69 for 5 years) and an external validating set (C-index was 0.72 for 1 year, 0.72 for 3 years, 0.69 for 5 years). The calibration plots for the endpoints showed optimal agreement between the nomogram's assessment and actual observations.

Conclusions: The nomogram (an Excel-based tool) can be useful for assessing the probability of survival at 1, 3, and 5 years in patients with HCC after hepatectomy.

Follow-up schedule for initial recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma after ablation based on risk classification

Background

To date, no standard follow-up guidelines exist regarding patients receiving ablation for initial recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to explore whether intensive follow-up could benefit these patients.

Methods

We reviewed the clinical data of patients who received complete ablation for initial HCC recurrence after curative treatments in our institution from January 2005 to June 2017. Risk factors for second recurrence of HCC were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses. Patients were classified into low- and high-risk groups according to the outcome of the classification and regression model. The patients were further categorized into short- (< 3 months) and long-interval (3–6 months) follow-up subgroups based on their surveillance in the first 2 years after complete ablation for initial recurrence. The Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test was performed to compare the overall survival (OS) based on follow-up intervals in each risk group. We also validated our results by stratifying patients into subgroups with different numbers of risk factors and comparing the OS between patients with different follow-up intervals.

Results

A total of 361 patients were enrolled. The risk factors for secondary recurrence included the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage at initial recurrence and first recurrence-free survival after curative treatments for primary HCC (p < 0.001 and p = 0.002). Two risk groups (low and high) were identified. In both the low- and high-risk groups, the OS of patients was not associated with intervals of follow-up (p = 0.29 and 0.49). No significant difference was found in the rates of BCLC 0/A stage, tumor location or curative treatments for the second recurrence by different follow-up intervals in each risk group (p = 0.34 and 0.87; p = 0.69 and 0.97). The same tendency was found in subgroups with 0/1/2 risk factors for secondary recurrence during validation.

Conclusion

The long-interval follow-up did not compromise the survival of patients with complete ablation for initial recurrent HCC.

Albumin-bilirubin grade-based nomogram of the BCLC system for personalized prognostic prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The prognostic accuracy of individual hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patient in each Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage is unclear. We aimed to develop and validate an albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade-based nomogram of BCLC to estimate survival for individual HCC patient.

METHODS

Between 2002 and 2016, 3690 patients with newly diagnosed HCC were prospectively enrolled and retrospectively analysed. Patients were randomly split into derivation and validation cohort by 1:1 ratio. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to generate the nomogram from tumour burden, ALBI grade and performance status (PS). The concordance index and calibration plot were determined to evaluate the performance of this nomogram.

RESULTS

Beta coefficients from the Cox model were used to assign nomogram points to different degrees of tumour burden, ALBI grade and PS. The scores of the nomogram ranged from 0 to 24, and were used to predict 3- and 5-year patient survival. The concordance index of this nomogram was 0.77 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.71-0.81) in the derivation cohort and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.71-0.81) in the validation cohort. The calibration plots to predict both 3- and 5-year survival rate well matched with the 45-degree ideal line for both cohorts, except for ALBI-based BCLC stage 0 in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed ALBI-based nomogram of BCLC system is a simple and feasible strategy in the precision medicine era. Our data indicate it is a straightforward and user-friendly prognostic tool to estimate the survival of individual HCC patient except for very early stage patients.

Repeat hepatectomy for patients with early and late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

Repeat hepatectomy is a feasible treatment modality for intrahepatic recurrence after hepatectomy of hepatocellular carcinoma, yet the survival benefit remains ill-defined. The objective of the current study was to define long-term, oncologic outcomes after repeat hepatectomy among patients with early and late recurrence.

METHODS

Patients undergoing curative-intent repeat hepatectomy for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma were identified using a multi-intuitional database. Early and late recurrence was defined by setting 1 year after initial hepatectomy as the cutoff value. Patient clinical characteristics, overall survival, and disease-free survival were compared among patients with early and late recurrence before and after propensity score matching.

