The Prognostic Significance of the Oncotype DX Recurrence Score in T1-2N1M0 Estrogen Receptor-Positive HER2-Negative Breast Cancer Based on the Prognostic Stage in the Updated AJCC 8th Edition

Validation of the AJCC 8th Edition Breast Cancer Prognostic Staging System in Legacy Alliance Trials (AFT-01)

BACKGROUND

The 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system combined anatomic stage (AS) with receptor status and grade to create prognostic stage (PS). PS has been validated in single-institution and cancer registry studies; however, missing human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status and variable treatment and follow-up create limitations.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to compare the relative prognostic ability of PS versus AS to predict survival using breast cancer clinical trial data.

METHODS

Women with non-metastatic breast cancer enrolled in six Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology trials were included (enrollment years 1997-2010). AS and PS were constructed using pathological tumor size, nodal status, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), HER2 status, and grade. Unadjusted Cox proportional hazard models were estimated to predict overall survival within 5 years, with AS and PS as predictor variables. The relative predictive power of staging models was assessed by comparing Harrell concordance indices (C-indices). Kaplan-Meier-based mortality estimates were compared by stage.

RESULTS

Overall, 6924 women were included (median age 53 years); 45.2% were diagnosed with ER+/PR+/HER2- tumors, 26.2% with HER2+ tumors, and 17.1% with ER-/PR-/HER2- tumors. Median follow-up time was 5 years (interquartile range 2.95-5.00). PS significantly improved predictive performance (C-index 0.721) for overall survival compared with AS (0.700) (p = 0.020). Kaplan-Meier hazard estimates suggested PS did not distinguish mortality risk between patients with IIB and IIIA or IB and IIA disease.

CONCLUSIONS

PS has significantly improved predictive performance for OS compared with AS. As systemic therapies evolve, it will be important to re-evaluate the prognostic staging system, particularly for patients with intermediate-stage cancers.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov Identifier: NCT02171078.

Predicting Chemotherapy Benefit across Different Races in Early-Stage Breast Cancer Patients Using the Oncotype DX Score

BACKGROUND

Oncotype DX assay, a multigene molecular test, has been widely used to stratify relapse risk and guide chemotherapy treatment in breast cancer. However, the optimal threshold of the Oncotype DX score in predicting chemotherapy benefit and its racial variation has not been investigated.

METHODS

In this study, we apply a random forest survival model to the SEER-Oncotype cohort data (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results with Oncotype DX test information for breast cancer patients) and determine chemotherapy benefit thresholds in early-stage, estrogen-receptor-positive (ER+), and HER2-negative (HER2-) patients of different races.

RESULTS

Our results indicate that early-stage ER+, HER2-, and LN-/LN+ patients may benefit from receiving chemotherapy at a lower Oncotype DX score than current guidelines (Recurrence Score, RS > 25 or RS > 30) suggest. According to the estimated chemotherapy sensitivity thresholds from our models, 2.05-2.72-fold more lymph-node-negative (LN-) and 2.08-5.02-fold more lymph-node-positive (LN+) patients who may not currently be recommended for chemotherapy by their Oncotype DX test result may actually have the potential to benefit from chemotherapy. Furthermore, our models indicate a racial difference in chemotherapy benefit: white, black, and Asian women with early-stage ER+/LN- tumors benefit from chemotherapy when their Oncotype DX scores are greater than 19.9, 37.2, and 18.0, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study provides a method for calibrating multigene molecular tests to help guide treatment decisions in racially and ethnically diverse patients with cancer. Specifically, we identify key chemotherapy sensitivity thresholds for the Oncotype DX recurrence score test in breast cancer patients and provide evidence that certain patients may benefit from receiving chemotherapy at a lower threshold than the current clinical guidelines suggest.

