Nodular Histologic Subtype and Ulceration are Tumor Factors Associated with High Risk of Recurrence in Sentinel Node-Negative Melanoma Patients

Clinical, dermatoscopic, histological and molecular predictive factors of distant melanoma metastasis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Melanoma metastasis to distant sites is associated with diminished survival rates and poor prognosis. Except of Breslow thickness and ulceration that are currently used in melanoma staging, the investigation of additional clinicopathological, dermatoscopic and molecular factors that could predict tumors with aggressive biologic behavior is of paramount importance.

METHODS

A literature search was conducted in PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane databases and gray literature until November 2023. Observational studies (including cohorts and case-control studies) were included and clinical and histopathological factors of primary cutaneous melanomas, along with dermatoscopic and molecular predictors of distant metastasis (DM) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were assessed. Random - effect models were preferred, the results were presented as Hazard Ratios (HRs) with 95 %Confidence Intervals (CIs) and the I2 index quantified heterogeneity. Subgroup analysis according to AJCC stage and sensitivity analysis were also conducted.

RESULTS

One hundred forty-three and 101 studies were included in the qualitive and quantitative synthesis, respectively. Regarding clinical factors, males, compared to females, and head and neck location, compared to trunk, demonstrated higher risk for DM [n=36, HR 1.49, 95%CI 1.36 - 1.63, I2 33% and n=21, HR 1.24, 95 %CI 1.01 - 1.52, I2 62 %]. Both factors had similar effects on DMFS. Breslow thickness and ulceration were significant predictors or DM. Additional factors that posed an increased risk for DM were nodular (n=15, HR 2.51, 95 %CI 1.83 - 3.43, I2 56 %) and lentigo maligna subtypes (n=12, HR 1.87, 95 %CI 1.27 - 2.75, I2 0 %), compared to superficial spreading subtype, lymphovascular invasion (n=9, HR 2.05, 95 %CI 1.18 - 3.58, I2 78 %), SLN positivity and BRAF+ mutational status. In contrast, regression was a negative predictor of DM (n=15, HR 0.59, 95 %CI 0.44 - 0.79, I2 68 %). Two studies focused on dermatoscopic factors and found that low pigmentation and the presence of blue-white veil might predict DM development. The results of subgroup analysis for stage I-II patients were essentially similar and sensitivity analysis did not reveal significant alterations, despite the moderate or high heterogeneity in some categories.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical and histological characteristics of the tumor along with dermatoscopic features and molecular parameters hold significant prognostic information and could be incorporated into models to predict melanomas with high metastatic potential.

Development of a prognostic model for patients with nodular melanoma of the lower extremities: a study based on the SEER database

Lower extremity nodular melanoma (NM) is a common malignant tumor with a poor prognosis. We aims to identify the prognostic factors and develop a nomogram model to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with lower extremity NM. A total of 746 patients with lower extremity NM were selected and randomly divided into a training set (522 cases) and a validation set (224 cases) from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results(SEER) database. The training set underwent univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses to identify independent prognostic factors associated with patient outcomes, and to develop a nomogram model. The effectiveness of the nomogram was subsequently validated using the validation set. Multivariable Cox regression analysis of the training set indicated that age, ulceration, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, primary site of first malignant tumor, and Breslow thickness were independent variables associated with OS. In the training set, the area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram for predicting 3-year and 5-year OS was 0.796 and 0.811, respectively. In the validation set, the AUC for predicting 3-year and 5-year OS was 0.694 and 0.702, respectively. The Harrell's C-index for the training set and validation set were 0.754 (95% CI: 0.721-0.787) and 0.670 (95% CI: 0.607-0.733), respectively. Calibration curves for both training and validation sets showed good agreement. In this study, we develop and validate a nomogram to predict OS in patients with lower extremity NM. The nomogram demonstrated reasonable reliability and clinical applicability. Nomograms are important tools assessing prognosis and aiding clinical decision-making.

Lymphatic system regulation of anti-cancer immunity and metastasis

Cancer dissemination to lymph nodes (LN) is associated with a worse prognosis, increased incidence of distant metastases and reduced response to therapy. The LN microenvironment puts selective pressure on cancer cells, creating cells that can survive in LN as well as providing survival advantages for distant metastatic spread. Additionally, the presence of cancer cells leads to an immunosuppressive LN microenvironment, favoring the evasion of anti-cancer immune surveillance. However, recent studies have also characterized previously unrecognized roles for tumor-draining lymph nodes (TDLNs) in cancer immunotherapy response, including acting as a reservoir for pre-exhausted CD8+ T cells and stem-like CD8+ T cells. In this review, we will discuss the spread of cancer cells through the lymphatic system, the roles of TDLNs in metastasis and anti-cancer immune responses, and the therapeutic opportunities and challenges in targeting LN metastasis.

A Prognostic Model for Cancer-Specific Survival Among Patients with Nodular Melanoma in Head and Neck

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to evaluate the correlation between risk factors and treatment methods affecting nodular melanoma (NM) in the head and neck, as well as cancer-specific survival (CSS), and provide personalized predictive tools for clinical physicians.

