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Tedijanto C, Solomon AW, Martin DL, Nash SD, Keenan JD, Lietman TM, Lammie PJ, Aiemjoy K, Amza A, Aragie S, Arzika AM, Callahan EK, Carolan S, Dawed AA, Goodhew EB, Gwyn S, Hammou J, Kadri B, Kalua K, Maliki R, Nassirou B, Seife F, Tadesse Z, West SK, Wittberg DM, Zeru Tadege T, Arnold BF. Monitoring transmission intensity of trachoma with serology. Nat Commun 2023; 14:3269. [PMID: 37277341 PMCID: PMC10241377 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-38940-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2023] [Accepted: 05/22/2023] [Indexed: 06/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Trachoma, caused by ocular Chlamydia trachomatis infection, is targeted for global elimination as a public health problem by 2030. To provide evidence for use of antibodies to monitor C. trachomatis transmission, we collated IgG responses to Pgp3 antigen, PCR positivity, and clinical observations from 19,811 children aged 1-9 years in 14 populations. We demonstrate that age-seroprevalence curves consistently shift along a gradient of transmission intensity: rising steeply in populations with high levels of infection and active trachoma and becoming flat in populations near elimination. Seroprevalence (range: 0-54%) and seroconversion rates (range: 0-15 per 100 person-years) correlate with PCR prevalence (r: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.57, 0.97). A seroprevalence threshold of 13.5% (seroconversion rate 2.75 per 100 person-years) identifies clusters with any PCR-identified infection at high sensitivity ( >90%) and moderate specificity (69-75%). Antibody responses in young children provide a robust, generalizable approach to monitor population progress toward and beyond trachoma elimination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christine Tedijanto
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94158, USA
| | - Anthony W Solomon
- Global Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Diana L Martin
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, 30329, USA
| | | | - Jeremy D Keenan
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94158, USA
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94158, USA
| | - Thomas M Lietman
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94158, USA
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94158, USA
- Institute for Global Health Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94143, USA
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94143, USA
| | - Patrick J Lammie
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Support Center, Task Force for Global Health, Atlanta, GA, 30030, USA
| | - Kristen Aiemjoy
- Division of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health Sciences, University of California Davis School of Medicine, Davis, CA, USA
| | - Abdou Amza
- Programme National de Santé Oculaire, Niamey, Niger
- Programme National de Lutte Contre la Cecité, Niamey, Niger
| | - Solomon Aragie
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94158, USA
- The Carter Center Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
- Infection Biology, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | | | | | - Sydney Carolan
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94158, USA
| | | | - E Brook Goodhew
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, 30329, USA
| | - Sarah Gwyn
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, 30329, USA
| | - Jaouad Hammou
- Service of Ocular and Otological Diseases, Epidemiology and Disease Control Directorate, Ministry of Health, Rabat, Morocco
| | - Boubacar Kadri
- Programme National de Santé Oculaire, Niamey, Niger
- Programme National de Lutte Contre la Cecité, Niamey, Niger
| | - Khumbo Kalua
- Blantyre Institute for Community Outreach, Blantyre, Malawi
| | | | - Beido Nassirou
- Programme National de Santé Oculaire, Niamey, Niger
- Programme National de Lutte Contre la Cecité, Niamey, Niger
| | - Fikre Seife
- Federal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | | | - Sheila K West
- Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Dana Center for Preventive Ophthalmology, Wilmer Eye Institute, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Dionna M Wittberg
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94158, USA
| | | | - Benjamin F Arnold
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94158, USA.
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94158, USA.