Impact of the 21-Gene Recurrence Score Assay on Treatment Decisions and Cost in Patients with Node-Positive Breast Cancer: A Multicenter Study in Quebec

BACKGROUND

The 21-gene Breast Recurrence Score (RS) assay, "the assay", has led to a paradigm shift for patients with hormone receptor-positive, node-negative early breast cancer and is emerging as an important tool to assist physician-patient decisions in foregoing chemotherapy in node-positive patients. We wanted to better understand the impact of the RS assay in node-positive patients upon physician treatment decisions and treatment cost in Quebec, Canada.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a multicenter, prospective observational trial for Estrogen/Progesterone Receptor (ER/PR)- positive, Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancer patients with 1-3 positive lymph nodes. Physicians completed a questionnaire indicating treatment choice prior to and post availability of RS results. The primary endpoint was change in the physician's recommendation for chemotherapy prior to and post assay results. Secondary endpoints included change in physician's expressed level of confidence, and changes in estimated cost of recommended treatments prior to and post assay results.

RESULTS

For the entire cohort, physician recommendation for chemotherapy was reduced by an absolute 67.1% by knowledge of the RS assay result (P < .0001). Physician recommendation of chemotherapy was decreased by 75.9% for patients RS result <14 (P < .0001); and 67.5% for patients with RS result 14-25 (P < .0001). Changes in treatment recommendations were associated with an overall reduction in cost by 73.7% per patient, and after incorporating the cost of the RS test, a cost benefit of $823 CAN at 6-month follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Altogether, we established that the assay led to a two-third reduction in the use of chemotherapy, and was a cost-effective approach for hormone receptor-positive, node-positive breast cancer.

Expanded evidence that the 31-gene expression profile test provides clinical utility for melanoma management in a multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines for cutaneous melanoma (CM) recommend physicians consider increased surveillance for patients who typically have lower melanoma survival rates (stages IIB-IV as determined by the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC), 8th edition). However, up to 15% of patients identified as having a low recurrence risk (stages I-IIA) experience disease recurrence, and some patients identified as having a high recurrence risk will not experience any recurrence. The 31-gene expression profile test (31-GEP) stratifies patient recurrence risk into low (Class 1) and high (Class 2) and has demonstrated risk-appropriate impact on disease management and clinical decisions.

METHODS

Five-year plans for lab work, frequency of clinical visits, and imaging pre- and post-31-GEP test results were assessed for a cohort of 509 stage I-III patients following an interim subset analysis of 247 patients.

RESULTS

After receiving 31-GEP results, 50.6% of patients had a change in management plans in at least one of the following categories-clinical visits, lab work, or surveillance imaging. The changes aligned with the risk predicted by the 31-GEP for 76.1% of patients with a Class 1 result and 78.7% of patients with a Class 2 result. A Class 1 31-GEP result was associated with changes toward low-intensity management recommendations, while a Class 2 result was associated with changes toward high-intensity management recommendations.

CONCLUSION

The 31-GEP can stratify patient recurrence risk in patients with CM, and clinicians understand and apply the prognostic ability of the 31-GEP test to alter patient management in risk-appropriate directions.

Radiogenomic Signatures of Oncotype DX Recurrence Score Enable Prediction of Survival in Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer: A Multicohort Study

Background Radiogenomics explores the association between imaging features and genomic assays to uncover relevant prognostic features; however, the prognostic implications of the derived signatures remain unclear. Purpose To identify preoperative radiogenomic signatures of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer associated with the Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) and to evaluate whether they are biomarkers for survival and responses to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). Materials and Methods In this retrospective multicohort study, three data sets were analyzed. The radiogenomic development data set, with preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and RS data obtained between January 2016 and October 2019 was used to identify radiogenomic signatures. Prognostic implications of the imaging signatures were assessed by measuring overall survival and recurrence-free survival in the prognostic assessment data set using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. The therapeutic implication of the radiogenomic signatures was evaluated by determining their ability to predict the response to NACT using the treatment assessment data set obtained between August 2015 and March 2019. Prediction performance was estimated by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results The final cohorts included a radiogenomic development data set with 130 women (mean age, 52 years ± 10 [standard deviation]), a prognostic assessment data set with 116 women (mean age, 48 years ± 9), and a treatment assessment data set with 135 women (mean age, 50 years ± 11). Radiogenomic signatures (n = 11) of texture and morphologic and statistical features were identified to generate the predicted RS (R² = 0.33, P < .001). A predicted RS greater than 29.9 was associated with poor overall and recurrence-free survival (P = .001 and P = .007, respectively); predicted RS was greater in women with a good NACT response (30.51 ± 6.92 vs 27.35 ± 4.04 [responders vs nonresponders], P = .001). By combining the predicted RS and complementary features, the model achieved improved performance in prediction of the NACT response (AUC, 0.85; P < .001). Conclusion Radiogenomic signatures associated with genomic assays provide markers of prognosis and treatment in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Integrating Molecular Biomarker Inputs Into Development and Use of Clinical Cancer Therapeutics

