Temporal trends in anticoagulation use and clinical outcomes among medicare beneficiaries with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

PURPOSE

Oral anticoagulants effectively prevent stroke/systemic embolism among patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation but remain under-prescribed. This study evaluated temporal trends in oral anticoagulant use, the incidence of stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding, and economic outcomes among elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and CHA2DS2-VASc scores ≥ 2.

METHODS

Retrospective analyses were conducted on Medicare claims data from January 1, 2012 through December 31, 2017. Non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients aged ≥ 65 years with CHA2DS2-VASc scores ≥ 2 were stratified by calendar year (2013-2016) of care to create calendar-year cohorts. Patient characteristics were evaluated across all cohorts during the baseline period (12 months before diagnosis). Treatment patterns and clinical and economic outcomes were evaluated during the follow-up period (from diagnosis through 12 months).

RESULTS

Baseline patient characteristics remained generally similar between 2013 and 2016. Although lack of oral anticoagulant prescriptions among eligible patients remained relatively high, utilization did increase progressively (53-58%). Among treated patients, there was a progressive decrease in warfarin use (79-52%) and a progressive increase in overall direct oral anticoagulant use (21-48%). There were progressive decreases in the incidence of stroke/systemic embolism 1.9-1.4 events per 100 person years) and major bleeding (4.6-3.3 events per 100 person years) as well as all-cause costs between 2013 and 2016.

CONCLUSIONS

The proportions of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation who were not prescribed an oral anticoagulant decreased but remained high. We observed an increase in direct oral anticoagulant use that coincided with decreased incidence of clinical outcomes as well as decreasing total healthcare costs.

Is It Safe to Resume Direct Oral Anticoagulants upon Discharge after Hip Fracture Surgery? A Retrospective Study

This study aimed to examine the incidence rate of early reoperations following hip fracture surgery and determine the safety of resuming direct oral anticoagulants. Many orthopedic surgeons are reluctant to resume chronic anticoagulation therapy for patients after surgical intervention for hip fractures. One of the main reasons is the potential for reoperation in the case of surgical complications. We conducted a retrospective cohort study at an Academic Level I trauma center, reviewing the records of 425 geriatric patients (age > 60) who underwent hip fracture surgery between 2018 and 2020, including a subgroup treated with direct oral anticoagulants prior to hospitalization. The study assessed the incidence rate of complications requiring early reoperation. Out of the 425 patients, only nine (2%) required reoperation within a month after discharge, with two (0.5%) on chronic anticoagulation therapy. None of the reoperations were urgent, and all were performed at least 24 h after re-admission. The findings revealed a very low incidence rate of reoperations in patients who underwent hip fracture surgery, with no reoperations performed within 24 h of re-admission. Consequently, we believe that resuming chronic direct oral anticoagulants is a safe and effective approach when discharging patients after hip fracture surgery.

Trend of anticoagulant therapy in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation considering risks of cerebral infarction and bleeding

The introduction of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) has greatly changed the use of anticoagulant therapy in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (Af). Therefore, this study aimed to examine changes in the proportions of oral anticoagulant prescriptions in patients with non-valvular Af aged ≥ 65 years, taking into consideration the risk of cerebral infarction and bleeding. Anticoagulant prescriptions in outpatients aged ≥ 65 years with Af were temporally analyzed using the nationwide claims database in Japan. Trends in anticoagulant prescriptions were examined according to cerebral infarction and bleeding risk. The proportion of anticoagulant prescriptions for 12,076 Af patients increased from 41% in 2011 to 56% in 2015. An increase in DOAC prescriptions was accompanied by an increase in the proportion of anticoagulant prescriptions in each group according to the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores. The proportion of anticoagulant prescriptions for patients with a high risk of developing cerebral infarction and bleeding showed a marked increase. Trends in anticoagulant prescriptions in Af patient with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥ 2 and HAS-BLED scores ≥ 3 showed a marked increase in DOAC prescriptions. The widespread use of DOACs greatly changes the profile the prescription of anticoagulant therapy in patients with Af.

Trends in Uptake and Adherence to Oral Anticoagulation for Patients With Incident Atrial Fibrillation at High Stroke Risk Across Health Care Settings

Background

Oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy prevents morbidity and mortality in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation; whether location of diagnosis influences OAC uptake or adherence is unknown.

