Pre-Pregnancy Health Status and Risk of Preterm Birth: A Large, Chinese, Rural, Population-Based Study

Prepregnancy Glucose Levels Within Normal Range and Its Impact on Obstetric Complications in Subsequent Pregnancy: A Population Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

We sought to identify the influence of prepregnancy glucose levels on obstetric complications in subsequent pregnancy.

METHODS

Women in Republic of Korea who had given birth between January 1st, 2007 and December 31st, 2010 were enrolled. The database of the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service and data from a national health screening program for infants and children were used. Subjects were divided into seven groups according to their fasting glucose levels.

RESULTS

59,619 women were included for analysis, and 10.4%, 13.7%, 19.1%, 21.5%, 16.0%, 11.6%, and 7.5% women had glucose levels of < 75, 75-79, 80-84, 85-89, 90-94, 95-100 and > 100 mg/dL. Each 5 mg/dL increase in prepregnancy fasting glucose levels was associated with increased risk of gestational diabetes and macrosomia in subsequent pregnancy. Adjusted risk ratio for gestational diabetes per standard deviation prepregnancy glucose > 100 mg/dL was 2.015 (95% confidence interval, 1.649-2.462) and for macrosomia an adjusted risk ratio 1.389 (95% confidence interval, 1.147-1.682).

CONCLUSION

Higher prepregnancy glucose level within normal range was related to gestational diabetes and macrosomia in following pregnancy. Our results may aid in the identification of women at future risk of obstetric complications and may guide to stratify women into normal and intensified care.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Higher prepregnancy glucose in normal range is associated with gestational diabetes and macrosomia.

Nomogram to predict the risk of preterm birth before 37 weeks and 34 weeks in pregnant women with a short cervix

OBJECTIVES

This study investigated the potential factors that predict the risk of preterm birth (PTB) in pregnancies with a short cervix. These factors were used to create nomogram, which might be highly sensitive tools to predict the incidence of PTB.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study enrolled pregnancies with a short cervix from 1 January 2017 to 1 January 2018. The primary outcomes were preterm birth <37 and 34 weeks. Logistic regression model was used to identify potential predictors of PTB. The identified risk factors were used to establish nomograms, which were validated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analysis, overweight or obesity, parity ≧3 times, twin pregnancy, in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer (IVF-ET), gestational age at first observation of short cervix, cervical length (CL) at first observation of short cervix, history of PTB, and autoimmune disease were found to be predictors of PTB <37 weeks, while twin pregnancy, gestational age at first observation of short cervix, CL of short cervix, history of PTB, and prepregnancy hypertension were predictors of PTB <34 weeks. The area under the ROC curve of the nomogram predicting PTB <37 weeks and PTB <34 weeks were 0.803 and 0.771, respectively. Both models showed good discrimination.

CONCLUSIONS

Gestational age at first observation of short cervix, CL of short cervix and other factors are strong predictors of PTB in pregnancies with a short cervix. Both nomograms showed good discrimination and calibration, and hence might be effective in predicting PTB for this population.

Incidence and trend of preterm birth in China, 1990-2016: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To update the WHO estimate of preterm birth rate in China in 1990-2016 and to further explore variations by geographic regions and years of occurrence.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

Pubmed, Embase, Cochrane Library and Sinomed databases were searched from 1990 to 2018.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Studies were included if they provided preterm birth data with at least 500 total births. Reviews, case-control studies, intervention studies and studies with insufficient information or published before 1990 were excluded. We estimated pooled incidence of preterm birth by a random effects model, and preterm birth rate in different year, region and by livebirths or all births in subgroup analyses.

RESULTS

Our search identified 3945 records. After the removal of duplicates and screening of titles and abstracts, we reviewed 254 studies in full text and excluded 182, leaving 72 new studies. They were combined with the 82 studies included in the WHO report (154 studies, 187 data sets in total for the meta-analysis), including 24 039 084 births from 1990 to 2016. The pooled incidence of preterm birth in China was 6.09% (95% CI 5.86% to 6.31%) but has been steadily increasing from 5.36% (95% CI 4.89% to 5.84%) in 1990-1994 to 7.04% (95% CI 6.09% to 7.99%) in 2015-2016. The annual rate of increase was about 1.05% (95% CI 0.85% to 1.21%). Northwest China appeared to have the highest preterm birth rate (7.3%, 95% CI 4.92% to 9.68% from 1990 to 2016).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of preterm birth in China has been rising gradually in the past three decades. It was 7% in 2016. Preterm birth rate varied by region with the West having the highest occurrence.

The impact of maternal prepregnancy impaired fasting glucose on preterm birth and large for gestational age: a large population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

The impact of maternal prepregnancy impaired fasting glucose on preterm birth and large for gestational age has been poorly understood.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to estimate the impact of prepregnancy impaired fasting glucose defined by the World Health Organization cut point on the risk of preterm birth and large for gestational age and to investigate whether the World Health Organization cut point of impaired fasting glucose was appropriate for identifying women at risk of preterm birth and large for gestational age among the Chinese population.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study of women from the National Free Preconception Health Examination Project with singleton birth from 121 counties/districts in 21 cities of Guangdong Province, China, from Jan. 1, 2013, to Dec. 31, 2017. Women were included if their prepregnancy fasting glucose was less than 7.0 mmol/L. The primary outcomes were preterm birth (gestational age <37 weeks), early preterm birth (gestational age <34 weeks), large for gestational age (birthweight by gestational age >90th percentile based on the international standards in the International Fetal and Newborn Growth Consortium for the 21st Century study), and severe large for gestational age (birthweight by gestational age >97th percentile). We calculated the adjusted risk ratio for impaired fasting glucose and a 1 standard deviation increase in fasting glucose.

RESULTS

We included 640,469 women. Of these, 31,006 (4.84%) met the World Health Organization cut point for impaired fasting glucose, 32,640 (5.10%) had preterm birth and 7201 (1.12%) had early preterm birth, 45,532 (7.11%) had large for gestational age birth, and 16,231 (2.53%) had severe large for gestational age birth. Compared with women with normoglycaemia, women with prepregnancy impaired fasting glucose had a 7.0% higher risk of preterm birth (adjusted risk ratio, 1.07, 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.12), 10.0% had a higher risk of large for gestational age (adjusted risk ratio, 1.10, 95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.14), and 17.0% had a higher risk of severe large for gestational age (adjusted risk ratio, 1.17, 95% confidence interval, 1.10-1.26). No significant association of prepregnancy impaired fasting glucose with early preterm birth was found. The association of prepregnancy impaired fasting glucose with preterm birth and large for gestational age were similar in subgroups of women with various baseline characteristics. Adjusted risk ratio for preterm birth per standard deviation fasting glucose (0.7 mmol/L) was 0.99 (95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.00), for early preterm birth an adjusted risk ratio of 0.99 (confidence interval, 0.97-1.02), for large for gestational age an adjusted risk ratio of 1.04 (confidence interval, 1.03-1.05), and for severe large for gestational age an adjusted risk ratio of 1.03 (confidence interval, 1.01-1.04).

CONCLUSION

Our data suggest that maternal prepregnancy impaired fasting glucose increases the risk of preterm birth, large for gestational age, and severe large for gestational age. Data also suggest that the World Health Organization cut point of impaired fasting glucose is too restrictive, and lower levels of fasting glucose also increase the risk of large for gestational age and severe for severe gestational age in the Chinese population. Further investigation is warranted to determine whether and how counseling and interventions for women with prepregnancy impaired fasting glucose could reduce the risk of preterm birth and large for gestational age.