METHODS

The retrospective study data of 1848 patients were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. All variables were included in the correlation analysis using the Spearman method. Significant prognostic factors were extracted and integrated through Cox risk regression analysis to construct a nomogram. To assess the performance of the nomogram, Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were employed.

RESULTS

Spearman's correlation analysis revealed a positive correlation between radiotherapy and lymph node metastasis, whereas chemotherapy showed a stronger association with distant metastasis. However, Cox risk regression analysis demonstrated that Mohs surgery and wide excision with margins exceeding 1 cm yielded substantial therapeutic advantages. Five independent risk prognostic factors (Breslow thickness, ulceration, N classification, M classification, and surgery type) were employed to construct a nomogram. The C-index for this nomogram was 0.713 for the training set and 0.720 for the validation set. In the training set, the 3-, 5-, and 8-year areas under the curve (AUCs) for CSS were 0.752, 0.723, and 0.720, whereas the validation set's AUCs were 0.754, 0.763, and 0.760, respectively. Calibration curves indicated the nomogram's strong discriminative ability for predicting CSS.

CONCLUSION

In this study, we identified independent prognostic factors for patients with NM in head and neck and developed a relatively accurate model to predict the survival probability of them, which could contribute to the tumor assessment and clinical decision-making.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 Laryngoscope, 134:3611-3619, 2024.

The effect of surgical timing in nonmetastatic melanoma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

There is no consensus guidelines on the best timing to perform Sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) in high-risk melanoma patients. We aimed to understand the impact of surgical timing on nodal upstaging in patients with cutaneous melanoma.

METHODS

We queried the National Cancer Database from 2004 to 2018 for patients with T2-T4, N0, M0 melanomas, who underwent melanoma excision and nodal surgery. We included patients who underwent surgery within 2-19 weeks postdiagnosis. We aimed to determine the association of surgical delay (weeks) with nodal positivity.

RESULTS

A total of 53 355 patients were included, of whom 20.9% had positive lymph nodes. Patients underwent surgery at a median of 5 (4-7) weeks after diagnosis. The rate of positive nodes increased with increased weeks to surgery (line of best-fit slope = 0.38). Multivariable regression analysis identified an association between time to surgery and nodal positivity (2.4% increased risk per week, p < 0.05). Our analysis showed significantly increased likelihood of nodal positivity beginning 9 weeks after diagnosis (odds ratio [OR] = 1.3, p < 0.05). Furthermore, patients with T2-3 tumors had a significant increase in nodal positivity with increased time to surgery (OR = 1.03 per week, p < 0.001). However, no significant trend in nodal positivity was identified for patients with T4 melanomas (OR = 1.01 per week, p = 0.596).

CONCLUSION

Surgery within 9 weeks of melanoma diagnosis was not associated with increased likelihood of nodal positivity. These data can guide clinical conversations regarding the importance of surgical timing for melanoma.

Identification of high-risk patients with a seven-biomarker prognostic signature for adjuvant treatment trial recruitment in American Joint Committee on Cancer v8 stage I-IIA cutaneous melanoma

PURPOSE

Many patients with resected American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) early-stage cutaneous melanoma nonetheless die of melanoma; additional risk stratification approaches are needed.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Using prospectively-collected whole-tissue sections, we assessed in consecutive stage I-IIA patients (N = 439), a previously-validated, immunohistochemistry-based, 7-biomarker signature to prognosticate disease-free survival (DFS), melanoma-specific survival (MSS; primary end-point) and overall survival (OS), independent of AJCC classification.

RESULTS

Seven-marker signature testing designated 25.1% of patients (110/439) as high-risk (stage IA, 13.3% [43/323], IB, 53.2% [42/79], and IIA, 67.6% [25/37]). A Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated high-risk patients to have significantly worse DFS, MSS and OS versus low-risk counterparts (P < 0.001). In multivariable Cox regression modelling also including key clinicopathological/demographic factors, 7-marker signature data independently prognosticated the studied end-points. Models with the 7-marker signature risk category plus clinicopathological/demographic covariates substantially outperformed models with clinicopathological/demographic variables alone in predicting all studied outcomes (areas under the receiver operator characteristic curve 74.1% versus 68.4% for DFS, 81.5% versus 71.2% for MSS, 80.9% versus 73.0% for OS; absolute differences 5.7%, 10.3% and 7.9%, respectively, favouring 7-marker signature risk category-containing models).

CONCLUSION

In patients with AJCC early-stage disease, the 7-marker signature reliably prognosticates melanoma-related outcomes, independent of AJCC classification, and provides a valuable complement to clinicopathological/demographic factors.

Metastatic multifocal melanoma of multiple organ systems: A case report

BACKGROUND

Malignant melanoma is becoming more common among middle-aged individuals all over the world. Melanoma metastasis can be found in various organs, although metastases to the spleen and stomach are rare. Herein we present a rare metastatic multifocal melanoma, clinically and histologically mimicking lymphoma, with metastases of multiple organs.

