Incidence of infectious complications is associated with a high mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: Pathophysiological Mechanisms and Management

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a multifaceted condition with poor treatment options and high short-term mortality. ACLF can develop in patients with or without liver cirrhosis, where patients with decompensated cirrhosis display a higher risk of short-term mortality. Pathophysiological mechanisms include systemic inflammation due to bacterial and fungal infections and acute hepatic insult with drug, alcohol, and viral hepatitis. Cryptogenic factors also contribute to the development of ACLF. The clinical outcome of patients with ACLF gets further complicated by the occurrence of variceal hemorrhage, hepatorenal syndrome, hepatic encephalopathy, and systemic immune dysfunction. Regardless of the better understanding of pathophysiological mechanisms, no specific and definitive treatment is available except for liver transplantation. The recent approach of regenerative medicine using mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) could be advantageous for the treatment of ACLF as these cells can downregulate inflammatory response by inducing antiinflammatory events and prevent hepatic damage and fibrosis by inhibiting hepatic stellate cell activation and collagen synthesis. Moreover, MSCs are involved in tissue repair by the process of liver regeneration. Considering the broad therapeutic potential of MSCs, it can serve as an alternative treatment to liver transplant in the near future, if promising results are achieved.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Procalcitonin for Bacterial Infection in Liver Failure: A Meta-Analysis

The purpose of our studies was to systematically assess the accuracy and clinical value of plasma calcitonin in patients with liver failure complicated with bacterial infection. In this study, we included prospective observational studies or randomized controlled trials on PCT. The quality of the studies was evaluated using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 (QUADAS-2) tool. Heterogeneity, pooled diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), pooled sensitivity, pooled specificity, pooled positive likelihood ratio, pooled negative likelihood ratio, the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (SROC), and metaregression analysis were performed using Stata16.0 software. Consequently, the studies revealed substantial heterogeneity (I 2 = 96, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = 94-99). The results of meta-analysis using random effect models suggested that the combined DOR was 10.67 (95% CI = 3.73-30.53). In addition, the threshold effect analysis showed that the threshold effect was 0.23 and the correlation coefficient was -0.48, indicating that there was no threshold effect. In the forest map, the DOR of each study and the combined DOR are not distributed along the same line, and Q = 2.2 × 1014, P ≤ 0.001. Furthermore, the metaregression analysis of PCT study design, bacterial infection site, and mean age displayed that the P values were >0.05. The combined sensitivity was 0.77 (95% CI = 0.54-0.90), the combined specificity was 0.76 (95% CI = 0.70-0.82), the combined positive likelihood ratio was 3.25 (95% CI = 2.33-4.52), the combined negative likelihood ratio was 0.30 (95% CI = 0.14-0.67), and the combined AUC was 0.80 (95% CI = 0.76-0.83). In conclusion, PCT has moderate diagnostic value for adult liver failure complicated with bacterial infection, and it is a better auxiliary diagnostic index for liver failure with bacterial infection. However, the results of procalcitonin must be carefully interpreted combined with medical history, physical examination, and microbiological assessment.

A novel prognostic model to predict outcome of artificial liver support system treatment

The prognosis of Artificial liver support system (ALSS) for hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is hard to be expected, which results in multiple operations of ALSS and excessive consumption of plasma, increase in clinical cost. A total of 375 HBV-ACLF patients receiving ALSS treatment were randomly divided a train set and an independent test set. Logistic regression analysis was conducted and a decision tree was built based on 3-month survival as outcome. The ratio of total bilirubin before and after the first time of ALSS treatment was the most significant prognostic factor, we named it RPTB. Further, a decision tree based on the multivariate logistic regression model using CTP score and the RPTB was built, dividing patients into 3 main groups such as favorable prognosis group, moderate prognosis group and poor prognosis group. A clearly-presented and easily-understood decision tree was built with a good predictive value of prognosis in HBV-related ACLF patients after first-time ALSS treatment. It will help maximal the therapeutic value of ALSS treatment and may play an important role in organ allocation for liver transplantation in the future.

The dynamic of platelet count as a novel and valuable predictor for 90-day survival of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is extremely poor due to multiple organ dysfunction.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prognostic risk factors and create a 90-day prognostic predictive model for the patients with HBV-ACLF.