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2
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Tedijanto C, Solomon AW, Martin DL, Nash SD, Keenan JD, Lietman TM, Lammie PJ, Aiemjoy K, Amza A, Aragie S, Arzika AM, Callahan EK, Carolan S, Dawed AA, Goodhew EB, Gwyn S, Hammou J, Kadri B, Kalua K, Maliki R, Nassirou B, Seife F, Tadesse Z, West SK, Wittberg DM, Zeru T, Arnold BF. Monitoring transmission intensity of trachoma with serology. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2023:2023.02.13.23285881. [PMID: 36824972 PMCID: PMC9949201 DOI: 10.1101/2023.02.13.23285881] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/18/2023]
Abstract
Trachoma, caused by ocular Chlamydia trachomatis infection, is targeted for global elimination as a public health problem by 2030. To provide evidence for use of antibodies to monitor C. trachomatis transmission, we collated IgG responses to Pgp3 antigen, PCR positivity, and clinical observations from 19,811 children aged 1- 9 years in 14 populations. We demonstrate that age-seroprevalence curves consistently shift along a gradient of transmission intensity: rising steeply in populations with high levels of infection and active trachoma and becoming flat in populations near elimination. Seroprevalence (range: 0-54%) and seroconversion rates (range: 0-15 per 100 person-years) correlate with PCR prevalence (r: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.57, 0.97). A seroprevalence threshold of 13.5% (seroconversion rate 2.75 per 100 person-years) identifies clusters with any PCR-identified infection at high sensitivity (>90%) and moderate specificity (69-75%). Antibody responses in young children provide a robust, generalizable approach to monitor population progress toward and beyond trachoma elimination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christine Tedijanto
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
| | - Anthony W. Solomon
- Global Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Diana L. Martin
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA 30329
| | | | - Jeremy D. Keenan
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
| | - Thomas M. Lietman
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
- Institute for Global Health Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143
| | - Patrick J. Lammie
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Support Center, Task Force for Global Health, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30030
| | - Kristen Aiemjoy
- Division of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health Sciences, University of California Davis School of Medicine, Davis, CA, USA
| | - Abdou Amza
- Programme National de Santé Oculaire, Niamey, Niger
- Programme National de Lutte Contre la Cecité, Niamey, Niger
| | - Solomon Aragie
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
- The Carter Center Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
- Infection Biology, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | | | | | - Sydney Carolan
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
| | | | - E. Brook Goodhew
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA 30329
| | - Sarah Gwyn
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA 30329
| | - Jaouad Hammou
- Service of Ocular and Otological Diseases, Epidemiology and Disease Control Directorate, Ministry of Health, Morocco
| | - Boubacar Kadri
- Programme National de Santé Oculaire, Niamey, Niger
- Programme National de Lutte Contre la Cecité, Niamey, Niger
| | - Khumbo Kalua
- Blantyre Institute for Community Outreach, Malawi
| | | | - Beido Nassirou
- Programme National de Santé Oculaire, Niamey, Niger
- Programme National de Lutte Contre la Cecité, Niamey, Niger
| | - Fikre Seife
- Federal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | | | - Sheila K. West
- Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Dana Center for Preventive Ophthalmology, Wilmer Eye Institute, Baltimore MD USA
| | - Dionna M. Wittberg
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
| | - Taye Zeru
- Amhara Public Health Institute, Bahir-Dar, Ethiopia
| | - Benjamin F. Arnold
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
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Arzika AM, Mindo-Panusis D, Abdou A, Kadri B, Nassirou B, Maliki R, Alsoudi AF, Zhang T, Cotter SY, Lebas E, O’Brien KS, Callahan EK, Bailey RL, West SK, Goodhew EB, Martin DL, Arnold BF, Porco TC, Lietman TM, Keenan JD. Effect of Biannual Mass Azithromycin Distributions to Preschool-Aged Children on Trachoma Prevalence in Niger: A Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA Netw Open 2022; 5:e2228244. [PMID: 35997979 PMCID: PMC9399865 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.28244] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