Biomarkers can contribute to clinical cancer therapeutics at multiple points along the patient’s diagnostic and treatment course. Diagnostic biomarkers can screen or classify patients, while prognostic biomarkers predict their survival. Biomarkers can also predict treatment efficacy or toxicity and are increasingly important in development of novel cancer therapeutics. Strategies for biomarker identification have involved large-scale genomic and proteomic analyses. Pathway-specific biomarkers are already in use to assess the potential efficacy of immunotherapy and targeted cancer therapies. Judicious application of machine learning techniques can identify disease-relevant features from large data sets and improve predictive models. The future of biomarkers likely involves increasing utilization of liquid biopsy and multiple samplings to better understand tumor heterogeneity and identify drug resistance.

Palpable Adenopathy Does Not Indicate High-Volume Axillary Nodal Disease in Hormone Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Axillary metastases in the form of palpable adenopathy indicate the need for neoadjuvant chemotherapy or axillary lymph node dissection (ALND). Patients with hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) disease infrequently have nodal pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy and often require ALND. Sentinel lymph node biopsy is an accepted treatment for patients with two or fewer non-palpable nodal metastases who are undergoing breast conservation. The proportion of patients with HR+/HER2- disease with palpable adenopathy and two or fewer nodal metastases is unknown.

METHODS

Patients with cT1-T3N1 HR+/HER2- disease with palpable adenopathy were identified from a prospective database. Patients who underwent mastectomy or breast-conserving therapy with ALND were included in this study, whereas patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy were excluded. Clinicopathologic characteristics were compared between patients with two or fewer or more than two positive nodes on ALND.

RESULTS

Of 180 patients included, 78 (43%) had two or fewer positive nodes on ALND, including 40/72 patients (56%) who underwent lumpectomy. On univariate analysis, cT1 tumor, unifocal tumor, only one palpable node, and two or fewer suspicious nodes on ultrasound were associated with two or fewer positive nodes on ALND. On multivariable analysis, number of suspicious nodes on ultrasound and cT stage were independently associated with two or fewer positive nodes on ALND.

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial minority of patients with cT1-3N1 HR+/HER2- disease with palpable adenopathy had two or fewer positive nodes on ALND. Standard clinicopathologic features and ultrasound findings can help identify candidates for upfront sentinel lymph node biopsy as a strategy to avoid ALND. Prospective studies evaluating this approach are warranted.

Long-Term Outcomes in a Multicenter, Prospective Cohort Evaluating the Prognostic 31-Gene Expression Profile for Cutaneous Melanoma

PURPOSE

Current guidelines for postoperative management of patients with stage I-IIA cutaneous melanoma (CM) do not recommend routine cross-sectional imaging, yet many of these patients develop metastases. Methods that complement American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging are needed to improve identification and treatment of these patients. A 31-gene expression profile (31-GEP) test predicts metastatic risk as low (class 1) or high (class 2). Prospective analysis of CM outcomes was performed to test the hypotheses that the 31-GEP provides prognostic value for patients with stage I-III CM, and that patients with stage I-IIA melanoma and class 2 31-GEP results have metastatic risk similar to patients for whom surveillance is recommended.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two multicenter registry studies, INTEGRATE (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier:NCT02355574) and EXPAND (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier:NCT02355587), were initiated under institutional review board approval, and 323 patients with stage I-III CM and median follow-up time of 3.2 years met inclusion criteria. Primary end points were 3-year recurrence-free survival (RFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

The 31-GEP was significant for RFS, DMFS, and OS in a univariate analysis and was a significant, independent predictor of RFS, DMFS, and OS in a multivariable analysis. GEP class 2 results were significantly associated with lower 3-year RFS, DMFS, and OS in all patients and those with stage I-IIA disease. Patients with stage I-IIA CM and a class 2 result had recurrence, distant metastasis, and death rates similar to patients with stage IIB-III CM. Combining 31-GEP results and AJCC staging enhanced sensitivity over each approach alone.