CASE SUMMARY

A 46-year-old Caucasian male with a history of nodular cutaneous malignant melanoma was presented with nausea, general weakness, shortness of breath, abdominal enlargement, and night sweating. The abdominal ultrasound revealed enlarged liver and spleen with multiple lesions. Computed tomography demonstrated multiple lesions in the lungs, liver, spleen, subcutaneous tissue, bones and a pathological lymphadenopathy of the neck. Trephine biopsy and the biopsy from the enlarged lymph node were taken. Tumor cells showed diffuse or partial positivity for melanocytic markers, such as microphthalmia - associated transcription factor, S100, HMB45 and Melan-A. The tumor harbored BRAF V600E mutation, demonstrated by immunohistochemical labelling for BRAF V600E and detected by real-time polymerase chain reaction test. Having combined all the findings, a diagnosis was made of a metastatic multifocal melanoma of the stomach, duodenum, liver, spleen, lungs, lymph nodes and bones. The patient refused treatment and died a week later.

CONCLUSION

This case report highlights the clinical relevance of rare metastatic multifocal melanoma of multiple organ systems.

Nodular malignant melanoma in vulvar skin without pigmentation: a case report

Background

Polypoid nodule growing without apparent pigmentation on the vulvar skin usually reminds us of the diagnostic pitfall, which is commonly and mistakenly diagnosed as other types of tumors. Although there are several manifestations of amelanotic melanoma are known, these malignancies are usually pigmented because they are derived from melanocytes containing melanin. However, amelanotic melanomas are easily misdiagnosed or their diagnoses were commonly delayed due to lack of pigmentation. Therefore, a solitary polypoid nodule is worth noting and further reporting. Particularly, the clinical characteristics and outcomes of the solitary polypoid nodule are rare in Asian patients.

Case presentation

We presented an interesting case of a 33-year-old female with a solitary polypoid nodule without apparent pigmentation on her vulvar skin. Her medical history was unclear, no ulcer was seen in the lesion area, and dermatoscopy was indicated a possible tumorous change, which has caught the attention of clinicians, and then further examined by the pathologist. The final diagnosis was nodular malignant melanoma (NM) (Breslow thickness 9.5mm, Clark level 4).

Conclusions

Hence, though reviewing this case record, the relevant literature and NM-related materials, we suggest that the combination of skin imaging technology and histopathological examination could provide us a better understanding and reduce the possibility of misdiagnosis in clinic practice.

John M. Head & neck melanoma: A 22-year experience of recurrence following sentinel lymph node biopsy

OBJECTIVE

To examine the clinicopathologic factors that contribute to regional and distant recurrence in intermediate to high risk head and neck melanoma patients after sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB).

METHODS

This study is a retrospective review from an academic tertiary care center. Patients treated with SLNB for head and neck melanoma from 1997 to 2019 were reviewed and characterized by sentinel lymph node (SLN) status. Clinical variables were examined for the impact on regional and distant recurrence in SLNB-negative patients using univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

One hundred and fifty four patients were included. Of note, 127 (82.5 %) were men, and the average age was 61.3 years. Median follow-up was 68.6 weeks. Pathologic review of SLNs found 3.9% positive for metastatic melanoma; 96.1% were negative. Regional recurrence was significantly associated with tumor stage and age on multivariate analysis. A total of 4.5% of patients recurred in a previously labeled negative basin. Scalp subsite accounted for 30.5% of primary tumors and was more likely to yield a positive SLN on univariate analysis (P = .023). Tumor stage and age were significantly associated with distant metastasis on multivariable analysis (P = .026, P < .001 respectively).

CONCLUSION

We report a number of prognostic trends in head and neck melanoma. SLN positivity was found more often in patients with a primary tumor of the scalp. Regional recurrence was significantly associated with age and tumor stage, whereas distant recurrence was significantly associated with tumor staging and scalp subsite. Scalp subsite was associated with an increased risk for nodal metastasis and distant recurrence.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3.

Recognition, Staging, and Management of Melanoma

Melanoma accounts for approximately 1% of all skin cancers but contributes to almost all skin cancer deaths. The developing picture suggests that melanoma phenotypes are driven by epigenetic mechanisms that reflect a complex interplay between genotype and environment. Furthermore, the growing consensus is that current classification standards, notwithstanding pertinent clinical history and appropriate biopsy, fall short of capturing the vast complexity of the disease. This article summarizes the current understanding of the clinical picture of melanoma, with a focus on the tremendous breakthroughs in molecular classification and therapeutics.

Five-year survival in patients with nodular and superficial spreading melanomas in the US population

BACKGROUND

Although superficial spreading melanomas (SSM) are diagnosed as thinner lesions, nodular melanomas (NM) have a more rapid growth rate and are biologically more aggressive compared with other histologic subtypes.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the difference in 5-year relative survival in patients with NM and SSM at the same Breslow depth and TNM stage.