IMPORTANCE Because transmission of ocular strains of Chlamydia trachomatis is greatest among preschool-aged children, limiting azithromycin distributions to this age group may conserve resources and result in less antimicrobial resistance, which is a potential advantage in areas with hypoendemic trachoma and limited resources. OBJECTIVE To determine the efficacy of mass azithromycin distributions to preschool-aged children as a strategy for trachoma elimination in areas with hypoendemic disease. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS In this cluster randomized clinical trial performed from November 23, 2014, until July 31, 2017, thirty rural communities in Niger were randomized at a 1:1 ratio to biannual mass distributions of either azithromycin or placebo to children aged 1 to 59 months. Participants and study personnel were masked to treatment allocation. Data analyses for trachoma outcomes were performed from October 19, 2021, through June 10, 2022. INTERVENTIONS Every 6 months, a single dose of either oral azithromycin (20 mg/kg using height-based approximation for children who could stand or weight calculation for small children) or oral placebo was provided to all children aged 1 to 59 months. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Trachoma was a prespecified outcome of the trial, assessed as the community-level prevalence of trachomatous inflammation-follicular and trachomatous inflammation-intense through masked grading of conjunctival photographs from a random sample of 40 children per community each year during the 2-year study period. A secondary outcome was the seroprevalence of antibodies to C trachomatis antigens. RESULTS At baseline, 4726 children in 30 communities were included; 1695 children were enrolled in 15 azithromycin communities and 3031 children were enrolled in 15 placebo communities (mean [SD] proportions of boys, 51.8% [4.7%] vs 52.0% [4.2%]; mean [SD] age, 30.8 [2.8] vs 30.6 [2.6] months). The mean coverage of study drug for the 4 treatments was 79% (95% CI, 75%-83%) in the azithromycin group and 82% (95% CI, 79%-85%) in the placebo group. The mean prevalence of trachomatous inflammation-follicular at baseline was 1.9% (95% CI, 0.5%-3.5%) in the azithromycin group and 0.9% (95% CI, 0-1.9%) in the placebo group. At 24 months, trachomatous inflammation-follicular prevalence was 0.2% (95% CI, 0-0.5%) in the azithromycin group and 0.8% (95% CI, 0.2%-1.6%) in the placebo group (incidence rate ratio adjusted for baseline: 0.18 [95% CI, 0.01-1.20]; permutation P = .07). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE The findings of this trial do not show that biannual mass azithromycin distributions to preschool-aged children were more effective than placebo, although the underlying prevalence of trachoma was low. The sustained absence of trachoma even in the placebo group suggests that trachoma may have been eliminated as a public health problem in this part of Niger. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02048007.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmed M. Arzika
- The Carter Center, Niamey, Niger
- Centre de Recherche et Interventions en Santé Publique, Birni N’Gaoure, Niger
| | | | - Amza Abdou
- Programme Nationale de Santé Oculaire, Niamey, Niger
| | | | | | - Ramatou Maliki
- The Carter Center, Niamey, Niger
- Centre de Recherche et Interventions en Santé Publique, Birni N’Gaoure, Niger
| | - Amer F. Alsoudi
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco
| | - Tianyi Zhang
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco
| | - Sun Y. Cotter
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco
| | - Elodie Lebas
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco
| | - Kieran S. O’Brien
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco
| | | | - Robin L. Bailey
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Sheila K. West
- Dana Center for Preventive Ophthalmology, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - E. Brook Goodhew
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Diana L. Martin
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Benjamin F. Arnold
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of California, San Francisco
| | - Travis C. Porco
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of California, San Francisco
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco
| | - Thomas M. Lietman
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of California, San Francisco
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco
- Institute for Global Health Sciences, University of California, San Francisco
| | - Jeremy D. Keenan
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of California, San Francisco
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4
