Prediction Model for the Presence of Complications at Admission to Rehabilitation After Traumatic Spinal Cord Injury

Protocol for the Chinese Real-World Evidence for Acute Spinal Cord Injury (ChiRES) study: a prospective, observational, multicentre cohort study of acute spinal cord injury

INTRODUCTION

Spinal cord injury (SCI) is a catastrophic event with devastating physical, social and occupational consequences for patients and their families. The number of patients with acute SCI in China continues to grow rapidly, but there have been no large prospective cohort studies of patients with acute SCI. This proposed study aims to establish a multicentre, extensive sample cohort of clinical data and biological samples of patients in China, which would aid the systematisation and standardisation of clinical research and treatment of acute SCI, thus reducing the heavy burden of acute SCI on patients and society.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The Chinese Real-World Evidence for Acute Spinal Cord Injury (ChiRES) study is an observational, multicentre cohort study of patients with acute SCI admitted to the Qilu Hospital of Shandong University and other participating centres with prospective collection of their clinical data and biological samples. We aim to recruit 2097 patients in this study. Demographics, disease history, emergency intervention information, motor and sensory examinations, surgical information, medication information and rehabilitation evaluation will be recorded. This will facilitate the development of a prediction model for complications and prognosis of patients with acute SCI and an evaluation of the current management of acute SCI. Among these variables, detailed information on surgical treatment will also be used to assess procedures for acute SCI treatment. Outcome measurements, including the International Standard for Neurological Classification of Spinal Cord Injury examinations, the occurrence of complications and death, will be performed repeatedly during follow-up. We will analyse imaging data and blood samples to develop SCI imaging markers and biomarkers.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study protocol has been approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of the Qilu Hospital of Shandong University and all other participating centres. The findings will be disseminated in peer-reviewed journals and academic conferences.

Prediction of early bladder outcomes after spinal cord injury: The HALT score

AIMS

Neurogenic bladder (NB) is a prevalent and debilitating consequence of spinal cord injury (SCI). Indeed, the accurate prognostication of early bladder outcomes is crucial for patient counseling, rehabilitation goal setting, and personalized intervention planning.

METHODS

A retrospective exploratory analysis was conducted on a cohort of consecutive SCI patients admitted to a rehabilitation facility in China from May 2016 to December 2022. Demographic, clinical, and electrophysiological data were collected within 40 days post-SCI, with bladder outcomes assessed at 3 months following SCI onset.

RESULTS

The present study enrolled 202 SCI patients with a mean age of 40.3 ± 12.3 years. At 3 months post-SCI, 79 participants exhibited complete bladder emptying. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified the H-reflex of the soleus muscle, the American Spinal Injury Association Lower Extremity Motor Score (ASIA-LEMS), and the time from lesion to rehabilitation facility (TLRF) as significant independent predictors for bladder emptying. A scoring system named HALT was developed, yielding a strong discriminatory performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (aROC) of 0.878 (95% CI: 0.823-0.933). A simplified model utilizing only the H-reflex exhibited excellent discriminatory ability with an aROC of 0.824 (95% CI: 0.766-0.881). Both models demonstrated good calibration via the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and favorable clinical net benefits through decision curve analysis (DCA). In comparison to ASIA-LEMS, both the HALT score and H-reflex showed superior predictive accuracy for bladder outcome. Notably, in individuals with incomplete injuries, the HALT score (aROC = 0.973, 95% CI: 0.940-1.000) and the H-reflex (aROC = 0.888, 95% CI: 0.807-0.970) displayed enhanced performance.

CONCLUSION

Two reliable models, the HALT score and the H-reflex, were developed to predict bladder outcomes as early as 3 months after SCI onset. Importantly, this study provides hitherto undocumented evidence regarding the predictive significance of the soleus H-reflex in relation to bladder outcomes in SCI patients.

Impact of complications at admission to rehabilitation on the functional status of patients with spinal cord lesion

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE

Aim of the study is to evaluate the impact of complications at admission on the functional status of spinal cord lesions patients.

SETTING

Rehabilitation hospital in Italy.

METHODS

Two hundred and seven patients with complications (mostly pressure ulcers) at admission to rehabilitation were matched for neurological level of injury and AIS grade with 207 patients without complications.

MEASURES

International Standards for Neurological Classification of Spinal Cord Injury, Spinal Cord Independence Measure, Rivermead Mobility Index, and Walking Index for Spinal Cord Injury. These measures were recorded at admission to rehabilitation and at discharge. We also recorded length of acute and rehabilitation stay and discharge destination.

STATISTICS

Student's T test for paired samples, McNemar's chi-square test.

RESULTS

Patients with complications at admission suffered more often from a traumatic lesions. The functional status at admission and discharge of the patients without complications was significantly better than the functional status of patients with complications (Spinal Cord Independence Measure mean difference between the two groups 5.7 (CI 2.8-8.5) at admission, and 10 (CI 5.3-14.7) at discharge). Length of stay was significantly higher in patients with complications. Patients with complications were more often institutionalized than their counterparts (46/161 vs. 20/187, odds ratio 0.4 (CI 0.2-0.7)).

CONCLUSIONS

Complications seem to be more frequent in patients with traumatic lesions. The presence of complications has a negative effect on patients' functional status at discharge and length of stay, and it determines a higher risk of being institutionalized.