Prediction of Prognosis for cHCC-CC Patients After Surgery: Comparison of Tumor Marker Score Based on AFP, CEA, CA19-9, and Other Clinical Stages

A pathologic scoring system for predicting postoperative prognosis in patients with ruptured hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The accuracy of pathological factors to predict the prognosis of patients with ruptured hepatocellular carcinoma (rHCC) is unclear. We aimed to develop and validate a novel scoring system based on pathological factors to predict the postoperative survival of patients with rHCC.

METHOD

Patients with rHCC who underwent hepatectomy were recruited from three hospitals and allocated to the training (n = 221) and validation (n = 194) cohorts. A new scoring system, namely the MSE (microvascular invasion-satellite foci-Edmondson Steiner) score, was established based on three pathological factors using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, including microvascular invasion, satellite foci, and differentiation grade. Finally, patients were stratified into three groups based on their risk of prognosis (low, intermediate, or high) according to their MSE score. We also constructed MSE score-based nomograms. The performance of the nomograms was assessed by receiver operating characteristic and calibration curve analyses and validated using the validation cohort.

RESULTS

Three pathological factors were significantly correlated with overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), three of which were included in the MSE score. The score can clearly stratify rHCC patients after hepatectomy (P < 0.05). And we established nomograms based on the MSE score (MSE score, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, and alpha-fetoprotein concentration) to predict postoperative OS and RFS in patients with rHCC. The nomograms showed good discrimination, with C-indices over 0.760 for OS and RFS at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. The calibration curve showed excellent nomogram calibration, which was also verified in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

The clinical MSE score were accurate in predicting OS and RFS in patients with rHCC with resectable lesions after hepatectomy.

Carcinoembryonic antigen in the diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up of focal liver lesions

In this editorial review, we comment on the article published in the recent issue of the World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery. Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a fetal glycoprotein and can be secreted in very small amounts from healthy adults after birth. CEA is widely used not only for diagnostic tumor markers but also importantly for the management of some gastrointestinal tumors. The most common clinical use is surveillance for the monitoring of colorectal carcinoma. However, CEA can become elevated in several malign or benign characterized pathologies. Serum CEA level may vary depending on the location of the lesion, whether it metastasizes or not, and its histopathological characteristics. It has been determined that cases with high preoperative CEA have a more aggressive course and the risk of metastasis to the lymph tissue and liver increases. In this editorial review, we focused on evaluating the role of CEA in clinical practice with a holistic approach, including the diagnostic and prognostic significance of CEA in patients with focal liver lesions, the role of CEA in follow-up after definitive surgery, and also hepatic resection for metastasis, and the management of all patients with raised CEA.

Combined hepatocellular carcinoma-cholangiocarcinoma with a predominant HCC component: better survival and MRI-based prediction

OBJECTIVES

To determine the optimal cutoff value of HCC% for predicting the outcome of patients with combined hepatocellular carcinoma-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) and to investigate how preoperative MR features based on the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS ver. 2018) are related to the HCC% in cHCC-CCA.

METHODS

The study enrolled 107 patients pathologically confirmed to have single cHCC-CCA according to the 2019 WHO classification. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to find the optimal cutoff value of HCC% based on overall survival (OS). The preoperative MR imaging features and clinicopathological findings were retrospectively evaluated and compared between the high HCC% and low HCC% groups.

RESULTS

In total, 107 patients (mean age, males vs. females: 56.6 ± 10.7 years vs. 54.2 ± 12.8 years) were evaluated. Analysis of the relationship between HCC% and OS by ROC curve suggested that the optimal cutoff value was 65%, by which 51 (47.7%) patients were assigned to the high HCC% group. LI-RADS categorization (OR = 3.657, p = 0.006 vs. OR = 4.075, p = 0.004) and serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) >5 ng/mL (OR = 0.348, p = 0.089 vs. OR = 0.298, p = 0.040) were significant predictors for HCC% in cHCC-CCA in both univariate and multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

cHCC-CCA patients with HCC components higher than 65% tend to exhibit better overall survival, and MRI-based LI-RADS categorization and serum CEA level are valuable for identifying HCC% in cHCC-CCA preoperatively.

KEY POINTS

• cHCC-CCA patients with HCC components higher than 65% tend to exhibit better overall survival. • MRI-based LI-RADS categorization and serum CEA level were significant predictors for HCC% in cHCC-CCA in both univariate and multivariate analyses and valuable for identifying HCC% in cHCC-CCA preoperatively.