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Chan Y, Martin D, Mace KE, Jean SE, Stresman G, Drakeley C, Chang MA, Lemoine JF, Udhayakumar V, Lammie PJ, Priest JW, Rogier EW. Multiplex Serology for Measurement of IgG Antibodies Against Eleven Infectious Diseases in a National Serosurvey: Haiti 2014-2015. Front Public Health 2022; 10:897013. [PMID: 35757611 PMCID: PMC9218545 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.897013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2022] [Accepted: 05/18/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Integrated surveillance for multiple diseases can be an efficient use of resources and advantageous for national public health programs. Detection of IgG antibodies typically indicates previous exposure to a pathogen but can potentially also serve to assess active infection status. Serological multiplex bead assays have recently been developed to simultaneously evaluate exposure to multiple antigenic targets. Haiti is an island nation in the Caribbean region with multiple endemic infectious diseases, many of which have a paucity of data for population-level prevalence or exposure. Methods A nationwide serosurvey occurred in Haiti from December 2014 to February 2015. Filter paper blood samples (n = 4,438) were collected from participants in 117 locations and assayed for IgG antibodies on a multiplex bead assay containing 15 different antigens from 11 pathogens: Plasmodium falciparum, Toxoplasma gondii, lymphatic filariasis roundworms, Strongyloides stercoralis, chikungunya virus, dengue virus, Chlamydia trachomatis, Treponema pallidum, enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli, Entamoeba histolytica, and Cryptosporidium parvum. Results Different proportions of the Haiti study population were IgG seropositive to the different targets, with antigens from T. gondii, C. parvum, dengue virus, chikungunya virus, and C. trachomatis showing the highest rates of seroprevalence. Antibody responses to T. pallidum and lymphatic filariasis were the lowest, with <5% of all samples IgG seropositive to antigens from these pathogens. Clear trends of increasing seropositivity and IgG levels with age were seen for all antigens except those from chikungunya virus and E. histolytica. Parametric models were able to estimate the rate of seroconversion and IgG acquisition per year for residents of Haiti. Conclusions Multiplex serological assays can provide a wealth of information about population exposure to different infectious diseases. This current Haitian study included IgG targets for arboviral, parasitic, and bacterial infectious diseases representing multiple different modes of host transmission. Some of these infectious diseases had a paucity or complete absence of published serological studies in Haiti. Clear trends of disease burden with respect to age and location in Haiti can be used by national programs and partners for follow-up studies, resource allocation, and intervention planning.
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Affiliation(s)
- YuYen Chan
- The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Diana Martin
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States
| | - Kimberly E Mace
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States
| | - Samuel E Jean
- Population Services International/Organization Haïtienne de Marketing Social Pour la Santé, Port-au-Prince, Haiti
| | - Gillian Stresman
- The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Chris Drakeley
- The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Michelle A Chang
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States
| | - Jean F Lemoine
- Programme National de Contrôle de la Malaria/MSPP, Port-au-Prince, Haiti
| | - Venkatachalam Udhayakumar
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States
| | - Patrick J Lammie
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States
| | - Jeffrey W Priest
- Division of Foodborne, Waterborne, and Environmental Diseases, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States
| | - Eric William Rogier
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States
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Abstract
Trachoma is a neglected tropical disease caused by infection with conjunctival strains of Chlamydia trachomatis. It can result in blindness. Pathophysiologically, trachoma is a disease complex composed of two linked chronic processes: a recurrent, generally subclinical infectious-inflammatory disease that mostly affects children, and a non-communicable, cicatricial and, owing to trichiasis, eventually blinding disease that supervenes in some individuals later in life. At least 150 infection episodes over an individual's lifetime are needed to precipitate trichiasis; thus, opportunity exists for a just global health system to intervene to prevent trachomatous blindness. Trachoma is found at highest prevalence in the poorest communities of low-income countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa; in June 2021, 1.8 million people worldwide were going blind from the disease. Blindness attributable to trachoma can appear in communities many years after conjunctival C. trachomatis transmission has waned or ceased; therefore, the two linked disease processes require distinct clinical and public health responses. Surgery is offered to individuals with trichiasis and antibiotic mass drug administration and interventions to stimulate facial cleanliness and environmental improvement are designed to reduce infection prevalence and transmission. Together, these interventions comprise the SAFE strategy, which is achieving considerable success. Although much work remains, a continuing public health problem from trachoma in the year 2030 will be difficult for the world to excuse.