METHODS

A population-based cross-sectional analysis compared the 5-year relative survival of patients with NM and SSM using data from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)∗Stat software (version 8.2.1-8.3.5). Chi-square tests compared the proportions, and Kaplan-Meier method with Z-score compared 5-year relative survival.

RESULTS

For patients receiving a diagnosis between 2004 and 2009, 5-year relative survival was lower in NM compared with SSM (53.7% vs 87.3%; Z score, -41.35; P < .001). Similarly, for patients receiving a diagnosis between 2010 and 2015, 5-year relative survival was lower in NM compared with SSM (61.5% vs 89.7%; Z score, -2.7078; P < .01). Subgroup analyses showed inferior survival in NM in T1b, and survival differences remained significant after excluding patients with nodal or distant metastases.

CONCLUSIONS

Five-year relative survival is worse in NM compared with SSM especially in T1b, T2a, and T2b melanomas. Melanoma subtype should be taken into consideration when making treatment recommendations.

Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in patients with nodular melanoma

PURPOSE

Nodular melanoma (NM) is associated with worse disease outcome when compared to superficial spreading melanoma (SSM). We aimed to perform a single-center analysis of prognostic factors in patients with NM and compare the data with SSM patients.

METHODS

We studied 228 patients with NN and 396 patients with SSM. Patients with in situ melanomas or stage IV at diagnosis were not included in the study. Data were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney test, Chi-square test, Kaplan-Meier curves including the log-rank test, and logistic regression model.

RESULTS

When compared to patients with SSM, patients with NM had less likely lower Clark level, higher tumor thickness, less likely tumor regression, more often ulcerated tumors, and less likely a history of precursor lesions such as a nevus. Within a 5-year follow-up we observed significantly more disease relapses and deaths in NM patients than in SSM patients. On multivariate analysis, disease relapse in NM patients was independently predicted by tumor thickness and positive SLNB, whereas melanoma-specific death of NM patients was independently predicted by male sex and tumor thickness. Histologic regression also remained in the logistic regression model as a significant independent negative predictor of NM death.

CONCLUSIONS

We did not observe that NM subtype was per se a significant independent predictor for disease relapse or melanoma-specific death. Among the well-known prognostic factors such as tumor thickness and male sex, NM is also associated with other unfavorable factors such as absence of regression.

Prognostic significance of regression and mitotic rate in head and neck cutaneous melanoma

Importance

While regression is a commonly reported microscopic feature of melanoma, its prognostic significance is unclear.

Objective

To examine the impact of regression on sentinel node status and the likelihood of recurrence in primary cutaneous melanoma of the head and neck.

Design

Retrospective analysis of 191 adults who underwent surgical management for primary cutaneous melanoma of the head and neck between May 2002 and March 2019.

Setting

Tertiary academic center.

Participants

Patients appropriate for the study were identified by the Academic Health Center Information Exchange using a list of current procedural terminology codes. One hundred and ninety‐one cases of invasive melanoma of the head and neck were included from 830 patients identified. Clinical features assessed for each patient included age, sex, location of primary lesion, date of diagnosis, and current disease status (alive with or without disease). Histologic features assessed were histological melanoma subtype (nodular vs non‐nodular), Breslow thickness, Clark level, presence/absence of ulceration, mitotic rate per square millimeter, and regression. If applicable, sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) status, date of recurrence, interval treatments, and date of death related to melanoma were recorded. Exclusion criteria included melanoma outside the anatomic parameters of head and neck, ocular or choroidal melanoma, mucosal melanoma, metastatic melanoma to the head or neck with no known primary tumor, melanoma of the head or neck with no surgical intervention, and non‐melanoma skin cancers of the head and neck.

Intervention/Exposure

Surgery for cutaneous melanoma of the head and neck.

Main Outcome(s) and Measure(s)

The association between presence of regression and Breslow thickness, sentinel node status, and recurrence.

Results

Of the 191 patients identified, 30.9% were female and 69.1% were male with a mean age at diagnosis of 62.6 (range 20‐97) years. Mean Breslow thickness was 1.2 mm in those with regression and 2.0 mm in those without regression. In patients with regression, 17.6% had a positive sentinel node, and 13.0% experienced a recurrence. In patients without regression, 26.5% had a positive sentinel node, and 31.4% experienced a recurrence. When adjusted for other factors above, regression was not associated with positive sentinel node (odds ratio [OR] = 0.59, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.13‐2.00) or recurrence (OR = 0.33, CI = 0.07‐1.01). Mitotic rate >2 was associated with recurrence (OR = 2.71, CI = 1.11‐6.75, P = .03).

Conclusions and Relevance

Patients with presence of regression had thinner melanomas and trended toward decreased rates of sentinel node positivity and recurrence, suggesting regression may not be a negative prognostic indicator in patients with cutaneous melanoma of the head and neck.

