Prognosis After Resection of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) Stage 0, A, and B Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Comprehensive Assessment of the Current BCLC Classification

Incorporating Inflammatory Markers and Clinical Indicators into a Predictive Model of Single Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence After Primary Locoregional Treatments

Purpose

We explored the role of tumor size and number in the prognosis of HCC patients who underwent ablation and created a nomogram based on machine learning to predict the recurrence.

Patients and Methods

A total of 990 HCC patients who underwent transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) combined ablation at Beijing Youan Hospital from January 2014 to December 2021 were prospectively enrolled, including 478 patients with single small HCC (S-S), 209 patients with single large (≥30mm) HCC (S-L), 182 patients with multiple small HCC (M-S), and 121 patients with multiple large HCC (M-L). S-S patients were randomized in a 7:3 ratio into the training cohort (N=334) and the validation cohort (N=144). Lasso-Cox regression analysis was carried out to identify independent risk factors, which were used to construct a nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) curves. Patients in the training and validation cohorts were divided into low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk groups based on the risk scores of the nomogram.

Results

The median recurrence-free survival (mRFS) in S-S patients was significantly longer than the S-L, M-S, and S-L patients (P<0.0001). The content of the nomogram includes age, monocyte-to-lymphocyte (MLR), gamma-glutamyl transferase-to-lymphocyte (GLR), International normalized ratio (INR), and Erythrocyte (RBC). The C-index (0.704 and 0.71) and 1-, 3-, and 5-year AUCs (0.726, 0.800, 0.780, and 0.752, 0.761, 0.760) of the training and validation cohorts proved the excellent predictive performance of the nomogram. Calibration curves the DCA curves showed that the nomogram had good consistency and clinical utility. There were apparent variances in RFS between the low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk groups (P<0.0001).

Conclusion

S-S patients who underwent ablation had the best prognosis. The nomogram developed and validated in the study had good predictive ability for S-S patients.

Neoadjuvant and adjuvant systemic therapy in HCC: Current status and the future

Surgical therapies in patients with early-stage HCC can afford long-term survival but are often limited by the continued risk of recurrence, underscoring an interest in (neo)adjuvant strategies. Prior attempts at adjuvant therapy using tyrosine kinase inhibitors failed to yield significant improvements in recurrence-free survival or overall survival. Advances in the efficacy of systemic therapy options, including the introduction of immune checkpoint inhibitors, have fueled renewed interest in this area. Indeed, the IMBrave050 trial recently demonstrated significant improvements in recurrence-free survival with 1 year of adjuvant atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in high-risk patients undergoing surgical resection or ablation, with several other ongoing trials in this space. There is a strong rationale for consideration of the administration of these therapies in the neoadjuvant setting, supported by early clinical data demonstrating high rates of objective responses, although larger trials examining downstream outcomes are necessary, particularly considering the possible risks of this strategy. In parallel, there has been increased interest in using systemic therapies as a bridging or downstaging strategy for liver transplantation. Current data suggest the short-term safety of this approach, with acceptable rates of rejection, so immunotherapy is not considered a contraindication to transplant; however, larger studies are needed to evaluate the incremental value of this approach over locoregional therapy. Conversely, the use of immunotherapy is currently discouraged after liver transplantation, given the high risk of graft rejection and death. The increasing complexity of HCC management and increased consideration of (neo)adjuvant strategies highlight the critical role of multidisciplinary care when making these decisions.

Generalizable transcriptome-based tumor malignant level evaluation and molecular subtyping towards precision oncology

In cancer treatment, therapeutic strategies that integrate tumor-specific characteristics (i.e., precision oncology) are widely implemented to provide clinical benefits for cancer patients. Here, through in-depth integration of tumor transcriptome and patients' prognoses across cancers, we investigated dysregulated and prognosis-associated genes and catalogued such important genes in a cancer type-dependent manner. Utilizing the expression matrices of these genes, we built models to quantitatively evaluate the malignant levels of tumors across cancers, which could add value to the clinical staging system for improved prediction of patients' survival. Furthermore, we performed a transcriptome-based molecular subtyping on hepatocellular carcinoma, which revealed three subtypes with significantly diversified clinical outcomes, mutation landscapes, immune microenvironment, and dysregulated pathways. As tumor transcriptome was commonly profiled in clinical practice with low experimental complexity and cost, this work proposed easy-to-perform approaches for practical clinical promotion towards better healthcare and precision oncology of cancer patients.

Impact of an Automated Population-Level Cirrhosis Screening Program Using Common Pathology Tests on Rates of Cirrhosis Diagnosis and Linkage to Specialist Care (CAPRISE): Protocol for a Pilot Prospective Single-Arm Intervention Study

BACKGROUND

People with compensated cirrhosis receive the greatest benefit from risk factor modification and prevention programs to reduce liver decompensation and improve early liver cancer detection. Blood-based liver fibrosis algorithms such as the Aspartate Transaminase-to-Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index are calculated using routinely ordered blood tests and are effective screening tests to exclude cirrhosis in people with chronic liver disease, triaging the need for further investigations to confirm cirrhosis and linkage to specialist care.

OBJECTIVE

This pilot study aims to evaluate the impact of a population screening program for liver cirrhosis (CAPRISE [Cirrhosis Automated APRI and FIB-4 Screening Evaluation]), which uses automated APRI and FIB-4 calculation and reporting on routinely ordered blood tests, on monthly rates of referral for transient elastography, cirrhosis diagnosis, and linkage to specialist care.

METHODS

We have partnered with a large pathology service in Victoria, Australia, to pilot a population-level liver cirrhosis screening package, which comprises (1) automated calculation and reporting of APRI and FIB-4 on routinely ordered blood tests; (2) provision of brief information about liver cirrhosis; and (3) a web link for transient elastography referral. APRI and FIB-4 will be prospectively calculated on all community-ordered pathology results in adults attending a single pathology service. This single-center, prospective, single-arm, pre-post study will compare the monthly rates of transient elastography (FibroScan) referral, liver cirrhosis diagnosis, and the proportion linked to specialist care in the 6 months after intervention to the 6 months prior to the intervention.

RESULTS

As of January 2024, in the preintervention phase of this study, a total of 120,972 tests were performed by the laboratory. Of these tests, 78,947 (65.3%) tests were excluded, with the remaining 42,025 (34.7%) tests on 37,872 individuals meeting inclusion criteria with APRI and FIB-4 being able to be calculated. Of these 42,025 tests, 1.3% (n=531) had elevated APRI>1 occurring in 446 individuals, and 2.3% (n=985) had elevated FIB-4>2.67 occurring in 816 individuals. Linking these data with FibroScan referral and appointment attendance is ongoing and will continue during the intervention phase, which is expected to commence on February 1, 2024.

CONCLUSIONS

We will determine the feasibility and effectiveness of automated APRI and FIB-4 reporting on the monthly rate of transient elastography referrals, liver cirrhosis diagnosis, and linkage to specialist care.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12623000295640; https://tinyurl.com/58dv9ypp.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

DERR1-10.2196/56607.

Meta-analysis of the GALAD model for diagnosing primary hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Ever since the GALAD (gender-age-Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive alpha-fetoprotein-alpha-fetoprotein-des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin) logistic regression model was established to diagnose hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), there has been no high-level evidence that evaluates and summarizes it.

OBJECTIVE

This meta-analysis was performed to assess the diagnostic ability of the GALAD model.

METHODS

The following databases were systematically searched for original diagnostic studies on HCC: PubMed, Embase, Medline, the Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure Wanfang (China), Wiper and the Chinese BioMedical Literature Database. After screening the search results according to our criteria, the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 tool was used to evaluate the methodologic qualities, and statistical software were used to output the statistics.

RESULTS

Ultimately, 10 studies were included and analyzed. The results revealed the pooled sensitivity and specificity of the GALAD model to be 0.86 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.82, 0.90) and 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87, 0.92), respectively, for all-stage HCC. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.94. For early-stage HCC, the pooled sensitivity and specificity of the GALAD model were 0.83 (95% CI: 0.78, 0.87) and 0.81 (95% CI: 0.78, 0.83), respectively. The AUC was 0.90.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis confirmed that the GALAD model has excellent diagnostic performance for early-stage and all-stage HCC and can maintain high sensitivity and specificity in early-stage HCC. Therefore, the GALAD model is qualified for screening early-stage canceration from chronic liver disease.

Comparison of tumor response and outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after multimodal treatment including immune checkpoint inhibitors - a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) combined with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs), trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE), and radiotherapy to treat hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has not been well-defined. We performed a meta-analysis to characterize tumor response and survival associated with multimodal treatment of HCC.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Medline, Scopus, and CINAHL databases were searched (1990-2022). Random-effect meta-analysis was conducted to compare efficacy of treatment modalities. Odds ratios (OR) and standardized mean difference (SMD) were reported.

