Assigning computed tomography involvement score in COVID-19 patients: prognosis prediction and impact on management

Prediction of oxygen supplementation by a deep-learning model integrating clinical parameters and chest CT images in COVID-19

PURPOSE

As of March 2023, the number of patients with COVID-19 worldwide is declining, but the early diagnosis of patients requiring inpatient treatment and the appropriate allocation of limited healthcare resources remain unresolved issues. In this study we constructed a deep-learning (DL) model to predict the need for oxygen supplementation using clinical information and chest CT images of patients with COVID-19.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 738 patients with COVID-19 for whom clinical information (patient background, clinical symptoms, and blood test findings) was available and chest CT imaging was performed. The initial data set was divided into 591 training and 147 evaluation data. We developed a DL model that predicted oxygen supplementation by integrating clinical information and CT images. The model was validated at two other facilities (n = 191 and n = 230). In addition, the importance of clinical information for prediction was assessed.

RESULTS

The proposed DL model showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 89.9% for predicting oxygen supplementation. Validation from the two other facilities showed an AUC > 80%. With respect to interpretation of the model, the contribution of dyspnea and the lactate dehydrogenase level was higher in the model.

CONCLUSIONS

The DL model integrating clinical information and chest CT images had high predictive accuracy. DL-based prediction of disease severity might be helpful in the clinical management of patients with COVID-19.

Clinical implications of microvascular CT scan signs in COVID-19 patients requiring invasive mechanical ventilation

Purpose

COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is characterized by the presence of signs of microvascular involvement at the CT scan, such as the vascular tree in bud (TIB) and the vascular enlargement pattern (VEP). Recent evidence suggests that TIB could be associated with an increased duration of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and intensive care unit (ICU) stay. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate whether microvascular involvement signs could have a prognostic significance concerning liberation from IMV.

Material and methods

All the COVID-19 patients requiring IMV admitted to 16 Italian ICUs and having a lung CT scan recorded within 3 days from intubation were enrolled in this secondary analysis. Radiologic, clinical and biochemical data were collected.

Results

A total of 139 patients affected by COVID-19 related ARDS were enrolled. After grouping based on TIB or VEP detection, we found no differences in terms of duration of IMV and mortality. Extension of VEP and TIB was significantly correlated with ground-glass opacities (GGOs) and crazy paving pattern extension. A parenchymal extent over 50% of GGO and crazy paving pattern was more frequently observed among non-survivors, while a VEP and TIB extent involving 3 or more lobes was significantly more frequent in non-responders to prone positioning.

Conclusions

The presence of early CT scan signs of microvascular involvement in COVID-19 patients does not appear to be associated with differences in duration of IMV and mortality. However, patients with a high extension of VEP and TIB may have a reduced oxygenation response to prone positioning.

Trial Registration: NCT04411459

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11547-021-01444-7.

The Ichikado CT score as a prognostic tool for coronavirus disease 2019 pneumonia: a retrospective cohort study

Background

The relationship between computed tomography (CT) and prognosis of patients with COVID-19 pneumonia remains unclear. We hypothesized that the Ichikado CT score, obtained in the first 24 h of hospital admission, is an independent predictor for all-cause mortality during hospitalization in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.

Methods

Single-center retrospective cohort study of patients with confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia admitted at our institution between March 20th, 2020 and October 31st, 2020. Patients were enrolled if, within 24 h of admission, a chest CT scan, an arterial blood gas, a complete blood count, and a basic metabolic panel were performed. Two independent radiologists, who were blinded to clinical data, retrospectively evaluated the chest CT scans following a previously described qualitative and quantitative CT scoring system. The primary outcome was all-cause in-hospital mortality or survival to hospital discharge. Secondary outcomes were new requirements for invasive mechanical ventilation and hospital length of stay. Cox regression models were used to test the association between potential independent predictors and all-cause mortality.

Results

Two hundred thirty-five patients, 197 survivors and 38 nonsurvivors, were studied. The median Ichikado CT score for nonsurvivors was significantly higher than survivors (P < 0.001). An Ichikado CT score of more than 172 enabled prediction of mortality, with a sensitivity of 84.2% and a specificity of 79.7%. Multivariate analysis identified Ichikado CT score (HR, 7.772; 95% CI, 3.164–19.095; P < 0.001), together with age (HR, 1.030; 95% CI, 1.030–1.060; P = 0.043), as independent predictors of all-cause in-hospital mortality.

Conclusions

Ichikado CT score is an independent predictor of both requiring invasive mechanical ventilation and all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 pneumonia. Further prospective evaluation is necessary to confirm these findings.

Trial registration: The WCG institutional review board approved this retrospective study and patient consent was waived due to its non-interventional nature (Identifier: 20210799).

New challenges for management of COVID-19 patients: Analysis of MDCT based "Automated pneumonia analysis program"

PURPOSE

The aim of this study is to define the role of an "Automated Multi Detector Computed Tomography (MDCT) Pneumonia Analysis Program'' as an early outcome predictor for COVID-19 pneumonia in hospitalized patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 96 patients who had RT-PCR proven COVID-19 pneumonia diagnosed by non-contrast enhanced chest MDCT and hospitalized were enrolled in this retrospective study. An automated CT pneumonia analysis program was used for each patient to see the extent of disease. Patients were divided into two clinical subgroups upon their clinical status as good and bad clinical course. Total opacity scores (TOS), intensive care unit (ICU) entry, and mortality rates were measured for each clinical subgroups and also laboratory values were used to compare each subgroup.

RESULTS

Left lower lobe was the mostly effected side with a percentage of 78.12 % and followed up by right lower lobe with 73.95 %. TOS, ICU entry, and mortality rates were higher in bad clinical course subgroup. TOS values were also higher in patients older than 60 years and in patients with comorbidities including, Hypertension (HT), Diabetes Mellitus (DM), Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), Chronic Heart Failure (CHF) and malignancy.

CONCLUSION

Automated MDCT analysis programs for pneumonia are fast and an objective way to define the disease extent in COVID-19 pneumonia and it is highly correlated with the disease severity and clinical outcome thus providing physicians with valuable knowledge from the time of diagnosis.