Web-based nomograms for predicting the prognosis of adolescent and young adult skin melanoma, a large population-based real-world analysis

Background

Invasive cutaneous melanoma is one of the most common malignant diseases among adolescents and young adults (aged 15–40 years) in the United States. We aimed to develop web-based nomograms to precisely predict overall survival and cancer-specific survival in this group of patients with cutaneous melanoma.

Methods

We analyzed the overall and caner-specific death events in 19,887 patients who underwent surgical resection of cutaneous melanoma from Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database and developed web-based clinic-pathologic prediction models for overall survival and cancer specific survival based on Cox regression. C-statistics of Harrell and time-dependent Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC) were used to evaluate the prognostic accuracy of nomograms.

Results

Multivariate Cox regression model analysis suggested that age, sex, race, tumor location, Clark level, ulceration, thickness, and N stage were independently associated with both overall survival and cancer-specific survival in adolescent and young adult patients with cutaneous melanoma. The nomograms performed excellently in predicting overall survival and cancer-specific survival with C-index being 0.875 (95% CI: 0.847–0.903) and 0.901 (95% CI: 0.876–0.925), respectively. Time-dependent ROC verified that the prognostic accuracy of nomograms was better than that of American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system and other prognostic factors.

Conclusions

These user-friendly nomograms can precisely predict overall survival and cancer-specific survival in cutaneous melanoma patients treated with surgical resection, which may help to make individualized postoperative follow-up and therapeutic schemes.

Prognostic Significance of RAS Mutations and P53 Expression in Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinomas

TP53 is considered the most commonly-altered gene in cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC). Conversely, RAS mutations have been reported in a low percentage of cSCC. The objective of our study was to evaluate the frequency of p53 expression and RAS mutations in cSCC and correlate them with clinicopathological features and patient outcome. We performed immunohistochemistry for p53 and genetic profiling for RAS mutations in a retrospective series of cSCC. The predictive value of p53 expression, RAS mutations, and clinicopathological parameters was assessed using logistic regression models. The overall frequency of RAS mutations was 9.3% (15/162), and 82.1% of the cases (133/162) had p53 overexpression. RAS mutations rate was 3.2% (1/31) of in situ cSCCs and 10.7% (14/131) of invasive cSCCs. RAS mutations were more frequently associated with an infiltrative than an expansive pattern of invasion (p = 0.046). p53 overexpression was a predictor of recurrence in the univariate analysis. Our results indicate that RAS mutations associate with features of local aggressiveness. Larger studies with more recurrent and metastatic cSCCs are necessary to further address the prognostic significance of p53 overexpression in patients’ risk stratification.

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and locoregional melanoma: a multicentre cohort study

OBJECTIVES

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammatory biomarker which is useful in cancer prognostication. We aimed to investigate the differences in baseline NLR between patients with localised and metastatic cutaneous melanoma and how this biomarker changed over time with the recurrence of disease.

METHODS

This multicentre cohort study describes patients treated for Stage I-III cutaneous melanoma over 10 years. The baseline NLR was measured immediately prior to surgery and again at the time of discharge or disease recurrence. The odds ratios (OR) for sentinel node involvement are estimated using mixed-effects logistic regression. The risk of recurrence is estimated using multivariable Cox regression.

RESULTS

Overall 1489 individuals were included. The mean baseline NLR was higher in patients with palpable nodal disease compared to those with microscopic nodal or localised disease (2.8 versus 2.4 and 2.3, respectively; p < 0.001). A baseline NLR ≥ 2.3 was associated with 30% higher odds of microscopic metastatic melanoma in the sentinel lymph node [adjusted OR 1.3 (95% CI 1.3, 1.3)]. Following surgery, 253 patients (18.7%) developed recurrent melanoma during surveillance although there was no statistically significant association between the baseline NLR and the risk of recurrence [adjusted HR 0.9 (0.7, 1.1)].

CONCLUSION

The NLR is associated with the volume of melanoma at presentation and may predict occult sentinel lymph metastases. Further prospective work is required to investigate how NLR may be modelled against other clinicopathological variables to predict outcomes and to understand the temporal changes in NLR following surgery for melanoma.

Primary Melanoma Histologic Subtype: Impact on Survival and Response to Therapy

BACKGROUND

Two primary histologic subtypes, superficial spreading melanoma (SSM) and nodular melanoma (NM), comprise the majority of all cutaneous melanomas. NM is associated with worse outcomes, which have been attributed to increased thickness at presentation, and it is widely expected that NM and SSM would exhibit similar behavior once metastasized. Herein, we tested the hypothesis that primary histologic subtype is an independent predictor of survival and may impact response to treatment in the metastatic setting.