RESULTS

Thirty studies (4170 patients) met inclusion criteria. Triple therapy regimen (ICI + TKI + TACE) had the highest overall disease control rate (DCR) (87%, 95% CI 83-91), while ICI + radiotherapy had the highest objective response rate (ORR) (72%, 95% CI 54%-89%). Triple therapy had a higher DCR than ICI + TACE (OR 4.49, 95% CI 2.09-9.63), ICI + TKI (OR 3.08, 95% CI 1.63-5.82), and TKI + TACE (OR 2.90, 95% CI 1.61-5.20). Triple therapy demonstrated improved overall survival versus ICI + TKI (SMD 0.72, 95% CI 0.37-1.07) and TKI + TACE (SMD 1.13, 95% CI 0.70-1.48) (both p < 0.05). Triple therapy had a greater incidence of adverse events (AEs) compared with ICI + TKI (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.29-0.91; p = 0.02), but no difference in AEs versus ICI + TACE or TKI + TACE (both p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The combination of ICIs, TKIs and TACE demonstrated superior tumor response and survival and should be considered for select patients with advanced HCC.

The ADAM17 inhibitor ZLDI-8 sensitized hepatocellular carcinoma cells to sorafenib through Notch1-integrin β-talk

ZLDI-8 is an A disintegrin and metalloproteinase domain 17 (ADAM17) inhibitor that suppresses the shedding of Notch1 to the Notch1 intracellular domain (NICD). In previous studies, we found that ZLDI-8 was able to sensitize HCC to sorafenib, but the mechanism of action remains unclear. The sensitizing effects of ZLDI-8 were tested both in vitro and in vivo. EMT-related factors, sorafenib sensitivity-related proteins and ECM-related gene expression were assessed using immunohistochemistry, RTPCR and Western blotting. Knockdown assays were conducted to determine the relationship between the Notch and Integrin pathways. CoIP assays, nuclear and cytoplasmic fractionation and immunofluorescence colocalization were applied to explore the interaction between the Notch and Integrin pathways. Appropriate statistical analysis methods were used to assess the significance of the experimental results and to ensure the scientific validity and reliability of the experimental design. We found that ECM- and EMT-related proteins were downregulated after ZLDI-8 treatment (P<0.05). ZLDI-8 significantly downregulated Integrinβ1 and Integrinβ3 in HCC in vitro and in vivo (P<0.05), possibly through Foxc2-dependent regulation. Mechanistically, interfering with the expression of both Integrin-linked kinase (ILK) and the NICD may downregulate the expression of proteins targeted by sorafenib, thereby sensitizing cells to sorafenib. The retroregulation of Integrinβ by ILK may occur through the interaction between the NICD and ILK and may be the result of the translocation of the complexus. Our study indicates that blocking the Notch pathway may affect Integrinβ through crosstalk between the Notch1 and Integrinβ/ILK signaling pathways, thus providing a potential therapeutic strategy for HCC.

Prognostic Indicators of Overall Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Liver Resection

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant form of primary liver cancer and the third contributor to malignancy-related deaths worldwide. The hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), transient elastography-liver stiffness measurement (TE-LSM), and the association between TBS (tumor burden score), alpha-fetoprotein levels, and the Child-Pugh classification (TAC score) can serve as valuable prognostic indicators for these patients. Therefore, the main objective of our research was to analyze the prognostic value of the HVPG, TE-LSM, TBS, and TAC scores. An observational and survival study was conducted on 144 subjects. Our findings indicated that HVPG greater than 10 mmHg, AFP surpassing 400 ng/mL, an advanced C-P class, and low TAC score are independent predictors of overall survival. During the multivariate analysis, AFP serum levels and C-P class proved statistically significant. The present study revealed significant differences in overall survival between the two groups divided upon HVPG values and settled by the cutoff of 10 mmHg (p = 0.02). Moreover, by dividing the cohort into three groups based on the TAC score (very low, low, and moderate), statistically significant differences in overall survival were observed across the groups (p = 0.004).

Construction and validation of a machine learning-based nomogram to predict the prognosis of HBV associated hepatocellular carcinoma patients with high levels of hepatitis B surface antigen in primary local treatment: a multicenter study

Background

Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) clearance is associated with improved long-term outcomes and reduced risk of complications. The aim of our study was to identify the effects of levels of HBsAg in HCC patients undergoing TACE and sequential ablation. In addition, we created a nomogram to predict the prognosis of HCC patients with high levels of HBsAg (≥1000U/L) after local treatment.

Method

This study retrospectively evaluated 1008 HBV-HCC patients who underwent TACE combined with ablation at Beijing Youan Hospital and Beijing Ditan Hospital from January 2014 to December 2021, including 334 patients with low HBsAg levels and 674 patients with high HBsAg levels. The high HBsAg group was divided into the training cohort (N=385), internal validation cohort (N=168), and external validation cohort (N=121). The clinical and pathological features of patients were collected, and independent risk factors were identified using Lasso-Cox regression analysis for developing a nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) curves in the training and validation cohorts. Patients were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups based on the risk scores of the nomogram.

Result

After PSM, mRFS was 28.4 months (22.1-34.7 months) and 21.9 months (18.5-25.4 months) in the low HBsAg level and high HBsAg level groups (P<0.001). The content of the nomogram includes age, BCLC stage, tumor size, globulin, GGT, and bile acids. The C-index (0.682, 0.666, and 0.740) and 1-, 3-, and 5-year AUCs of the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts proved good discrimination of the nomogram. Calibration curves and DCA curves suggested accuracy and net clinical benefit rates. The nomogram enabled to classification of patients with high HBsAg levels into low-risk and high-risk groups according to the risk of recurrence. There was a statistically significant difference in RFS between the two groups in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts (P<0.001).

Conclusion

High levels of HBsAg were associated with tumor progression. The nomogram developed and validated in the study had good predictive ability for patients with high HBsAg levels.

Crosstalk Between circRNA and Tumor Microenvironment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Mechanism, Function and Applications

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common aggressive tumors in the world. Despite the availability of various treatments, its prognosis remains poor due to the lack of specific diagnostic indicators and the high heterogeneity of HCC cases. CircRNAs are noncoding RNAs with stable and highly specific expression. Extensive research evidence suggests that circRNAs mediate the pathogenesis and progression of HCC through acting as miRNA sponges, protein modulators, and translation templates. Tumor microenvironment (TME) has become a hotspot of immune-related research in recent years due to its effects on metabolism, secretion and immunity of HCC. Accordingly, understanding the role played by circRNAs in TME is important for the study of HCC. This review will discuss the crosstalk between circRNAs and TME in HCC. In addition, we will discuss the current deficiencies and controversies in research on circRNAs and predict future research directions.

Effect of transarterial chemoembolization as postoperative adjuvant therapy for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma with microvascular invasion: a multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with microvascular invasion (MVI) is associated with high recurrence rates and poor survival outcomes after surgery. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of postoperative transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) on prognosis of intermediate-stage HCC patients with MVI after curative liver resection (LR).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients who had intermediate-stage HCC with MVI and underwent curative LR between January 2013 and December 2019 at three institutions in China were identified for further analysis. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared between patients treated with and without postoperative TACE by propensity score-matching.

RESULTS

A total of 246 intermediate-stage HCC patients with MVI were enrolled, 137 entered into the LR group and 109 entered into the LR+TACE group. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year RFS rates were 42.0, 27.2, and 17.8% in LR+TACE group, and 31.8, 18.2, and 8.7% in LR group. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS rates were 81.7, 47.2, and 26.1% in the LR+TACE group, and 67.3, 35.6, and 18.5% in the LR group. Compared with LR alone, LR+TACE was associated with significantly better RFS [hazard ratio (HR), 1.443; 95% CI: 1.089-1.914; P =0.009] and OS (HR, 1.438; 95% CI: 1.049-1.972; P =0.023). No difference was observed with RFS and OS in single TACE and multiple TACE in the matched cohort.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative adjuvant TACE could be beneficial for intermediate-stage HCC patients with MVI.

Expanding Indications for Surgical Resection in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: What is the Evidence?

Hepatic resection is one of the mainstays of curative therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The appropriate selection of resectable candidates requires careful consideration of a multitude of factors including tumor burden (size and number of nodules, presence of vascular involvement, extrahepatic spread), patient factors (performance status, underlying liver function), and availability of other therapies (access to transplantation, interventional procedures, immunotherapies). Historically, hepatic resection for HCC has been reserved for patients with solitary tumors without vascular invasion. However, in well-selected patients HCC tumors multifocal in nature or with vascular invasion should be considered for hepatic resection.

MRI proton density fat fraction for estimation of tumor grade in steatotic hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

Image-based detection of intralesional fat in focal liver lesions has been established in diagnostic guidelines as a feature indicative of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and associated with a favorable prognosis. Given recent advances in MRI-based fat quantification techniques, we investigated a possible relationship between intralesional fat content and histologic tumor grade in steatotic HCCs.

METHODS

Patients with histopathologically confirmed HCC and prior MRI with proton density fat fraction (PDFF) mapping were retrospectively identified. Intralesional fat of HCCs was assessed using an ROI-based analysis and the median fat fraction of steatotic HCCs was compared between tumor grades G1-3 with non-parametric testing. ROC analysis was performed in case of statistically significant differences (p < 0.05). Subgroup analyses were conducted for patients with/without liver steatosis and with/without liver cirrhosis.