RESULTS

Among all the patients, 81 had early recurrence and 129 had late recurrence from which 74 matched pairs were included in the propensity score matching analytic cohort. Before propensity score matching, 5-year overall survival and disease-free survival after resection of an early recurrence were 41.7% and 17.9%, respectively, which were worse compared with patients who had resection of a late recurrence (57.0% and 39.4%, both P < .01). After propensity score matching, 5-year overall survival and disease-free survival among patients with early recurrence were worse compared with patients with late recurrence (41.0% and 19.2% vs 64.3% and 43.2%, both P < .01). After adjustment for other confounding factors on multivariable Cox-regression analysis, early recurrence remained independently associated with decreased overall survival and disease-free survival (hazard ratio 2.22, 95% confidence interval 1.35-3.34, P = .001; hazard ratio 1.86, 95% confidence 1.26-2.74, P = .002).

CONCLUSION

Repeat hepatectomy for early recurrence was associated with worse overall survival and disease-free survival compared with late recurrence. These data may help inform patients and selection of patients being considered for repeat hepatectomy of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma.

Postoperative recurrent factors and therapeutic and preventive strategies for hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors in China. The recurrence rate is about 50% at 3 years and over 70% at 5 years after hepatectomy for HCC. The high recurrence rate seriously affects the curative effect and long-term survival of patients with HCC, and is the primary cause of death after operation. Postoperative recurrence of HCC is a complex multi-step, multi-factorial process involving three factors: the body, microenvironment, and tumor tissue, which include body immunity, local pH value, interstitial pressure, vascular osmotic pressure, inflammatory reaction, tumor cell adhesion, extracellular matrix degradation, cell migration, cell proliferation, and tumor angiogenesis. HCC recurrence is closely related to abnormal gene expression and related molecular function changes, but the molecular mechanism has not been fully elucidated. How to treat the recurrence of HCC after operation directly affects the prognosis of patients with HCC, and treatments include reoperation, liver transplantation, local minimally invasive treatment, radiotherapy, molecular targeted drugs, immunotherapy, and traditional Chinese medicine treatment. It is difficult to cure or control tumor progression by a single therapy. Two or more therapeutic methods need to be combined organically to achieve a synergistic therapeutic effect. According to the specific situation of patients with HCC, it is key to analyze the individual characteristics of patients, to combine the clinical experience of clinicians and the best evidence, to adopt the individualized treatment plan, and to choose the appropriate treatment methods. For HCC patients with high-risk factors for recurrence, selecting the appropriate treatment is important to reduce the recurrence of HCC after operation and prolong the survival of patients.

Resection vs Transplant Listing for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: An Intention-to-Treat Analysis

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation (LT) and liver resection (LR) are curative treatment options for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria. Severe organ shortage dictates the preference for LR. Our aim was to provide an intention-to-treat retrospective comparison of survival between patients who were placed on waiting lists for LT and those who underwent LR.

METHODS

The medical records of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria treated by LR or listed for LT between 2007 and 2016 were reviewed. We performed intention-to-treat analyses of overall survival and recurrence.

RESULTS

There were 54 patients on the waiting list for LT, and 30 of them underwent LR. Thirteen of the 54 patients (24%) were not transplanted because of disease-related mortality or tumor progression. The median waiting time to transplantation was 304 days. The 90-day mortality was higher in transplanted patients (9.8% vs 3.3%, P = .003). Intention-to-treat survival was similar for the LT and LR groups (5-year survival, 47.8% vs 55%, respectively, P = .185). There was a trend toward improved 5-year disease-free survival for listed patients (56.2% vs 26.3% for patients undergoing LR, P = .15).

CONCLUSION

Intention-to-treat survival is similar in patients undergoing LR and those on waiting lists for LT. There is a 24% risk to drop from the transplant list. The higher perioperative mortality among patients undergoing LT is balanced by a higher tumor recurrence rate after LR.

Nomograms in Hepatectomy Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Several conventional staging systems use tumor count as a variable for tumor classification; however, most conventional staging systems for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are not specifically constructed for surgically treated patients. The aim of this study was to create a prognostic nomogram based on patient' clinical and pathological features for predicting individual patient survival after liver resection as a primary therapy for solitary hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC.

METHODS

This study included patients who underwent curative liver resection for preoperative treatment-naïve HBV-related HCC between April 2007 and September 2014. All data were collected prospectively.