METHODS

We examined the most recent Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cohort (n = 118 508) and the New York University (NYU) cohort (n = 1621) with available protocol-driven follow-up. Outcomes specified by primary histology were studied in both the primary and metastatic settings with respect to BRAF-targeted therapy and immunotherapy. We characterized known driver mutations and examined a 140-gene panel in a subset of NM and SSM cases using next-generation sequencing. All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

NM was an independent risk factor for death in both the SEER (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.41 to 1.70, P < .001) and NYU (HR = 1.47, 95% CI = 1.05, 2.07, P = .03) cohorts, controlling for thickness, ulceration, stage, and other variables. In the metastatic setting, NM remained an independent risk factor for death upon treatment with BRAF-targeted therapy (HR = 3.33, 95% CI = 1.06 to 10.47, P = .04) but showed no statistically significant difference with immune checkpoint inhibition. NM was associated with a higher rate of NRAS mutation (P < .001), and high-throughput sequencing revealed NM-specific genomic alterations in NOTCH4, ANK3, and ZNF560, which were independently validated.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data reveal distinct clinical and biological differences between NM and SSM that support revisiting the prognostic and predictive impact of primary histology subtype in the management of cutaneous melanoma.

Use of Completion Lymph Node Dissection for Sentinel Lymph Node-Positive Melanoma

BACKGROUND

For patients with sentinel node-positive melanoma (SNPM), randomized trials, first reported in 2015, found no benefit for routine completion lymph node dissection (CLND) in selected patients. This study examines time trends in CLND and explores institutional and clinical factors associated with CLND.

STUDY DESIGN

The National Cancer Database was queried for patients older than 18 years from 2012 to 2016 with SNPM. A high-volume center was defined as >80th percentile for number of sentinel node procedures. Poisson regression assessed temporal trends and identified patient, pathologic, and institutional characteristics associated with CLND.

RESULTS

From 2012 to 2016, we identified 7,146 patients with SNPM. The proportion of patients undergoing CLND was steady in 2012 to 2014 (61% to 63%), but decreased to 57% in 2015 and 50% in 2016 (p < 0.0001). The proportion of patients with SNPM who underwent CLND decreased over time for both high- (66% to 52%; p < 0.0001) and lower-volume centers (55% to 45%; p = 0.06). Female sex (relative risk [RR] 0.97; p < 0.001) and increasing age (RR 0.98; p < 0.0001) were associated with lower likelihood of CLND. Increased Breslow depth (RR 1.015; p = 0.006), ulceration (RR 1.067; p = 0.02), and high-volume centers (RR 1.180; p < 0.0001) were associated with higher likelihood of CLND. Regional differences in likelihood of CLND were also present (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Completion lymph node dissection in SNPM decreased over time, with the greatest change in 2016. Several patient, pathologic, and institutional characteristics were associated with likelihood of CLND. As evidence supports close observation for selected patients, efforts should be undertaken to improve and standardize patient selection for CLND across institutions caring for patients with melanoma.

External validation of a prognostic model to predict survival of patients with sentinel node-negative melanoma

Background

Identifying patients with sentinel node‐negative melanoma at high risk of recurrence or death is important. The European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) recently developed a prognostic model including Breslow thickness, ulceration and site of the primary tumour. The aims of the present study were to validate this prognostic model externally and to assess whether it could be improved by adding other prognostic factors.

Methods

Patients with sentinel node‐negative cutaneous melanoma were included in this retrospective single‐institution study. The β values of the EORTC prognostic model were used to predict recurrence‐free survival and melanoma‐specific survival. The predictive performance was assessed by discrimination (c‐index) and calibration. Seeking to improve the performance of the model, additional variables were added to a Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

Some 4235 patients with sentinel node‐negative cutaneous melanoma were included. The median follow‐up time was 50 (i.q.r. 18·5–81·5) months. Recurrences and deaths from melanoma numbered 793 (18·7 per cent) and 456 (10·8 per cent) respectively. Validation of the EORTC model showed good calibration for both outcomes, and a c‐index of 0·69. The c‐index was only marginally improved to 0·71 when other significant prognostic factors (sex, age, tumour type, mitotic rate) were added.

Conclusion

This study validated the EORTC prognostic model for recurrence‐free and melanoma‐specific survival of patients with negative sentinel nodes. The addition of other prognostic factors only improved the model marginally. The validated EORTC model could be used for personalizing follow‐up and selecting high‐risk patients for trials of adjuvant systemic therapy.

A nomogram for predicting survival in patients with nodular melanoma: A population-based study

The use of traditional American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging alone has limitations in predicting patient survival with nodular melanoma (NM). We aimed to establish a comprehensive prognostic nomogram and compare its prognostic value with the AJCC staging system.A nomogram was constructed to predict the 3-year and 5-year survival rates of NM patients by Cox regression. Several common model-validation parameters were used to evaluate the performance of our survival model.The multivariate analyses demonstrated that the age at diagnosis; being divorced, separated, or widowed; AJCC stages II, III, and IV; a regional SEER stage and the lymph-node density (LND) were risk factors for survival. The concordance index, the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, and calibration plots indicated that the nomogram performed well, while the net reclassification improvement and the integrated discrimination improvement showed that the nomogram performed better than the AJCC staging system. Finally, the decision curve analyses curves of the nomogram yielded net benefits that were higher than when using AJCC staging system with either the training or the validation cohort.The prognostic value of the nomogram is better than that of the AJCC staging system alone. In addition, we found that LND is an important risk factor for the survival of NM patients. The nomogram developed in this study may be a valuable tool for clinical practice when advising patients about their survival risk over the next 3 to 5 years.