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Hammou J, Guagliardo SAJ, Obtel M, Razine R, Haroun AE, Youbi M, Bellefquih AM, White M, Gwyn S, Martin DL. Post-Validation Survey in Two Districts of Morocco after the Elimination of Trachoma as a Public Health Problem. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2022; 106:tpmd211140. [PMID: 35344929 PMCID: PMC9128706 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.21-1140] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2021] [Accepted: 01/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
Trachoma is the leading infectious cause of blindness. In 2016, Morocco was validated by WHO as having eliminated trachoma as a public health problem. We evaluated two previously endemic districts in Morocco for trachomatous inflammation-follicular (TF), trachomatous trichiasis (TT), and antibodies against Chlamydia trachomatis, the causative agent of trachoma. Community-based cross-sectional surveys in the districts of Boumalene Dades and Agdez included 4,445 participants for whom both questionnaire and serology data were available; 58% were aged 1-9 years. Participants had eyes examined for TF and blood collected for analysis of antibodies to the C. trachomatis antigen Pgp3 by both a multiplex bead assay (MBA) and lateral flow assay (LFA). Seroconversion rates (SCR) per 100 people per year were used to estimate changes in the force of infection using Bayesian serocatalytic models. In Agdez, TF prevalence in 1-9-year-olds was 0.3%, seroprevalence ranged from 9.4% to 11.4%, and SCR estimates ranged from 2.4 to 3.0. In Boumalene Dades, TF prevalence in 1-9-year-olds was 0.07%, and modeling data from the different assays indicated a decrease in transmission between 20 and 24 years ago. The TF data support an absence of active trachoma in the two districts examined. However, seroprevalence and SCR in younger people were higher in Agdez than Boumalene Dades, showing that there can be differences in serology metrics in areas with similar TF prevalence. Data will be included in multicountry analyses to better understand potential thresholds for serological surveillance in trachoma.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jaouad Hammou
- Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy of Rabat, Mohammed V University, Rabat, Morocco
| | - Sarah Anne J. Guagliardo
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Majdouline Obtel
- Laboratory of Biostatistics, Clinical Research and Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy of Rabat, Mohammed V University, Rabat, Morocco
- Laboratory of Community Heath (Public Health, Preventive Medicine and Hygiene), Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Mohammed V, Rabat, Morocco
| | - Rachid Razine
- Laboratory of Biostatistics, Clinical Research and Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy of Rabat, Mohammed V University, Rabat, Morocco
- Laboratory of Community Heath (Public Health, Preventive Medicine and Hygiene), Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Mohammed V, Rabat, Morocco
| | - Abbas Ermilo Haroun
- Laboratory of Biostatistics, Clinical Research and Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy of Rabat, Mohammed V University, Rabat, Morocco
- Laboratory of Community Heath (Public Health, Preventive Medicine and Hygiene), Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Mohammed V, Rabat, Morocco
| | - Mohamed Youbi
- Directorate of Epidemiology and Disease Control, Ministry of Health, Rabat, Morocco
| | | | - Michael White
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Analytics Unit, Department of Global Health, Institute Pasteur, Paris, France
| | - Sarah Gwyn
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Diana L. Martin
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
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7
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Godwin W, Prada JM, Emerson P, Hooper PJ, Bakhtiari A, Deiner M, Porco TC, Mahmud H, Landskroner E, Hollingsworth TD, Medley GF, Pinsent A, Bailey R, Lietman TM, Oldenburg CE. Trachoma Prevalence After Discontinuation of Mass Azithromycin Distribution. J Infect Dis 2021; 221:S519-S524. [PMID: 32052842 PMCID: PMC7289551 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiz691] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
Background As the World Health Organization seeks to eliminate trachoma by 2020, countries are beginning to control the transmission of trachomatous inflammation–follicular (TF) and discontinue mass drug administration (MDA) with oral azithromycin. We evaluated the effect of MDA discontinuation on TF1–9 prevalence at the district level. Methods We extracted from the available data districts with an impact survey at the end of their program cycle that initiated discontinuation of MDA (TF1–9 prevalence <5%), followed by a surveillance survey conducted to determine whether TF1–9 prevalence remained below the 5% threshold, warranting discontinuation of MDA. Two independent analyses were performed, 1 regression based and 1 simulation based, that assessed the change in TF1–9 from the impact survey to the surveillance survey. Results Of the 220 districts included, TF1–9 prevalence increased to >5% from impact to surveillance survey in 9% of districts. Regression analysis indicated that impact survey TF1–9 prevalence was a significant predictor of surveillance survey TF1–9 prevalence. The proportion of simulations with >5% TF1–9 prevalence in the surveillance survey was 2%, assuming the survey was conducted 4 years after MDA. Conclusion An increase in TF1–9 prevalence may represent disease resurgence but could also be due to measurement error. Improved diagnostic tests are crucial to elimination of TF1–9 as a public health problem.