RESULTS

A total of 57 patients with steatotic HCCs (62 lesions) were eligible for analysis. The median fat fraction was significantly higher for G1 lesions (median [interquartile range], 7.9% [6.0─10.7%]) than for G2 (4.4% [3.2─6.6%]; p = .001) and G3 lesions (4.7% [2.8─7.8%]; p = .036). PDFF was a good discriminator between G1 and G2/3 lesions (AUC .81; cut-off 5.8%, sensitivity 83%, specificity 68%) with comparable results in patients with liver cirrhosis. In patients with liver steatosis, intralesional fat content was higher than in the overall sample, with PDFF performing better in distinguishing between G1 and G2/3 lesions (AUC .92; cut-off 8.8%, sensitivity 83%, specificity 91%).

CONCLUSIONS

Quantification of intralesional fat using MRI PDFF mapping allows distinction between well- and less-differentiated steatotic HCCs.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

PDFF mapping may help optimize precision medicine as a tool for tumor grade assessment in steatotic HCCs. Further investigation of intratumoral fat content as a potential prognostic indicator of treatment response is encouraged.

KEY POINTS

• MRI proton density fat fraction mapping enables distinction between well- (G1) and less- (G2 and G3) differentiated steatotic hepatocellular carcinomas. • In a retrospective single-center study with 62 histologically proven steatotic hepatocellular carcinomas, G1 tumors showed a higher intralesional fat content than G2 and G3 tumors (7.9% vs. 4.4% and 4.7%; p = .004). • In liver steatosis, MRI proton density fat fraction mapping was an even better discriminator between G1 and G2/G3 steatotic hepatocellular carcinomas.

Impact of GLIM criteria-based malnutrition diagnosis on outcomes following liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM), comprising several of the major global clinical nutrition societies, suggested the world's first criteria for diagnosis of the severity of malnutrition. However, the impact of the resulting diagnosis on patient outcomes for those with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver resection (LR) has not been investigated.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 293 patients with HCC who underwent LR between January 2011 and December 2018 was performed. We compared overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) and evaluated prognostic factors after LR using Cox proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

Preoperative patient nutritional status, n (%), was classified as follows: normal, 130 (44%), moderate malnutrition, 116 (40%), and severe malnutrition, 47 (16%). The median OS (129 vs. 43 months, p < 0.001) and median RFS (54 vs. 20 months, p = 0.001) were significantly greater in the normal group than in the severe malnutrition group. Multivariate analysis showed that severe malnutrition was a significant risk factor for OS (p = 0.006) and RFS (p = 0.010) after initial LR.

CONCLUSION

Severe malnutrition, as diagnosed by the GLIM criteria, is a significant prognostic factor for survival and recurrence in patients with HCC after LR.

Survival analysis and development of a prognostic nomogram for patients with hepatitis B virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma

Background and aims

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a common cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China, and this study aimed to identify high-risk factors for overall survival and develop a nomogram prediction model.

Methods

In the present retrospective cohort study, patients with HBV-associated HCC diagnosed from January 2009 to December 2018 were enrolled. Their clinical characteristics and time-to-event information were retrieved from electronic medical records. The zero time was the date of HCC diagnosis, and the endpoint was death or liver transplantation. Multivariable COX proportional hazard regression was used to screen independent risk factors for overall survival; then a nomogram model was developed to predict the survival probability of HCC patients.

Results

A total of 1723 patients were enrolled, with 82.7 % male and a median age of 54.0 years. During a median follow-up time of 41.3 months, 672 cases (39.0 %) died. Age ≥60 years (HR = 1.209), Male (HR = 1.293), ALB <35 g/L (HR = 1.491), AST ≥80 U/L (HR = 1.818); AFP 20-400 ng/mL (HR = 2.284), AFP ≥400 ng/mL (HR = 2.746); LSM 9-22 kPa (HR = 2.266), LSM ≥22 kPa (HR = 4.326); BCLC stage B/C (HR = 4.079) and BCLC stage D (HR = 16.830) were the independent high-risk factors associated with HCC survival. A prognostic nomogram with a consistency index of 0.842 (95 % CI: 0.827-0.858) was developed. The calibration curve for long-term survival rate fitted well.

Conclusions

This study identified independent risk factors affecting the survival of patients with HBV-associated HCC and constructed a predictive nomogram model, which can individually predict the overall survival and has good clinical application value.

Prognostic value of nutritional and inflammatory markers in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who receive immune checkpoint inhibitors

The emergence of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has provided a new treatment option for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, further evaluation is needed for determining biomarkers for the use of ICIs. The present study evaluated the prognostic value of certain nutritional and inflammatory markers in patients with HCC who received ICIs. In the present study, the clinical data of 151 patients with HCC who received ICIs at Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were collected. The blood parameters of all patients before treatment were collected to evaluate certain nutritional and inflammatory markers, including the prognostic nutrition index (PNI), nutritional risk index (NRI), geriatric NRI (GNRI), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) and advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI). Patients were grouped using the cut-off value calculated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and the relationship between these biomarkers and prognosis was evaluated through survival analysis. Furthermore, the prognostic value of these biomarkers was assessed through multivariate Cox regression analysis and construction of nomograms. Finally, time-ROC curves were plotted to compare the differences in predicting prognosis between the biomarkers. In the preliminary survival analysis, all inflammatory and nutritional markers included in the present study were significantly associated with the prognosis of HCC in patients who received ICIs. Similar results were obtained in a subgroup analysis of patients with different Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that GNRI, PNI, BCLC stage and Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) stage were significantly associated with progression-free survival (PFS), whereas GNRI, BCLC stage and TNM stage were also significantly associated with overall survival (OS). Furthermore, the time-ROC curves indicated that nutritional indicators had a higher prognostic value in all indexes, especially GNRI. The C-index (95% confidence interval) of the nomograms for predicting the survival probability of patients who received ICIs were 0.801 (0.746-0.877) and 0.823 (0.761-0.898) for PFS and overall OS, respectively, which also showed high accuracy. In conclusion, the present study demonstrated that PNI, GNRI, NRI, SII, SIRI and ALI were all related to the efficacy of ICIs in HCC and could serve as non-invasive biomarkers for ICI treatment effectiveness. Moreover, compared with inflammatory markers, nutritional markers had greater predictive ability, with GNRI being the biomarker with the best prognostic value.

Open Versus Laparoscopic Right Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Sequential TACE-PVE: A Multicentric Comparative Study

BACKGROUND

Right hepatectomy (RH) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is ideally preceded by transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) and portal vein embolization (PVE). Laparoscopic approach improves short-term outcome and textbook outcome (TO), which reflects the "ideal" surgical outcome, after RH. However, laparoscopic RH on an underlying diseased liver and after TACE/PVE remains a challenging procedure. The aim of this study was to compare the outcomes in patients who underwent laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) or open liver resection (OLR) following TACE/PVE.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

All patients with HCC who underwent RH after TACE/PVE in five French centers were retrospectively included. Outcomes were compared between the LLR group and the OLR group using propensity score matching (PSM). Quality of surgical care was defined by TO.

RESULTS

Between 2005 and 2019, 117 patients were included (41 in LLR group, 76 in OLR group). Overall morbidity was comparable (51% versus 53%, p = 0.24). In LLR group, TO was completed in 66% versus 37% in OLR group (p = 0.02). LLR and absence of clamping were the only factors associated with TO completion [hazard ratio (HR) 4.27, [1.77-10.28], p = 0.001]. After PSM, 5-year overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were 55% in matched LLR versus 77% in matched OLR, p = 0.35, and 13% in matched LLR versus 17% in matched OLR, p = 0.97. TO completion was independently associated with a better 5-year OS (65.2% versus 42.5%, p = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

Major LLR after TACE/PVE should be considered as a valuable option in expert centers to increase the chance of TO, the latter being associated with a better 5-year OS.

Assessing textbook outcome after single large hepatocellular carcinoma resection

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the impact and predictors of an ideal surgical care following SLHCC resection.

METHODS

SLHCC patients who underwent LR in two tertiary hepatobiliary centers between 2000 and 2021 were retrieved from prospectively maintained databases. The quality of surgical care was measured by the textbook outcome (TO). Tumor burden was defined by the tumor burden score (TBS). Factors associated with TO were determined on multivariate analysis. The impact of TO on oncological outcomes was assessed using Cox regressions.

RESULTS

Overall, 103 SLHCC patients were included. Laparoscopic approach was considered in 65 (63.1%) patients and 79 (76.7%) patients presented with moderate TBS. TO was achieved in 54 (52.4%) patients. Laparoscopic approach was independently associated with TO (OR 2.57; 95% CI 1.03-6.64; p = 0.045). Within 19 (6-38) months of median follow up, patients who achieved TO had better OS compared to non-TO patients (1-year OS: 91.7% vs. 66.9%; 5-year OS: 83.4% vs. 37.0%, p < 0.0001). On multivariate analysis, TO was independently associated with improved OS, especially in non-cirrhotic patients (HR 0.11; 95% CI 0.02-0.52, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

TO achievement could be a relevant surrogate marker of improved oncological care following SLHCC resection in non-cirrhotic patients.