Methods and Results

Retrospective cohort study (2008–2019), identifying adults with incident nonvalvular atrial fibrillation across health care settings (emergency department, hospital, outpatient) at high risk of stroke. OAC uptake and adherence via proportion of days covered for direct OACs and time in therapeutic range for warfarin were measured. Proportion of days covered was categorized as low (0–39%), intermediate (40–79%), and high (80–100%). Warfarin control was defined as time in therapeutic range ≥65%. All‐cause mortality was examined at a 3‐year landmark. Among 75 389 patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (47.0% women, mean 77.4 years), 19.7% were diagnosed in the emergency department, 59.1% in the hospital, and 21.2% in the outpatient setting. Ninety‐day OAC uptake was 51.6% in the emergency department, 50.9% in the hospital, and 67.9% in the outpatient setting (P<0.0001). High direct OAC adherence increased from 64.9% to 80.3% in the emergency department, 64.3% to 81.7% in the hospital, and 70.9% to 88.6% in the outpatient setting over time (P values for trend <0.0001). Warfarin control was 40.3% overall and remained unchanged. In multivariable analysis, outpatient diagnosis compared with the hospital was associated with greater OAC uptake (odds ratio [OR], 1.79; [95% CI, 1.72–1.87]) and direct OAC (OR, 1.42; [95% CI, 1.27–1.59]) and warfarin (OR, 1.49; [95% CI, 1.36–1.63]) adherence. Varying or persistently low adherence was associated with a poor prognosis, especially for warfarin.

Conclusions

Locale of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation diagnosis is associated with varying OAC uptake and adherence. Interventions specific to health care settings are needed to improve stroke prevention.

Characteristics of Ischemic Versus Hemorrhagic Stroke in Patients Receiving Oral Anticoagulants: Results of the PASTA Study

Objective Limited data exist regarding the comparative detailed clinical characteristics of patients with ischemic stroke (IS)/transient ischemic attack (TIA) and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) receiving oral anticoagulants (OACs). Methods The prospective analysis of stroke patients taking oral anticoagulants (PASTA) registry, a multicenter registry of 1,043 stroke patients receiving OACs [vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) or non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOACs)] across 25 medical institutions throughout Japan, was used. Univariate and multivariable analyses were used to analyze differences in clinical characteristics between IS/TIA and ICH patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who were registered in the PASTA registry. Results There was no significant differences in cardiovascular risk factors, such as hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, smoking, or alcohol consumption (all p>0.05), between IS/TIA and ICH among both NOAC and VKA users. Cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) [odds ratio (OR), 4.77; p<0.0001] were independently associated with ICH, and high brain natriuretic peptide/N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide levels (OR, 1.89; p=0.0390) were independently associated with IS/TIA among NOAC users. A history of ICH (OR, 13.59; p=0.0279) and the high prothrombin time-international normalized ratio (PT-INR) (OR, 1.17; p<0.0001) were independently associated with ICH, and a history of IS/TIA (OR, 3.37; 95% CI, 1.34-8.49; p=0.0101) and high D-dimer levels (OR, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.05-5.82; p=0.0377) were independently associated with IS/TIA among VKA users. Conclusion The presence of CMBs, a history of stroke, natriuretic peptide and D-dimer levels, and PT-INR may be useful for risk stratification of either IS/TIA or ICH development in patients with AF receiving OACs.

Perioperative Safety of Gastrectomy for Patients Receiving Antithrombotic Treatment

BACKGROUND/AIM

The safety of gastrectomy for patients receiving antithrombotic agents remains unclear. This retrospective cohort study sought to compare outcomes between patients who did and did not receive antithrombotic agents.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This single-center retrospective cohort study included 548 patients who underwent gastrectomy for primary gastric adenocarcinoma from January 2011 to December 2019. The surgical outcomes were compared between two groups according to whether they received antithrombotic therapy (n=121) or not (n=427).

RESULTS

Among the entire cohort, the patients in the antithrombotic therapy group were significantly older than those who did not receive this therapy and had significantly higher postoperative complication rates than those who did not (33.1% vs. 23.9%; p=0.046). However, after propensity score matching, no significant difference in the postoperative complication rate was observed between the two groups.

CONCLUSION

Despite having a high risk for postoperative complications, patients receiving antithrombotic therapy can safely undergo gastric resection.

Clinical Significance of Atrial Fibrillation Status in Patients With Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Background

Patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) often develop atrial fibrillation (AF). We investigated the clinical effects of AF status on in-hospital mortality and complications in patients with PCI using a recent large-scale nationwide dataset.

Methods

Using a claims-based dataset from 1022 hospitals in Japan for the time period between 2012 and 2016, patients with PCI were identified and classified into 3 groups according to AF status: no AF, prevalent AF before admission, and incident AF after admission. In-hospital mortality, complications, and medical costs were compared in crude and propensity-matched cohorts.