RESULTS

A nomogram was generated for HCC recurrence and mortality in 420 hepatectomy patients. HCC recurrence was closely associated with the following factors: increased alkaline phosphatase, low albumin, increased protein induced by vitamin K absence/antagonism-II (PIVKA-II), multiple tumors, tumor hemorrhage, portal vein tumor thrombosis, intrahepatic metastasis, and free resection margin (< 4 cm). Increased alanine transaminase, tumor size ≥ 5 cm, and multiple tumors were predisposing factors for death. Nomograms using those factors had good calibration and discrimination abilities with C-indexes of 0.712 and 0.819, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that prognostic nomograms in hepatectomy patients with HBV-related HCC can more precisely estimate postoperative survival of individual HBV-related HCC patients.

Efficacy of Percutaneous Thermal Ablation Combined With Transarterial Embolization for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Hepatectomy and a Prognostic Nomogram to Predict Survival

AIM

This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of percutaneous thermal ablation combined with transarterial embolization for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy and establish a prognostic nomogram to predict survival.

METHODS

One hundred seventeen patients with recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma receiving ablation from 2009 to 2014 were included in primary cohort to establish a prognostic nomogram. Between 2014 and 2016, 51 patients with recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma treated by ablation were enrolled in the validation cohort to validate the predictive accuracy of the nomogram. All patients underwent locoregional ablation. Overall survival was the primary end point, and progression-free survival was the second end point. The performance of the nomogram was assessed through concordance index and calibration curve and compared with 5 conventional hepatocellular carcinoma staging systems.

RESULTS

The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates of primary cohort were 88.4%, 70.7%, and 64.1%, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year progression-free survival rates of primary cohort were 44%, 14%, and 8.7%, respectively. The results of multivariate analysis showed that tumor size ( P = .0469; hazard ratio, 1.020; 95% confidence interval, 1.0004-1.040), preoperative extrahepatic disease ( P = .0675; hazard ratio, 2.604; 95% confidence interval, 0.933-7.264), and close to hepatic hilum <2 cm ( P = .0053; hazard ratio, 3.691; 95% confidence interval, 1.474-9.240) were predictive factors for overall survival. The study established a nomogram to predict survival (concordance index, 0.752; 95% confidence interval, 0.656-0.849). According to the predicted overall survival, patients with recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma were divided into 3 risk classes ( P < .05): low-risk group (total score <55; predicted 5-year overall survival rate, 82.9%), intermediate-risk group (55 ≤ total score < 99; predicted 5-year overall survival rate, 52.8%), and high-risk group (hazard ratio, total score ≥99; predicted 5-year overall survival rate, not available).

CONCLUSION

Percutaneous thermal ablation appears to be an effective procedure for the treatment of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy. The proposed nomogram provides a mechanism to accurately predict survival and could stratify risk among patients with recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma treated by ablation therapy.

Post-operative albumin-bilirubin grade predicts long-term outcomes among Child-Pugh grade A patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

BACKGROUND

Although Child-Pugh grade A patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are candidates for curative resection, some may have a poor prognosis. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, a measure of liver function based on albumin and bilirubin, has the potential to detect Child-Pugh grade A HCC patients with poor prognosis. Because components of the ALBI grade can be measured easily even after surgery, we explored the predictive values of ALBI in patient prognosis after HCC resection.

METHODS

In this retrospective case-control study, we included 136 HCC patients who underwent curative resection between January 2004 and December 2013 at our hospital. ALBI grade was calculated from laboratory data recorded the day before surgery and at post-operative day 5.

RESULTS

Pre- and post-operative ALBI grade predicted patients' long-term outcomes (P = 0.020 and P < 0.001, respectively, for overall survival, and P = 0.012 and P = 0.015, respectively, for recurrence-free survival). Post-operative ALBI grade was associated with patients' surgical factors of repeated hepatic resection (P = 0.012), intra-operative bleeding (P = 0.006), and surgery duration (P = 0.033). Furthermore, post-operative ALBI grade, rather than pre-operative ALBI grade, was an independent predictive factor of long-term outcome of Child-Pugh grade A patients with HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Post-operative ALBI grade is useful to predict the prognosis in patients after HCC resection.