Survival Prediction After Transarterial Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: a Deep Multitask Survival Analysis Approach

The accurate prediction of postoperative survival time of patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is important for postoperative health care. Survival analysis is a common method used to predict the occurrence time of events of interest in the medical field. At present, the mainstream survival analysis models, such as the Cox proportional risk model, should make strict assumptions about the potential random process to solve the censored data, thus potentially limiting their application in clinical practice. In this paper, we propose a novel deep multitask survival model (DMSM) to analyze HCC survival data. Specifically, DMSM transforms the traditional survival time prediction problem of patients with HCC into a survival probability prediction problem at multiple time points and applies entropy regularization and ranking loss to optimize a multitask neural network. Compared with the traditional methods of deleting censored data and strong hypothesis, DMSM makes full use of all the information in the censored data but does not need to make any assumption. In addition, we identify the risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with HCC and visualize the importance of ranking these factors. On the basis of the analysis of a real dataset of patients with BCLC stage B HCC, experimental results on three different validation datasets show that the DMSM achieves competitive performance with concordance index of 0.779, 0.727, and 0.780 and integrated Brier score (IBS) of 0.172, 0.138, and 0.135, respectively. Our DMSM has a comparatively small standard deviation (0.002, 0.002, and 0.003) for IBS of bootstrapping 100 times. The DMSM we proposed can be utilized as an effective survival analysis model and provide an important means for the accurate prediction of postoperative survival time of patients with BCLC stage B HCC.

Current Opinions on the Relationship Between CMTM Family and Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a typically malignant tumor in the digestive system. The mortality of HCC ranks third place in the world, second only to lung cancer and colorectal cancer. For the characteristics of high invasiveness, high metastasis, high recurrence rate as well as short survival time, HCC treatment has always been difficult in clinical practice. Many causes have contributed to the appearance of these features, including insidious onset, high degree of malignancy, lack of effective early molecular diagnostic markers, and disease prediction models. The human chemokine-like factor superfamily (CMTMs) is a new gene family consisting of CKLF and CMTM1-CMTM8. CMTMs have a marvel domain which can activate and chemotaxis immune cells. Many studies have reported that CMTMs are involved in the regulation of cell growth and development, and play an important role in the malignant progression of the immune system and reproductive system, especially in the development of tumors. In this review, we summarized the structure and function of the human CMTMs, the relationship between its family members and HCC, the prognostic value, potential functions, and mechanisms in HCC. CMTMs could provide a new diagnostic and therapeutic target in clinical practice for patients with HCC.

Preoperative Radiomics Nomogram Based on CT Image Predicts Recurrence-Free Survival After Surgical Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To construct preoperative models based on CT radiomics, radiologic and clinical features to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) after liver resection (LR) of BCLC 0 to B stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to classify the prognosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed 161 HCC patients who underwent radical LR. Two methods, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and random survival forest analysis, were performed for radiomics signature (RS) construction. Univariate and multivariate stepwise Cox regression analyses were performed to establish a combined nomogram (RCN) of RS and clinical parameters and a clinical nomogram (CN). The performance of the models was assessed comprehensively using Harrell's concordance index (C-index), the calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. The discrimination accuracy of the models was compared using integrated discrimination improvement index (IDI). The risk stratification effect was assessed with Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and subgroup analysis.

RESULTS

The RCN achieved a C-index of 0.792/0.758 in the training/validation set, which was higher than the CN, RS, and BCLC stage system. The discriminatory accuracy of the RCN was improved when compared to the CN, RS, and BCLC staging systems (IDI > 0). Decision curve analysis reflected the clinical net benefit of the RCN. The RCN allows risk stratification of patients in different clinical subgroups.

CONCLUSION

The integrated model combining RS and clinical factors can more effectively predict RFS after LR of BCLC 0 to B stage HCC patients and can effectively stratify the prognostic risk.

LI-RADS Morphological Type Predicts Prognosis of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Radical Resection

PURPOSE

This study aimed to explore the association of preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) tumor morphological classification with early recurrence (ER) and overall survival (OS) after radical surgery of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 296 patients with HCC who underwent radical resection was performed. On the basis of LI-RADS, tumor imaging morphology was classified into three types. The clinical imaging features, ER, and survival rates of three types were compared. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to identify prognostic factors associated with OS and ER after hepatectomy for HCC.

RESULTS

There were 167 tumors of type 1, 95 of type 2, and 34 of type 3. In patients with type 3 HCC, postoperative mortality and ER were significantly higher than in patients with type 1 and type 2 (55.9% versus 32.6% versus 27.5% and 52.9% versus 33.7% versus 28.7%). In multivariate analysis, the LI-RADS morphological type was a stronger risk factor for predicting poor OS [hazard ratio (HR) 2.77, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.59-4.85, P < 0.001] and ER (HR 2.14, 95% CI 1.24-3.70, P = 0.007). A subgroup analysis revealed that type 3 was associated with poor OS and ER in > 5 cm cases but not in < 5 cm cases.

CONCLUSIONS

ER and OS of patients with HCC undergoing radical surgery can be predicted using the preoperative tumor LI-RADS morphological type, which could help to select personalized treatment plans for patients with HCC in the future.

Overlap syndrome of autoimmune hepatitis and primary biliary cholangitis complicated with atypical hepatocellular carcinoma: a case report

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a primary tumor of the liver. The majority of HCCs are associated most frequently with chronic B or C viral hepatitis, alcohol intake or aflatoxin exposure. Cirrhosis is a strong risk factor associated with HCC. The causes of liver cirrhosis are chronic viral hepatitis, alcohol intake, metabolic diseases (NAFLD), hemocromathosis, alfa 1 antitrypsisn deficiency. All aetiologic forms of cirrhosis are at risk to be complicated by HCC development, but the risk is higher for patients diagnosed with chronic viral hepatitis. Comparing to the above-mentioned causes, PBC and AIH are less associated with the risk of HCC development. A 71-year old Caucasian female previously diagnosed with overlap syndrome (AIH type 1 and PBC-ANA, SMA and AMA antibodies positive), liver cirrhosis, a nodule in the VI/VIIth hepatic segment, systemic sclerosis sine scleroderma, Hashimoto's thyroiditis, antiphospholipid syndrome, gastric antral vascular ectasia (GAVE) (with 2 previous sessions of argon plasma coagulation), cholecystectomy, arterial hypertension and nephro-angiosclerosis presented to the 2nd Department of Internal Medicine in Cluj-Napoca for a follow-up. The patient was following treatment with UDCA (Ursodeoxycholic acid), azathioprine, Plaquenil, calcium channel blockers, angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor, calcium and vitamin D supplementation. The abdominal ultrasound showed a subcapsular hypoechoic nodule with a diameter of 29 mm (at the moment of the diagnosis the diameter was 9/10 mm) in the VI/VIIth hepatic segment. The contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) characterised the nodule as specific for hepatocellular carcinoma (LI-RADS 5). On MRI with gadoxetate disodium the nodule was hypovascular, non-specific, being classified as LI-RADS 3. An atypical resection of the VIIth hepatic segment was performed and the histohistological examination and imunohistochemistry (Hep Par-a positive, Glypican3 positive, CD34 positive) revealed a moderately differentiated hepatocellular carcinoma (G2), pT2 N0 M0 L0 V1 R0.

CONCLUSION

Autoimmune hepatitis, PBC and the overlap syndrome are less associated with the development of liver cirrhosis and HCC than other chronic liver diseases, especially if other risk factors are not associated. This case highlights the importance of a proper surveillance of cirrhotic patients every 6 months including abdominal ultrasound and AFP levels is crucial for an early diagnosis of a HCC.

Nomogram to Predict the Long-Term Overall Survival of Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Radiofrequency Ablation

Our objective was to develop a predictive nomogram that could estimate the long-term survival of patients with very early/early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA). For this retrospective study, we enrolled 950 patients who initially received curative RFA for HCC at Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages 0 and A between 2002 and 2016. Factors predicting poor survival after RFA were investigated through a Cox proportional hazard model. The nomogram was constructed using the investigated variables influencing overall survival (OS). After a median follow-up time of 6.25 years, 400 patients had died, and 17 patients had received liver transplantation. The 1-,3-,5-,7-, and 10-year OS rates were 94.5%, 73.5%, 57.9%, 45.7%, and 35.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that age greater than 65 years, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grades 2 and 3, AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) greater than 1, tumor size larger than 3 cm, diabetes mellitus, end-stage renal disease, and tumor number greater than 1 were significantly associated with poor OS. The nomogram was constructed using these seven variables. The validation results showed a good concordance index of 0.683. When comparing discriminative ability to tumor, node, and metastasis (TNM), BCLC, and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) staging systems, our nomogram had the highest C-index for predicting mortality. This nomogram provides useful information on prognosis post-RFA as a primary treatment and aids physicians in decision-making.

Development and Validation of an α-Fetoprotein Tumor Burden Score Model to Predict Postrecurrence Survival among Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study is to establish a prognostic model to predict postrecurrence survival (PRS) probability after initial resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

STUDY DESIGN

Patients with recurrent HCC after curative resection were identified through a multicenter consortium (training cohort, TC); data were from a separate institution were used as validation cohort (VC). The α-fetoprotein (AFP) tumor burden score (ATS) was defined as the distance from the origin on a 3-dimensional Cartesian coordinate system that incorporated 3 variables: largest tumor diameter ( x axis), number of tumors ( y axis), and ln AFP ( z axis). ATS was calculated using the Pythagorean theorem: ATS 2 = (largest tumor diameter) 2 + (number of tumors) 2 + (ln AFP) 2 , where ATS d and ATS r represent ATS at the time of initial diagnosis and at the time of recurrence, respectively. The final model was ATS m = ATS d + 4 × ATS r . Predictive performance and discrimination of the ATS model were evaluated and compared with traditional staging systems.