Results

In 659,525 hospitalized patients undergoing PCI, prevalent AF and incident AF were observed in 6.0% and 1.3% patients, respectively; the AF rates increased over 5 years. A greater proportion of older patients and patients with comorbidities had both of these categories of AF; undergoing PCI for acute coronary syndrome was common in incident AF. Both prevalent AF and incident AF were associated with worse crude outcomes and complications during hospitalization. In propensity-matched cohorts, incident AF was associated with a higher in-hospital mortality rate, longer length of stay, higher direct costs, and higher rate of complications, including stroke and acute kidney injury, compared with prevalent AF. These outcomes, except length of in-hospital stay, did not change for either AF status over 5 years.

Conclusions

Prevalent AF and incident AF in patients undergoing PCI were both associated with deteriorating crude outcomes and complications; in particular, incident AF was associated with worse adjusted outcomes and complications. Further efforts are needed to improve patient outcomes in an aging society in which the incidence of AF is increasing.

Differences in oral anticoagulant prescriptions between specialists and non-specialists in patients with cardioembolic stroke caused by non-valvular atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common disease encountered in daily practice; however, few patients with AF received oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy. This study focused on differences in OAC prescriptions and influencing factors between specialists (neurological and cardiovascular) and non-specialists. A retrospective comparative analysis was conducted on 480 patients with acute cardioembolic stroke caused by non-valvular AF who were admitted to our hospital between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2020. All patients had visited our hospital or other hospitals for their underlying diseases. Overall, 232 (specialist group SG) and 248 patients (non-specialist group NSG) were examined by specialists and non-specialists, respectively. The NSG had a significantly lower percentage of OAC prescriptions on admission than the SG (P < 0.01), even after propensity score matching. Factors influencing OAC prescription in the SG were age, hypertension, paroxysmal AF, dementia, CHADS₂ score, and antiplatelet drug use, while those in the NSG were a history of cerebral infarction, paroxysmal AF, dementia, and antiplatelet drug use [SG: age, odds ratio (OR) 0.919, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.865-0.976; hypertension, OR 0.266, 95% CI 0.099-0.713; paroxysmal AF, OR 0.189, 95% CI 0.055-0.658; dementia, OR 0.253, 95% CI 0.085-0.758; CHADS₂ score, OR 2.833, 95% CI 1.682-4.942; and antiplatelet drug use, OR 0.072, 95% CI 0.025-0.206; NSG: cerebral infarction, OR 5.940, 95% CI 1.581-22.309; paroxysmal AF, OR 0.077, 95% CI 0.010-0.623; dementia, OR 0.077, 95% CI 0.014-0.438; and antiplatelet drug use, OR 0.024, 95% CI 0.004-0.152]. In conclusion, the OAC prescription rate was higher in patients with non-valvular AF whose family physicians were specialists at the time of cerebral infarction onset. In addition, in the SG, advanced age and hypertension were associated with not prescribing OAC, whereas a higher CHADS₂ score was associated with the prescription of OACs. In the NSG, a history of cerebral infarction was associated with the prescription of OACs. Further, paroxysmal AF, antiplatelet drug use, and dementia were associated with non-OAC therapy in both the groups.

Non-adherence to Thromboprophylaxis Guidelines in Atrial Fibrillation: A Narrative Review of the Extent of and Factors in Guideline Non-adherence

Atrial fibrillation is the most common arrhythmia. It increases the risk of thromboembolism by up to fivefold. Guidelines provide evidence-based recommendations to effectively mitigate thromboembolic events using oral anticoagulants while minimizing the risk of bleeding. This review focuses on non-adherence to contemporary guidelines and the factors associated with guideline non-adherence. The extent of guideline non-adherence differs according to geographic region, healthcare setting, and risk stratification tools used. Guideline adherence has gradually improved over recent years, but a significant proportion of patients are still not receiving guideline-recommended therapy. Physician-related and patient-related factors (such as patient refusals, bleeding risk, older age, and recurrent falls) also contribute to guideline non-adherence, especially to undertreatment. Quality improvement initiatives that focus on undertreatment, especially in the primary healthcare setting, may help to improve guideline adherence.

Data resource profile of Shizuoka Kokuho Database (SKDB) using integrated health- and care-insurance claims and health checkups: the Shizuoka Study

Background

Analyzing real-world data, including health insurance claims, may help provide insights into preventing and treating various diseases. We developed a database covering Shizuoka Prefecture (Shizuoka Kokuho Database [SKDB]) in Japan, which included individual-level linked data on health- and care-insurance claims and health checkup results.

Methods

Anonymized claims data on health insurance (National Health Insurance [age <75 years] and Latter-Stage Elderly Medical Care System [age ≥75 years]), care insurance, subscriber lists, annual health checkups, and all dates of death were collected from 35 municipalities in Shizuoka Prefecture. To efficiently link claims and health checkups, unique individual IDs were assigned using a novel procedure.