CONCLUSION

These data provide a rationale for using the 31-GEP along with AJCC staging, and suggest that patients with stage I-IIA CM and a class 2 31-GEP signature may be candidates for more intense follow-up.

The 21-gene recurrence score in node-positive, hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer: a cautionary tale from an NCDB analysis

PURPOSE

The 21-gene recurrence score assay (RS) has not been prospectively validated to predict adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in hormone receptor-positive (HR+), HER2-negative (HER2-), node-positive breast cancer patients. Nevertheless, de-escalation based on RS has been demonstrated and partially advocated by retrospective data. The purpose of this study was to identify subgroups of node-positive patients with low to intermediate RS who still benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database was used to identify 28,591 women with stage I-III, T1-T3, N1, HR+, HER2- breast cancer and a RS ≤ 25 between 2010 and 2016. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify variables correlating with chemotherapy use and 5-year survival. Subgroup analysis was performed to discern patients in whom the use of adjuvant chemotherapy correlated with better survival.

RESULTS

A 35% decline in chemotherapy use was observed from 2010 to 2016. Patients with younger age, higher RS, larger tumors and more positive lymph nodes, and those treated by mastectomy, axillary lymph node dissection and radiation, were more likely to receive chemotherapy. Chemotherapy use was associated with an improved 5-year survival (HR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.28-2.07). Upon subgroup analysis, this association was lost in patients > 70 years and those with a RS ≤ 11, while patients ≤ 70 with a RS of 12-25 treated with chemotherapy had an absolute 5-year survival advantage of 3.0% (HR = 1.91, 95% CI 1.42-2.57).

CONCLUSION

Clinicians should be cautious when considering omission of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients ≤ 70 years, with HR+, HER2-, N1 tumors and a RS 12-25, at least until the results of the anticipated RxPONDER trial become available.

AJCC 8th edition prognostic staging provides no better discriminatory ability in prognosis than anatomical staging in triple negative breast cancer

BACKGROUND

We retrospectively compared the prognostic value between the AJCC 8th edition anatomic (AS) and prognostic staging (PS) system for triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) in a cohort from two involved institutions and a large population database.

METHODS

Clinicopathological data of TNBCs were identified in two involved institutions (SYSUCC-PWH cohort). Data from SEER database during 2010-2015 was also accessed. We restaged all cases into AS and PS group according to the AJCC 8th staging system.

RESULTS

A total of 611 and 31,941 TNBCs were identified in two cohorts, with a median follow-up of 53.5 and 27 months respectively. PS upstaged 46.1% of patients in SYSUCC-PWH cohort, and 62.4% in SEER cohort. No significant difference was observed in C index between AS and PS models for disease-specific survival (DSS), progression-free survival (PFS) or overall survival (OS) in either cohort. χ2 statistic and Hazard Ratio for PFS, DSS and OS showed better discrimination between IA and IB, IIB and IIIA, IIIA and IIIB in AS model than PS model. Besides, patients with IIIC unchanged stage showed worse PFS compared to those with AS IIIA or IIIB upstaged to PS IIIC in both cohorts(p = 0.049, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrated that prognostic staging system did not provide better discriminatory ability in predicting TNBCs prognosis than anatomic staging system.

A Nomogram to Predict Factors Associated with Lymph Node Metastasis in Ductal Carcinoma In Situ with Microinvasion

INTRODUCTION

Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) with foci of invasion measuring ≤ 1 mm (DCISM), represents < 1% of all invasive breast cancers. Sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) has been a standard component of surgery for patients with invasive carcinoma or extensive DCIS. We hypothesize that selective performance of SLNB may be appropriate given the low incidence of sentinel node (SN) metastasis for DCISM. We investigated the clinicopathologic predictors for SN positivity in DCISM, to identify which patients might benefit from SLNB.

