Combined Proinflammatory Biomarkers Have Better Predictive Value for Term Labor than Single Markers

Cervicovaginal Cytokines to Predict the Onset of Normal and Preterm Labor: a Pseudo-longitudinal Study

Inflammatory processes associated with human parturition are still not completely understood, not only because the gap between inflammation and the onset of labor has been difficult to study but also because of the limited knowledge about the role of cervicovaginal fluid (CVF) cytokines during the sequence of labor. We aimed to determine whether CVF cytokines could predict the onset of normal and preterm labor. Chemokines and proinflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines in CVF were measured in a pseudo-longitudinal manner in healthy women between 12 and 41 weeks gestation with intact fetal membranes before and during the first stage of labor. Women were grouped into five stages, from the absence of uterine activity and cervical changes to regular uterine contractions with cervix dilation > 3 cm (active phase of labor). Of 144 women with spontaneous labor, 96 gave birth at term, 48 gave birth preterm, and both groups displayed similar cytokine concentrations. We found positive correlations between proinflammatory cytokines and the initial sequence of labor, using individual cytokines and score-based data by principal component analysis (IFN-γ, TNF-α, IL-1β, IL-6) as dependent variables. The risk of labor onset increased as the concentrations of IL-6 increased (hazard ratio = 202.09, 95% confidence interval = 24.57-1662.49, P < 0.001). The IL-6 concentration predicted the onset of labor within 12 days of sampling (area under the time-dependent ROC curve = 0.785, 95% confidence interval = 0.693-0.877). Here, we showed that regardless of gestational age, the onset of labor could be predicted by the IL-6 concentration in the CVF, since the initial sequence of spontaneous labor displayed an inflammatory response expressed by the increase in proinflammatory cytokines.