METHODS

Demographic information, clinical examination, and laboratory test results of the enrolled patients were collected to study the prognostic risk factors. Univariate and multivariate analysis and stepwise Logistic regression were performed to develop the predictive model. External validation was performed to verify the model.

RESULTS

A total of 333 HBV-ACLF patients and 86 HBV-non-ACLF patients were included in this study. Age, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), total bilirubin (TBIL), platelet (PLT), and international normalized ratio (INR) were found to be independent risk factors for poor outcomes of HBV-ACLF patients. The formula identified for the linear predictor (LP) of the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients is thus: LP_ACLF=-5.04-0.056×age-0.002×AFP-0.010×PLT+0.002×TBIL+0.877×INR. The area under curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.7835 (95% CI 0.7248-0.8423).

CONCLUSIONS

A predictive model with good calibration and discrimination for 90-day survival of HBV-ACLF patients, including 5 variables, namely age, AFP, PLT, TBIL, and INR was established. Platelet count was a sensitive and dynamic variable for the prognosis of HBV-ACLF.

Infection deteriorating hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Infection is common in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which may worsen the clinical condition and prognosis. However, the characteristics of infection and its influence on prognosis in hepatitis B virus related ACLF (HBV-ACLF) as defined by the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) have not been clarified. We aimed to investigate the characteristics of infection and its influence on mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF defined by EASL in China.

Methods

We performed a retrospective cohort study in patients with HBV-ACLF defined by EASL in a single center from January 2015 to December 2017. These patients were divided into two groups with and without infection. The incidence, sites of infection, isolated strains, and risk factors associated with mortality were evaluated.

Results

A total of 289 patients were included, among them 185 (64.0%) were diagnosed with an infection. The most common type of infection was pneumonia (55.7%), followed by spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (47.6%) and others. The gram-negative bacteria were the most frequent (58.3%). Patients with one, two, and three or more infection sites had a gradually increasing incidence of sepsis (P < 0.01), septic shock (P < 0.001), and ACLF-3 (P < 0.05). Also, patients with infection isolated one, two, and three or more strains showed a growing incidence of sepsis (P < 0.01) and septic shock (P < 0.001). Patients with infection showed a significantly higher 28-day mortality than those without (P < 0.01), especially in patients with ACLF-3. Infection was identified as an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in all HBV-ACLF patients. Pneumonia and sepsis were identified as independent predictors of 28-day mortality for patients with infection.

Conclusions

Infection is associated with severe clinical course and high mortality in HBV-ACLF defined by EASL. The increased number of infection sites or isolated strains was associated with the occurrence of sepsis and septic shock. Pneumonia and sepsis were independent predictors for mortality in HBV-ACLF patients with infection.

Effect of artificial liver support system on short-term prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is difficult to treat and carries a high risk of short-term mortality. This study aimed to explore the effect of artificial liver support system (ALSS) on the survival of HBV-ACLF patients and to investigate which HBV-ACLF patients may benefit from ALSS treatment. We enrolled 132 patients hospitalized for HBV-ACLF according to the criteria of the Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B-ACLF (COSSH-ACLF) from 425 ACLF patients who were determined to at least meet the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver criteria and followed up for 90 days. Overall 132 eligible patients were divided into two groups: standard medical treatment (SMT) group, which included 54 patients who underwent SMT alone, and ALSS group, which included 78 patients who underwent ALSS treatment plus SMT. The proportion of HBV-ACLF grade 1, 2, and 3 was 57.69%, 37.18%, and 5.13% in the ALSS group and 51.85%, 35.19%, and 12.96% in the SMT group, respectively. Bacterial infection was present in 43.6% of patients in the ALSS group and in 55.6% of patients in the SMT group. The mortality rates in the ALSS group at 28 and 90 days were significantly lower than those in the SMT group (23.08% vs. 48.15% and 33.33% vs. 57.41%, P < 0.05). ALSS was an independent factor related to both the 28- and 90-day survival of HBV-ACLF patients. Particularly, a higher cumulative survival rate in either patients with HBV-ACLF grade 1 or those with HBV-ACLF with bacterial infection was observed in the ALSS group. Moreover, ALSS had an independent influence on mortality. Based on the COSSH-ACLF criteria, ALSS could better improve the short-term survival of HBV-ACLF patients than SMT alone, especially in those with HBV-ACLF grade 1 or HBV-ACLF with infection.