Pelvic lymph node dissection in metastatic melanoma to the groin should not be abandoned yet

BACKGROUND

In recent years there has been a plea to abandon the pelvic lymph node dissection in the treatment of patients with metastatic melanoma to the groin. A trend towards a conservative surgical treatment is already evolving in several European countries. The purpose of this study is to identify factors associated with pelvic nodal involvement, in order to improve selection of patients whom might benefit from a pelvic nodal dissection.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on prospectively collected data concerning patients who underwent an inguinal lymph node dissection (ILND) with pelvic lymph node dissection for metastatic melanoma at the University Medical Center Groningen. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine factors associated with pelvic nodal involvement. Diagnostic accuracy was calculated for 18F-FDG PET + contrast enhanced CT-scan and 18F-FDG PET + low dose CT-scan.

RESULTS

Two-hundred-and-twenty-six ILND's were performed in 223 patients. The most common histologic subtype was superficial spreading melanoma (42.6%). In patients with micrometastatic disease, 15.7% had pelvic nodal involvement vs 28.2% in patients with macrometastatic disease (p: 0.030). None of the characteristics known prior to the ILND, were associated with pelvic nodal involvement. Imaging methods were unable to accurately predict pelvic nodal involvement. Negative predictive value was 78% for 18F-FDG PET + low dose CT-scan and 86% for an 18F-FDG PET + contrast enhanced CT-scan.

CONCLUSION

There are no patient- or tumor characteristics available that can predict pelvic nodal involvement in patients with melanoma metastasis to the groin. As no imaging technique is able to predict pelvic nodal involvement it seems unjust to abandon the pelvic lymph node dissection.

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict recurrence and melanoma-specific mortality in patients with negative sentinel lymph nodes

Background

Patients with melanoma and negative sentinel nodes (SNs) have varying outcomes, dependent on several prognostic factors. Considering all these factors in a prediction model might aid in identifying patients who could benefit from a personalized treatment strategy. The objective was to construct and validate a nomogram for recurrence and melanoma‐specific mortality (MSM) in patients with melanoma and negative SNs.

Methods

A total of 3220 patients with negative SNs were identified from a cohort of 4124 patients from four EORTC Melanoma Group centres who underwent sentinel lymph node biopsy. Prognostic factors for recurrence and MSM were studied with Cox regression analysis. Significant factors were incorporated in the models. Performance was assessed by discrimination (c‐index) and calibration in cross‐validation across the four centres. A nomogram was developed for graphical presentation.

Results

There were 3180 eligible patients. The final prediction model for recurrence and the calibrated model for MSM included three independent prognostic factors: ulceration, anatomical location and Breslow thickness. The c‐index was 0·74 for recurrence and 0·76 for the calibrated MSM model. Cross‐validation across the four centres showed reasonable model performance. A nomogram was developed based on these models. One‐third of the patients had a 5‐year recurrence probability of 8·2 per cent or less, and one‐third had a recurrence probability of 23·0 per cent or more.

Conclusion

A nomogram for predicting recurrence and MSM in patients with melanoma and negative SNs was constructed and validated. It could provide personalized estimates useful for tailoring surveillance strategies (reduce or increase intensity), and selection of patients for adjuvant therapy or clinical trials.

Could personalize care

Sentinel lymph node biopsy in malignant melanoma of the head and neck

BACKGROUND

The aim of this retrospective study was to investigate sentinel lymph node biopsy in patients with head and neck melanoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients who underwent SLNB between 2010 and 2016 were comprised. Epidemiological, radiological, and surgical data were collected and compared to histological findings. Patients who underwent primary complete lymph node dissection were excluded.

RESULTS

74 patients underwent SLNB during this period. The most common tumor localizations were the cheek (20.4%) and ears (20.4%). Overall, 256 sentinel lymph nodes (SLN) were detected and removed, most frequently in Robbins-levels IIA and IIB as well as in the surrounding of the parotid gland. 12.3% of the SLN showed a microscopic or macroscopic metastasis. In preoperative imaging all lymph nodes with macroscopic metastasis were described as suspect but only 4 of 11 lymph nodes with microscopic metastases were described as such.

CONCLUSIONS

SLNB is an especially good procedure for the diagnosis of microscopically metastases as disease status is an important diagnostic and prognostic factor in early-stage melanoma patients. However, due to the complex lymphatic system in head and neck melanoma, a short follow-up interval is necessary in order to prevent delayed diagnosis of a nodal recurrence due to a false-negative SLN.

Tumour mutation status and melanoma recurrence following a negative sentinel lymph node biopsy

BACKGROUND

A proportion of patients develop recurrence following a tumour-negative sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB). This study aimed to explore whether melanoma patients with BRAF or NRAS mutant tumours have an increased risk of developing disease recurrence following a negative SLNB compared to patients with wild-type tumours.