RESULTS

The ATS model demonstrated strong predictive performance of PRS in both the TC (area under the curve [AUC] 0.70) and VC (AUC 0.71). An ATS-based nomogram was able to stratify patients accurately into low- and high-risk categories relative to PRS (TC: ATS m ≤ 27, 74.9 months vs. ATS m ≥ 28, 23.3 months; VC: ATS m ≤ 27, 59.4 months vs. ATS m ≥ 28, 15.1 months; both p < 0.001). The ATS model predicted PRS among patients undergoing curative or noncurative treatment of HCC recurrence (both p < 0.05). Of note, the ATS model outperformed the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), China Liver Cancer (CNLC), and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging systems relative to 1-, 2-, 3-, 4- and 5-year PRS (AUC 0.70, vs. BCLC, AUC 0.50, vs. CNLC, AUC 0.54, vs. AJCC, AUC 0.51).

CONCLUSIONS

The ATS model had excellent prognostic discriminatory power to stratify patients relative to PRS.

Hepatic Resection vs Particle Therapy as an Initial Treatment for Single Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Bi-institutional Propensity Score-Matched Analysis

BACKGROUND

Curative treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is limited to hepatic resection (HR), radiofrequency ablation, and liver transplantation, but the value of particle therapy (PT) as an initial treatment remains unclear. This study aimed to compare the outcomes of HR and PT for single HCC.

STUDY DESIGN

A total of 554 patients with single HCC without vascular invasion were enrolled from January 2000 to December 2015. Patients underwent either HR (n = 279) or PT (n = 275) as initial treatments. A one-to-one propensity score-matching analysis was performed to evaluate the overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival after dividing patients according to liver function as assessed by the modified albumin-bilirubin grade.

RESULTS

The median OS (130 vs 85 months, p = 0.001) and progression-free survival (47 vs 30 months HR, p = 0.004) of HR were also significantly better than that of PT in the propensity score-matching cohort with modified albumin-bilirubin grade 1/2a (n = 145 per group). Meanwhile, in a propensity score-matching cohort with modified albumin-bilirubin grade 2b/3 (n = 53 per group), there were no significant differences in median OS and progression-free survival between HR and PT.

CONCLUSIONS

HR may be preferable as an initial treatment for patients with single HCC without vascular invasion, especially those with preserved liver function. PT can be an acceptable alternative to HR for patients without surgical indication and/or impaired liver function.

Radiographic tumor burden score is useful for stratifying the overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing resection at different Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages

PURPOSE

The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system has been recommended for prognostic prediction. However, prognosis is variable at different BCLC stages. We aimed to evaluate whether the radiographic tumor burden score (TBS) could be used to stratify prognosis in different BCLC stages.

METHODS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing liver resection (LR) at BCLC-0, -A, or -B stage in our institution in 2007-2018 were divided into derivation and validation cohorts. Overall survival (OS) was analyzed according to the TBS and BCLC stage. TBS cutoff values for OS were determined with X-tile.

RESULTS

Of the 749 patients in the derivation cohort, 138 (18.4%) had BCLC-0, 542 (72.3%) BCLC-A, and 69 (9.2%) BCLC-B HCC; 76 (10.1%) had a high TBS (> 7.9), 477 (63.7%) a medium TBS (2.6-7.9), and 196 (26.2%) a low TBS (< 2.6). OS worsened progressively with increasing TBS in the cohort (p < 0.001) and in BCLC-A (p = 0.04) and BCLC-B (p = 0.002) stages. Multivariate analysis showed that the TBS was associated with OS of patients with BCLC-A (medium vs. low TBS: hazard ratio [HR] = 2.390, 95% CI = 1.024-5.581, p = 0.04; high vs. low TBS: HR = 3.885, 95% CI = 1.443-10.456, p = 0.007) and BCLC-B (high vs. medium TBS: HR = 2.542, 95% CI = 1.077-6.002, p = 0.033) HCC. The TBS could also be used to stratify the OS of patients in the validation cohort (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The TBS could be used to stratify the OS of the entire cohort and BCLC stages A and B of HCC patients undergoing LR.

Should we change the treatment plan in early hepatocellular carcinoma with chronic kidney disease?

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has been considered to be a poor prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, few studies have focused on early HCC and the impact of CKD on survival, which should be considered in curative treatment for early HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with BCLC stage 0/A were enrolled from 2009 to 2019. A total of 383 patients were divided into Control group and CKD group, based on estimated glomerular filtration rate. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of different treatments were determined using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

The Control group had a significantly better OS than the CKD group (72.6 months vs. 56.7 months; p = 0.003). DFS was similar between the groups (62.2 months vs. 63.8 months, p = 0.717). In the Control group, the surgically treated (OP) group had significantly superior OS (65.0 months vs. 80.0 months, p = 0.014) and DFS (50.9 months vs. 70.2 months, p = 0.020) than the radiofrequency ablation-treated group. In the CKD group, the OP group showed a survival advantage in OS (70.6 months vs. 49.2 months, p = 0.004), while DFS was similar between treatment groups (56.0 months vs. 62.2 months, p = 0.097).

CONCLUSION

CKD should not be considered to be a poor prognostic factor in early HCC patients. Moreover, hepatectomy should be carried out in CKD patient with early HCC for better prognosis if feasible.

Clinical prognosis of surgical resection versus transarterial chemoembolization for single large hepatocellular carcinoma (≥5 cm): A propensity score matching analysis

Favorable prognostic factors and therapeutic strategies are important for patients with single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This retrospective study aimed to investigate the prognostic factors in patients with single large (≥5 cm) HCC with Child-Pugh (CP) class A patients and to recommend therapeutic strategies. Overall, 298 HCC patients with single and large (≥5 cm) tumors with CP class A, but without distant metastasis and macrovascular invasion were included, and their clinicopathological data, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) were recorded. OS and PFS was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed. The 298 HCC patients were 79.2% male and median age of 64 years. For the initial treatment, surgical resection (SR) and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) was 50.8% and 49.2%, respectively. The OS and PFS were significantly higher in patients receiving SR than those receiving TACE before and after PSM. Furthermore, in multivariate analysis, cirrhosis (Hazard ratio [HR]: 2.04; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.35-3.03, p < 0.001, CP class A5/6 [HR: 4.01; 95% CI: 2.43-6.66, p < 0.001], and initial treatment [SR vs. TACE HR = 3.23; 95% CI: 2.13-5.01, p < 0.001]) remained significantly associated with mortality. Moreover, in multivariate analysis, CP class A5/6 (HR: 3.23; 95% CI: 1.89-5.88, p < 0.001), and initial treatment (Resection vs. TACE; HR = 4.17; 95% CI: 1.64-8.33, p = 0.039) remained significantly associated with recurrence. In conclusion, SR was associated with significantly higher OS and PFS rates than TACE before and after PSM for single large HCC patients.

Alpha-Fetoprotein Combined with Radiographic Tumor Burden Score to Predict Overall Survival after Liver Resection in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

We evaluated whether combining the radiographic tumor burden score (TBS) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level could be used to stratify overall survival (OS) among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after liver resection (LR). Patients who underwent LR for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0, A, or B HCC between 2011 and 2018 were enrolled. TBS scores were calculated using the following equation: TBS² = (largest tumor size (in cm))² + (tumor number)². Among 743 patients, 193 (26.0%) patients had a low TBS (<2.6), 474 (63.8%) had a moderate TBS (2.6-7.9), and 75 (10.1%) had a high TBS (>7.9). Those with a TBS ≤ 7.9 and AFP < 400 ng/mL had a significantly better OS than those with a TBS > 7.9 and an AFP < 400 ng/mL (p = 0.003) or ≥ 400 ng/mL (p < 0.001). A multivariate analysis using TBS ≤ 7.9 and AFP < 400 ng/mL as the reference values showed that a TBS > 7.9 and an AFP < 400 ng/mL (hazard ratio (HR): 2.063; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.175-3.623; p = 0.012) or ≥ 400 ng/mL (HR: 6.570; 95% CI: 3.684-11.719; p < 0.001) were independent predictors of OS. In conclusion, combining radiographic TBSs and AFP levels could stratify OS among HCC patients undergoing LR.

Interval dynamics of transplantability for hepatocellular carcinoma after primary curative resection: risk factors for nontransplantable recurrence

BACKGROUND

To investigate the changes in transplantability between primary and recurrent Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatic resection (HR) and the risk factors for nontransplantable recurrence (NTR).

METHODS

Consecutive 3122 patients who received HR for primary HCC between 2001 and 2019 were analyzed for changes in transplantability. Predictors of survival and NTR were evaluated using a competing risk analysis.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 78.3 months, the 5-year overall survival rate was 82.6%. Also, 58.2% of them developed recurrence after a median of 45.6 months. Recurrence occurred in 1205 and 611 patients with primary transplantable and nontransplantable HCC, respectively, of whom 26.1% and 63.2%, respectively, had NTR. Tumor diameter >3 cm [subdistribution hazard ratios (95% CI), 2.00 (1.62-2.48)], major resection [1.20 (1.00-1.43)], pathological grade >2 [1.28 (1.07-1.52)], microvascular invasion [1.74 (1.45-2.08)], and early recurrence (<1 year) [9.22 (7.83-10.87)] were associated with NTR. The overall transplantable pool increased from 72.3% to 77.5%.