Tumor burden score dictates prognosis of patients with combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma undergoing hepatectomy

Background

The prognostic value of the tumor burden score (TBS) in patients with combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate the impact of TBS on long-term outcomes after surgery.

Methods

Patients who underwent radical-intent resection between June 2013 and December 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to analyze patient survival, and disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were examined in relation to TBS.

Results

A total of 178 patients were included in this study, with 119 in the training cohort and 59 in the validation cohort. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that TBS was a strong prognostic indicator in patients with cHCC-CCA. Elevated TBS was associated with poorer DFS and OS (both P-value < 0.001) and was identified as an independent prognostic indicator. In addition, the prognostic value of TBS outperformed tumor size and number alone, microvascular invasion, and lymph node invasion. The prognostic significance of TBS was confirmed by the internal validation cohort.

Conclusions

The present study suggested the significance of tumor morphology in assessing the prognosis of patients with cHCC-CCA who undergoing curative resection. The TBS is a promising prognostic index in patients with cHCC-CCA. Elevated TBS was related to a lower long-term survival rate and was identified as an independent risk factor for poor DFS and OS. Further research is needed to verify our results.

Predictive Value of Preoperative Serum AFP, CEA, and CA19-9 Levels in Patients with Single Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Retrospective Study

Purpose

This study aimed to explore the relationship between the tumor marker score (TMS) and the postoperative recurrence of single small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Patients and Methods

A total of 409 patients with one resectable HCC with a diameter of 3 cm or less who visited Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital from January 2010 to December 2014 were included in this study. Their alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels were classified into low and high groups using X-tile software. Each patients' TMS was calculated as the sum of each tumor marker (low = 0; high = 1).

Results

A total of 142 patients were classified as TMS0, 171 as TMS1, and 96 as TMS2. Kaplan–Meier analysis illustrated that TMS could divide the patients into groups with remarkably different prognoses, and the patients with high TMS had worse recurrence-free survival (RFS) than those with low TMS. Multivariate analysis showed that TMS, age, and HBeAg positive were the independent predictors of RFS rate. Subgroup analysis revealed that high TMS was a stable risk factor relative to TMS0. Receiver operating curves showed that the 1-, 3-, and 5-year area under curve (AUC) values of TMS were 0.698, 0.662, and 0.673, respectively. The AUC of TMS was higher than that of other common prognostic models in time-dependent receiver operating curve.

Conclusion

TMS was an independent prognostic factor for the postoperative recurrence of a single small HCC and can provide a well-discriminated risk stratification, thus contributing to prognostic prediction and adjuvant therapeutic development.

Sarcopenia predicts an adverse prognosis in patients with combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma after surgery

Background

The prognostic value of sarcopenia in combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC‐CC) patients after surgery has not been evaluated, while the efficacy of the available tumor stage for cHCC‐CC remains controversial.

Methods

All consecutive cHCC‐CC patients after surgery were retrieved. The patients were stratified by the sex‐specific medians of the psoas muscle index into groups with or without sarcopenia. Prognosis was analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier (K–M) method, and the K–M curves were adjusted by inverse probability weighting (IPW). A nomogram based on Cox regression analysis was established and further compared with primary liver cancer (PLC) stages by internal validation based on bootstrap resampling and k‐fold cross‐validation.

Results

A total of 153 patients were stratified into sarcopenia and non‐sarcopenia groups. The sarcopenia group revealed statistically worse overall survival (OS) and disease‐free survival (DFS) using the K–M method and K–M curves adjusted by IPW. Multivariate Cox regression analyses suggested sarcopenia as an independent risk factor for OS (HR = 1.55; p = 0.040) and DFS (HR = 1.55; p = 0.019). Subgroup analysis based on baseline variables showed sarcopenia as a stable risk factor for the prognosis. Our nomogram outperformed PLC stages in prognostic prediction, as evidenced by the best c‐index, area under the curve, and positive improvement of the net reclassification index and integrated discrimination improvement. A fivefold cross‐validation revealed consistent results. Decision curve analysis revealed higher net benefits of the nomogram than PLC stages.

Conclusions

Sarcopenia is an independent and stable risk factor for the prognosis of cHCC‐CC patients after surgery. Our nomogram might aid high‐risk patient identification and clinical decisions.