METHODS

Prospective cohort study of melanoma patients at three tertiary referral centres in Melbourne, who underwent SLNB. Clinical, pathological and molecular characteristics and recurrence data were prospectively recorded. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models estimated the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) for the association between mutation status and development of recurrence following a negative-SLNB.

RESULTS

Overall, 344/477 (72.1%) patients had a negative SLNB. Of these, 54 (15.7%) developed subsequent recurrence. The risk of disease recurrence following a negative SLNB was increased for patients with either a BRAF or NRAS mutant tumour compared to wild-type tumours (aHR 1.92, 95% CI: 1.02-3.60, p = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

Melanoma patients with BRAF or NRAS mutant tumours had an increased risk compared to patients with BRAF/NRAS wild-type tumours of developing disease recurrence following a tumour-negative SLNB. The findings also confirm the importance of continued surveillance to monitor for disease recurrence among SLNB-negative patients.

Clinicopathological predictors of recurrence in nodular and superficial spreading cutaneous melanoma: a multivariate analysis of 214 cases

BACKGROUND

Nodular melanoma (NM) accounts for most thick melanomas and because of their frequent association with ulceration, fast growth rate and high mitotic rate, contribute substantially to melanoma-related mortality. In a multicentric series of 214 primary melanomas including 96 NM and 118 superficial spreading melanoma (SSM), histopathological features were examined with the aim to identify clinicopathological predictors of recurrence.

METHODS

All consecutive cases of histopathologically diagnosed primary invasive SSM and NM during the period 2005-2010, were retrieved from the 12 participating Italian Melanoma Intergroup (IMI) centers. Each center provided clinico-pathological data such as gender, age at diagnosis, anatomical site, histopathological conventional parameters, date of excision and first melanoma recurrence.

RESULTS

Results showed that NM subtype was significantly associated with Breslow thickness (BT) at multivariate analysis: [BT 1.01-2 mm (OR 7.22; 95% CI 2.73-19.05), BT 2.01-4 mm (OR 7.04; 95% CI 2.54-19.56), and BT > 4 mm (OR 51.78; 95% CI 5.65-474.86) (p < 0.0001)]. Furthermore, mitotic rate (MR) was significantly correlated with NM histotype: [(MR 3-5 mitoses/mm2 (OR 2.62; 95% CI 1.01-6.83) and MR > 5 mitoses/mm2 (OR 4.87; 95% CI 1.77-13.40) (p = 0.002)]. The risk of recurrence was not significantly associated with NM histotype while BT [BT 1.01-2.00 mm (HR 1.55; 95% CI 0.51-4.71), BT 2.01-4.00 mm (HR 2.42; 95% CI 0.89-6.54), BT > 4.00 mm. (HR 3.13; 95% CI 0.95-10.28) (p = 0.05)], mitotic rate [MR > 2 mitoses/mm2 (HR 2.34; 95% CI, 1.11-4.97) (p = 0.03)] and the positivity of lymph node sentinel biopsy (SNLB) (HR 2.60; 95% CI 1.19-5.68) (p = 0.007) were significantly associated with an increased risk of recurrence at multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that NM subtype was significantly associated with higher BT and MR but it was not a prognostic factor since it did not significantly correlate with melanoma recurrence rate. Conversely, increased BT and MR as well as SNLB positivity were significantly associated with a higher risk of melanoma recurrence.

Metastatic Melanoma in Sentinel Node-Negative Patients: The Ottawa Experience

BACKGROUND

Lymph node involvement is a major independent prognostic factor for survival in patients with malignant melanoma. Sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) detection of microscopic nodal melanoma has been shown to improve both 5-year survival and 5-year disease-free survival.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the rate of metastatic melanoma in SLNB-negative patients at long-term follow-up.

METHODS

Study subjects include all 152 patients who had a negative SLNB and were followed at the Ottawa Regional Cancer Centre (ORCC) between 1999 and 2004. Patients with a follow-up period less than 6 months, more than 1 primary melanoma, and metastatic melanoma at diagnosis were excluded. Age at diagnosis, sex, Breslow thickness, ulceration, mitoses, regression, Clark level, anatomical location, development of metastatic melanoma, time to detection of metastatic disease, and time to death from melanoma were studied.

RESULTS

In this retrospective study at the ORCC, 40 of 140 (28.6%) patients with a single primary melanoma developed metastatic melanoma following negative SLNB at a mean follow-up of 63 months.

CONCLUSION

The rate of metastatic melanoma following negative SLNB at long-term follow-up at the ORCC is higher than the upper limit of rates reported in the literature (6%-24%). The reason for this is multifactorial, and the long follow-up period of 5 years allowed for detection of metastatic disease at a mean of 3.9 years. Long-term prognosis may be guarded in node-negative patients with a primary cutaneous melanoma, and surveillance by a multidisciplinary team is crucial.