CONCLUSION

Microvascular invasion and early recurrence were risk factors for NTR. Nonetheless, the transplantable pool increased after HR, 41.8% of the patients had no recurrence and may not require liver transplantation. If the patient's liver function is acceptable, HR should be considered the treatment of choice for HCC.

Efficacy of radiofrequency ablation following transarterial chemoembolisation combined with sorafenib for intermediate stage recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective, multicentre, cohort study

BACKGROUND

The evidence of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) following transarterial chemoembolisation (TACE) combined with sorafenib for intermediate-stage recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (RHCC) is limited. Patient responses to this treatment vary because of the heterogeneous nature of RHCC, making it important to identify patients who are most likely to benefit from this combination therapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of RFA following TACE and sorafenib for the intermediate-stage RHCC.

METHODS

This retrospective, multicentre, cohort study included 363 patients with intermediate-stage RHCC underwent TACE combined with sorafenib (TACE-sorafenib group) or RFA following TACE and sorafenib (TACE-sorafenib + RFA group) between January 01, 2009 to December 31, 2015 from four institutions in China. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and efficacy of patients were compared between the two groups by propensity score-matching (PSM).

FINDINGS

The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 97.7%, 83.7%, 54.7% in TACE-sorafenib + RFA group, and 93.3%, 57.0%, 32.7% in TACE-sorafenib group. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year PFS rates were 85.3%, 58.0%, 26.9% in TACE-sorafenib + RFA group, and 55.3%, 30.7%, 15.3% in TACE-sorafenib group. Compared with the TACE-sorafenib group, the TACE-sorafenib + RFA group had significantly longer OS (HR, 0.54; 95%CI, 0.40-0.73; P < 0.001) and PFS (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.41-0.66; P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis was conducted to precisely screen out the beneficial population from RFA treatment.

INTERPRETATION

Our findings suggest that addition of RFA following TACE and sorafenib combination was superior to TACE combined with sorafenib for intermediate-stage RHCC, resulting in longer OS and PFS. Patients who had good response to TACE and achieved downstaging successfully could not benefit from the RFA therapy.

FUNDING

This research was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 81627803), Chen Xiao-Ping Science and Technology Development Fund (CXPJJH1200009-06).

Human Proteome Microarray identifies autoantibodies to tumor-associated antigens as serological biomarkers for the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

The identification of the high-efficiency and non-invasive biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detection is urgently needed. This study aims to screen out potential autoantibodies to tumor-associated antigens (TAAbs) and to assess their diagnostic value for HCC. Fifteen potential TAAbs were screened out from the Human Proteome Microarray by 30 HCC sera and 22 normal control sera, of which eight passed multiple-stage validations by ELISA with a total of 1625 human serum samples from normal controls (NCs) and patients with HCC, liver cirrhosis, chronic hepatitis B, gastric cancer, esophageal cancer, and colorectal cancer. Finally, an immunodiagnostic model including six TAAbs (RAD23A, CAST, RUNX1T1, PAIP1, SARS, PRKCZ) was constructed by logistic regression, and yielded the area under curve (AUC) of 0.835 and 0.788 in training and validation sets, respectively. The serial serum samples from HCC model mice were tested to explore the change in TAAbs during HCC formation, and an increasing level of autoantibodies was observed. In conclusion, the panel of six TAAbs can provide potential value for HCC detection, and the strategy to identify novel serological biomarkers can also provide new clues in understanding immunodiagnostic biomarkers.

Prognostic Analysis of Single Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Radical Resection: A Single-Center Study

Objective

To investigate the survival and independent prognostic factors for single large hepatocellular carcinoma (SLHCC) after surgical resection.

Methods

Patients with SLHCC who underwent radical resection from January 2013 to December 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze the overall survival (OS) rate and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates. Cox forward stepwise regression was performed to analyze the independent prognostic factors.

Results

A total of 485 cases were included. The average age was 51.2±11.2 years, 88.9% had a history of hepatitis B virus infection, and most patients had normal liver function. The average tumor diameter was 8.8±3.0 cm. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS and RFS rates were 76.8%, 56.7%, and 45.7%, and 61.0%, 46.2%, and 34.7%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that liver cirrhosis (HR=1.456, P=0.004), total bilirubin (TB) ≥17.1 μmol/L (HR=1.437, P=0.011), glutamyl transferase (GGT) >60 U/L (HR=1.438, P=0.020), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) >225 U/L (HR=1.442, P=0.007), blood loss ≥400 mL (HR=1.339, P=0.027), microvascular invasion (MVI) (HR=1.492, P=0.004), satellite lesions (HR=1.859, P<0.0001) and Edmondson-Steiner grade III+IV (HR=1.740, P=0.018) were independent risk factors for reduced OS in SLHCC patients. Sex (HR=1.763, P=0.003), liver cirrhosis (HR=1.382, P=0.007), GGT >60 U/L (HR=1.512, P=0.003), LDH >225 U/L (HR=1.480, P=0.002), MVI (HR=1.545, P=0.001), and satellite lesions (HR=1.564, P=0.001) were independent risk factors for reduced RFS. OS and RFS nomograms were constructed using risk factors with C-index values of 0.692 (95% CI: 0.659-0.724) and 0.659 (95% CI: 0.623-0.693), respectively. The Hosmer-Leme test demonstrated the good fit of both nomograms.

Conclusion

Surgical resection is the standard and effective treatment for SLHCC patients. Sex, liver cirrhosis, TB≥17.1 μmol/L, GGT>60 U/L, LDH>225 U/L, blood loss≥400 mL, MVI, Edmondson-Steiner grade III+IV, and satellite lesions were found to be independent prognostic factors in SLHCC patients following radical resection. The OS and RFS nomograms accurately predicted the prognosis of SLHCC patients.

Construction of pH-responsive polydopamine coated magnetic layered hydroxide nanostructure for intracellular drug delivery

In recent years, using magnetic nanocomposites for controlled release of drugs and target-specific drug delivery has great potential in exploring a new method for cancer chemotherapy. Nevertheless, the low loading rate of insoluble drugs greatly restricts their efficacy and clinical application. Here, an efficient magnetic nanostructure combining Fe₃O₄ nanoparticles and layered double hydroxide (LDH) was developed and used for tumor cell inhibition. LDH was first deposited on Fe₃O₄ nanoparticles (Fe₃O₄@LDH), curcumin (Cur) was then loaded and polydopamine (PDA) eventually formed a PDA-coating on Fe₃O₄@Cur-LDH via self-polymerization. The Fe₃O₄@Cur-LDH/PDA nanostructure showed a suitable nano-meter size, excellent magnetic property, and high drug loading rate (up to 38 %). In vitro release results implied that Fe₃O₄@Cur-LDH/PDA nanostructure had good pH-responsive performance and excellent controlled-release behaviors due to the introduction of PDA. The cellular experiments demonstrated that Fe₃O₄@Cur-LDH/PDA nanostructure had good biocompatibility. In addition, Fe₃O₄@Cur-LDH/PDA entered into the cells mainly through endocytosis and had excellent inhibition on HepG2 cell viability in a concentration-dependent manner. Therefore, Fe₃O₄@Cur-LDH/PDA nanostructure has a prospective application in cancer therapy as a controlled drug delivery system.

Fibrosis-4 index, a predictor for prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients after curative hepatectomy even in hepatitis B virus dominant populations

Purpose

Liver fibrosis plays an important role in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and determining its prognosis. Although many staging systems and liver reserve models have been developed without the intention of predicting prognosis of HCC, some studies have investigated their prognostic values in HCC after curative liver resection (LR). The aim of this study is to evaluate prognostic value of non-invasive biomarkers after curative LR.

Methods

Between 2006 and 2013, HCC patients underwent LR were included and total 962 patients were enrolled. All non-invasive biomarkers (fibrosis 4 index (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR), AAR-to-platelet ratio index (AARPRI), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score) were measured at the time of HCC diagnosis. To binarize each biomarker, an optimal cut-off value for fibrosis stage was selected using the value of minimum distance from the left-upper corner of the receiver operating characteristic curve with a specificity >60%. We performed Cox regression analysis on 2-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

The area under curve values for FIB-4 and APRI were the largest for fibrosis stage compared to other biomarkers, 0.669 (95% confidential interval (CI), 0.610-0.719) and 0.748 (95% CI, 0.692-0.800), respectively. Between those two indices, FIB-4 is considered a statistically significant prognostic factor of RFS in HCC patients after LR. The HR for 2-year RFS and OS were 1.81 (95% CI, 1.18-2.77; P = 0.007) and 2.36 (95% CI, 0.99-5.65; P = 0.054), respectively.

Conclusion

FIB-4 is identified as a statistically significant predictor of HCC prognosis after curative LR even in HBV dominant populations.