Multidisciplinary management of recurrent and metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma after resection: an international expert consensus

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the sixth-most common cancer and the third leading cause of cancer-related death in the world. However, 40-70% patients eventually suffer from postoperative recurrence within 5 years. HCC recurrence after surgery severely affects prognosis of the patients. Nevertheless, there is an opportunity to improve patients' prognosis if doctors and researchers can recognize the importance of a standardized perioperative management and study it in clinical and pre-clinical settings. Hence, based on our own experience and published studies from other researchers, we develop this consensus regarding multidisciplinary management of locally recurrent and metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma after resection. This consensus consists of the entire course of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (RHCC) management, including prediction of recurrence, prevention, diagnosis, treatment and surveillance of RHCC. Consensus recommendations are presented with grades of evidences (Ia, Ib, IIa, IIb, III and IV), and strength of recommendations (A, B, C, D and E). We also develop a decision-making path for RHCC treatment, which can intuitively demonstrate the management for RHCC. It is hoped that we may make some effort to standardize the management of RHCC and ultimately understand how to improve outcomes.

Proton therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma: Current knowledges and future perspectives

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related death, as few patients can be treated with currently available curative local modalities. In patients with HCC where curative modalities are not feasible, radiation therapy (RT) has emerged as an alternative or combination therapy. With the development of various technologies, RT has been increasingly used for the management of HCC. Among these advances, proton beam therapy (PBT) has several unique physical properties that give it a finite range in a distal direction, and thus no exit dose along the beam path. Therefore, PBT has dosimetric advantages compared with X-ray therapy for the treatment of HCC. Indeed, various reports in the literature have described the favorable clinical outcomes and improved safety of PBT for HCC patients compared with X-ray therapy. However, there are some technical issues regarding the use of PBT in HCC, including uncertainty of organ motion and inaccuracy during calculation of tissue density and beam range, all of which may reduce the robustness of a PBT treatment plan. In this review, we discuss the physical properties, current clinical data, technical issues, and future perspectives on PBT for the treatment of HCC.

Staging and Prognostic Models for Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

There are several important roles that staging systems and prognostic models play in the modern medical care of patients with cancer. First, accurate staging systems can assist clinicians by identifying optimal treatment selection based on the scope of disease at the time of diagnosis. Second, both physicians and patients may infer prognostic information from staging and models that may help decision makers identify appropriate therapies for individual patients. Third, in research, there is benefit to classifying patients with disease into subgroups ensuring greater parity between experimental and control arms. Staging systems in most solid organ malignancies rely heavily on an accurate pathologic assessment of the tumor (size, site, number of tumors, locoregional spread, and distant spread). Another consideration in primary liver cancer, such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), is the fact that the underlying liver function can significantly impact patient survival. In HCC, there are at least a dozen options that have been proposed for staging the disease. Herein, we review the most widely used systems and discuss their strengths and weaknesses. Prognostic models and nomograms are also discussed for a variety of subpopulations with HCC. Interestingly, until 2010, the staging system proposed by the American Joint Committee on Cancer for ICC was identical to HCC. The modern staging system, unique to ICC, is reviewed, and future modifications are identified with the primary supporting literature discussed.

A new prognostic model for hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after curative hepatectomy

We previously reported the effectiveness of the product of tumor number and size (NxS factor) for the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients following hepatectomy. The present study aimed to propose a new score based on the NxS factor to predict HCC recurrence following hepatectomy. A total of 406 patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC at Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine were retrospectively analyzed to develop the new score. Among clinicopathological factors, including the NxS factor, the marker subset that achieved the best performance for prediction of early recurrence was assessed, and a prognostic model for HCC recurrence after curative hepatectomy (REACH) was developed. As the validation set, 425 patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC at Yamaguchi University Graduate School of Medicine and Shimonoseki Medical Center were analyzed, and the prognostic ability of the REACH score was compared with that of well-known staging systems. Following analysis, the REACH score was constructed using six covariates (NxS factor, microscopic hepatic vein invasion, differentiation, serum albumin, platelet count and indocyanine green retention rate at 15 min). In the validation set, the REACH score predicted early recurrence in 73 of 81 samples, with a sensitivity of 89% and a specificity of 58%. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve of the REACH score was 0.78 and 0.74, respectively, for 1- and 2-year recurrence after hepatectomy; each AUC was higher than that of any of the other staging systems. Survival analysis indicated the REACH score had the best predictive value in disease-free and overall survival. The present findings demonstrated that the REACH score may be used to classify patients with HCC into high- and low-risk of recurrence, and to predict subsequent survival following hepatic resection.