Results

From April 2012 to September 2018, the SKDB included 2,230,848 individuals (men, 1,019,687; 45.7%). The median age (min–max) of men and women was 60 (0–106) and 62 (0–111) years, respectively. During the study period, the median subscription time was 4.4 years; 40.8% of individuals continuously subscribed for the 6.5 years; 213,566 individuals died. Health checkup data were available for 654,035 individuals, amounting to 2,469,648 records. Care-service recipient data were available for 283,537 individuals; they used care insurance to pay for care costs.

Conclusion

SKDB, a population-based longitudinal cohort, provides a comprehensive dataset covering health checkups, disorders, medication, and care service. This database may provide a robust platform to identify epidemiological problems and generate hypotheses for preventing and treating disorders in the elderly.

Development of a predictive model for integrated medical and long-term care resource consumption based on health behaviour: application of healthcare big data of patients with circulatory diseases

BACKGROUND

Medical costs and the burden associated with cardiovascular disease are on the rise. Therefore, to improve the overall economy and quality assessment of the healthcare system, we developed a predictive model of integrated healthcare resource consumption (Adherence Score for Healthcare Resource Outcome, ASHRO) that incorporates patient health behaviours, and examined its association with clinical outcomes.

METHODS

This study used information from a large-scale database on health insurance claims, long-term care insurance, and health check-ups. Participants comprised patients who received inpatient medical care for diseases of the circulatory system (ICD-10 codes I00-I99). The predictive model used broadly defined composite adherence as the explanatory variable and medical and long-term care costs as the objective variable. Predictive models used random forest learning (AI: artificial intelligence) to adjust for predictors, and multiple regression analysis to construct ASHRO scores. The ability of discrimination and calibration of the prediction model were evaluated using the area under the curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. We compared the overall mortality of the two ASHRO 50% cut-off groups adjusted for clinical risk factors by propensity score matching over a 48-month follow-up period.

RESULTS

Overall, 48,456 patients were discharged from the hospital with cardiovascular disease (mean age, 68.3 ± 9.9 years; male, 61.9%). The broad adherence score classification, adjusted as an index of the predictive model by machine learning, was an index of eight: secondary prevention, rehabilitation intensity, guidance, proportion of days covered, overlapping outpatient visits/clinical laboratory and physiological tests, medical attendance, and generic drug rate. Multiple regression analysis showed an overall coefficient of determination of 0.313 (p < 0.001). Logistic regression analysis with cut-off values of 50% and 25%/75% for medical and long-term care costs showed that the overall coefficient of determination was statistically significant (p < 0.001). The score of ASHRO was associated with the incidence of all deaths between the two 50% cut-off groups (2% vs. 7%; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

ASHRO accurately predicted future integrated healthcare resource consumption and was associated with clinical outcomes. It can be a valuable tool for evaluating the economic usefulness of individual adherence behaviours and optimising clinical outcomes.

Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation: Geographic/Ecological Risk Factors, Age, Sex, Genetics

Atrial fibrillation is the most common arrhythmia globally. The global prevalence of atrial fibrillation is positively correlated with the sociodemographic index of different regions. Advancing age, male sex, and Caucasian race are risk factors; female sex is correlated with higher atrial fibrillation mortality worldwide likely owing to thromboembolic risk. African American ethnicity is associated with lower atrial fibrillation risk, same as Asian and Hispanic/Latino ethnicities compared with Caucasians. Atrial fibrillation may be heritable, and more than 100 genetic loci have been identified. A polygenic risk score and clinical risk factors are feasible and effective in risk stratification of incident disease.

Emergent initiation of dialysis is related to an increase in both mortality and medical costs

The number of patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) has been increasing, with dialysis treatment being a serious economic problem. To date, no report in Japan considered medical costs spent at the initiation of dialysis treatment, although some reports in other countries described high medical costs in the first year. This study focused on patient status at the time of initiation of dialysis and examined how it affects prognosis and the medical costs. As a result, all patients dying within 4 months experienced emergent dialysis initiation. Emergent dialysis initiation and high medical costs were risk factors for death within 2 years. High C-reactive protein levels and emergent dialysis initiation were associated with increasing medical costs. Acute kidney injury (AKI) contributed most to emergent dialysis initiation followed by stroke, diabetes, heart failure, and short-term care by nephrologists. Therefore, emergent dialysis initiation was a contributing factor to both death and increasing medical costs. To avoid the requirement for emergent dialysis initiation, patients with ESRD should be referred to nephrologists earlier. Furthermore, ESRD patients with clinical histories of AKI, stroke, diabetes, or heart failure should be observed carefully and provided pre-planned initiation of dialysis.