Construction and validation of nomogram model for predicting the risk of ventricular arrhythmia after emergency PCI in patients with acute myocardial infarction

OBJECTIVE

To make predictions about the risk of MVA (Malignant Ventricular Arrhythmia) after primary PCI (Percutaneous Coronary Intervention) in patients with AMI (Acute Myocardial Infarction) through constructing and validating the Nomogram model.

METHODS

311 AMI patients who suffered from emergency PCI in Hefei Second People's Hospital from January 2020 to May 2023 were selected as the training set; 253 patients suffering from the same symptom in Hefei First People's Hospital during the same period were selected as the validation set. Risk factors were further screened by means of multivariate logistic and stepwise regression. The nomogram model was constructed, and then validated by using C-index, ROC curve, decision curve and calibration curve.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic analysis revealed that urea, systolic pressure, hypertension, Killip class II-IV, as well as LVEF (Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction) were all unrelated hazards for MVA after emergency PCI for AMI (P<0.05); a risk prediction nomogram model was constructed. The C-index was calculated to evaluate the predictive ability of the model. Result showed that the index of the training and the validation set was 0.783 (95% CI: 0.726-0.84) and 0.717 (95% CI: 0.65-0.784) respectively, which suggested that the model discriminated well. Meanwhile, other tools including ROC curve, calibration curve and decision curve also proved that this nomogram plays an effective role in forecasting the risk for MVA after PCI in AMI patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The study successfully built the nomogram model and made predictions for the development of MVA after PCI in AMI patients.

Predictors of in-hospital heart failure in patients with acute anterior wall ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) is a severe complication of acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Its incidence is associated with myocardial infarction location, and it occurs frequently after acute anterior wall STEMI due to the larger infarct size. However, predictors of in-hospital HF in patients with acute anterior wall STEMI are inadequately defined. We aimed to determine potential predictors of HF in patients with acute anterior wall STEMI during hospitalization.

METHODS

A total of 714 consecutive patients who were diagnosed with acute anterior wall STEMI and underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) between January 2013 to August 2019 were enrolled retrospectively. We assigned the patients to HF and non-HF groups. The clinical parameters were subjected to univariate analysis and logistic regression analysis to obtain the independent predictors.

RESULTS

Among the 714 patients enrolled in the present study (mean age 61.0 ± 13.8 years, men 80.7%), 387 (54.2%) had in-hospital HF. According to a multivariate logistic regression analysis, ventricular fibrillation (VF, OR: 5.66, 95% CI: 2.25-14.23, P < 0.001) was the most striking independent predictor of in-hospital HF. Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP, OR: 4.72, 95% CI: 2.44-9.10, P < 0.001), age (OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.04, P < 0.001), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF, OR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.93-0.97, P < 0.001), and peak N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP, OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.02-1.11, P = 0.006) were also independently associated with in-hospital HF.

CONCLUSION

VF, CAP, age, LVEF, and peak NT-pro-BNP were independently associated with in-hospital HF in patients with acute anterior wall STEMI.

A successful case of electrical storm rescue after acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Electrical storm (ES) is a heterogeneous clinical emergency that can present with malignant ventricular arrhythmias such as ventricular fibrillation (VF), ventricular tachycardia (VT), requiring the need for cardiac defibrillation. ES is a life-threatening condition with a high mortality rate. Successfully managing ES in the setting of acute myocardial infarction (MI) is expected to be known by physicians on call to reduce in-hospital mortality.

CASE PRESENTATION

A 57-year-old man presenting with acute onset chest pain was found to have an infero-posterior ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) complicated by acute right ventricular MI secondary to total occlusion of the proximal right coronary artery (RCA). The patient developed ES in the form of recurrent VF that was managed successfully with electrical defibrillation, antiarrhythmic therapy with amiodarone and esmolol, endotracheal intubation, sedation, electrolyte replacement, volume resuscitation, comfort care, psychological intervention, and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of the occluded epicardial artery. With these interventions used in quick succession and with the aspiration of a massive RCA thrombus, the patient was reversed to hemodynamic stability, did not have further episodes of VF, and survived the index hospitalization.

CONCLUSION

ES is a rare but fatal complication of acute MI. Residents on night shifts should be better prepared and equipped to deal with this rare condition. We hope our successful experience can benefit physicians on call who take care of acute MI patients that deteriorate with ES.

Impact of the caFFR-Guided Functional SYNTAX Score on Ventricular Tachycardia/Fibrillation Development in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction

Aims

To explore the relationship between the severity of coronary artery disease (CAD) and the occurrence of ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI).

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 705 patients with AMI, who were hospitalized and underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), in Nanfang Hospital from July 2017 to July 2020. Logistic regression analysis and backward stepwise approach were taken to select the correlation factors. The left and the receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) analysis were plotted to observe the discriminative power of the SYNTAX score (SS)/caFFR-guided functional SS (FSScaFFR) on the incident VT/VF.

Results

About 58 (8.2%) patients experienced life-threatening VT/VF. The FSScaFFR (OR: 1.155; 95% CI: 1.047 to 1.273; p = 0.004) was an independent predictor of VT/VF after AMI. The ROC analysis showed that the discriminative power of FSScaFFR on the incident VT/VF was significantly better than SS (0.759 vs.0.695, p < 0.0001). Patients with VT/VF were categorized into 2 groups according to the interval between the onset of AMI and the VT/VF. The logistic regression analysis revealed that FSScaFFR was a significant independent correlation of early- and late-VT/VF.