A nomogram incorporating six easily obtained parameters to discriminate intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma and hepatocellular carcinoma

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are the most prevalent histologic types of primary liver cancer (PLC). Although ICC and HCC share similar risk factors and clinical manifestations, ICC usually bears poorer prognosis than HCC. Confidently discriminating ICC and HCC before surgery is beneficial to both treatment and prognosis. Given the lack of effective differential diagnosis biomarkers and methods, construction of models based on available clinicopathological characteristics is in need. Nomograms present a simple and efficient way to make a discrimination. A total of 2894 patients who underwent surgery for PLC were collected. Of these, 1614 patients formed the training cohort for nomogram construction, and thereafter, 1280 patients formed the validation cohort to confirm the model's performance. Histopathologically confirmed ICC was diagnosed in 401 (24.8%) and 296 (23.1%) patients in these two cohorts, respectively. A nomogram integrating six easily obtained variables (Gender, Hepatitis B surface antigen, Aspartate aminotransferase, Alpha-fetoprotein, Carcinoembryonic antigen, Carbohydrate antigen 19-9) is proposed in accordance with Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC). A score of 15 was determined as the cut-off value, and the corresponding discrimination efficacy was sufficient. Additionally, patients who scored higher than 15 suffered poorer prognosis than those with lower scores, regardless of the subtype of PLC. A nomogram for clinical discrimination of ICC and HCC has been established, where a higher score indicates ICC and poor prognosis. Further application of this nomogram in multicenter investigations may confirm the practicality of this tool for future clinical use.

Changes of platelet times neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio predict BCLC stage A hepatocellular carcinoma survival

Platelet, neutrophil, and lymphocyte ratio (PNLR) has its own unique role in influencing postoperative recurrence for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Surgical stress can change systemic inflammatory response of patients. Thus the aim of this study was to identify the prognostic value of changes of platelet times neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in hepatitis B related HCC within Barcelona clinical liver cancer (BCLC) stage A.Data of patients with HCC within BCLC stage A were reviewed. Pre-, intra- and postoperative variables were retrospectively and statistically analyzed. The postoperative variable was calculated based on the data obtained on the first postoperative month following liver resection.A total of 556 patients were included in present study. During the follow-up period, 257 patients experienced recurrence and 150 patients died. Multivariate analyses suggested multiple tumors (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.409; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.649-3.518; P < .001), microvascular invasion (MVI) (HR = 1.585; 95% CI = 1.219-2.061; P = .001), and increased postoperative PNLR (HR = 1.900; 95% CI = 1.468-2.457; P < .001) independently associated with postoperative recurrence, whereas MVI (HR = 1.834; 95% CI = 1.324-2.542; P < .001), postoperative neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (HR = 1.151; 95% CI = 1.025-1.294; P = .018) and increased postoperative PNLR (HR = 2.433; 95% CI = 1.667-3.550; P < .001) contributed to postoperative mortality. The 5-year recurrence-free survival and overall survival rates of patients with increased postoperative PNLR (N = 285) versus those with decreased postoperative PNLR (N = 271) were 36.8% versus 61.5% and 47.6% versus 76.4% respectively (P < .001).Changes of PNLR was a powerful prognostic indicator of poor outcomes in patients with HCC within BCLC stage A. PNLR should be monitored in our postoperative follow-up.

Prognostic nomogram for patients with non-B non-C hepatocellular carcinoma after curative liver resection

BACKGROUND

The proportion of the both serum hepatitis B surface antigen and hepatitis C antibody negative hepatocellular carcinoma (NBNC HCC) patients are tended to increase recently. We investigated the characteristics and surgical outcome for those patients after liver resection.

METHODS

Four hundred and thirty-five NBNC patients were involved in our study. According to the results of the HBcAb in the serum, those patients were divided into HBcAb-positive subgroup (n = 328) and HBcAb-negative subgroup (n = 107). Based on the multivariate risk factors, the nomogram was constructed for predicting the possibility for over survival (OS) rate.

RESULTS

For all of the NBNC HCC patients, the median OS was 57 months with 5-year OS rate 54.0%. The positive HBcAb NBNC patients were associating with a better liver function (p = 0.026), higher AFP (p < 0.001) and more proportion of micro-vascular invasion (p = 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that worse liver function (Child-Pugh B, HR = 1.93; 95% CI: 1.23-3.04), vascular invasion (MIVI vs negative, HR = 1.86; 95% CI: 1.21-2.86, MAVI vs negative, HR = 2.05; 95% CI: 1.37-3.06), poorer ES differentiation (HR = 2.34; 95% CI: 1.67-3.30) and larger tumor size (HR = 1.10; 95% CI: 1.06-1.15) were associated with the worse OS.

