Conditional Survival and Time of Biochemical Recurrence of Localized Prostate Cancer in Japanese Patients Undergoing Laparoscopic Radical Prostatectomies

Age 70 +/- 5 Years and Cancer-Specific Outcomes After Treatment of Localized Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review

A secondary analysis of 2 randomized Radiation Therapy Oncology Group trials demonstrated that age ≥70 years was a favorable prognostic factor among men treated with external beam radiation therapy (EBRT). In contrast, several series based on men undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP) suggested that older age was an unfavorable prognostic factor. Our study was initiated to determine whether these observations reflect a true but paradoxical underlying age-related treatment-dependent biological phenomenon. We conducted a systematic review (PubMed, January 1, 1999-January 30, 2023) evaluating the effect of age on cancer-specific outcomes after definitive local treatment with either RP or EBRT. Our main objective was to assess possible interactions between age (using a cutoff of 70 +/- 5 years) and treatment type, with regard to adverse cancer-specific outcomes (eg, pathology, biochemical failure, distant metastasis, or prostate cancer-specific survival). Forty-five studies were selected for inclusion in this systematic review, including 30 and 15 studies with patients treated with RP and EBRT, respectively. Among patients treated with RP, 10 (50%) of these studies suggested that older age was associated with worse outcome(s) after RP. None suggested that age was a favorable prognostic factor after RP. Among the EBRT-based studies, 8 (53%) suggested that older age was associated with better outcomes, with an additional 3 studies (21%) trending to support a better outcome. None of these studies involving EBRT suggested that older age was an adverse prognostic factor. This systematic review suggests that age using a categorical cutoff of 70 +/- 5 years may be an adverse prognostic factor for men undergoing RP but a favorable prognostic factor for men treated with EBRT. Further research is needed to validate these findings.

Novel nomogram to predict biochemical recurrence-free survival after radical prostatectomy

PURPOSE

Conditional survival represents the probability of subsequent survival given that patients have already survived a certain length of time. Several models predict biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy. However, none of them include postoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA). We aimed to analyze BCR-free survival evolution over time and develop a nomogram incorporating the postoperative PSA value to predict BCR-free survival.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We included patients treated with robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) for prostate cancer between 2009 and 2021 and calculated conditional survival. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to assess the predictive variables of BCR. We developed a nomogram predicting BCR-free survival three and five years after RARP. We used c-index and decision curve analyses to compare the nomogram with the Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment post-Surgical (CAPRA-S) score.

RESULTS

We included 718 patients. The overall 3- and 5-year BCR-free survival rates were 85.1% and 75.7%, respectively. The 5-year BCR-free survival rates increased to 78.9%, 82.9%, 85.2%, and 84.7% for patients surviving 1, 2, 3, and 4 years without BCR, respectively. We developed a nomogram including the pathological Gleason score and T stage, positive surgical margin, PSA ≥ 0.05 ng/mL at one year, and lymph node involvement to predict BCR at 3 and 5 years postoperatively. Our nomogram presented a higher c-index (0.89) than the CAPRA-S score (0.78; p = 0.001) and a positive net benefit at 3 and 5 years postoperatively in the decision curve analyses.

CONCLUSION

The 5-year conditional BCR-free survival increased with survival without BCR. The developed nomogram significantly improved the accuracy in predicting BCR-free survival after RARP.

Conditional cancer-specific survival after radical hepatectomy in patients with nonmetastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To examine conditional survival (CS) in patients with non-metastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (nmICC) after surgical treatment according to pT and pN stages.

METHODS

A total of 608 patients were included. Conditional three-year cancer-specific mortality estimates were obtained according to pT and pN stages. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was applied to predict factors affecting cancer-specific mortality (CSM).

RESULTS

According to substages based on pT and pN status, 109 patients (17.9%) with pT1aN0, 96 (15.8%) with pT1bN0, 205 (33.7%) with pT2N0, 82(13.5%) with pT3-5N0, and 116 (19.1%) with pTanyN1 were identified. Conditional CSM-free estimates increased from 75% to 87%, 66% to 70%, 53% to 86%, and 36 to 54% after three years of event-free follow-up in pT1b, pT2, pT3-4N0, and pTanyN1 patients, respectively, whereas it decreased from 87% to 79% in pT1aN0 patients. Based on multivariable analysis, patients with pT2N0 (hazard ratio [HR] 2.0 p < .01), pT3-4N0 (HR 2,7 p < .01), and pTanyN1-3 (HR 4.8 p < .01) had higher CSM than patients with pT1aN0 at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

CS varied across stage categories in nmICC patients after surgery, and it was important in individualized clinical counseling and decision-making for nmICC.

Dynamics of conditional survival and risk factors in androgen deprivation therapy for prostate cancer using a multi-institutional Japan-wide database

OBJECTIVES

The objectives of this study were to analyze the conditional survival and prognostic factors in androgen deprivation therapy for prostate cancer using the Japan Study Group of Prostate Cancer database.

METHODS

Data on patients treated with primary androgen deprivation therapy between 2001 and 2003 from a nationwide database of the Japan Study Group of Prostate Cancer were used. The conditional 5-year progression-free rate, cancer-specific survival and overall survival, as well as the conditional mortality owing to prostate cancer and other causes were calculated as per subgroups. Prognostic factors for progression-free rate, cancer-specific survival and overall survival at each time after androgen deprivation therapy initiation were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The conditional 5-year progression-free rate and cancer-specific survival, but not overall survival, gradually increased with time. The prognostic impact of stage IV characteristics (T4, N1 and M1) changed over time; however, the prognostic impact of the Gleason score remained unchanged. In the subgroup analysis, prostate-specific mortality risk reduced over time in patients with stage IV prostate cancer, whereas non-prostate cancer mortality increased over time in elderly patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Information regarding conditional survival and mortality obtained in this study would provide a benchmark for physicians and cancer survivors.