Conclusion

The incident VT/VF in patients with AMI is closely associated with the severity of CAD evaluated by SS and FSScaFFR. Compared to SS, FSScaFFR has a higher correlation with VT/VF, and FSScaFFR was demonstrated to be an independent correlation factor of incident VT/VF after AMI.

Distribution and prognostic impact of coronary artery disease and nonischemic cardiomyopathies in patients with electrical storm

BACKGROUND

The distribution and prognostic impact of coronary artery disease (CAD) in ES are still under debate.

METHODS

Consecutive ES patients with implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) were included retrospectively from 2002 to 2016. Three analyses were applied to characterize ES patients: (a) ES patients without CAD (non-CAD), (b) ES patients with CAD (CAD), and (c) diagnostic findings assessed by coronary angiography (CA) at the time of ES (immediate CA). CAD was compared with non-CAD ES patients, and progressive CAD was compared with stable CAD ES patients. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 2.5 years. Secondary endpoints were the composite endpoint of first recurrent ventricular tachyarrhythmias and appropriate ICD therapies, and recurrence of ES (ES-R) at 2.5 years.

RESULTS

Within a total of 87 consecutive ES patients. CAD was present in more than two-thirds (67%). However, only 52% patients underwent immediate CA at the time of ES. Here, 84% had CAD, of which 39% revealed progressive CAD with the need of target vessel revascularization (TVR) or cardiac transplantation (n = 1). At long-term follow-up, neither the presence (or absence) of CAD (41% vs. 34%; log rank P = 0.708) nor of progressive CAD (33% vs. 26%; log rank P = 0.372) was associated with all-cause mortality at 2.5 years, and further secondary endpoints including the composite of recurrent ventricular tachyarrhythmias plus appropriate ICD therapies, or ES-R.

CONCLUSION

In ES patients, CAD was more common than non-CAD-related cardiac diseases, accompanied by an underinvestigated rate of CA despite increasing rates of progressive CAD. CAD had no prognostic impact in ES.

Electrical storm reveals worse prognosis compared to myocardial infarction complicated by ventricular tachyarrhythmias in ICD recipients

Both acute myocardial infarction complicated by ventricular tachyarrhythmias (AMI-VTA) and electrical storm (ES) represent life-threatening clinical conditions. However, a direct comparison of both sub-groups regarding prognostic endpoints has never been investigated. All consecutive implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) recipients were included retrospectively from 2002 to 2016. Patients with ES apart from AMI (ES) were compared to patients with AMI accompanied by ventricular tachyarrhythmias (AMI-VTA). The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 3 years, secondary endpoints were in-hospital mortality, rehospitalization rates and major adverse cardiac event (MACE) at 3 years. A total of 198 consecutive ICD recipients were included (AMI-VTA: 56%; ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI): 22%; non-ST-segment myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) 78%; ES: 44%). ES patients were older and had higher rates of severely reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 35%. ES was associated with increased all-cause mortality at 3 years (37% vs. 19%; p = 0.001; hazard ratio [HR] = 2.242; 95% CI 2.291-3.894; p = 0.004) and with increased risk of first cardiac rehospitalization (44% vs. 12%; p = 0.001; HR = 4.694; 95% CI 2.498-8.823; p = 0.001). This worse prognosis of ES compared to AMI-VTA was still evident after multivariable adjustment (long-term all-cause mortality: HR = 2.504; 95% CI 1.093-5.739; p = 0.030; first cardiac rehospitalization: HR = 2.887; 95% CI 1.240-6.720; p = 0.014). In contrast, the rates of MACE (40% vs. 32%; p = 0.326) were comparable in both groups. At long-term follow-up of 3 years, ES was associated with higher rates of all-cause mortality and rehospitalization compared to patients with AMI-VTA.

Effect of C reactive protein on the sodium-calcium exchanger 1 in cardiomyocytes

Numerous previous studies have found that C-reactive protein (CRP) is associated with cardiac arrhythmia and cardiac remodeling. However, the underlying mechanisms of this association remain unclear. Sodium-calcium exchanger 1 (NCX1) serves an important role in the regulation of intracellular calcium concentration, which is closely related with cardiac arrhythmia and cardiac remodeling. The present study aimed to evaluate the effects of CRP on NCX1 and intracellular calcium concentration in cardiomyocytes. Primary neonatal mouse ventricular cardiomyocytes were cultured and treated with varying concentrations of CRP (0, 5, 10, 20 and 40 µg/ml). The cardiomyocytes were also treated with NF-κB-specific inhibitor PTDC and a specific inhibitor of the reverse NCX1 KB-R7943 before their intracellular calcium concentrations were measured. mRNA and protein expression levels of NCX1 were detected by reverse transcription-quantitative PCR and western blotting, respectively and intracellular calcium concentration was evaluated by flow cytometry. CRP treatment significantly increased mRNA and protein expression levels of NCX1 in myocytes (P=0.024), as well as intracellular calcium concentration (P=0.01). These results were significantly attenuated by the NF-κB-specific inhibitor PDTC and a specific inhibitor of the reverse NCX1, KB-R7943. CRP significantly upregulated NCX1 expression and increased intracellular calcium concentration in cardiomyocytes via the NF-κB pathway, suggesting that CRP may serve a pro-arrhythmia role via direct influence on the calcium homeostasis of cardiomyocytes.