Computational Analysis of Routine Biopsies Improves Diagnosis and Prediction of Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy

Background: Cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality for heart transplant recipients. While clinical risk factors for CAV have been established, no personalized prognostic test exists to confidently identify patients at high vs. low risk of developing aggressive CAV. The aim of this investigation was to leverage computational methods for analyzing digital pathology images from routine endomyocardial biopsies (EMB) to develop a precision medicine tool for predicting CAV years before overt clinical presentation. Methods: Clinical data from 1-year post-transplant was collected on 302 transplant recipients from the University of Pennsylvania, including 53 'early CAV' patients and 249 'no-CAV' controls. This data was used to generate a 'clinical model' (ClinCAV-Pr) for predicting future CAV development. From this cohort, n=183 archived EMBs were collected for CD31 and modified trichrome staining and then digitally scanned. These included 1-year post-transplant EMBs from 50 'early CAV' patients and 82 no-CAV patients, as well as 51 EMBs from 'disease control' patients obtained at the time of definitive coronary angiography confirming CAV. Using biologically-inspired, hand-crafted features extracted from digitized EMBs, quantitative histologic models for differentiating no-CAV from disease controls (HistoCAV-Dx), and for predicting future CAV from 1-year post-transplant EMBs were developed (HistoCAV-Pr). The performance of histologic and clinical models for predicting future CAV (i.e. HistoCAV-Pr and ClinCAV-Pr, respectively) were compared in a held-out validation set, before being combined to assess the added predictive value of an integrated predictive model (iCAV-Pr). Results: ClinCAV-Pr achieved modest performance on the independent test set, with area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) of 0.70. The HistoCAV-Dx model for diagnosing CAV achieved excellent discrimination, with an AUROC of 0.91, while HistoCAV-Pr model for predicting CAV achieved good performance with an AUROC of 0.80. The integrated iCAV-Pr model achieved excellent predictive performance, with an AUROC of 0.93 on the held-out test set. Conclusions: Prediction of future CAV development is greatly improved by incorporation of computationally extracted histologic features. These results suggest morphologic details contained within regularly obtained biopsy tissue have the potential to enhance precision and personalization of treatment plans for post-heart transplant patients.

The Association Between Cytomegalovirus Infection and Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy in the Era of Antiviral Valganciclovir Prophylaxis

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Previous studies on the association between cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection and cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) were conducted on patients transplanted in the prevalganciclovir prophylaxis era. The aim of our study is to evaluate this relation in heart transplantation (HTx) recipients treated according to current prophylactic and immunosuppressive regimens.

Cardiac allograft vasculopathy: Incidence and predictors in a single-center cohort

INTRODUCTION AND AIMS

Cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) is one of the most significant complications after orthotopic heart transplantation. We aimed to investigate the incidence and predictors of CAV in a large cohort of orthotopic heart transplantation patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis on a prospective cohort of 233 patients who underwent transplantation between November 2003 and May 2014. Baseline clinical data and invasive coronary angiograms (n=712) performed as part of the follow-up program were analyzed by two independent investigators.

RESULTS

We included 157 male and 45 female patients with a median age of 66 years. A third of patients had previous ischemic heart disease, 30% peripheral arterial disease, 37% hypertension and 47% dyslipidemia, and 17% were smokers. Acute moderate or severe rejection occurred in 42 patients during the first year. Over a median follow-up of 2920 days, 18% were diagnosed with CAV, with an incidence of 2.91 cases per 100 person-years. Predictors of CAV were previous ischemic heart disease (HR 2.32, 95% CI 1.21-4.45, p=0.01), carotid artery disease (HR 2.44, 95% CI 1.27-4.71, p<0.01), and donor age (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00-1.07, p=0.01).

CONCLUSION

In a single-center cohort of orthotopic heart transplantation patients, predictors of CAV were previous ischemic heart disease, carotid artery disease and donor age.

Donor-Transmitted Atherosclerosis Associated With Worsening Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy After Heart Transplantation: Serial Volumetric Intravascular Ultrasound Analysis

BACKGROUND

The influence of preexisting donor-transmitted atherosclerosis (DA) on cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) development remains unclear.

METHODS

We performed 3-dimensional intravascular ultrasound (3D-IVUS) analysis in 42 heart transplantation (HTx) recipients at 2.1 ± 0.9 months (baseline) and 12.2 ± 0.4 months post-HTx, as well as consecutive 3D-IVUS analyses up to 3 years post-HTx in 35 of the 42 recipients. Donor-transmitted atherosclerosis was defined as a maximal intimal thickness of 0.5 mm or greater at baseline. Changes in volumetric IVUS parameters were compared in recipients with (DA group) and without DA (DA-free group) at baseline, 1 year, and 3 years post-HTx.

RESULTS

Donor-transmitted atherosclerosis was observed in 57.1% of 42 recipients. The DA group exhibited a significantly greater increase in plaque volume at 1 year post-HTx (P < 0.001), leading to increased percent plaque volume (plaque volume/vessel volume, [%]) (P < 0.001) and decreased luminal volume (P = 0.021). Donor-transmitted atherosclerosis was independently associated with a greater increase in percent plaque volume during the first post-HTx year (P = 0.011). From 1 to 3 years post-HTx, the DA group underwent continuous reduction in luminal volume (P = 0.022). These changes resulted in a higher incidence of angiographic CAV at 3 years post-HTx in the DA group (58.8% vs 5.6%, P = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

This volumetric IVUS study suggests that DA correlates with the worsening change in CAV several years post-HTx. Donor-transmitted atherosclerosis recipients may require more aggressive treatment to prevent subsequent CAV progression.

Hp: an inflammatory indicator in cardiovascular disease

Over the past decade significant advancement has occurred in the biological and pathological role that Hp has in cardiovascular disease. Hp is an acute-phase protein with a role in the neutralization and clearance of free heme. Iron has tremendous potential for initiating vascular oxidation, inflammation and exacerbating coronary atherosclerosis. Hp genotype has been linked as a prognostic biomarker of acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, restenosis and cardiac transplant rejection. The increased understanding of Hp as a biomarker has provided new insights into the mechanisms of inflammation after cardiac injury and support the concept that Hp is not only an important antioxidant in vascular inflammation and atherosclerosis, but also an enhancer of inflammation in cardiac transplant.