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Affiliation(s)
- William Godwin
- Francis I Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Joaquin M Prada
- Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Surrey, Guildford, United Kingdom
| | - Paul Emerson
- International Trachoma Initiative, The Task Force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia, USA
| | - P J Hooper
- International Trachoma Initiative, The Task Force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia, USA
| | - Ana Bakhtiari
- International Trachoma Initiative, The Task Force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia, USA
| | - Michael Deiner
- Francis I Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.,Department of Ophthalmology, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Travis C Porco
- Francis I Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.,Department of Ophthalmology, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.,Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Hamidah Mahmud
- Francis I Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Emma Landskroner
- Francis I Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - T Déirdre Hollingsworth
- Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Graham F Medley
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Amy Pinsent
- Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Robin Bailey
- Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Thomas M Lietman
- Francis I Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.,Department of Ophthalmology, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.,Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Catherine E Oldenburg
- Francis I Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.,Department of Ophthalmology, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.,Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
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Lessons learned for surveillance strategies for trachoma elimination as a public health problem, from the evaluation of approaches utilised by Guinea worm and onchocerciasis programmes: A literature review. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2021; 15:e0009082. [PMID: 33507903 PMCID: PMC7872237 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009082] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/24/2019] [Revised: 02/09/2021] [Accepted: 12/17/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction A number of neglected tropical diseases are targeted for elimination or eradication. An effective surveillance system is critical to determine if these goals have been achieved and maintained. Trachoma has two related but morphologically different presentations that are monitored for elimination, the active infectious form of trachoma and trachomatous trichiasis (TT), the progression of the disease. There are a number of lessons learnt from the Guinea worm surveillance system that are particularly compatible for TT surveillance and the onchocerciasis surveillance system which can provide insights for surveillance of the infectious form of trachoma. Methods/Principal findings A literature search of peer-reviewed published papers and grey literature was conducted using PUBMED and Google Scholar for articles relating to dracunculiasis or Guinea worm, onchocerciasis and trachoma, along with surveillance or elimination or eradication. The abstracts of relevant papers were read and inclusion was determined based on specified inclusion and exclusion criteria. The credibility and bias of relevant papers were also critically assessed using published criteria. A total of 41 papers were identified that were eligible for inclusion into the review. The Guinea worm programme is designed around a surveillance-containment strategy and combines both active and passive surveillance approaches, with a focus on village-based surveillance and reporting. Although rumour reporting and a monetary incentive for the identification of confirmed Guinea worm cases have been reported as successful for identifying previously unknown transmission there is little unbiased evidence to support this conclusion. More rigorous evidence through a randomised controlled trial, influenced by motivational factors identified through formative research, would be necessary in order to consider applicability for TT case finding in an elimination setting. The onchocerciasis surveillance strategy focuses on active surveillance through sentinel surveillance of villages and breeding sites. It relies on an entomological component, monitoring infectivity rates of black flies and an epidemiological component, tracking exposure to infection in humans. Challenges have included the