METHODS

A retrospective review of the National Cancer Database was performed for cases from 2012 to 2015. Clinical and tumor characteristics, including SN results, were evaluated, and Pearson's Chi square tests and logistic regression were performed.

RESULTS

Of 7803 patients with DCISM, 306 (4%) had at least one positive SN. Patients with positive SNs were younger, more often of Black race, had higher-grade histology and larger tumor size, and were more likely to have lymphovascular invasion (LVI; all p < 0.001). In an adjusted model, the presence of LVI was associated with the highest odds ratio (OR) for node positivity (OR 8.80, 95% confidence interval 4.56-16.96).

CONCLUSIONS

Among women with DCISM, only 4% had a positive SN. Node positivity was associated with more extensive and higher-grade DCIS, and the presence of LVI was strongly correlated with node positivity. Our data suggest that LVI is the most important factor in determining which patients with DCISM will benefit from SN biopsy.

21-Gene Recurrence Score and Adjuvant Chemotherapy Decision for Breast Cancer Patients with Positive Lymph Nodes

The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay is prognostic and predictive for hormone receptor (HR)+/HER2-/node- breast cancer (BC) patients. However, its clinical value in node + patients hasn’t been elucidated. HR+/HER2-/pN1 patients operated in Comprehensive Breast Health Center, Shanghai Ruijin Hospital from January 2014 to December 2018, with available RS results were retrospectively included. Clinico-pathological characteristics were compared. Adjuvant chemotherapy recommendations pre-/post- RS assay and actual usage were analyzed. A total of 303 patients were included, with 59, 178, 66 RS < 18, 18–30 and ≥ 31. Age (P < 0.001), comorbidity (P = 0.013), and RS category (P < 0.001) were independently associated with chemotherapy recommendation. Compared with low RS patients, those with intermediate (OR 6.58, 95% CI 2.37–18.31, P < 0.001) or high (OR 54.14, 95% CI 3.77–776.54, P = 0.003) RS were more likely to be recommended with chemotherapy. RS independently influence chemotherapy decision in postmenopausal population as well. Chemotherapy recommendation changed for 9.57% patients after RS assay. Patient adherence rate to chemotherapy recommendation was 94.72% (287/303). The 21-gene RS independently influenced chemotherapy recommendation in pN1 BC patients, which could provide additional information to guide chemotherapy decision with relatively good treatment adherence rate.

Impact of the 21-gene recurrence score assay on chemotherapy decision making and outcomes for breast cancer patients with four or more positive lymph nodes

Background

To assess the impact of the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) on chemotherapy decision making and survival outcomes for breast cancer patients with >4 positive lymph nodes.

Methods

Patients with non-metastatic estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer with >4 positive lymph nodes diagnosed between 2004 and 2013 were identified using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The relationships between the 21-gene RS value and survival outcomes, chemotherapy decision-making, and chemotherapy benefit were analyzed.

Results

A total of 410 patients were identified, including 191 (46.6%), 164 (40.0%), and 55 (13.4%) in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups, respectively. The 21-gene RS assay results were independently related to chemotherapy receipt. A total of 59.0%, 68.0%, and 78.0% of patients received chemotherapy in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups, respectively. The 21-gene RS was an independent indicator of breast cancer specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS). Intermediate-risk [BCSS: hazards ratio (HR), 2.832, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.160-6.910, P=0.022; OS: HR, 3.704, 95% CI: 1.750-7.836, P=0.001] and high-risk RS (BCSS: HR, 6.440, 95% CI: 2.597-15.974, P<0.001; OS: HR, 5.053, 95% CI: 2.199-11.608, P<0.001) cohorts had significantly lower survival outcomes compared to low-risk RS cohort. The 5-year BCSS were 92.7%, 88.3%, and 70.7% in patients in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS cohorts, respectively (P<0.001), and the 5-year OS were 92.1%, 80.6%, and 66.6%, respectively (P<0.001).

Conclusions

The 21-gene RS is an independent predictor of chemotherapy receipt and survival outcomes for breast cancer patients with > 4 positive lymph nodes.