CONCLUSION

We established a novel prognostic nomogram to predict the OS of NBNC HCC patients after liver resection. The prognosis of NBNC HCC was mainly determined by tumor stage and liver function not by the previous etiologies.

Treatment and outcomes of recurrent hepatocellular carcinomas

PURPOSE

Surgery is one of the best options for curative treatment of hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC). Recurrences are nevertheless common (45-75%). This study aimed to compare overall survival (OS) of patients with recurrent HCC after primary resection to OS of patients without recurrence.

METHODS

A retrospective review of all HCC patients operated between 1993 and 2015 was performed. Median and 5-year OS were calculated.

RESULTS

This study included 147 HCC patients. Sixty-seven patients presented a recurrence (46%). Patients with recurrence had a worse prognosis than those without recurrence (median OS 63 vs. 82 months, 5-year OS 47 vs. 54%, p = 0.036). First-line performed treatments were radiofrequency ablation (18, RFA), chemo-embolization (16, TACE), repeat hepatectomy (10), systemic chemotherapy (4), radio-embolization (1), and alcoholization (1). Palliative care was performed in 17 patients. Median OS of patients treated by RFA, TACE, or repeat hepatectomy were similar (77, 71, and 84 months, p = 0.735). Patients treated with chemotherapy/palliative care had lower median OS compared to interventional treatments (20 vs. 77 months, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Recurrence after surgical HCC resection is frequent and negatively impacts OS. Interventional treatments of recurrences offered improved outcomes compared to medical care. In selected patients, RFA, TACE, and repeat hepatectomy allowed similar OS as non-recurrent cases.

A Nomogram based on Inflammatory Factors C-Reactive Protein and Fibrinogen to Predict the Prognostic Value in Patients with Resected Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Purpose: This study aimed to develop an effective nomogram for predicting survival in surgically treated non-small cell lung cancer patients.

Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 856 NSCLC in this study. Cox regression analyses were performed to identify significant prognostic factors for developing a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS). The discriminative ability was assessed with the concordance index (C-index).

Results: On multivariate analysis of the 856 cohort, independent factors for survival were CRP, fibrinogen, tumor status, nodal status, distant metastasis and clinical stage, which were entered into the nomogram. The C-index of the established nomogram 0.720 (95% CI: 0.671-0.769) was higher than that of the seventh edition TNM staging system 0.689 (95% CI: 0.668-0.709) for predicting OS (P < 0.05). Compared with patients with low CRP levels (< 8.6 g/L) and low fibrinogen levels (< 3.7 g/L), patients with high CRP and fibrinogen levels had shorter OS. Subgroup analyses revealed that the nomogram was a favorable prognostic parameter in stage I-IV NSCLC (P < 0.05).

Conclusion: A nomogram integrating CRP and fibrinogen, which could be convenient and feasible to obtain from the serum preoperatively, may assist in risk stratification for individual patient with resected NSCLC.

Radiotherapy as valid modality for hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombosis

Although the current standard treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) is sorafenib, many previous studies have established the need for a reliable local modality for PVTT control, which is a major cause of liver function deterioration and metastasis. Additionally, there is growing evidence for the prognostic significance of PVTT classification according to the location of tumor thrombosis. Favorable outcomes can be obtained by applying local modalities, including surgery or transarterial chemoembolization, especially in second-order or distal branch PVTT. Rapid control of PVTT could maintain or improve liver function and reduce intrahepatic as well as distant metastasis. Radiotherapy (RT) is one of the main locoregional treatment modalities in oncologic fields, but has rarely been used in HCC because of concerns regarding hepatic toxicity. However, with the development of advanced techniques, RT has been increasingly applied in HCC management. Randomized studies have yet to definitively prove the benefit of RT, but several comparative studies have justified the application of RT in HCC. The value of RT is especially noticeable in HCC with PVTT; several prospective and retrospective studies have reported favorable outcomes, including a 40% to 60% objective response rate and median overall survival of 15 mo to 20 mo in responders. In this review, we evaluate the role of RT as an alternative local modality in HCC with PVTT.