Expert Insights on Current Treatments for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Clinical and Molecular Approaches and Bottlenecks to Progress

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a primary liver tumor that typically occurs in the setting of chronic liver disease/cirrhosis. Treatment modalities for HCC have evolved and given the variety of treatment options, a multi-disciplinary approach requiring input from surgical, medical, and radiation oncology, hepatology, and interventional radiology is necessary. Multiple advances have been made over the last decade regarding treatment of HCC, especially advanced disease. Resection and transplantation remain as cornerstone curative-intent treatment options. For patients who are not candidates for curative-intent therapy, exciting progress has been made in molecular and cellular approaches to systemic therapy for HCC including immunotherapies and tyrosine kinase inhibitors. Although the prognosis for advanced HCC remains poor, the armamentarium of therapies has increased, and valuable years of life can be gained with these therapies. While the main therapeutic modality for early-stage disease remains resection, multimodal immunotherapy has emerged as first-line treatment for advanced disease. We herein review different clinical and molecular treatment modalities related to the treatment of HCC, as well as provide insights into future directions for HCC treatment. We highlight how research and progress are needed to move into a new era of molecular and cellular treatments.

A comprehensive preoperative predictive score for post-hepatectomy liver failure after hepatocellular carcinoma resection based on patient comorbidities, tumor burden, and liver function: the CTF score

BACKGROUND

Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a dreaded complication following liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with a high mortality rate. We sought to develop a score based on preoperative factors to predict PHLF.

METHODS

Patients who underwent resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with PHLF were identified and used to develop a preoperative comorbidity-tumor burden-liver function (CTF) predictive score.

RESULTS

Among 1785 patients, 106 (5.9%) experienced PHLF. On multivariate analysis, several factors were associated with PHLF including high Charlson comorbidity index (CCI ≥ 5) (OR 2.80, 95%CI, 1.08-7.26), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) (OR 1.99, 95%CI, 1.10-3.56), and tumor burden score (TBS) (OR 1.06, 95%CI, 1.02-1.11) (all p < 0.05). Using the beta-coefficients of these variables, a weighted predictive score was developed and made available online ( https://alaimolaura.shinyapps.io/PHLFriskCalculator/ ). The CTF score (c-index = 0.67) performed better than Child-Pugh score (CPS) (c-index = 0.53) or Barcelona clinic liver cancer system (BCLC) (c-index = 0.57) to predict PHLF. A high CTF score was also an independent adverse prognostic factor for survival (HR 1.61, 95%CI, 1.12-2.30) and recurrence (HR 1.36, 95%CI, 1.08-1.71) (both p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Roughly 1 in 20 patients experienced PHLF following resection of HCC. Patient (i.e., CCI), tumor (i.e., TBS), and liver function (i.e., ALBI) factors were associated with risk of PHLF. These preoperative factors were incorporated into a novel CTF tool that was made available online, which outperformed other previously proposed tools.

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma response to transarterial chemoembolization with intravoxel incoherent motion diffusion-weighted imaging

Background

There are several therapeutic options for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). As predicting the treatment response is critical in clinical decision making, we aimed to evaluate the quantitative intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) parameters as potential predictors of treatment response of HCC lesions to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Results

Twelve patients (eight males; mean age, 56.12 ± 7.88) with 26 confirmed HCC lesions were recruited in the study. Thirteen lesions (50%) responded to TACE, and the remaining lesions were categorized as nonresponder. Age > 60 year (p value: 0.018), D (p value: 0.005), D* (p value: 0.005), and f (p value: 0.004) values were significantly different in response and nonresponse group lesions. Logistic multivariate analysis showed that f value (OR: 0.847 (95% CI 0.732–0.98), p value = 0.025) could independently predict tumor response to TACE. The ROC curve analysis showed f value could predict the HCC response to TACE with sensitivity and specificity of 76.9% and 76.9%, respectively.

Conclusions

IVIM-DWI parameters, especially the f value, might be useful for predicting the response of the intermediate-stage HCC to TACE.

Comparison of the prognosis of BCLC stage A ruptured hepatocellular carcinoma patients after undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or hepatectomy: a propensity score-matched landmark analysis

BACKGROUND

At present, the choice of treatment modalities for ruptured hepatocellular carcinoma patients in BCLC stage A remains controversial, and this study compared the overall survival of ruptured HCC patients undergoing TACE or hepatectomy.

METHODS

A total of 283 ruptured HCC patients treated at our liver surgery center were included in our study, of which 175 were treated with hepatectomy and 108 were treated with TACE. To reduce selection bias, we used a propensity score matching (PSM) model, which yielded a total of 88 pairs of patients. We used the Kaplan-Meier method to compare the long-term prognosis, and the Landmark method was used to compare the short-term and long-term prognoses of patients after PSM. Finally, we performed subgroup analysis according to whether it met the Milan criteria.

RESULTS

After PSM, in the hepatectomy group, the 1-, 3-, and 5 year OS rates were 73.4%, 45.4%, and 33.9%, respectively. In the TACE group, the 1-, 3-, and 5 year OS rates were 58.5%, 40.6%, and 23.2%, respectively. Within one year, the hepatectomy group had a better prognosis than the TACE group (P = 0.022), but there was no difference in long-term survival(P = 0.936). In the subgroup analysis, in patients who met the Milan criteria, the survival curve indicated that there was no statistically significant difference in the survival prognosis between the two groups (P = 0.294) HR = 1.56(0.68-3.59); in the patients beyond the Milan criteria, the survival time was 28.0 months (20.0-34.0) in patients who underwent hepatectomy and 18 months (9.8-26.2) in patients who underwent TACE, and the survival curve indicated a statistically significant difference (P = 0.043) HR = 1.57(1.01-2.43).

CONCLUSION

Our propensity score-matched study found that ruptured HCC patients treated by hepatectomy had a better short-term prognosis than those treated by TACE, but there was no difference in the long-term prognosis between the two treatment groups.

Liver resection for single large hepatocellular carcinoma: a prognostic factors study

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Liver resection is the only curative therapeutic option for large hepatocellular carcinoma (&gt; 5 cm), but survival is worse than in smaller tumours, mostly due to the high recurrence rate. There is currently no proper tool for stratifying relapse risk. Herein, we investigated prognostic factors before hepatectomy in patients with a single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We retrospectively identified 119 patients who underwent liver resection for a single large HCC in 2 tertiary academic French centres and collected pre- and post-operative clinical, biological and radiological features. The primary outcome was overall survival at five years. Secondary outcomes were recurrence-free survival at five years and prognostic factors for recurrence.

RESULTS

A total of 84% of the patients were male, and the median age was 66 years old (IQR 58-74). Thirty-nine (33%) had Child-Pugh A cirrhosis, and the mean Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 6 (6-6). The aetiology of liver disease was predominantly alcohol-related (48%), followed by nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (22%), hepatitis B (18%) and hepatitis C (10%). The mean tumour size was 70 mm (55-110). The median overall survival was 72.5 months (IC 95%: 56.2-88.7), and the five-year overall survival was 55.1 ± 5.5%. The median recurrence-free survival was 26.6 months (95% CI: 16.0-37.1), and the five-year recurrence-free survival rate was 37.8 ± 5%. In multivariate analysis, preoperative prognostic factors for recurrence were baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) &gt; 7 ng/mL (p&lt;0.001), portal veinous invasion (p=0.003) and cirrhosis (p=0.020). Using these factors, we created a simple recurrence-risk scoring system that classified three groups with distinct disease-free survival medians (p&lt;0.001): no risk factors (65 months), 1 risk factor (36 months), and ≥2 risk factors (8.9 months).

CONCLUSION

Liver resection is the only curative option for large HCC, and we confirmed that survival could be acceptable in experienced centres. Recurrence is the primary issue of surgery, and we proposed a simple preoperative score to help identify patients with the most worrisome prognosis and possible candidates for combined therapy.

Meta-Analysis of Repeat Hepatectomy versus Radiofrequency Ablation for Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary hepatic malignancy and a leading cause of cancer-related death in both the developed and developing world. Recurrent HCC (rHCC) develops in a significant proportion of patients even following curative-intent resection. In the absence of a structured treatment algorithm, a number of treatment options including repeat hepatectomy (RH) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) have been utilized in select patients with rHCC. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to compare short- and long-term outcomes of patients undergoing RHR versus RFA for rHCC. Four electronic databases were screened until September 2022. A total of 17 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Overall and disease-free survival were comparable among the two groups. Patients undergoing RH were less likely to develop a second recurrence (RR 0.89, 95% C.I. 0.81 to 0.98, p = 0.02). Overall and major morbidity were significantly increased in the RH group (RR 3.01, 95% C.I. 1.98 to 4.56, p < 0.001 and RR 3.65, 95% C.I. 2.07 to 6.43, p < 0.001, respectively), while mortality was similar between RFA and RH. The data demonstrated that RFA is a safe and efficient alternative to RH for selected patients with rHCC. Nevertheless, despite higher morbidity associated with RH, repeat resection remains the preferred treatment option whenever feasible, as it allows for better local disease control.

A simplified model for prophylactic transarterial chemoembolization after resection for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Prophylactic transarterial chemoembolization (p-TACE) is frequently conducted for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China, but the question of who could benefit from it remains controversial. Hence, we wanted to establish a nomogram model to identify patients eligible for p-TACE.