introduction of relatively complex diagnostics that are not readily available in onchocerciasis endemic countries and target thresholds, which are practically unattainable with current diagnostic tests. Although there is utility in monitoring for infection and serological markers in trachoma surveillance, it is important that adequate considerations are made to ensure evidence-based and achievable guidelines for their utility are put in place. Conclusions/Significance The experiences of both the Guinea worm and onchocerciasis surveillance strategies have very useful lessons for trachoma surveillance, pre- and post-validation. The use of a monetary reward for identification of TT cases and further exploration into the use of infection and serological indicators particularly in a post-validation setting to assist in identifying recrudescence would be of particular relevance. The next step would be a real-world evaluation of their relative applicability for trachoma surveillance. The design of a surveillance system needs to be carefully thought out to ensure it provides sufficient evidence to determine if a disease or infection is eliminated or eradicated. If inappropriate it can lead to on-going transmission and resurgence of infection or disease or the unnecessary continuation of interventions, wasting valuable resources. Guinea worm is a disease that is painful and debilitating, for which there is no drug or vaccine. The aim is to eradicate the disease and as such the Guinea worm programme is designed around a strategy of identification of cases and their containment to prevent onward transmission. Onchocerciasis if left untreated can lead to blindness. The aim is to eliminate the disease through the interruption of transmission. A literature review was conducted to determine available evidence and identify lessons that can be learnt from the surveillance of both diseases for the design of trachoma surveillance strategies in the endgame. The potential utility of rumour reporting and a monetary incentive for the identification of a confirmed case of Guinea worm could be explored for trichiasis case finding. Trichiasis is the progression of trachoma and leads to significant ocular morbidity. The introduction of tests for infection and antibodies and the utility of sentinel surveillance as utilised for onchocerciasis are interesting considerations for active trachoma surveillance post-validation and has potential to identify recrudescence cost-effectively. The experiences of both the Guinea worm and onchocerciasis surveillance strategies have very useful lessons that can be trialled for trachoma surveillance. However, their real-world applicability and implications for trachoma need to be evaluated before any changes in guidelines are proposed.
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Martin DL, Saboyà-Díaz MI, Abashawl A, Alemayeh W, Gwyn S, Hooper PJ, Keenan J, Kalua K, Szwarcwald CL, Nash S, Oldenburg C, West SK, White M, Solomon AW. The use of serology for trachoma surveillance: Current status and priorities for future investigation. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2020; 14:e0008316. [PMID: 32970672 PMCID: PMC7514076 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008316] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Diana L Martin
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Martha Idalí Saboyà-Díaz
- Communicable Diseases and Environmental Determinants of Health Department, Pan-American Health Organization, Washington, DC, United States of America
| | - Aida Abashawl
- Berhan Public Health and Eye Care Consultancy, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Wondu Alemayeh
- Berhan Public Health and Eye Care Consultancy, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.,The Fred Hollows Foundation, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Sarah Gwyn
- Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Pamela J Hooper
- International Trachoma Initiative, Task Force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Jeremy Keenan
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States of America.,Department of Ophthalmology, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States of America
| | - Khumbo Kalua
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of Malawi, College of Medicine Blantyre, Malawi
| | - Celia Landmann Szwarcwald
- Institute of Scientific and Technological Communication and information in Health, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Scott Nash
- Trachoma Control Program, The Carter Center, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Catherine Oldenburg
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States of America.,Department of Ophthalmology, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States of America.,Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States of America
| | - Sheila K West
- Wilmer Eye Institute, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Michael White
- Malaria: Parasites & Hosts, Department of Parasites and Insect Vectors, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France
| | - Anthony W Solomon
- Department of Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
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