METHODS

Data from HCC patients receiving R0 resection with or without p-TACE between January 2013 and December 2014 were identified, using primary liver cancer big data, to establish a nomogram model to predict overall survival (OS). Based on the model, Patients receiving R0 resection between January 2015 and December 2015 were divided into three subgroups, and survival curves were constructed using the Kaplan-Meier method and analyzed by the log-rank test among patients in each subgroup.

RESULTS

A nomogram integrating the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, AFP, tumor diameter, and microvascular invasion was developed to predict the OS of patients with HCC receiving R0 resection, and significant differences were observed in the median OS of the subgroups of low-risk (≤20), intermediate-risk (20~120), and high-risk (>120) identified by the current model. This model showed good calibration and discriminatory power in the validation cohort and the external cohort (c-index of 0.669 and 0.676, respectively). In the external cohort, the Kaplan-Meier curves showed that p-TACE could only significantly prolong the median OS of high-risk patients (25.6 vs. 33.7 months, P<0.05), but no differences were observed in any subgroups stratified by the current staging systems (all P>0.05).

CONCLUSION

This readily available nomogram model could help guide decisions about p-TACE, but it needs further validation.

Combination Transarterial Chemoembolization and Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy for Unresectable Single Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Results From a Prospective Phase 2 Trial

PURPOSE

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) early-stage A (BCLC A) not suitable for surgery are first considered for ablation. Nonetheless, objective responses and long-term results for ablation in tumors larger than 3 to 4 cm are suboptimal, creating an unmet clinical need. This phase 2 trial studied combination of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for BCLC A patients with a solitary HCC from 4 to 7 cm.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Eligible patients were BCLC A, Child-Pugh score ≤7, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0 presenting with a single HCC from 4 to 7 cm not suitable for resection or liver transplantation. Treatment consisted of 2 sessions of drug-eluting bead-TACE within 1 month followed by immediate SBRT. SBRT delivered 35 to 50 Gy in 5 fractions. The primary endpoint was best objective response rate (ORR) by modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours (mRECIST). Secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and toxic effects.

RESULTS

From 2014 to 2020, 32 were enrolled in a single institution with median follow-up of 37 months. Thirty patients had at least 1 posttreatment scan to assess response. ORR in the target lesion was 91%: 63% complete response (CR; n = 20), 28% partial response (n = 9), and 3% progression of disease (n = 1). Median time to CR was 10.1 months. Median OS was not yet reached and median PFS was 35 months. Patients achieving CR had a trend toward improved PFS (P = .09). Toxic effects were low.

CONCLUSIONS

This phase 2 trial showed very promising ORR when combining TACE + SBRT in large, unresectable HCC, which translates into excellent OS and PFS. These results provide the rationale for exploring this combination in larger phase 2 and 3 clinical trials and a space where SBRT might offer unique clinical advantage.

Construction and validation of a predictive model for hepatocellular carcinoma based on serum markers

Background

Early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detection with non-invasive biomarkers remains an unmet clinical need. We aimed to construct a predictive model based on the pre-diagnostic levels of serum markers to predict the early-stage onset of HCC.

Methods

A total of 339 HCC patients (including 157 patients from Changzhou cohort and 182 patients from Wuxi cohort) were enrolled in our retrospective study. Levels of 25 baseline serum markers were collected. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was conducted to balance the distributions of patients’ gender, age, and the surveillance time between HCC group and control group. Then, Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Logistic regression analysis were performed to screen the independent predictive variables and construct a non-invasive predictive model. Subsequently, ROC curve and Kaplan–Meier (K–M) curve were used to evaluate the predictive values of the model. Clinical net benefit of the model was demonstrated by decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve.

Results

Five independent predictive variables for HCC onset and two general characteristics of patients (age and gender) were incorporated into the score model. ROC and DCA curves showed that the score model had better predictive performance in discrimination and clinical net benefit compared with single variable or other score systems, with the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.890 (95% CI 0.856–0.925) in Changzhou cohort and 0.799 (95% CI 0.751–0.849) in Wuxi cohort. Meanwhile, stratification analysis indicated that the score model had good predictive values for patients with early tumor stage (AJCC stage I) or small tumors (< 2 cm). Moreover, the score of HCC patient began to increase at 30 months before clinical diagnosis and reach a peak at 6 months.

Conclusion

Based on this model, we could optimize the current risk stratification at an early stage and consider further intensive surveillance programs for high-risk patients. It could also help clinicians to evaluate the progression and predict the prognosis of HCC patients.

Surgical Resection Is Superior to TACE in the Treatment of HCC in a Well Selected Cohort of BCLC-B Elderly Patients-A Retrospective Observational Study

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) usually develops in cirrhotic liver, with high recurrence rates. However, considering its increasing detection in non-cirrhotic liver, the choice of treatment assumes particular relevance. This study aimed to investigate outcomes of patients among BCLC stages and enrolled for surgical resection (SR) according to a more complex evaluation, to establish its safety and efficacy. A total of 186 selected HCC patients (median age 73.2 yrs), submitted to SR between January 2005 and January 2021, were retrospectively analyzed. Of which, 166 were staged 0, A, B according to the BCLC system, while 20 with a single large tumor (>5 cm) were classified as stage AB. No perioperative mortality was recorded; complications occurred in 48 (25.80%) patients, and all but two were Clavien−Dindo grade I−II. Median follow-up was 9.2 years. Subsequently, 162 recurrent patients (87,1%) were selected for new treatments. Comparable overall survival rates (OS) were observed at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years in 0, A, B and AB stages (p = 0.2). Eventually, the BCLC-B group was matched to 40 BCLC-B patients treated (2015-2021) with TACE. Significant differences in baseline characteristics (p <0.0001) and in OS were observed at 1 and 3 years (p <0.0001); a significant difference was also observed in oncological outcomes, in terms of the absence, residual, or relapse of disease (p <0.05). Surgery might be a valid treatment in HCC for patients affected by chronic liver disease in a condition of compensation, up to BCLC-B stage. Surgical indication for liver resection in case of HCC should be extensively revised.

Individualized Approach in the Surgical Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Results from a Greek Multicentre Study

Simple Summary

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer with expected increasing frequency in the next few decades. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) Staging System is a widely adopted tool for guiding the therapeutic algorithms of patients with HCC. This classification has been guiding clinical practice for the last two decades. However, emerging data demonstrate that patients beyond the traditional criteria of operability or resectability can benefit from surgical treatment. We present the Greek multicentre experience of treating HCC within and beyond BCLC guidelines.

Abstract

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer and the third leading cause of death worldwide. The management of HCC is complex, with surgical treatment providing long-term survival in eligible patients. This study aims to present the experience of aggressive surgical management of HCC in Greece. Methods: This is a retrospective multicentre clinical study with 242 patients. Results: Most patients were male (79%) and had a median age of 71 yrs. According to the most recent BCLC criteria, 172 patients (71.1%) were classified as BCLC 0-A stage, 33 patients (13.6%) were classified as BCLC B, and 37 (15.3%) were classified as BCLC C. A total of 54% of the patients underwent major hepatectomy. Major postoperative morbidity was 15.6%, and the 90-day postoperative mortality rate was 4.5%. The median follow-up was 33.5 months. Three- and five-year overall survival was 65% and 48%, respectively. The median overall survival was 55 months. Significantly, five-year survival was 55% for BCLC A, and 34% and 21% for BCLC B and C, respectively. In univariate analysis, cirrhosis, type of resection (R status), and BCLC stage were associated with overall survival. Multivariate analysis indicated that R1 and R2 resections compared to R0, and BCLC C compared to BCLC 0-A, were independently associated with increased mortality. Conclusions: Aggressive surgical treatment of HCC offers satisfactory long-term survival prospects. A significant percentage (29%) of HCCs that underwent liver resection were of the intermediate and advanced BCLC stage. The management of patients with HCC should be discussed in multidisciplinary tumour board meetings on a case-by-case basis to be more effective.

Exploring pathological signatures for predicting the recurrence of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma based on deep learning

Background

Postoperative recurrence impedes the curability of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (E-HCC). We aimed to establish a novel recurrence-related pathological prognosticator with artificial intelligence, and investigate the relationship between pathological features and the local immunological microenvironment.

Methods

A total of 576 whole-slide images (WSIs) were collected from 547 patients with E-HCC in the Zhongshan cohort, which was randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. The external validation cohort comprised 147 Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) stage I patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Six types of HCC tissues were identified by a weakly supervised convolutional neural network. A recurrence-related histological score (HS) was constructed and validated. The correlation between immune microenvironment and HS was evaluated through extensive immunohistochemical data.

Results

The overall classification accuracy of HCC tissues was 94.17%. The C-indexes of HS in the training, validation and TCGA cohorts were 0.804, 0.739 and 0.708, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that the HS (HR= 4.05, 95% CI: 3.40-4.84) was an independent predictor for recurrence-free survival. Patients in HS high-risk group had elevated preoperative alpha-fetoprotein levels, poorer tumor differentiation and a higher proportion of microvascular invasion. The immunohistochemistry data linked the HS to local immune cell infiltration. HS was positively correlated with the expression level of peritumoral CD14+ cells (p= 0.013), and negatively with the intratumoral CD8+ cells (p&lt; 0.001).

Conclusions

The study established a novel histological score that predicted short-term and long-term recurrence for E-HCCs using deep learning, which could facilitate clinical decision making in recurrence prediction and management.